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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/28

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, November 28

    Good Luck on day #332 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    If the NFL Draft was today (it isn’t), this would be the draft order:

    1) 49ers 2-9

    2) Cardinals 2-9

    3) Raiders 2-9

    4) Jets 3-8

    5) Giants 3-8

    6) Jaguars 3-8


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: College basketball knowledge…….

    13) Top four rated conferences so far this season:

    Big X, Big 14, ACC and the Big East.

    12) Teams with least experience in country, among teams in the betting rotation:

    Kentucky, UCLA, Cal State-Northridge, Maryland, Chattanooga and Duke

    One of those six teams has a lot more talent than the other five.

    11) Minutes Continuity measures how much guys have played together more than their experience- teams cobbled together by transfers are rated low in this metric:

    Highest: Washington, Kansas State, Brown, Cal State-Fullerton, George Mason

    Lowest: Tex-Arlington, Chattanooga, Idaho, Wichita State, Oakland

    10) Teams who used their bench the most so far this year:
    Denver, Manhattan, Georgia, Princeton, NC State

    Teams who used their bench the least:
    San Diego, Furman, Georgia State, St John’s, Boston College

    9) Challengers to Gonzaga’s dynasty in the WCC are changing a little. St Mary’s is only 3-3 to start the season, but San Francisco and LMU are both still unbeaten. Conference seems to be a little deeper this season; BYU is still pretty good and San Diego seems improved, too.

    8) Mike Davis is the guy who replaced Bob Knight as the basketball coach at Indiana, which was an enormous job for a rookie coach. That was 18 years ago.

    18 years and three jobs later (he has won at all his coaching stops) Davis is now the coach at Detroit Mercy in the Horizon League. His son Antone is a freshman for the Titans, and the kid can shoot a basketball- he’s made 24 of his last 38 3-point shots.

    Horizon League has slipped of late (ranked #24 LY, were as high as #10 in 2011) and Davis got this job because the Titans are 16-47 the last five years. Detroit’s last winning season was in 2013, when their best player was the then-coach’s son (Ray McCallum Jr).

    Detroit starts young Davis and four seniors, so they’ll be an interesting follow this winter. They also have five true freshmen, six JC transfers and two graduate transfers.

    7) Rough start to the season for the Pac-12; Oregon is their highest-rated team, but the Ducks lost at home to Texas Southern Monday, as a 24-point favorite. Not looking good right now for the Pac-12 to get a lot of at-large spots in the NCAA’s.

    6) Texas Southern uses November/December to fund its program, playing a ridiculous number of road games for guarantee fees. Here is who they’ve played so far:

    Nov 6, won 72-69 at Baylor
    Nov 10, lost 104-67 at Gonzaga
    Nov 12, lost 85-73 at Iowa State
    Nov 14, lost 103-64 at San Diego State
    Nov 18, lost 85-63 at Evansville
    Nov 26, won 89-84 at Oregon

    Their first Division I home game is January 19th. January freakin’ 19th.

    5) Teams who have taken the highest % of 3-point shots:
    Drake, Eastern Washington, Villanova, Siena, North Dakota State

    4) Teams who have made the highest % of 3-point shots:
    Indiana State, New Mexico, Detroit, South Dakota State, Creighton

    3) Teams playing the fastest tempos so far this season:
    FIU, Marshall, Eastern Kentucky, Citadel, Rider, Green Bay

    Teams playing slowest tempo so far this season:
    Virginia, Siena, Marist, Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Houston

    2) As of Monday night, there were still 15 kids in the country who’ve taken 2+ foul shots per game and made all of them, led by Oakland’s Jaevin Cumberland, at 26-26.

    1) Oakland’s Braden Norris was leading the country in 3-point %age, making 12 of his 14 shots behind the arc. Ian Sistare of Dartmouth was next, at 11-14.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, November 28


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    NEW YORK (7 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 8) - 11/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 110-85 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 150-114 ATS (+24.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ATLANTA (4 - 16) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 10) - 11/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 7-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 8-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTAH (9 - 12) at BROOKLYN (8 - 13) - 11/28/2018, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (10 - 10) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) - 11/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1057-929 ATS (+35.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 345-284 ATS (+32.6 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 356-277 ATS (+51.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 426-346 ATS (+45.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (9 - 9) at HOUSTON (9 - 10) - 11/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 8-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (5 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 6) - 11/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 411-481 ATS (-118.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (4 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 7) - 11/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (8 - 12) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 11) - 11/28/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 45-60 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 119-162 ATS (-59.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 5-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORLANDO (10 - 11) at PORTLAND (12 - 8) - 11/28/2018, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (4 - 15) at LA CLIPPERS (13 - 6) - 11/28/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 8-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-28-2018 at 03:03 PM.

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    Atlanta:
    Team record: 5-16 SU,9-12 ATS
    Atlanta is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Charlotte:

    Team record: 10-10 SU,13-7 ATS
    Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
    Charlotte is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    ********************

    New York:
    Team record: 7-15 SU,12-8-2 ATS
    New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New York is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 8 games

    Philadelphia:

    Team record: 14-8 SU,8-14 ATS
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

    **********************

    Utah:
    Team record: 9-12 SU,9-12 ATS
    Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

    Brooklyn:

    Team record: 8-13 SU,10-11 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
    Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    ********************

    Chicago:
    Team record: 5-16 SU,10-11 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
    Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games

    Milwaukee:

    Team record: 14-6 SU,11-8-1 ATS
    Milwaukee is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games
    Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    *********************

    San Antonio:
    Team record: 10-10 SU,10-10 ATS
    San Antonio is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    San Antonio is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

    Minnesota:
    Team record: 10-11 SU,11-10 ATS
    Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
    Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games

    ***********************

    Dallas:
    Team record: 9-9 SU,12-6 ATS
    Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Houston:

    Team record: 9-10 SU,7-12 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
    Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
    Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

    ************************

    Washington:
    Team record: 8-12 SU,8-12 ATS
    Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games

    New Orleans:
    Team record: 10-11 SU,9-12 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 4 straight games.
    New Orleans is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games

    ****************************

    Orlando:
    Team record: 10-11 SU,12-9 ATS
    Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Orlando's last 23 games
    Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Portland:
    Team record: 12-8 SU,11-9 ATS
    Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
    Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games

    **************************

    Phoenix:
    Team record: 4-16 SU,8-12 ATS
    Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Phoenix is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
    Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

    Los Angeles:
    Team record: 13-6 SU,12-7 ATS
    LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, November 28


    Knicks won three of last four games, are 5-1-1 vs spread in their last seven. NY is 6-5-1 as a AU. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Philly won five of its last six games but is 0-4 vs spread in last four. 76ers are 5-6 as HF. Nine of their last ten games went over. Sixers won their last four games with New York; six of last eight series games stayed under total. Knicks are 0-4 vs spread in their last four visits to Philly.

    Hawks won their last two games after a 10-game skid; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six games on road. Four of their last five games went over. Charlotte split its last eight games; they’re 4-3 as HF. Four of their last six games went over the total. Hornets won five of last six games with Atlanta; four of last five series games went over. Hawks are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Charlotte.

    Jazz lost six of their last eight games; they’re 3-6 in last nine road games, 3-4 as HF. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 3-4 as HU. Seven of their last ten games went over the the total. Utah won six of last eight games with the Nets; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Brooklyn. Last three series games went over.

    San Antonio lost eight of its last 12 games; they’re 4-7 on road, 3-3-1 as AU. Seven of their last eight games went over the total. Timberwolves won six of their last eight games; they’re 8-3 at home, 4-3 as HF. Under is 12-1 in Wolves’ last 13 games. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Minnesota, covered four of last five. San Antonio covered three of last four visits to Minnesota. Three of last four series games went over.

    Dallas won six of its last seven games; they’re 1-7 on road, 3-2 vs spread as AU. Three of their last four games went over total. Houston lost its last three games; they’re 4-4 at home, 3-5 as HF. Rockets’ last five games went over. Rockets won their last eight games with Dallas (6-2 vs spread); eight of last nine series games stayed under. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Houston.

    Chicago lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread as AU. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Milwaukee is 6-7 in its last 13 games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home tilts. Over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Road team won seven of last eight Bulls-Bucks games, with Milwaukee winning last three; six of last seven series games went over. Chicago covered four of its last six visits to Milwaukee.

    Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 1-11 start; Cavaliers are 5-4 vs spread as AU. Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Oklahoma City won 12 of its last 15 games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Thunder won three of last four games with Cleveland (over 3-1). Cavaliers covered only one of their last four visits to Oklahoma City.

    Washington won six of its last nine games after a 2-9 start; they’re 2-4 vs spread as AU. Four of their last five games went over the total. Pelicans lost their last four games, losing by 10 in Washington Friday; NO is 4-5 vs spread as HF. Five of their last seven games went over. Wizards won nine of last ten games with New Orleans; they covered their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Seven of last ten series games stayed under.

    Orlando lost three of last four games but covered eight of last ten; Magic is 6-3 vs spread as AU. Three of their last four games stayed under. Portland lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as HF. Four of their last five games went over. Trailblazers won their last four games with Orlando (3-0-1 vs spread); Magic is 2-1-1 vs spread in its last four trips to Portland. Five of last seven games stayed under.

    Phoenix lost nine of its last 11 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread as AU. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Clippers won seven of their last eight games; they’re 4-0-1 vs spread as HF. Seven of their last eight games went over. Clippers won their last eight games with Phoenix (7-1 vs spread); Suns are 0-5 vs spread in last five series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, November 28



    New York @ Philadelphia

    Game 701-702
    November 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    115.466
    Philadelphia
    116.997
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1 1/2
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 12 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+12 1/2); Under

    Atlanta @ Charlotte


    Game 703-704
    November 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    109.326
    Charlotte
    119.666
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 10 1/2
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 12 1/2
    233
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+12 1/2); Under

    Utah @ Brooklyn


    Game 705-706
    November 28, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    111.083
    Brooklyn
    115.950
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 5
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 3
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+3); Under

    San Antonio @ Minnesota


    Game 707-708
    November 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    117.025
    Minnesota
    120.324
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3 1/2
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4 1/2
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Dallas @ Houston


    Game 709-710
    November 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    116.309
    Houston
    125.061
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 9
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 6 1/2
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Chicago @ Milwaukee


    Game 711-712
    November 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    107.966
    Milwaukee
    125.022
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 17
    232
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 13 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-13 1/2); Over

    Cleveland @ Oklahoma City


    Game 713-714
    November 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    115.772
    Oklahoma City
    122.661
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 7
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 13
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+13); Under

    Washington @ New Orleans


    Game 715-716
    November 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    117.771
    New Orleans
    114.322
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 6 1/2
    240 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+6 1/2); Under

    Orlando @ Portland


    Game 717-718
    November 28, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    117.321
    Portland
    113.806
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 3 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 7
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+7); Over

    Phoenix @ LA Clippers


    Game 719-720
    November 28, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    112.857
    LA Clippers
    120.972
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 8
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 12
    229
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+12); Under

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    By: Monique Vág


    One of the best teams against one of the worst

    The 14-6 Milwaukee Bucks host the 5-16 Chicago Bulls tonight. The Bucks are the highest scoring team in the Association averaging 121 points per game. That number is even higher at home, at 123.2 points per contest. They have also been solid on the defensive end, allowing 109.9 points per game.

    The Bulls rank 29th in the Association in points scored on the road, only managing to put up 101.8. With the Bulls still without Lauri Markkanen, Bobby Portis, Denzel Valentine and Kris Dunn, scoring will be tough to come by. Take Under the game total of 228.5.


    Struggling to get stops on the road

    The Wizards possess one of the worst defenses in the league and it is even worse on the road, surrendering an average of 122 points per game. This does not bode well for them, as they play against the Pelicans who have won eight of their first 10 home games this year, and rank as the second highest scoring team at home with 122 points per game.

    These two teams met last Saturday night in Washington, and it was the Wizards who came out on top with a 124-114 result. Things look to be much different at home for the Pelicans this time around, as they should be able to take advantage of a porous defense and cover the spread as 6-point favorites.


    Emphasis on the “D” in Dallas

    The Rockets have dropped under .500 on the season, courtesy of three road losses in a row versus three subpar teams in the Pistons, Wizards, and Cavaliers. Injuries have affected their chemistry and they are hoping Chris Paul and Gerald Green are good to go for today’s matchup with the Dallas Mavericks.

    The Mavericks have been a surprise team this year. They've won seven of their last nine contests by playing lock down defense, surrendering only 105 points per game over their last three. On the injury front, the Mavs hope Luka Doncic and Dennis Smith Jr. are healthy enough to start.

    The total has gone Under in eight of Dallas's last nine games when playing Houston, and four of the last five games with Houston at home. With the way the Mavericks are playing defense, and the Rockets’ struggling offense, take Under 217 total points.


    Lean towards the historical dominance

    Both the Spurs and Timberwolves enter today's matchup with very similar statistics in points per game, points allowed, and wins.

    Although Minnesota has won six of their last eight games since the Jimmy Butler trade, they have struggled historically versus the Spurs. Head-to-head, the Spurs have gotten the better of the Timberwolves posting a 9-1 record over their last 10 games. Take the Spurs with the 4.5 points as they should keep it close on the road.


    Getting the ball inside

    The Suns surrender the most points in the paint per game at 53.5. This sets up a favorable matchup for the Clippers today, as they average 52.5 points in the paint per game.

    Clippers’ center Montrezl Harrell looks to be in for a good night, if he can stay out of foul trouble, as the Suns surrender an average of 25.5 points, 16.1 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per contest to opposing centers. Look into taking Harrell’s points, rebounds, and assists total Over.

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