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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/26

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/26

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 26

    Good Luck on day #330 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 12 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Patriots -9.5 (1,007)- W

    2) Giants +6 (902)- W

    3) Steelers -3 (837)- L

    4) Packers +3.5 (721)- L

    5) Panthers -3.5 (691)- L

    6) Colts -7.5 (683)- L

    Season record: 37-32-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    Seahawks 30, Panthers 27— Carolina had ball nine times in this game; they got inside Seattle 20-yard line on seven of those nine drives, but scored only 27 points, which isn’t good, and it cost them this game- they also missed a 51-yard FG on one of the two drives that didn’t get into the red zone. Panthers also fumbled five times, though they didn’t lose any of them.

    Carolina lost its last three games, with no takeaways in any of them; this was their first home loss this season. Seattle passes the Panthers in Wild Card race; they’re 10-6-2 in last 18 games as a road underdog.

    Browns 35, Bengals 20— Maybe it is Hue Jackson’s fault; Browns won two of three games since they sent Jackson away, scoring 28-35 points in last two games. Bengals brought Jackson on as an assistant coach and haven’t won since, giving up 51-24-35 points in their last three games.

    Cleveland’s offense in first half: 4 drives, 37 plays, 289 yards, four TD’s. They ran out the last 0:32 of the first half with a fifth drive.

    Andy Dalton hurt his thumb in this game, as Cincy lost for 5th time in last six tries.

    Browns ended a 25-game losing streak with this win.

    Buccaneers 27, 49ers 9— This doesn’t happen much, but every so often, handicapping is a simple game. Saturday night, 49ers’ LB Reuben Foster was arrested at the team’s hotel and charged with domestic violence. The night before a game- brilliant!!! This makes the 49ers a go-against play.

    49ers released Foster after the game.

    Buccaneers gained 400+ yards for 6th time in last seven games, but won for first time in last five weeks. For once, they didn’t turn the ball over, going +3 in turnovers.

    Eagles 25, Giants 22:
    — Giants in first half: 5 drives, 38 plays, 346 yards, 19 points
    — Giants in second half: 5 drives, 22 plays, 56 yards, 3 points.
    — Philly was scoreless in first quarter for 5th game in a row.
    — Eagles won 17 of their last 21 games against the Giants.

    Unless Saquon Barkley is hurt and Giants are hushing it up, they committed malpractice here by not feeding him the ball enough. 13 runs, 8 pass targets wasn’t near enough in this game and for the love of God, if you go for two points from the 1-yard line, give him the bleeping ball!!!!

    Bills 24, Jaguars 21— This game was like a throwback to the 70’s; both teams ran for more yards than they threw for; Bills completed only 8 passes all day, but on an unseasonably warm day in western NY (44 degrees), Jacksonville lost its 7th game in a row.

    Bills’ rookie QB Allen ran the ball 13 times for 99 yards; unless he learns to slide or get OB and avoid big hits, he is going to have a short NFL career. He’s got talent, but he’s got to preserve his health, or else……..

    Ravens 34, Raiders 17— Speaking of running QB’s, Lamar Jackson toned it down in this game, running only 11 times, after 27 runs LW; Jackson is 2-0 as an NFL starter while Oakland lost for 6th time in its last seven games. Raiders are 15 for their last 55 on third down.

    Patriots 27, Jets 13— New England is now 13-2 in last 15 series games; they gained 498 yards in this game, averaging 9.1 yards/pass attempt in a game where Jets had 10-yard advantage in field position. Patriots won last five series games played in the New Jersey swamp; they’re 14-7 vs spread in last 21 games as road favorites.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2018 at 12:06 PM.

  3. #3
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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, November 26


    Minnesota won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-8 on road, 1-2 as AF. 11 of their last 12 games stayed under. Cleveland won its last two games, covered five of its last seven- they’re 3-3 as HU. Three of their last four games went over. Cavaliers won seven of last nine games with Minnesota; nine of last ten series games went over the total. Timberwolves are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Cleveland.

    Milwaukee won three of its last four games; they’re 4-3 on road, 1-3 as AF. Seven of their last nine games went over. Hornets lost four of their last six games; they’re 6-3 at home, 2-0 as HU. Four of their last five games went over. Bucks won five of their last seven games with Charlotte; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Tobacco Road. Seven of last nine series games went over.

    Houston lost its last two games, is 0-3 vs spread in last three; Rockets are 5-5 on road, 2-6 as AF. Rockets’ last four games went over total. Wizards lost three of their last five games; they’re 5-5 at home, 1-2 as HU. Six of their last nine games went over the total. Rockets won seven of last ten games with Washington; they covered four of last five visits here. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

    Spurs lost nine of their last 12 games; they’re 3-7 on road, 3-3-1 vs spread as AU. Six of their last seven games went over. Chicago lost six of its last seven games; they’re 3-8 at home, 5-4 as HU. Ten of their last thirteen games stayed under the total. Home side won seven of last eight Spurs-Bulls games; San Antonio is 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to the Windy City (under 4-1).

    Celtics lost eight of their last 12 games; they’re 5-7 on road, 1-4 as AU. Three of their last four games went over. New Orleans lost its last three games; they’re 8-1 at home, 4-4 as HF. Four of their last six games went over. Pelicans won three of last four games with Boston; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Celtics are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to New Orleans.

    Indiana is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 5-4 on road, 1-4 vs spread as AU. Five of their last seven games went over. Jazz lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-5 at home, 2-4 as HF. Three of their last four games went over the total. Pacers won three of last four games with Utah; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Salt Lake City. Four of last six series games went over.

    Magic won eight of its last 12 games; they’re 4-4 on road, 5-3 as AU. Orlando’s last three games stayed under. Warriors are 4-6 in their last ten games, 1-6 vs spread in last seven; they’re 10-2 at home, 6-6 as HF. Under is 5-3 in their last eight home games. Golden State won its last ten games with Orlando (7-3 vs spread); Magic is 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland. Three of last four series games stayed under.

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    NBA

    Monday, November 26


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Minnesota is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games
    Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Cleveland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
    Milwaukee is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 16 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Milwaukee is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Charlotte's last 18 games at home
    Charlotte is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Charlotte is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
    Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
    Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
    Washington is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
    Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games at home
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    Washington is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
    Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Antonio is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    San Antonio is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
    San Antonio is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
    San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Antonio's last 21 games when playing Chicago
    San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chicago's last 21 games when playing San Antonio
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio


    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 19 games when playing New Orleans
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
    New Orleans is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New Orleans's last 19 games when playing Boston
    New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston


    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
    Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Utah
    Indiana is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah's last 16 games
    Utah is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Utah is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Indiana
    Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana


    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Orlando's last 22 games
    Orlando is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Orlando's last 18 games on the road
    Orlando is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Golden State
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 12 games when playing Golden State
    Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Golden State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Golden State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
    Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Orlando
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing Orlando
    Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2018 at 12:08 PM.

  5. #5
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    Long Sheet

    Monday, November 26


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (9 - 11) at CLEVELAND (4 - 14) - 11/26/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 51-69 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (14 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (9 - 10) - 11/26/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 3-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (9 - 9) at WASHINGTON (7 - 12) - 11/26/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 106-67 ATS (+32.3 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 44-60 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 412-482 ATS (-118.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 118-162 ATS (-60.2 Units) in November games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (9 - 10) at CHICAGO (5 - 15) - 11/26/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1057-928 ATS (+36.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 839-717 ATS (+50.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 345-283 ATS (+33.7 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 356-276 ATS (+52.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 350-289 ATS (+32.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 426-345 ATS (+46.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 133-178 ATS (-62.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BOSTON (10 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 10) - 11/26/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (11 - 8) at UTAH (9 - 11) - 11/26/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (10 - 10) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 7) - 11/26/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-26-2018 at 12:09 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, November 26



    Minnesota @ Cleveland

    Game 701-702
    November 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    119.947
    Cleveland
    116.149
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7
    215
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+7); Over

    Milwaukee @ Charlotte


    Game 703-704
    November 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    121.541
    Charlotte
    123.146
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 1 1/2
    242
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 5
    235 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+5); Over

    Houston @ Washington


    Game 705-706
    November 26, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    119.023
    Washington
    117.809
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 3 1/2
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+3 1/2); Under

    San Antonio @ Chicago


    Game 707-708
    November 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    113.033
    Chicago
    111.958
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+6); Under

    Boston @ New Orleans


    Game 709-710
    November 26, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    115.913
    New Orleans
    117.403
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 1 1/2
    226 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+1 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ Utah


    Game 711-712
    November 26, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    115.306
    Utah
    116.839
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 1 1/2
    200
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 5
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+5); Under

    Orlando @ Golden State


    Game 713-714
    November 26, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    112.736
    Golden State
    124.579
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 12
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 7 1/2
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-7 1/2); Over

  7. #7
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    Monday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Boston at New Orleans, 8:05 ET

    Boston head coach Brad Stevens can only sit and watch at this point. The Celtics (10-10 SU, 10-10 ATS) are too good to be a .500 team through 20 games, but as esteemed philosopher Bill Parcells once said, you are what your record says you are.

    Stevens is one of the best brains in the business and will certainly aid the process, but Boston pulling itself out of its current rut lies squarely on the shoulders of point guard Kyrie Irving.

    That’s how it works in the NBA when it comes to superstars. If you’re missing an elite player, making everything work falls on the coach. When you’ve got one, they stir the drink.

    Boston, the preseason Eastern Conference favorite, now looks vulnerable and has company at the top, currently listed as co-favorite alongside the Raptors (7/4) with the Bucks and 76ers close behind (7/2) according to the most recent Westgate Superbook odds. Losers of four of the past five, the Celtics have really struggled since winning the most recent Atlantic Division summit meeting against Toronto, overcoming Kawhi Leonard’s most productive game of the season. Leonard’s 31 points and 15 boards couldn’t prevent his third loss since joining the Raps because Irving was superior, helping Boston rally and ultimately win in overtime behind a 43-point, 11-assist game in which he participated in every Celtics’ hoop in the extra session after scoring 17 points over the final 8:06 just to help get it there.

    This meshing the Celtics thing is on him.

    We’ll see what Irving picked up from LeBron as far as making great players around him better is concerned since the point guard is getting a taste of what the burden of expectations feels like. Boston shouldn’t be 10-10 at the quarter-point of the season when he’s been healthy enough to miss only one game. The frustration level is rising. Irving said he had a moment in Saturday’s 113-104 loss in Dallas where he almost “lost it” because of how badly things are going, saying him and teammates “have to learn about one another and how we respond in those environments and situations.”

    It’s not even December.

    Eventually, Boston will figure this all out and Gordon Hayward will start contributing more, but we’re clearly reaching the point where guys or going to get with the program or get phased out, egos be damned. Expect to see drama cooked up, but tonight’s stop in New Orleans (10-10 SU, 10-10 ATS) should go a long way in deciding how the next few days unfold. The Celtics don’t play again until Friday night against the young Cavs at home, so they can take some of the pressure off with a victory or set the stage for some prickly practices and harsh conversations. Maybe that’s what they need, but winning here can ensure a better attitude going into it, not to mention a happier flight as a three-game road trip culminates.

    The presence Anthony Davis, who the Celtics covet but can’t make a move to acquire so long as Irving is on the roster under his current contract (Rose Rule), makes Monday’s marquee matchup all the juicier. Rumors of Boston’s desire to trade many of their coveted pieces to land the Pelicans’ star are so old they may get their own driver’s license soon, but Boston’s struggles will certainly fan those flames. The schedule makers have a great sense of timing since Davis and the Pels will visit Boston for a rematch of tonight’s game on Dec. 10, which should make for an interesting night filled with shameless courting from Celtics fans.

    Davis’ Pelicans have lost three straight games after winning six of seven, so the pressure to snap out of a funk is present on their end, further spicing this contest up. Davis sat out Saturday night’s loss to Washington to rest on a second night of a back-to-back since he’s been dealing with a hip issue and decided he was in too much discomfort to participate after warming up. Unless he’s cleared at shootaround, he’ll likely be a game-time decision against the Celtics but I’d expect him to play after not suiting up the other night. Davis hadn’t missed a game since Dec. 1 and has missed just three of the first 20. Julius Randle would start at center if he can’t go and has been very productive serving as the primary catalyst on the second unit, essentially serving in Davis’ role with that group with everything going through him.

    New Orleans has seen Jrue Holiday play terrific ball throughout most of the season, so his matchup with Irving will be telling. E’Twaun Moore has also raised his level of play at shooting guard, but head coach Alvin Gentry still lacks the type of depth Stevens enjoys and will be without starting guard Elfrid Payton for another month due to a finger injury. The Celtics will be without slumping wing Jaylen Brown (back) but have upgraded Hayward and Terry Rozier to probable despite ankle sprains.

    The Pelicans play at the third-fastest pace in the league and have seen the ‘over’ prevail in six of their last eight, while the Celtics are in the bottom 10 in that metric but have surrendered 113 or more points in four of the last six (‘over’ 4-2). New Orleans’ last three totals have all closed above 235, while Boston just went ‘under’ its highest number of the season in its 113-104 Friday win in Atlanta, which wrapped at 223.5.

    The card
    Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Both teams have won consecutive games, which is a first for this season for the Cavs. Rookie Collin Sexton is starting to get comfortable, so his matchup with Jeff Teague and Derrick Rose should determine a lot here. Jordan Clarkson has been an x-factor for the Cavs off the bench. The Timberwolves have seen the ‘under’ prevail in 11 of their last 12 games, including the last six.

    Milwaukee at Charlotte, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Kemba Walker averaged 51.5 points in games against the 76ers and Celtics last week, but he’s slumping some over the past three, shooting 22-for-56 (39.2 pct.). Tonight’s game will be his first back-to-back all month, and he shot 3-for-15 from 3-point range the last time he played on consecutive nights. With Tony Parker nursing a knee injury, Walker could be in for a heavy workload after playing 34 minutes in Sunday night’s upset loss in Atlanta. The Bucks have won four of five and have averaged 131 points over their last three games, but this will be their first road game since Nov. 11. Milwaukee is 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) on the road this season.

    Houston at Washington, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Rockets will be looking to avoid a winless three-game road stretch here, having fallen in Detroit and Cleveland as road favorites. Chris Paul remains questionable to play with a sore left leg, while Gerald Green is nursing a sore right ankle. Dwight Howard, who has had an interesting weekend, has missed the last three games with lingering gluteal soreness. John Wall should play despite an ankle sprain. The Wizards have lost five of seven against Houston since 2015.

    San Antonio at Chicago, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    This feels like a must-win for the Spurs, who have dropped six of the past eight contests and surrendered 135 points in Milwaukee on Saturday after getting torched for 140 points by the Pelicans last week. The Bulls have lost six of seven straight up and ATS as they continue to look at young players while would-be starters Lauri Markkanen, Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn remain on the mend. This will be Chicago’s last home game until Dec. 7.

    Indiana at Utah, 9:05 p.m. ET:
    Pacers All-Star guard Victor Oladipo has already been ruled out due to his lingering knee soreness, so we’ll see more of Tyreke Evans with the starters and rookie point guard Aaron Holiday running the second unit. Center Myles Turner and power forward Domantas Sabonis should participate despite lingering injuries as Indiana hopes to avoid its first three-game losing streak of the season. The Jazz shelved guard Donovan Mitchell in last night’s win in Sacramento due to a rib contusion and will determine whether he’ll return to the lineup closer to tip-off.

    Utah will be seeking revenge after being trounced 121-94 in Indianapolis last Monday night. Oladipo was sidelined for that one as well. Ricky Rubio, who scored 27 points to in Sunday’s 133-112 rout of the Kings, also led the way with 28 points and six assists against the Pacers and will likely be a popular starting option in DFS lineups. Beware, he’s shot just 11-for-34 (34.4 pct.) on the second night of back-to-backs. Despite that, the Jazz are 2-1 in such games.

    Orlando at Golden State, 10:35 p.m. ET:
    Stephen Curry will travel with the Warriors over their upcoming five-game road trip and presumably rejoint the starting lineup late in the week. He won’t be part of the mix against the Magic, which come off an upset win over the Lakers on Sunday afternoon and have won 8 of 12. Orlando has covered in seven of nine but has dropped 10 consecutive games against Golden State, last winning in 2012. Nikola Vucevic and Aaron Gordon have co-existed extremely well of late and will benefit from the continued absence of Draymond Green, who remains sidelined with a sprained right toe.

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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Cavaliers are 13-0 ATS (+5.85 ppg) at home with rest when they are off two double digit ATS wins and it is before the All-Star break.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pelicans are 0-11 ATS (-5.68 ppg) when they are off a loss and they won two straight vs their opponent.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Hornets are 14-0 OU (+16.29 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had an assist percentage at least ten points better than their season-to-date average.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bulls are 0-13 OU (-21.81 ppg) with less than two days rest off a double-digit loss as a road dog in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint.

  9. #9
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    Games to Watch - Week 7

    As we enter into a new week of NBA action, the battles in both the Eastern and Western Conferences remain very tight. In the East, the Toronto Raptors begin to lead the way, although they have just a slender two-game lead over the Milwaukee Bucks. Things are a little tighter in the West, where the Los Angeles Clippers and the Golden State Warriors, who broke out of their four-game losing skid over the weekend, are sharing the lead.

    There are a lot of very good games on the NBA calendar this week, so let’s look at some of the best over the next few days with all the odds, props and futures for it sponsored by YouWager.eu.

    Monday - Boston Celtics at New Orleans Pelicans

    The Boston Celtics continue to disappoint in the early part of the season, losing 6 of their last 10 games to fall to a .500 record and the #7 seed in the Eastern Conference. They will start their week out with a tough road trip to New Orleans to face a Pelicans team holding the exact same 10-10 record as the Celtics. The difference here is that the Pelicans have been stellar at home, going 8-1 through the nine games played in the Big Easy this season. I think that could be a problem for the Celtics, who are two games below .500 on the road.

    Tuesday - Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

    The Lakers may have lost their last game of the week, but they still have seven wins in their last 10 games and are now just 2 games out of the lead in the West despite being down in the #7 spot. They can tighten things up even further with a win on the road in Denver against the #3 Nuggets, although that may be easier said than done, with Denver coming into this one on a modest three-game winning streak. The Lakers won the first meeting of the season against the Nuggets, although that one came at home. They are going to have a much tougher go of it here.

    Wednesday - Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets

    It’s the battle of Texas on Wednesday night for the first time this season, with both teams needing some wins to get above the playoff line. The Houston Rockets are obviously the more surprising of the two to be in the position that they are in, especially when you consider that this is the same team that won the Western Conference last season. Just when it looks as though they are about to go on a positive run, they slip up again, just as they did in a weekend loss to the Cavaliers. The Rockets have won each of the last eight meetings with the Mavericks, and should win this one, too.

    Thursday - Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors

    There is no doubt about it, this is the game of the week, as it features the defending champions going against the top team in the Eastern Conference right now. It has not really been smooth sailing for the Golden State Warriors, as losing streaks and locker room squabbles have somewhat tainted their start to the season. Still, they remain tied for first in the West. The Toronto Raptors have been all business in the early going with a 17-4 record and a two-game lead in the East. This should be a fun one to watch, but I like the Raptors at home.

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    MONDAY, NOVEMBER 26
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

    HOU at WAS 07:00 PM
    HOU -2.5
    U 223.5

    MIN at CLE 07:00 PM
    CLE +5.5
    O 215.0

    MIL at CHA 07:00 PM
    CHA +4.5
    O 234.0

    SA at CHI 08:00 PM
    SA -6.0
    O 214.5

    BOS at NO 08:00 PM
    NO -2.0
    U 228.0

    IND at UTA 09:00 PM
    IND +4.0
    O 206.0


    ORL at GS 10:30 PM
    GS -7.5
    O 214.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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