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Thread: CFL Trends and Indexes - Grey Cup (Sun., Nov. 25)

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    Default CFL Trends and Indexes - Grey Cup (Sun., Nov. 25)

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 25

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    CFL Betting Notes - Grey Cup
    David Schwab

    The 2018 CFL season will come to a close in dramatic fashion late Sunday afternoon at Edmonton’s Commonwealth Stadium with the East’s Ottawa RedBlacks taking on the West’s Calgary Stampeders in this year’s Grey Cup Championship Game.

    The RedBlacks punched their ticket to a third Grey Cup berth in four seasons by hammering Hamilton 46-27 as 3 ˝-point home favorites in Sunday’s East Division Final. Calgary will be making its third-straight appearance in the CFL title game following a 22-14 home victory against Winnipeg as a 4 ˝-point favorite in the West Finals.

    Sunday, Nov. 25

    Ottawa RedBlacks (12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (14-5 SU, 10-9 ATS)

    Betting odds to win the 106th Grey Cup from Commonweath Stadium in Edmonton, Alberta.
    Ottawa Redblacks (+170ML)
    Calgary Stampeders -4 (-200ML)
    Total: 53.5

    1st Half
    Ottawa Redblacks (+142ML)
    Calgary Stampeders -2.5 (-165ML)
    Total: 26.5

    Game Overview

    Ottawa lost to Edmonton in the 2015 championship game before stunning Calgary the following season 39-33 as a heavy 9 ˝-point underdog. The RedBlacks come into Sunday’s title showdown with a four-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread. They have been able to cover in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER in three of their last five outings.

    Trevor Harris has come under fire at times this season for his inconsistent play under center, but he brought his A-Game to Sunday’s East Division Final by setting a new CFL playoff record with six touchdown throws. He completed 29 of his 32 passing attempts against Hamilton for 367 yards. Greg Ellingson was the top target with eight receptions for 144 yards and Diontae Spencer came down with two touchdown grabs as part of his six catches on the day. Harris was fourth in the CFL this season in total passing yards (5,116) and he tossed 22 touchdowns against 11 interceptions.

    The Stampeders are hoping that the third time will be the charm coming off losses to Ottawa and Toronto in the last two Grey Cups. They struggled down the stretch this season at 1-3 SU in their last four games while going a very costly 3-6 ATS in their last nine regular season games. The total stayed UNDER 53 points in Sunday’s victory against Winnipeg and it has stayed UNDER in five of Calgary’s last six games. It has stayed UNDER in 12 of 19 games on the year.

    Calgary won the season series against the RedBlacks SU and ATS with the sweep in a home-and-home series early in the schedule. The total stayed UNDER in each of those contests. In Sunday’s win against the Blue Bombers, Eric Rodgers was the big story on offense with touchdown grabs in half of his six receptions on the day. Bo Levi Mitchell completed 54.8 percent of his 31 passing attempts for 214 yards. Don Jackson added another 83 yards running the ball on 14 carries. The Stampeders ended the regular season averaging 29.0 points per game as the second-highest scoring team in the CFL behind Winnipeg.

    Betting Trends

    -- The RedBlacks are 5-1 ATS in their last six postseason games and they have covered in four of their last five games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games closing as underdogs.

    -- The Stampeders have failed to cover in 12 of their last 17 playoff games with one contest ending as a PUSH. This includes a 0-4 record ATS in their last four Grey Cup title games. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games coming off a SU win.

    -- Calgary has a SU 6-2-2 record in its last 10 games against Ottawa including this season’s two-game sweep. The Stampeders have a slight 6-4 edge ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two.

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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Grey Cup


    Sunday, November 25

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    OTTAWA (12 - 7) vs. CALGARY (14 - 5) - 11/25/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CFL
    Grey Cup


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    Trend Report
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    Sunday, November 25

    Ottawa RedBlacks
    Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Ottawa is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
    Ottawa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
    Ottawa is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
    Ottawa is 1-5-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Calgary
    Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Stampeders
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Calgary is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
    Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games at home
    Calgary is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Ottawa
    Calgary is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
    Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-20-2018 at 01:22 PM.

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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, November 25



    Grey Cup, Toronto
    Ottawa (12-7) vs Calgary (14-5) (-4, 52.5)— Ottawa upset Calgary 39-33 in this game two years ago; RedBlacks are in 3rd Grey Cup in last four years, Calgary is in its 4th Grey Cup in last five years, but they lost the last two years 39-33 (-7)/27-24 (-9.5)- they won the Cup in 2014,

    RedBlacks won last four games, winning last three by 15+ points; they split their last four games away from home, covered four of last five as the underdog. Calgary won its last two games, allowing 14-9 points; five of their last six games went under the total. Stampeders won last three series games, by 4-10-24 points, winning this year’s matchups 24-14/27-3. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine series games; four of those nine games went to OT, with two of them ending in ties.

    Divisional final
    Ottawa 46 (-3, 54), Hamilton 27
    Calgary 22 (-5, 52.5), Winnipeg 14

    Divisional semifinals
    Hamilton 48 (-1.5, 52.5), BC Lions 8
    Winnipeg 23, Saskatchewan 18 (-3, 52)

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    CFL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, November 25



    Ottawa @ Calgary

    Game 667-668
    November 25, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    119.313
    Calgary
    117.156
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 2
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 4 1/2
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+4 1/2); Over

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    Weather in Edmonton is forecast to be 32* with winds between 6-9 MPH.

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