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Thread: Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/8

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 8

    Good Luck on day #312 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Sam Darnold (foot) is out for this week’s game with Buffalo.

    — If Le’Veon Bell is going to play for Pittsburgh this year, he has to report by 4pm on Nov. 13.

    — Ohio State 64, Cincinnati 56— Buckeyes win an ugly game.

    — Kansas Jayhawks fired football coach David Beaty; he’ll finish this season.

    — Astros’ P Lance McCullers had Tommy John surgery, will miss all of 2019.

    — Cubs’ manager Joe Maddon will enter 2019 as a lame duck; he didn’t get his contract extension. Guy won the World Series two years ago.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) So I’m voting Tuesday and this guy voting next to me had his daughter with him- she is maybe 6, 7 years old. As he is voting, the little girl says “Thats not who mommy voted for” and the guy says “Daddy isn’t going to vote for everyone Mommy voted for” and then the little girl and dad start arguing, with the little girl wanting mommy and daddy to agree on everything.

    Quality entertainment. And for free.

    12) Sunday was a rough day for Nevada sports books; every NFL team that the public supported covered the spread. A guy who is a 25-year veteran of working in Las Vegas said it was one of the 10 worst days Nevada sports books have ever had in sports wagering.

    11) Times have changed; the Cowboys willingly wore blue jerseys at home Monday night. There was a time when Dallas went on the road, opposing teams would wear white at home, to force the Cowboys to wear the blue jerseys that they didn’t seem to like wearing.

    10) New Mets’ GM Brodie Van Wagenen is making $10M for four years. He was the agent for the Mets’ two best players, Jacob deGrom and Yoenis Cespedes. He was also Tim Tebow’s agent; Tebow is expected to start next season at AAA Syracuse.

    9) Lot of NBA teams have cameras over the baskets, which provide great replays of action around the rim; the funny thing is that they then put advertising on top of the backboards, so you see it when those replays are shown. Wonder how much they charge for that?

    8) The NBA is more fun to watch now than it has been in a while; lot more passing, solid shooting. The success Golden State is having has influenced the game in a positive way.

    7) Toronto Argonauts fired coach Marc Trestman after a 4-14 season, but his Argos won the Grey Cup LAST YEAR.

    Trestman won two Grey Cups coaching Montreal from 2008-12, then went 13-19 in two years coaching the Chicago Bears. He later was an OC for the Baltimore Ravens, but was fired during the 2016 season. Mr Trestman could write a very interesting book.

    6) Not that I’m bitter or anything, but I see DeAndre Ayton and Allonzo Trier playing major minutes in NBA games this fall, but when I picked Arizona in their first round NCAA game last March, they lost by 21 to a freakin’ MAC team. No bueno!!!! LOLOL

    5) Miami, Florida, Florida State all went 0-2 the last two weekends.

    That is the FIRST time that has EVER happened.

    4) San Francisco Giants hired GM Farhan Zaidi as their new GM Tuesday.

    For the past four years, Zaidi was GM of the rival Dodgers; before that, he was the assistant GM to Billy Beane with the A’s.

    3) Jamal Murray scored 48 points for Denver Monday night; he took a shot late in the game, trying to get to 50, and the Celtics get all offended, like Murray isn’t supposed to try and put the ball in the basket. Thats what he gets paid for.

    You don’t want him to score 50? Guard his bleepin’ ass, don’t let him get to 40!!! Don’t run your mouth after the game, move your feet during the game.

    2) Guy at the Golden Nugget in Atlantic City put $6 down on a 12-team parlay this weekend and he hit it, with Titans (+5) clinching his $9,600 payoff. Well done!!!

    1) Chicago Blackhawks fired coach Joel Quenneville, who won three Stanley Cups in Chicago, the last one in 2015. He’s the second-winningest coach in NHL history with an all-time record of 890-532-214. Sounds like a guy who won’t be unemployed too long.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-08-2018 at 11:41 AM.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, November 8


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    EVANSVILLE (0 - 0) at ILLINOIS (0 - 0) - 11/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MOREHEAD ST (1 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (0 - 0) - 11/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MOREHEAD ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    SIENA (0 - 1) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 11/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SIENA is 70-98 ATS (-37.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
    SIENA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGE WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SIENA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGE WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, November 8


    Thursday’s games— Not a lot of info to go on until teams play some games…….

    Evansville has a new coach and four new starters (two transferred) after a 17-15 season; former NBA player Walter McCarty (an Evansville native) is the new coach. Purple Aces have six new players, will play faster, but doubtful they have enough guys this year. Illinois was 15-17 LY and purged six players who could’ve returned this year; Illini has eight new players (6 frosh); they’re younger, taller, more athletic, but they’re very young. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 7-6 vs spread when playing an MVC team.

    Morehead State has all five starters back from an 8-21 team that went 4-14 in OVC; eight of their top nine scorers are back- Eagles whacked an NAIA team Tuesday, Morehead was 9th-worst team in country LY at protecting the ball. UConn has a new coach after a 14-18 season; they’ve got three starters back from team that finished out of top 100 last two years, after a couple decades of excellence- they won national title in 2014. Last three years, AAC teams are 3-3 vs spread when playing an OVC opponent.

    George Washington lost its home opener in OT to Stony Brook, after leading game 22-0 at the start, 63-59 with 0:07 left in regulation; Colonials were 16-34 on foul line- they don’t play any seniors. Siena lost its opener 77-67 at Providence; Saints made 12-28 on arc, trailed 50-34 at halftime. Friars made 13-25 on arc. Siena lost last meeting here 77-75 two years ago, when both teams had different coaches. Last three years, MAAC teams are 17-14 vs spread when playing an A-14 opponent.




    NCAAB

    Thursday, November 8


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    Trend Report
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    Evansville Purple Aces
    Evansville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Evansville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Evansville's last 7 games
    Evansville is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Evansville's last 10 games on the road
    Illinois Fighting Illini
    Illinois is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games
    Illinois is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 8 games at home


    Morehead State Eagles
    Morehead State is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
    Morehead State is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Morehead State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Morehead State's last 5 games on the road
    Connecticut Huskies
    Connecticut is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 9 games
    Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home


    Siena Saints
    Siena is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
    Siena is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Siena's last 9 games
    Siena is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Siena is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Siena's last 5 games on the road
    George Washington Colonials
    George Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    George Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 5 games
    George Washington is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    George Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of George Washington's last 11 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-08-2018 at 11:43 AM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, November 8



    Evansville @ Illinois

    Game 709-710
    November 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Evansville
    55.015
    Illinois
    60.912
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois
    by 6
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois
    by 14
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Evansville
    (+14); Over

    Morehead State @ Connecticut


    Game 711-712
    November 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Morehead State
    49.664
    Connecticut
    51.698
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 11 1/2
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Morehead State
    (+11 1/2); Under

    Siena @ George Washington


    Game 713-714
    November 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Siena
    44.007
    George Washington
    53.460
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    George Washington
    by 9 1/2
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    George Washington
    by 6 1/2
    137
    Dunkel Pick:
    George Washington
    (-6 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-08-2018 at 11:43 AM.

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