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Thread: Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/7

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, November 7

    Good Luck on day #311 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Some college hoop players on the shelf to start the season:

    — USC – Elijah Weaver (ankle) out 2-3 weeks.

    — BYU – Nick Emery (NCAA) suspended for nine games.

    — Gonzaga – Killian Tillie (stress fracture in ankle) out eight weeks.

    — Western Kentucky – Lamonte Bearden (academics) out until mid-December.

    — Auburn – Austin Wiley (foot) will miss the season-opener. Danjel Purifoy (NCAA) will miss the first nine games.

    — Baylor – Mario Kegler (suspended) for six games for violation of team rules. Makai Mason (ankle) questionable for season-opener.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Wrapping up Opening Night in college hoop

    13) Kansas 92, Michigan State 87— Jayhawks led this game the whole way, were up 50-36 at halftime, but Spartans fought back late and made the Kansas fans sweat.

    Dick Vitale started his 40th season on ESPN with this game; he surprised me by saying that he thinks college basketball season starts too early, and shouldn’t begin until after Thanksgiving Day. Don’t think I agree with that; after Thanksgiving would be too late.

    I liked the early season basketball marathon ESPN used to run for 24 hours, but they’ve done away with it now. That would’ve been early next week. Who needs sleep?

    12) Duke 118, Kentucky 84— Blue Devils led this game 34-13 at one point, and then it got worse; impressive display by a very young Duke team- game was 59-42 at halftime, 85-52 with 12:22 left. Wildcats don’t get whacked like that very often.

    11) Texas Southern 72, Baylor 69— When you pay an opponent to come to your gym and play, they’re not supposed to win. Last year, Texas Southern played its first 13 games on the road- their first home game was New Year’s Day. TSU started last year 0-13, lost by 31 at Baylor, but the Jonny Jones era gets off to an excellent start here.

    10) Arizona State 102, Cal State-Fullerton 94 2OT— Titans made NCAAs LY but weren’t given a big chance here; Ahmad/Allman combined for 64 points, but no other Titan scored more than 11 points- they’ll need a third scorer to emerge.

    ASU was only 26-44 on foul line; they took 18 more FT’s than Fullerton.

    9) North Carolina 78, Wofford 67— This game was tied 46-all with 10:30 left, but reality set in down the stretch. Credit to Roy Williams for going to Wofford’s gym and playing a real road game— it’ll make the Tar Heels better. Wofford has to be encouraged by this game.

    More teams need to have some guts and play some true road games.

    8) Georgia State 74, East Tennessee State 68— Couple of solid mid-majors hooked up here; ETSU had 27 offensive rebounds, but were just 4-23 on arc, 17-27 on charity stripe. Four Georgia State starters played 35:00+, so not a lot of depth there.

    7) Bills-Jets total this week is 36.5; it is the lowest NFL total since 2012.

    6) Penn 72, George Mason 71— Quakers win a nail biter despite going 6-18 on the foul line.

    5) Stony Brook 77, George Washington 74 OT— GW led this game 22-0 but lost; not exactly the best way to start your season. Stony Brook’s first points came 10:14 into the game; they were only 6-26 on arc, 17-27 on foul line, but they out-rebounded the Colonials 46-38, who were 16-34 on the foul line in at overtime loss.

    4) Providence 77, Siena 67— Friars made 13-25 on arc, Saints 12-28 in relatively foul-free game; only 20 FT’s were tried in this game. Siena started a soph and two frosh in coach Christian’s Siena debut; they have to be somewhat encouraged by this game.

    3) There are now 353 Division I basketball teams; Cal Baptist (WAC) and North Alabama (Atlantic Sun) are the two new teams this season.

    2) Boston College 73, Milwaukee 53— BC was down 10 at the half in this game; they outscored the Panthers 46-16 in second half.

    1) Louisiana Tech 71, Wichita State 58— Could be more of a rebuilding job than people thought for the Wheatshockers- they were a 10-point favorite here.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, November 7



    Ohio State @ Cincinnati

    Game 521-522
    November 7, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio State
    69.429
    Cincinnati
    71.009
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1 1/2
    133
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 6
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (+6); Under

    Marshall @ Eastern Kentucky


    Game 523-524
    November 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marshall
    57.326
    Eastern Kentucky
    52.351
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marshall
    by 5
    169
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marshall
    by 8
    164
    Dunkel Pick:
    Eastern Kentucky
    (+8); Over

    Western Carolina @ Wright State


    Game 525-526
    November 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Carolina
    40.853
    Wright State
    61.022
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wright State
    by 20
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wright State
    by 17
    146
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Carolina
    (-17); Under





    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, November 7


    Wednesday’s college hoop games— Not a lot of info to go on until teams play some games…….

    Cincinnati/Ohio State last met in 2012 Sweet 16; Bearcats lost three starters from LY’s 31-5 team that blew a 22-point 2nd half lead in a 2nd round NCAA loss to Nevada. Cincy is picked to win AAC again this year- they took a trip to Canada this summer, so had some extra practices. Ohio State lost three starters from a 25-9 team; they’re picked near middle of Big 14. Buckeyes are a much younger team this year. Last three years, AAC teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

    Home side won last three Marshall-Eastern Kentucky games; Thundering Herd lost 89-80 in their last visit here two years ago- they beat EKU by 20 LY, making 11-25 on arc. Marshall has four starters back from a 25-11 team that upset Wichita State in NCAA’s LY, before losing to West Virginia in 2nd round. Colonels lost three starters from an 11-20 team; they’ve got a new coach. EKU is picked near bottom of OVC. Last three years, OVC teams are 18-14-1 vs spread when playing a C-USA team.

    Western Carolina lost four starters from LY’s 13-19 team, so now they’ve got a new coach, the son of former Wake Forest coach Skip Prosser. WCU is picked to finish near bottom of SoCon; they’ve got some shooters but lack overall talent. Wright State has four starters back from a 25-10 team that lost to Tennessee in NCAA’s. Raiders are expected to be deeper this season. Last three years, SoCon teams covered six of seven games against Horizon opponents.




    NCAAB

    Wednesday, November 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Ohio State @ Cincinnati
    Ohio State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games
    Ohio State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games



    Marshall @ Eastern Kentucky
    Marshall
    Marshall is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Eastern Kentucky
    Eastern Kentucky is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    Eastern Kentucky is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home



    Western Carolina @ Wright State
    Western Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 6 games on the road

    Wright State
    Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Wright State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-07-2018 at 12:41 PM.

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