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Thread: CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Semifinals (Sun., Nov. 11)

  1. #1
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    Default CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Semifinals (Sun., Nov. 11)

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 11

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    CFL Betting Notes - Semis
    David Schwab

    The final weekend of the CFL regular season started with Ottawa rolling over Toronto 24-9 on Friday night as a seven-point home favorite. Winnipeg came up short in a 33-24 road loss against Edmonton as a five-point underdog in the first of three Saturday games.

    Montreal was able to end a rather dismal season on a high note with a 30-28 road win against Hamilton as a six-point underdog ahead of Calgary’s 26-9 victory against British Columba as an 8.5-point road favorite to snap a three-game skid.

    Sunday, Nov. 11

    British Columbia (9-9 SU, 10-8 ATS) at Hamilton (8-10 SU, 7-10-1 ATS)

    Point-spread: Hamilton -3
    Total: 52

    Game Overview

    BC’s loss to Calgary has it taking the crossover route in the CFL playoffs. This was its second loss in a row both straight-up and against the spread after putting together a 6-1 SU run in its previous seven games while going 5-2 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in Saturday’s contest and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of the Lions’ last 13 games.

    Quarterback Travis Lulay has played at a very high level, missed playing time due to injury and stunk up the joint over the course of the year. How he does against the Tiger-Cats this Sunday if he gets the start remains to be seen, but he closed out the regular season by going 10-for-16 for 111 yards and two interceptions. Jonathon Jennings came in to complete 16 of his 21 passing attempts for 140 yards.

    Hamilton had nothing to lose or gain in Saturday’s loss to Montreal as the second seed in the East Division behind Ottawa. Back-to-back losses to the Redbacks in its previous two games sealed the team’s fate in the postseason. There has to be some genuine concern with how the Tiger-Cats finished the regular season at 2-5 SU and ATS over their final seven games.

    To get past the Lions on Sunday, Hamilton quarterback Jeramiah Masoli will need his A game. He finished second to Edmonton’s Mike Reilly in total passing yards with 5,209 and he was third in the CFL in passing touchdowns with 28 against 18 interceptions. The Tiger-Cats averaged 28.5 points per game as the highest scoring team in the East Division this season.

    Betting Trends

    --The Lions are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six playoff games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six road games.

    --The Tiger-Cats have gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games in the postseason and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five playoff games at home.

    --This season’s home-and-home series in late September was split with the home team winning each game SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings in Hamilton.

    Winnipeg (10-8 SU, 10-7-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan (12-6 SU, 10-8 ATS)
    Point-spread: Saskatchewan -2 ˝
    Total: 52

    Game Overview

    Following back-to-back losses (SU and ATS) to Saskatchewan in an early September home-and-home series, the Blue Bombers went on to five of their last six games both SU and ATS. Saturday’s loss to Edmonton snapped that five-game winning streak. The total went OVER 52 points in that loss after staying UNDER in four of Winnipeg’s previous five games.

    One of the big reasons for that recent five-game winning streak was the Blue Bombers’ ability to tighten things up on defense. On the year, this side of the ball has allowed an average of 23.3 points per game, but that number dropped to 14 points in those five victories highlighted by a 31-0 shutout against Saskatchewan at home on Oct. 13.

    Other than that late-season loss to Winnipeg, the Roughriders were probably the hottest CFL team over the second half of the season at 9-2 SU in their final 11 games. They were a more modest 7-4 ATS in this same span with the total going OVER in seven of the 11 games. Saskatchewan went 6-3 ATS in nine home games this year.

    Following the shutout against the Blue Bombers on the road, Saskatchewan did bounce back in a big way with a 29-24 road upset against Calgary the following week as a 8 ˝-point underdog. It closed out the season with a 35-16 victory against BC at home as a 4 ˝-point favorite ahead of last week’s bye. The extra rest could be an added factor in this Sunday’s home game.

    Betting Trends

    --The Blue Bombers have failed to cover in five of their last six games in the opening round of the postseason and the total has gone OVER in 18 of their last 26 West Division games.

    --The Roughriders are 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine playoff games and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in eight of their last 11 games following a SU win.

    --Saskatchewan has a 2-1 edge in the season series both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in two of the three games. Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games against the Roughriders and the total has gone OVER in the last nine meetings in Saskatchewan.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-08-2018 at 11:44 PM.

  3. #3
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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Division Semis


    Sunday, November 11

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    BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 9) at HAMILTON (8 - 10) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WINNIPEG (10 - 8) at SASKATCHEWAN (12 - 6) - 11/11/2018, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CFL

    Division Semis


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    Trend Report
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    Sunday, November 11

    British Columbia Lions
    British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    British Columbia is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    British Columbia is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games on the road
    British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
    British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of British Columbia's last 12 games when playing Hamilton
    British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hamilton's last 9 games
    Hamilton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Hamilton is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games at home
    Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
    Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing British Columbia
    Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia


    Winnipeg Blue Bombers
    Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    Winnipeg is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    Saskatchewan Roughriders
    Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
    Saskatchewan is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    Saskatchewan is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-08-2018 at 11:45 PM.

  4. #4
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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, November 11



    BC Lions (9-9) @ Hamilton (8-10) (-1.5, 52.5)— Home side won both meetings this season; Lions lost 40-10 in their visit here, won the game in Vancouver in OT. Lions won five of last seven series games; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here (under 3-2). BC lost its last two games, scoring 9-16 points; they split their last four road games. Under is 7-2-1 in Lions’ last ten games. Ti-Cats lost their last three games, allowing 35-30-30 points; they’re 2-5 in last seven games. Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

    Winnipeg (10-8) @ Saskatchewan (12-6) (-3, 52)— Roughriders won two of three meetings this season, winning 31-23 in only one played in Regina. Blue Bombers won six of last nine series games, losing 31-23/38-24 in last two visits here. Five of last six series games went over the total. Winnipeg won five of its last six games; they’re 4-5 on the road, 2-4 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under. Saskatchewan won five of its last six games; they’re 6-3 at home, 3-2 as home favorites- over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

    Through Week 21: Favorites 36-43; Under 46-32-2

  5. #5
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    CFL

    Dunkel

    Division Semis



    Sunday, November 11

    BC Lions @ Hamilton

    Game 659-660
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    BC Lions
    107.274
    Hamilton
    110.580
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hamilton
    by 3 1/2
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hamilton
    Pick
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hamilton
    Over

    Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan


    Game 661-662
    November 11, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    117.464
    Saskatchewan
    115.537
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Saskatchewan
    by 3
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (+3); Under

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