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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/5

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 5

    Good Luck on day #309 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 9 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Vikings, -4.5 (1,262)- W

    2) Steelers, +3 (1,138)- W

    3) Titans, +6.5 (1,093)

    4) Chiefs, -8 (977)- W

    5) Texans, +1 (782)- W

    6) Seahawks, -2 (773)- L

    Season record: 29-21-3 (10-1 last two weeks)


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

    Saints 45, Rams 35— New Orleans had 18 first downs, three TD’s on its first 32 plays in this game; then they blew a 35-14 lead- wild game, but they pulled away late. Saints have won their last seven games; average total in their four home games is 67.3.

    Former NFL ref Gene Steratore posted this Sunday morning:

    “Through Week 8, the average number of penalties accepted per game is 13.4- that is the fewest since 2013. Despite what most may think, the refs are letting them play this season.”

    Vikings 24, Lions 9— Minnesota is now 10-0 vs spread (9-1 SU) in its last nine pre-bye games; they’ve won four of last five games. Yardage in this game was just 283-209, and game was indoors. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 21-7 as home favorites, 3-2 this year.

    Vikings sacked Stafford 10 times; in its last two games, Detroit has run ball for 34-66 yards. Obviously, they’ve got some issues on the offensive line.

    Chiefs 37, Browns 21— Cleveland looked better on offense with Kitchens calling plays, but Kansas City has it rolling right now- KC averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt, had an 11-yard edge in field position. Chiefs had a 499-388 edge in yardage.

    Chiefs won/covered 8 of their last 9 games; they’re 10-3 in last 13 games as road favorites. Cleveland is 6-16-1 in its last 23 games as a home dog; they lost last four games, giving up an average of 33.5 ppg.

    Steelers 23, Ravens 16— One of key plays in this game was a 22-yard pass by backup QB Dobbs to Smith-Schuster when Steelers were backed up on own 5-yard line with 20-13 lead and 12:35 left to play- drive ended in a clinching FG. It was Dobbs’ only play of the game. This was just second win for Steelers in their last six visits here.

    Pittsburgh converted 10-16 on third down, outgained Baltimore 395-268 in a game with no turnovers. Ravens lost their last three games, are 4-5 heading into their bye week.

    Panthers 42, Buccaneers 28— Three of Carolina’s six TD’s came on drives of 42 or fewer yards; Panthers ran ball for 179 yards, are looking strong- they’re a game behind New Orleans in NFC South- teams have two meetings coming up.

    In their last six games, Bucs are an astounding minus-17 in turnovers. Over is 7-1 in Tampa Bay games; hard to believe the Bucs won’t be cleaning house again when this season ends- they allowed 30+ points in five of their last six games.

    Dolphins 13, Jets 6— This was an unusual boxscore:
    — Jets’ offense ran 64 plays; they were outscored on those 7-6 by Miami’s defense.
    — Neither team scored an offensive touchdown.
    — Total yardage was 282-168, Jets- Miami had only 7 first downs.
    — Teams combined to convert only five of 29 third down plays.
    — There was only one play the whole game inside either team’s red zone.
    — Not many team go +4 in turnovers and score only 13 points.

    Bears 41, Bills 9— This was an even more unusual boxscore:
    — Chicago led 28-0 at the half; their defense scored two of the TD’s.
    — The other two first half TD’s came on drives of only 37-23 yards.
    — Total yardage was 264-190 Bills, and they lost by 32 points.
    — Bills turned ball over four times (-3); Bears had 18-yard edge in field position, and thats not counting their two defensive TD’s.
    — What Buffalo has done this year is just astoundingly bad; they made the playoffs LY for first time in 19 years, but quickly traded LY’s QB and are now the worst team in the NFL.
    — New England’s three AFC East rivals scored a total of 28 points Sunday.

    Falcons 38, Redskins 14— Atlanta was 10-13 on third down in this game; they’ve converted 42 of last 68 third down plays- this was their first win in three outdoor games this season.

    NFC East teams are 1-8 vs spread as non-divisional favorites this season. Washington leads that division with an unimpressive 5-3 record.

    Texans 19, Broncos 17— Houston is first team since the 1970 New York Giants to start a season 0-3, then win their next six games. Broncos missed a 51-yard FG wide right in the last minute.

    Denver lost six of its last seven games, appears headed to its first consecutive losing seasons since the mid-70’s- they’re 2-5-2 in last nine games as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in last five Houston games, 6-2 in last eight Denver games.

    Chargers 25, Seahawks 17— Seattle is now 1-8 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Chargers won their last five games overall- they won here despite converting on only 2-9 third down plays, and missing three of four PAT’s. Bolts are now 4-0 outside Los Angeles.

    Patriots 31, Packers 17— Game was tied after three quarters; Green Bay had the ball on the New England 28-yard line- they were driving. First play of the fourth quarter, Aaron Jones loses a fumble, and that ended that- Green Bay was useless the rest of the game.

    New England won its last six games, is 5-0 at home (4-1 as HF)- they’re 26-12-3 vs spread in last 41 games as a home favorite.

    Mike McCarthy played college football (TE) at Baker University in Kansas; his dad was a fireman and bar owner in Pittsburgh. He is 134-82-2 as an NFL head coach, but he’s had Favre/Rodgers as his starting quarterbacks during that time. Pretty good gig.

    Hell, what would Jeff Fisher’s record be if he had Favre/Rodgers? Fisher went 178-171-1 as an NFL head coach, with no one near as good as Favre/Rodgers at QB.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, November 5


    Houston won its last two games after a 1-5 start; they’re 3-1 on road, 0-0 as AU. Over is 3-1 in their road games. Pacers won three in row, five of last six games; they’re 3-1 at home, 2-1 as HF. Six of Indiana’s last seven games stayed under. Rockets won six of last nine games with Indiana; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Last five series games stayed under the total.

    Miami lost its last three games; they’re 1-3 on road, 1-1 as AU. Six of last seven Heat games went over. Pistons lost their last four games; they’re 3-1 at home, 0-2 as HF. Under is 3-1 in their home games. Heat won four of last six games with Detroit; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Six of last eight series games went over.

    Cleveland is off to a 1-8 start; they’re 0-4 on road, 2-2 as AU. Under is 4-2 in Cavaliers’ last six games. Orlando lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 at home, 0-1 as HF. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with Orlando; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

    Chicago lost its last four games but covered last three; they’re 1-3 SU on road, 1-3 as road underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. New York lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 2-3 at home, 2-0 as HF. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Knicks lost three of last four games with Chicago; Bulls are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

    New Orleans lost its last five games after a 4-0 start; they’re 1-4 on road, 2-3 as AU. Seven of their last nine games went over. OKC won its last four games after an 0-4 start; they’re 2-2 at home, 1-3 as HF. Three of their last four games went over. Thunder won seven of last ten games with New Orleans; four of last six series games went over. Pelicans are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to OKC.

    Celtics won four of their last five games; they’re 3-2 on road, 1-1 as AU. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Denver is off to an 8-1 start; they’re 5-0 at home, 3-1 as HF. Under is 7-1-1 in their games this season. Boston won six of its last eight games with the Nuggets; they covered three of last four visits to Denver. Four of last five series games went over the total.

    Toronto is off to a 9-1 start; they’re 3-1 on road, 2-2 vs spread. Raptors beat Lakers by 14 in LA last nite. Over is 6-3-1 in Toronto games. Jazz lost their last three games; they’re 0-3 at home, losing by 1-8-10 points. Four of last five Utah games went over the total. Raptors won eight of last ten games with Utah; they covered their last five visits to SLC. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    Memphis won five of its last seven games; they’re 2-3 on road, 2-1 as AU. Four of their last six games stayed under. Golden State won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 4-1 as HF. Five of their last six games went over. Warriors won four of last five games with Memphis (3-2 vs spread); Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland. Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Butler didn’t play Sunday in Wolves’ 30-point loss in Portland; will he play here? Minnesota lost four of its last six games; they’re 0-5 on road, 1-4 vs spread. Over is 3-2 in their road games. LA are 3-1 at home, 2-0 as HF; they’re 5-4 overall. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Clippers lost their last six games with Minnesota (1-5 vs spread); Timberwolves covered last four series games played here. Last four series games went over the total.

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    NBA

    Monday, November 5


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    Trend Report
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    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Houston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
    Houston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
    Houston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indiana
    Houston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
    Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games at home
    Indiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Houston
    Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Indiana is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
    Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
    Cleveland is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Orlando
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Cleveland is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Orlando
    Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games
    Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Orlando is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Cleveland
    Orlando is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
    Orlando is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Orlando is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    Miami Heat
    Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games on the road
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Detroit
    Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Miami
    Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
    Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami


    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
    Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
    Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
    Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New York
    Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Knicks
    New York is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
    New York is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games at home
    New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
    New York is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Chicago
    New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games
    New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
    New Orleans is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
    New Orleans is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
    Oklahoma City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans


    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
    Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Boston is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Boston is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
    Denver is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Boston
    Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    Denver is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Boston


    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
    Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Utah
    Toronto is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
    Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games at home
    Utah is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
    Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games when playing Toronto
    Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto


    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Minnesota is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 16 games at home
    LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    LA Clippers is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Minnesota
    LA Clippers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    LA Clippers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Clippers's last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
    Memphis is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Memphis is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Memphis's last 23 games when playing Golden State
    Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Memphis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
    Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Golden State's last 23 games when playing Memphis
    Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2018 at 12:10 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, November 5


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    HOUSTON (3 - 5) at INDIANA (7 - 3) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 57-40 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (3 - 5) at DETROIT (4 - 4) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 125-164 ATS (-55.4 Units) in November games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 4-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (1 - 8) at ORLANDO (3 - 6) - 11/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 73-97 ATS (-33.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (2 - 8) at NEW YORK (3 - 7) - 11/5/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (4 - 5) at OKLAHOMA CITY (4 - 4) - 11/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (6 - 3) at DENVER (8 - 1) - 11/5/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (9 - 1) at UTAH (4 - 5) - 11/5/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (5 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (9 - 1) - 11/5/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (4 - 6) at LA CLIPPERS (5 - 4) - 11/5/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 6-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2018 at 12:11 PM.

  6. #6
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    Monday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Celtics at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST

    The Warriors own the best record in the Western Conference at 9-1, but the Nuggets (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) are right behind and handed Golden State its only loss of the season. Denver remains unbeaten at Pepsi Center at 5-0 after rallying past Utah on Saturday, 103-88 as 4 Ĺ-point favorites. The Nuggets outscored the Jazz in the fourth quarter, 35-15 after trailing by five points, while limiting an opponent to less than 100 points at home for the third time this season.

    The Celtics (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) began their five-game road trip squandering a double-digit lead and falling in the final seconds to the Pacers, 102-101 on Saturday. Boston’s four-game winning streak came to a halt in spite of the Celtics knocking down a 19 three-pointers, one game after drilling 24 treys in a home win over Milwaukee. The Celtics had won three consecutive road contests prior to Saturday’s defeat, but Boston has yet to lose back-to-back games this season.

    Boston swept Denver last season, which includes a one-point triumph at Pepsi Center as two-point underdogs. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics in the road victory with 27 points, while Denver’s Nikola Jokic posted 24 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. Boston is listed as an underdog for the second time this season as the Celtics fell to the Raptors on October 19 as three-point ‘dogs, 113-101. Denver has been the top UNDER team in the league this season with a 7-1-1 mark, including a 4-1 home UNDER ledger.

    Upward Flight?

    The Rockets (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS) have been a huge disappointment out of the gate after finishing one victory shy of the NBA Finals last season. Houston began 1-5, but the Rockets have rebounded with consecutive victories at Brooklyn and Chicago. Granted those are likely lottery teams again this season, but the Rockets need some kind of momentum to avoid falling way behind in the Southwest division. James Harden returned after a three-game absence with a hamstring injury to score 25 points in Saturday’s victory over the Bulls, which included Houston limiting Chicago to seven third quarter points.

    Houston travels to Indiana (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) as the Pacers seek their fourth consecutive win. Victor Olapido connected on the go-ahead three-pointer in Saturday’s 102-101 home underdog triumph over Boston as Indiana’s last three wins have come by a combined nine points. Last season, the Pacers lost both matchups with the Rockets by double-digits, while the past five meetings between these teams have finished UNDER the total.

    Thundering Back

    Oklahoma City stumbled out of the chute by going 0-4, while New Orleans caught fire early by compiling a 4-0 record. Things change fast, even just a few days into November. The Thunder (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) are rolling by winning four consecutive games, while the Pelicans (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) are on a five-game slide.

    OKC downed the Suns and Clippers at home, while rallying from an 18-point deficit to shock the Hornets on Thursday. The latest victory for the Thunder came in Friday’s 134-111 drilling of the struggling Wizards as OKC delivered the knockout punch by outscoring Washington, 44-20 in the second quarter. The Thunder improved to 4-2 with Russell Westbrook in the lineup as the 2017 MVP isn’t quite averaging a triple-double yet (25.3 ppg, 8.5 rpg, and 8.8 apg), but OKC has scored at least 111 points in each of its past four wins.

    New Orleans wraps up a five-game road trip that has seen the Pelicans lose at Denver, Golden State, Portland, and San Antonio. All-Star Anthony Davis has been dealing with a lingering elbow injury as he missed the losses at Denver and Portland, while scoring 17 points in Saturday’s 14-point setback at San Antonio. The 95 points scored on Saturday was the lowest total for New Orleans through nine games, as the Pelicans look to capitalize off a 2-1 record against the Thunder last season.

    Almost Perfect 10

    The Warriors (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) have lost only once through 10 games, while coming off three straight wins by double-digits. The latest victory for the two-time defending champions came against Minnesota on Friday, 116-99 as 10 Ĺ-point favorites, helped out by a 33-12 fourth quarter scoring advantage by Golden State. Only three Warriors scored in double-figures, but it was the star trio of Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, and Klay Thompson, who combined for 83 points and 11 three-pointers.

    Golden State hosts Memphis tonight as the Grizzlies (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) lost in the final seconds at Phoenix on Sunday, 102-100 as four-point favorites. The Grizzlies have lost in four of the past five visits to Oracle Arena, including a pair of 13-point defeats last season. Since falling at Indiana on opening night, the Grizzlies have won and covered in each of their past two underdog opportunities, both coming at Utah.

    Another Almost Perfect 10

    Golden State is not all alone at 9-1. Back in the Eastern Conference, the Raptors (9-1 SU, 5-5 ATS) keep rolling after blasting the Lakers on Sunday, 121-107 at Staples Center. Even without leading scorer Kawhi Leonard in the lineup, the Raptors jumped out to a 42-17 lead after one quarter and never looked back as Serge Ibaka shot a scorching 15-of-17 from the floor for 34 points. Leonard missed the game with a foot injury as his status is up in the air for tonight’s contest at Utah.

    The Jazz (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) have been silenced at home this season by going 0-3 at Vivint Smart Home Arena. Utah fell apart in the fourth quarter of Saturday’s loss at Denver, as top scorer Donovan Mitchell will sit tonight with an ankle injury. Utah is listed as a home underdog for the second time this season as the Jazz barely cashed as a 2 Ĺ-point favorite in a one-point defeat to Golden State on October 19. The Jazz have struggled with the Raptors over the years by losing the last two home matchups, while posting an ugly 1-9 ATS mark the past 10 meetings since November 2013.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2018 at 12:12 PM.

  7. #7
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, November 5



    Houston @ Indiana

    Game 501-502
    November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    115.417
    Indiana
    119.442
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 4
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 1
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (-1); Under

    Miami @ Detroit


    Game 503-504
    November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    115.249
    Detroit
    115.093
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    Even
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 4
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+4); Over

    Cleveland @ Orlando


    Game 505-506
    November 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    109.147
    Orlando
    111.791
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 2 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Orlando
    by 4 1/2
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Chicago @ New York


    Game 507-508
    November 5, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    110.212
    New York
    114.966
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 5
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New York
    by 2 1/2
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (-2 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Oklahoma City


    Game 509-510
    November 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    116.199
    Oklahoma City
    123.549
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 7 1/2
    232
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 4
    237 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-4); Under

    Boston @ Denver


    Game 511-512
    November 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    123.157
    Denver
    123.378
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    Even
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 2 1/2
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+2 1/2); Under

    Toronto @ Utah


    Game 513-514
    November 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    117.495
    Utah
    124.076
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 6 1/2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (+2); Under

    Memphis @ Golden State


    Game 515-516
    November 5, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    122.423
    Golden State
    127.438
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 5
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 14 1/2
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+14 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ LA Clippers


    Game 517-518
    November 5, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    113.134
    LA Clippers
    121.799
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 8 1/2
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 5
    228
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-5); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-05-2018 at 12:13 PM.

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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pacers are 16-0 ATS (+11.16 ppg) with rest off a game as a dog after a game in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Cavaliers are 0-13 ATS (-11.00 ppg) as a dog with rest when they are off a 10+ loss as a dog and they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pelicans are 7-0 OU (+21.21 ppg) with less than two days rest after a game in which they scored at least ten more points in the fourth quarter than in the first quarter.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Cavaliers are 0-14 OU (-13.86 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game.

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    Games to Watch - Week 4

    The start of the current NBA season has been a bit of a dream come true for basketball fans who love to see a lot of scoring. It appears as though defense has been put on the back burner in the early going, with several players going off for 50-point games and Klay Thompson breaking the 3-point record for a single game. We can probably expect more of the same this week, as there is no sign that the offensive outburst is about to slow down.

    Letís take a quick look ahead at some of the best games on the NBA schedule for the coming week.

    Monday - New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder

    The Pelicans roared out to a fantastic start to the season, winning their opening four games of the season and challenging for the top spot in the Western Conference in the process. It has been all downhill since then, though, as they have now lost five games in a row to slide below the playoff line. They will get this week started with a trip to Oklahoma City to face a Thunder team that is coming to life after a slow start to the year. After losing their opening four games, the Thunder have now reeled off four straight wins, a run that has taken them into the No. 8 slot. I think we are in for a close one here, but I am on the Thunder to win.

    Tuesday - Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Trail Blazers

    There was a belief that these two teams would be better this season, but Iím not so sure that we saw either of them starting out as well as they have. The Bucks have started the season as 8-1 and have benefitted from having six of those games at home, with each of those games ending in a win. The Portland Trail Blazers are just two games out of the lead in the West, boasting a 7-3 record through their opening 10 games of the season. Over the past two seasons, the Bucks have gone 4-0 versus Portland, so letís take them to win here.

    Wednesday - Toronto Raptors Vs Sacramento Kings

    The Raptors have come storming out of the gate this season, posting a 9-1 record and going unbeaten at home to get things rolling. They have only had four games on the road to this point, but they have posted a respectable 3-1 record in those games. The Sacramento Kings find themselves in unfamiliar territory above the playoff line after 10 games this season, getting off to a 6-4 start. Prior to last season, the Kings had taken four in a row from Toronto, but they lost both meetings last year and will also probably lose this one, too.

    Thursday - Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors

    The fact that we have the Milwaukee Bucks on our list twice this week tells you that they have a tough week ahead of them. We have them beating Portland earlier in the week, but they may be in for a tougher time of things on the road to the Golden State Warriors. The Dubs are off to a fantastic start this season, going 9-1 through their first 10 games while failing to drop a game on home court. These two teams split their regular season series last season, with the Bucks winning in Oakland, but I am on Golden State to get the win here.

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    By: Monique VŠg


    Pacers loving their home court

    The Houston Rockets travel to Indiana to take on the 7-3 Indiana Pacers. The Rockets have been disappointing thus far but are happy to be reunited with Harden who leads the team in scoring, averaging 27.8 points per contest. The Rockets are coming off a 96-88 road win in Chicago, where they made up for their 42 percent shooting from the floor by an incredible defensive showing holding the Bulls to only seven points in the third quarter.

    The Pacers have won five of the last six meetings and are coming off a thrilling 102-101 home win, rallying late to erase a deficit and secure the win with Victor Oladipo hitting a clutch 3-point shot with seconds left on the clock.

    The Rockets have not fared well versus teams with winning records, going 0-6 ATS this season. They have also yet to win two straight this year, going 0-4 in their last five meetings following a win. Head-to-head, the Under has hit in five straight meetings, and the home team has had a lot of success going 7-3 ATS.

    The Pacers defensively have been sound, allowing opponents to shoot only 43.6 percent from the floor and score 102.7 points per game overall and only 99.8 at home. Take Under 215 as this game should be closely contested and lower scoring.


    Rocky starts

    The 3-5 Miami Heat find themselves as four-point underdogs as they travel to Detroit to take on the 4-4 Pistons. The Heat been able to put points on the board averaging 112.5 per game, despite a very poor shooting percentage of 44 percent. Defensively, they have not been bad overall, but allow opponents to shoot 37.6 percent from beyond the arc.

    The Pistons opened their season hot winning four straight, but since then have dropped their last four games to put themselves at .500 on the year.

    The Heat will be without James Johnson, Dion Waiters, and Hassan Whiteside. Starting point guard Goran Dragic is expected to return after missing Saturdayís game with a foot injury. He has been integral to the Heatís success contributing 17.7 points per game along with 5 assists and 3.4 rebounds. With Dragic not at full health, look at taking Under 220 as neither team has shown much consistency on the offensive end.


    The importance of a fast start

    Two teams going in drastically different directions face off as the Oklahoma City Thunder, winners of four straight, host the New Orleans Pelicans trying to end a five-game losing streak.

    The Pelicans are really feeling the loss of all-star center DeMarcus Cousins. Defensively they allow the second highest points per game in the Association with 120.6 with opponents shooting 47.9 percent from the floor.

    With the Pelicans point guard Elfrid Payton out once again, it is imperative they get out to a good start today on the road, as falling behind to this Thunder team early could mean trouble. Luckily for the Pelicans, getting out to an early start has been something they have been good at, averaging 30.4 first quarter points per game and 57.8 points in the opening half. Look at taking their first half points Over.


    Inside the paint

    Itís no surprise these two teams are off to great starts, and we should be in for a great contest today as the Boston Celtics travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets at Pepsi Center. The Celtics enter today averaging 103.9 percent on 42.2 percent shooting. The Nuggets have shot a very nice 46.6 percent from the floor leading to 111.4 points. Defensively, these have been two of the better teams at forcing opponents into taking tough shots with the Celtics allowing 99.8 points against, and the Nuggets an also impressive 101.9.

    The Nuggets have done most of their damage in the paint this year, ranking third in the Association averaging 58.2 per game. The Celtics defensively have been efficient inside, allowing 45.1 paint points per game. Although the Nuggets have many players that can shoot the three-ball well, they have really struggled with consistency from beyond the arc, only shooting 30.6 percent, and have the second lowest average points per game off 3-point shots with 25.7. If the Nuggets arenít successful inside, they might be in for a long night. Take the Celtics +2.5.


    Statement wins

    The Raptors have been incredibly efficient on both sides of the floor this year, and they are coming off one of their biggest statement wins without superstar Kawhi Leonard who sat out last nightís contest at Staples Center. Tonight, they travel to Utah to take on the 4-5 Jazz who have lost five of their last eight games. The Raptors are 4-0 in the second game of their back-to-backs and have been successful when traveling to Utah going 5-0 ATS over their last five meetings, and 9-1 ATS over their last 10.

    The Jazz have ruled out shooting guard Donovan Mitchell early, and this is an enormous loss as heís been the heart and soul of the Jazz team, and arguably their best offensive player. This will make things tough on Utah as the Raptors defensively are limiting opponents to only 107.8 points per game.

    With Mitchell out, the Jazz will need someone to help jump start their offense, and that could very well be Ricky Rubio. Inconsistency in the shooting game has been an issue for him but did see his field goals attempted per game increase over the last two. Heís been an integral part of their offense, averaging 7.4 assists per game and contributing 2.8 rebounds. Points may not be easy to come by against Toronto, but Rubioís low points, rebounds and assists total might be worthy of a closer look.

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