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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, October 31

    Good Luck on day #304 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Nevada casinos’ net profit in September:

    $32.7M— crap tables

    $40.0M— roulette

    $56.3M— sports betting

    $70.4M— baccarat

    $92.0M— blackjack

    $281.7M— penny slots


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Hard to believe that Sunday night’s Packer-Patriot game will be only second time that Aaron Rodgers-Tom Brady have faced each other in a regular season game. Green Bay won the first meeting, 26-21 at home four years ago.

    12) Giants’ backup QB Kyle Lauletta was arrested in New Jersey Tuesday morning for a third-degree offense of eluding police as well as obstructing justice and resisting arrest. Lauletta has a history of dangerous driving, according to the Weehawken PD in New Jersey.

    The kid hasn’t taken an NFL snap, but drives a Jaguar and apparently not very well; he wasn’t at practice Tuesday, so doubtful he replaces Eli Manning anytime soon.

    11) Ben Roethlisberger is playing thru a broken LEFT index finger; non-throwing hand makes it whole lot better, but I’m sure that taking snaps from center still hurts like hell.

    10) NFL trades at the deadline Tuesday:

    — Broncos traded WR DeMaryus Thomas to the Texans, who they play Sunday.
    — Rams acquired pass rusher Dante Fowler from Jacksonville.
    — Eagles acquired WR Golden Tate from Detroit.
    — Packers traded RB Ty Montgomery to Houston.

    9) Buffalo Bills’ QB Derek Anderson (concussion) is out Sunday, meaning that Nathan Peterman gets another start. Line opened at 8.5, is up to 9.5 as I type this (10 at the Wynn), By kickoff on Sunday, line could get to 11 or 12— not lot of support for Peterman out there.

    Matt Barkley was signed to be Buffalo’s backup QB; Terrelle Pryor was also signed; he could be a wildcat QB, seeing how he once played QB for the Raiders, before moving to WR. Going to be a long couple months for Bills coaches/fans.

    8) Denver QB Case Keenum was with the Texans in 2014; apparently that year coach Bill O’Brien told Keenum that he “would never be more than a 3rd string NFL QB.”

    Now that Keenum is making $18M a year playing for the Broncos, wonder what he’ll say to O’Brien Sunday when the Texans visit Denver?

    7) A college football player at Maryland passed away during off-season workouts; the coach was suspended, but Tuesday DJ Durkin got his job back, and not everyone is happy about it.

    When Durkin addressed the players for the first time, several players walked out, including some starters. Saturday’s home game with Michigan State should be interesting.

    6) Marlins’ catcher JT Realmuto has let it be known that he wants to be traded, and will not sign a long-term deal with Miami. He is by far their best player, should bring back a pretty good haul. Good catchers are hard to find.

    5) Chicago White Sox turned down P James Shields’ 2019 option, paid him $2M to go away; same thing for Milwaukee with Mike Moustakas, Joakim Soria ($1M each).

    4) This isn’t a criticism or a complaint, just a statement of fact: 41.9% of runs scored this in postseason scored on home runs; during the season, 40.3% of runs scored via taters.

    3) I don’t think Stephen Curry is getting enough credit for how much he has helped basketball, as a whole; kids see how great a shooter he is and they work more on their games, and now shooting has become so much better. Skilled basketball players are way more fun to watch.

    Curry isn’t a dunker; he isn’t huge (6-3, 190), but he is incredibly skilled because he works his butt off on those skills, and that has caught on all over the country. Good for him.

    2) Klay Thompson was 14-24 from the arc Monday night in Golden State’s 149-124 win over the Bulls, who are not good. 14 treys is one game is an all-time NBA record. Coming into the game, Thompson was 5-36 from the arc for the season.

    Golden State led the Bulls 92-50 at halftime…..at HALFTIME!!!!!

    How about competing? Chicago has an awful team…..embarrassing.

    1) On NBA.TV, Isiah Thomas was killing the Bulls at halftime; Chicago’s own PR people put out a tweet mocking the team’s first half. No bueno.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, October 31


    Detroit just lost couple of games to Boston after a 4-0 start; they’re 1-1 on road, with two games decided by total of five points (1-0 as AU, over 2-0). Brooklyn lost its last three games by 2-6-19 points; they’re 1-1 at home (0-1 as HF). Under is 4-3 in their games. Nets lost five of last six games with Detroit; under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Pistons are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Brooklyn.

    Denver is off to a 5-1 start (under 4-1-1), splitting pair of road games (1-1 as AF). Chicago was down 92-50 at halftime of last game; they’re 2-5 this year, 2-1 vs spread as home underdogs. Over is 4-3 in their games. Nuggets won their last five games with Chicago (4-1 vs spread); they covered their last four visits to the Windy City. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.

    Indiana is 4-3 this year, splitting four road games (1-0 as AF); three of their last four games stayed under. Knicks lost five of their last six games; they’re 2-2 SU at home, 1-1 as home dogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Home side won seven of last eight Indiana-New York games; Pacers are 0-4 vs spread in their last four visits to Manhattan (under 3-1).

    Utah won/covered its last three games; they’re 4-0 on road (1-1 as AF), 0-2 at home; four of their six games went over. Timberwolves are 3-1 at home (0-1 as HU), 0-3 on road; over is 5-2 in their games this month. Utah won six of last nine games with Minnesota; road team won five of last eight meetings. Jazz covered four of their last five visits here. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

    Warriors won their last five games (4-1 vs spread); they’re 2-1 as HF this year, winning home games by 8-20-22 points- their last four games went over. Pelicans lost last two games after a 4-0 start; they’re 2-0 as AU. Five of their six games went over. Golden State won eight of last ten games with New Orleans (6-4 vs spread); Pelicans covered three of their last four visits to Oakland. Last three series games stayed under.

    San Antonio won three of last four games; they’re 1-1 on road (over 2-0), with average total of 257. Phoenix lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 1-1 as HU. Suns’ last three games went over the total. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Phoenix (7-3 vs spread); they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

    Dallas lost its last four games; they’re 0-4 on road, with underdogs covering all four games. Over is 4-3 in their games this year. Lakers are off to a 2-5 start; they’re 1-2 at home, 0-1 as HF. Over is 5-1-1 in their games. Lakers won three of last four games with Dallas; home side won five of last six series games. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2018 at 12:14 PM.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, October 31


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Detroit is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
    Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Detroit's last 19 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Brooklyn is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
    Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
    Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Brooklyn is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Brooklyn's last 19 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
    Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
    Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
    Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
    Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
    Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
    Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 20 games at home
    Minnesota is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
    Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 15 games when playing New York
    Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Knicks
    New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
    New York is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games at home
    New York is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing Indiana
    New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana


    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
    Dallas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Lakers
    Dallas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
    Dallas is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Lakers is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
    LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    LA Lakers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
    LA Lakers is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Lakers's last 21 games when playing Dallas
    LA Lakers is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Dallas
    LA Lakers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas


    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games
    New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
    New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
    New Orleans is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 15 games when playing Golden State
    New Orleans is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
    Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Golden State is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Golden State's last 15 games when playing New Orleans
    Golden State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans


    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    San Antonio is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    San Antonio is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
    San Antonio is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Phoenix
    San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 15 games when playing Phoenix
    San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games
    Phoenix is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Phoenix is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing San Antonio
    Phoenix is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing San Antonio
    Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2018 at 12:16 PM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, October 31


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (4 - 2) at BROOKLYN (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (5 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 130-177 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (4 - 3) at NEW YORK (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 4) - 10/31/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (4 - 2) at GOLDEN STATE (7 - 1) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 113-82 ATS (+22.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 56-40 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 8-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (4 - 2) at PHOENIX (1 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 175-132 ATS (+29.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1050-922 ATS (+35.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 836-713 ATS (+51.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 338-277 ATS (+33.3 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 424-342 ATS (+47.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (2 - 5) at LA LAKERS (2 - 5) - 10/31/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 414-338 ATS (+42.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 505-426 ATS (+36.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 169-132 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 163-207 ATS (-64.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2018 at 12:16 PM.

  6. #6
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, October 31



    Detroit @ Brooklyn

    Game 701-702
    October 31, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    110.959
    Brooklyn
    119.921
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 9
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 2 1/2
    214
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (-2 1/2); Over

    Denver @ Chicago


    Game 703-704
    October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    123.707
    Chicago
    109.893
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 14
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 7 1/2
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-7 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ New York


    Game 705-706
    October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    124.035
    New York
    111.035
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 13
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 5 1/2
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (-5 1/2); Under

    Utah @ Minnesota


    Game 707-708
    October 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    124.646
    Minnesota
    115.040
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 9 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 2 1/2
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-2 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Golden State


    Game 709-710
    October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    00.000
    Golden State
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans

    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    ( );

    San Antonio @ Phoenix

    Game 711-712
    October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    00.000
    Phoenix
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio

    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    ( );

    Dallas @ LA Lakers

    Game 713-714
    October 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    111.283
    LA Lakers
    116.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 5
    239
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 7
    234
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+7); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2018 at 12:17 PM.

  7. #7
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    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Pelicans at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST

    Eight games into the season, Golden State (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) continues to look like the team that has won three of the past four NBA championships. During this current five-game winning streak, the Warriors have won four of those contest by 20 points or more, while dropping 149 points on the Bulls in Monday’s blowout at the United Center.

    Klay Thompson broke the NBA record for most three-pointers made in a game with 14, while putting up 52 points in the win. Perhaps more impressive than Thompson’s shooting barrage was Golden State putting up 92 points in the first half, while picking up a cover as a double-digit favorite for the fourth straight time.

    The Pelicans (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) jumped out to an impressive 4-0 start, but are coming off back-to-back losses to the Jazz and Nuggets. It’s no coincidence that those defeats were suffered with star Anthony Davis sidelined due to an elbow injury, as his status is in question for tonight’s contest at Oracle Arena. Davis is averaging 27.3 points per game and 13.3 rebounds per game, but replacing the former Kentucky standout is a difficult task. In Monday’s loss at Denver, the Pelicans managed a cover as 9 ½-point underdogs, while fellow UK Wildcat Julius Randle posted a team-high 24 points.

    The Warriors knocked out the Pelicans in five games of the opening round of the playoffs last season, but New Orleans managed a pair of covers at Oracle Arena as double-digit underdogs. New Orleans won at Golden State in its final regular season matchup this past April, 126-120 as six-point ‘dogs, as Davis led the Pelicans with 34 points and 12 rebounds.

    Same Record, Different Expectations

    Both the Lakers and Mavericks own identical 2-5 records. If we turned the clock back one year ago, this wouldn’t be a surprise for these two Western Conference foes. However, Los Angeles has stumbled out of the gate in LeBron James’ first season in Purple and Gold, as the Lakers return home following consecutive road losses at San Antonio and Minnesota. In Monday’s defeat to the Wolves, James scored 29 points, but Minnesota knocked down 14 three-pointers.

    The Mavericks are winless away from American Airlines Center this season at 0-4, but picked up a cover as seven-point ‘dogs in Monday’s overtime defeat at San Antonio. Dallas is riding a three-game OVER streak, but have lost four straight since picking up back-to-back home wins over Minnesota and Chicago. Rookie Luka Doncic has been impressive for Dallas through seven games by averaging 20.4 ppg, while scoring a season-high 31 points against the Spurs.

    This will be by far the weakest opponent the Lakers have faced at Staples Center this season, as L.A. has already lost to Houston and San Antonio, while handing Denver its only loss. The Lakers captured three of four matchups from the Mavs last season, including a pair of wins at Staples by double-digits.

    Bull Crap

    That’s exactly what Chicago (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) looked like on Monday night in a 149-124 rout at the hands of Golden State. It would have been worse if the Warriors didn’t call off the dogs after scoring 125 points through three quarters, as Chicago suffered its first ATS loss at the United Center this season. The Bulls welcome in another tough Western opponent tonight as Denver makes its lone trip to the Windy City this season.

    The Nuggets (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) have played a home-heavy schedule so far by posting a 4-0 mark at the Pepsi Center, but failed to cash as nine-point favorites in Monday’s 116-111 victory over the Pelicans. The backcourt duo of Gary Harris and Jamal Murray scored 23 points apiece, while the Nuggets moved to 3-1 to the UNDER at home this season. In fact, this is the first game played east of Denver this season for the Nuggets, whose first two road games were against the L.A. teams. The Nuggets have won five straight meetings with the Bulls, including two straight blowouts at the United Center.

    Perfect Sound

    The Jazz (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) have yet to win a game at home this season, but are riding a 4-0 record away from Salt Lake City. Utah tries to finish off its four-game road trip without a blemish as the Jazz face the Wolves at Target Center. The first three wins were impressive as Utah knocked off Houston, New Orleans, and Dallas, while shooting 52% from the floor in Sunday’s nine-point victory over the Mavericks.

    Minnesota (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) has not won back-to-back games yet this season, coming off Monday’s 124-120 triumph over the Lakers as a short ‘dog. Jimmy Butler is still on the trade block for Minnesota, but the forward scored 32 points, while knocking down 6-of-7 three-point attempts. These two Northwest division foes split four meetings last season, as each team won one matchup at home and one on the road.

    Slowing Down

    The Pistons (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) rolled out to a fast 4-0 start with only one win against a quality team, edging the 76ers in overtime. Detroit fell back to Earth following back-to-back losses to Boston, but the Pistons hung around in Tuesday’s 108-105 setback at TD Garden as 8 ½-point underdogs. Blake Griffin rebounded from a seven-point performance last Saturday against the Celtics to score 24 points last night and pull down 15 boards.

    Detroit heads to Brooklyn with no rest to square off with a Nets’ (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS) squad that is riding a three-game skid since routing Cleveland last Wednesday. Brooklyn is sitting in the favorite role for the second time this season as the Nets look to avenge an opening night loss at Detroit, 103-100 as six-point underdogs. The Nets haven’t had much luck against the Pistons at home, dropping a pair of contests last season at Barclays Center by 34 and 12 points.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-31-2018 at 12:18 PM.

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