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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/28

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 28

    Good Luck on day #301 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 8 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Packers, +9.5 (1,229)-

    2) Eagles, -3 (957)-

    3) Redskins, even (933)-

    4) Seahawks, +3 (889)-

    5) Bears, -7 (852)-

    6) Colts, -3 (844)-

    Season record: 19-20-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Kentucky 15, Missouri 14— Mizzou got called for pass interference in the end zone on the last play of the game, so Kentucky got another play, threw a 2-yard TD pass, and now Wildcats are 7-1.

    Missouri had zero first downs in the second half- none.

    12) Cincinnati 26, SMU 20 OT— Bearcats kicked 41-yard FG at the gun to force OT, then ran back an INT 86 yards for the game-winning TD in overtime. That hasn’t happened much, where a defensive score decided a game in overtime.

    11) Kansas 27, TCU 26— Horned Frogs fumbled on the Kansas 10-yard line in last 2:00, screwing up what would at least have been the game-tying FG.

    From 2015-17, Jayhawks were 3-33; this year, they’re 3-5, so big improvement for them.

    In their last six games, TCU is -14 in turnovers (2-16).

    10) Iowa State 40, Texas Tech 31— Cyclone fans better enjoy this, because their coach Matt Campbell ain’t going to be in Ames much longer— the big-$$$ people will come calling for him, and soon, then the Iowa State revival will be in jeopardy.

    This game was 31-all with under 5:00 left when Tech got called for intentional grounding in their own end zone, which out ISU up 33-31. On the ensuing series, Cyclones had 3rd-and-9 but threw a 48-yard TD pass, putting the game out of reach.

    Lot of points for a game with two freshman QB’s playing.

    9) Clemson 59, Florida State 10— Oy. This is the worst Florida State team since Bobby Bowden got to Tallahassee over 40 years ago. Willie Taggart needs to have a seriously positive run of good recruiting; this game tied a 49-0 loss to Florida in 1973 as the worst loss in FSU history.

    8) Penn State 30, Iowa 24— Iowa had the ball on Penn State’s 3-yard line with 3:17 left, but threw a hideous INT where instead of calling a timeout to get organized, Iowa’s QB ran a play and QB/WR weren’t on the same page, and Penn State got the clinching INT.

    Hawkeyes had two safeties in first 16:39 of this game; don’t see that a lot; Iowa’s punter also threw a TD on a fake FG. Rough day for Iowa’s QB; in the first half, they ran a play action fake and had a TE wide-open (by 20 yards) for an easy TD, but the QB overthrew the pass.

    7) Upsets of the Week:
    — Oregon State (+23.5) 41, Colorado 34
    — Kansas (+13.5) 27, TCU 26
    — California (+10.5) 12, Washington 10
    — Georgia Southern (+8) 34, Appalachian State 14
    — Northern Illinois (+7.5) 7, BYU 6
    — Kentucky (+7) 15, Missouri 14
    — Charlotte (+6.5) 20, Southern Miss 17
    — Northwestern (+6) 31, Wisconsin 17

    6) Georgia Tech 49, Virginia Tech 28— We mentioned how Yellow Jackets didn’t complete a pass in this game Thursday; last college team to score 40+ points in a road game without completing a pass? Ohio Bobcats, in 2002, in a 50-0 win at Kent State.

    5) Oregon State 41, Colorado 34 OT— Horrific loss for Colorado; Buffs led this game 31-3 with 9:00 left in third quarter, but lose as a 23-point favorite.

    4) Wake Forest 56, Louisville 35— Few years ago, Louisville coach Petrino pulled a scholarship from a RB named Matt Colburn right before Signing Day, leaving the kid without a place to play ball. Wake Forest wound up signing him; Saturday, Colburn ran for 202 yards and three TD’s……against Louisville.

    3) Arizona State 38, USC 35— Go-ahead TD was a 92-yard punt return for a TD by N’Keal Harry late in 3rd quarter where USC appeared to have lot of big guys covering the punt— lot of numbers in the 70’s chasing a very fast guy, which seldom ends well for the team that kicked.

    Trojans are 4-4; the natives are restless. coach Helton’s seat is very hot- they scored 35 points with their 3rd-string QB playing, but one TD was a punt return, another a trick play.

    2) Georgia 36, Florida 17— Dawgs outgained Florida 429-275, and the Gators had won five in a row coming in. All seven of Georgia’s wins are by 14+ points. Top of the SEC is a meat grinder.

    1) Red Sox 9, Dodgers 6- LA led 4-0 after six innings, but the Dodger bullpen imploded and now Boston leads the World Series 3-1, with Game 5 tonight.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, October 28


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    GOLDEN STATE (5 - 1) at BROOKLYN (2 - 3) - 10/28/2018, 5:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 112-81 ATS (+22.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHOENIX (1 - 4) at OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 4) - 10/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTAH (3 - 2) at DALLAS (2 - 3) - 10/28/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 413-337 ATS (+42.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) on Sunday games since 1996.
    UTAH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (1 - 4) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 2) - 10/28/2018, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, October 28


    Warriors won/covered their last three games; they outscored NY 32-6 over final 7:32 Friday. Golden State is 1-2 as AF; over is 3-3 in their games. Nets are off to a 2-3 start, winning only home game by hoop over the Knicks. Under is 3-2 in their games. Golden State won six in a row over Brooklyn, but the Nets covered last three meetings; Warriors are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Last four series games stayed under.

    Suns lost their last four games (0-4 vs spread), all by 18+ points; they’re 0-3 as AU. Over is 3-2 in their games. Thunder are 0-4 this month, losing home games to Kings/Celtics. Over is 2-2 in their games. Home side won eight of last ten Phoenix-OKC games; Suns are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits here. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

    Utah is 3-0 on road (0-2 at home); they’re 0-1 as AF. Over is 3-2 in their games. Dallas won its two home games by 4-6 points; they’re 1-0 as HU- their last three games stayed under the total. Jazz won six of last seven games with Dallas, but Mavericks covered five of last six; Utah is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Dallas. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

    Wizards are off to a 1-4 start; they scored 112+ points in all five games (over 4-1). Washington is 1-1 as AU. Clippers won three of their last four games; they’re 2-1 at home, 1-0 as HF. Under is 3-2 in their games. Home side won last five Wizard-Clipper games; Washington is 1-3 vs spread in last four series games played here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.




    NBA

    Sunday, October 28


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    Trend Report
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    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Golden State's last 20 games
    Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road
    Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Golden State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Golden State is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Brooklyn is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Brooklyn is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State


    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Utah is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 15 games on the road
    Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Utah is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Utah is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
    Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Utah
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Dallas is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Phoenix is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
    Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Phoenix is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games on the road
    Phoenix is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Oklahoma City's last 14 games when playing at home against Phoenix


    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
    Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Washington is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    Washington is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Washington
    LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Clippers's last 15 games at home
    LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
    LA Clippers is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Washington
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-28-2018 at 10:41 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, October 28



    Golden State @ Brooklyn

    Game 501-502
    October 28, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    133.265
    Brooklyn
    117.162
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 16
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 10
    225
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-10); Over

    Phoenix @ Oklahoma City


    Game 503-504
    October 28, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    103.514
    Oklahoma City
    122.034
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 18 1/2
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 11 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-11 1/2); Under

    Utah @ Dallas


    Game 505-506
    October 28, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    118.314
    Dallas
    116.639
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 1 1/2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 4 1/2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Washington @ LA Clippers


    Game 507-508
    October 28, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    120.418
    LA Clippers
    115.883
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 4 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 4
    228
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+4); Over

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