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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/23

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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 23

    Good Luck on day #296 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Someone took a survey; here are the most popular Halloween candies:

    1) Reese’s peanut butter cups 84.2%

    2) Reese’s miniatures 81.9%

    3) Twix 81.8%

    4) Kit Kat 78.8%

    5) Snickers 76.7%

    6) Reese’s Pieces 73.4%


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Oakland Raiders traded Khahil Mack to the Bears for two #1 picks before the season, then started season 1-5; Monday they traded WR Omari Cooper to Dallas, for another #1 pick, as they continue to plot for the future, when they’ll be playing home games in Las Vegas.

    Raiders now have three #1 picks in the 2019 Draft, which will be held in Nashville; too bad it isn’t in Las Vegas, because Raiders are going to be the center of attention. Raiders also have two #1 picks in the 2020 Draft.

    12) One of the values of Twitter is getting lot of diverse opinions; almost everyone said that the Raiders did very well getting a #1 pick for Cooper, but then on Monday Night Football, those guys are all saying the Cowboys made out on the deal. What gives?

    Ed Werder, who has covered the Cowboys for decades, pointed out that this is the third time Jerry Jones has traded draft picks for a star WR— the other two WR’s he got were Joey Galloway and Roy Williams. When your owner/GM is in his 70’s, draft picks tend to mean less.

    11) This from the legendary Gil Brandt on Twitter:
    lowest %age of players still on team that picked them (in last six NFL Drafts):

    16.0% Oakland Raiders
    16.3% Buffalo Bills
    20.5% New Jersey Giants
    20.7% Cleveland Browns
    24.6% San Francisco 49ers

    10) Denver Broncos haven’t had consecutive losing seasons since 1971 (4-9-1) and ’72 (5-9); they were 5-11 LY, are 3-4 this year. I’m guessing they’ll be a coaching change if they don’t finish at least .500 this season.

    9) Only three NFL teams haven’t played a regular season game outside this country; the Eagles, Packers, and Panthers. Philly plays Jacksonville in London this week.

    8) Would Auburn really cough up $32M to tell football coach Gus Malzahn to take a hike? Malzahn is 28-19 in conference games; the guy was a high school coach not that long ago, but do people at Auburn really have $32M lying around to get rid of a fairly successful coach? Wow.

    7) Oklahoma Sooners haven’t lost consecutive regular season games since 1999; they’re 39-0 SU in the games following their last 39 regular season losses.

    6) According to Astros beat reporter Brian McTaggart, Houston 2B Jose Altuve had surgery Friday to repair a patella (kneecap) avulsion fracture in his right knee. According to the Mayo Clinic website, an avulsion fracture occurs when a small chunk of bone attached to a tendon or ligament gets pulled away from the main part of the bone.

    Altuve played thru that injury since August 21, hitting .276; he is one tough dude.

    5) Cincinnati Reds showed very little imagination and hired David Bell as their new manager. Bell is a Cincinnati native and the son of current Reds executive Buddy Bell, and grandson of Gus Bell, both of whom played for Cincinnati.

    David Bell played for seven big league teams, but never for the Reds.

    Weird thing is that Bell doesn’t get to pick his own coaches; he will make recommendations, but the front office has the final say. Being a manager isn’t as big a deal as it used to be.

    4) If you read this space a lot, you know I love basketball, and I have the NBA package on DirecTV- its fun to watch the games, but it is becoming more difficult to actually follow the league.

    Everyone who plays/coaches in the league is pretty rich or really rich, but so few of them appear to be remotely happy— so much anger, and the season is a week old.

    I mean, Rondo/Paul got into a scuffle in their game Saturday night , and then Rondo’s girlfriend shoves Paul’s wife afterwards; seriously? Time for everyone to grow up some.

    Chris Paul got a two-game suspension for the fracas, that’ll cost him $491,962; the others, much less. Lakers’ Brandon Ingram ran into the scuffle and threw a punch; he got a longer suspension than either Paul or Rondo, but he doesn’t make as much $$$ as they do.

    3) College basketball has these “closed/secret” scrimmages between teams; I don’t understand why they’re kept secret, when there is money to be made showing them on TV.

    This weekend, North Carolina/Villanova scrimmaged, as did Minnesota/Creighton. Teams all over the country do it, but it is information being hidden and that hurts the sport.

    2) Weird doings at the U of Arizona; back in January, the Wildcats fired football coach Rich Rodriguez after six years after a sexual harassment allegation against the coach.

    Kevin Sumlin is the new coach; Arizona is 3-5 after a 31-30 loss at UCLA Saturday, when they used their backup QB in place of injured starter Khalil Tate- that backup is Rhett Rodriguez, son of the former coach.

    The kid played alright; 15-34 for 231 yards, with two TD’s, two INT’s, but it had to be so odd, a kid playing for the coach who replaced his fired father.

    1) Before Rodriguez got the Arizona job, he worked a season in the CBS Sports studio doing college football Saturdays; as soon as the Wildcats hired him, he was off recruiting; the first day CBS Sports had a show after Rodriguez quit, the crew had RichRod on as a guest via remote from Tucson.

    Here’s the thing; the whole one-hour show, they left the chair Rodriguez had sat in all season empty, thats the regard they held him in. After that I always rooted for his teams. Saturday night, I was rooting for his son.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018 at 11:57 AM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, October 23



    Ben Simmons (back) is a ?? here; check status. 76ers won their last two games, scoring 121.5 ppg; they lost their only road game by 18 at Boston. Over is 2-1 in Sixer games. Pistons won their first two games (over 1-1); beating Nets by 3 in only home game. 76ers won/covered last four games with Detroit; Sixers won three of last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Clippers are off to a 2-1 start; this is their road opener. Under is 2-1 in their games. Pelicans scored 131-149 points in winning their first two games (over 2-0), beating Kings by 20 in only home game. Clippers lost four of last five games with New Orleans; they’re 3-3 vs spread in their last six visits to Bourbon Street. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

    Kings lost two of first three games (2-1 vs spread); all three games went over- they split two road games, winning in Oklahoma Sunday. Nuggets won/covered their first three games (under 3-0): they beat the Warriors in last game Sunday. Denver won/covered five of last six games with Sacramento; Kings are 0-3 vs spread in their last three visits to Colorado. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018 at 11:59 AM.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, October 23


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Clippers's last 23 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games
    New Orleans is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
    New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 14 games
    Sacramento is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
    Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Denver
    Sacramento is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
    Denver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018 at 12:00 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, October 23


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (1 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 23



    Philadelphia @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    October 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    00.000
    Detroit
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia

    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    ( );

    LA Clippers @ New Orleans

    Game 703-704
    October 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    116.451
    New Orleans
    125.870
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 9 1/2
    242
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 5 1/2
    233
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Sacramento @ Denver


    Game 705-706
    October 23, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    116.777
    Denver
    124.950
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 8
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 11 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+11 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018 at 12:01 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 23



    Philadelphia @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    October 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    124.312
    Detroit
    113.404
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 11
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-2); Under

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    By: Monique Vág


    SOLID PERIMETER DEFENSE

    The Pistons have only allowed opponents to make six 3-point shots through their first two games, holding opponents to 25 percent shooting from beyond the arc. That perimeter defense will be put to test tonight against the sharp shooters of the 76ers.

    Sixers shooting guard JJ Redick finds himself in a tricky situation as a player that relies heavily on the 3-point shot versus a Pistons team that is the best in the Association at defending the 3-point shot. The Pistons have also been great versus opposing shooting guards, limiting to only 20 points a game. Look at taking Redick Under his point total of 18.5.


    INFLATED TOTAL

    Despite the big total, both the Pistons and 76ers have held opponents to a respectable scoring average of 108, and 109.3 points per game. Detroit has been great at limiting second chance points for opponents surrendering an average of only five offensive rebounds per game, half of what Philadelphia gives up with 10.3, who ranks as the 12th best.

    With two teams not putting up a lot of points, but doing a good job not surrendering a lot of points, look for this matchup to be closely contested and end up way Under the total of 216.


    PELICANS LEADING SCORER

    The Pelicans scored 131 points in their season opener and followed that up 149 in Game 2. All five of their starters are averaging double digits points per game, but it’s power forward Nikola Mirotic having the biggest impact thus far, shooting 55 percent from the field in the opener, including 6 of 8 from three. In Game 2 he went 14 of 21, and 5 of 9 from beyond the arc. Along with averaging 33 points, Mirotic is also contributing 9.5 rebounds and 2 assists per game. Take Over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists in today’s matchup versus the Clippers.


    EARLY SUCCESS A NECESSITY

    The Kings are allowing an average of 34 first quarter points per game. Despite surrendering so many points, they’re also scoring the second most first quarter points with an average of 33.3 points per game. A good start is a must against a strong looking Nuggets team.

    Despite slowing down a little bit in the second quarter, they still averaging 62 first half points per game. In a game that appears to be headed for a blowout late, take Sacramento first half points Over as they should be able to keep things competitive early.


    FANTASTIC MR. FOX

    Sacramento’s point guard De’Aaron Fox is off to a great start shooting over 50 percent in each of the Kings three games averaging 20.3 points per game. He’s also contributing in other areas, averaging 5.5 rebounds per game, and 7.7 assists.

    With Kosta Koufous and Bogdan Bogdanovic out, Fox finds himself in a favorable matchup today versus a Denver defense that is one of the worst in the league versus opposing point guards, allowing 22.6 points and 9.2 assists per game. Take Over on Fox’s points, rebounds, and assists total of 27.5 as his success early on is integral to the Kings keeping the game close.

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