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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/22

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, October 22

    Good Luck on day #295 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 7 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Vikings, -3 (1,192)- W

    2) Patriots, -3 (966)- W

    3) Chiefs, -6 (886)- W

    4) Lions, -2.5 (841)- W

    5) Ravens, -3.5 (837)- L

    6) Buccaneers, -3 (743)- T

    Season record: 19-20-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    13) Saints 24, Ravens 23— Justin Tucker was only NFL kicker who hadn’t missed a PAT since they moved it back 15 yards- he had made something like 222 in a row, but he missed a PAT with 0:24 left here that would’ve tied the game.

    Drew Brees threw his 500th career TD pass in this game; Saints are 5-1, and lead Carolina by a game in the NFC South.

    12) Panthers 21, Eagles 17— Carolina trailed this game 17-0 in fourth quarter:

    Carolina’s first five drives: 29 plays, 106 yards, five punts, zero points.
    Carolina’s last three drives: 28 plays, 236 yards, three TD’s, 21 points.

    Cam Newton looked like freakin’ John Elway in the 4th quarter.

    I’m guessing you’ll hear the word “finish” a lot around Philly the next few days; they blew a 17-3 lead in an earlier loss to Tennessee.

    11) Chargers 20, Titans 19— Fans in England haven’t had many chances to see a real tight NFL game, so this was good for them, and good for the league.

    We went thru this with a MAC game yesterday, but Tennessee scored a TD with 0:31 left, then went for two points and the win- they didn’t get either. Titans did run the ball for 164 yards in this game and converted 9-15 third down plays, so i understand their confidence in being able to make it, but just kick the PAT and play overtime.

    Chargers’ two TD’s in this game were on plays of 75, 55 yards.

    10) Patriots 38, Bears 31— Chicago completed a Hail Mary to the 1-yard line on the last play of the game, but the WR couldn’t get in the end zone.

    New England’s special teams dominated this game; they scored TD’s on a kick return and a blocked punt- that doesn’t happen much, two special teams TD’s in the same game.

    9) Buccaneers 26, Browns 23 OT: Lot of interesting stuff about this game:
    — Chandler Catanzaro won this game with a 59-yard FG with with 1:55 left in OT; he had missed a PAT and a 40-yard FG earlier in the game.
    — Cleveland is 2-4-1; four of their seven games went to overtime.
    — Tampa Bay led this game 16-2 at halftime.
    — Bucs turned ball over four times (-3); Cleveland had a 17-yard advantage in field position.
    — Browns’ TD drives were 26-75-16 yards.
    — Cleveland has now lost 24 consecutive road games.

    8) Lions 32, Dolphins 21— Detroit evens its record at 3-3 after an 0-2 start; they ran ball for 248 yards. Defensive-oriented coaches like to run the ball more, to keep their defense off the field, and it seems like Matt Patricia did that very well in this game. When they did throw the ball, Detroit averaged 9.1 yards/attempt.

    7) Texans 20, Jaguars 7— QB Deshaun Watson couldn’t fly with the Texans to Jacksonville on Friday night because of concerns about his partially collapsed lung; instead, he took a 12-hour bus ride to Jacksonville.

    Bus? Really? Hopefully they at least rented him a limo or something he could sleep in, and he wasn’t riding on a Greyhound, wth stops all over the gulf coast.

    As for this game, Blake Bortles was benched in the 3rd quarter in favor of Cody Kessler, and the Jaguars head to England next week with some serious problems.

    6) Vikings 37, Jets 17— Turnovers were a big story this week; Jets were -4 here (0-4), which is a big part of why Minnesota had a 14-yard edge in field position. Total yardage was only 316-263; three of the Vikings’ four TD’s came on plays longer than 30 yards.

    5) Colts 37, Bills 5— Read something this week that this was the first time EVER that a 1-6 NFL team was favored by 7+ points over a team with a better record.

    Colts were +5 in turnovers, ran ball for 220 yards. In their last four games, Buffalo has scored two offensive TD’s on 42 drives, with 12 turnovers.

    4) Rams 39, 49ers 10— Rams are first NFL team to win three consecutive weeks on road since the 2014 Bengals; things get tougher the next two weeks- LA hosts the Packers next week, and visit New Orleans the week after that.

    3) Redskins 20, Cowboys 17— Dallas’ 52-yard FG try hit the left upright as time expired to give Redskins their 4th win (4-2) of the year. Cowboys are 0-3 on road, 3-0 at home. Washington has a two-game lead in the loss column in the NFC East.

    2) Broncos 45, Cardinals 10— Arizona fired its offensive coordinator less than 12 hours after this game ended Thursday night; former NFL QB Byron Leftwich takes over- it’ll be his first stint as OC in the NFL. He is 38 years; he started 50 NFL games as a quarterback for four teams.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Monday, October 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Colorado is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games on the road
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Colorado
    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado


    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games
    Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
    Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Carolina is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
    Carolina is 5-18-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Red Wings
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
    Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
    Detroit is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Carolina
    Detroit is 18-5-1 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Carolina


    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    St. Louis is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
    St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    St. Louis is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg Jets
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 16 games at home
    Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Winnipeg is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis


    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
    Washington is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    Washington is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
    Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Vancouver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
    Vancouver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Vancouver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-22-2018 at 12:18 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, October 22


    Colorado @ Philadelphia

    Game 1-2
    October 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    12.257
    Philadelphia
    10.664
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+105); Under

    Carolina @ Detroit


    Game 3-4
    October 22, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    8.639
    Detroit
    11.975
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -160
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+140); Over

    St. Louis @ Winnipeg


    Game 5-6
    October 22, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    11.270
    Winnipeg
    12.945
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -160
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-160); Over

    Washington @ Vancouver


    Game 7-8
    October 22, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    12.630
    Vancouver
    9.184
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -155
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-155); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, October 22


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    COLORADO (5-1-0-2, 12 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-8 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    COLORADO is 51-46 ATS (+113.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 86-66 ATS (+157.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    COLORADO is 23-15 ATS (+43.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 23-15 ATS (+43.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-12 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 254-269 ATS (-92.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CAROLINA (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at DETROIT (1-5-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 40-50 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 15-27 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 102-118 ATS (-113.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 4-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (2-3-0-2, 6 pts.) at WINNIPEG (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 18-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 43-27 ATS (+13.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 118-97 ATS (+216.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    ST LOUIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 8-2 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 8-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) at VANCOUVER (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/22/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 69-45 ATS (+4.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 42-25 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 382-362 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-22-2018 at 12:19 PM.

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