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Thread: Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/18

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 18

    Good Luck on day #291 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Top six teams in the Pac-12’s preseason basketball poll:

    6) Arizona State

    5) USC

    4) Arizona (1)

    3) Washington (2)

    2) UCLA (6)

    1) Oregon (16)


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) If you’re John Calipari, here is your recruiting pitch for next year:
    — 31 former Kentucky Wildcats were on NBA rosters Opening Night.
    — 19 teams have at least one former Wildcat; seven have more than one.
    — Players coached by John Calipari have earned more than $1.9B in the NBA.
    (Thats billion, with a B)
    — In 2018-19 alone, Kentucky alums are scheduled to earn $190M in the NBA.
    — Here is your Letter of Intent; please sign here ______

    12) Wade Miley started Game 5 of the NLCS for Milwaukee, walked the leadoff hitter in bottom of first inning, and was taken out. Seriously. This is getting ridiculous, the level of over-managing that is going on with managers/front offices— it is starting to border on nonsense.

    Miley is also going to start Game 6; how long he lasts then is open for debate.

    11) Texans’ QB Deshaun Watson has been hit by defenders 70 times in six games; no other NFL quarterback has been hit more than 49 times this year.

    According to Fox’s Jay Glazer, Watson suffered a cracked rib, a bruised lung, and a partially collapsed lung in the Texans’ game with Dallas two weeks ago.

    10) Tampa Bay just fired their defensive coordinator, Mike Smith; Atlanta’s DC is Marquand Manuel, and he better be watching his back, too.

    In the Falcons’ last four games, on the opponents’ first drive of the game, they’ve run 27 plays for 295 yards and four TD’s. Atlanta has some injuries on defense, but also seems like they may not be as well prepared as some of the other teams.

    9) Jason Myers kicked seven field goals for the Jets Sunday in their 42-34 win over the Colts; the NFL record for most FG’s in a game is eight. Myers went to college at Marist in Poughkeepsie, which is D-I in basketball (Rik Smits’ alma mater) but not in football.

    8) If you’re a Celtics’ fan, you’re rooting against Sacramento all season; Boston owns the Kings’ 2019 first-round pick thru the Tatum-Fultz deal. Rooting against the Kings is generally fun; imagine getting Tatum and Sacramento’s #1 pick in the same trade?

    7) A guy in Las Vegas known as the “Duffel Bag bettor” wagered just over $100,000 on Army last weekend, when the Cadets were laying 15 points at San Jose State.

    Now Army won 52-3, so the guy didn’t have to sweat for his $100K, but it takes onions to risk six figures on a service academy team laying double digits on the road.

    6) Sports betting is up and running in New Mexico now; the political geniuses here in New York haven’t gotten around to it yet, but West Virginia, Mississippi and New Mexico have.

    Brilliant!!!!

    5) AAF is a new spring football league with eight teams that will play a 10-game schedule that begins February 9; games will be televised mostly on NBC Sports Network.

    League has some big names coaching their teams: Mike Martz, Steve Spurrier, Dennis Erickson, Mike Singletary. It figures to develop into what the USFL used to be.

    4) Jordany Valdespin, who played four years in the majors as a utility guy for the Mets/Marlins, recently pitched four scoreless innings of relief in a 19-inning Dominican Winter League game in which Mets’ 1B prospect Dominic Smith went 0-8, with a bases loaded walk.

    3) UConn’s football team is giving up an average of 9.21 yards/play, worst in country; from what I can tell, UL-Monroe is next worst in country, giving up 7.18 yards/play.

    2) Here is some good but scary news from the New York Post: No one got shot last weekend in New York City, the first time that has happened in at least 25 years.

    NYPD Chief of Department Terence Monahan has been with the NYPD since 1982, and he said he can’t remember a weekend without SOMEONE getting shot.

    Unfortunately, the city’s quiet streak ended Monday, when a man was shot at around 1:15pm on Aqueduct Avenue in the Bronx. Hopefully, he recovered.

    1) Duke recruit Zion Williamson’s name has come up in the adidas/college hoop corruption trial, which puts Duke in a curious position. Blue Devils shouldn’t worry though; the NCAA doesn’t go after the blue blood teams.

    Long time ago, then-UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian got under the NCAA’s skin when he famously wrote, “The NCAA is so mad at Kentucky, they’re putting Western Kentucky on probation.”

    45-50 years later I’ve amended Tark’s quote: “The NCAA is so mad at Duke, they’re going to put Duquesne on probation” No way the Blue Devils ever meet an NCAA investigator.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2018 at 01:17 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, October 18


    Chicago @ Philadelphia

    Game 501-502
    October 18, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    106.634
    Philadelphia
    120.455
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 14
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 11
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-11); Under

    Miami @ Washington


    Game 503-504
    October 18, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    111.724
    Washington
    120.349
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 8 1/2
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 5
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-5); Under

    LA Lakers @ Portland


    Game 505-506
    October 18, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    118.688
    Portland
    120.365
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 1 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 3 1/2
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+3 1/2); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, October 18


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    CHICAGO (0 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 10/18/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 0) - 10/18/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 408-477 ATS (-116.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 185-229 ATS (-66.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (0 - 0) at PORTLAND (0 - 0) - 10/18/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 7-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, October 18


    Not a lot to go on for the first week or so, but I’ll give you the info I’ve got…….

    Miami won seven of last nine games with Washington; Heat won three of last four visits here. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Visitors are 4-3 in last seven series games. Miami lost its opener last night, by 3 in Orlando; four Miami starters played 32:00+.

    76ers won last two games with Chicago, after losing seven of previous eight series games; Bulls won three of last four visits here (under 3-0 in last three series games in Philly). Sixers lost their opener Tuesday by 18 in Boston.

    Portland won its last ten games with the Lakers, who have Lebron James now, so lot of these trends will go down the drain. Lakers are 2-3 vs spread in losing their last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Figures to be an emotional evening, since Blazers’ owner Paul Allen passed away earlier in week.




    NBA

    Thursday, October 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Miami Heat
    Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
    Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
    Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games when playing Washington
    Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
    Washington is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
    Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games when playing Miami
    Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami


    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
    Chicago is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
    Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
    Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games at home
    Philadelphia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
    Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 14 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago


    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Portland
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Portland
    LA Lakers is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Portland
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Portland Trail Blazers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    Portland is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Portland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
    Portland is 16-4-2 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    Portland is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Portland is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
    Portland is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2018 at 01:18 PM.

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