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Thread: Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/16

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 16

    Good Luck on day #289 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Some interesting college football games this weekend:

    — Stanford (-2.5) @ Arizona State

    — Michigan (-7) @ Michigan State

    — Oregon @ Washington State (-1)

    — Minnesota @ Nebraska (-3.5)

    — Oklahoma (-7.5) @ TCU

    — USC @ Utah (-6.5)


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) I mentioned a few weeks ago how USC QB JT Daniels skipped his senior year of HS so he could play QB for the Trojans this season, and how it seemed a little odd to rush a kid thru school like that, especially since so many college players red-shirt their first year in college, so they’re often 19-20 years old before ever playing in a game.

    Well, it turns out that Daniels’ father had his son repeat 8th grade (this also happens a decent amount in Texas) so that he would be older and better suited to compete when his time came to play high school ball. JT Daniels will be 19 soon, so he isn’t that far behind the curve, age-wise, he just gave back the year he gained four years ago.

    How long will Daniels’ father let his son stay in college before he tests the NFL’s waters?

    12) Just under $184M was bet on sports in New Jersey in September, $88.6M of it on football. More than half of the $184M was wagered online.

    New Jersey books showed a $24M profit last month, $9.4M of that coming from football.

    11) This was the first time since 1990 there were no winless NFL teams after five weeks of the season.

    10) Los Angeles Angels are looking for a new manager; from Jon Morosi:

    “#Angels administering 2-hour written test to managerial candidates, sources say, with questions spanning analytical, interpersonal and game-management aspects of the job.”

    So far, six major league teams are looking for a new manager for next year.

    9) Red Sox pitcher Chris Sale has a stomach ailment, spent Sunday night in Mass General Hospital. The team was hoping Sale would accompany the ballclub to Houston on Monday.

    8) Last golf season, Henrik Stenson became the first golfer to lead the PGA Tour in driving accuracy and greens in regulation in the same season since Calvin Peete, in 1983.

    7) Knicks dumped Joakim Noah, but they still owe him $38M going forward; as far as the hit on the salary cap goes, they’ll stretch the cap hit out over three years.

    6) There is a hotel in Boston, the Liberty Hotel, which is a converted jail. It used to be called the Charles Street Jail; wouldn’t it be at least a little weird staying there overnight?

    5) There are only four players left in the NHL who played against Wayne Gretzky:
    Zdeno Chara, Matt Cullen, Patrick Marleau and Joe Thornton

    4) Rick Barry’s son Canyon Barry, who played college ball at Charleston/Florida, will play for Minnesota’s G-League team, the Iowa Wolves this winter.

    3) Ole Miss has only 28 plays in its offensive playbook; there are obviously options off of those plays, but their playbook is much thinner than most college teams.

    2) TV guys are gushing about how Alex Bregman is the Astros’ best player, but from July 27-August 20, Houston went 8-13- they allowed 3 or less runs in all eight wins; they were 0-10 during that stretch when allowing 4+ runs.

    That 21-game stretch was when Jose Altuve was out with an injured knee; make no mistake about it, Altuve is the Astros’ best player.

    1) RIP to Paul Allen, 65, who passed away Monday. Mr Allen passed away shortly after it was announced that he had been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma for the third time.

    One of the co-founders of Microsoft, Allen bought the Portland Trailblazers in 1987, and the Seattle Seahawks in 1995. He was worth $20B at the time of his passing, and is said to have donated over $2B to charity.

    RIP, sir.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 16



    Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers

    Game 909-910
    October 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    (Gonzlez) 19.033
    LA Dodgers
    (Hill) 17.797
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    N/A

    Boston @ Houston

    Game 907-908
    October 16, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Eovaldi) 18.600
    Houston
    (Keuchel) 17.525
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -135
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+115); Over





    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, October 16


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (112 - 56) at HOUSTON (107 - 60) - 5:05 PM
    NATHAN EOVALDI (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 155-76 (+36.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 112-56 (+34.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 53-30 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 36-12 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 107-71 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 75-36 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 43-30 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 48-35 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 23-20 (-22.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    HOUSTON is 4-9 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off this season.
    HOUSTON is 30-28 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 16-21 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 9-12 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    KEUCHEL is 9-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
    KEUCHEL is 1-6 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 4-5 (+0.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

    NATHAN EOVALDI vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    EOVALDI is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.065.
    His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

    DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. BOSTON since 1997
    KEUCHEL is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.581.
    His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (101 - 68) at LA DODGERS (96 - 74) - 9:05 PM
    GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 5-5 (+2.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

    GIO GONZALEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    GONZALEZ is 4-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.015.
    His team's record is 6-2 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

    RICH HILL vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    HILL is 3-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.178.
    His team's record is 7-1 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, October 16


    American League
    Boston @ Houston (series tied, 1-1)

    Eovaldi is 2-0, 1.35 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven road starts. Team in his starts: 6-6, 3-4 road. Eovaldi lost 5-1 in Houston June 20 while pitching for the Rays, giving up four runs in six IP.
    5-inning record: 6-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-12

    Keuchel is 1-1, 5.50 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight home starts. Team in his starts: 20-15, 7-9 home Keuchel allowed five runs in six IP in a no-decision vs Boston Sept 9.
    5-inning record: 15-16-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-35

    Houston is 12-3 in its last 15 games; they won four of their four playoff games, with last three going over total. Red Sox won five of their last seven games; they scored 36 runs in their last five games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

    Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.

    National League
    Brewers @ Dodgers (Brewers lead series, 2-1)

    Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.63 in six starts for Milwaukee; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 6-0, 1-0 road Gonzalez allowed one run in two IP (32 PT) in Game 1 of this series Friday.
    5-inning record: 6-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6

    Hill is 5-1, 3.93 in his last six starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 15-10, 5-5 home. Hill is 1-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Milwaukee this season.
    5-inning record: 11-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-25

    Dodgers won eight of their last 11 games overall, eight of last ten at home. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

    Milwaukee won 13 of its last 14 games; they’ve won seven in a row on the road. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Brewers are in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.




    MLB
    Weather Report

    Tuesday, October 16







    MLB

    Tuesday, October 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 11 games
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Astros
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston


    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
    Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
    Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Dodgers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Dodgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    LA Dodgers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 11:10 AM.

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