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Thread: CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 19 (Fri., Oct. 19 - Sat., Oct. 20)

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    Default CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 19 (Fri., Oct. 19 - Sat., Oct. 20)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 19 - Saturday, October 20

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
    David Schwab

    Hamilton continued its push for the East Division title with Friday’s 34-20 victory on the road against Toronto as a seven-point favorite to kickoff Week 18 in the CFL.

    In the first of a trio of contests on Saturday, Winnipeg blasted Saskatchewan 31-0 as a 3 ½-point home favorite to improve its position in the West Division playoff race. Edmonton snapped a three-game skid both straight-up and against the spread with a much needed 34-16 win at home against Ottawa as a 3 ½-point favorite.

    Week 18 came to a close on Saturday night with British Columbia stunning Calgary 26-21 as a heavy 10 ½-point road underdog to move above .500 on the year.

    Friday, Oct. 19

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-7 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (8-7 SU, 6-9 ATS)

    Point-spread: Ottawa -1
    Total: 53 ½

    Game Overview

    The Tiger-Cats come into the first meeting in this crucial East Division home-and-home series with a SU 5-2 record in their last seven games while going 4-3 ATS. The total went OVER 53 points in Friday’s win at Toronto and it has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last six games behind a scoring average of 35.3 points during this same span. Hamilton’s defense has allowed 26.8 points over its last six contests.

    Ottawa continues to struggle with consistency with a pair of wins followed by a pair of losses over its last eight games. It fell to 2-4 ATS over its last six games with Saturday’s loss to Edmonton. At the end of July, the RedBlacks drew first blood in their season series against Hamilton with a 21-15 victory on the road as six-point underdogs. The total stayed UNDER the 55-point closing line.

    Betting Trends

    -- Counting that earlier win this season, Ottawa is 7-2 SU in its last nine games against the Tiger-Cats, but it has failed to cover in four of its last six home games against its division rivals. The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Ottawa.

    Edmonton Eskimos (8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (8-7 AU, 9-6 ATS)
    Point-spread: BC -1
    Total: 53

    Game Overview

    Saturday’s season-saving victory against Ottawa was the first time the Eskimos scored more than 15 points in their last four games. The total still stayed UNDER the 51 ½-point closing line and it has stayed UNDER in six of Edmonton’s last seven games. Mike Reilly threw for 369 yards and one touchdown on Saturday and he continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 4,974 in 16 games.

    The Lions’ late-season surge has them holding on to the final playoff spot in the West as a crossover team. They have won five of their last six games SU with a 4-2 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER 49 ½ points in the upset against Calgary and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of BC’s last 10 games. Newly added running back Tyrell Sutton gained 106 yards rushing on 22 carries in Saturday’s win and Travis Lulay was back in the lineup as BC’s starting quarterback.

    Betting Trends

    -- The first two games of this season’s series were split with the home team winning SU and ATS. Edmonton has the 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in four of those five games.


    Saturday, Oct. 20

    Montreal Alouettes (3-12 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (3-12 SU, 6-9 ATS)

    Point-spread: Toronto -5
    Total: 50

    Game Overview

    The Alouettes’ current SU losing streak stands at four games coming off last week’s bye, but they have been able to cover in six of their last eight games. The total has stayed UNDER the closing line in six of those eight games behind a scoring average of 18.8 points per game. Montreal remains the lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 16.9 PPG.

    Toronto’s loss to Hamilton last Friday was its seventh in a row and it has gone 2-5 ATS during this current skid. The total has now gone OVER in five of its last six outings with the Argonauts’ defense giving up an average of 34.3 PPG in that same span. James Franklin threw for 292 yards and two touchdowns against Hamilton and he also led the team in rushing with 44 yards on seven carries.

    Betting Trends

    -- Montreal won the first meetings this season 25-22 as a five-point home underdog heading into this East Division home-and-home series. Over the last 23 meetings in this rivalry, Montreal is 16-7 both SU and ATS.

    Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (12-3 SU, 8-7 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -9
    Total: 49 ½

    Game Overview

    The Roughriders’ slim chances to win the West Division took a major hit with Saturday’s loss. This was just their second SU setback in their last nine games, but over that same span they drop to 5-4 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last two games after going OVER in their previous five contests.

    Calgary is just one win away from capturing its third-straight West Division title, but there has to be some concern with its current form at 3-2 SU in its last five games. There is even more concern when it comes to betting on the Stampeders at 2-4 ATS over their last six outings. The total has stayed UNDER in their last two games with a combined 33 points scored. Calgary’s season scoring average is now 30.1 PPG.

    Betting Trends

    -- The first two games in this season’s series between these two bitter division foes were played in Saskatchewan with an even 1-1 split SU and ATS. The total did go OVER in each contest. Calgary is 10-2 SU in its last 12 home games against the Roughriders with a 4-1 record ATS in the last five of those matchups.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-20-2018 at 02:22 AM.

  3. #3
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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 19


    Friday, October 19

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    HAMILTON (8 - 7) at OTTAWA (8 - 7) - 10/19/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAMILTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.
    HAMILTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
    HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    HAMILTON is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 4-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    EDMONTON (8 - 8) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (8 - 7) - 10/19/2018, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 5-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, October 20

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    MONTREAL (3 - 12) at TORONTO (3 - 12) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 6) at CALGARY (12 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 134-100 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 140-102 ATS (+27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 01:07 PM.

  4. #4
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    CFL

    Week 19


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    Trend Report
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    Friday, October 19

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
    Hamilton is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
    Hamilton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
    Hamilton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
    Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa RedBlacks
    Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
    Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
    Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Hamilton
    Ottawa is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Hamilton
    Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton


    Edmonton Eskimos
    Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
    Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
    Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Edmonton is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    Edmonton is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    British Columbia Lions
    British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 8 games
    British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    British Columbia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games at home
    British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    British Columbia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton
    British Columbia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton



    Saturday, October 20

    Montreal Alouettes
    Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Montreal is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
    Montreal is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
    Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Montreal is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Montreal's last 20 games when playing Toronto
    Montreal is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Montreal is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Argonauts
    Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
    Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Toronto's last 20 games when playing Montreal
    Toronto is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Montreal
    Toronto is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal


    Saskatchewan Roughriders
    Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Saskatchewan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
    Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Saskatchewan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
    Saskatchewan is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing Calgary
    Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Saskatchewan is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Stampeders
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Calgary is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games at home
    Calgary is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Calgary is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Saskatchewan
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
    Calgary is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 01:08 PM.

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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 19


    Hamilton (8-7) @ Ottawa (8-7) (even, 54.5)
    — Road team won five of last six series games; Ottawa won three of last four, beating TiCats 21-15 (+6) in Hamilton back in July. Teams split last six series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under. Hamilton won five of its last seven games, scoring 40-34 points in last two; they’re 4-4 on road this year- five of their last six games went over. RedBlacks lost their last two games, allowing 40-34 points; they’re 4-3 at home. Four of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.

    Edmonton (8-8) @ BC Lions (8-7) (-2, 53)
    — Home side won eight of last ten series games, including first two meetings this year, but Eskimos won two of last three visits here; over is 3-0-1 in last four series games. Edmonton lost three of last four games; they lost their last five road games- their last road win was July 26. Six of last seven Eskimo games stayed under. Lions won five of their last six games; they’re 6-1 at home this season (5-2 vs spread); under is 8-1-1 in their last ten home games.

    Montreal (3-12) @ Toronto (3-12) (-4.5, 50)
    — Home side won last six series games; Alouettes lost last three visits here, by 13-22-14 points, but won first meeting this year 25-22 at home (+5). Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Montreal lost its last four games, with last two losses by 5-6 points; Als covered five of their last six away games. Five of last six Montreal games stayed under. Argonauts lost their last seven games; they’re 0-2 as favorite this year. Five of their last six games went over the total.

    Saskatchewan (10-6) @ Calgary (12-3) (-8.5, 49.5)
    — Road team won three of last four series tilts; teams split first two meetings this season. Roughriders lost three of their last four visits here; five of last seven series games stayed under the total. Riders won seven of their last nine games, four of last five on road; they lost 31-0 in Winnipeg LW- five of their last seven games went over. Stampeders won five of their last seven games; they’re 7-1 SU at home this year, 4-4 as home favorites. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

    Through Week 18: Favorites 30-39; Under 40-26-2
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-19-2018 at 12:12 PM.

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    CFL

    Dunkel

    Week 19


    Friday, October 19

    Hamilton @ Ottawa

    Game 651-652
    October 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hamilton
    112.719
    Ottawa
    115.197
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 2 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hamilton
    by 1 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Edmonton @ BC Lions


    Game 653-654
    October 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    112.155
    BC Lions
    112.336
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    Even
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    BC Lions
    by 2
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (+2); Under



    Saturday, October 20

    Montreal @ Toronto

    Game 655-656
    October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Montreal
    104.688
    Toronto
    104.579
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    Even
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 4 1/2
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Saskatchewan @ Calgary


    Game 657-658
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Saskatchewan
    108.455
    Calgary
    114.957
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 6 1/2
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 8 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Saskatchewan
    (+8 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-20-2018 at 02:26 AM.

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