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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thurs., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 20)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thurs., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 20)


    Week 8


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 18 - Saturday, October 20

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Betting Recap - Week 7
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    College Football Week 7 Results

    WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 41-16
    Against the Spread 28-29

    WAGER Home-Away
    Straight Up 31-26
    Against the Spread 32-25

    WAGER Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 15-42

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Tennessee (+15.5, ML + ) at Auburn, 30-24
    Michigan State (+13.5, ML +400) at Penn State, 21-17
    Liberty (+11, ML +330) vs. Troy, 22-16
    Charlotte (+9.5, ML +300) vs. Western Kentucky, 40-14
    Kansas State (+8.5, ML + ) vs. Oklahoma State, 31-12

    The largest favorites to cover
    Alabama (-28) vs. Missouri, 39-10
    South Alabama (-27.5) vs. Alabama State, 45-7
    Utah State (-27) vs. UNLV, 59-28
    Maryland (-24) vs. Rutgers, 34-7

    Top 25 Notes

    -- It was a topsy-turvy day in the Top 25 on Saturday, particularly the Top 10. Georgia was the biggest domino to fall, as they were routed at LSU by a 36-16 score. West Virginia also fumbled away their chance, and subsequently the Big 12's chance, of likely seeing a spot in the four-team playoff at season's end with their ugly 30-14 setback at Iowa State. The Pac-12 is also officially out of the playoff mix after Washington slipped up in overtime at Oregon, 30-27. Penn State joined those teams in the Loser Lounge with 21-17 setback at home against Michigan State, their second consecutive loss in Happy Valley.

    -- Colorado headed to USC without a loss, but they came home with their first L and a non-cover, as the Trojans finally figured out a way to win a big game at home. The Trojans were helped out by the fact Heisman hopeful Laviska Shenault Jr. (foot) suffered an injury in the game. The Buffaloes will try to rebound next week, but a trip to Washington is not what the doctor ordered to cure their ills.

    -- If you hear anyone tell you that 'The U' is back, point them to the box score of today's Miami (Fla.)-Virginia game. The Hurricanes stumbled in Charlottesville, a play the 1980's version of the Hurricanes would never have dreamt of losing. Miami has now failed to cover in back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they probably should've lost last week against rival Florida State if the Seminoles could get out of their own way.

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    -- Duke took advantage of several miscues in cooling off Georgia Tech, 28-14. The Blue Devils stopped a two-game non-cover streak while hitting the 'under' in consecutive games for the first time this season. ... Pittsburgh nearly added Notre Dame to the upset list, but the Irish were able to stave off the rival Panthers by a 19-14 score in South Bend. However, Pitt easily covered a 22-point number, just their second cover in six tries this season. ... Virginia Tech stunned North Carolina by a 22-19 score, so hopefully you didn't have the Tar Heels on the moneyline (see bad beats below).

    -- Speaking of bad beats, Northwestern nearly gave Nebraska its first victory of the season. Instead, the Wildcats were able to erase a 14-point late deficit to force overtime. The Cornhuskers turned it over in OT, and the Wildcats picked up the game-winning field for a push at some shops. ... Michigan routed Wisconsin 38-13 in the Big House, uninviting the Badgers to the playoff party, if they weren't already out. The Wolverines improved to 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in five games at home this season, and the 'over' has hit in four in a row in Ann Arbor.

    -- Texas wasn't particularly impressive at home, but they managed to squeak by Baylor by a 23-17 count in Austin. The Bears entered the game 1-4-1 ATS in their first six games, and the 'under' was just their second after a 5-1 'over' start. ... The upsets actually started Thursday night in Fort Worth, as Texas Tech earned a much-needed win, 17-14, over Texas Christian. After getting routed by Ole Miss in the opener the Red Raiders have posted a 4-1 ATS mark in the past five outings.

    -- UCLA provided Chip Kelly with his first victory since returning to college football, a resounding 37-7 win at California that even QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson's dad won't have a problem with. In Friday's action, Utah had no hangover following their win in Palo Alto last week as they crushed Arizona by a 42-10 count. The Utes have posted covers in consecutive games for the first time this season after a 1-3 ATS start.

    -- If you had Arkansas on the mneyline against Mississippi, condolences. If you had the 'under' (66.5) in this game, the same. It was a double bad beat late. See below. ... Texas A&M held on for the 26-23 win at South Carolina, and they were able to nail down the cover, too, at least at most shops. The Aggies are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS through seven contests heading into a bye week.

    Bad Beats

    -- If you had Nebraska on the moneyline (+125), it was an ugly finish. The Cornhuskers were leading 28-14 with 13:40 to go, and 31-21 with 5:41 remaining in regulation. However, the Wildcats scored a touchdown with :12 remaining in regulation to force overtime. The Huskers were picked off on the first possession of the extra session, and Northwestern booted the game-winning field on their end of OT. The late touchdown also sunk those holding 'under' (59) tickets.

    -- 'Under' (57) bettors were feeling pretty good about themselves in the Marshall-Old Dominion game, as there were just 31 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter. Marshall scored a TD with 7:08 to go to make it 28-13, but 17 points were still needed for a losing ticket. The teams exchanged touchdowns over the next 4:03, making it Herd 35-20 with 3:05 to go. Herd RB Tyler King ripped off the 65-yard touchdown to make it 35-20, and he added a 46-yard scoring run with 1:53 to go in regulation, killing 'under' bettors in the process.

    -- It's always the 'under' (47.5) bets, isn't it? Wisconsin-Michigan had a total of 28 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter. Michigan took a 31-7 lead with 9:55 left in regulation, and you knew what was coming next if you liked the under. Michigan scored with 5:16 to go, making it 38-7 and then the Badgers ruined the day with a meaningless touchdown at 3:47 to go, making it 38-13.

    -- If you had the nerve to take Arkansas on the moneyline, it was an awful beating at the end of regulation. The Hogs were up by as many as 17 at one point, and by nine with 2:33 to go at 33-24 in the third quarter. With 57 points on the board with 4:15 to play, an 'under' (66.5) bet was surely safe, right? Well, Arkansas allowed a touchdown but still lead 33-31. Moneyline - good. Under - good. However, Ole Miss ruined the day for everyone with 5-yard touchdown with just :42 remaining. Awful.

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    4th Quarter Covers - Week 7
    Joe Nelson

    Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the seventh big college football weekend in mid-October.

    Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

    Boston College (-11˝) 38, Louisville 20:
    The Eagles took an early 14-0 lead in this game but found themselves down 20-14 with halftime approaching before getting a blocked punt for a touchdown. A 24-20 halftime lead for Boston College held through a scoreless third quarter with Boston College stuffed going for it on 4th down from the 5-yard-line late in the quarter. Early in the fourth the Eagles put together a 93-yard touchdown drive to lead by 11, not quite enough on a spread that dropped steadily after opening as high as -15. Louisville would manage seven net yards on its final three possessions and with just over three minutes remaining Boston College added another touchdown for the 18-point final margin and the home favorite cover.

    Eastern Michigan (+2˝) 28, Toledo 26:
    Eastern Michigan stormed out to a 21-0 lead in this game in the first 10 minutes and led 28-3 at halftime. Eagles games seem to often end with close results and late drama and this game was no exception. Toledo rallied in the fourth quarter to get within eight points with six minutes to go and then was handed great field position as the Eagles opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 on their own side of the 50 with about two minutes to go. Toledo got the stop and wound up scoring with 20 seconds to go with the two-point conversion try to force overtime. A throw to the back of the end zone was deflected as Eastern Michigan held on for the minor upset.

    Ball State (+2) 24, Central Michigan 23:
    Central Michigan led 20-7 at halftime and both teams missed in scoring opportunities in the third quarter with a missed field goal for Ball State and Central Michigan was stopped going for it on 4th-and-1 from the 27-yard-line rather than attempting a long but makeable field goal. That decision proved costly as the Cardinals scored on the next possession to climb within six points early in the fourth quarter and took a 21-20 lead after scoring again on its next possession. Central Michigan managed a 47-yard field goal with about four minutes remaining to go back in front but Ball State responded in kind in the final minute for the one-point road win.

    Buffalo (-11) 24, Akron 6:
    The Bulls led by four well into the third quarter but completed an 80-yard touchdown drive with about 17 minutes to go in the game to lead by 11, right even with the closing spread, with numbers from -10˝ to -12 possible. For Akron Kato Nelson was intercepted at the Buffalo 25-yard-line and the Bulls added another touchdown early in the fourth quarter to lead by 18 and the Zips didn’t provide a credible threat after that.

    Florida International (-1) 24, Middle Tennessee State 21:
    These Conference USA foes were tied at halftime but a strong punt return helped put the Blue Raiders in front in the third quarter playing behind backup quarterback Asher O’Hara. Florida International missed a field goal on its next possession but added three early in the fourth quarter to trail by five. Later in the fourth the Panthers put together an 84-yard touchdown drive that included three 3rd down conversions, going in front with about four minutes remaining. Up by one, the two-point conversion was a huge play relative to the spread that was at -2 or -2˝ much of the week. The Panthers were able to convert for a three-point lead but faced a late threat from the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee State picked up 28 yards on a 4th-and-10 play just across midfield to reach the FIU 15-yard-line but on 3rd-and-long O’Hara was intercepted in the end zone.

    Utah State (-27˝) 59, Unlv 28:
    The Aggies dominated this game with a 42-7 edge at the half but relative to the spread things got interesting late as the margin was trimmed to 24 points with about three minutes remaining after the Rebels connected for a 79-yard touchdown. With no reason to add points Utah State passed on 2nd down with a 24-point lead and just over two minutes remaining and then on 3rd-and-1 Henry Colombi broke through for a 37-yard touchdown to snag the clear home favorite cover for Utah State on a spread that jumped upwards from an opener of -23˝.

    Oregon (+3˝) 30, Washington 27:
    The Huskies led much of the first half but Oregon continued to answer and these teams wound up locked at 17-17 at the break and then 24-24 through three quarters. Early in the fourth quarter the Ducks missed a 42-yard field goal but Washington failed to take advantage, fumbling in Oregon territory on a 4th-and-short attempt. Oregon shifted the field position but needed to punt with about five minutes remaining and Washington put together a great late drive that included a 4th down conversion. As time expires Peyton Henry missed a 37-yard field goal after being iced as overtime was needed. The Huskies picked up 19 yards on the first play of overtime but stalled and settled for a 22-yard kick. The Ducks converted a big 3rd-and-11 in overtime and then C.J. Verdell rushed for the game-winning touchdown on a 3rd down.

    Northern Illinois (-5˝) 24, Ohio 21:
    The Bobcats had a 21-9 lead on the road at the start of the fourth quarter but Northern Illinois delivered a comeback with two touchdowns including a two-point conversion to take a three-point lead with about five minutes remaining with Ohio fumbling on its possession in-between the scoring drives for the Huskies. The Bobcats had to punt after losing yardage and Northern Illinois broke a 32-yard run to reach the red zone late in the game. Northern Illinois would face 3rd-and-1 from the Ohio 10-yard-line with a potential field goal ahead had the Huskies been stopped. Tre Harbison got the yardage and the Huskies took on a knee on the doorstep to wind up just short of the spread.

    Temple (-6˝) 24, Navy 17:
    This game featured a big early week line move from -4˝ up to -7 before some outlets settled back at -6˝ Saturday morning. It didn’t seem likely to matter as the home underdog Midshipmen led by 10 into the third quarter. Temple hit a field goal to climb back within seven and then tied the game before the start of the fourth quarter. Navy made an aggressive call going for it on 4th-and-8 from the Temple 38 and came up with an incomplete pass and Temple took a shot and hit on the very next play with a 62-yard touchdown pass to suddenly lead by seven. The Owls were poised to add more points in the final minutes but Anthony Russo was intercepted in the end zone with about four minutes remaining to leave the final margin at 7 for a push for many though those on the Owls early or late snuck out a win.

    North Texas (-7) 30, Southern Miss 7:
    The Mean Green reached a favorite line as high as -9˝ before this line fell dramatically Saturday. It was a three-point game until the final minute of the third quarter as North Texas went up by just nine with the extra-point after that touchdown blocked. North Texas would pull away with two fourth quarter touchdowns to mask a fairly even statistical game as the Golden Eagles had 367 yards despite only seven points.

    Northwestern (-3) 34, Nebraska 31:
    The winless Cornhuskers attracted a lot of attention this week opening as a nine-point underdog before closing at just +3. Nebraska looked like the winning side with a 28-14 edge early in the fourth quarter but the Wildcats struck quickly with a 61-yard touchdown pass and stayed in the game holding the Huskers to a field goal following an interception. The Wildcats got back within one score with a field goal following a 15-play drive that featured a pair of 4th down conversions. Northwestern held on defense but Nebraska special teams came through with a punt to the one-yard line. In the final two minutes Northwestern delivered the 99-yard touchdown drive, tying the game with 12 seconds left to force overtime. Going first Nebraska faced 4th-and-1 from the 16 and opted to go for it but got a bad snap as Adrian Martinez had to heave a pass to the end zone amidst pressure, ultimately intercepted. Northwestern conservatively picked up a few yards and kicked the winning field goal for a closing line push though many still collected on Nebraska tickets.

    Alabama (-28) 39, Missouri 10:
    The top ranked Tide led just 13-10 through the first quarter as it looked like Missouri might provide a solid test. Alabama pushed its advantage to 30-10 by halftime and added a safety as the third quarter ended. That meant just a 22-point edge however but it didn’t take long for Alabama to slip past the spread with a touchdown run early in the fourth to lead by 29. Missouri reached the Alabama 7-yard-line on its next possession but failed going for it on 4th down as Alabama broke its three-game ATS losing streak.

    Florida (-9˝) 37, Vanderbilt 27:
    This spread sat around -7 most of the week before climbing to as high as 10 on Saturday and closing at -9˝. Vanderbilt took a 21-3 lead early as the spread differences didn’t appear likely to matter. Florida would score 10 points in the final three minutes before halftime and was within one through three quarters. The Gators broke a 48 yard run to lead 27-21 early in the fourth quarter but Vanderbilt added a field goal after a Florida fumble. The Gators maintained control with a steady touchdown drive to lead by 10 with eight minutes to go. Vanderbilt added a long field goal to briefly get back within seven but Florida hit a field goal with 37 seconds remaining to earn the favorite cover with the 10-point win.

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Thursday, October 18

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    GEORGIA ST (2 - 4) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 3) - 10/18/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
    GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    STANFORD (4 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 3) - 10/18/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
    STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Friday, October 19

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    COLORADO ST (3 - 4) at BOISE ST (4 - 2) - 10/19/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOISE ST is 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 80-50 ATS (+25.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    COLORADO ST is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
    BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    AIR FORCE (2 - 4) at UNLV (2 - 4) - 10/19/2018, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
    AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, October 20

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    VANDERBILT (3 - 4) at KENTUCKY (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VANDERBILT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    VANDERBILT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
    VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
    VANDERBILT is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
    KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CINCINNATI (6 - 0) at TEMPLE (4 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEMPLE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UCF (6 - 0) at E CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UCF is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    N CAROLINA (1 - 4) at SYRACUSE (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:20 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MARYLAND (4 - 2) at IOWA (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARYLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    VIRGINIA (4 - 2) at DUKE (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 12:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 3) at MARSHALL (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 2:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
    MARSHALL is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NORTHWESTERN (3 - 3) at RUTGERS (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    NORTHWESTERN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 3) at MASSACHUSETTS (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
    COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI OHIO (3 - 4) at ARMY (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI OHIO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MICHIGAN (6 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OHIO ST (7 - 0) at PURDUE (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 169-129 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ALABAMA (7 - 0) at TENNESSEE (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E MICHIGAN (3 - 4) at BALL ST (3 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E MICHIGAN is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    E MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (6 - 1) at TOLEDO (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TOLEDO is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    TOLEDO is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    TOLEDO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AKRON (2 - 3) at KENT ST (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENT ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    AKRON is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PENN ST (4 - 2) at INDIANA (4 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PENN ST is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
    PENN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ILLINOIS (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ILLINOIS is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 88-130 ATS (-55.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (5 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NAVY is 168-129 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 168-129 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 95-58 ATS (+31.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    NAVY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    NAVY is 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NAVY is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    NAVY is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    NAVY is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTEP (0 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTEP is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
    LOUISIANA TECH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
    LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RICE (1 - 6) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
    FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) at APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TULSA (1 - 5) at ARKANSAS (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 93-127 ATS (-46.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH ST (5 - 1) at WYOMING (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WYOMING is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
    UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FRESNO ST (5 - 1) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FRESNO ST is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W MICHIGAN (5 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (3 - 4) at UCLA (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    UCLA is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OREGON (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OREGON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    OREGON is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
    OREGON is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
    OREGON is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 118-151 ATS (-48.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    COLORADO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 38-69 ATS (-37.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
    COLORADO is 44-75 ATS (-38.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALIFORNIA (3 - 3) at OREGON ST (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
    OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WAKE FOREST (3 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WAKE FOREST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
    FLORIDA ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOWLING GREEN (1 - 6) at OHIO U (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS ST (1 - 5) at LA MONROE (3 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at NEBRASKA (0 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEBRASKA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    NEBRASKA is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (1 - 5) at S FLORIDA (6 - 0) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
    CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA (5 - 1) at TCU (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TCU is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA is 3-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA is 3-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NORTH TEXAS (6 - 1) at UAB (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    UAB is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
    NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SMU (2 - 4) at TULANE (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SMU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    TULANE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
    SMU is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NC STATE (5 - 0) at CLEMSON (6 - 0) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NC STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    NC STATE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
    CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS (2 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS is 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 79-116 ATS (-48.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    KANSAS is 48-82 ATS (-42.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 48-82 ATS (-42.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 90-122 ATS (-44.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    KANSAS is 120-156 ATS (-51.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    KANSAS is 82-118 ATS (-47.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
    KANSAS is 55-88 ATS (-41.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
    KANSAS is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
    KANSAS is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    TEXAS TECH is 84-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
    TEXAS TECH is 84-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    TEXAS TECH is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    TEXAS TECH is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTSA (3 - 4) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
    SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (3 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (4 - 3) at MISSOURI (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AUBURN (4 - 3) at OLE MISS (5 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OLE MISS is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OLD DOMINION (1 - 6) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
    W KENTUCKY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
    W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) at LSU (6 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
    LSU is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    USC (4 - 2) at UTAH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    USC is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE ST (0 - 6) at SAN DIEGO ST (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEVADA (3 - 4) at HAWAII (6 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 11:59 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    HAWAII is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    HAWAII is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    HAWAII is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 01:09 AM.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,864
    Credits
    191,042

    Default

    NCAAF

    Week 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, October 18

    Georgia State @ Arkansas State
    Georgia State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games on the road
    Georgia State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Arkansas State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
    Arkansas State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

    Stanford @ Arizona State
    Stanford
    Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games when playing Arizona State

    Arizona State
    Arizona State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


    Friday, October 19

    Colorado State @ Boise State
    Colorado State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games on the road

    Boise State
    Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
    Boise State is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

    Air Force @ Nevada-Las Vegas
    Air Force
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nevada-Las Vegas

    Nevada-Las Vegas
    Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force


    Saturday, October 20

    Tulsa @ Arkansas
    Tulsa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games on the road

    Arkansas
    Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games

    Auburn @ Mississippi
    Auburn
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Auburn's last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
    Auburn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
    Mississippi

    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 9 games when playing at home against Auburn
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 9 games when playing Auburn

    Oklahoma @ Texas Christian
    Oklahoma
    Oklahoma is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    Oklahoma is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

    Texas Christian
    Texas Christian is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games

    Miami-OH @ Army
    Miami-OH
    Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Miami-OH is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road

    Army
    Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Army is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Illinois @ Wisconsin
    Illinois
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games

    Wisconsin
    Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
    Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois

    Maryland @ Iowa
    Maryland
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Maryland's last 9 games on the road
    Maryland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Iowa
    Iowa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

    Michigan @ Michigan State
    Michigan
    Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games

    Michigan State
    Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
    Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan

    Northwestern @ Rutgers
    Northwestern
    Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Rutgers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home
    Rutgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Cincinnati @ Temple
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road

    Temple
    Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Buffalo @ Toledo

    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    Toledo
    Toledo is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games

    North Carolina @ Syracuse
    North Carolina
    North Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games on the road

    Syracuse
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Syracuse's last 13 games at home
    Syracuse is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

    Virginia @ Duke
    Virginia
    Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Virginia's last 13 games when playing Duke

    Duke
    Duke is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games at home

    Bowling Green @ Ohio
    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games on the road

    Ohio
    Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 6 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

    Idaho State @ Liberty
    Idaho State
    Idaho State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
    Idaho State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

    Liberty
    Liberty is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
    Liberty is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

    Florida Atlantic @ Marshall
    Florida Atlantic
    Florida Atlantic is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games when playing Marshall

    Marshall
    Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

    Utah State @ Wyoming
    Utah State
    Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Wyoming
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wyoming's last 9 games when playing Utah State
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wyoming's last 14 games

    Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee
    Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road

    Middle Tennessee
    Middle Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Middle Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Eastern Michigan @ Ball State
    Eastern Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games when playing Ball State
    Eastern Michigan is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

    Ball State
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ball State's last 9 games when playing Eastern Michigan
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games

    Western Michigan @ Central Michigan
    Western Michigan
    Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan

    Central Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games when playing Western Michigan
    Central Michigan is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games

    Alabama @ Tennessee
    Alabama
    Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

    Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Alabama
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama

    Colorado @ Washington
    Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

    Kansas @ Texas Tech
    Kansas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road

    Texas Tech
    Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas
    Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

    North Carolina State @ Clemson
    North Carolina State
    North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    North Carolina State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Clemson

    Clemson
    Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
    Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

    Wake Forest @ Florida State
    Wake Forest
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State

    Florida State
    Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
    Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts
    Coastal Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Coastal Carolina's last 9 games on the road
    Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Massachusetts
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 8 games
    Massachusetts is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Penn State @ Indiana
    Penn State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games on the road
    Penn State is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Indiana

    Indiana
    Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State

    Minnesota @ Nebraska
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Nebraska
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    Texas El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
    Texas El Paso
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 7 games when playing Louisiana Tech
    Texas El Paso is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

    Louisiana Tech
    Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
    Louisiana Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Houston @ Navy
    Houston
    Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston's last 24 games

    Navy
    Navy is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Navy is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

    Southern Methodist @ Tulane
    Southern Methodist
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Tulane
    Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tulane

    Tulane
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
    Tulane is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

    Akron @ Kent State
    Akron
    Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games when playing Kent State

    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games when playing Akron
    Kent State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Akron

    Louisiana-Lafayette @ Appalachian State
    Louisiana-Lafayette
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games

    Appalachian State
    Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Memphis @ Missouri
    Memphis
    Memphis is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games

    Missouri
    Missouri is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games

    California @ Oregon State
    California
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of California's last 6 games when playing Oregon State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games on the road

    Oregon State
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oregon State's last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games when playing California

    Georgia Southern @ New Mexico State
    Georgia Southern
    Georgia Southern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    New Mexico State
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Mexico State's last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games

    Mississippi State @ Louisiana State
    Mississippi State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
    Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana State

    Louisiana State
    Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Louisiana State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Mississippi State

    Texas-San Antonio @ Southern Miss
    Texas-San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas-San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas-San Antonio's last 14 games

    Southern Miss
    Southern Miss is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Southern Miss is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Central Florida @ East Carolina
    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games when playing Central Florida
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Central Florida

    Connecticut @ South Florida
    Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing South Florida

    South Florida
    South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Texas State @ Louisiana-Monroe
    Texas State
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 11 games on the road
    Texas State is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

    Louisiana-Monroe
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

    Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
    Vanderbilt
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing Kentucky
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games

    Kentucky
    Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt

    Oregon @ Washington State
    Oregon
    Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon's last 10 games on the road

    Washington State
    Washington State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon

    Rice @ Florida International
    Rice
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 7 games

    Florida International
    Florida International is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Ohio State @ Purdue
    Ohio State
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games on the road

    Purdue
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
    Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    North Texas @ Alabama-Birmingham
    North Texas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games

    Alabama-Birmingham
    Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Alabama-Birmingham is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

    Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky
    Old Dominion
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

    Western Kentucky
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games at home
    Western Kentucky is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

    Fresno State @ New Mexico
    Fresno State
    Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
    Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico

    New Mexico
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
    New Mexico is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

    Southern California @ Utah
    Southern California
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games on the road
    Southern California is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

    Utah
    Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Utah is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

    Arizona @ California-Los Angeles
    Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road

    California-Los Angeles
    California-Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
    California-Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

    San Jose State @ San Diego State
    San Jose State
    San Jose State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    San Jose State is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games

    San Diego State
    San Diego State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
    San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State

    Nevada @ Hawaii
    Nevada
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing Hawaii
    Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii

    Hawaii
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing Nevada
    Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Troy @ South Alabama
    Troy
    Troy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Troy is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

    South Alabama
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Alabama's last 7 games
    South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 01:09 AM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,864
    Credits
    191,042

    Default

    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 8


    Thursday, October 18

    Georgia State @ Arkansas St

    Game 303-304
    October 18, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia State
    66.718
    Arkansas St
    83.218
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas St
    by 16 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas St
    by 14 1/2
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas St
    (-14 1/2); Under

    Stanford @ Arizona State


    Game 305-306
    October 18, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Stanford
    95.906
    Arizona State
    86.243
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Stanford
    by 9 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Stanford
    by 2 1/2
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Stanford
    (-2 1/2); Under



    Friday, October 19

    Colorado State @ Boise State

    Game 307-308
    October 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado State
    71.180
    Boise State
    91.957
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boise State
    by 21
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boise State
    by 23 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado State
    (+23 1/2); Under

    Air Force @ UNLV


    Game 309-310
    October 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Air Force
    80.112
    UNLV
    72.569
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Air Force
    by 7 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Air Force
    by 11
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    UNLV
    (+11); Over



    Saturday, October 20

    Vanderbilt @ Kentucky

    Game 311-312
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vanderbilt
    82.513
    Kentucky
    98.549
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kentucky
    by 16
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 11
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kentucky
    (-11); Over


    Cincinnati @ Temple

    Game 313-314
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    89.684
    Temple
    88.861
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Temple
    by 3 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+3 1/2); Over


    Central Florida @ East Carolina

    Game 315-316
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Central Florida
    95.767
    East Carolina
    77.190
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Florida
    by 18 1/2
    69
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Florida
    by 21 1/2
    66 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Carolina
    (+21 1/2); Over

    North Carolina @ Syracuse


    Game 317-318
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Carolina
    85.567
    Syracuse
    86.195
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Syracuse
    by 1
    70
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Syracuse
    by 9 1/2
    66 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (+9 1/2); Over


    Maryland @ Iowa

    Game 319-320
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Maryland
    87.439
    Iowa
    100.049
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa
    by 12 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa
    by 8 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa
    (-8 1/2); Over

    Virginia @ Duke


    Game 321-322
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Virginia
    94.080
    Duke
    94.646
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Duke
    by 1
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Duke
    by 7 1/2
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Virginia
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Florida Atlantic @ Marshall


    Game 323-324
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida Atlantic
    83.444
    Marshall
    77.733
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 5 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 2 1/2
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida Atlantic
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Northwestern @ Rutgers


    Game 325-326
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northwestern
    84.755
    Rutgers
    70.066
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northwestern
    by 14 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northwestern
    by 20 1/2
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rutgers
    (+20 1/2); Over

    Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts


    Game 327-328
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Coastal Carolina
    65.079
    Massachusetts
    66.603
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Massachusetts
    by 1 1/2
    88
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Massachusetts
    by 4
    72 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coastal Carolina
    (+4); Over

    Miami of Ohio @ Army


    Game 329-330
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami of Ohio
    80.533
    Army
    98.670
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 18
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Army
    by 7 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Army
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Michigan @ Michigan State


    Game 331-332
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan
    100.654
    Michigan State
    98.483
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan
    by 2
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 7
    41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan State
    (+7); Over

    Ohio State @ Purdue


    Game 333-334
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio State
    113.651
    Purdue
    98.328
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 15 1/2
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 13
    67
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (-13); Under

    Alabama @ Tennessee


    Game 335-336
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama
    115.434
    Tennessee
    89.681
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 26
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Alabama
    by 29
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (+29); Over

    Eastern Michigan @ Ball State


    Game 337-338
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Michigan
    79.939
    Ball State
    72.275
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Eastern Michigan
    by 7 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Eastern Michigan
    by 3
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Eastern Michigan
    (-3); Over

    Buffalo @ Toledo


    Game 339-340
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    83.038
    Toledo
    80.810
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 2
    73
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    Pick
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    Over

    Akron @ Kent State


    Game 341-342
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    67.798
    Kent State
    67.335
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kent State
    Even
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Akron
    by 4 1/2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kent State
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Penn State @ Indiana


    Game 343-344
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Penn State
    103.547
    Indiana
    91.030
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Penn State
    by 12 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Penn State
    by 16
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+16); Under

    Illinois @ Wisconsin


    Game 345-346
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Illinois
    77.367
    Wisconsin
    97.683
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 20 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 25 1/2
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois
    (+25 1/2); Under

    Houston @ Navy


    Game 347-348
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    90.893
    Navy
    76.287
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 14 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 12
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-12); Under


    Houston @ Navy

    Game 347-348
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    90.893
    Navy
    76.287
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 14 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 12
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-12); Under

    UTEP @ Louisiana Tech


    Game 349-350
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UTEP
    56.586
    Louisiana Tech
    82.243
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 25 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 23 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Louisiana Tech
    (-23 1/2); Under

    Rice @ FIU


    Game 351-352
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rice
    59.330
    FIU
    74.704
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    FIU
    by 15 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FIU
    by 23 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rice
    (+23 1/2); Over

    LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St


    Game 353-354
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Lafayette
    72.286
    Appalachian St
    100.067
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 28
    79
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 25
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Appalachian St
    (-25); Over

    Tulsa @ Arkansas


    Game 355-356
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tulsa
    71.446
    Arkansas
    84.942
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas
    by 13 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas
    by 7
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas
    (-7); Under

    Georgia Southern @ New Mexico St


    Game 357-358
    October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    78.522
    New Mexico St
    60.132
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 18 1/2
    79
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 12
    55
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia Southern
    (-12); Over

    Utah State @ Wyoming


    Game 359-360
    October 20, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah State
    94.251
    Wyoming
    76.290
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah State
    by 18
    36
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah State
    by 14 1/2
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah State
    (-14 1/2); Under

    Fresno State @ New Mexico


    Game 361-362
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fresno State
    90.167
    New Mexico
    80.153
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fresno State
    by 10
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fresno State
    by 14
    55
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico
    (+14); Under

    Western Michigan @ Central Michigan


    Game 363-364
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Michigan
    77.867
    Central Michigan
    71.109
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 7
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 3 1/2
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Michigan
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Arizona @ UCLA


    Game 365-366
    October 20, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    78.728
    UCLA
    91.604
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UCLA
    by 13
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UCLA
    by 7 1/2
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    UCLA
    (-7 1/2); Under

    Oregon @ Washington St


    Game 367-368
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oregon
    96.604
    Washington St
    94.716
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oregon
    by 2
    71
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington St
    by 3
    66 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oregon
    (+3); Over

    Colorado @ Washington


    Game 369-370
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    85.228
    Washington
    105.651
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 20 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 15
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-15); Over

    California @ Oregon State


    Game 371-372
    October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    California
    76.568
    Oregon State
    72.792
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    California
    by 4
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    California
    by 7
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oregon State
    (+7); Under

    Wake Forest @ Florida State


    Game 373-374
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wake Forest
    83.414
    Florida State
    87.995
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 4 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 10 1/2
    60
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wake Forest
    (+10 1/2); Under

    Bowling Green @ Ohio


    Game 375-376
    October 20, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Bowling Green
    56.946
    Ohio
    80.574
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio
    by 23 1/2
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio
    by 16 1/2
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio
    (-16 1/2); Over


    Texas State @ LA-Monroe

    Game 377-378
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas State
    59.501
    LA-Monroe
    64.606
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA-Monroe
    by 5
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA-Monroe
    by 10 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas State
    (+10 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Nebraska


    Game 379-380
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    84.347
    Nebraska
    80.897
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4
    65
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nebraska
    by 4
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+4); Over

    Connecticut @ South Florida


    Game 381-382
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    53.074
    South Florida
    91.435
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 38 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 33 1/2
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Florida
    (-33 1/2); Over

    Oklahoma @ TCU


    Game 383-384
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma
    103.728
    TCU
    103.295
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 1
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 8
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    TCU
    (+8); Under

    North Texas @ UAB


    Game 385-386
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Texas
    85.718
    UAB
    83.159
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Texas
    by 2 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Texas
    Pick
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Texas
    Under

    SMU @ Tulane


    Game 387-388
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SMU
    79.780
    Tulane
    77.996
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    SMU
    by 2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tulane
    by 7 1/2
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    SMU
    (+7 1/2); Under

    NC State @ Clemson


    Game 389-390
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NC State
    96.036
    Clemson
    116.541
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Clemson
    by 20 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Clemson
    by 16 1/2
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Clemson
    (-16 1/2); Under

    Kansas @ Texas Tech


    Game 391-392
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas
    79.981
    Texas Tech
    102.228
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 22 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 19 1/2
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (-19 1/2); Under

    TX-San Antonio @ Southern Miss


    Game 393-394
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    TX-San Antonio
    64.246
    Southern Miss
    75.458
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Southern Miss
    by 11
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Southern Miss
    by 17 1/2
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    TX-San Antonio
    (+17 1/2); Over

    Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee St


    Game 395-396
    October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    60.645
    Middle Tennessee
    80.689
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Middle Tennessee
    by 20
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Middle Tennessee
    by 17
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    Middle Tennessee
    (-17); Over

    Memphis @ Missouri


    Game 397-398
    October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    90.459
    Missouri
    95.446
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Missouri
    by 5
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Missouri
    by 10
    74
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+10); Under

    Auburn @ Mississippi


    Game 399-400
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Auburn
    89.540
    Mississippi
    89.156
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi
    Even
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 3 1/2
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Mississippi
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky


    Game 401-402
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Old Dominion
    67.608
    Western Kentucky
    67.537
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Old Dominion
    Even
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Kentucky
    by 5
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Old Dominion
    (+5); Under

    Mississippi St @ LSU


    Game 403-404
    October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mississippi St
    96.076
    LSU
    105.833
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LSU
    by 10
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LSU
    by 6 1/2
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LSU
    (-6 1/2); Under

    USC @ Utah


    Game 405-406
    October 20, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    USC
    94.874
    Utah
    103.276
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 8 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 6 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-6 1/2); Over


    USC @ Utah

    Game 405-406
    October 20, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    USC
    94.874
    Utah
    103.276
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 8 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 6 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-6 1/2); Over

    San Jose St @ San Diego St


    Game 407-408
    October 20, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose St
    59.771
    San Diego St
    92.249
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    by 32 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego St
    by 28
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego St
    (-28); Over

    Nevada @ Hawaii


    Game 409-410
    October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nevada
    80.292
    Hawaii
    74.756
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nevada
    by 5 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hawaii
    by 3
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nevada
    (+3); Under

    Idaho State @ Liberty


    Game 411-412
    October 20, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Idaho State
    67.373
    Liberty
    71.196
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Liberty
    by 4
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Liberty
    by 6 1/2
    78
    Dunkel Pick:
    Idaho State
    (+6 1/2); Under
    Last edited by Udog; 10-17-2018 at 12:10 PM.

  7. #7
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    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 8


    Thursday’s games
    Georgia State lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-2-1 as road underdogs this year, losing by 34-37-17 points on foreign soil. Before this year, Panthers had been 19-5-1 vs spread as road dogs- they allowed 337 rushing yards in 37-20 loss at Troy LW. Under Anderson, Arkansas State is 13-8 as home favorites, 0-1 this year- they lost last two games, scoring 21-9 points. Last four ASU games stayed under the total. ASU won its last four games with Georgia State, winning 48-34/35-33 in last two meetings played here. Sun Belt home favorites are 3-3.

    Stanford won five of last six games with Arizona State, but lost last trip to desert 26-10 (-3). Cardinal gave up 109 points in last three games, losing 38-17/40-21 in last two; they were out rushed 494-97 in last two games. Stanford is 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-0 this year- their last three games went over. Arizona St lost three of last four games, with all three losses by 7 points; Sun Devils covered six of last eight games as home underdogs. Pac-12 home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread so far this season.

    Friday’s games
    Boise State won its last six games with Colorado State, but games last two years were 28-23/59-52; Rams lost last three games on the Blue Turf by 5-13-28 points. Boise scored 31+ points in all four of its wins, were held to 21-13 in losses; they’re 5-16 vs spread in their last 21 home games, all as a favorite- three of their last four games stayed under. CSU won its last two games after a 1-4 start; under Bobo, Rams are 6-2 as road underdogs- they’re 1-1 in true road tilts this year, losing 48-10 at Florida (+20), winning 42-30 at San Jose State (-3).

    Air Force lost three of last four games, with one win over rival Navy; over last 3+ years, Falcons are 2-7 as road favorites- four of their last five games stayed under total. AF held San Diego St to 297 TY LW, but lost 21-17 on late TD pass. UNLV’s backup QB is completing 45.8% of his passes, not good enough. Rebels lost last three games, allowing 50-59 points in last two. Under Sanchez, UNLV is 1-5 as home underdogs. Air Force won its last two games with UNLV, 34-30/48-21; they won two of last three visits to the Strip, winning by 27-15 points.

    Saturday’s best 13 games
    Cincinnati is an underdog despite being 6-0; under Fickell, Bearcats are 6-1 as road underdogs, 2-0 this year. Cincy ran ball for 320-272 yards in last two games; they’re 2-0 on road this year, winning at UCLA/UConn. Temple won four of its last five games after an 0-2 start; Owls are 9-6 in last 15 games as home favorites. Temple won its last three games with Cincinnati, by 11-21-8 points; Bearcats won two of last three visits here, in series where road team won four of last six meetings. AAC home favorites are 6-2 vs spread this season.

    Virginia won its last three games with Duke, by 7-14-8 points; they lost two of last three visits to Duke, winning 34-20 in last visit here two years ago. Cavaliers upset Miami 16-13 at home LW despite being outgained by 108 yards; under Mendenhall, they’re 6-7 as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Duke is 5-1 after winning at Ga Tech LW; Blue Devils ran ball for only 71-98 yards in last two games- last three years, they’re 5-4 as home favorites, 1-1 this year. ACC home favorites are 3-5 vs spread so far this season.

    Michigan State is 8-2 in its last 10 games with Michigan, covering all ten games; Wolverines won last visit here 32-23 (-25) two years ago, but lost 25-11/29-6 in previous two visits. Michigan won its last six games after an opening loss at Notre Dame; they beat Northwestern 20-17 in only other road games. Under Harbaugh, Michigan is 5-7 as road favorites. Spartans are 4-2; they were held under 20 points in both losses- they had big win at Penn St LW. MSU is 5-1 in last six games as home underdogs. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-8 vs spread this season.

    Home side won last three Houston-Navy games; Cougars (-17) lost 46-40 here two years ago. Navy is down a little this year, losing last three games, scoring total of 24 points in last couple games. Middies are 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Houston has scored 41+ points in all five I-A games this year; they’re 4-8 in last dozen games as road favorites, 1-2 this year- all four of their I-A wins are by 15+ points, with 41-26 win over Tulsa closest win- they lost 63-49 at Texas Tech. AAC home underdogs are 5-3 this season; AAC home teams are 11-5 overall.

    Arizona (+2) beat UCLA 47-30 LY, snapping 5-game skid vs Bruins; Wildcats lost last three visits to Rose Bowl, by 21-10-56 points. Arizona is 2-11 vs spread in last 13 games as a road favorite, 0-2 this year, with road losses 45-18 at Houston, 42-10 at Utah LW. Wildcats gave up 450+ TY in each of last three games. UCLA got first win LW after an 0-5 start; Bruins were +5 in TO’s LW, but are 5-11 vs spread in last 16 games as home favorites. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this year. Last four Arizona games stayed under total.

    Washington State won last three games with Oregon, by 23-18-7 points; teams split last two meetings played here, with average total in those games, 76.5. Oregon scored 72 points in winning its last two games, edging Washington 30-27 LW. Ducks are 1-5-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. Wazzu is 15-8 in its last 23 games as home favorites; Coogs are 5-1 this year, with 39-36 loss at USC- they allowed 481 YR in last two games, but they did have last week off. Pac-12 favorites are 12-8 against the spread this season, 6-4 at home.

    Washington won its last six games with Colorado, winning 59-7/52-24 in last two games played here. Under Petersen, Huskies are 9-5 vs spread coming off a loss; they gained 437+ TY in each of last three games, but lost 30-27 at Oregon LW. Buffs lost 31-20 at USC LW, their first loss after a 5-0 start; Colorado is 9-6 in last 15 games as road underdogs- under MacIntyre, they’re 17-16 vs spread coming off a loss. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this year. Four of last five U-Dub games, last three Colorado games stayed under total.

    Oklahoma won its last four games with TCU, with average total of 68.3. Sooners won two of last three visits to TCU; all three of those games were decided by 7 or fewer points. Oklahoma fired its DC after 48-45 loss to rival Texas two weeks ago; under Riley, Sooners are 1-3 as road faves, 0-1 this year. Horned Frogs lost three of last four games, were held to 16-17-14 points in last three; since ’13, TCU is 3-1 as home underdogs- their last three games stayed under total. Big X home underdogs are 6-2 vs spread this year. Over is 5-1 in Oklahoma games this year.

    Clemson won its last six games vs NC State, winning last three played here, by 7-41-14 points; they won last two games vs Wolfpack by seven points each. Tigers ran ball for 471 yards in LW’s 63-3 win, with #2 QB Lawrence back under center. Since 2013, Clemson is 17-15-1 as home favorites, but they’re 0-2 this year, barely beat Syracuse 27-23 in last home tilt. Wolfpack is 5-0 with only one road win, 37-20 at Marshall. Under Doeren, NC State is 6-8-1 vs spread as a road underdog. ACC home favorites are 3-5 vs spread this season.

    Missouri allowed 119 points in losing its first three SEC games, with a -5 TO ratio; under Odom, they’re 7-5 as home favorites, 5-1 when laying double digits. Memphis lost 31-30 to UCF LW, giving up last 17 points of game; Tigers are 6-3-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Memphis is 0-2 on road this year, losing 22-21 at Navy, 40-24 at Tulane; could Missouri take out some of their frustrations here? SEC home favorites are 10-7 vs spread outside the conference; AAC road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread. Over is 4-1 in Mizzou games, 0-3 in last three Memphis tilts.

    Ole Miss was down 31-7 at half LW but rallied to win 37-33 at Arkansas; Rebels gained 826-611 TY in last two games, throwing for 904 yards. Since ’09, Ole Miss is 8-13 vs spread when getting points at home. Auburn won four of last five games with Ole Miss, winning 40-29/35-31 in last two visits here. Tigers lost last two games overall, losing as 15-point favorite to Tennessee LW. Under Malzahn, Auburn is 7-4-1 as road favorites, 0-1 this year. SEC home underdogs are 8-6 vs spread this season. Four of last five Auburn games stayed under.

    Mississippi State/LSU split their last four meetings, with Bulldogs covering all four games; MSU lost two of last three visits to Baton Rouge, with losses by 3-20 points. Bulldogs scored only 36 points in losing two of first three SEC games; MSU is 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. LSU upset Georgia at home LW; under Orgeron, Tigers are 3-4 as home favorites. SEC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this season; SEC favorites are 15-11 overall this year. Under is 4-1 in Miss State games; last four LSU games went over the total.

    Home side won last five USC-Utah games; Trojans lost 31-27/24-21 in last two visits here. USC won its last three games, scoring 31.3 ppg; under Helton, USC is just 1-5 as road underdogs- they lost 17-3 at Stanford, 37-14 at Texas this year, but won last road tilt, 24-20 at Arizona. Utes scored 40-42 points in winning their last two games; Utah covered five of its last six games as home favorites. Utah ran ball for 204+ yards in last three games; Wazzu/Stanford burned their pass defense with 445-381 PY. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this season.

    Trends on non-top 13 college football games
    13) Kentucky beat Vanderbilt last two years, 44-21/20-13, but Wildcats failed to cover its last six games as a home favorite. Vandy is 2-5 in its last seven games as road underdogs. Under is 4-1 in Kentucky games this year.

    12) North Carolina is 0-3 on road this season, with losses by 7-22-37 points. Since 2013, UNC is 6-3-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Syracuse lost its last two games, 27-23/44-37; they’re 1-5 in last six gams as home favorites. This is teams’ first football meeting as ACC rivals.

    11) Home side won both Maryland-Iowa games as Big 14 rivals; Terrapins lost 31-15 in last visit here. Maryland is 3-6 in its last nine games as road underdogs. Iowa is 5-1, scoring 48-42 in winning its last two games; Hawkeyes are 4-2-1 in last seven games as home favorites.

    10) Marshall won four of last five games with Florida Atlantic, losing 30-25 (+7) at FAU last year; Owls lost 27-21/35-16 in last two visits here. Under Kiffin, FAU is 3-2 as road favorites. Since 2012, Marshall is 3-5 vs spread as a home underdog.

    9) Eastern Michigan beat Ball State last two years, 56-14/48-41; Eagles lost four of last five games- their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points. Over last 11 years, EMU is 1-1 as a road favorite. Ball State is 2-7 in its last nine games as home underdogs.

    8) Penn State won its last four games with Indiana, winning 45-31/13-7 in last two visits here; under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 7-3 vs spread as road favorites, 1-9 coming off a loss- they lost last weeks, both at home. Hoosiers are 2-6 in last eight games as home underdogs.

    7) Utah State scored 55.8 ppg in winning its last five games since a 38-31 loss at Michigan State in their opener; all six of their games went over total. Wyoming is 7-4 in last 11 games as a home underdog, but are 0-2 in that role this year. Aggies/Wyoming split their last six meetings.

    6) Fresno State won its last four games with New Mexico, winning 35-24/49-32 in their last two trips to Albuquerque. Bulldogs won/covered their last four games, giving up 3-3 points in last two weeks. Lobos are 6-2 in last eight games as a home underdog.

    5) Cal Bears won three of last four games with Oregon State; they lost two of last three visits to Corvallis. California lost its last three games; they’re 2-7-1 in last ten games as road favorites. Beavers is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with one loss by less than 19 points; they’re 1-4 vs spread this year.

    4) Florida State won its last six games with Wake Forest, winning last three, by 7-11-8 points; since 2014, Seminoles are 11-15 as home favorites- their last three games went over. Deacons lost 63-3 to Clemson LW; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs.

    3) Minnesota/Nebraska split their last six meetings; Gophers won LY’s game, 54-21. Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 40 ppg; they’re 3-6-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Cornhuskers are 0-6 SU this year; their last four games went over the total.

    2) SMU won its last three games with Tulane, by 3-4-28 points; their last two visits here were decided by total of five points. SMU is 0-3 on road this year, losing by 23-25-28 points; they’re 2-4-1 in last seven games as road dogs. Tulane is 7-3 in last 10 games as home favorites.

    1) Home side won last three Nevada-Hawai’i games; Wolf Pack lost last visit here 38-17, after winning previous two trips to Paradise. Nevada is 5-9 in its last 14 games as road underdogs. Hawai’i is 3-12 vs spread in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
    Last edited by Udog; 10-18-2018 at 11:48 PM.

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    Michigan a 7-point fave at Michigan State in college football Week 8 opening odds
    Patrick Everson

    Quarterback Brian Lewerke and Michigan State upset host Penn State in Week 7, but oddsmakers still made the Spartans 7-point home underdogs against instate rival Michigan in Week 8.

    A bragging-rights battle in the Great Lakes State is among the highlights on college football’s Week 8 docket. Covers checks in on the opening lines and early action for four matchups, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, sportsbook supervisor at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
    No. 7 Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (+7)

    Michigan State was a bit uneven while going off as a favorite in its first five games, but looked just fine in its first outing as an underdog. The Spartans (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) were catching 13.5 points at Penn State in Week 7 and hung around throughout, winning 21-17 on a last-minute touchdown.

    Michigan has six straight wins since falling in its season opener at Notre Dame. In Week 7, the Wolverines (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) hammered Wisconsin 38-13 as 10-point home favorites. Jim Harbaugh’s troops could have revenge on their mind after losing 14-10 as hefty 13-point home faves last year.

    In fact, Sparty has cashed the last 10 in this rivalry, going 8-2 SU.

    “This line would be higher if these teams weren’t instate rivals,” Wilkinson said. “Michigan is definitely the superior team. Even though it’s in East Lansing, I think the smart money will be on Michigan and that the line will probably go to -7.5 in a day or two.”

    No. 11 Oregon Ducks at No. 23 Washington State Cougars (Pick)

    Oregon sits at 5-1 SU and could easily be undefeated if not for some questionable play-calling late in the fourth quarter of what became an overtime home loss to Stanford. The Ducks (2-4 ATS) rebounded with a pair of wins, including a 30-27 Week 7 overtime victory against Washington as 3.5-point home underdogs.

    Washington State could also have been unbeaten heading into this matchup, giving Southern California all it could handle in a 3-point loss in Week 4. The Cougars (5-1 SU) lead the nation with a perfect 6-0 ATS mark, narrowly cashing as 18.5-point faves in a 56-37 win at Oregon State in Week 6.

    The Cougars had a bye this past week.

    “We actually like Oregon to win this one, but we opened it at pick because some other books have Washington State favored by as many as 2 points,” Wilkinson said. “I think everyone will be at pick or Oregon -1 by Saturday.”

    No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Christian Horned Frogs (+7.5)

    Perennial College Football Playoff contender Oklahoma enters this game off a much-needed bye, after stubbing its toe in Week 6 against Texas. The Sooners (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) had to rally throughout, trailing 45-24 well into the fourth quarter, and came up short in a 48-45 loss laying 7 points in a neutral-site game.

    Texas Christian is not having its typical top-25 season, sitting at .500 through six games. The Horned Frogs (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) tumbled to Texas Tech in a Week 7 Thursday nighter, losing 17-14 as 7.5-point home favorites.

    “TCU doesn’t have the caliber of team that it’s had in past years,” Wilkinson said. “I’m anticipating that line to either stay at 7.5 or possibly go up to 8.”

    Mississippi State Bulldogs at Louisiana State Tigers (-6.5)

    Louisiana State saw its perfect record go by the wayside in Week 6 at Florida, but came back in one of the most resounding ways possible. The Tigers (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) were 7-point home underdogs to Georgia in Week 7, but showed up big in a 36-16 rout.

    Mississippi State got out of the gate 3-0 SU and ATS, dumped two in a row, then got back on track with a 23-9 Week 6 win over Auburn getting 3 points at home. The Bulldogs (4-2 SU and ATS) had a bye in Week 7.

    “LSU might blow this game wide open at home, so I think that line is going to go to at least 7,” Wilkinson said. “It’ll be interesting to see where the sharp money goes. I think it’ll be on LSU.”
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018 at 12:44 PM.

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    Hot & Not Report

    Week of October 15th

    With last week's piece focusing on recent happenings in the NFL, it is safe to say at least one of those trends reversed course in Week 6. That would be a week without a close game for Cleveland, as the Cleveland Browns finally got blown out. All the fatigue – mental and physical – of playing in tight games and multiple OT games through the first five weeks may have finally caught up to them.

    However, even with the Eagles bucking two strong trends on TNF of winning ATS as the road team and as a road favorite, the trend of backing road favorites in the NFL this year still came out with a losing record 3-4 ATS for the week. Philly (TNF), Seattle (in London), and the Baltimore Ravens were the only visitors laying chalk to cash a ticket, as Chicago, Carolina, Jacksonville, and the L.A Rams all coming up short ATS-wise, as the former three teams ended up losing SU as well.

    So the record was better for road favorites at 3-4 ATS in Week 6, but road favorites are still on a 5-13 ATS run over the past four weeks. That isn't ideal for the NFL teams in road favorite spots for this upcoming week, as the likes of Denver, Minnesota, New England, and the L.A Rams are all in that role for Week 7.

    But this week it's back to the collegiate ranks after a weekend full of upsets in the college football world proved once again that Top 25 rankings are a nice simply way to judge teams, but they really don't mean a whole lot until at least after Halloween. Eight different programs that entered last week lost outright this past weekend, as the entire landscape got a nice mid-October shake-up. It's these teams (and rankings) that are my focus today.

    Who's Hot

    Anybody ATS against Top 25 ranked squads – Especially at Home or as Underdogs


    Of the eight Top 25 teams to lose outright this past week, six of those SU losses came on the road, with four of the six home teams catching points. All four of those home dogs obviously won the game outright so ATS wins followed, but even the home sides in the Wisconsin/Michigan and Colorado/USC games which had Top 25 teams on the road saw the home favorite win SU and ATS as well.

    That's not to mention that other home teams hosting Top 25 foes this past week finished the weekend off with a 1-2 ATS record in three close games, with both of those ATS losses coming by the hook with Vanderbilt losing by 10 at +9.5 and South Carolina losing by 3 at +2.5. So if you're going to take down a Top 25 program this year as a fringe type squad, you'd better hope that game is at least at home.

    However, being on the road isn't all bad for teams up against Top 25 squads either, especially if it's somewhat of an “easy” opponent for those Top 25 schools, where they are expected to win easily and move on to bigger things. This week we saw the likes of Ohio State, Auburn (one of the outright losers at home), Notre Dame, Texas, Penn State (other outright loser at home), and Alabama go a combined 1-5 ATS this week, with only Alabama's 29-point win as 28.5-point home favorites as the lone winner.

    That's an ugly record to say the least, as seemingly every year bettors buy into these CFB rankings earlier than needed (really ever needed), and not fully grasp that the point spread can be the great equalizer. To have a week where Top 25 teams go 3-9 ATS (eliminating games where Top 25 played another Top 25) overall and having all three of those ATS wins come by the hook in each individual game is really surprising.

    Sometimes you'd think the rankings would be more accurate than they seem to be, but right now don't worry about these weekly Top 25 rankings that come out nationally except for one thing.

    Who's Not

    Top 25 teams on the road – 2-7 ATS last week; 4-12 ATS last two weeks


    Ignoring the CFB rankings should happen all the time from a handicapping perspective if you ask me, unless you are using them as a great guideline of teams to “fade” as their stock becomes overvalued. The fact that we had a week of numerous ranked squads go down shouldn't be that surprising, it happens every year in college, and when you go back and see that it was a bit of a perfect storm with so many of them on the road, you'll see that Top 25 teams away from home are generally ones that should top your “fade” list every week.

    I've already discussed how last week's record for Top 25 ATS teams was 2-7 ATS with both victories coming by the hook. A bounce or two the other way and it could have easily been a goose egg for those squads as it goes to show you just how hard it can be for talented college teams to win in hostile territory.

    So who do we've got that fits the bill of being visitors this week and should be near the top of your “fade” list?

    Well, #9 Oklahoma is the first candidate as they are currently -7.5 on the road against a slumping TCU team. Oklahoma is off a bye week though after the Red River Rivalry loss, so keep that in mind as well.

    Secondly, we've got #20 Cincinnati (+4) on the road against Temple, while the #6 Michigan Wolverines look to keep their playoff hopes alive as -7 road chalk in East Lansing against #24 Michigan State. The Spartans are off a huge upset win at Penn State, so a possible letdown scenario does exist, but given how big that Michigan/Michigan State rivalry game is, I wouldn't back a possible letdown spot for the Spartans.

    After that, we've got #1 Alabama (-28.5), #18 Penn State (-14), #16 NC State (+16), #10 UCF (-21), #22 Mississippi State (+6.5), #2 Ohio State (-14), and #12 Oregon (pick'em) as ranked teams out on the road this week. Both NC State and Mississippi State are underdogs as they visit a much higher ranked foe (Clemson and LSU respectively), and are probably going to struggle to cover the number as is.

    But don't be surprised to see plays against all these 10 ranked road teams come out with a winning record when all the dust has settled Saturday night, it has happened the last two weeks after all.

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    Tech Trends - Week 8
    Bruce Marshall

    Thursday, Oct. 18

    GEORGIA STATE at ARKANSAS STATE
    ...Ark State 1-7 last 8, 2-9 vs. line last 11 on board. GSU 0-3 TY in once-feared road dog role, had been 19-6 in role entering 2018.
    Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.


    STANFORD at ARIZONA STATE
    ...Tree 1-6 vs. line as visitor since last season, though was 3-0 at neutral sites in 2017. Herm 3-0 vs. line at home this season.
    Slight to Arizona State, based on team trends.


    Friday, Oct. 19

    COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE
    ...Bobo 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid 2017, though has covered last two TY. Boise however just 2-11 last 13 as MW chalk on blue carpet. Road team has covered last 3 and 6 of last 7 in series.
    Colorado State, based on team and series trends.


    AIR FORCE at UNLV
    ...Sanchez just 3-7 vs. line last 10 at Sam Boyd, and 4-9 vs. line last 13 as MW host.
    Air Force, based on team trends.


    Saturday, Oct. 20

    VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY
    ...Dores 1-5 vs. line last six as SEC visitor and have lost and failed to cover last two vs. UK.
    Kentucky, based on recent trends.


    CINCINNATI at TEMPLE
    ...Owls have won and covered last three meetings, though Cincy is 6-0 SU and 5-‘1 vs. line this season. Fickell 7-2 as dog since LY. Temple 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, and Owlies 10-2 last 12 vs. line as host vs. American foes.
    Slight to Temple, based on team and series trends.


    UCF at EAST CAROLINA
    ...Heupel 4-2 vs. line TY, and Golden Knights have routed ECU past two seasons, UCF 5-1 vs. spread away since LY. ECU 6-12 vs. spread at home for Montgomery (since 2016), 6-16-1 overall as dog for Scottie. Montgomery also 8-21-1 vs. spread since taking over Pirates.
    UCF, based on team trends.


    NORTH CAROLINA at SYRACUSE
    ...Babers 4-1-1 vs line TY, 2-0-1 vs. spread at Dome. Fedora 3-1 as dog TY but entered 2018 on 5-8-1 skid getting points.
    Syracuse, based on recent trends.


    MARYLAND at IOWA
    ...Rough Hawkeyes on 7-1 spread uptick since late 2017. Ferentz 9-2-1 last 12 vs. points in Iowa City. Terps 1-1 as dog this season but 3-6 last 9 in role.
    Iowa, based on team trends.


    VIRGINIA at DUKE
    ...Mendenhall 2-0 SU and vs. line against Cutcliffe, Cavs 3-0 SU and vs. spread last three vs. Blue Devils. Cavs 5-1 vs. line this season. Cutcliffe just 2-4-1 vs. points last seven at Durham.
    Virginia, based on team and recent series trends.


    FAU at MARSHALL
    ...Lane Kiffin 10-1 SU last 11 vs. C-USA foes, 8-3 vs. line in those games. Marshall was one he didn’t cover last season because Kiffin took safety in last seconds! Herd 4-11 vs. line last 15 at home.
    FAU, based on team trends.


    NORTHWESTERN at RUTGERS
    ...‘Gers in 1-5 spread slump TY, though Ash is 4-3 last 7 as New Brunswick dog. Pat Fitz has covered last 5 on Big Ten road and 10-2-1 vs. spread last 13 reg season games since mid 2017.
    Northwestern, based on team trends.


    COASTAL CAROLINA at UMASS...UMass on 1-5 spread skid TY though is 2-1 vs. spread at home and 2-0 as chalk TY. CC was 3-1-1 as road dog LY but just 1-2 in role to date TY.
    Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on recent UMass woes.


    MIAMI-OHIO at ARMY
    ...Army 1-0-1 vs. line at home TY but Monken was only 1-4 as West Point chalk LY. Though Black Knights 4-0-1 last four on board in 2018.
    Army, based on recent trends.


    MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE.
    ..Dantonio is 2-1 SU and 3-0 vs. line against Harbaugh, though note road team has won SU last three years. Dantonio has also covered last ten in series (also vs. Rich-Rod and Brady Hoke). Harbaugh 0-2 vs. line on road in 2018, however, and 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from Big House. Dantonio 20-7 as dog since 2011.
    Michigan State, based on team and series trends.


    OHIO STATE at PURDUE
    ...Brohm 6-4 vs. line at Ross-Ade since arriving LY and 13-6 overall vs. number with Boilermakers. Also 7-2 as dog with Purdue. Urban no covers first two away from big Horseshoe TY and was only 5-5 as visiting chalk previous two seasons.
    Purdue, based on team trends.


    ALABAMA at TENNESSEE
    ...Saban 1-3 vs. line last four this season but is 11-0 SU vs. UT since taking over Bama in 2007. Tide has covered 6 of last 8 meetings. Saban 5-2-1 last 8 as DD Tuscaloosa SEC chalk. UT 3-8-1 last 12 as dog.
    Alabama, based on team and series trends.


    EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE
    ...EMU has won and covered last two meetings. Likely rare road chalk role for Eagles, overall away they’re 14-3 last 17 vs. spread. Ball 8-19 vs. points at Muncie since 2014.
    Eastern Michigan, based on team and series trends.


    BUFFALO at TOLEDO
    ... Bulls 8-1 vs. spread last nine away. If dog, UB 6-1-1 last 8 in role. Rockets only 2-6 last eight vs. spread since late 2017.
    Buffalo, based on team trends.


    AKRON at KENT STATE
    ...Kent State has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series. Golden Flashes 5-3 vs. spread since late 2017.
    Slight to Kent State, based on series trends.


    PENN STATE at INDIANA
    ...James Franklin 4-0 SU vs. IU since arriving at Happy Valley, also has covered last three vs. Hoosiers. Franklin 7-2 vs. spread last nine on Big Ten road. Also 22-6 last 28 on board since early 2016. Hoosiers 2-6 last eight as home dog.
    Penn State, based on team and series trends.


    ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN
    ...Lovie 4-11 vs. line last 15 in Big Ten, though he did cover vs. Badgers LY. Interestingly, Wiscy no covers first four at Camp Randall TY.
    Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.


    HOUSTON at NAVY
    ...Major Applewhite 2-7 vs. line as favorite away from home with Cougs. Home team has won and covered last three years in series. Navy 4-1 last five as home dog.
    Navy, based on series and team trends.


    UTEP at LA TECH
    ...Dimel has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 TY as Miners try to exit doldrums. Though UTEP just 3-6-1 vs. spread away since LY. Skip Holtz 37-23 vs. line since 2014 and 10-6 last 16 laying DD.
    La Tech, based on team trends.


    RICE at FIU
    ...Owls no covers last 4 in 2018. Also 4-10 last 14 as DD dog. Butch Davis 10-3 vs. spread last 13 in reg season.
    FIU, based on team trends.


    ULL at APP STATE
    ...Mounties spotless 5-0 vs. line in 2018, have now covered nine in a row since late 2017. App has won last four SU vs ULL and covered last two, total score last two is 87-14! Cajuns 1-6 as DD dog since 2017 (1-1 TY).
    App State, based on team and series trends.


    TULSA at ARKANSAS
    ...Hogs 0-3 as chalk in 2018, 2-9 laying points since 2016. Porkers 1-8 vs. points last nine non-SEC games. Tulsa 11-4 as visiting dog since 2014.
    Tulsa, based on team trends.


    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE
    ...Ga So 5-1 vs. line TY, 7-2 last nine since late 2017. Ags however have covered last four years in series. After dropping seven straight vs. spread in reg season, NMSU has won and covered two of last three TY.
    Slight to Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.


    UTAH STATE at WYOMING...Utags 5-0-1 vs. line TY, 7-1-1 last nine reg season games. Bohl has won and covered last two meetings though Utags won and covered preceding three. Bohl no covers last six in 2018 and 1-8 last 9 vs spread in reg season (all minus Josh Allen).
    Utah State, based on team trends.


    FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO
    ...Tedford 15-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno LY, Dawgs on 20-5-2 spread run since mid 2016 (post-DeRuyter). Davie 19-11 in dog role since late 2014.
    Slight to Fresno State, based on team trends.


    WESTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
    ...Road team has covered six in this MAC rivalry. Though Broncos just 3-6-1 vs. line away since LY for Lester. CMU on 9-3 reg season spread uptick.
    Slight to Western Michigan, based on series road trend.


    ARIZONA at UCLA
    ...Mora had dominated UA, winning and covering five in a row until LY’s lopsided 47-30 loss in Tucson. Bruins however just 6-15 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since 2014 and 10-19-1 last 30 on board. Sumlin teams 9-14 vs. spread last 22 as visitor. Cats no covers last four at Rose Bowl, where Sumlin also took a painful SU loss with A&M LY.
    Slight to UCLA, based on series trends.


    WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE
    ...Clawson just 1-5 vs. line in 2018 and 0-2 in once solid dog role (now 14-5-1 last 20). Wake 2-0-1 vs. spread last three in series, however. Noles 1-4 as chalk TY, 6-11-2 on board since 2017.
    Wake Forest, based on extended team and series trends.


    BOWLING GREEN at OHIO
    ...Falcons 2-4-1 vs. line TY, 9-21-1 since 2016, all under Mike Jinks, dismissed as HC on Sunday night. (Ex-FAU HC Carl Pelini now the interim.) Ohio 16-10 last 26 vs. line since mid 2016.
    Ohio, based on team trends.


    TEXAS STATE at ULM
    ...Tex State 2-4 vs. line TY, 8-14 last 22 on board. Matt Viator's ULM, however, on 2-7 spread skid since late 2017 and just 2-5-1 as chalk with Warhawks since 2016.
    Slight to Texas State, based on recent trends.


    MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Fleck just 3-8-1 vs. spread in Big Ten play with Gophers but one of those wins was a romp past Huskers 54-21 LY. Frost no spread losses last 2 TY but just 1-4-1 vs. line in 2018, and Huskers no covers last five as Lincoln chalk.
    Slight to Minnesota, based on recent trends.


    UCONN at SOUTH FLORIDA
    ...UConn 0-5-1 vs. line TY, though Huskies have covered last two years in series. Charlie Strong, however, just 1-7 last 8 as DD chalk with Bulls.
    Slight to UConn, based on team and series trends.


    OKLAHOMA at TCU
    ...Frogs no covers last 3 TY. Sooners have covered last 2 in series, and TCU 2-13-1 last 16 vs. spread at Fort Worth.
    Oklahoma, based on team trends.


    NORTH TEXAS at UAB
    ...UAB 9-0-1 vs. spread last 10 at Legion Field! Bill Clark on 15-5-1 spread run since late 2014.
    UAB, based on team trends.


    SMU at TULANE
    ... Home team is 6-0 vs. line in Wave games this season (Tulane 3-0 at home). Fritz now on 8-1 spread run at home since 2017. Painful loss to Ponies kept Wave out of bowl LY. SMU on 2-7 spread skid .
    Tulane, based on team trends.


    NC STATE at CLEMSON
    ...Pack 6-4 last ten as dog, has covered last two vs. Dabo. Clemson 0-3 vs. spread at home TY.
    North Carolina State, based on team trends.


    KANSAS at TEXAS TECH
    ...TT destroyed KU the past two years and 3-1-1 last five vs. line in series. Jayhawks 1-1 as DD dog in 2018 after 2-5-1 in role LY. Kingsbury on 21-13-1 spread uptick since late 2015.
    Texas Tech, based on team and recent series trends.


    UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS...Roadrunners were on 0-9 spread skid before recent win at Rice. UTSA also 2-13 last 15 on board.
    Southern Miss, based on team trends.


    CHARLOTTE at MTSU
    ...49ers just 2-7 last nine as road dog. MTSU has won and covered last three meetings. Stockstill has also covered last 4 in Murfreesboro.
    Middle Tennessee, based on team trends.


    MEMPHIS at MISSOURI
    ...Home teams are 6-1 vs. line in Memphis games this season (Mem 0-2 away). Mizzou on 10-4 reg season spread uptick and has covered six straight at Columbia.
    Mizzou, based on team trends.


    AUBURN at OLE MISS
    ...Malzahn 2-5 vs. line TY, 7-12-2 since 2017, 19-36-2 since early 2014. Road team has covered last four in series. Matt Luke just 4-7 vs. spread at Vaught-Hemingway since 2017.
    Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.


    OLD DOMINION at WKU
    ...Tops 2-9 as chalk since LY, including a non-cover at ODU. Monarchs just 4-10 last 14 as road dog.
    Slight to ODU, based on team trends.


    MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU
    ...Dan Mullen covered his last four vs. LSU before moving to Florida. Bulldogs 9-5 as road dog since 2013. Orgeron 3-6 last 9 as Tiger Stadium chalk.
    MSU, based on team and series trends.


    USC at UTAH
    ...Helton on 6-14 last 20 vs. line. Utes 3-1 last 4, 4-2 vs. line last six meetings. Whittingham 2-0 SU and vs. line at home vs. Trojans. Utes 10-4 vs. spread last 14 at Rice-Eccles.
    Utah, based on team and series trends.


    SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE
    ...Rocky has destroyed SJSU last four years and Aztecs have won and covered last five meetings. Though Spartans 2-0 as road dog TY. Rocky 2-8 last ten as home chalk.
    Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.


    NEVADA at HAWAII
    ... Home team has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. Pack just 5-9 as road dog since 2016. Rolovich 2-1 vs. FBS at Aloha TY after 0-8-1 in nine prior vs. FBS at home.
    Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

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    The Cure for What Ails Them?

    The Northwestern Wildcats are saddled with one of the worst running games in all of Division I – but things might turn around for them this Saturday as they take on the host Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The Wildcats enter the weekend averaging a dismal 69.1 rushing yards per game on 2.2 yards per carry; both of those figures rank them 128th out of 129 Division I teams. But while the Wildcats are happy to lean on a passing game that produces more than 320 yards per contest, they might feel compelled to run more against a Scarlet Knights team allowing an incredible 237.7 yards per game (5.92 YPC).

    Northwestern is a 20.5-point favorite with a game total of 49, putting Rutgers' team total in the 14-to-15-point range. If the Wildcats can made headway on the ground, they could control this one from start to finish, making the under on the Scarlet Knights' total a strong option.


    Tate Out for Arizona

    A nightmare season has taken another rough turn for Khalil Tate. The Arizona Wildcats quarterback will miss this Saturday's Pac-12 encounter with UCLA as he recovers from a left ankle injury he initially suffered in Week 2. Tate, who compiled more than 1,400 rushing yards last season, has been limited to a paltry 112 yards on 46 attempts in 2018 due to the balky ankle, which knocked him out of last Friday's game against Utah after just two series. Tate's passing has taken a hit this season as well; he has completed just 53.4 percent of his attempts with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions.

    The Bruins are favored by a touchdown against the visiting Wildcats, and will now face inexperienced Rhett Rodriguez under center. UCLA has covered six of the last seven games between the teams, and are a good bet to extend that run Saturday.


    That's a Wrap for Reynolds

    The Charlotte 49ers have lost their starting quarterback for the remainder of the season. Freshman Chris Reynolds will miss the rest of the 2018 campaign after underdoing surgery on his ankle, which he injured in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Western Kentucky. It's a significant development for the 49ers, with Reynolds having completed better than 63 percent of his passes for 1,181 yards with six TDs and two INTs. That success rate helped lead Charlotte to the second-best time of possession average in the country at just under 37 minutes per game.

    Reynolds' ability to move the chains will be missed greatly by the 49ers, who 17.5-point underdogs at Middle Tennessee State. Bettors should downgrade the Charlotte offense, which produced just 15 touchdowns in 27 red-zone trips, and take the under on the team total, which sits at around 16 points.


    Tua Bad, Tennessee

    The Alabama Crimson Tide are expecting to have quarterback Tua Tagovailoa in the lineup for Saturday's encounter with Tennessee. Tagovailoa suffered a knee injury in last weekend's one-sided win over Missouri, but head coach Nick Saban said after the game that his prized pass-thrower could have returned if necessary and is expected to practice all week. Tagovailoa, who remains the overwhelming -200 favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, threw for 265 yards and three scores against the Tigers and remains perfect on the season with 21 TD passes against zero interceptions.

    Alabama is a whopping 29-point road favorite against the Volunteers. Tagovailoa will likely see only three quarters of action – if that – before ceding to Jalen Hurts. That's a downgrade – and given how Tennessee fared last week, it might be a struggle for the Crimson Tide to cover such a big spread on the road with their No. 1 QB not at 100 percent.

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    Stanford at Arizona State
    Joe Nelson

    This week’s Thursday night game is a Pac-12 clash between Stanford and Arizona State. While the conference may have already played its way out of the national playoff hunt, both division races are still up for grabs and these teams are still viable contenders to play for the championship in December. Here is a look at the Thursday night game to start the next week of college football.

    Match-up: Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils
    Venue: At Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, Arizona
    Time/TV: Thursday, October 18, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
    Line: Stanford -2˝, Over/Under 56
    Last Meeting: 2017, at Stanford (-17) 34, Arizona State 24

    Stanford was expected by many to be not just a Pac-12 contender, but a serious threat to make a run at a spot in the College Football Playoff. The season started out impressively with wins over San Diego State and USC, holding those respectable foes to a combined 13 points in home victories. Stanford then seemed to perhaps be a team of destiny with an improbable comeback to win in overtime at Oregon as well.

    In a huge game at Notre Dame in a matchup of teams in the top 10 of the polls in late September, the Cardinal were blown out with a 38-17 defeat. The next week playing without star running back Bryce Love, Stanford fared just as poorly back at home with a 40-21 loss to Utah. Stanford is still 2-1 in Pac-12 play, but has a difficult game remaining at Washington in a few weeks as another good but mildly disappointing season for David Shaw appears to be underway.

    Last year, Stanford won the Pac-12 North and lost a competitive Pac-12 Championship game with USC before losing in a tight Alamo Bowl against TCU. The 9-5 finish matched the most losses for Shaw since he took over in 2011, but the team had high hopes for 2018 with Love returning and K.J. Costello showing great promise after taking over at quarterback midway through the 2017 season.

    Shaw has an impressive track record currently with a 77-24 record at Stanford halfway through his eighth season, going 51-15 in Pac-12 play while winning five division titles and three conference championships. Shaw has two Rose Bowl wins as well, but the Cardinal have lost at least two games in every season to never seriously threaten in the national picture and this year’s team will be no different already with two defeats.

    Last year’s team had the worst statistical defense that Shaw has fielded and the defense so far this season has struggled, allowing 400 yards per game despite only surrendering 22 points per game. Opponents have rushed for 164 yards per game against Stanford while the Cardinal has shockingly been one of the worst rushing offenses in the nation, averaging 86 yards per game on the ground with 3.1 yards per rush.

    Love finished second in the Heisman voting last season with 2,118 rushing yards, 19 touchdowns and 8.1 yards per rush. He has missed two games this season and has barely average half of last season’s per carry average posting 4.3 yards per rush and only 327 total yards at this point in the season for a very disappointing senior campaign. He is a question mark this week with the lingering ankle injury.

    Costello didn’t play the full season last year, but he already has thrown more interceptions and taken more sacks in his six starts this season for Stanford. He has thrown for 12 touchdowns on nearly 8.9 yards per attempt and his completion rate is up by nearly four percent as the offense has been effective in the passing game with a massive receiving corps led by JJ Arcega-Whiteside.

    Herm Edwards was considered a curious hire at Arizona State following the departure of Todd Graham after six seasons. Graham was famously poached from Pittsburgh after just one season and was fairly successful for the Sun Devils making a bowl game in five of six years and winning the Pac-12 South in 2013. Edwards finished 20 games below .500 as a NFL head coach and had never been a head coach at the college level, actually only an assistant for three years as a position coach at San Jose State in the late ‘80s. He had also not been on the sidelines at all in a decade, emerging as a prominent TV personality on ESPN’s NFL coverage.

    The Sun Devils made an early splash this season with a home upset of Michigan State, but the Sun Devils are just 3-3 on the season including 1-2 in Pac-12 play. All three losses have come on the road and all were decided by just seven points for competitive games. The remaining schedule for Arizona State is difficult still with USC, Utah, and Oregon on the schedule with two of those three games on the road as this is a critical home date if the Sun Devils are to make a bowl game.

    Manny Wilkins has been a productive quarterback for the Sun Devils with nearly 1,500 yards passing and 11 touchdowns with only one interception so far this season. Arizona State has also been one of the better rushing teams in the conference led by Eno Benjamin who has 715 rushing yards on 5.7 yards per carry, currently ninth nationally and second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards.

    Arizona State has held foes to just 3.8 yards per rush this season while the pass defense has posted average results with numbers just slightly better than Stanford has posted, through a lesser overall schedule so far. The scoring defense numbers are also nearly identical for these teams and a close game should be expected under the lights in Thursday’s national TV game, coinciding with a Thursday night NFL game 22 miles northwest in Glendale.

    Last season:
    These teams met in late September last season with matching 2-2 records. Arizona State had just defeated Oregon to recover from narrow losses to San Diego State and Texas Tech. Stanford won its opener last season in Australia but then lost to USC and San Diego State in road games before blasting UCLA ahead of this game. It was a back-and-forth game early with the teams trading scores until halftime with a 24-17 edge for the Cardinal as a heavy favorite. Bryce Love broke a 59-yard run in the third quarter but it was a one-score game in the final minutes until a late Stanford field goal. Stanford had a 504-409 yardage edge and a 2-1 edge in turnovers. Love emerged as a serious Heisman threat with 301 yards and three touchdowns, eclipsing 1,000 yards for the season in just his fifth game.

    Historical Trends:

    Arizona State has a 17-12 S/U edge since 1981 in this series with a 6-3 ATS mark since 2006, though Stanford has won S/U in five of the last six meetings.

    Arizona State won the last home meeting in 2014 as a home underdog 26-10, while going 11-4 S/U and 9-6 ATS in the home meetings of this series since 1982.

    The Sun Devils are on a 13-5 ATS run as a home underdog since 2009, winning outright in six of nine instances since 2016.

    Arizona State is 12-4 S/U and ATS overall at home since 2016.

    Stanford is 27-13 S/U and 22-17-1 ATS in road games under Shaw since 2011, going 16-13-1 ATS as a road favorite in that span. Since the start of last season, Stanford is just 1-5-1 ATS in road games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2018 at 01:15 PM.

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    BOWMAN NOT A “FULL GO”

    Alan Bowman is making progress in his recovery from a collapsed lung, but the Texas Tech quarterback might not be ready to return to action this weekend against the visiting Kansas Jayhawks. Red Raiders head coach Kliff Kingsbury acknowledged Tuesday that Bowman is "easing his way back in," but wouldn't offer a timetable for the QB's return. Bowman suffered the injury in Texas Tech's 42-34 loss to West Virginia on Sept. 29; the freshman has had a sensational season to date, passing for nearly 1,700 yards with 11 touchdown passes and just three interceptions.

    Jett Duffey or McLane Starter will start in Bowman's place against the Jayhawks; Carter himself is banged up, while Duffey has thrown twice as many INTs (4) as TDs (2). The Red Raiders are -18.5 vs. Kansas but are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and could be a stretch to cover against a Jayhawks team that leads the nation in turnover differential (+13).


    LOVE ON THE FIELD?

    The Stanford Cardinal might be getting their one-time Heisman Trophy candidate back this weekend against host Arizona State. Head coach David Shaw says he's "hopeful" that running back Bryce Love will make it back from an ankle injury that has limited him to just 76 carries so far this season. Love, who entered 2018 as one of the top Heisman Trophy picks in the nation, has appeared in just four games and has only one 100-yard rushing performance to his credit; he racked up 100 or more yards in 12 of the 13 games in which he appeared in 2017 en route to a 2,118-yard season.

    Love's return will give a much-needed shot in the arm to a Stanford running game averaging the fourth-fewest yards per game in the nation (85.7). A return to form would also allow the Cardinal to keep their beleaguered defense off the field, making the over on their point total (28.5) and the under on the ASU total (27.5) viable options if Love does come back.


    FROST’S SEAT GETTING HOTTER

    Scott Frost couldn't have imagined going into the back half of October still looking for his first win as head coach of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. And yet, here he is, carrying a six-game losing streak into Saturday's home date with Minnesota. An inconsistent offense (23.3 ppg) and dismal defense (38.3) have been factors, but the Cornhuskers aren't doing themselves any favors by leading the country in penalty yards per game (96) while ranking second-last in infractions per contest (10.17). That could prove to be a problem against a Golden Gophers team ranked 20th in fewest penalty yards per game (43.17).

    Lines don't often account for things like discipline – and it's clear that Minnesota is way ahead in that category, providing the kind of field-position advantage that should produce tangible results on the scoreboard. With Nebraska owning a 61-24 edge in penalty flags, bettors should consider taking the Golden Gophers +3.5 to extend Frost's misery.


    VOL-UNTARY MANSLAUGHTER

    Who's next? That's what Alabama fans and bettors are no doubt thinking after the Crimson Tide curb stomped Missouri 39-10 last week, keeping the Tigers scoreless over the final three quarters. The Tennessee Volunteers are next on the list – and they'll need to be a lot better in their own red zone if they hope to cover the four-TD spread. Tennessee has allowed points on every opposing trip to the red zone, one of only five teams in that group – and while the Tide's red-zone success rate is a modest 82.5 percent, they've made more journeys into the opposing red zone (40) than any other team in the country.

    Alabama's team total sits at 43 as of Wednesday; if it remains in this neighborhood, we recommend taking the over. The Tide have scored fewer than that just once this season and should have no trouble converting their red-zone chances Saturday.

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    Week 8 Upset Alerts
    By Sportsbetting

    It was a 2-1 ATS week for this piece last week, as I was finally able to hit another small underdog both ATS and on the ML. Oregon's win over Washington was impressive, but this week the Ducks better hope they don't get caught in the same trap as the higher ranked squad on the road when they visit Washington State. Without question, it's a tough spot for Oregon this week as Washington State is one of three college football teams that are perfect ATS this year (6-0 ATS).

    Wyoming's struggles against the number continued as Fresno State blew the Cowboys out from start to finish, making Wyoming winless against the spread (0-6 ATS) since their Week 1 win over New Mexico State. It looks as though that program really needs to find an offensively identity again and that's not going to be a quick discovery.

    Finally, my perfect ATS run this year on taking +20 or bigger underdogs remained in tact with Minnesota hanging around against Ohio State for at least the 1st half (trailed 17-14) and it was enough to easily get the ATS win. The Buckeyes looked a little hungover from their big win against Penn State the week prior in getting off to that slow start, but as it tends to do with all 20-point or bigger favorites, talent eventually wins out in the end and Ohio State was able to remain perfect.

    Hopefully this week's plays can at least match last week's results, so let's get right to them:

    Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

    YTD: 2-6 SU; 2-6 ATS

    Maryland +9 over Iowa


    This spread would have never qualified for this range of plays having opened up at +13.5, but the steam on Maryland early this week is not without merit. The Terrapins are catching Iowa in a very tough spot this weekend, and with Maryland already showing they were able to bounce back from that Michigan loss rather quickly, this is simply too many points to give the Terrapins here.

    Iowa is back at home after consecutive road wins against Minnesota and Indiana where the usually defensive-minded Hawkeyes scored 40+ in each win. Those two games were the first time this year that Iowa scored 40+, and with them coming back home this week you can understand why oddsmakers had to initially give Iowa's offense some respect initially.

    However, when you see that this home game is actually a brutal sandwich spot for Iowa – after those two road wins and before two road games at Penn State and at Purdue – do not be surprised to see the Hawkeyes be quite flat in this spot. Opening the season with four straight home games and a bye week felt good in the midst of it, but eventually this program was going to have to pay for that schedule-wise and it appears as though this is the spot: Back at home as sizable favorites, off two blowout wins, and a Top 25 team in Penn State on deck.

    As long as Maryland's offense is able to be the strength of the team that they are and move the ball/put up points, there aren't too many reasons to think that the Terrapins can't pull off the outright upset here. Iowa's defense has been a little leaky of late, and although Maryland's defense isn't that good, they should do enough to contain a suspect Iowa offense that's overdue for a regression back to a 17-20 point effort.

    Maryland's offense should finish this game right around the 20-point mark too, as all these points are worth grabbing.


    Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

    YTD: 1-6 SU; 4-3 ATS

    Kansas +18.5 over Texas Tech


    Speaking of sandwich spots, the Texas Tech Red Raiders do have a extra few days of rest in their pockets this week after beating TCU last Thursday, but playing a team like Kansas that has been a doormat for Big 12 teams for years probably couldn't come at a worse time for the Red Raiders. Let me explain:

    Texas Tech should probably win this game outright because everybody beats Kansas, but this is far too many points to expect the Red Raiders to win by here. This game comes after four straight weeks of tough games – vs Houston, at OK State, vs West Virginia, at TCU – where Texas Tech ended up going 3-1 SU and ATS when they were lined as underdogs in three of the four games and closed as a pick'em in the fourth. That's four straight weeks (with a bye week in between) of intense focus and quality play by the Red Raiders, and it's going to be nearly impossible to maintain that type of focus this week against Kansas. And that's without looking ahead to who's on deck for the Red Raiders.

    Following this week's game vs Kansas, Texas Tech travels to face Iowa State, before hosting Oklahoma and Texas in consecutive weeks. Considering how well the Red Raiders have gotten results so far this year, you can probably excuse them on a personal level if they don't bring 100% focus to this game against Kansas. Off a big upset win, and even bigger games approaching, Texas Tech is lucky to even have one eye on the Jayhawks this week.

    So while you may be able to forgive these 18-22 year-olds on a personal level for actually acting their age and looking past a weaker opponent, as a handicapper, I'm looking to be just like the NCAA and exploit these kids and this spot from a betting perspective.

    Kansas may not be the best team, but they have had two weeks to prepare for this meeting and are coming off a tough game at West Virginia where a 38-22 loss was easily more than enough for the ATS win. But that was only the first time in Big 12 play this year that the Jayhawks covered a point spread, so you can understand why there would be some trepidation in wanting to back Kansas this week (or any week for that matter).

    But back-to-back weeks of scoring 20+ for this Jayhawks offense is a good sign, and if they can use their ground game to not only add variety into their attack but lengthen drives, Kansas should find themselves in this game with a sluggish Texas Tech team from the start. Throw in a few forced turnovers like Kansas had against West Virginia (forced 4 TO's), and this game should stay well within this number.


    Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

    YTD: 7-0 ATS

    UTEP +23.5 over Louisiana Tech


    Well you had to figure that eventually this perfect run of backing large underdogs would be putting it's faith into some very bad teams once conference play was in full swing, and that's exactly what we've got this week. Conference rivals tend to have less of a disparity in talent level compared to when you get all those Power 5 vs Mid-Major matchups early on where 20+ point spreads are the norm. This week we actually have more 20+ 'dogs then we did a week ago, but it's fitting that my perfect ATS run streak this year with these big dogs is turning to a program that has lost 18 games in a row SU like UTEP. They've got to be due right?

    Literally thinking that way (“Team A is due”) will quickly get you into trouble in the betting business, but UTEP does stand out as one of the best big underdogs to play on this week. The Miners are 0-6 SU this year and on a 0-18 SU run, but there have been signs of improvement as this program continues to search for respectability.

    UTEP has covered the number in three of their last four games overall, with the most recent three losses all coming in conference play and none being by more than nine points. The Miners last time out on the field was two weeks ago against North Texas, and as 26-point underdogs, UTEP managed to give North Texas all they could handle and then some in the 27-24 UTEP defeat. The Miners were that close to ending their winless run, and you know everyone on that roster has been chomping at the bit to get back on the field after that game.

    So here is the Miners shot, after a bye week, and facing a Louisiana Tech team that lost their last home game by 21 points when they were laying a full TD. The Bulldogs are easily the more talented bunch, but similar to Iowa's schedule mentioned earlier, this is also just a quick stop at home for Louisiana Tech before three of their next four games are on the road, including trips to Florida Atlantic and Mississippi State on deck. That's not the greatest spot to be in to try and cover a big number like this, even if it is UTEP across the field from you.

    And similar to Texas Tech's game vs Kansas, it's going to be easy for Louisiana Tech to completely disregard/overlook a UTEP program that's been disastrous for years now. Teams that expect to simply show up and win games are great to have as a casual sports fan of those squads because the basis of it means they are pretty good, but in the betting world, I do not want to lay a massive amount of points with teams that go into games with that mindset. And like my thoughts on Texas Tech falling victim to that hubris, Louisiana Tech gets tripped up by the same move this week against lowly UTEP.

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    LSU FOR THREE?

    The LSU Tigers are on a high following last week's stunning 20-point win over Georgia – but things don't get any easier for Ed Orgeron's troops as they host a strong Mississippi State team Saturday. The Tigers are well-positioned to make a run at a spot in the College Football Playoff – but to do so, they'll need to improve what has been a rather ordinary red zone offense. While LSU has converted 31 of their 33 trips inside the opponents' 20-yard line into points, they've scored just 17 touchdowns while settling for a whopping 14 field goals – more than any other team in the nation.

    With Mississippi State having held foes to four TDs and seven FGs in 14 red-zone trips, it might be worth considering taking the field goal as LSU's first scoring play, which pays out at a tempting +250.


    HERE COMES ROSIER (AGAIN)

    The Miami Hurricanes are off this week, but that hasn't prevented them from making major headlines. Head coach Mark Richt says he'll be going back to senior quarterback Malik Rosier as his starter, promoting him in place of N'Kosi Perry. "Right this minute I think Malik is better equipped from his ability and his experiences to lead this team," Richt told reporters. It's a bit of a shock given how Rosier has performed so far this season, completing just 52.1 percent of his passes for 781 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. Miami returns to action Oct. 26 against host Boston College.

    Bettors interested in getting out in front here should consider that Rosier has completed less than half his passes with three TDs and three INTs on the road. The Eagles are also on a bye this week, and are in great position to cover behind a well-rested defense that enters this week ranked fourth in the nation in sacks per game (3.57).

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