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Thread: The Bum's 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

  1. #61
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    NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS

    10/21/2018 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50
    10/20/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -4.50
    10/19/2018 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
    10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
    10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
    10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

    Totals..............39-33-0.....53.16%.....+13.50


    *************************************

    Best Bets:

    DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL

    10/21/2018.............4 - 0....................+20.00..............3 - 1.................+9.50..............+29.50
    10/20/2018.............2 - 2.....................-1.00................3 - 4..................-7.00...............-8.00
    10/19/2018.............2 - 3.....................-6.50................2 - 5.................-17.50..............-24.00
    10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
    10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
    10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................- 11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50

    Totals.....................13 - 9.................+15.50...............14 - 17..............-23.50...............-8.00




    *************************


    MONDAY, OCTOBER 22
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    ORL at BOS 07:30 PM
    BOS -11.5
    O 209.0


    CHA at TOR 07:30 PM
    CHA +8.5
    O 225.0


    IND at MIN 08:00 PM
    O 226.5

    NY at MIL 08:00 PM
    U 225.5

    CHI at DAL 08:30 PM
    CHI +5.5
    U 230.0

    MEM at UTA 09:00 PM
    MEM +10.5
    U 213.5

    WAS at POR 10:00 PM
    O 226.5

    SA at LAL 10:30 PM
    LAL -1.0
    O 224.0


    PHO at GS 10:30 PM
    PHO +12.5
    O 227.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #62
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    Leonard helps Raptors rout Hornets
    October 22, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) Markieff Morris had 28 points including six 3-pointers and the Washington Wizards won their first game of the season with a 125-124 overtime victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night.

    Bradley Beal added 25 points for the Wizards, and Otto Porter Jr. blocked Damian Lillard's layup attempt at the final buzzer to seal the win.

    Lillard had 29 points, eight rebounds and eight assists for the Trail Blazers, who lost their first game after opening the season 2-0.

    Morris had a layup and a free throw to put the Wizards ahead 120-117 in overtime. Lillard's layup got Portland closer, but Morris landed a 3-pointer with 38.5 seconds left.

    Lillard's jumper got Portland within a basket before John Wall's 17-footer with 10.1 second left looked to all but seal it for the Wizards. CJ McCollum made it interesting with a 3-pointer for the Blazers and Wall missed a free throw, but Porter blocked Lillard's attempt to win it with a layup at the buzzer.

    Jusuf Nurkic finished with 22 points and 18 rebounds for the Blazers.

    RAPTORS 127, HORNETS 106

    TORONTO (AP) - Kawhi Leonard scored 22 points, Kyle Lowry had 16 points and a season-high 14 assists, and Toronto never trailed in a victory over the Hornets, the Raptors' fourth straight win to open the season.

    Jonas Valanciunas scored 17 points, Danny Green had 16, and Serge Ibaka added 15 as the Raptors won for the ninth time in 11 meetings with the Hornets.

    Toronto is the first NBA team to reach four wins. Denver (3-0) can match the Raptors when it hosts Sacramento on Tuesday.

    Leonard returned after sitting out Saturday night's road win over Washington, the second game of a back-to-back. The two-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year was limited to nine games last season because of a quadriceps injury.

    Kemba Walker scored 26 points and Jeremy Lamb had 16 as the Hornets dropped their first road game of the season.

    MAGIC 93, CELTICS 90

    BOSTON (AP) - Nikola Vucevic had 24 points and 12 rebounds while the Orlando Magic survived two 3-point attempts by Boston in the closing seconds to beat the Celtics.

    Trailing 91-90 with 14.2 seconds to play, Boston was forced to foul Evan Fournier after Orlando inbounded the ball. He stepped to the line and made both free throws with 7.8 seconds left.

    Kyrie Irving then missed a 3 from the right corner, and after Al Horford grabbed the rebound and fed it out - Gordon Hayward's rimmed out just before the buzzer sounded.

    Irving led the Celtics (2-2) with 22 points.

    TIMBERWOLVES 101, PACERS 91

    MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Jimmy Butler returned to Minnesota's lineup and scored 20 points to lead the Timberwolves to a win over the Pacers.

    Butler, who received a mix of boos and cheers during player introductions, sat out Saturday due to precautionary rest. Karl-Anthony Towns added 17 points and 12 rebounds for Minnesota, while rookie guard Josh Okogie scored 12 points off the bench.

    The Wolves led by as many as nine early before Indiana cut it to one point at the half. Victor Oladipo scored 15 of his 20 points before halftime to lead the Pacers. He has now scored at least 20 points in three straight games.

    BUCKS 124, KNICKS 113

    MILWAUKEE (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo had 31 points and 15 rebounds, Khris Middleton sank a pair of late 3-pointers and the Bucks survived a furious second-half rally by New York to hold off the Knicks.

    Middleton was efficient in scoring 30 points, going 7 of 8 from 3-point range. Antetokounmpo only had one 3, but it came in a big spot, giving unbeaten Milwaukee the lead for good midway through the fourth period.

    Tim Hardaway Jr. led the Knicks with 24 points. Trey Burke added 19 and Mario Hezonja had 18.

    Middleton's 3-pointer with 2:22 left gave the Bucks a 116-110 lead, and Eric Bledsoe and Middleton had 3s in the final two minutes as Milwaukee pulled away.

    All five Bucks starters scored in double figures. Bledsoe had 16 points, center Brook Lopez added 13 and guard Malcolm Brogdon had 11.

    MAVERICKS 115, BULLS 109

    DALLAS (AP) - DeAndre Jordan became the first Dallas player in 24 years to start a season with three straight double-doubles, getting 18 points and 16 rebounds to help the Mavericks beat the Bulls.

    Luka Doncic scored 19 in the 19-year-old's second home game, another win that put the Mavericks (2-1) over .500 for the first time since the end of the 2015-16 season.

    Zach LaVine scored 34 for the Bulls and is the third Chicago player to open a season with three straight 30-point games. The others were Michael Jordan in 1986 and Bob Love in 1971.

    Wesley Matthews led six Dallas players in double figures with 20 points. Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell and Dorian Finney-Smith scored 12 apiece.

    GRIZZLIES 92, JAZZ 84

    SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - Mike Conley scored 23 points to lead the Grizzlies to a victory over the Jazz.

    Marc Gasol finished with 18 points, 13 rebounds, and four assists before fouling out with 3:41 left. Shelvin Mack added 12 points off the bench for the Grizzlies, who picked up their first road victory despite shooting 36.9 percent (31 of 84).

    Jae Crowder scored 15 points and Donovan Mitchell added 14 for the Jazz. Rudy Gobert had 11 points and 12 rebounds as Utah lost its second straight home game. The Jazz shot just 35.4 percent (29 of 82).

    A trio of 3-pointers from Shelvin Mack and Wayne Seldin fueled a 16-4 run for Memphis in the fourth quarter. Garrett Temple capped the outburst with a layup that gave Grizzlies an 86-70 lead with 3:49 remaining.

    SPURS 143, LAKERS 142 OT

    WARRIORS 123, SUNS 103
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #63
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    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY OCTOBER 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:05 PM Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
    8:05 PM Los Angeles Clippers New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
    9:05 PM Sacramento Kings Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center


    **************************


    NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS

    10/22/2018 6-9-0 40.00% -19.50
    10/21/2018 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50
    10/20/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -4.50
    10/19/2018 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
    10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
    10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
    10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

    Totals..............45-42-0.....51.72%.....-6.00


    *************************************

    Best Bets:

    DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL

    10/22/2018.............0 - 4....................-22.00..............5 - 2..................+14.00.............-8.00
    10/21/2018.............4 - 0...................+20.00..............3 - 1..................+9.50..............+29.50
    10/20/2018.............2 - 2.....................-1.00................3 - 4..................-7.00...............-8.00
    10/19/2018.............2 - 3.....................-6.50................2 - 5.................-17.50..............-24.00
    10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
    10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
    10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................-11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50

    Totals.....................13 - 13.................-6.50...............19 - 19..............-9.50.................-16.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #64
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Someone took a survey; here are the most popular Halloween candies:

    1) Reese’s peanut butter cups 84.2%

    2) Reese’s miniatures 81.9%

    3) Twix 81.8%

    4) Kit Kat 78.8%

    5) Snickers 76.7%

    6) Reese’s Pieces 73.4%


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Oakland Raiders traded Khahil Mack to the Bears for two #1 picks before the season, then started season 1-5; Monday they traded WR Omari Cooper to Dallas, for another #1 pick, as they continue to plot for the future, when they’ll be playing home games in Las Vegas.

    Raiders now have three #1 picks in the 2019 Draft, which will be held in Nashville; too bad it isn’t in Las Vegas, because Raiders are going to be the center of attention. Raiders also have two #1 picks in the 2020 Draft.

    12) One of the values of Twitter is getting lot of diverse opinions; almost everyone said that the Raiders did very well getting a #1 pick for Cooper, but then on Monday Night Football, those guys are all saying the Cowboys made out on the deal. What gives?

    Ed Werder, who has covered the Cowboys for decades, pointed out that this is the third time Jerry Jones has traded draft picks for a star WR— the other two WR’s he got were Joey Galloway and Roy Williams. When your owner/GM is in his 70’s, draft picks tend to mean less.

    11) This from the legendary Gil Brandt on Twitter:
    lowest %age of players still on team that picked them (in last six NFL Drafts):

    16.0% Oakland Raiders
    16.3% Buffalo Bills
    20.5% New Jersey Giants
    20.7% Cleveland Browns
    24.6% San Francisco 49ers

    10) Denver Broncos haven’t had consecutive losing seasons since 1971 (4-9-1) and ’72 (5-9); they were 5-11 LY, are 3-4 this year. I’m guessing they’ll be a coaching change if they don’t finish at least .500 this season.

    9) Only three NFL teams haven’t played a regular season game outside this country; the Eagles, Packers, and Panthers. Philly plays Jacksonville in London this week.

    8) Would Auburn really cough up $32M to tell football coach Gus Malzahn to take a hike? Malzahn is 28-19 in conference games; the guy was a high school coach not that long ago, but do people at Auburn really have $32M lying around to get rid of a fairly successful coach? Wow.

    7) Oklahoma Sooners haven’t lost consecutive regular season games since 1999; they’re 39-0 SU in the games following their last 39 regular season losses.

    6) According to Astros beat reporter Brian McTaggart, Houston 2B Jose Altuve had surgery Friday to repair a patella (kneecap) avulsion fracture in his right knee. According to the Mayo Clinic website, an avulsion fracture occurs when a small chunk of bone attached to a tendon or ligament gets pulled away from the main part of the bone.

    Altuve played thru that injury since August 21, hitting .276; he is one tough dude.

    5) Cincinnati Reds showed very little imagination and hired David Bell as their new manager. Bell is a Cincinnati native and the son of current Reds executive Buddy Bell, and grandson of Gus Bell, both of whom played for Cincinnati.

    David Bell played for seven big league teams, but never for the Reds.

    Weird thing is that Bell doesn’t get to pick his own coaches; he will make recommendations, but the front office has the final say. Being a manager isn’t as big a deal as it used to be.

    4) If you read this space a lot, you know I love basketball, and I have the NBA package on DirecTV- its fun to watch the games, but it is becoming more difficult to actually follow the league.

    Everyone who plays/coaches in the league is pretty rich or really rich, but so few of them appear to be remotely happy— so much anger, and the season is a week old.

    I mean, Rondo/Paul got into a scuffle in their game Saturday night , and then Rondo’s girlfriend shoves Paul’s wife afterwards; seriously? Time for everyone to grow up some.

    Chris Paul got a two-game suspension for the fracas, that’ll cost him $491,962; the others, much less. Lakers’ Brandon Ingram ran into the scuffle and threw a punch; he got a longer suspension than either Paul or Rondo, but he doesn’t make as much $$$ as they do.

    3) College basketball has these “closed/secret” scrimmages between teams; I don’t understand why they’re kept secret, when there is money to be made showing them on TV.

    This weekend, North Carolina/Villanova scrimmaged, as did Minnesota/Creighton. Teams all over the country do it, but it is information being hidden and that hurts the sport.

    2) Weird doings at the U of Arizona; back in January, the Wildcats fired football coach Rich Rodriguez after six years after a sexual harassment allegation against the coach.

    Kevin Sumlin is the new coach; Arizona is 3-5 after a 31-30 loss at UCLA Saturday, when they used their backup QB in place of injured starter Khalil Tate- that backup is Rhett Rodriguez, son of the former coach.

    The kid played alright; 15-34 for 231 yards, with two TD’s, two INT’s, but it had to be so odd, a kid playing for the coach who replaced his fired father.

    1) Before Rodriguez got the Arizona job, he worked a season in the CBS Sports studio doing college football Saturdays; as soon as the Wildcats hired him, he was off recruiting; the first day CBS Sports had a show after Rodriguez quit, the crew had RichRod on as a guest via remote from Tucson.

    Here’s the thing; the whole one-hour show, they left the chair Rodriguez had sat in all season empty, thats the regard they held him in. After that I always rooted for his teams. Saturday night, I was rooting for his son.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #65
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, October 23



    Ben Simmons (back) is a ?? here; check status. 76ers won their last two games, scoring 121.5 ppg; they lost their only road game by 18 at Boston. Over is 2-1 in Sixer games. Pistons won their first two games (over 1-1); beating Nets by 3 in only home game. 76ers won/covered last four games with Detroit; Sixers won three of last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

    Clippers are off to a 2-1 start; this is their road opener. Under is 2-1 in their games. Pelicans scored 131-149 points in winning their first two games (over 2-0), beating Kings by 20 in only home game. Clippers lost four of last five games with New Orleans; they’re 3-3 vs spread in their last six visits to Bourbon Street. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

    Kings lost two of first three games (2-1 vs spread); all three games went over- they split two road games, winning in Oklahoma Sunday. Nuggets won/covered their first three games (under 3-0): they beat the Warriors in last game Sunday. Denver won/covered five of last six games with Sacramento; Kings are 0-3 vs spread in their last three visits to Colorado. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #66
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    NBA

    Tuesday, October 23


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Clippers's last 23 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games
    New Orleans is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
    New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 14 games
    Sacramento is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
    Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Denver
    Sacramento is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
    Denver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #67
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, October 23


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (1 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 23



    Philadelphia @ Detroit

    Game 701-702
    October 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    00.000
    Detroit
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia

    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    ( );

    LA Clippers @ New Orleans

    Game 703-704
    October 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    116.451
    New Orleans
    125.870
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 9 1/2
    242
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 5 1/2
    233
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Sacramento @ Denver


    Game 705-706
    October 23, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    116.777
    Denver
    124.950
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 8
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 11 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+11 1/2); Under
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #68
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    Hot & Not Report
    October 22, 2018
    By YouWager.eu


    Who's Hot and Who's Not

    Week of October 22nd


    In last week's piece the focus centered on College Football's Top 25 teams and how well or poorly they were doing against the spread. We had 10 ranked teams out on the road this weekend, and after that spot being so bad for the ranked squads basically all year, it was still a losing mark for them at 4-6 ATS in Week 8, but many of the big boys like Alabama, Michigan, and Oklahoma stepped up and accounted for three of the four ATS victories.

    The headline from this past weekend in College Football is all about second-ranked Ohio State's blowout loss at Purdue as it's now two straight weeks that the No. 2 team in the country has been knocked off. The Clemson Tigers slide into that No. 2 role as of now and wouldn't you know it, just as all this talk ramps up about yet another Alabama/Clemson playoff meeting, Clemson finds themselves in just the awful role of being ranked second in the country and out on the road as a big road favorite vs an unranked squad. Last week's piece talked all about the benefits of fading ranked teams away from home, and while Florida State hasn't lived up to expectations at all in 2018, chances are they'll be at or near their best this weekend vs Clemson.

    However, for this week, it's time to change things up a bit and check in on the first week of action in the NBA, as I know basketball bettors have anxiously been waiting for this season to start. And while we are still just a week or so into the year, most teams have had the chance to play two or three games and some interesting league-wide trends have come to light.

    So that's what I'll be taking a look at here:

    Who's Hot

    Five Expected Bottom-Feeders with no chance at an NBA Title this year; 12-3 ATS

    The NBA has, and will always be a star-driven league simply because of the nature of the game. One or two top tier players in basketball can easily take control of a game in basketball relative to other team sports like football or hockey where really only the collective effort of the team produces desired results consistently. That means that the NBA is one where bettors (and casual fans) generally know that the NBA title is really only going to be won by 5-8 teams depending, making the other 20+ organizations nothing more than “filler” in regards to championship aspirations. It's why you get some very, very big futures numbers on these projected bottom-feeders to win it all prior to the year. This year was no different as there were 12 NBA teams that had about +30000 or greater odds to win it all.

    That's nearly half the league that virtually has no chance at a highly successful year in terms of outright wins, but through a week of action on the hardwood, five of those teams have stepped up and produced a 12-3 ATS mark so far. Charlotte (3-0 ATS), New York (3-0 ATS), Cleveland (2-1 ATS), Orlando (2-1 ATS) and Sacramento (2-1 ATS) have been great wagers so far, as they've exemplified the saying of the point spread being the great equalizer.

    Chances are we don't see these ATS runs last a lengthy amount of time, but I would not be surprised to see a few of these teams (along with some of the other projected “bottom feeders”) to end up finishing among the leaders in the NBA this year in terms of their ATS record. Monday's nine-game slate has Charlotte, New York, and Orlando all on the road and all catching +9 or greater on the spread. So don't say I didn't warn you if you've already, or are thinking about laying all that chalk against those hot ATS teams if those squads do continue to cash tickets.

    Who's Not

    Western Conference Title Favorites (Golden State, LAL, Houston, OKC) ATS; 2-9 ATS


    On the other side of the coin, we've got the projected championship contenders this year limping out of the gate and burning ATS wagers left, right, and center.

    Golden State, Houston, the Lakers, and OKC, came into the 2018 season as the most likely teams to come out of the Western Conference this year, with Golden State leading the way against at about -200 to win it all. Houston was priced in the +850 range, while L.A (+1000), and OKC (+3000) were given outside shots by bookmakers.

    Now, everyone knows that these four teams are absolutely loaded with talent, as the four of them currently employ probably 90% of the top players in this league. You've got LeBron James, James Harden, CP3, Russell Westbrook, Paul George, and the entire Warriors staring lineup, all wearing one of those four jerseys and bringing plenty of support from fans (and betting markets) with them.

    Furthermore, if you look at the 2016 US Olympic Basketball roster, you'll see that half of that roster was composed of guys currently on either Golden State, L.A, Houston, or OKC. That percentage would have been much higher too if Harden, Westbrook, CP3, and LeBron didn't withdraw from consideration, and Steph Curry wasn't hurt at the time. I mean, there's a case to be made that if there was another Olympic tournament this year, the entire US squad could come from just these four Western Conference teams.

    Yet, as I said before, the point spread is always the great equalizer, and because of talent, name brand recognition, and perception, all four of these teams have been highly overvalued through the first week of play. That's what a 2-9 ATS record shows, especially when those two total ATS victories came in matchups where someone was guaranteed to cover the spread when two of these four teams squared off against one another (Golden State vs OKC, Houston vs LAL). That means that effectively, these four teams are a combined 0-7 ATS so far this year, which is probably the opposite of what many that may be newer to NBA betting would expect. But market perception forces oddsmakers to always shade the spreads towards these heavily favored/popular teams, and results show that as fearful as it may seem to bet against powerhouses like LeBron, Houston, or Golden State, those plays do tend to make cash.

    After all, Golden State has owned this league with four straight NBA Finals appearances and three titles the past few years. But the past two seasons the Warriors have basically been a losing ATS wager – 40-39-3 ATS in 2016-17 and 34-47-1 ATS last year – as they just have a tough time cashing on these lofty numbers. Heck, the three worst teams against the spread last year were Cleveland, Oklahoma City, and Golden State, so it's not like fading overvalued lines/players/teams has only worked through a week of the 2018 season.

    These are all things to keep in mind as you go forward with your NBA betting this year, because the point spreads on teams like the Warriors and Rockets aren't likely to get much lower than they are now. These teams will eventually find their rhythm a bit and start piling up SU wins, but for my money, I'd always tend to lean towards fading these powerhouse NBA squads simply because of the inflated prices.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    TUESDAY, OCTOBER 23
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    PHI at DET 07:00 PM
    DET +1.0
    U 215.5


    LAC at NO 08:00 PM
    LAC +6.0
    O 237.0


    SAC at DEN 09:00 PM
    SAC +11.5
    O 228.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Griffin drops 50; Pistons top 76ers in OT
    October 23, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    DETROIT (AP) Blake Griffin scored a career-high 50 points and had the game-winner after he was fouled on a driving layup with 1.8 seconds left as Detroit topped Philadelphia 133-132 in a wild overtime thriller on Tuesday night.

    JJ Redick's four-point play with 5.6 seconds left in overtime set up Griffin's dramatics, while Joel Embiid, who had 33 points and 11 rebounds, missed a potential game-winner at the buzzer.

    Redick had 30 points and scored a 3-pointer while being fouled by Reggie Jackson after the Pistons point guard made two free throws to take a 130-128 lead.

    The 76ers were without Ben Simmons, out because of back tightness.

    Griffin faked a handoff on the final play and drove the lane for the basket, getting fouled by Robert Covington. He made the ensuing free throw for the win.

    Griffin was 20 of 35 from the field, going 5 for 10 on 3-pointers, scoring his most points as a member of the PIstons for the second straight game.

    Jackson had 23 points and Ish Smith scored 21 for the Pistons, who are 3-0 for the first time since 2015-16, the last time they made the playoffs.

    PELICANS 116, CLIPPERS 109

    NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Anthony Davis highlighted a 34-point and 13-rebound performance with a clutch left-wing 3 with less than two minutes remaining, and the New Orleans Pelicans remained unbeaten through three games with a victory over the Clippers.

    New Orleans won for the first time when Nikola Mirotic struggled from 3-point range. He was 0-for-6 from deep, but still managed to score 18 points and grab 12 rebounds.

    Elfrid Payton scored 20, including a 3 that made it 113-103 with just less than a minute to go. Julius Randle added 18 points before fouling out with 2:17 to go.

    Tobias Harris scored 26 points and Danilo Gallinari 24 for the Clippers, who were playing their first road game of the season after winning their previous two at home. Lou Williams added 17 points for Los Angeles, which narrowly outshot New Orleans but was done in by 17 turnovers.

    NUGGETS 126, KINGS 112

    DENVER (AP) - Jamal Murray scored 14 of his 19 points in the third quarter and Nikola Jokic had 14 points and 12 rebounds to lead the Nuggets to a win over the Kings.

    Denver has won its first four games for the first time since starting 5-0 in 2009-10. The Nuggets swept their three-game homestand, including a win over Golden State on Sunday.

    The Nuggets remained unbeaten despite allowing a team to break the century mark in points for the first time this season. The Nuggets held opponents to an NBA-best 95.7 points in the first three games but simply outscored Sacramento, which entered Tuesday second in the NBA in scoring at 125.7 points a game.

    Gary Harris scored 18 points and Paul Millsap added 15 for Denver.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 24, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    7:05 PM Brooklyn Nets Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena
    7:05 PM Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena
    7:35 PM Minnesota Timberwolves Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
    7:35 PM New York Knicks Miami Heat AmericanAirlines Arena
    8:05 PM Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls United Center
    8:05 PM Utah Jazz Houston Rockets Toyota Center
    8:35 PM Indiana Pacers San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
    9:35 PM Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Fiserv Forum
    10:05 PM Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
    10:05 PM Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
    10:35 PM Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


    ***************************


    NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS

    10/23/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
    10/22/2018 6-9-0 40.00% -19.50
    10/21/2018 7-1-0 87.50% +29.50
    10/20/2018 9-9-0 50.00% -4.50
    10/19/2018 7-9-0 43.75% -14.50
    10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
    10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
    10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50

    Totals..............47-46-0.....50.53%.....-18.00


    *************************************

    Best Bets:

    DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL

    10/23/2018.............1 - 2....................-6.00................1 - 2..................-6.00...............-12.00
    10/22/2018.............0 - 4....................-22.00..............5 - 2..................+14.00.............-8.00
    10/21/2018.............4 - 0...................+20.00..............3 - 1..................+9.50..............+29.50
    10/20/2018.............2 - 2.....................-1.00................3 - 4..................-7.00...............-8.00
    10/19/2018.............2 - 3.....................-6.50................2 - 5.................-17.50..............-24.00
    10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
    10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
    10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................-11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50

    Totals.....................14 - 15.................-12.50..............20 - 21..............-15.50.................-28.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #72
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Interesting trends for Week 8 in the NFL:

    — Lions covered eight of their last ten games.

    — Colts covered their last five pre-bye games.

    — Kansas City covered its last eleven games.

    — Ravens covered two of last 10 vs NFC teams.

    — Eagles are 2-7-1 in last 10 games as a favorite.

    — Cleveland covered six of its last eight games.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) According to ESPN.com‘s Darren Rovell, at William Hill sportsbooks in Nevada, 73% of the money on Monday night’s NFL game was on the Falcons, so the swing on the Giants’ 2-point conversion with 0:05 left was large in favor of the house.

    Would be fun to know nation-wide, how much $$$ changed hands with Giants covering the spread like that. Had to be a huge chunk of change, right???

    12) The greatest compliment any coach can give to a player is to have him on the court/field at the end of a close game; actions speak a hell of a lot louder than words.

    Wizards-Trailblazers were 108-108 in last minute Monday night; Portland had Nick Stauskus on the court— Stauskus didn’t start, but he played 30:00 and he finished, tying the game with a 3 late in 4th quarter. Stauskus scored 15 points and had 8 rebounds. When a coach lets you finish, that shows true belief in your ability.

    11) While we’re somewhere near the subject, I think assists on 3-point shots should count as 1.5 assists, since they’re 3-point assists, not 2-point assists. Same goes for passes that lead to made foul shots.

    10) Since 2001, New England is 38-37 (.507) when losing the turnover battle.

    During that time, the rest of NFL is 713-2,765-8 (.206) when losing the turnover battle.

    9) From Ralph Michaels: Jacksonville Jaguars are only the 11th team since 1989 to lose back-to-back games as a favorite while scoring 7 or fewer points in both games.

    In their next game after that, those other 10 teams went 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, with over 7-2-1.

    8) The ESPN documentaries are basketball are great history lessons for anyone who likes basketball; its like watching highlights of my childhood on TV. Good stuff.

    7) NC State 103, Maryland 100 in OT— 1974 ACC title game was one of the greatest college basketball games ever played, just a fantastic game that helped change the future of college hoops. I was 14 years old and remember lying on my bed listening to the game on radio— 103-100 with no shot clock or 3’s.

    People don’t realize; back then, only one team from each conference made the NCAA’s, so the loser of the ACC tournament didn’t even make the NCAA tournament. NC State was #2 in the country, Maryland was #3 in the country, so the ’74 ACC title game was an elimination game just to get in the tournament!!!!

    In 2002, Maryland won the national title in basketball after losing in the ACC tournament, so the bigger tournament has obviously proven to be a much better thing.

    6) Former NFL special teams star Steve Tasker is a sideline reporter for CBS now; when he broke into the NFL in 1987, Jerry Glanville was the Houston Oilers’ defensive coordinator.

    31 years later, Glanville is an assistant coach for the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in the CFL, where one of the Ti-Cat players is Tasker’s son Luke.

    5) When Wade Phillips started coaching in the NFL, neither Sean McVay or Kyle Shanahan had been born yet.

    4) Only QB’s to beat all 32 NFL teams: Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Brett Favre.

    3) The GEICO commercial with Vikings’ WR Stefan Diggs is tremendous; his neighbors notice that everything sticks to his hands, which makes it tough for him to take the garbage out.

    2) World Series Game 1: Red Sox 8, Dodgers 4— Eduardo Nunez broke open a close game with a 3-run, pinch-hit homer in the 7th inning. Neither starting pitcher finished the fifth inning.

    1) Random political numbers; as of October 2017, Gallup polling found that 31% of Americans identified as Democrat, 24% identified as Republican, and 42% as Independent. I was curious about that at 5am one night, so I looked it up and now you know, too.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, October 24


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (1 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 3) - 10/24/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 24-49 ATS (-29.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 6-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 2) - 10/24/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 503-425 ATS (+35.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 167-131 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
    DALLAS is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (1 - 3) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 10/24/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 130-180 ATS (-68.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at TORONTO (4 - 0) - 10/24/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (2 - 2) at CHICAGO (0 - 3) - 10/24/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 2) - 10/24/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 8-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (2 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) - 10/24/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1049-920 ATS (+37.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 836-711 ATS (+53.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 337-275 ATS (+34.5 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 348-286 ATS (+33.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    INDIANA is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 4-0 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (2 - 2) at MILWAUKEE (3 - 0) - 10/24/2018, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (0 - 3) at PHOENIX (1 - 2) - 10/24/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 174-130 ATS (+31.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 138-97 ATS (+31.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (2 - 1) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 3) - 10/24/2018, 10:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at GOLDEN STATE (3 - 1) - 10/24/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, October 24



    Cleveland is 0-3, giving up 126.7 ppg (over 3-0); they lost their only home game by 22 to Atlanta. Nets lost two of first three games (under 2-1), losing both road games, by 3-10 points (1-1 as AU). Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered five of last six; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Nets lost their last five visits to Ohio, but covered last three.

    Home side won/covered all three Dallas games (over 2-1); Mavericks lost by 21 in Phoenix in their only road game. Atlanta is finally playing its home opener; they’re 1-2 (over 3-0), with an average total of 241.7. Hawks won their last nine games with Dallas (8-1 vs spread); under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Mavericks lost their last five visits to Atlanta (1-4 vs spread).

    New York lost its last three games but covered all three; they’re 4-0 vs spread, with road losses by 2-11 points (2-0 as AU). Over is 2-2 in their games. Miami lost two of first three games, which were decided by total of five points (over 2-1). Heta lost only home game by point to Charlotte. Knicks/Heat split last ten games, with home side winning last four; Knicks covered four of their last five visits to South Beach. Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games.

    Timberwolves split first four games; they lost their two road games by 4-4 points (0-1 as AU); over is 3-1 in their four games. Raptors won/covered their first four games, three of which were at home (over 3-0-1). Home side won last six Minnesota-Toronto games; Wolves lost last five visits to Canada, but they covered three of last four games there. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

    Chicago is off to an 0-3 start, losing road games by 19-6 points (0-2 as AU); over is 2-1 in their games. Hornets split first four games (over 3-1), winning two of three on road; they’re 1-0 as AF this year. Bulls won five of last six games with Charlotte; home side won six of last eight series games. Bulls won/covered last three series games played here. Last six series games went over the total. Hornets

    Road team won all three Utah games (over 2-1); Jazz won by 6 at Sacramento in their road opener. Houston lost two of first three games (over 3-0, average total 136.3), losing home opener by 19 to the Pelicans. Rockets won eight of last nine games with Utah (7-2 vs spread); under is 4-2 in last six series games. Jazz lost four of last five visits here (2-3 vs spread). Chris Paul (suspended) is out here.

    Home side won/covered all four Indiana games; Pacers lost first two road games by 17-10 points (0-2 AU). Over is 2-2 in their games. San Antonio won two of its first three games (over 3-0), winning home opener by 4 over Minnesota (1-0 as HF). Spurs won six of last nine games with Indiana but lost last two; under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Pacers covered four of their last five visits to the Alamo.

    76ers tough OT game in Detroit last nite without Simmons (back); check status for this game. Philly split its first four games (over 3-1), losing road games by 1-18 points. Milwaukee won its first three games (over 3-0); they’re 1-1 as home favorites. Bucks won four of last six games with Philly; home side won last four. Sixers lost by 12-8 points in their last two visits to Milwaukee.

    Lakers lost first three games (over 3-0), losing by 9 at Portland in only road game; they’ve given up 131.7 ppg this year. Suns lost last two games by 28-20 points (under 2-0); they won only home game by 21 over Dallas. Lakers are 0-3 after losing in OT Monday; they won four of last five games with Phoenix, taking last three games in the desert, by 12-2-7 points. Seven of last nine series games went over.

    Memphis won its last two games by 14-8 points; under is 2-1 in their games. Grizzlies split their two away games. Kings are 1-3 after getting whacked in Denver last nite; they lost by 6 to Utah in their home opener. All four Sacramento games went over. Grizzlies won seven of last ten games with Sacramento; under is 6-2 in last eight. Memphis won three of its last four visits here.

    Washington won its road opener in OT at Portland Wednesday; they’re 1-2 overall (over 3-0). Golden State is playing 3rd game in four nights; they’re 3-1, winning home games by 8-20 points (1-1 as HF). Under is 3-1 in their games this month. Warriors won seven of last eight games with Washington, but Wizards covered four of last five; Wiz is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Oakland. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #75
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    NBA

    Wednesday, October 24


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 15 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Brooklyn is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
    Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    Cleveland is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home
    Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn


    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
    Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
    Minnesota is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Minnesota is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
    Toronto is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
    Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Toronto is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Toronto is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    New York Knicks
    New York is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    New York is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
    New York is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    New York is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
    New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    New York is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Miami
    New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
    New York is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami Heat
    Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Miami is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
    Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
    Miami is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing New York
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
    Miami is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against New York


    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games
    Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games
    Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte


    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Utah is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
    Utah is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Houston
    Utah is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Utah is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Houston is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston's last 25 games at home
    Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah
    Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Utah
    Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Utah
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah


    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games
    Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 19 games on the road
    Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    Indiana is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Indiana is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Antonio is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games
    San Antonio is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
    San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Indiana
    San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
    San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana


    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 21 of Milwaukee's last 25 games
    Milwaukee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Milwaukee is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 12 games at home
    Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Lakers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    LA Lakers is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Phoenix
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    LA Lakers is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
    LA Lakers is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    LA Lakers is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Phoenix is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
    Phoenix is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    Phoenix is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Phoenix's last 16 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    Phoenix is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Memphis is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
    Memphis is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Memphis is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Memphis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Sacramento is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games
    Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 13 games at home
    Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
    Sacramento is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Sacramento is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Sacramento is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis


    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
    Washington is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
    Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games at home
    Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
    Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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