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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/14

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 14

    Good Luck on day #287 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 6 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Steelers +2.5 (1,092)

    2) Patriots -3.5 (1,004)

    3) Jaguars -3 (838)

    4) Bears -3 (799)

    5) Colts +2.5 (773)

    6) Falcons -3.5 (766)

    Season record: 13-15-2


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Michigan State 21, Penn State 17— To paraphrase Bill Raftery, Spartans coach Mark Dantonio has onions; MSU tried a fake FG with 5:31 left, down 17-14- it didn’t work, but they got the ball back and didn’t just play for tying FG- they threw a GW TD pass with 0:19 left.

    If you remember, Michigan State beat Notre Dame a few years back by scoring a TD on a fake FG in OT. You can’t play scared and be a great coach.

    12) Tennessee 30, Auburn 24— Vols snapped an 11-game SEC losing streak, ending a six-game skid vs Auburn- their last win over the Tigers was in 1999.

    Auburn is 1-3 in SEC play and obviously, they haven’t played Alabama yet; Auburn has fired coaches for less- they canned Gene Chizik in 2012, two years after he won a national title.

    11) Virginia Tech 22, North Carolina 19— What is a quarterback? You can use all the numbers you want, but the essence of what a QB is/should be was summed up by Hokies’ QB Ryan Willis, who led an 18-play, 98-yard drive that wound up with Tech scoring the game-winning TD with 0:19 left in Chapel Hill.

    Willis scrambled for a first down on 4th-and-7 when their situation looked hopeless- thats what good QB’s do, whatever needs to be done.

    10) Florida 37, Vanderbilt 27— Vandy was up 21-3 in 2nd quarter- Florida turned ball over three times, but Gators stormed back to win- they had 576-336 yardage edge, ran 92 plays compared to 58 for the Commodores. Gators were 12-19 on third down, Vanderbilt 3-12.

    In 2nd quarter, there was war of words between two head coaches while a Vandy player was hurt; benches almost emptied. After the game, the coaches talked for 20-30 seconds and all seemed peaceful then.

    9) Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31 OT— Cornhuskers’ season from hell continues; they’re 0-6 for the first time ever, losing game here when they led 31-21 with 3:00 left- Northwestern tied game with 0:12 left in regulation.

    Clayton Thorson threw for 455 yards for the Wildcats. Dating back to last year, Nebraska has now lost ten games in a row. Rough start to the Scott Frost era in Lincoln.

    8) Maryland 34, Rutgers 7— Scarlet Knights threw 17 passes in this game; seven of them were caught, five by Maryland defenders, only two by Rutgers receivers. This is not good.

    Rutgers lost its last six games (1-4 vs spread), five of them by 21+ points.

    7) Upsets of the Week:
    Tennessee (+14.5) 30, Auburn 24
    Liberty (+9.5) 22, Troy 16
    Texas Tech (+7.5) 17, TCU 14
    LSU (+7) 36, Georgia 16
    Kansas State (+7) 31, Oklahoma State 12
    UCLA (+7) 37, California 7

    6) Eastern Michigan 28, Toledo 26— Eagles led 28-3 at the half, hung on for dear life as they snapped a 4-game losing skid- EMU’s last four games were decided by total of 11 points.

    5) Central Florida 31, Memphis 30— Tigers were driving for winning FG in last minute, but after WR caught pass to the UCF 35 with 0:38 left, he strutted around for few seconds before realizing he had to line up again, because Memphis had no timeouts left. He had to sprint to other side of field and it took a few seconds.

    Finally Memphis got lined up, but left tackle moved before the snap, which resulted in both a 10-second runoff and the 5-yard penalty- things unraveled from there- they never even got a FG try off.

    4) Oregon 30, Washington 27 OT— Huskies missed a 37-yard FG on last play of regulation, Oregon scored TD in OT and improved to 5-1. Teams combined to go 15-31 on third down, as offenses controlled the day, while a kicker ruined Washington’s day.

    3) Iowa State 30, Oklahoma State 14— ISU coach Matt Campbell makes $3.5M a year; I hope Cyclone fans are enjoying this, because Campbell is about to get a really big raise, whether it is from a bigger-$$$ school or an NFL team— this guy is really good.

    I’ve never been to Iowa, but people in Ames seem happier when they win than most people when they win. Fans at Iowa State were really, really happy after this game.

    2) Dodgers 4, Brewers 3— Justin Turner hit the GW homer in the 8th inning.
    Astros 7, Red Sox 2— Justin Verlander allowed two hits in six IP; imagine that, a starting pitcher actually finishing the sixth inning. Revolutionary.

    1) Ole Miss 37, Arkansas 33— Razorbacks led 30-17 with 8:00 left in third quarter, but let this game slip away and lost their sixth game in a row.

    Rebels gained 613 yards on a rainy night in Little Rock, averaged 11.1 yds/pass attempt.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, October 14


    San Jose @ New Jersey

    Game 1-2
    October 14, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    13.091
    New Jersey
    11.300
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -115
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (-115); Under

    Carolina @ Winnipeg


    Game 3-4
    October 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    9.573
    Winnipeg
    12.863
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-175); Over

    Anaheim @ St. Louis


    Game 5-6
    October 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    10.797
    St. Louis
    9.907
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Anaheim
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    N/A




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, October 14


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    SAN JOSE (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/14/2018, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 3-15 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW JERSEY is 48-42 ATS (-3.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW JERSEY is 24-16 ATS (+6.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 91-69 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 217-229 ATS (+487.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 195-147 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN JOSE is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    SAN JOSE is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CAROLINA (4-0-0-1, 9 pts.) at WINNIPEG (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/14/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 70-131 ATS (+229.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
    CAROLINA is 23-49 ATS (+78.6 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 15-4 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 3-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ANAHEIM (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at ST LOUIS (1-1-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/14/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    ST LOUIS is 3-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Sunday, October 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
    San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
    San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Jersey's last 18 games
    New Jersey is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    New Jersey is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 9 games at home
    New Jersey is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
    New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing San Jose
    New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose


    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Anaheim is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Anaheim's last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
    St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
    St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim


    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games on the road
    Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Carolina is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Carolina is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Winnipeg is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Winnipeg is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
    Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
    Winnipeg is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Carolina
    Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
    Winnipeg is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Carolina


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2018 at 11:49 AM.

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    Preview: Ducks (3-1) at Blues (1-1)

    ST. LOUIS -- Two teams with little time to shore up their defensive play will meet Sunday night when the St. Louis Blues host the Anaheim Ducks in the second game of a back-to-back for both teams at Scottrade Center.

    Both teams lost road games Saturday night when the Blues fell 4-3 to the Chicago Blackhawks in overtime and the Ducks dropped a 5-3 decision to the Dallas Stars.

    The back-to-back set is the first of the season for each team.

    The loss Saturday was a particularly dispiriting one for the Ducks, who raced out to a 3-0 lead before the midway point of the second period but allowed four goals in a span of fewer than seven minutes before intermission. The Stars racked up a franchise-record 30 shots in the second period.

    The Ducks, who pulled John Gibson after the second period, limited the Stars to one goal -- an empty netter by Radek Faksa with 1:28 remaining -- on seven shots in the third.

    "Our team performance, obviously, in the second period wasn't good, but in the third, we played more of the way we need to play," Ducks coach Randy Carlyle said. "But it takes 60 minutes to win in the NHL. We only played 40 minutes."

    As far as defenseman Cam Fowler was concerned, Saturday night was a long time coming for the Ducks, who allowed opponents to fire 134 shots at Gibson in their first four games but still opened 3-0-1.

    "I feel terrible," Fowler said. "He's been phenomenal all year. He's the reason why we even have a chance most nights. As bad as tonight was, if you look at our shot totals for us in the first five games, it has not been good. And he's been our best player, by far, so I feel awful for him."

    The Blues rode a roller coaster as well Saturday when they fell behind 2-0 before scoring three straight goals spanning the second and third periods. But Blackhawks right winger Alex DeBrincat scored the tying goal with 6:54 left in regulation before he collected the game-winner with nine seconds left in overtime.

    "It's good that the guys battled back, we got a point," Blues head coach Mike Yeo said. "But still, there's some areas that need to improve here."

    The Blues have given up at least four goals in three of their first four games.

    "You have to play smart to be good defensively," Yeo said. "And I think that when we start to have sort of an internal pride in our locker room, that when you're on the ice, that it matters as much not to have anything bad happen as it does for something good to happen, then when we start to come together a little bit more as a team."

    The Blues announced Saturday night that backup goalie Chad Johnson will make his season and St. Louis debut Sunday. Johnson, who signed as a free agent on July 1, is 3-2-0 in six career appearances against the Ducks.

    Miller is likely to get his first start of the season for the Ducks. He is 2-7-0 in nine career games against the Blues.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2018 at 11:51 AM.

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