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Thread: Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/13

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, October 13

    Good Luck on day #286 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    College football trends for Week 6:

    — Arkansas beat Ole Miss 38-37 LY; they trailed 31-7 at the half.

    — Wisconsin covered its last four games with Michigan.

    — Home side is 14-3-1 vs spread in last 18 UCLA-Cal games.

    — Florida is 7-3 vs spread in its last 10 visits to Vanderbilt.

    — Home side is 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven Buffalo-Akron games.

    — Kansas State covered 11 of last 14 games with Oklahoma State.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……

    13) Brewers 6, Dodgers 5— Knabel struck Turner out with tying run on third base to end the game. Dodgers made four errors; Milwaukee used seven pitchers.

    12) This game wasn’t on FOX, it was on FS1, which isn’t shown in most hotel rooms around the country, and probably isn’t in the regular channel rotation for many casual fans.

    Major League Baseball has to market itself better; they just have to. There is a level of arrogance that people will kill themselves to find these playoff games; the casual fan will not, and to grow the game, baseball needs to engage the casual fan better.

    This is the freakin’ NLCS, its a big deal; if FOX Sports doesn’t see fit to put these games on FOX instead of FS1, then FOX Sports shouldn’t be showing the games- I’m guessing Turner Sports would love to show them.

    Last night, Warriors-Lakers were on ESPN2, there were three college football games, and baseball is hiding its main event on FS1. Really, thats not intelligent.

    11) During Eagles-Giants Thursday night, Troy Aikman was talking about filming commercials with Hulk Hogan, and how much he enjoyed meeting/working with the Hulkster.

    Everyone has their own preferences, but to me, Aikman and Tony Romo are the best NFL game analysts, and I’m not a Cowboy fan.

    The best analysts are guys who when you listen to them, its like you’re sitting in, eavesdropping on two friends talking ball. Relaxed conversation, but with decisive opinions.

    10) Eli Manning will turn 38 years old on January 3; the Giants are 1-5, and don’t have an offensive line that is good enough to protect an immobile QB.

    It is time (it was time last year) for the Giants to move on- hey, Joe Montana finished his career with the Chiefs, Johnny Unitas was a Charger at the end, and Manning is no Montana/Unitas. It happens. Giants need to play Kyle Lauletta and see if he could be the answer going forward.

    9) Former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant quit the Tigers few weeks ago, is now looking for his next home; North Carolina, Arkansas, Louisville and Missouri are the frontrunners right now.

    8) Sports gambling is now legal in five states; New Jersey, Nevada, Delaware, Mississippi and West Virginia. What will that number be up to by this time next year?

    From June 14-August 31, gamblers in New Jersey placed $95.6M worth of bets on sports, and the state collected $16.5M in profits.

    As usual, New York is twiddling its thumbs and losing money.

    7) Arizona Diamondbacks are switching to artificial turf next year, after having natural grass for the first 21 years of their existence at Chase Field.

    6) New York SS Didi Gregorius is having Tommy John surgery, will miss most of next season. Average recovery time for non-pitchers who have this surgery is ten months, which fuels the speculation that Manny Machado will be headed to the Bronx this winter.

    5) Last week in the NFL, there were six missed PAT’s and 16 missed field goals, which is a lot; when a guy missed four FG’s and a PAT in a dome, you realize how mental kicking can be.

    4) Double digit underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in NFL games so far this season.

    3) Best red zone offenses in NFL (pts/possession):
    Seattle 6.20, Kansas City 6.05, Pittsburgh 5.57, New England 5.56.

    Worst red zone offenses:
    Jets 3.53, Jacksonville 3.62, Denver 3.87, Houston 4.05

    2) Best offenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
    Chiefs/Saints 2.87, Bengals 2.83, Falcons 2.66.

    Worst offenses on drives that start 75+ yards from goal line:
    Cardinals 0.87, Bills 0.90, Texans 0.97, Browns 1.04

    1) South Florida 25, Tulsa 24— Bulls are 7-0, but trailed three of those games in 4th quarter and a fourth game was tied in final frame. Tulsa led this game 24-10, let it slip away.

    I watched this game on the plane ride home from Las Vegas; thanks to these teams for playing an entertaining game and making a usually-dull flight seem a lot shorter.

    USF’s QB is Blake Barnett, who started Alabama’s opener in 2016, got benched, transferred to Arizona State, got beat out there, transferred and now is getting his chance to play— he was at a junior college in there somewhere too. This is a make-or-break year for him, and he is doing the most with the opportunity.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Saturday, October 13


    Houston @ Boston

    Game 903-904
    October 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Verlnder) 18.781
    Boston
    (Sale) 16.344
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -125
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+105); Over

    LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee


    Game 905-906
    October 13, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Ryu) 19.831
    Milwaukee
    (Miley) 17.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    N/A





    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, October 13


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    HOUSTON (106 - 59) at BOSTON (111 - 55) - 8:05 PM
    JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 275-313 (-72.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
    BOSTON is 111-55 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 88-39 (+32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    BOSTON is 75-35 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 42-29 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 58-24 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 37-14 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 24-6 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
    HOUSTON is 42-15 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
    HOUSTON is 38-16 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 49-28 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 240-240 (-64.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

    JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
    VERLANDER is 6-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.103.
    His team's record is 9-11 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.6 units)

    CHRIS SALE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    SALE is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 0.864.
    His team's record is 5-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

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    LA DODGERS (95 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (99 - 67) - 4:05 PM
    HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

    HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    RYU is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 1.091.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    MILEY is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.312.
    His team's record is 6-8 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    MLB
    Short Sheet

    Saturday, October 13





    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, October 13


    National League
    Dodgers @ Brewers (Milwaukee leads series, 1-0)

    Ryu is 4-0, 0.35 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Team in his starts: 11-5, 3-3 road Ryu didn’t pitch against Milwaukee this season.
    5-inning record: 10-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-16

    Milwaukee won Miley’s last eight starts (3-0, 2.93); Miley hasn’t gotten an out past the 5th inning since Sept 4- Brewers used 7 pitchers last nite. Team in his starts: 13-4, 5-2 home Miley allowed one run in 13 IP in two starts vs the Dodgers this year.
    5-inning record: 10-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-16

    Dodgers won seven of their last nine games overall, four of last six on road. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

    Milwaukee won its last 12 games; their last loss was Sept 22. Brewers won their last seven home games- they’re in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.

    American League
    Houston @ Boston

    Verlander is 4-0, 1.41 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 22-13, 13-2 road Verlander allowed two runs in six IP in a June 2 no-decision vs Boston.
    5-inning record: 23-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-35

    Sale is 1-0, 4.73 in his last three starts; he pitched scoreless 8th inning Tuesday in New York. Team in his starts: 19-9, 9-4 home Sale lost 7-3 in Houston June 1, allowing four runs in six IP.
    5-inning record: 18-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-28

    Houston is 11-2 in its last 13 games; they outscored Cleveland 21-6 in last series. Red Sox won four of their last five games; they scored 27 runs in 3-1 series win vs New York.

    Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.




    MLB
    Weather Report

    Saturday, October 13







    MLB

    Saturday, October 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


    Houston Astros
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games
    Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Houston is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games
    Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 18 games when playing at home against Houston


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