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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Tues., Oct. 9 - Sat., Oct. 13)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Tues., Oct. 9 - Sat., Oct. 13)


    Week 7


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 9 - Saturday, October 13

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Betting Recap - Week 6
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    College Football Week 6 Results


    WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 39-17
    Against the Spread 24-31-1

    WAGER Home-Away
    Straight Up 29-27
    Against the Spread 23-32-1

    WAGER Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 36-19-1

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    San Diego State (+13.5, ML +400) at Boise State, 19-13
    Northwestern (+10.5, ML +330) at Michigan State, 29-19
    Iowa State (+10, ML +300) at Oklahoma State, 48-42

    The largest favorites to cover
    Memphis (-36) vs. Connecticut, 55-14
    Georgia (-26) vs. Vanderbilt, 41-13
    Mississippi (-23.5) vs. Louisiana-Monroe, 70-21
    Clemson (-20.5) at Wake Forest, 63-3

    Top 25 Notes

    -- The Red River Rivalry lived up to expectations on Saturday afternoon, although it didn't look like it at first. Texas shot out to a 45-24 lead at one point over Oklahoma, but Kyler Murray and the Sooners didn't give up. They closed the lead to 14 points with 8:28 left in regulation, and they tied it up 45-45 with 2:38 to go. However, true freshman PK Cameron Dicker would be the hero from 40 yards out, sending the Longhorns to a 48-45 victory. The Longhorns are now 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings in this series.

    -- Clemson rolled to a 63-3 victory on the road against Wake Forest, as side bettors of the Tigers never even broke a sweat. The Tigers fired out to a 28-0 lead at halftime, and they didn't take their foot off the gas peddle at any point in the second half. Clemson had their quarterback back from injury, but it was the run game that propelled them in this one. Three backs had exactly 10 carries each, and all three ran for at least 128 yards while combining for six rushing scores. If only they could all be this easy, right?

    -- Alabama hit the road for Arkansas favored by five touchdowns. It was another ho-hum effort, as they shot out to a 41-14 lead by halftime, and they held a 65-24 lead after a touchdown at 1:59. The line switched back and forth several times in the fourth quarter. It appeared the Crimson Tide would get the backdoor cover, but it was the Razorbacks who were doling out the bad beat with a rushing touchdown with just :13 seconds remaining.

    -- North Carolina State picked up the victory over Boston College, 28-23, as the Wolfpack remaining a perfect 5-0 SU. In addition, the 'under' is 3-1 so far through four games at home. Their unbeaten streak will certainly be put to the test in two weeks when they play at Clemson after a bye. The Wolfpack are averaging 35.3 PPG through four games against FBS opponents, so the Tigers will certainly be on upset alert. There was a bad beat in this one, too (see below).

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    -- Miami-Florida was involved in a dogfight, and it appeared initially that they were going to be run out of their own building by struggling Florida State. The Hurricanes ended up erasing a 27-7 deficit to stun the Seminoles 28-27. After an 0-3 ATS start, the Seminoles are 2-1 ATS with the 'over' going 3-0 in the past three. ... Virginia Tech was in it for a half against Notre Dame, down just 17-16 at the break. The Irish fired out of the room in the third quarter for a 31-16 lead and they never looked back, winning it 45-23 to keep their playoff hopes going.

    -- Michigan State was unable to avoid the Northwestern upset bug, something their brethren from Ann Arbor narrowly avoided last week. The Wildcats have covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they're 2-0 ATS against Michigan teams. ... Nebraska suffered another loss, as Wisconsin added to their misery. The Cornhuskers are 0-5 SU, but at least they covered for the first time in five tries. The 'over' has hit in each of their past three. ... Indiana was a thorn in the side of Ohio State again, as the Hoosiers were good for 26 points at the Horseshoe, and they entered the fourth quarter down just 35-26. The Buckeyes gained a little bit of separation for the 49-26 win, but it wasn't as lopsided as that score indicates.

    -- Oklahoma was upset by Iowa State Iast year, and this season the Cyclones upended another team from the Sooner State. Oklahoma State suffered the 48-42 setback at home in a game which had a total of just 55.5 points. It was 30-21 at halftime, so 'over' bettors certainly enjoyed the game no matter the result of the line. ... West Virginia might be carrying the flag for the Big 12 now that Oklahoma suffered their first loss of the season. The Mountaineers topped doormat Kansas for the 38-22 win. It wasn't quite a bad beat, although somewhere somebody lost a teaser when the Jayhawks scored with :00 on the clock.

    -- Washington struggled with winless UCLA, winning just 31-24 despite being favored on the road by three touchdowns. The Bruins slipped to 0-5 SU, and they're just 2-3 ATS. Those two covers against against Top 25 teams Oklahoma and Washington, with the 'over' cashing in each outing. ... Stanford was going to be in trouble with Heisman hopeful RB Bryce Love (ankle) sidelined, but everyone still expected the Cardinal to get it done against Utah. The Utes were desperate for a win, however, looking to keep their hopes alive in the Pac-12 South, and they were able to post a 40-21 victory. Not only did they win for the first time in three games, they covered for the first time against an FBS team.

    -- Kentucky suffered their first loss of the season at Texas A&M in a surprisingly defensive battle, 20-14. This one went to overtime and there was a bad beat involved in the result of this one, too. ... Florida introduced the No. 15 of Tim Tebow into their ring of honor at 'The Swamp'. No way they were losing to LSU, right? The Tigers were winning and covering with 11:14 to go, 19-14. However, Florida took the lead for good 20-19 with 8:48 to go, and they added a pick-six for good measure, a game-changer for total bettors (see below).

    Bad Beats

    -- There were plenty of bad beats, and they all involved big schools, too. We mentioned Arkansas covering with :13 remaining, but reallly, the Crimson Tide side bettors were only winning for a minute or two, so was it really THAT bad of a beat?

    -- In Gainesville, total bettors (44.5) looked to be in good shape with the Gators up 20-19 with less than two minutes to go and LSU deep in their own territory. However, the Tigers were picked off by Brad Stewart who housed a 25-yard interception for score to flip the 'under' to an 'over'.

    -- Florida Atlantic entered their game against OId Dominion at 0-5 ATS. The Owls were favored by two touchdowns at most shops, and it was a topsy-turvy fourth quarter. ODU cut FAU's lead to five, 32-27, with 12:13 left in regulation. The Owls scored twice to go up 46-27 with 6:43 to go. The Monarchs appeared to give their side bettors a backdoor cover, but FAU rattled off a 44-yard run by stud RB Devin Singletary for the 52-33 win and cover with 2:17 to go.

    -- In that Kentucky-Texas A&M game in College Station, the Wildcats forced overtime at 14-14, catching five. They missed the field goal on their first possession of OT, so surely the Aggies would boot a field goal and Wildcats side bettors would cover the five, right? A&M scored a TD and dished out a bad beat, extra-time style with a 20-14 win.

    -- On Thursday, the side and total were involved in a bad beat. Georgia State hit a touchdown and two-point conversion with 1:46 to go, cutting the lead of Troy to 37-20 and that's how it ended. The line ended up a push at most shops thanks to the miracle two-point play, and that also flipped the total (55.5) from an under to an over.

    -- The New Mexico-UNLV game was scoreless through the first quarter, so 'under' (63) bettors were feeling pretty good. UNM had a 29-point outburst in the second, but still led just 36-0 heading to the fourth quarter. The Runnin' Rebels scored a total of just seven points in the first 55-plus minutes of play, but notched a meaningless TD at 4:43 to go, inching the total just over (63) and that's how the game finished.
    Last edited by Udog; 10-08-2018 at 09:46 AM.

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    4th Quarter Covers - Week 6
    Joe Nelson

    Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the sixth big college football weekend to open October. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

    Troy (-17) 37, Georgia State 20:
    Those backing the heavy favorite Thursday night felt good about a 23-0 lead not even 21 minutes into the game. Georgia State would manage two field goals while Troy was held off the board the rest of the second quarter and the entire third quarter as well, leaving the margin at 17 and even with the closing number. During the week the line dipped as low as -15˝ however and Troy would pull away in the final frame with a pair of touchdowns surrounding the first touchdown of the game for Georgia State, leaving a 25-point margin with four minutes remaining. In the final two minutes, Georgia State completed a 70-yard touchdown drive and successfully converted for two to put the final margin right back on 17, with that late score bailing out those on the ‘over’ as well.

    South Florida (-15˝) 48, Massachusetts 42:
    The Bulls led by 20 entering the fourth quarter facing a road favorite spread that opened at -13˝ and jumped as high as -16 before settling just below that by kickoff Saturday morning. Head Coach Mark Whipple was suspended for this game for the Minutemen and after a competitive first half, South Florida pulled away in the third quarter with three touchdowns in the span of five minutes. After a South Florida field goal with 10 minutes remaining in the game put the margin at 23 points, Massachusetts answered with a touchdown to trim the margin to 16 to match the spread for some. South Florida scored on an eight-yard drive following the fifth turnover of the game for Massachusetts but with 15 seconds remaining the Minutemen found the end zone to complete a long drive and finish down by 16.

    Pittsburgh (+3) 44, Syracuse 37:
    With the help of a defensive score and a big run, Pittsburgh overcame an early 14-0 deficit to take a 20-17 halftime lead. The Panthers hit a big pass play just after halftime but from there Syracuse appeared to take over, scoring the next 17 points to lead by seven early in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh tied the game with about eight minutes remaining but Syracuse took the lead back with a 54-yard field goal from Andre Szmyt with about six minutes to go to lead by three, even with the closing spread though the Orange were favored by -3˝ much of the week. As time expired, Pittsburgh hit a 45-yard field goal to force overtime. Going first, the Panthers got seven in overtime and then intercepted Eric Dungey on first down to seal the win.

    NC State (-6) 28, Boston College 23:
    An opening line of -3˝ quickly climbed with NC State closing at -6, though -6˝ was hit at some outlets and -5˝ was common ahead of the weekend. The differences didn’t seem likely to matter as the Wolfpack had a 28-3 lead late in the third quarter. The Eagles trimmed the margin to 18 points ahead of the start of the fourth and then scored again early in the fourth to trail by 12, failing on the two-point-conversion. Boston College was poised to score again but fumbled inside the 5-yard-line. It worked out however as a few plays later the Eagles blocked a NC State punt and recovered it for a touchdown with just over three minutes remaining to cut the margin to five points, which was enough to flip the spread result for many.

    Florida (+1) 27, LSU 19:
    The Gators led 14-10 at the half but LSU would take the lead with a field goal in the third quarter and a touchdown early in the fourth, failing going for two to lead 19-14 as a slight road favorite with a line that hit -3 early in the week but was steady at -2˝ before dipping to -1 on Saturday. Florida answered going 75 yards in just over two minutes but also failed going for two to lead by just one. Both teams gained yardage on late possessions but needed to punt, leaving LSU with two minutes remaining but stuck on its own 12-yard-line. On third down, Joe Burrow was intercepted with Brad Stewart taking it to the house to put Florida up eight for a big win for the SEC East.

    South Carolina (-1) 37, Missouri 35:
    The Gamecocks opened at -2 and climbed to -2˝ early in the week. The line eventually flipped and then flipped back and flipped back again before eventually closing with the Gamecocks as the slight favorite Saturday even with quarterback Jake Bentley ruled out. Missouri settled for a pair of short field goals just before halftime to only extend its lead to 23-14 and South Carolina took over in the third quarter. The Gamecocks shutout Missouri 17-0 in the third including getting an interception return touchdown to lead by eight heading into the fourth quarter. Missouri got within two early in the fourth quarter and failed on the conversion but took the lead a few minutes later with a field goal, leading by one. That margin held after an exchange of late field goals including Missouri kicker Tucker McCann hitting from 57 with just over a minute to go. The Tigers couldn’t hold on as South Carolina went over 50 yards in nine plays to hit a game-winning field goal for a two-point win.

    Michigan (-18) 42, Maryland 21:
    The box score looked like a 21-point win as Michigan more than doubled Maryland’s yardage production. The Terrapins had an early kickoff return touchdown however and hung around until Michigan scored late in the third quarter to lead 27-7. Maryland delivered a 15-play touchdown drive to trail by only 13 and that margin looked like it could hold. Michigan would score two touchdowns in just over two minutes late in the game with the second score a 46-yard interception return to blow the game open as a late Maryland touchdown wasn’t enough to get back within the number.

    Western Michigan (-4˝) 27, Eastern Michigan 24:
    It is no surprise that Eastern Michigan found itself in another tight game and the Eagles led 17-14 through three quarters as a slight underdog. Western Michigan took over in the fourth with back-to-back touchdowns to lead by 10, with an extra point blocked on the second score. Eastern Michigan missed a 32-yard field goal with about three minutes remaining but forced a punt on defense and wound up spoiling the favorite cover with a fourth-and-8 touchdown with 20 seconds remaining.

    Colorado (-2˝) 28, Arizona State 21:
    The Buffaloes led by seven through three quarters and that lead would hold. Arizona State was on the doorstep early in the fourth, opting to go for it on fourth-and-goal from the 3 early in the final frame and ending with an incomplete pass. Colorado didn’t add points the rest of the way but burned clock on two substantial drives surrounding an ASU punt to move to 5-0 while getting the home favorite cover.

    Alabama (-34˝) 65, Arkansas 31:
    The Tide led 41-14 at the half but there was late drama regarding the five-touchdown road favorite spread. Arkansas connected on a late third quarter field goal to trail by 31 and the Tide made it a 58-17 edge early in the fourth quarter after an interception return touchdown. Arkansas would answer to trail by 34 but Alabama went 72 yards while burning seven minutes of clock to lead by 41 with fewer than two minutes remaining. A 78-yard kickoff return put Arkansas in position to score late and the Razorbacks eventually did run into the end zone with 13 seconds to go, with the extra-point giving the underdog the narrow cover.

    Toledo (-23) 52, Bowling Green 36:
    Winless ATS on the season, Bowling Green fell behind 17-0 eight minutes into this game but battled back to trail only 24-21 at the half. After an exchange of scores in the third quarter, Bowling Green wasn’t thinking about covering, they had sights on the upset. Toledo would score three touchdowns in the span of about six minutes in the middle of the fourth quarter to lead by 24, but Bowling Green went 75 yards in three plays in the final minutes to earn the win for the underdog with the Falcons even posting a slight yardage edge in the game.

    Texas (+7) 48, Oklahoma 45:
    The Longhorns led most of the way and took complete control in the third quarter to lead the Red River Rivalry 45-24 heading into the fourth quarter. The Sooners have been able to score quickly all year and in stunning fashion tied the game in just six minutes of game clock with a total of 10 offensive plays resulting in three touchdown drives. Overtime was a scary thought even for those that had Texas +7˝, but the Longhorns engineered a steady drive, going 52 yards in nine plays to line up a 40-yard game-winning field goal.

    Baylor (-3˝) 37, Kansas State 34:
    Baylor led by six heading into the fourth quarter but Kansas State scored two touchdowns early in the final frame to lead by seven with one of the extra-point attempts missing. Baylor would score two touchdowns in two minutes to go back up by seven but Kansas State answered with a five-play touchdown drive to tie the game with just over four minutes remaining. Baylor would deliver the game-winning drive but they settled for three with eight seconds remaining to fall short of the favorite spread.

    Florida Atlantic (-14) 52, Old Dominion 33:
    The Owls entered this game 0-5 ATS but led 26-7 at halftime. Old Dominion made a late charge closing to within five points early in the fourth quarter. Florida Atlantic dominated on the ground and quickly turned in a pair of rushing touchdowns to lead by 19 with about seven minutes remaining. Old Dominion delivered a 74-yard touchdown drive in just over two minutes to trail by just 13 to get back within the number. Florida Atlantic kept it on the ground but Devin Singletary broke free for a 44-yard touchdown run as the Owls took a 19-point edge and held off a late threat from the Monarchs.

    Memphis (-36) 55, Connecticut 14:
    Memphis led by just 34 through three quarters but managed a late score with reserves in the game to push the final margin to 41 points, posting 634 yards and getting a 4-0 turnover edge, though Connecticut had 327 yards in the game despite only 14 points.

    Wisconsin (-18) 41, Nebraska 24:
    The Badgers led 20-3 at the half and 34-17 heading into the fourth quarter. Wisconsin briefly got past that 17-point margin in the fourth quarter after an 88-yard run from Jonathan Taylor, but Nebraska went 95 yards on the next drive to climb back within 17. Wisconsin lost a fumble on in next possession but Nebraska couldn’t take advantage, going for it on fourth down outside of field goal range and coming up short. Wisconsin won by 17 despite only out-gaining Nebraska by 15 yards as the Huskers did enough for a narrow underdog cover.

    Texas A&M (-5˝) 20, Kentucky 14:
    The Aggies dominated the statistics with a more than 2-to-1 yardage edge but these teams were locked in a stalemate into the fourth quarter knotted at 7-7 in a game that featured 15 combined punts. A big punt return sparked the Aggies to good field position and with about 10 minutes remaining Texas A&M hit a big play with a 46-yard touchdown to go up by seven, past a favorite spread that bounced around between -4˝ and -5˝ during the week though opening at -6 or even -6˝. The Aggies held firm on defense with the lead but disaster struck with four minutes remaining as Kellen Mond lost yardage on a third-and-1 play and fumbled with the ball scooped up for a 40-yard return to tie the game. Neither squad was aggressive in the final minutes as overtime was needed. The Aggies again delivered on defense with a big third down sack and the 43-yard field goal attempt for Kentucky was missed. The Aggies ran for nine yards on first down and presumably would play for a game-winning field goal but instead picked up a first down. Then on second-and-6 from the 10-yard-line, Trayveon Williams broke a tackle and flipped into the end zone to narrowly get the touchdown and score a narrow cover for the Aggies.

    UCF (-26) 48, SMU 20:
    The Knights led by 21 through three quarters but broke a pair of 30-yard touchdowns in the first five minutes of the fourth quarter to lead by 35, with those touchdowns in-between a red zone failure for SMU. The Mustangs converted a pair of fourth downs on the way to a late touchdown but UCF held on for another win and heavy favorite cover.

    Fresno State (-16˝) 21, Nevada 3:
    Fresno State led just 7-3 at halftime but took advantage of a short field for a third quarter score to get up by 11. In the fourth Fresno State added another seven points to narrowly win and cover despite posting only 271 yards in Reno.

    Washington State (-18˝) 56, Oregon State 37:
    The Beavers led 30-28 well into the third quarter as Washington State’s perfect ATS season seemed set to end. The Cougars took the lead by the start of the fourth quarter and then scored a pair of early touchdowns on quick drives to lead by 19 with nine minutes to go, slipping past the hefty road favorite spread with those scores coming in-between Oregon State fumbling inside the Washington State 5-yard-line. The Beavers reached the Washington State 23-yard-line on its next possession but lost yardage with a fumble and then had three consecutive penalties to ultimately need to punt facing 4th-and-54. Washington State answered with another touchdown as a late Beavers touchdown wouldn’t be enough as the Cougars snuck out a fortunate cover in a very competitive game statistically.

    Colorado State (-3) 42, San Jose State 30:
    The Rams led 28-0 at halftime but San Jose State incredibly outscored Colorado State 30-0 in the third quarter to take a two-point lead as a slight home underdog. The Rams would break the run with an 83-yard touchdown drive early in the fourth quarter to lead by five and a few minutes later took an interception 55 yards for a touchdown to seal the win with the next San Jose State drive also ending in an interception.

    Hawai’i (+4) 17, Wyoming 13:
    The Warriors were favored by -3 or -3˝ most of the week before trickling the other way Saturday evening and eventually flipping to Wyoming being favored as it was learned that Cole McDonald wouldn’t be playing. It was a 10-10 tie through three quarters with a 61-yard interception return the biggest play for Wyoming. Wyoming settled for a 23-yard field goal with about five minutes remaining but led by freshman Chevan Cordeiro, Hawai’i connected for a 38-yard touchdown in the final two minutes and got the late stop with Wyoming approaching the red zone in the final seconds.

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Tuesday, October 9

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    APPALACHIAN ST (3 - 1) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) - 10/9/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    APPALACHIAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Thursday, October 11

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    TEXAS TECH (3 - 2) at TCU (3 - 2) - 10/11/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TCU is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
    TCU is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
    TCU is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GA SOUTHERN (4 - 1) at TEXAS ST (1 - 4) - 10/11/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Friday, October 12

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    S FLORIDA (5 - 0) at TULSA (1 - 4) - 10/12/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ARIZONA (3 - 3) at UTAH (3 - 2) - 10/12/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 86-129 ATS (-55.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    AIR FORCE (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 1) - 10/12/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    AIR FORCE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    AIR FORCE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, October 13

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    LOUISVILLE (2 - 4) at BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 12:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (5 - 1) at VIRGINIA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TOLEDO (3 - 2) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 4) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TEXAS A&M (4 - 2) at S CAROLINA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA MONROE (2 - 4) at COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA MONROE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA MONROE is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PURDUE (2 - 3) at ILLINOIS (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ILLINOIS is 130-168 ATS (-54.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 130-168 ATS (-54.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 65-94 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 65-94 ATS (-38.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 88-129 ATS (-53.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALL ST (2 - 4) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 3:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DUKE (4 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 12:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DUKE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RUTGERS (1 - 5) at MARYLAND (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    RUTGERS is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
    MARYLAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 2) at N CAROLINA (1 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W KENTUCKY (1 - 4) at CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (4 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AKRON (2 - 2) at BUFFALO (5 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARSHALL (3 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OLD DOMINION is 1-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
    OLD DOMINION is 1-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KENT ST (1 - 5) at MIAMI OHIO (2 - 4) - 10/13/2018, 2:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UNLV (2 - 3) at UTAH ST (4 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UNLV is 89-125 ATS (-48.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    UNLV is 57-84 ATS (-35.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO (3 - 2) at COLORADO ST (2 - 4) - 10/13/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TROY (5 - 1) at LIBERTY (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 2:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (3 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (6 - 0) - 10/13/2018, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    NOTRE DAME is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
    NOTRE DAME is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
    NOTRE DAME is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (5 - 0) at USC (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 38-68 ATS (-36.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
    COLORADO is 44-74 ATS (-37.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
    USC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    USC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    USC is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    USC is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARMY (3 - 2) at SAN JOSE ST (0 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARMY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
    ARMY is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    ARMY is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (5 - 1) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OREGON is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
    OREGON is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
    OREGON is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OHIO U (3 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N ILLINOIS is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    N ILLINOIS is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 2) at UTSA (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOUISIANA TECH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
    UTSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTSA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
    LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W MICHIGAN (4 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOWLING GREEN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OLE MISS (4 - 2) at ARKANSAS (1 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARKANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WISCONSIN (4 - 1) at MICHIGAN (5 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WISCONSIN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    WISCONSIN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    MICHIGAN is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (3 - 2) at OHIO ST (6 - 0) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 187-142 ATS (+30.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 187-142 ATS (+30.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 157-123 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 169-128 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEMPLE (3 - 3) at NAVY (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NAVY is 168-128 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 168-128 ATS (+27.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 95-57 ATS (+32.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    NAVY is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    NAVY is 152-115 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NAVY is 107-73 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    NAVY is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    TEMPLE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
    TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W VIRGINIA (5 - 0) at IOWA ST (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 2) at NORTH TEXAS (5 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 2:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
    NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEBRASKA (0 - 5) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA (4 - 1) at INDIANA (4 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 79-110 ATS (-42.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UCF (5 - 0) at MEMPHIS (4 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UCF is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TENNESSEE (2 - 3) at AUBURN (4 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BAYLOR (4 - 2) at TEXAS (5 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSOURI (3 - 2) at ALABAMA (6 - 0) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLORIDA (5 - 1) at VANDERBILT (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    VANDERBILT is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
    VANDERBILT is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 2) at KANSAS ST (2 - 4) - 10/13/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS ST is 123-90 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 153-119 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
    KANSAS ST is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
    KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UAB (4 - 1) at RICE (1 - 5) - 10/13/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UAB is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    UAB is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
    RICE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
    RICE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    RICE is 63-32 ATS (+27.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    RICE is 58-30 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
    RICE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
    UAB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
    UAB is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA (6 - 0) at LSU (5 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (2 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 44-72 ATS (-35.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
    LA LAFAYETTE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MICHIGAN ST (3 - 2) at PENN ST (4 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN ST is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
    PENN ST is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
    PENN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
    PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HAWAII (6 - 1) at BYU (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 10:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAWAII is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    HAWAII is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    BYU is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    BYU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
    BYU is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UCLA (0 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UCLA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
    UCLA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
    CALIFORNIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    CALIFORNIA is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
    CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WYOMING (2 - 4) at FRESNO ST (4 - 1) - 10/13/2018, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FRESNO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    WYOMING is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
    FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOISE ST (3 - 2) at NEVADA (3 - 3) - 10/13/2018, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2018 at 02:05 AM.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,200
    Credits
    182,320

    Default

    NCAAF

    Week 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tuesday, October 9

    Appalachian State @ Arkansas State
    Appalachian State
    Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Appalachian State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

    Arkansas State
    Arkansas State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
    Arkansas State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games



    Thursday, October 11

    Texas Tech @ Texas Christian
    Texas Tech
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games on the road
    Texas Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas Christian

    Texas Christian
    Texas Christian is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Texas Christian is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games

    Georgia Southern @ Texas State
    Georgia Southern
    Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Texas State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 game



    Friday, October 12

    South Florida @ Tulsa
    South Florida
    South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    South Florida is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road

    Tulsa
    Tulsa is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
    Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

    Air Force @ San Diego State
    Air Force
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 7 games on the road

    San Diego State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
    San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Arizona @ Utah
    Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road

    Utah
    Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Utah is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home



    Saturday, October 13

    Tennessee @ Auburn
    Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
    Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Auburn

    Auburn
    Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    Auburn is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

    Florida @ Vanderbilt
    Florida
    Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
    Florida is 22-1 SU in its last 23 games when playing Vanderbilt

    Vanderbilt
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

    Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
    Oklahoma State
    Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing Kansas State

    Kansas State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma State
    Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State

    Iowa @ Indiana
    Iowa
    Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
    Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing Iowa
    Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

    Rutgers @ Maryland
    Rutgers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games when playing Maryland
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 9 games on the road

    Maryland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Maryland's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Maryland's last 14 games

    Minnesota @ Ohio State
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road

    Ohio State
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Nebraska @ Northwestern
    Nebraska
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nebraska's last 8 games

    Northwestern
    Northwestern is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
    Northwestern is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

    Akron @ Buffalo
    Akron
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
    Akron is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Buffalo
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
    Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron

    Toledo @ Eastern Michigan
    Toledo
    Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
    Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan

    Eastern Michigan
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 11 games when playing Toledo

    Duke @ Georgia Tech
    Duke
    Duke is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 7 games on the road

    Georgia Tech
    Georgia Tech is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Duke
    Georgia Tech is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Duke

    Louisville @ Boston College
    Louisville
    Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
    Louisville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

    Boston College
    Boston College is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Boston College is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games

    Alabama-Birmingham @ Rice
    Alabama-Birmingham
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 6 games when playing Rice
    Rice

    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Alabama-Birmingham
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games

    Southern Miss @ North Texas
    Southern Miss
    Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 7 games on the road

    North Texas
    North Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    North Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

    Troy @ Liberty
    Troy
    Troy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Liberty
    Liberty is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 6 games

    Kent State @ Miami-OH
    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
    Kent State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

    Miami-OH
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Kent State
    Miami-OH is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kent State

    Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame
    Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Notre Dame

    Notre Dame
    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Ball State @ Central Michigan
    Ball State
    Ball State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan
    Ball State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Michigan

    Central Michigan
    Central Michigan is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Central Michigan's last 12 games

    Western Michigan @ Bowling Green
    Western Michigan
    Western Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing Bowling Green

    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Bowling Green's last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green's last 7 games when playing Western Michigan

    Georgia @ Louisiana State
    Georgia
    Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Louisiana State
    Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 7 games when playing Georgia

    Texas A&M @ South Carolina
    Texas A&M
    Texas A&M is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Texas A&M's last 16 games on the road

    South Carolina
    South Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
    South Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

    Washington @ Oregon
    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

    Oregon
    Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
    Oregon is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Baylor @ Texas
    Baylor
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing Texas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games

    Texas
    Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Baylor

    Army @ San Jose State
    Army
    Army is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
    Army is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    San Jose State
    San Jose State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Jose State is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games

    Purdue @ Illinois
    Purdue
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing on the road against Illinois
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games on the road

    Illinois
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing at home against Purdue
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Illinois's last 12 games at home

    Michigan State @ Penn State
    Michigan State
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan State's last 8 games when playing Penn State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan State's last 7 games

    Penn State
    Penn State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

    Western Kentucky @ Charlotte
    Western Kentucky
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
    Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Charlotte is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games at home

    Marshall @ Old Dominion
    Marshall
    Marshall is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Marshall is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road

    Old Dominion
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Old Dominion's last 7 games
    Old Dominion is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

    Central Florida @ Memphis
    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Memphis
    Memphis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Florida

    Temple @ Navy
    Temple
    Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Temple is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Navy

    Navy
    Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games

    Ohio @ Northern Illinois
    Ohio
    Ohio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northern Illinois
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games on the road

    Northern Illinois
    Northern Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games

    New Mexico @ Colorado State
    New Mexico
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games on the road
    New Mexico is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

    Colorado State
    Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico
    Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico

    Nevada-Las Vegas @ Utah State
    Nevada-Las Vegas
    Nevada-Las Vegas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing Utah State

    Utah State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games
    Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    New Mexico State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
    New Mexico State
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico State's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games

    Louisiana-Lafayette
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games when playing New Mexico State
    Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

    Alabama State @ South Alabama
    Alabama State
    Alabama State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Alabama State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    South Alabama
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 5 games
    South Alabama is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Louisiana-Monroe @ Coastal Carolina
    Louisiana-Monroe
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games on the road
    Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

    Coastal Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games
    Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

    Missouri @ Alabama
    Missouri
    Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Missouri's last 8 games on the road

    Alabama
    Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    California-Los Angeles @ California
    California-Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing California
    California-Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing California

    California
    California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against California-Los Angele
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games when playing California-Los Angeles

    West Virginia @ Iowa State
    West Virginia
    West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    West Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iowa State

    Iowa State
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Iowa State's last 13 games
    Iowa State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

    Miami-FL @ Virginia
    Miami-FL
    Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami-FL's last 7 games

    Virginia
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami-FL
    Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Virginia Tech @ North Carolina
    Virginia Tech
    Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
    Virginia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against North Carolina

    North Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Carolina's last 11 games when playing Virginia Tech
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

    Louisiana Tech @ Texas-San Antonio
    Louisiana Tech
    Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
    Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Texas-San Antonio
    Texas-San Antonio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas-San Antonio's last 13 games

    Houston @ East Carolina
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina

    East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

    Mississippi @ Arkansas
    Mississippi
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas

    Arkansas
    Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
    Arkansas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Mississippi

    Wisconsin @ Michigan
    Wisconsin
    Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Wisconsin is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

    Michigan
    Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Michigan is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home

    Middle Tennessee @ Florida International
    Middle Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida Internati
    Middle Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida International

    Florida International
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing Middle Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing at home against Middle Tennessee

    Hawaii @ Brigham Young
    Hawaii
    Hawaii is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games on the road

    Brigham Young
    Brigham Young is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Hawaii
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brigham Young's last 6 games

    Colorado @ Southern California
    Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

    Southern California
    Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Wyoming @ Fresno State
    Wyoming
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 6 games

    Fresno State
    Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Fresno State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

    Boise State @ Nevada
    Boise State
    Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
    Boise State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Nevada

    Nevada
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 6 games when playing Boise State
    Nevada is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-09-2018 at 02:07 AM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,200
    Credits
    182,320

    Default

    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 7



    Tuesday, October 9

    Appalachian St @ Arkansas St

    Game 101-102
    October 9, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Appalachian St
    91.016
    Arkansas St
    84.569
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 6 1/2
    65
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 9 1/2
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas St
    (+9 1/2); Over



    Thursday, October 11

    Texas Tech @ TCU

    Game 105-106
    October 11, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Tech
    93.205
    TCU
    103.318
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    TCU
    by 10
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    TCU
    by 7
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    TCU
    (-7); Under

    Georgia Southern @ Texas State


    Game 107-108
    October 11, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    76.733
    Texas State
    61.289
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 15 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 17 1/2
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas State
    (+17 1/2); Over



    Friday, October 12

    South Florida @ Tulsa

    Game 109-110
    October 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Florida
    83.525
    Tulsa
    79.356
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 4
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 7 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulsa
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Arizona @ Utah


    Game 111-112
    October 12, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    91.377
    Utah
    95.627
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 4 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 13 1/2
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+13 1/2); Under

    Air Force @ San Diego St


    Game 113-114
    October 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Air Force
    84.133
    San Diego St
    93.028
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    by 9
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego St
    by 11 1/2
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    Air Force
    (+11 1/2); Under



    Saturday, October 13

    Louisville @ Boston College

    Game 115-116
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Louisville
    76.784
    Boston College
    94.377
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston College
    by 17 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston College
    by 13 1/2
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston College
    (-13 1/2); Over

    Miami-FL @ Virginia


    Game 117-118
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami-FL
    100.900
    Virginia
    91.011
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 10
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 6 1/2
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami-FL
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Toledo @ Eastern Michigan


    Game 119-120
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toledo
    82.246
    Eastern Michigan
    78.504
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toledo
    by 3 1/2
    71
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toledo
    by 1
    63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toledo
    (-1); Over

    Texas A&M @ South Carolina


    Game 121-122
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas A&M
    99.667
    South Carolina
    95.248
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 4 1/2
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 2
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas A&M
    (-2); Over

    LA-Monroe @ Coastal Carolina


    Game 123-124
    October 13, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Monroe
    57.992
    Coastal Carolina
    70.694
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Coastal Carolina
    by 12 1/2
    71
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Coastal Carolina
    by 6 1/2
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coastal Carolina
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Purdue @ Illinois


    Game 125-126
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Purdue
    95.456
    Illinois
    81.240
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Purdue
    by 14
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Purdue
    by 10
    62
    Dunkel Pick:
    Purdue
    (-10); Under

    Ball State @ Central Michigan


    Game 127-128
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    71.441
    Central Michigan
    72.943
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Michigan
    by 1 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Michigan
    by 3
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ball State
    (+3); Under

    Duke @ Georgia Tech


    Game 129-130
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Duke
    91.028
    Georgia Tech
    92.112
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 1
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 3
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Duke
    (+3); Under

    Rutgers @ Maryland


    Game 131-132
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rutgers
    66.222
    Maryland
    86.283
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Maryland
    by 20
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Maryland
    by 25 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rutgers
    (+25 1/2); Over


    Virginia Tech @ North Carolina

    Game 133-134
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Virginia Tech
    88.768
    North Carolina
    85.453
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 3 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 5 1/2
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Western Kentucky @ Charlotte


    Game 135-136
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Kentucky
    73.554
    Charlotte
    55.628
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Kentucky
    by 18
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Kentucky
    by 7 1/2
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Kentucky
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Houston @ East Carolina


    Game 137-138
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    93.461
    East Carolina
    68.623
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 25
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 16
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-16); Over

    Akron @ Buffalo


    Game 139-140
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    69.691
    Buffalo
    86.146
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 16 1/2
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 12
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (-12); Over

    Marshall @ Old Dominion


    Game 141-142
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marshall
    75.608
    Old Dominion
    69.733
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marshall
    by 6
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marshall
    by 3 1/2
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Marshall
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Middle Tennessee St @ FIU


    Game 143-144
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Middle Tennessee
    81.182
    FIU
    78.212
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Middle Tennessee
    by 3
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FIU
    by 2
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Middle Tennessee
    (+2); Over

    Kent State @ Miami of Ohio


    Game 145-146
    October 13, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    69.036
    Miami of Ohio
    73.833
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami of Ohio
    by 5
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami of Ohio
    by 11 1/2
    59
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kent State
    (+11 1/2); Under

    UNLV @ Utah State


    Game 147-148
    October 13, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UNLV
    68.523
    Utah State
    93.196
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah State
    by 24 1/2
    69
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah State
    by 27 1/2
    63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    UNLV
    (+27 1/2); Over

    New Mexico @ Colorado State


    Game 149-150
    October 13, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico
    73.640
    Colorado State
    69.694
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Mexico
    by 4
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Mexico
    Pick
    66
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico
    Under

    Troy @ Liberty


    Game 151-152
    October 13, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Troy
    86.461
    Liberty
    66.471
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Troy
    by 20
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Troy
    by 9
    63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Troy
    (-9); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame


    Game 153-154
    October 13, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    85.626
    Notre Dame
    10.8.981
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 23 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 20 1/2
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Notre Dame
    (-20 1/2); Over

    Colorado @ USC


    Game 155-156
    October 13, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    93.116
    USC
    91.986
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    USC
    by 7
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+7); Under

    Army @ San Jose St


    Game 157-158
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Army
    85.784
    San Jose St
    72.657
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 13
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Army
    by 15
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose St
    (+15); Under

    Washington @ Oregon


    Game 159-160
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    103.714
    Oregon
    93.540
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 10
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 3
    58
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-3); Over

    Ohio @ Northern Illinois


    Game 161-162
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio
    74.191
    Northern Illinois
    81.106
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northern Illinois
    by 7
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northern Illinois
    by 4
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Northern Illinois
    (-4); Under


    Louisiana Tech @ TX-San Antonio

    Game 163-164
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Louisiana Tech
    80.585
    TX-San Antonio
    67.105
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 13 1/2
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 11 1/2
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Louisiana Tech
    (-11 1/2); Under

    Western Michigan @ Bowling Green


    Game 165-166
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Michigan
    78.799
    Bowling Green
    60.014
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 19
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 14 1/2
    72
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Michigan
    (-14 1/2); Over

    Mississippi @ Arkansas


    Game 167-168
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mississippi
    85.460
    Arkansas
    83.638
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi
    by 2
    75
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Mississippi
    by 7
    70
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas
    (+7); Over

    Wisconsin @ Michigan


    Game 169-170
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wisconsin
    100.896
    Michigan
    102.441
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan
    by 1 1/2
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 9
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wisconsin
    (+9); Over

    Minnesota @ Ohio State


    Game 171-172
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    86.109
    Ohio State
    110.889
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 25
    65
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 30
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+30); Over

    Temple @ Navy


    Game 173-174
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Temple
    85.005
    Navy
    81.144
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Temple
    by 4
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Temple
    by 7
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    Navy
    (+7); Over

    West Virginia @ Iowa State


    Game 175-176
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    West Virginia
    106.848
    Iowa State
    94.010
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    West Virginia
    by 13
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    West Virginia
    by 6
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    West Virginia
    (-6); Under

    Southern Miss @ North Texas


    Game 177-178
    October 13, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern Miss
    73.112
    North Texas
    88.063
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Texas
    by 15
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Texas
    by 8 1/2
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Texas
    (-8 1/2); Under

    Nebraska @ Northwestern


    Game 179-180
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nebraska
    84.945
    Northwestern
    86.707
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northwestern
    by 2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northwestern
    by 4
    59
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nebraska
    (+4); Over

    Iowa @ Indiana


    Game 181-182
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa
    92.498
    Indiana
    91.882
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa
    by 1
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa
    by 5 1/2
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Central Florida @ Memphis


    Game 183-184
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Central Florida
    102.931
    Memphis
    88.295
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Florida
    by 14 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Florida
    by 4
    81
    Dunkel Pick:
    Central Florida
    (-4); Under

    Tennessee @ Auburn


    Game 185-186
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tennessee
    77.290
    Auburn
    95.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Auburn
    by 18 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 14 1/2
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Auburn
    (-14 1/2); Over

    Baylor @ Texas


    Game 187-188
    October 13, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baylor
    91.918
    Texas
    99.341
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 7 1/2
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas
    by 14 1/2
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baylor
    (+14 1/2); Over

    Missouri @ Alabama


    Game 189-190
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Missouri
    96.200
    Alabama
    120.680
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 24 1/2
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Alabama
    by 28
    73 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Missouri
    (+28); Over

    Florida @ Vanderbilt


    Game 191-192
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    99.420
    Vanderbilt
    81.132
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 18
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    by 7
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida
    (-7); Over


    Oklahoma State @ Kansas State

    Game 193-194
    October 13, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma State
    95.027
    Kansas State
    87.188
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma State
    by 8
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma State
    by 6 1/2
    62
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma State
    (-6 1/2); Over

    UAB @ Rice


    Game 195-196
    October 13, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UAB
    79.782
    Rice
    57.707
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UAB
    by 22
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UAB
    by 16
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    UAB
    (-16); Over

    Georgia @ LSU


    Game 197-198
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia
    111.248
    LSU
    100.750
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia
    by 10 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia
    by 7
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia
    (-7); Under

    New Mexico St @ LA-Lafayette


    Game 199-200
    October 13, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico St
    63.102
    LA-Lafayette
    69.317
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA-Lafayette
    by 6
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA-Lafayette
    by 9
    68 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico St
    (+9); Under

    Michigan State @ Penn State


    Game 201-202
    October 13, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan State
    98.242
    Penn State
    108.764
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Penn State
    by 10 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Penn State
    by 13 1/2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan State
    (+13 1/2); Under

    Hawaii @ Brigham Young


    Game 203-204
    October 13, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hawaii
    77.452
    Brigham Young
    85.120
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brigham Young
    by 7 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brigham Young
    by 12
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hawaii
    (+12); Under

    UCLA @ California


    Game 205-206
    October 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UCLA
    80.252
    California
    83.920
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    California
    by 3 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    California
    by 7 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    UCLA
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Wyoming @ Fresno State


    Game 207-208
    October 13, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wyoming
    76.820
    Fresno State
    97.636
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fresno State
    by 21
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fresno State
    by 18
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fresno State
    (-18); Under

    Boise State @ Wyoming


    Game 209-210
    October 13, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boise State
    98.851
    Wyoming
    73.298
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boise State
    by 25 1/2
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boise State
    by 17
    62 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boise State
    (-17); Over

    Alabama St @ South Alabama


    Game 211-212
    October 13, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama St
    34.205
    South Alabama
    67.512
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Alabama
    by 33 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Alabama
    by 27 1/2
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Alabama
    (-27 1/2); Under
    Last edited by Udog; 10-10-2018 at 11:30 PM.

  7. #7
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    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 7



    Tuesday’s game
    Appalachian State is 3-1 but their loss was most impressive, losing 45-38 in OT at Penn State, when ASU outgained Nittany Lions, 451-434. PSU tied game in last minute of regulation. App State won its first two Sun Belt games 45-9/52-7 since then- Mountaineers are 10-5 as road favorites. Arkansas State (+10) upset App State 40-27 on road in teams’ last meeting in 2015; double digit road underdogs won both series games since App State went I-A in ’14. Ark State is 2-2 vs I-A teams, losing to Alabama/Georgia Southern; under Anderson, Red Wolves are 2-0 as home underdogs.

    Thursday’s games
    TCU lost two of last three games; they were minus-9 in turnovers in those games, and were held to 16-17 points in last two games. Horned Frogs are 2-10-1 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorites. Texas Tech scored 46 ppg in its last three games; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Road team won last three Texas Tech-TCU games; Tech won two of last three visits here, with both wins by 3 points, the loss was 82-27 in ’14. Underdogs covered four of last six series games. Big X home favorites are 3-5 vs spread this season.

    Georgia Southern won both its games with Texas State 37-13/28-25, with last meeting in ’15. Eagles are 4-1 this season, 4-0 vs spread; their only loss was 38-7 at Clemson- this is GSU’s first road game since then. GSU covered only one of last five games as road favorites. Texas State is 0-4 vs I-A teams, with only one loss by less than 10 points; Bobcats gave up 327 rushing yards LW is 42-27 home loss to ULL. Under Withers, TSU is 3-8 vs spread as home underdogs. Three of four Georgia Southern games stayed under.

    Friday’s games
    South Florida is 5-0 this season, despite giving up 38 points to Ga Tech, 42 to UMass; Bulls ran ball for 365 yards LW, after East Carolina outgained them by 116 yards in a 20-13 win. USF won its last two games with Tulsa, 27-20/38-30, with last visit here in ’14; under Strong, Bulls are 2-4 as road favorites. Tulsa is 0-4 vs I-A teams, 2-2 vs spread; all four games stayed under total. Under Montgomery, Golden Hurricane is 1-6 as home underdogs; they’re -6 in turnovers vs I-A teams, giving up 192+ rushing yards in all four games.

    Arizona won five of last six games with Utah, but they lost 36-23 in last visit here in ’16. Dogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Arizona is 2-3 vs I-A teams; all five games stayed under total; since ’13, Wildcats are 3-14 vs spread as road underdogs- they’re 3-7 in last ten games as a double digit dog. Khalil Tate hasn’t progressed much as a passer, which hurts. Utah lost two of last three games but pulled upset at Stanford LW; Utes allowed 826 PY in last two games. Since Utah is 9-13 vs spread when laying double digits.

    Air Force ended 3-game skid by thumping rival Navy 35-7 LW; they allowed 827 PY in their first two road games- Navy can’t pass. San Diego State won its last seven games with Air Force, winning 30-14/28-9 in last two series games played here. Falcons are 0-2 on road, losing 33-27/42-32; they covered eight of last 11 games as road underdogs. Aztecs pulled a big upset in Boise LW; they’re 7-12 vs spread in last 19 games as home favorites. No one has run for more than 119 yards vs San Diego State this year- can Air Force move it enough to cover here?

    Saturday’s best 13 games
    Texas A&M is 4-2, but losses are to Alabama/Clemson; Aggies have been minus in turnovers in five of six games but held Arkansas/Kentucky to 1714 points, 55-70 rushing yards in winning last two games— three of their last four games stayed under total. Aggies are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorites. South Carolina scored 37+ points in its wins, 17-10 in losses; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 3-2 as home underdogs. A&M won its last four games with South Carolina, winning 24-13/52-28 in last two visits here.

    Colorado is 5-0 but still getting a TD+ here; Buffaloes lost their last seven games with USC, losing last three visits here, by 4-28-44 points. Colorado hasn’t played a great schedule; they won 33-28 at Nebraska in only road game- all four of their I-A games stayed under. Buffs are 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. USC is 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites; they’re 3-2 this season, 1-4 vs spread. Trojans were held to 3-14 points in their two losses; they scored 43-39-24 in their wins. Pac-12 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread this season.

    Washington hammered Oregon 38-3/70-21 last two years, with Ducks having different coaches both years, and now this year a third HC. Huskies won their last five games since loss to Auburn in opener, allowing 10.2 ppg in their wins- under Pedersen, Washington is 9-7 as road favorites. Oregon is 4-1 this season, scoring 31+ points in all five games; Ducks are 1-4 vs spread in last five games as home underdogs. Oregon gained 443+ yards in all five games; they were -3 in TO’s in their only loss, 38-31 at home to Stanford.

    Arkansas is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 27+ points- four of those five games stayed under the total. Razorbacks are 8-5 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Arkansas won its last four games with Ole Miss, winning 34-30/30-0 in last two games played here. Rebels scored 38+ points in their four wins, were held to 7-16 in losses to Alabama/LSU- they gained 829 yards in a 70-21 win over a Sun Belt team LW. Ole Miss is 4-9 in its last 13 games as road favorites. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread this year.

    Wisconsin is 4-1 with a 28-17 win at Iowa, but a bad home loss to BYU; over last nine years, Badgers are 7-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Wisconsin ran ball for 370 yards vs Nebraska LW, but Cornhuskers threw ball for 407 yards. Michigan won its last five games since an opening loss at Notre Dame; under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 12-11 as home favorites— three of their last four games stayed under. Badgers won three of last four games with Michigan, losing last meeting here 14-7. Big 14 home favorites are 4-4 this season.

    West Virginia won its last four games with Iowa State, winning 49-19/37-24 in last two visits to Ames. Mountaineers are 5-0, wth road wins at Tennessee (40-14), Texas Tech (42-34)- they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. WVU scored 35+ points, threw for 332+ yards in all five I-A games. Cyclones are 2-3 after pulling a big upset (+10) at Oklahoma State LW, with freshman QB Purdy going 18-23/318 passing in his first college start; under Campbell, Iowa State is 6-3-1 as home underdogs.

    Iowa won five of last six games with Indiana, winning 35-27 (-7) in last visit here; Hawkeyes gave up 210 rushing yards in their only loss, to Wisconsin- they allowed total of 111 rushing yards in other three I-A games. Iowa’s last three games went over the total. Indiana lost two of its last three games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home underdogs. Hoosiers ran ball for only 29-84 yards in their two losses- they gave up 455 PY in loss to Ohio State last week. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this year.

    Central Florida won its last 11 games with Memphis; they won last three visits here, by 7-18-20 points. Knights covered five of last six games as road favorites- they’re 5-0 against collection of stiffs this season, with 56-17 win at UConn their only road game so far. Memphis is 4-2 despite being favored in every game; they’re 8-4-1 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Tigers allowed 467-496 TY in games vs South Alabama/Tulane; they lost both games when they ran for less than 271 yards. AAC home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread.

    Florida won its last four games with Vanderbilt, winning 13-6/34-10 in last two visits here; Gators are off emotional wins over Miss State/LSU, have bye then Georgia game on deck, making this trap game for them. Over last 11 years, Florida is 16-8 as road favorites. Vandy lost its last three I-A games by 5-23-28 points, allowing 249 rushing yards/game; Commodores are 7-5 in last dozen games as home underdogs— all five of their I-A games his season stayed under. SEC home underdogs are 6-4 against spread this season.

    Oklahoma State-Kansas State split their last six games overall, their last four meetings in Little Apple; average total in last three series games is 78. OSU is 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites; Cowboys allowed 41-48 points in their losses, 28 or less in their four wins- they won only road game 48-28 at Kansas. K-State lost its last three games, losing last two by total of eight points; they ran ball for 319 yards LW but lost tough 37-34 verdict at Baylor. Since 2011, Wildcats are 10-4 as road underdogs. Big X home underdogs are 4-2 vs spread this year.

    Georgia/LSU split their last four meetings; this is Dawgs’ first trip to Baton Rouge since 2008. Georgia is 6-0, with 43-29 win at Missouri the lowest game; their road wins are by 24-14 points. Under Smart, Dawgs are 6-3 as road favorites; Mizzou is only team this year to score more than 17 points vs Georgia. Since 2010, LSU is 14-7 vs spread coming off a loss, 4-2 as home dogs; Tigers lost 27-19 at Florida LW, their first loss in six games- Gators ran ball for 215 yards, would expect Dawgs to try and do same.

    Michigan State won three of last four games with Penn State; home side won last three series games. Spartans won two of last three visits to Happy Valley; they’re 3-2 this year, scoring 31+ points in their wins, 13-19 in losses- they were held to 63-96 rushing yards in their losses. MSU’s last three games went over total. Spartans are 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Nittany Lions had week off after tough 27-26 home loss to Ohio State; over is 4-1 in PSU’s games this year. Under Franklin, Lions are 12-8 vs spread as home favorites.

    UCLA is 0-5 in Chip Kelly’s first season here; they’re 0-2 on road, losing 49-21 at Oklahoma, 38-16 at Colorado. Bruins are 3-4 in last seven games as road underdogs- they allowed average of 461 TY in their last four games. UCLA won four of last five games with Cal, losing 36-10 in last visit here; average total in last four series games is 61.3. Golden Bears lost last two games after a 3-0 start, going -6 in turnovers in those two games; Cal is 6-3-1 in its last ten games as home favorites, 10-15 vs spread in game following its last 25 losses.
    Last edited by Udog; 10-11-2018 at 11:00 AM.

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    Games to Watch - Week 7

    Week 6 of the college football season proved to be one of the most explosive in recent memory, with the results from Saturday having a major impact on the National Rankings outside of the Top 4 teams.

    The top teams in the nation continued to roll, but it was what happened in the spot below them that caused a major shake-up. The losses by LSU and Oklahoma have opened things up in a big way, with a couple of teams set to make big jumps in this week’s rankings.

    Instead of looking back, let’s look ahead at dome of the biggest games on the college football schedule for Week 7 with all odds, props and futures for each game.

    Pittsburgh Panthers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

    The biggest beneficiary of the Week 6 results was the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, as they moved all the way up to the #5 spot after maintaining their unbeaten record on the season. The Irish are now on the brink of cracking the top 4, although they still need one of the top teams to slip up, which is certainly a possibility given some of the match-ups we have on tap this Saturday. While Notre Dame are an overwhelming favorite for this one, it is still a potential trip-up game for them, as they may let down a little after taking such a nice jump up the rankings. The Panthers are coming off a surprising win over Syracuse in Week 5, so they are sure to still be riding on a bit of a high. Still, Notre Dame should win this one.

    Georgia Bulldogs at LSU Tigers

    No doubt about it, this is the biggest game on the schedule this coming weekend. The LSU Tigers fell out of the #5 spot this week after losing on the road to the Florida Gators, and things are not going to get any easier with the #2 team in the nation coming to town on Saturday. Georgia rolled over Vanderbilt last week, scoring over 40 points for the 5th time in 6 games this season. The loss for the Tigers means that they now need some help if they are to catch Alabama in the West, and they could well be out of the SEC race altogether with another loss this weekend, which I believe is what is going to happen to them.

    Washington Huskies at Oregon Ducks

    There were no PAC-12 teams in the playoff last season and it’s fair to suggest that things are beginning to look as though we may see more of the same this year. As it stands right now, the Washington Huskies and the Colorado Buffaloes look like the best chance this conference has of getting a team into the final four, as both are still unbeaten in conference play, although Washington do have a loss on the season, going down to Auburn in Week 1. The Huskies need this one to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, while the Ducks, who are 1-1 in conference play. Need it to get back in the hunt in the North Division. I think it will be the Huskies who win here.

    Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan Wolverines

    The Big Ten Conference is being controlled by the Ohio State Buckeyes right now, but that does not necessarily mean that they are going to get to the Championship Game totally unopposed. Their biggest threat right now would appear to be the Michigan Wolverines, which is perhaps a bit of a surprise given how poorly they started the season. As good as Michigan have been in recent weeks, they know they really cannot afford another loss if they are still to have a shot at the playoffs. Wisconsin have been poorer than expected this season, which is why I like the Wolverines to continue rolling this weekend.

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    Early Line Moves - Week 7
    October 9, 2018
    By BetDSI


    College Football Week 7 Opening Line Report

    Where has the early money gone in college football for Week 7? The biggest line move in college football so far in Week 7 is on the winless Nebraska Cornhuskers. If you remember last week, one of the early live moves was on Nebraska in their game at Wisconsin and the Cornhuskers covered the 18-point spread.

    Nebraska is visiting Northwestern this week and the line opened with Northwestern a 9-point favorite. That number is now down to 5.5 points. Let’s look at some of the big live moves for Week 7 and some of the line movement for the three marquee games this week.

    Odds per BetDSI

    Week 7 Early Line Moves

    Nebraska +9 to +5.5 at Northwestern


    The Cornhuskers are winless at 0-5, but they did cover the spread for the first time this season last week in a 41-24 loss at Wisconsin. The Cornhuskers have been arguably, the most disappointing team in all of college football this season, but Northwestern is coming off a big win against Michigan State and bettors are expecting a letdown.

    Duke +3 to +1 at Georgia Tech

    The Blue Devils are getting some love in this game, as the line has dropped from three points to just one point against Georgia Tech. The Blue Devils come into this game at 4-1, while the Yellow Jackets are 3-3.

    Buffalo -9 to -11.5 vs. Akron

    The Bulls are getting some serious action this week from bettors, as they go on the road to Akron. The Bulls lead the MAC East Division at 2-0, while the Zips are 0-1 in the division.

    San Jose State +17 to +14 vs. Army

    Bettors are taking the points with another winless team this week. The Spartans come into this game at 0-5, but bettors are taking the big points with San Jose State against Army. The Black Knights come into this game at 3-2.

    Louisiana Tech -11.5 to -14 at UTSA

    This line move is a bit strange, as Louisiana Tech comes into this game at 3-2, while UTSA is 3-3. This game is also a road contest, but bettors really like the road squad here, as the line has moved from 11.5 to 14.

    West Virginia -4.5 to -6.5 at Iowa State

    This line moves makes a little more sense, as bettors are backing the unbeaten Mountaineers on the road at Iowa State. If you are going to bet this game that should worry you, as line moves that make sense are usually the ones that lose. It is the line moves that don’t make sense that normally win.

    Indiana +6 to +4 vs. Iowa

    Bettors are taking Indiana in their road contest at Iowa. The Hoosiers looked pretty good last week in a loss to Ohio State and Iowa hasn’t been impressive this season. The Hawkeyes are still 4-1 and they are playing at home, so this is a dangerous play on an Indiana team that still isn’t very good.

    Baylor +17 to +14 at Texas

    Bettors are counting on a letdown from Texas this week, as they are backing Baylor plus the big points. Texas is coming off a very emotional win against Oklahoma last week and it would be natural if they have a letdown. The Bears can score, but they can’t stop anyone, so this is likely to be a high scoring game. Baylor is 4-2 on the season, while Texas is 5-1.

    Marquee Game Line Moves

    There are three marquee games this week, as No. 2 Georgia visits No. 13 LSU on CBS, No. 7 Washington visits No. 17 Oregon on ABC or ESPN 2 and No. 15 Wisconsin visits No. 12 Michigan on ABC.

    -- Georgia opened as a 7-point favorite at LSU and that number has moved slightly down to 6.5.
    -- The Huskies opened up as a 3.5 point favorite at Oregon and that number has not moved, although the juice has Oregon laying -115.
    -- The Wolverines opened up as a 6.5-point favorite against the Badgers and bettors are backing Michigan in the Big House, as the Wolverines are now laying 7.5 points.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    GARY BACK FOR WOLVERINES?

    The Michigan Wolverines could have their best defender back in the lineup for this weekend's pivotal encounter with visiting Wisconsin. Rashan Gary didn't dress last week due to a shoulder injury, but Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh says there is "hope" that the standout defensive end will return against the Badgers. Gary, who suffered the injury in the second half of a 20-17 win over Northwestern on Sept. 29, is considered one of the top defensive linemen in Division I and will almost certainly be tasked with slowing down superstar running back and Heisman Trophy candidate Jonathan Taylor if he plays Saturday.

    The Wolverines enter Tuesday as 7.5-point favorites with an O/U of 48, putting Wisconsin's team total at roughly 20 points. The return of Gary would put a serious dent in the Badgers' chances of getting there, despite having averaged nearly 34 points through their first five games of the season.


    BAD NEWS FOR BOISE STATE

    The Boise State defense is facing major voids following the loss of two starters to season-ending injuries. Safety DeAndre Pierce suffered a spleen injury in the Broncos' Sept. 29 triumph over Wyoming and will miss the remainder of the year. He'll be joined on the sidelines by senior defensive lineman David Moa, who has been dealing with a calf injury that has plagued him since fall camp. Pierce had a team-high 23 tackles through four games but missed last week's game against San Diego State. Moa has appeared in just one game this season, a 44-21 loss to Oklahoma State on Sept. 15.

    Boise State has allowed 20 or fewer points in four of five games this season, and is a 17.5-point favorite for Saturday's encounter with visiting Nevada. But the loss of Pierce is a big one, and greatly enhances the Wolf Pack's chances of not only covering, but surpassing its team total, which sits at around 21.5 points.


    DILLON STILL DAY-TO-DAY

    The Boston College Eagles might have to prepare for the possibility that their sensational starting running back will miss another week. A.J. Dillon remains day-to-day with an ankle injury that sidelined him for last Saturday's 28-23 setback against N.C. State. The team says he's making progress in his recovery, but the true test could be how much he practices ahead of this weekend's encounter with visiting Louisville. Ben Giles had 90 yards and a touchdown while substituting for Dillon, who enters the week with 652 rushing yards and seven scores on the season.

    Dillon's return is critical for the Eagles against a Cardinals rush defense allowing an unfathomable 231 yards per game – one of the worst rates in the country. If he's good to go, bettors should strongly consider taking BC to cover at -13.5 while giving the over-61 play a long look, as well.


    ZEB ZAPPED FOR PURDY

    Zeb Noland is out and Brock Purdy is in at quarterback for Iowa State. Purdy took over for Noland early in last week's 48-42 loss to Oklahoma State and was simply sensational, throwing for 318 yards and four touchdowns while adding 84 yards and a score on the ground. The Cyclones turn to Purdy as they continue to wait for Kyle Kempt to return from a knee injury that has limited him to just one game this season, but he won't be ready to return this weekend. Purdy's four scoring passes equaled the output Noland and Kempt had compiled over Iowa State's previous four games.

    The Cyclones are six-point home underdogs against Will Grier and the West Virginia Mountaineers on Saturday. But if Purdy is anywhere near as effective as he was last week, this game should soar past the total of 57.5.

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    Tech Trends - Week 7
    Bruce Marshall

    Thursday, Oct. 11

    TEXAS TECH at TCU
    ...TCU 2-11-1 as Fort Worth chalk since 2016, 11-21-1 overall vs. spread since 2016. Tech 9-4 vs. spread last 13 as visiting dog.
    Texas Tech, based on team trends.


    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at TROY STATE.
    ..GS 5-0 vs. spread in 2018, 7-1 last 8 since late 2017. Also covered last four as dog. Troy 4-0-1 vs. line last five this season and has covered last 4 in 2018 but is 0-4 vs. line last 4 vs. Eagles.
    Georgia Southern, based on team and series trends.


    Friday, Oct. 12


    SOUTH FLORIDA at TULSA
    ...USF 4-7 vs. points last ten since late 2017. Bulls 2-5 vs. line last seven laying points away from Tampa in reg. season. Tulsa however just 1-7 last 8 as home dog.
    Slight to South Florida, based on team trends.


    ARIZONA at UTAH
    ...Utes 5-1 as home chalk since last season. Home team has won and covered last three in series. Cats on 3-7-1 spread skid since late 2017, also 2-10 last 12 as visiting dog. Sumlin teams are 4-9-2 last 15 as dog.
    Utah, based on team and series trends.


    AIR FORCE at SAN DIEGO STATE.
    ..Calhoun 15-6-1 last 22 as dog since 2014. Though Aztecs have covered 6 of last 7 in series. Rocky Long, however, just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk.
    Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.


    Saturday, Oct. 13

    LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE
    ...’Ville 1-6 vs. spread since late 2017, on 6-17 spread skid since late 2016. BC 15-6 last 21 on board since late 2016. Road team, however, has covered last four meetings.
    Boston College, based on team trends.


    MIAMI-FLORIDA at VIRGINIA
    ...Canes 3-2 vs. line since dropping opener vs. LSU. Richt 13-10 last 23 on board, 7-3 last ten as visiting chalk. Cavs however 4-1 vs. line in 2018.
    Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.


    TOLEDO at EASTERN MICHIGAN
    ...If Rockets chalk note 8-2 vs. line in role as visitor since 2015. EMU just 2-5-1 vs. spread last 8 at Ypsilanti vs. MAC foes.
    Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.


    TEXAS A&M at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp 2-3 vs. line last four at home, but did cover narrowly at A&M LY. Gamecocks have covered last three in series. Jimbo 5-1 vs. line TY.
    Slight to Texas A&M based on recent trends.


    ULM at COASTAL CAROLINA
    ...ULM just 1-7 vs. spread last eight since late 2017. Coastal on 5-2 spread uptick since late 2017.
    Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.


    PURDUE at ILLINOIS
    ...Lovie 2-8 vs. spread at home in Big Ten action. Lost and failed to cover last two vs. Purdue. Boilermakers surprising 15-5 last 20 vs. points as visitor (back to Hazell regime), and Purdue 6-2 vs. line away from Ross-Ade for Brohm.
    Purdue, based on team and recent series trends.


    BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
    ...Ball 2-6 last 8 vs. spread away and no covers last four away in MAC. Cards have covered 3 of last 4 vs. CMU but Chips rolled 56-9 LY. Chips 9-2 vs. spread last 11 reg season games.
    Central Michigan, based on team trends.


    DUKE at GEORGIA TECH
    ...Duke has covered last 4 in series. GT 6-2 vs. spread last 8 at home. Duke 21-11 as dog since 2013.
    Duke, based on series trends.


    RUTGERS at MARYLAND
    ...Ash 4-2 vs. line on Big Ten road since LY though Scarlet Knights just 2-6 vs. line last eight overall since late 2017. Terps 5-3 as DD chalk since 2016. Home team has won and covered last two meetings.
    Slight to Maryland, based on team and series trends.


    VIRGINIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA
    ...Fedora 6-2 last 8 vs. spread though just 2-2 TY. Fuente has crushed Heels last two years by 93-10 total score. Fedora just 2-5 last 7 as Chapel Hill dog.
    Virginia Tech, based on recent series trends.


    WESTERN KENTUCKY at CHARLOTTE
    ...Tops have covered 3 in a row and 4 straight in 2018. Though WKU was 0-5 as chalk away from home LY. 49ers 5-2 vs. line last seven at home.
    Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.


    HOUSTON at EAST CAROLINA...Cougs 1-6 as chalk away from home since LY. But ECU just 8-20-1 vs. spread for Montgomery.
    Houston, based on team trends.


    AKRON at BUFFALO
    ...Zips 8-4-1 last 13 vs. spread in reg season. But Bulls have covered last five as MAC host. Home team 4-0 SU, 2-0-1 vs. line last four meetings.
    Buffalo, based on team and series home trends.


    MARSHALL at OLD DOMINION
    ...Herd no covers last four TY. Home team has won and covered last three in series. But Monarchs only 6-13-1 last 20 on board overall.
    Slight to Old Dominion, based on series trends.


    MTSU at FIU...MTSU
    now 5-1 vs. points last six C-USA games. Blue Raiders have won last three SU vs. FIU though have only covered one of last four in series. Butch Davis 6-0 last 6, 9-2 last 11 vs. spread in reg season vs. FBS-level foes.
    Slight to FIU, based on team trends.


    KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO
    ...Kent State 4-8 vs. line last 12 MAC games dating to late 2016 (1-1 TY). Low-scoring series past five years, 5-0 “under” in those games. RedHawks just 3-7 last ten as Yager chalk.
    “Under” based on series “totals” trends.


    UNLV at UTAH STATE
    ...Sanchez now 13-4 as road dog since arriving at UNLV in 2015. Also 11-4 last 15 as dog overall. Utags however 4-0-1 vs. line TY and 7-2-1 last ten as Logan chalk, and beat Rebs 52-24 LY.
    Slight to Utah State, based on team trends.


    NEW MEXICO at COLORADO STATE
    ...Bobo on 2-11 spread skid, 1-8 last nine as chalk. Davie 0-6 SU, 1-5 vs. Rams since taking over Lobos in 2012 (cover came LY), but 3-0 vs. line away in 2018.
    New Mexico, based on recent CSU woes.


    TROY at LIBERTY...Troy has covered last four in 2018 and 8-1 last nine vs. number since late 2017.
    Troy, based on recent trends.


    PITT at NOTRE DAME
    ...Irish only 1-3-1 vs. line last five in series (since 2010; haven’t played since 2015 when ND won) and just 2-2 vs. line at South Bend in 2018. Pitt 5-2 last seven as visiting dog.
    Slight to Pitt, based on team and series trends.


    COLORADO at USC
    ...Buffs yet to beat SC SU since entering Pac in 2011 but have covered 2 of last 3 meetings. Coach Mac 6-3 last nine as visiting dog and CU 4-0 vs. spread against FBS foes in 2018. Helton 5-14 last 19 vs. points, 1-6 last 7 as Coliseum chalk.
    Colorado, based on team trends.


    ARMY at SAN JOSE STATE
    ... Scrappy Spartans 5-1 vs. line last six against FBS-level foes, all as dog. Army on 7-2-1 spread run since mid 2017 but just 3-4-1 last eight as chalk for Monken.
    Slight to SJSU, based on team trends.


    WASHINGTON at OREGON...U-Dub has destroyed Ducks last two years by 108-24 total score after not having beaten UO since the brief Keith Gilbertson era in 2003. Petersen 5-3 vs. points last seven as Pac-12 visitor though just 3-4 last six as visiting chalk. Webfoots 1-4 as Autzen dog since 2016.
    Washington, based on recent trends.


    OHIO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS
    ...Solich 7-3 last ten as visiting dog and 9-6 last 15 vs. points in MAC action. Solich 11-4 last 15 as dog overall. NIU just 2-4 last six as DeKalb chalk.
    Ohio, based on team trends.


    LA TECH at UTSA
    ...Skip Holtz 7-2 vs. spread last 9 away from Ruston. Also won and covered last 2 years vs. UTSA. Roadrunners 1-9 last ten vs. spread since late 2017.
    La Tech, based on team and series trends.


    WESTERN MICHIGAN at BOWLING GREEN
    ...The Mike Jinks Jinx, not to be confused with the Michael Spinks Jinx, as BGSU now 1-4-1 vs. line TY, 4-13-1 since 2017, 8-21-1 since 2016, all under Jinks.
    Western Michigan, based on BGSU negatives.


    OLE MISS at Arkansas (at Little Rock)
    ...Rebs 4-9 as visiting chalk since 2013. Tight series lately here with last three decided by 6 points total. Hogs have covered last five in series but that was all Bielema.
    Slight to Arkansas, based on series trends.


    WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN
    ... Paul Chryst 6-2 as dog with Badgers and has covered last two years vs. Harbaugh. Wiscy 12-1 vs. spread on road in reg seas. since 2015. Harbaugh 10-18-1 last 29 vs. line since mid 2016.
    Wisconsin, based on team trends.


    MINNESOTA at OHIO STATE
    ...Last Golden Goofs SU win in series was in 2000, Bucks have won 9 in a row SU since. Last meeting 2015. Goofs 0-2 as DD dog for Fleck and Minn just 2-6-1 as visiting dog since 2016 (1-4-1 for Fleck). Home team has covered all five Buckeyes games TY (counting TCU at Jerry Jones), but Urban 11-6 last 17 laying DD.
    Ohio State, based on team trends.


    TEMPLE at NAVY
    ... Owls have handled Navy the past two years, winning and covering both, and Temple now on 3-game cover streak in 2018. Collins now 10-4 last 14 on board since early 2017, and have covered 7 straight away from Linc. Mids 2-0 vs. line at Annapolis TY after 1-6 spread mark prior seven at home.
    Temple, based on team and recent series trends.


    WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE
    ...Holgorsen has won and covered four in a row vs. Cyclones, though Matt Campbell on 14-6-1 run as dog since early 2016 at Toledo & ISU. Mounties 4-0 vs. line in 2018.
    Slight to Iowa State, based on team trends.


    SOUTHERN MISS at NORTH TEXAS
    ...UNT has won and covered last two meetings. USM however is 4-1 last five as visiting dog. Mean Green on 7-4 run last nine vs. FBS foes in reg season.
    Slight to North Texas, based on team and recent series trends.


    NEBRASKA at NORTHWESTERN
    ...Frost, 0-5 SU and 1-4 vs. line TY. Huskers on 5-14 spread skid since late 2016. Pat Fitz 5-2 vs. line last seven years in series, and Cats 14-6 last 20 on board vs. points.
    Northwestern, based on team and series trends.


    IOWA at INDIANA
    ... Ferentz has won and covered last three vs. Hoosiers though teams didn’t meet LY. Ferentz 13-2-1 as visiting chalk since 2013. Indiana on 4-8 spread downturn since mid 2017.
    Iowa, based on team and extended series trends.


    UCF at MEMPHIS
    ... UCF has covered last five vs. FBS-level foes. Golden Knights 5-1 as visiting chalk since LY and beat Memphis twice in 2017. Mike Norvell 2-1-1 as dog since 2016 with Memphis (but 0-1-1 vs. UCF).
    UCF, based on team trends.


    TENNESSEE at AUBURN
    ...Malzahn 1-3 vs. line at home TY, 5-14-1 as Jordan-Hare chalk since 2015. But Vols only 5-13 vs. line since 2016 (2-3 for Pruitt) and 2-8-1 last 11 as dog.
    Slight to Auburn, based on UT negatives.


    BAYLOR at TEXAS
    ...Horns have won and covered last three in series. UT has also covered last three years following OU.
    Texas, based on recent trends.


    MISSOURI at ALABAMA...Tigers on 10-3 reg season spread run. Also 4-1 last five as dog. Nick has failed to cover last three this season and only 9-11-1 last 21 on board since late 2016.
    Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.


    FLORIDA at VANDERBILT
    ...Dan Mullen on 12-6 spread run at MSU and Florida, 5-1 with Gators. Vandy 2-7 vs. line last 9 vs. SEC.
    Florida, based on team trends.


    OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE
    ... Bill Snyder 1-1 as home dog TY but 7-3 in role since 2013. Snyder 2-2 as dog TY but 32-15 last 47 In role. Snyder has covered 6 of last 7 vs. Mike Gundy as well.
    K-State, based on Snyder and series trends.


    UAB at RICE
    ...Owls 6-12 vs. number since LY. Blazers however 0-2 in rare road chalk role since LY for Bill Clark. But Blazers are 4-0-1 as DD chalk since 2017, including 52-21 over Owls LY.
    UAB, based on team trends.


    GEORGIA at LSU
    ...Orgeron has covered five straight as dog, though only 1 of those at home. He’s only 3-6 vs. points since LY at Baton Rouge. Kirby Smart 4-2 as visiting chalk since LY, but 6-2 last 8 vs. SEC foes away from Athens.
    Slight to LSU, based on Orgeron dog mark.


    NEW MEXICO STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE
    ...NMSU 2-7 vs. points last 9 reg.-season games. Ags 2-4 as visiting dog since LY. Cajuns 2-4 as Lafayette home chalk since LY (1-1 TY, cover vs. Grambling).
    Slight to ULL, based on team trends.


    MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE
    ...Dantoio 3-1 SU and vs. line against James Franklin since 2014. Dantonio 19-7 as dog since 2011 though just 3-7 vs. spread last 10 as Big Ten visitor. Franklin has covered last four TY.
    Slight to Michigan State, based on series and Dantonio extended dog trends.


    HAWAII at BYU.
    ..Sitake now 2-7 vs. line last 9 at Provo after Utag loss. BYU 3-7 last ten as chalk. Rolovich 6-5-1 as visiting dog.
    Hawaii, based on team trends.


    UCLA at CAL
    ... Bruins SU losing streak away from Rose Bowl on road now at 13 (3-10 vs. line in those). Bruins now on 5-13-1 spread skid since late 2016. Home team has won last 8 and covered last seven in series. Bears however just 1-4 vs. line TY (0-3 at Berkeley).
    Slight to California, based on UCLA negatives.


    WYOMING at FRESNO STATE
    ...Wyo 1-7 vs. spread last eight in reg season (all of those minus Josh Allen). Bohl was 12-4 as dog with Allen past two years but 0-3 in role without him in 2018. Tedford 14-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno LY, Dawgs on 19-5-2 spread run since mid 2016 (post-DeRuyter).
    Fresno State, based on team trends.


    BOISE STATE at NEVADA
    ...Pack just 8-10 overall vs. line since LY. Boise 38-16 as visiting chalk since 2008!
    Boise State, based on team trends

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    Texas Tech at TCU
    Joe Nelson

    This week’s Thursday night game is a prominent Big XII clash as Texas Tech and TCU face off. While both teams are closer to the bowl bubble than the Big XII title game at this point in the season, this will be a key game in the conference pecking order not to mention one of the main rivalry games of the season for both squads.

    Match-up: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Christian Horned Frogs
    Venue: At Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
    Time/TV: Thursday, October 11, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
    Line: TCU -7, Over/Under 62
    Last Meeting: 2017, TCU (-7) 27, at Texas Tech 3

    This line on this game was released late with questionable quarterback situations for both teams. Since the ‘West Texas Championship’ renewed on an annual basis in 2012 these squad have each won the Saddle Trophy three times with the road team now winning the past three years.

    Both TCU and Texas Tech are knotted at 1-1 in league play and while West Virginia and Texas are both 3-0 on top of the standings, those teams will need to face off and both have some difficult hurdles remaining as it is still a wide-open race for a spot in the Big XII title game. The Big XII has Texas back in the national spotlight rising to the top 10 of the polls but the conference as a whole is likely clinging to a long shot 13-0 run for West Virginia in regard to the national playoffs with Oklahoma upset last week.

    TCU looked the part of a Big XII contender and possible national sleeper with a 2-0 start and an 8-point lead over Ohio State well into the third quarter in a big mid-September game in Arlington. The Buckeyes scored three touchdowns in four minutes to send TCU’s season spiraling in the other direction. The Frogs lost to the Texas the following week with a combined seven turnovers in those two defeats before getting back on track in late September with a narrow 17-14 victory hosting Iowa State.

    A critical sixth season for Kliff Kingsbury coaching his alma mater started poorly with a 24-7 1st quarter deficit against Ole Miss in Houston on the opening Saturday, with starting quarterback McLane Carter injured. Freshman Alan Bowman was handed the offense from there and posted big numbers including leading notable wins over Houston and Oklahoma State. Bowman was seriously injured and hospitalized after taking a hit in the 42-34 loss to West Virginia with the Red Raiders down to sophomore Jett Duffey for the duration of that game. All three quarterbacks may be available for this week’s game.

    For TCU sophomore quarterback Shawn Robinson has had mixed results with six interceptions in four FBS games but offering big play potential in the air and on the ground. Robinson was injured late in the win over Iowa State with a shoulder issue on his non-throwing arm and while he has been cleared to return, Gary Patterson has hinted that he may not start this week with sophomore Michael Collins likely to play in the game as well. Collins has only thrown 14 passes this season and not in any meaningful moments.

    Texas Tech was anticipating being a stronger defensive team this season as after years of being consistently involved in shootouts, the Red Raiders improved dramatically in the defensive numbers last season. This year the positive gains haven’t been there despite an experienced unit led by linebacker and future NFL draft pick Dakota Allen. Texas Tech has allowed nearly 450 yards per game and 31 points per game including allowing 42 or more points in three of four FBS games.

    Patterson has a reputation for defense and this year’s team has allowed fewer than 21 points per game, holding three of five foes to 14 or fewer points. Texas and Ohio State combined to score 71 points against the Horned Frogs but a 7-0 turnover deficit in those games contributed significantly. TCU has only surrendered 178 passing yards per game this season and that will be the key matchup against a Red Raiders offense averaging 408 passing yards per game. TCU is 14th nationally allowing only 5.7 yards per pass attempt while Texas Tech has allowed 7.7 yards per pass attempt although opposing quarterbacks have completed below 56 percent of throws against both teams.

    With Oklahoma up next this is a critical spot for TCU as a 1-3 Big XII start would be realistic with a loss this week. TCU will still have to play in Morgantown in November as a bowl bid could even be cast into a doubt for a squad that was projected to compete for a Big XII title after being the runner-up last season. The stakes may be higher for Texas Tech who still has Iowa State, Oklahoma, and Texas on the schedule. If the Red Raiders fall to 3-3 overall this week they might be in line for another dramatic run in late November with Kingsbury in danger of missing a bowl game for the third time in six seasons.

    Last season:
    TCU was 8-2 heading to Lubbock last November in the game following a 38-20 loss at Oklahoma. The Horned Frogs turned in a great performance with a 27-3 win on the road. The defense did the heavy lifting as TCU managed only 289 yards of offense and led just 10-3 late in the third quarter. TCU completed only six passes in the game in what was Robinson’s first career start and then added a late defensive score. That loss left Texas Tech at 5-6 but they beat Texas in the season finale to earn a bowl bid. The three-point showing was the lowest output for Texas Tech since losing 12-3 at TCU in 2006.

    Historical Trends:

    Texas Tech is 14-8 S/U and 14-10 ATS in this series since 1980, covering in 13 of the past 19 meetings.

    TCU has won S/U in three of the past four games but has lost S/U and ATS in two of the past three home games in the series.

    TCU has won S/U in eight consecutive home games since the start of last season but is just 3-12 ATS at home since the start of the 2016 season.

    TCU is 1-5 S/U and ATS in six instances since 2016 as a home favorite of 10 or fewer points.

    Texas Tech is 22-14 ATS on the road since 2011 including going 8-3 ATS as a road underdog since 2015 with five S/U upsets.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-11-2018 at 12:09 PM.

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    Arizona at Utah
    Brian Edwards

    Matchup: Arizona at Utah
    Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
    TV/Time: ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET


    In multiple columns, guest radio spots and on my Games Galore podcast throughout the summer, I spoke at length about how Arizona’s Kevin Sumlin and Mississippi State’s Joe Moorhead were walking into the best new coaching gigs in terms of being able to win right away. Well, here we are in mid-October, and Moorhead’s fresh off a huge win over Auburn to avoid as three-game losing streak.

    As for Sumlin, his Arizona team (3-3 straight up, 3-3 against the spread) is a double-digit road underdog at Utah on Friday night. The Wildcats have quite a few games remaining in which they’ll be underdogs and it appears they’ll be fortunate just to go bowling.

    As of early Thursday afternoon, most betting shops had Utah (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) installed as a 13.5-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 50.5. UA was available on the money line for a +415 return (risk $100 to win $415).

    Utah is off its best performance of the season, going to The Farm in Palo Alto and dominating Stanford in a 40-21 victory as a four-point road underdog. The 61 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 45-point total in the Utes’ highest-scoring game of the season.

    The game turned on Jaylon Johnson’s 100-yard pick-six early in the second quarter that gave Kyle Whittingham’s squad a 14-0 advantage. Zach Moss, who had a seven-yard TD run to allow Utah to draw first blood late in the opening quarter, ripped off a 35-yard TD run to put Utah ahead 21-0 late in the second quarter.

    Trailing 27-7 midway through the third quarter, Stanford scored back-to-back touchdowns to trim the deficit to 27-21 with more than 16 minutes remaining. Matt Gay’s 34-yard field goal put Utah back into a two-possession advantage. Then with 7:12 left, QB Tyler Huntley found Samson Nauca on a 57-yard scoring strike. Gay’s 37-yard FG put the game on ice with 3:34 remaining.

    Utah played turnover-free football and forced four Stanford turnovers. Huntley completed 17-of-21 passes for 199 yards and one TD without an interception. Moss had 160 rushing yards and two TDs on 20 attempts, while Nacua had a pair of catches for 70 yards and one TD. Britain Covey had six catches for 70 yards.

    The win at Stanford allowed Utah to avoid a three-game losing streak and remain alive in the Pac-12 South with a 1-2 league record. The Utes started the season with a 41-10 home win over Weber State before winning 17-6 at No. Illinois. However, they lost 21-7 vs. Washington as four-point home underdogs before dropping a 28-24 decision as 1.5-point road favorites at Washington State.

    Moss and Huntley are the catalyst for the Utah offense. Moss has rushed for 549 yards and six TD while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. He also has five receptions for 30 yards and one TD. Huntley has connected on 62.4 percent of his throws for 994 yards with a 5/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has rushed for 143 yards and a pair of scores.

    Covey is Huntley’s favorite target, hauling in 32 receptions for 328 yards. Nacua has caught 13 balls for 146 yards and one TD.

    Utah is 26-23-1 ATS as a home favorite dating back to the start of the 2008 campaign. We should also note the Utes’ outstanding special-teams players. Gay, the junior kicker, was a first-team All-American and the Lou Groza Award winner in 2017. Senior punter Mitch Wishnowsky was a second-team All-American last year, but he was a first-team All-American choice in ’16 when he won the Ray Guy Award. Wishnowsky is averaging 44.0 yards per punt this year.

    Utah is ranked 10th in the nation in total defense, third at defending the run and 18th in scoring ‘D,’ giving up an average of 17.2 PPG.

    Senior LB Chase Hansen is the leader of the Utes’ stop unit. He has produced 43 tackles, seven tackles for loss, three sacks, one QB hurry and one interception that went for a 40-yard pick six to put the No. Illinois game away.

    Sumlin’s tenure started with back-to-back losses both SU and ATS, including a 28-23 loss to BYU as an 11.5-point home favorite. In Week 2, Arizona was trounced 45-18 at Houston as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Wildcats would bounce back to win 62-31 vs. Southern Utah and 35-14 at Oregon State.

    Since then, Arizona lost a 24-20 decision to USC as a 3.5-point home underdog and then beat California 24-17 last week as a two-point home underdog. Sumlin’s bunch was extremely fortunate to beat the Golden Bears, who enjoyed a 25-13 advantage in first downs and a 476-265 edge in total offense.

    So, how the hell did Arizona find a way to win? Well, it needs to hand out a no-look assist with some behind-the-back mustard on it to former South Carolina QB Brandon McIlwain, who threw three interceptions. Two of those were of the pick-six variety in the second half.

    Trailing 10-0, McIlwain put Cal-Berkeley in front 14-10 at intermission on TD runs of 25 and 23 yards in the second quarter. However, with 3:19 left in the third quarter, UA’s Azizi Hearn intercepted McIlwain and went 34 yards to the house to put the Wildcats ahead 17-14.

    Then with 3:13 remaining, Arizona’s Scottie Young produced a 24-yard pick-six. Cal added a 35-yard FG with 16 ticks left to provide the final score. In addition to the 14 points it scored, the UA defense also had a fumble recovery and a pair of stops on fourth-down plays.

    Arizona junior QB Khalil Tate was nothing short of sensational last season, averaging 9.2 YPC while rushing for 1,411 yards and 12 TDs despite not getting steady playing time until October. To say Tate’s production has slipped this year would be quite the understatement.

    Tate has run for just 110 yards and two TDs with a 2.5 YPC average. He has completed 54.0 percent of his passes for 1,412 yards with an 11/4 TD-INT ratio. RB J.J. Taylor leads the Wildcats with 600 rushing yards and three TDs with a 5.8 YPC average. Gary Brightwell has run for 308 yards and two TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC.

    Tate mostly looks to three different targets. Shawn Pointdexter has 21 receptions for 407 yards and two TDs, while Shun Brown has 27 catches for 342 yards and three TDs. Tony Ellison has 17 grabs for 311 yards and three TDs.

    Arizona is ranked 99th out of 130 FBS teams in total defense. The Wildcats are 103rd at defending the run and 70th in scoring ‘D,’ giving up 26.5 PPG.

    Since 2013, Arizona has limped to an abysmal 4-14 spread record in 18 games as a road underdog.

    The ‘over’ is 3-2 overall for the Utes, 1-1 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 43.0 PPG.

    The ‘under’ is 5-1 for Arizona, 2-0 in its road assignments. The Wildcats saw their lone ‘over’ appearance in the blowout win over FCS foe, Southern Utah. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 56.8 PPG.

    From 2012-15, Arizona won four games in a row over Utah both SU and ATS. Since then, however, Utah has won back-to-back games over the Wildcats both SU and ATS. The Utes won 36-23 as 9.5-point home favorites in 2016.

    When this rivalry was resumed in Tucson last year, Utah won a 30-24 decision as a 4.5-point road underdog. This was before Tate was inserted into the lineup ahead of former QB Brandon Dawkins, who threw for 248 yards and ran for 90 but was intercepted three times. Huntley completed 8-of-9 passes for 98 yards and one TD without an interception. Moss rushed for 73 yards on 14 attempts.

    Kickoff for Friday’s Pac-12 South showdown is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    --There are two other televised games on Friday’s card. Tulsa will play host to unbeaten South Florida at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN, and San Diego State will take on Air Force as a double-digit home favorite at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College Network.

    --USF (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) was listed as a seven-point favorite at Tulsa as of early Thursday afternoon. The Bulls are 1-1 ATS in a pair of road situations, winning 25-19 at Illinois as 14-point ‘chalk’ and capturing a 58-42 triumph at UMass as 15.5-point favorites last week. USF is 2-4 ATS in six games as a road favorite since Charlie Strong took over in 2017. Tulsa beat Central Arkansas by a 38-27 count in its opener, but it has lost four games in a row since then. The Golden Hurricane hasn’t been getting blown out and has covered as a double-digit underdog twice, including a 28-21 loss at Texas as a 22.5-point ‘dog.

    --San Diego State is still playing without starting QB Christian Chapman and star RB Juwan Washington. Nevertheless, Rocky Long’s club has won four consecutive games since losing 31-10 at Stanford in its season opener. The Aztecs beat Arizona State 28-21 as five-point home underdogs and then went to the smurf turf and knocked off Boise State. 19-13 as 13.5-point road underdogs last week. As of early Thursday afternoon, most spots had San Diego State listed as 11-point home favorites with a total of 43.5 or 44. Air Force (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) ended a three-game losing streak last week by blasting Navy 35-7 as a 2.5-point home underdog. The Falcons, who have seen the ‘under’ go 4-1, are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS in a pair of road outings. They lost 33-27 at FAU but covered as eight-point ‘dogs, but they failed to cover by the hook in a 42-32 loss at Utah State as 9.5-point puppies.

    --Boston College star RB missed last week’s 28-23 loss at N.C. State nursing a sprained ankle. Nevertheless, the Eagles took the cash as 6.5-point underdogs in Raleigh. BC is 4-2 both SU and ATS and as of Thursday afternoon, the Eagles were 13.5-point home favorites for a 12:30 Eastern kick vs. Louisville on Saturday. Dillon remains ‘questionable’ and will likely be a game-time decision versus the Cardinals, who are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS and can’t afford to fire Bobby Petrino even if they desperately desired to do so. Dillon has rushed for 652 yards and six TDs while averaging 6.2 YPC.

    --BYU has named true freshman QB Zach Wilson as its starter vs. Hawaii. Wilson has appeared in only two games this year in relief of Tanner Mangum. He completed 3-of-4 throws for 52 yards and one TD without an interception in mop-up duty during last week’s 45-20 home loss to Utah State. As for the Warriors, they went to great lengths to keep star QB Cole McDonald’s foot injury under wraps last week. In fact, Nick Rolovich sent another player out in McDonald’s jersey (with his name on it, obviously) to warm up prior to last week’s 17-13 home win over Wyoming. McDonald didn’t play but is listed as ‘probable’ this week (however, I’m not implying gamblers should trust that status). McDonald has been nothing short of sensational, throwing for 2,100 yards with an incredible 24/2 TD-INT ratio. As of early Thursday afternoon, the Cougars were installed as 11.5-point home favorites.

    --Toledo QB Mitchell Guadagni (head) is ‘questionable’ at Eastern Michigan. Guadagni has 745 passing yards and a 10/1 TD-INT ratio. The Rockets have seen the ‘over’ go 5-0 this year. They’re one or 1.5-point road favorites with a total of 63.5. Since winning outright at Purdue on a walk-off FG in Week 2, EMU has lost four consecutive one-possession games in a row. The Eagles, who are 4-2 ATS, lost 23-20 at San Diego State in overtime in Week 4. Next, they dropped a 26-23 decision to No. Illinois in triple overtime. EMU rallied for a backdoor cover with a last-minute TD in last week’s 27-24 loss at Western Michigan as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Eagles have seen the ‘under’ hit in three straight outings.

    --Iowa State owns a 6-3-1 spread record in 10 games as a home underdog during Matt Campbell’s three-year tenure. The Cyclones, who are off a 48-42 upset win at Oklahoma State as 10-point underdogs, were listed as 6.5-point home ‘dogs to West Virginia as of early Thursday afternoon. Campbell has named Brock Purdy as his starting QB this week with Kyle Kempt (‘doubtful’) not quite ready to return from the knee injury sustained in the team’s opener. ISU has an open date after hosting WVU. Purdy, a true freshman who had only appeared in one game and not yet attempted a pass before being inserted into the lineup last week in Stillwater, torched the Cowboys by completing 18-of-23 passes for 318 yards and four TD with only one interception. He also rushed for a team-best 84 yards and one TD on 19 carries. However, the Cyclones might be without star RB David Montgomery, who is ‘questionable’ against the Mountaineers due to an upper-body injury.

    --Disgraced former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze has been hired as the new offensive coordinator for the Arizona Hotshots of the new Alliance of American Football league that starts this spring. Freeze will work under Arizona head coach Rick Neuheisel, who is the former head coach at UCLA, Washington and Colorado.

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    Total Talk - Week 7

    There weren't too many things that went well for this piece a week ago, as those early line moves on ASU/Colorado 'over' never came close to cashing, while the 'under' action for Michigan State was all washed away except for those that were able to get a push on that opener of 48.

    Even my Best Bet came up short in BC/NC State, so hopefully you were able to avoid some of that damage. That 'under' in the Michigan State seemed destined to lose for those following line moves and as I said in that piece, I am glad I sat on the sidelines there.

    A new week brings new prospects though and hopefully the totals I've isolated for discussion this week can bring more fruitful results, so let's get right to work:

    Biggest Movers to the 'Over'

    #10 UCF vs Memphis: Open: 78 – Current: 81


    I've long been a proponent of “siding with the crazy side” when it comes to totals wagering – ie take the 'over' on totals that appear to be crazily high – but these days it's become harder and harder to define what exactly a “crazy” total is for a football game. Seeing totals in the high-70's and low 80's is something we see a handful or more times a year now, as it's slowly started to creep into normalcy here.

    Now there is no question we can trust this UCF offense to pull their own weight in terms of scoring 40+ here as this team has averaged 48.6 points per game offensively. The Knights have become a victim of their own success in the betting market though – specifically with totals – because all of those points scored has just let to a 2-3 O/U record. That is partially on the defense as they seem to be holding the fort more often these days, and with just 24.5 points allowed per game this year, maybe we should expect UCF to slow down this Memphis attack somewhat.

    Memphis will be ready for a shootout if that's what it ends up being, as they average 46.2 points per game themselves, while their defense comes in allowing 17.7 a game. Granted, neither defensive side has gone up against a talented offense like they'll see here, but doing some cross comparisons with those points per game numbers (UCF offense vs Memphis defense and vice versa), you come up with a 35-33 score in favor of the underdog home side.

    More importantly, that final score is 10 points below the original number and 13 points below the current one. That's quite a spread of value on that general basis alone, and it's enough to keep me from following this move and expecting this total to get surpassed. But like I said before, I'm not really that interested in the 'under' either as the “crazy side” could come in here, especially if it's a tight game late and the possibility of OT is still on the table. These two teams might not need extra time to get 'over' this number, but it's not a move I'm interested in following.

    Biggest Movers to the 'Under'

    Michigan State vs #8 Penn State: Open 56.5 – Current: 53


    Now this is a move I am interested in following because 53 is still a key number in totals to go low on (for 31-21 or 28-24 type scores), and because it's Michigan State involved again and I do side with this general consensus that they should be an 'under' minded team.

    Seeing a Michigan State total take another leap down was something I expected given how last week's move on the 'under' was basically spoiled by poor final half of the 3rd quarter. 21 points were scored in those final seven minutes of the 3rd frame, and even then, it took a TD in the final three minutes for that opening number to get 'pushed' on, while bettors getting to the 'over' late got to cash a ticket. Whether it was a tough beat or not in the end, the reality is that this Michigan State team is one that should have trouble scoring all year long and has no other option but to rely on a very stout defense to do all the heavy lifting. That's the generic recipe for an 'under' team – especially when they are on the road – and it's the result I do expect to see from this Michigan State/Penn State tilt.

    For one, Michigan State hasn't allowed 30 or more points in any of their last four games overall, and in their two games on the road they've given up 16 and 21 points respectively, and they LOST one of those games. If that doesn't speak to both Michigan State's defensive play as well as their offensive play, I don't know what will, as this is not a team you can trust to score 17 points against any type of quality foe.

    Penn State is a quality foe whether they deserve to be ranked in the Top 10 now or not, and having had their season in 2017 spoiled by a road loss as a 10-point favorite in Michigan State last year, this is a game the Nittany Lions have had circled.

    So while the 'over' has cashed in four straight games between these two, three of those four games closed with totals at 47.5 or less. The last time they played at Penn State it was nearly an identical scenario as this year's game (Penn State was -11, Total: 53.5), and while the game did sail 'over' on the 45-12 Penn State win, it was a 10-6 game at half and Penn State needed to outscore Michigan State 35-0 in the final 30 minutes to just get 'over' that total.

    I don't think we see that type of scoring outburst late this time around and anything at 53 or higher I'd gladly follow here.

    Best Total Bet for Week 7: Middle Tennessee vs. FIU Over 56.5

    This week I'm heading to the first place showdown between FIU and Middle Tennessee as both teams look to remain perfect in Conference USA play. This total has taken some 'under' money earlier this week as I assume some bettors look at the stakes of this matchup and project it with a playoff-like atmosphere, but that never seems to be the case when these two teams square off.

    The O/U record between these teams the past six meetings is 4-1-1 O/U and that lone 'under' came in a 48-0 blowout win with the total closing at 49. Last year's push on 54 total points wouldn't help us on the 'over' play this year, but we had 77 and 76-point games in the two years prior and that's more of the style of game I think we get here.

    For one, FIU has scored an average of 48.6 points per home game this year, and although that number is clearly skewed based on the level of competition (games against UMass and FCS Arkansas Pine-Bluff), this Panthers team can score at home and should be able to at least threaten the 30-point mark in this contest. After all, Middle Tennessee does give up 36 points per game on the road this year.

    Secondly, Middle Tennessee is looking for more consistency in their offensive play right now and they are hoping that last week's breakthrough of 34 points scored @ Marshall was the start of them turning the corner in that regard. This FIU defense can be had, and considering the 'over' has gone 5-0-1 in Middle Tennessee's last six trips to FIU, the Blue Raiders program knows they've got to be prepared to win a shootout on this field.

    With Middle Tennessee on a 10-4 O/U run after covering the point spread, and FIU on a 13-5-1 O/U run after failing to cover the point spread, this game seemingly has quite a few things lining up for the 'over' here and it's a play I can't pass up in Week 7.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-12-2018 at 08:04 PM.

  15. #15
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    Essentials - Week 7
    Tony Mejia

    You know it's October when the wind start picking up, the leaves start changing colors and the college football schedule starts bearing more gifts. There are a number of games that will be among their conference's top matchups for the entire season this weekend. Here's what you need to know about the top tilts:

    Georgia (-7/50.5) at LSU, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS:
    This is a graduation game of sorts for the unbeaten Bulldogs. Win and they’ve made it to their bye week unscathed, avoiding three dangerous road obstacles. Winning in each Columbia, South Carolina and Missouri, is no picnic, but conquering Death Valley, especially this season, makes LSU like the boss on a video game level. Lose and you’re at the mercy of the BCS selection committee going forward, not to mention guaranteeing a long bye week before the Cocktail Party against Florida.

    The Gators turned back LSU last weekend to keep this from becoming a battle of unbeatens, knocking around Tigers QB Joe Burrow the way no team had previously. We get to see how he bounces back from his first career loss after throwing his first interceptions of the season, the last of which was returned for six. Georgia and LSU don’t play often, so this will be the first meeting since 2013 and first in Baton Rouge since ’09. Kirby Smart ran into the Tigers as a divisional rival when he was defensive coordinator at Alabama, and with Dave Aranda running things on the LSU side, points could be hard to come by. Ed Orgeron has taken some heat over the years, but he’s never lost consecutive games. Jake Fromm hasn’t lost a true road game in his career at Georgia but is expected to lose some snaps to freshman Justin Fields, whose speed offers a different look the Tigers have had to spend time preparing for.

    Wisconsin at Michigan (-10/49), 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC:
    Neither Jim Harbaugh nor Paul Chryst expected to lose two games all season given the talent returning, so the fact one of them will see it happen before the midpoint of October means we’re about to see two desperate teams square off. The Badgers put together their best offensive game of the season in a commanding 41-24 win over Nebraska and will look to run the ball to keep from being subjected to a fierce pass rush that has produced 18 sacks. The Wolverines are tremendous up front and will have DE Rashan Gary available to anchor the group. RB Chris Evans has also been upgraded to probable, so he and Karan Higdon should prove formidable in anchoring the ground game alongside Shea Patterson.

    This line opened a lot higher than I expected, so there’s certainly a dynamic of weighing taking an awful lot of points with a Badgers squad that doesn’t get blown out often against the danger that this particular group is unable to answer the bell in Ann Arbor. Safety Scott Nelson will miss the first half due to targeting and DE Isaiahh Loudermilk has been ruled out for Wisconsin, which has definitely seen its defensive depth compromised. It did get good news with D’Cota Dixon being expected to play despite sporting a walking boot mid-week, but he’s nowhere close to being 100 percent. The same can be said for key LB Andrew Van Ginkel, who is listed as questionable. Harbaugh lost last year’s game in Madison 24-10 after posting a 14-7 win in his first encounter with the Badgers back in ’16. The home team has won eight of nine in this series. The Badgers haven’t been this large an underdog since facing Michigan and Ohio State in consecutive weeks in ’16. Wisconsin lost but covered in both.

    Washington (-3.5/57.5) at Oregon, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2/ABC:
    Since Stanford is already out of the national title picture with two losses, the winner of this Pac-12 duel will carry the flag for the conference going forward. Although the Ducks lost to the Cardinal due to a memorable collapse, the presence of potential No. 1 overall pick Justin Herbert and an extremely manageable schedule going forward give them a chance to climb if they’re able to handle business at home over the Huskies. Washington’s loss to Auburn no longer looks as impressive as it was expected to, but it will have big home games against Colorado next week and Stanford to open November that should keep it in the national picture. So, who survives? Herbert can really improve his draft spot with a strong performance against a Huskies secondary widely respected as one of the nation’s best. He’ll have tight end Jacob Breeland to work with in addition to a stable of backs CJ Verdell, Tony Brooks-James and Darrian Felix all cleared to play.

    Washington will have Myles Gaskin available despite a shoulder issue as he looks to build on his 2-touchdown game at UCLA. So long as he holds up, the Huskies can match Oregon’s firepower even if the Quack Attack gets going. Mario Cristobal and his staff come in off a bye week, so they’ll have had ample time to dial up a few surprises for Chris Petersen, who has won the past two meetings with the Ducks after losing his first two contests against them. Jake Browning set a school-record with six touchdown passes the last time he visited Eugene as U-Dub won at Oregon for the first time since 2002. Washington has won the past two meetings by a combined margin of 108-24.

    Colorado at USC (-7/57), 10:30 p.m. ET, FS-1:
    The Trojans are looking up at the Buffs in the South Division, but it’s no surprise to see even this young version favored since they’re a perfect 7-0 against them in Pac-12 meetings. This is by far the best Colorado team in that span, even superior to the 10-4 2016 squad that lost just 21-17 at the Coliseum, covering in their only regular-season conference loss before being demolished by Washington in the title game. QB Steven Montez started in that loss as a sophomore and fared well, but he’s a much more polished product these days, ranking ninth in the FBS in pass efficiency (174.2). WR Juwann Winfree, who had a huge game against USC last season, is hoping to play after missing last week’s game with an ankle injury.

    Colorado needs all of its playmakers to prevail on the road given the recruiting advantages the conference power holds, but if it is going to get a win in this series, this appears to be the perfect opportunity. Clay Helton is just 3-2 coming off a bye week but did get a chance to get a number of banged up players healthier. RB Stephen Carr, guard Toa Leobendahan and DT Brandon Pili should all play, while the disruptive Porter Gustin is going to be spry given the time off to rest a gimpy ankle. Wins at USC and Washington next week would thrust the Buffs into the national conversation, but they were extended at home by Arizona State last Saturday and are underdogs in both of these huge tests.

    West Virginia (-6.5/56.5) at Iowa State, 7 p.m. ET, FS-1:
    Oklahoma’s loss at Texas officially made the Big 12 wide open, although I was leaning towards the Mountaineers as the team to beat in the conference before the season even started. The opportunity is going to be there for them, but it won’t come until November to prove it since a bye awaits next week before a Thursday home game with Baylor. That makes this visit to Ames the must biggest obstacle for West Virginia, which handled business on Homecoming against Kansas and hasn’t really been tested yet since a visit to N.C. State was canceled due to a hurricane.

    West Virginia's closest game, a 42-34 win at Texas Tech, was only cosmetically tight since the Red Raiders trailed 35-10 at the break. The Mountaineers haven’t trailed all season, so we’ll see how they handle a potentially tight game in Ames, where the Cyclones are known to be rude hosts. Kansas intercepted Will Grier three times in the end zone last week, so that’s where the primary focus for this matchup is. Iowa State held West Virginia at bay in last year’s 20-16 loss that represented the second-lowest scoring output of the season for the Grier-led offense. ISU tripped up Oklahoma State last week behind the passing of true freshman Brock Purdy, who wasn’t expected to be in the mix this season. The Cyclones have receivers who can do damage if Purdy can consistently deliver the ball, so this may certainly wind up as a live ‘dog situation if West Virginia fails to handle adversity well. Standout RB David Montgomery missed last week’s upset but is expected back here with fresh legs. The Mountaineers have won and covered in four straight meetings with Iowa State.

    Michigan State at Penn State (-13/53.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN:
    Keeping Brian Lewerke in the pocket is a priority for the Nittany Lions, who have had a few weeks to stew over their disappointing loss to Ohio State. James Franklin’s priority was moving on from his “great to elite” rant and that game’s mistakes and should have his team ready to play. He’s just 4-5 coming off byes in Happy Valley and 9-7 overall, so history would say it’s no lock that his team will be perfectly refreshed entering this Homecoming game, which adds its own share of distractions. The Spartans lead the country in run defense and should get back RB L.J. Scott, who has been pulled back as a game-time decision due to a hamstring injury in each of the last two weeks. That suggests he’s been close to returning, so it would be a surprise not to see him out there in such a big game.

    Michigan State comes off a loss to Northwestern to spoil their own Homecoming and hasn’t looked sharp at all offensively. The defense was unexpectedly carved up last week and has been vulnerable against the pass, so McSorley will have a chance to build on throwing for a season-high 286 yards without being intercepted against the Buckeyes. Electric WR K.J. Hamler is expected to play after taking a hard hit and leaving the Ohio State game. Michigan State has won 25 of its last 35 Big Ten road games, which includes a solid win at improved Indiana two weeks ago. Mark Dantonio is 5-3 against Penn State and has won at Beaver Stadium twice. He’s 3-1 against Franklin. Inclement weather may factor in here since the current forecast calls for rain all morning that may or may not clear by the afternoon kickoff.

    UCF (-4.5/81) at Memphis, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC:
    TIf you’re tired of the Knights finding their way into the national conversation, the Tigers become your best bet to put a stop to it. The University of Central Florida owns the nation’s longest winning streak at 18 games and will make it to 20 if they survive at Memphis since there’s no way East Carolina can compete, even at home. Realistically, all that separates UCF from a Thursday night home date against Temple that would give them the college football spotlight on November 1 is finding a way to outscore the Tigers in what will likely be a track meet at the Liberty Bowl. Check out that total! It's above 80. Because a Sept. 15 road game at North Carolina was canceled by Hurricane Florence, the Knights are making their first appearance in an opposing stadium since an Aug. 30 rout of overmatched UConn.

    Memphis has lost at Navy and Tulane, so this is no longer the American Athletic Conference summit meeting it was expected to be when the Tigers were made the overwhelming West Division preseason favorite, but that doesn’t mean they’re not still dangerous. RB Darrell Henderson is the national leader in yards per carry at 11.69 and is a threat to score a touchdown whenever he touches the ball. The Knights have their own version of that in Adrian Killins and the better quarterback in Heisman Trophy candidate McKenzie Milton, but they’re going to need both to produce if they’re going to win a seventh straight road game that doubles as Josh Heupel’s biggest obstacle until he has to visit rival South Florida on Nov. 23. The Knights have beaten Memphis 11 consecutive times, but that means absolutely nothing here.

    Missouri at Alabama (-28/74), 7 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Tigers fell short at South Carolina last week and were also taken down by Georgia, so this game could’ve been potentially topped Georgia-LSU as the biggest game in the country had things gone differently. There is some intrigue in that we get to see how Drew Lock fares against a Tide defense that has been vulnerable threw the air at times, so the prolific senior QB could raise his draft stock significantly with a big game. Unfortunately, top threat Emanuel Hall won’t play due to a groin injury that has impacted the team the past few weeks. Nate Brown is out with a similar ailment, so Mizzou will be without key cogs who have combined for 30 catches and nearly 560 yards.

    Alabama will be playing its Homecoming game and have upgraded Tua Tagovailoa to probable despite him dealing with a slight knee issue. In looking like an NFL quarterback toying with kids, the Heisman front-runner has led his team to an average of 20.6 points in the first quarter, realistically ending games inside 15 minutes. It remains to be seen whether he throws his first fourth-quarter pass in this one since that would likely mean Lock is having success keeping the Tigers in this by executing a more balanced offense than Mizzou’s pass-happy approach. RBs Larry Roundtree and Damarea Crockett have combined for seven TDs and will play big roles in attempting to give the defense a breather by extending drives and keeping the Tide defense from keying on the passing game. You can’t hang with Alabama by being one-dimensional. Hanging with the Tide may prove to be a futile endeavor as is, although the last two teams have managed to cover the spread late. Missouri is making its first visit to Tuscaloosa and hasn’t played ‘Bama since losing the 2014 SEC Championship game 42-13.

    Miami (-7/48) at Virginia, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2:
    The Cavaliers are also a live home ‘dog this week, getting Miami on the heels of its comeback win over rival Florida State that may have taken its toll despite ending successfully. Virginia is well-coached by Bronco Mendenhall, who is 17-11 in his career coming off a bye and will have a Homecoming atmosphere to work with in Charlottesville. The Canes last lost there in 2014, getting blown out as a 5-point favorite in one of the uglier episodes of the Al Golden era. Mark Richt’s teams have rolled over Mendenhall’s in consecutive seasons by a combined margin of 78-42, overcoming a 21-14 deficit in last year’s game to remain undefeated. He ended a run of three straight UM losses at UVa in his first season, rolling 34-14. Malik Rosier led last year’s comeback in South Florida with some clutch throws, but he’s behind redshirt freshman N’Kosi Perry now. The entire team was terrible in the first half against the Seminoles but rallied from 20 points down behind Perry’s four touchdown passes. He’ll be making his first road start against a Virginia team that is perfect at home this season and has won four of five.

    QB Bryce Perkins and versatile WR Olamide Zaccheaus have burned their share of defenses and will be looking to burn a Miami defense that will be looking to create miscues in order to win their first league road game since defeating North Carolina last season. The ‘Canes lead the nation in tackles for loss and will have nose tackle Gerald Willis in the mix despite a finger injury as they look to add to their tally of 20 sacks. If Perkins can keep them off balance with his speed and limit mistakes, he can keep Virginia from being its own worst enemy, which should be enough to flirt with an upset. Miami will need its run game to keep pressure off Perry, who should have top receiver Jeff Thomas in the mix despite a knee injury that has affected him all week. Miami is 17-4 SU the week after facing the Seminoles, but has only covered one of those games.

    Others to watch:
    Baylor at Texas, Duke at Georgia Tech, Minnesota at Ohio State, Texas A&M at South Carolina, Pittsburgh at Notre Dame, Boise State at Nevada, Virginia Tech at North Carolina, Temple at Navy, Louisville at Boston College, Florida at Vanderbilt, Nebraska at Northwestern, Tennessee at Auburn, Iowa at Indiana.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-12-2018 at 08:06 PM.

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