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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/7

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 7

    Good Luck on day #280 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 5 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Ravens, -3 (1,014)

    2) Rams -7 (873)

    3) Titans -3.5 (811)

    4) Cardinals +4 (759)

    5) Redskins +6.5 (757)

    6) Broncos +1 (712)

    Season record: 12-10-2

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Texas 48, Oklahoma 45— Sooners were -3 in turnovers, trailed 45-24 with 9:00 left in game, but rallied to tie game before Texas won it with 40-yard FG with 0:09 left. Total yardage was 532-501 Oklahoma, but the there turnovers sunk them.

    My question is this: Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray can also play next year for the Sooners, but he’s signed to play minor league ball for the Oakland A’s. As good a football player as Murray is, why would he give up his last year of college and a potential pro career? To me, Murray is a lot like Michael Vick as a QB— I’m an A’s fan, I hope he gives up football, but…….

    12) Miami 28, Florida State 27— Seminoles led 27-7 with 5:00 left in third quarter, but Miami scored two TD’s within 0:42 late in third quarter and pulled out a dramatic win, dropping FSU to 3-3 this season, 1-3 in ACC games.

    Neither team completed more than half their passes- they combined to convert only 10-34 on third down. Total yardage was 306-200, Miami; FSU is 8-9 in its last 17 games overall.

    11) Iowa State 48, Oklahoma State 42— Loudest people in the Golden Nugget sportsbook this afternoon were three Cyclone fans who were very….enthusiastic. Freshman QB Brock Purdy was 18-23 passing for 315 yards and four TD’s. Iowa State had 30 points at halftime.

    10) Florida 27, LSU 19— Wonder how many SEC head coaches went to HS in New Hampshire and went to college at D-III Ursinus. Dan Mullen is a good coach; his teams play sound football and Florida is lucky to have him. Mullen was Alex Smith’s QB coach at Utah, under Urban Meyer.

    9) Pitt 44, Syracuse 37 OT— Kicker for Syracuse made a 54-yard FG on a wet field at Heinz Field (NFL kickers have trouble kicking there) to give the Orange a 37-34 lead, but Pitt tied it on a 45-yard FG with 0:09 left, then won in OT. There was a 75-minute rain delay in this game.

    Pitt’s kicker made 54 and 55-yard FG’s, too. Second straight brutal loss for Syracuse, which got beat by Clemson’s 3rd-string QB 27-23 last week.

    8) Colorado 28, Arizona State 21— Buffaloes are 5-0 for first time since 1998. Colorado was 8-16 on third down, 2-2 on fourth down.

    Early in 4th quarter, with score 28-21, ASU had 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line, but instead of kicking the easy FG and getting closer, Sun Devils went for it, failed and never came close to scoring again. Herm Edwards isn’t a great game manager.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — San Diego State (+14) 19, Boise State 13
    — Northwestern (+10) 29, Michigan State 19
    — New Mexico (+9) 50, UNLV 14
    — Iowa State (+9) 48, Oklahoma State 42
    — UAB (+8.5) 28, Louisiana Tech 7

    6) NC State 28, Boston College 23— Bad beat if you had the Wolfpack, -5.5. NC State led 28-3 with 2:00 left in third quarter- BC covered spread on a blocked punt with 3:33 left in the game.

    Yardage was 533-318, NC State; Wolfpack was 10-15 on third down, BC was 1-10.

    5) Baylor 37, Kansas State 34— Bears kicked FG with 0:08 left for the win; game was 20-14 after third quarter, but teams combined for 37 points in 4th quarter to put game over total.

    Charlie Brewer is Baylor’s QB; both his dad and grandfather played QB for Texas. Think he’ll be fired up when Baylor plays the Longhorns?

    4) Western Michigan 27, Eastern Michigan 24— Eagles lose by three points for third week in a row; they’re 14-2-1 vs spread in last 17 games as road underdogs. 16 of EMU’s last 31 games were decided by 5 or fewer points; Eagles are 7-9 SU in those games.

    3) San Diego State 19, Boise State 13— Boise is now 3-15 vs spread in last 18 games as a home favorites. Aztecs won despite gaining only 267 yards with only nine first downs.

    2) South Carolina 37, Missouri 35— Tigers had gone ahead on a 57-yard FG with 1:18 left, but Gamecocks got walk-off winner, a 33-yard FG with 0:02 left. Mizzou ran ball for 286 yards on a rainy day in South Carolina; there was a 76-minute lightning delay with only 2:42 left in the game- the 57-yard FG was kicked after the delay.

    Carolina backup QB, senior Michael Scarnecchia threw for 249 yards, three TD’s in his first college start. Gamecocks were down 23-14 at halftime.

    1) Texas A&M 20, Kentucky 14 OT— Wildcats missed a 43-yard FG short in OT— ball hit the crossbar, then Aggies scored TD to hand Kentucky its first loss of season- Kentucky had tied game with a defensive TD with 4:21 left.

    A&M outgained Kentucky 390-178, held Wildcats to only 8 first downs.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, October 7


    NY Rangers @ Carolina

    Game 1-2
    October 7, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    8.729
    Carolina
    12.225
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 3 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -200
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (-200); Under

    Toronto @ Chicago


    Game 3-4
    October 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    11.317
    Chicago
    7.925
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    N/A

    Detroit @ Los Angeles

    Game 5-6
    October 7, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    7.876
    Los Angeles
    11.689
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 4
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    -190
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (-190); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, October 7


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    NY RANGERS (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at CAROLINA (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 5:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY RANGERS are 3-16 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    NY RANGERS are 3-13 ATS (+16.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 37-47 ATS (+84.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 4-11 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 15-21 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 6-2 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 6-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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    TORONTO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at CHICAGO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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    DETROIT (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/7/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 3-17 ATS (+28.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 444-342 ATS (-137.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 16-5 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Sunday, October 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    New York Rangers
    NY Rangers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
    NY Rangers is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
    NY Rangers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Carolina
    NY Rangers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Carolina
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
    Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Carolina is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
    Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
    Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
    Carolina is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Toronto is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
    Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Chicago is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 23 games at home
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Chicago is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Toronto
    Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto


    Detroit Red Wings
    Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Detroit is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
    Detroit is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Detroit is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Kings
    Los Angeles is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
    Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Los Angeles is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-07-2018 at 10:50 AM.

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