By Doug Upstone of www.VegasProInsidersDaily.com

Let's go over the football line moves for Thursday and Friday, plus look into those for an NFL Sunday. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (363-281-7 long term, 172-130-5 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here Friday.

NFL (301) INDIANAPOLIS at (302) NEW ENGLAND *8:20 ET* FOX

Count me among those surprised to see the total slide from 53 to 50. The New England defense still has problems and nobody should be surprised if Indianapolis scores 20 points. The Colts defense is allowing 25 PPG, thus, it's not a stretch to think on a short week with Indy on the road, the Patriots will not score at least 31 points. The total is headed in the wrong direction.

Betting Trend -*64% backing Over

Doug's VPID Take*- Play Over

CFB (303) TULSA at (304) HOUSTON *8:00 ET* ESPN* (side and total)

Tulsa has an excellent recent history of covering spreads in a variety of situations, thus, off the top, it is a bit perplexing to the Golden Hurricane climb from +15.5 to +18. One major difference, those previous Tulsa teams had not committed 13 turnovers in four games. If Tulsa maintains there average, that could mean 10 to 14 points for Houston, meaning they only have to be one score better the rest of the game. The total rising from 67.5 to 70 also caught my attention and if the Cougars play to their defensive skill level, Tulsa will not score enough to make this an Over play.

Betting Trend -*90% backing Houston, 72% on Over

Doug's VPID Take*- Leans Houston and Under

CFB Friday - (307) MIDDLE TENNESSEE at (308) MARSHALL *7:30 ET*CBBSN

Marshall has the stronger team in their matchup with Middle Tennessee, but because they have turned the rock over 11 times in the last three outings, they have failed to beat the spread in that stretch. This is the main ingredient why football bettors have lowered the Thundering Herd from -7 to -4.5. In a C-USA clash with similar offenses, because Marshall is at home and has a decisive edge on defense, they drew my support.

Betting Trend -*77% backing Marshall

Doug's VPID Take*- Lean Marshall

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