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Thread: Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/2

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 2

    Good Luck on day #275 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Major league teams with best attendance this season:

    1) LA Dodgers 47,033 per game

    2) Bronx 42,998

    3) St Louis 42,019

    4) San Francisco 38,965

    5) Chicago Cubs 38,798

    6) LA Angels 37,286

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) You don’t think pro football players are tough? Vikings’ long snapper Kevin McDermott lost the tip off of his left pinky Thursday, when it got caught in a player’s helmet. He didn’t just lose his fingernail, he lost the tip of his finger, and later on, he came back into the game, missing only one punt snap while they bandaged up the finger.

    12) Bad beat from late Saturday night: USC was -3.5 over Arizona, and led 24-14 in the last 2:00. Wildcats had 4th-and-goal inside the 10-yard line, but instead of kicking the easy FG to make the game a one-score game, Kevin Sumlin goes for it and Arizona scores a TD with 1:40 left.

    Now all they all have to do to cover the spread is make the extra poi— you got it, they missed, and USC won 24-20, covering by half a point.

    11) UMass football coach Mark Whipple was suspended without pay for one week by the school, after he drew an analogy to rape while discussing a sequence in his team’s game.

    On UMass’ radio broadcast after the Minutemen’s 58-42 loss at Ohio U, Whipple referred to a play on which he believed the Bobcats should have been called for pass interference, saying, “We had a chance there … and they rape us, and (the referee) picks up the flag.”

    No bueno. Choose your words better, coach.

    10) Billy McKinney is a 24-year old OF for the Blue Jays who was a first round pick of the Oakland A’s five years ago. Weird thing is, he’s already been traded three times:

    — July 5, 2014, A’s traded him to the Cubs as part of the Jeff Samardzija/Addison Russell swap.
    — July 25, 2016, Cubs traded him to New York as part of the Aroldis Chapman trade.
    — July 26, 2018, New York traded him to Toronto as part of the JA Happ swap.

    9) After a 56-27 loss to Notre Dame last week, Wake Forest fired defensive coordinator Jay Sawvel; their defense scored two TD’s Saturday in a 56-24 win over Rice. Obviously Rice isn’t close to being as good as Notre Dame, but did the coaching change make a difference?

    8) With Sam Bradford the #3 QB in Arizona now, he loses an active roster bonus of $312,500 per game, not that he is hurting for money. Bradford banked $65M in the five years he played for the Rams, so he should be OK financially.

    7) The grandfather of Rams’ WR Cooper Kupp was an offensive lineman in the NFL for 11 years; he played for the Saints in their early days, where he blocked for Archie Manning.

    6) NHL’s Carolina Hurricanes will wear Hartford Whaler throwback uniforms for their December 23 home game; very cool green uniforms with the great Whaler logo. Hurricanes were the Hartford Whalers from 1972-97, before moving from Hartford to Raleigh.

    5) Tony Parker looks weird in a Charlotte Hornets’ uniform; he played 17 years for the Spurs. Some things you just get used to.

    4) There is a US Senator from Rhode Island named Sheldon Whitehouse; if you’re a politician and your last name is Whitehouse, don’t you have to run for President?

    3) Brewers 3, Cubs 1……….Dodgers 5, Rockies 2

    Colorado visits Wrigley Field tonight in the NL Wild Card game.

    2) Last week, a psychology professor at the University of Toronto started showing a presentation to his class of 500 students, but instead of his presentation showing on the screen, a hard core porn movie appeared. Whoops.

    1) Last three games the Pittsburgh Steelers played at home, they allowed 37.7 ppg. Atlanta is coming to Steel City this coming Sunday; Falcons’ defense is a mess, too.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-02-2018 at 05:52 PM.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, October 2



    Colorado @ Chicago Cubs

    Game 937-938
    October 2, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Freeland) 15.598
    Chicago Cubs
    (Lester) 18.068
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -135
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (-135); Over





    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, October 2


    National League
    Rockies (91-72) @ Cubs (95-68)

    Freeland is 6-0, 2.66 in his last seven starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11. He lost 3-2 to the Cubs April 30 in Wrigley, giving up three runs in 7 IP. Team in his starts: 23-10, 10-8 road
    5-inning record: 17-10-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-33

    Lester is 3-0, 1.50 in his last three starts; over is 12-5 in his last 17. He allowed two runs in 5.2 IP vs Colorado April 30, a game Cubs later won 3-2. Team in his starts: 24-8, 12-5 home
    5-inning record: 18-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-32

    Colorado won nine of its last 11 games, including three of last four on road. Rockies played at home Sunday, in LA yesterday. Cubs won four of their last six games, all at home. These teams split six games this year, with road team going 2-1 in other team’s ballpark.

    Cubs are in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the World Series two years ago. Colorado lost Wild Card game LY, their first playoffs appearance since 2009.

    ______________________________

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/18
    Cubs 31-32-14……33-31-11…….64-63
    Colo 35-29-15……37-26-11……71-55

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/18)
    Cubs 15-76……..23-72……..38
    Colo 23-78…….29-74.…….52




    MLB
    Weather Report

    Tuesday, October 2







    MLB

    Tuesday, October 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
    Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games on the road
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games
    Chi Cubs is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 14 games at home
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games when playing Colorado
    Chi Cubs is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
    Chi Cubs is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-02-2018 at 05:53 PM.

  4. #4
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, October 2


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (91 - 72) at CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 68) - 8:05 PM
    KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 259-457 (-81.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 42-23 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    LESTER is 24-8 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    LESTER is 44-16 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    COLORADO is 91-72 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 26-17 (+9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    COLORADO is 44-38 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    COLORADO is 66-45 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    COLORADO is 61-47 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 53-39 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    COLORADO is 39-24 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    FREELAND is 23-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    FREELAND is 19-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    FREELAND is 15-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
    FREELAND is 14-7 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1790-1830 (-265.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 39-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 957-854 (-156.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 18-27 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 4-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 41-40 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 211-243 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 3-3 (+1.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)
    KYLE FREELAND vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    FREELAND is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.154.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
    JON LESTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
    LESTER is 2-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 1.062.
    His team's record is 3-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-0. (+6.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-02-2018 at 05:54 PM.

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