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Thread: Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/27

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    Default Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 27

    Good Luck on day #270 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Blue Ribbon Yearbook’s top six basketball teams for this season:

    6) Nevada Wolf Pack

    5) Tennessee Volunteers

    4) Duke Blue Devils

    3) Gonzaga Bulldogs

    2) Kansas Jayhawks

    1) Kentucky Wildcats


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…..

    13) Baseball season ends Sunday; every major league game will start at 3pm ET, to make it more interesting for teams competing in the pennant races. Interesting idea they’ve been doing for a while now.

    12) Now this is a rivalry; Giants’ P Madison Bumgarner asked for his last start of the year to be pushed back to Friday, so he can pitch against the Dodgers and hopefully knock them out of the playoff race.

    11) Congrats to Felix Hernandez; the Mariners’ pitcher became an American citizen Tuesday, so good for him!!! His teammate Hector Cruz will join him as an American citizen next week.

    10) Mariners’ OF/2B Dee Gordon has batted 585 times this season; he’s walked nine times, and has an on-base %age of only .288.

    9) Vince Velasquez has started 30 games for the Phillies this year, but pitched total of only 146.1 IP, the least IP per start ever by someone who started 20+ games.

    8) As recently as five years ago, 36 major league pitchers threw 200+ innings; so far this season, only eight pitchers have thrown 200+, with two or three more expected to get there by the end of the week, when the regular season ends. More and more, pitchers are getting coddled.

    7) Bears’ 16-14 win in Arizona Sunday was a big win for them; from 2014-17, Chicago was 8-21 in games decided by 7 or fewer points. Finding a way to win is important.

    6) Speaking of which, Arizona Cardinals were 21-12-1 under former coach Bruce Arians in games decided by 7 or fewer points. Would’ve been interesting to see Arians work with rookie QB Josh Rosen, who makes his first start Sunday against the Seahawks.

    5) All-time record for most home runs hit on the road by one team in a season is 138, set by the 2001 San Francisco Giants. A’s have 132 homers on road this year, with three games left.

    4) Phillies lost their first three games in Denver this week by a combined score of 34-4; not a gutty effort by this team, who seem to have packed it in under rookie manager Gabe Kapler.

    Colorado won, Dodgers lost Wednesday, so Rockies are in first place in NL West, and Dodgers lead St Louis by a game for the second Wild Card spot. Brewers/Cubs clinched playoff spots last nite.

    3) If I ain’t startin’, then I’m departin’…….Clemson QB Kelly Bryant is leaving the school, after the Tigers named freshman Trevor Lawrence the starter for the rest of this season.

    New rule they put in this year; you can red-shirt as long as you play in only four of fewer games, which is where Bryant is now— he can play one year somewhere else down the road.

    2) Tennessee Titans WR Richard Matthews was a no-show at practice on Wednesday, then told a local media outlet that he plans to “move on” from the team.

    Matthews texted this to a media person Wednesday night: ”Everything is good! Just wasn’t happy with what was going on barely getting any playing time. It was time to move on.”

    So far this season, Matthews has caught three passes for 11 yards; he caught 53 passes for 795 yards in 2017, when Tennessee had a different coaching staff.

    1) Happy 73rd birthday to Dave Duncan, former catcher/pitching coach who won two World Series rings with the A’s— he was one of the best pitching coaches ever.

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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, September 27


    National League
    Phillies (78-80) @ Rockies (88-70)

    Arrieta is 0-1, 8.25 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 14-16, 5-8 road
    5-inning record: 15-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-30

    Senzatela is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts (under 10-2). Team in his starts: 6-6, 3-2 home
    5-inning record: 4-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-12

    Phillies are 7-23 in their last 30 road games; over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 road games. Colorado won its last six games; under is 9-5-1 in their last 15 games.

    Braves (89-69) @ Mets (74-84)
    Teheran is 0-1, 4.41 in his last three starts; under is 10-5 in his last 15. Team in his starts: 18-12, 7-5 away
    5-inning record: 11-12-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 15-30 (8 of last 11)

    Vargas is 4-1, 3.41 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 7-12, 3-4 home
    5-inning record: 8-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-19

    Atlanta won six of its last seven games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 road games. Mets won four of their last six games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

    Pirates (80-77) @ Cubs (92-66)
    Williams is 4-0, 1.21 in his last five starts; under is 9-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 16-14, 7-6 away
    5-inning record: 12-11-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30

    Lester is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 12-4 in his last 16. Team in his starts: 23-8, 11-5 home
    5-inning record: 17-18-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-31

    Pittsburgh won eight of their last 11 games; under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 road games. Cubs lost four of their last seven games; five of their last eight games went over.

    American League
    New York (96-61) @ Tampa Bay (88-69)

    Sabathia is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 15-13, 5-7 away
    5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28

    Glasnow is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts (under 7-2-1). Team in his starts: 4-6, 3-1 home
    5-inning record: 3-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-10

    New York won six of its last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Tampa Bay lost three of its last five games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

    Astros (100-58) @ Orioles (46-112)
    Cole is 4-0, 3.94 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 23-8, 11-5 away
    5-inning record: 18-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-31

    Ramirez is 0-3, 10.22 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 3-8, 2-4 home
    5-inning record: 2-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-11

    Houston won eight of its last 11 games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Orioles played a DH yesterday; they’re 5-8 in their last 13 games; three of their last four games went over.

    Tigers (64-94) @ Twins (73-84)
    Liriano is 1-2, 4.74 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-16, 6-10 away
    5-inning record: 9-12-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-26

    Berrios is 0-3, 5.40 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 15-16, 11-6 home
    5-inning record: 10-15-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-31

    Tigers lost six of their last nine games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games. Minnesota won six of its last nine games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.

    Indians (89-69) @ Royals (56-102)
    Tomlin is 0-0, 6.64 in his last four starts (over 5-2-1). Team in his starts: 1-7, 0-3 away
    5-inning record: 2-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-8

    Sparkman is 0-1, 5.63 in his two starts (under 2-0). Team in his starts: 1-1, 1-0 home
    5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

    Indians won four of their last five games; they’re 11-6 in last 17 road series openers- over is 12-9 in their last 21 road games. Kansas City won four of its last five games; they’re 6-0 in last six home series openers. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

    Rangers (66-92) @ Mariners (85-72)
    Jurado is 0-3, 8.85 in his last four starts (over 5-2). Team in his starts: 3-4, 1-3 away
    5-inning record: 2-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7

    Gonzales is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 16-12, 8-5 home
    5-inning record: 15-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-28

    Texas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.

    ______________________________

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/18
    Ariz 38-28-12……35-25-13……..73-53
    Atl 32-30-13…..35-31-10………67-61
    Cubs 31-32-14……33-31-11…….64-63
    Reds 25-45-6……29-34-11….…54-79
    Colo 35-29-15……37-26-11……71-55
    LA 40-28-8…….34-29-16……74-57
    Mia 25-38-10…..32-31-15…….57-69
    Milw 31-34-10…..39-30-8…….70-64
    Mets 36-33-10……28-28-16…..64-61
    Philly 27-30-16…..37-28-11……64-58
    Pitt 34-31-9……34-28-14……..68-59
    StL 38-26-13……32-35-8………70-61
    SD 23-42-12……27-38-9…….50-80
    SF 30-33-15…..31-27-16……61-60
    Wash 34-31-13..…32-31-11……66-62

    Orioles 19-45-12……24-41-12……43-86
    Boston 37-28-14……47-20-7……..84-48
    W Sox 25-43-8…..…24-40-11……49-83
    Clev 30-30-14……46-21-10……..76-51
    Det 27-38-10…..…32-34-15.……59-72
    Astros 41-20-15……41-21-15…….82-41
    KC 23-41-10…….31-36-12…..53-77
    Angels 32-30-15……31-35-9……63-65
    Twins 25-42-13……34-32-11…..59-74
    NYY 34-24-15……44-25-8………78-48
    A’s 27-34-12……36-28-14…..63-62
    Sea 36-33-11……32-26-17…….68-57
    TB 35-28-13……38-26-10……72-53
    Texas 25-40-9…..28-41-8…….53-81
    Toronto 21-44-12…24-34-16……45-78

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/18)
    Ariz 32-77…….28-74…..…60
    Atl 23-74……31-77………54
    Cubs 15-76……..23-72……..38
    Reds 20-78……..18-76……..38
    Colo 23-78…….29-74.…….52
    LA 26-75……..29-78..…..55
    Miami 14-73……..21-77…….35
    Milw 27-74…..…30-79…….57
    Mets 28-76……..22-75……50
    Philly 18-73……..23-77…..41
    Pitt 16-74……..21-78…….37
    StL 26-76……..23-75…….49
    SD 20-78……..21-74…….41
    SF 16-77………21-76..…..37
    Wash 28-78……..22-74……50

    Orioles 21-76……..23-76……..44
    Boston 19-76……29-74………47
    White Sox 20-74……21-75…….41
    Clev 20-73…….31-76…….51
    Detroit 26-75……..21-78….…47
    Astros 21-75…..…18-76………39
    KC 16-74..…….26-77…….42
    Angels 20-75…..….19-75…….39
    Twins 17-77………15-74…….32
    NYY 18-74……..31-76………49
    A’s 18-77…..…..23-76…….41
    Seattle 29-78………23-75…….52
    TB 23-75..……24-73…….47
    Texas 11-73……20-76…….…31
    Toronto 18-77………16-74….….34

    Interleague play- 2018
    NL @ AL– 78-72 NL, favorites -$593
    AL @ NL– 73-64 NL, favorites -$25
    Total: 151-136 NL, favorites -$618
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-27-2018 at 11:09 AM.

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    MLB

    Thursday, September 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    New York Yankees
    NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
    NY Yankees is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
    NY Yankees is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
    NY Yankees is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
    NY Yankees is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    NY Yankees is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Tampa Bay is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
    Tampa Bay is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
    Tampa Bay is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
    Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
    Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
    Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


    Philadelphia Phillies
    Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
    Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
    Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


    Houston Astros
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Houston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
    Houston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
    Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
    Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
    Baltimore is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
    Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Houston
    Baltimore is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Houston
    Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston


    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
    Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
    Atlanta is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    New York Mets
    NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    NY Mets is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
    NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    NY Mets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
    NY Mets is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    NY Mets is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta


    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Chi Cubs is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Chi Cubs is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games at home
    Chi Cubs is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


    Detroit Tigers
    Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
    Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Detroit's last 20 games when playing Minnesota
    Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Twins
    Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 20 games when playing Detroit
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


    Cleveland Indians
    Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas City
    Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Kansas City Royals
    Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
    Kansas City is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games at home
    Kansas City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
    Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
    Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    Texas Rangers
    Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games on the road
    Texas is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Seattle
    Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
    Texas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
    Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
    Seattle is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Texas
    Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Texas
    Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Texas
    Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Texas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-27-2018 at 11:10 AM.

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    MLB
    Weather report

    Thursday, September 27





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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 27


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (78 - 80) at COLORADO (88 - 70) - 3:10 PM
    JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 78-80 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-49 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 57-64 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    COLORADO is 88-70 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 55-43 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    COLORADO is 53-34 (+22.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 855-901 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    PHILADELPHIA is 447-451 (+46.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.0 Units)

    JAKE ARRIETA vs. COLORADO since 1997
    ARRIETA is 2-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.571.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

    ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (89 - 69) at NY METS (74 - 84) - 7:10 PM
    JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 22-19 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    VARGAS is 95-84 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    ATLANTA is 89-68 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ATLANTA is 47-31 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 22-15 (+7.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    ATLANTA is 46-31 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    ATLANTA is 19-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 48-23 (+27.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ATLANTA is 58-47 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ATLANTA is 23-18 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 39-29 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    ATLANTA is 38-22 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    TEHERAN is 14-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
    TEHERAN is 10-4 (+9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    NY METS are 73-84 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 34-43 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    NY METS are 136-149 (-56.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
    NY METS are 33-39 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 22-30 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    NY METS are 110-129 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 60-80 (-27.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 14-22 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 13-5 (+9.1 Units) against NY METS this season
    10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

    JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
    TEHERAN is 9-6 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 1.041.
    His team's record is 13-10 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-9. (+4.3 units)

    JASON VARGAS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    VARGAS is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.659.
    His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (80 - 77) at CHICAGO CUBS (92 - 66) - 8:05 PM
    TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
    LESTER is 23-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    LESTER is 43-16 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    PITTSBURGH is 80-77 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 41-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1787-1828 (-265.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 36-35 (-16.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 954-852 (-156.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 444-393 (-82.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1320-1362 (-207.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 50-43 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 38-38 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 208-241 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+3.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

    TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    WILLIAMS is 1-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.275.
    His team's record is 1-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

    JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    LESTER is 8-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.338.
    His team's record is 9-8 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-8. (+0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY YANKEES (97 - 61) at TAMPA BAY (88 - 70) - 1:10 PM
    C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JAIME SCHULTZ (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 9-9 (+6.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

    C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    SABATHIA is 16-16 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.275.
    His team's record is 25-22 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 23-22. (-1.6 units)

    JAIME SCHULTZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (100 - 58) at BALTIMORE (46 - 112) - 7:05 PM
    GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DAVID HESS (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    GERRIT COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    DAVID HESS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (64 - 94) at MINNESOTA (73 - 84) - 8:10 PM
    FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. GABRIEL MOYA (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 11-7 (+1.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.2 Units)

    FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    LIRIANO is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.40 and a WHIP of 1.608.
    His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

    GABRIEL MOYA vs. DETROIT since 1997
    MOYA is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (89 - 69) at KANSAS CITY (56 - 102) - 8:15 PM
    JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. GLENN SPARKMAN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 89-69 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 25-27 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 39-36 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 54-46 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 68-48 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    CLEVELAND is 48-40 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    TOMLIN is 1-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    TOMLIN is 7-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    KANSAS CITY is 115-109 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 56-102 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 307-434 (-114.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
    KANSAS CITY is 37-72 (-22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 15-53 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 5-10 (+0.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

    JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    TOMLIN is 9-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.067.
    His team's record is 13-8 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-11. (-3.7 units)

    GLENN SPARKMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS (66 - 92) at SEATTLE (86 - 72) - 10:10 PM
    ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 86-72 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 38-34 (+5.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    SEATTLE is 62-44 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SEATTLE is 57-48 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SEATTLE is 43-27 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    TEXAS is 239-246 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 102-94 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 177-171 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 22-14 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 39-41 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 940-850 (-117.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 174-213 (-55.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 11-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS is 8-7 (+3.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

    ARIEL JURADO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    MARCO GONZALES vs. TEXAS since 1997
    GONZALES is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.367.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-27-2018 at 11:11 AM.

  7. #7
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    Nov 2004
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    Default

    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 27



    Philadelphia @ Colorado

    Game 951-952
    September 27, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    (Arrieta) 12.345
    Colorado
    (Senzatela) 19.137
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 7
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -160
    11
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-160); Over

    Atlanta @ NY Mets


    Game 953-954
    September 27, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    (Teheran) 16.572
    NY Mets
    (Vargas) 15.489
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    -130
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-130); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs


    Game 955-956
    September 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    (Williams) 14.073
    Chicago Cubs
    (Lester) 16.610
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 2 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -165
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (-165); N/A

    NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay


    Game 957-958
    September 27, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Yankees
    (Sabathia) 16.153
    Tampa Bay
    (Schultz) 14.974
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Yankees
    by 1
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Yankees
    N/A

    Houston @ Baltimore

    Game 959-960
    September 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Cole) 15.667
    Baltimore
    (Hess) 14.601
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    N/A

    Detroit @ Minnesota

    Game 961-962
    September 27, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Liriano) 14.104
    Minnesota
    (Moya) 17.587
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    N/A

    Cleveland @ Kansas City

    Game 963-964
    September 27, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Tomlin) 14.365
    Kansas City
    (Sparkman) 16.576
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -160
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (+140); Under

    Texas @ Seattle


    Game 965-966
    September 27, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas
    (Jurado) 15.338
    Seattle
    (Gonzales) 13.609
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    -175
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    (+155); Over

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    74,675
    Credits
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    Default

    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 27



    NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay

    Game 957-958
    September 27, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Yankees
    (Sabathia) 16.153
    Tampa Bay
    (Schultz) 14.974
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Yankees
    by 1
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    -145
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Yankees
    (-145); Over

    Houston @ Baltimore


    Game 959-960
    September 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Cole) 15.667
    Baltimore
    (Hess) 14.601
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -230
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-230); Under

    Detroit @ Minnesota


    Game 961-962
    September 27, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Liriano) 14.104
    Minnesota
    (Moya) 17.587
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -130
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-130); Over

  9. #9
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    Default

    Diamond Trends - Thursday
    Vince Akins

    SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- Jon Lester is 25-5 SU (team wins) in his career as a 140-plus favorite after August, including 11-0 SU as a member of the Cubs.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Mets are 0-15 SU in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a favorite in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times.

    Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Yankees are 9-0 SU in franchise history on the road after any game in which Miguel Andujar struck out at least twice.

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- In his career, Marco Gonzales 11-0 SU (team wins) when he went six-plus innings gave up six or fewer hits and fewer than two home runs in his last start and his team won.

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