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Thread: Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/13

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 13

    Good Luck on day #256 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    NFL receivers who were targeted the most in Week 1:

    19— Julio Jones, Atl

    17— Michael Thomas, NO

    16— Antonio Brown, Pitt

    15— Landry (Mia), Tate (Det), Beckham (NYG)

    13— Gordon (LAC), Davis (Tenn)

    12— Thielen (Minn), Cook (Oak)

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) How do you handicap Week 2 NFL games; how much weight do you give to Week 1 games? In weeks 2-3 you have to make a leap of faith to believe what you just saw. Once you’ve seen three games, then you can start making some judgements.

    — Are the Jets as the good as they looked? Tampa Bay? Baltimore?
    — Is Detroit as awful as it looked? New Orleans? Buffalo?

    Thats what makes handicapping so interesting, taking the next step when you’re not sure if you’ll be stepping on solid ground or quicksand.

    12) Brewers 5, Cubs 1— Curtis Granderson had a homer, triple for Milwaukee, which is only a game behind Chicago in the NL Central.

    11) Mets 13, Marlins 0— Start of scheduled doubleheader was delayed by rain for over five hours; they only played one game, will play twinbill today instead.

    10) Lot of people complain about the DH, but it isn’t going anywhere; DH’s make lot more money than the average guy (think Pujols, Victor Martinez, JD Martinez), so the players’ union ain’t never going to agree to get rid of it. Forget about it.

    9) Dodgers are 79-67 this season, but 1-6 against the Cincinnati Reds, 2-4 against the Marlins, which isn’t good when you’re trying to make the playoffs. Have to beat up non-contenders.

    8) Edwin Encarnación is the only player with 30+ HRs in each of the last seven seasons.

    7) It is important to take statistics in context:
    — Jacob deGrom is 8-9, despite having a 1.71 ERA
    — Lucas Giolito is 10-10, with a 5.76 ERA.

    Go figure.

    6) NFL teams averaged 5.39 yards per play in Week 1; the league averaged 5.29 ypp LY.

    5) NBA season isn’t all that far away; Russell Westbrook had knee surgery recently, will be evaluated again in about a month.

    4) From 1920-2017, Cleveland Indians had only two games where they had only one hit with that hit being a home run- Jose Ramirez has done it twice himself this season.

    3) Colorado Rockies are 22-4 in last 26 games started by Freeland or Marquez.

    2) I was surfing thru NBA.com yesterday; they have a page dedicated to “hustle leaders”, tracking loose balls recovered, deflections, and “screen assists”, which I assume are hoops scored because the scorer came off that person’s screen.

    As a former college basketball manager, stuff like this makes me smile, because the little things these statistics track are the stuff that make the big things happen.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    NL: Atlanta-Chicago-Colorado. Wild Card: Cardinals @ Brewers
    AL: Boston-Cleveland-Houston. Wild Card: A’s @ Bronx
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:16 PM.

  3. #3
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, September 13



    Arizona @ Colorado

    Game 951-952
    September 13, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    (Buchholz) 14.839
    Colorado
    (Freeland) 16.639
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -120
    10
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-120); Under

    Miami @ NY Mets


    Game 953-954
    September 13, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    (Alcntara) 12.513
    NY Mets
    (Matz) 17.331
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Mets
    by 5
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Mets
    -160
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Mets
    (-160); Over

    LA Dodgers @ St. Louis


    Game 955-956
    September 13, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Kershaw) 17.784
    St. Louis
    (Gomber) 16.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -190
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-190); Under

    Oakland @ Baltimore


    Game 957-958
    September 13, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    (Andrson) 16.718
    Baltimore
    (Bundy) 11.913
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 5
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    -180
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (-180); Over

    Toronto @ Boston


    Game 959-960
    September 13, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    (Gaviglio) 15.182
    Boston
    (Rodriguez) 17.964
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -260
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-260); Under

    Minnesota @ Kansas City


    Game 961-962
    September 13, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Gonsalves) 14.243
    Kansas City
    (Fillmyer) 13.048
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -115
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-115); Over

    Seattle @ LA Angels


    Game 963-964
    September 13, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    (Leake) 15.621
    LA Angels
    (Despaigne) 14.789
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -130
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+110); Over

    Chicago Cubs @ Washington


    Game 965-966
    September 13, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Mntgmry) 15.011
    Washington
    (Ross) 16.686
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -130
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+110); Under

    Miami @ NY Mets


    Game 967-968
    September 13, 2018 @ 6:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    (Brigham) 14.541
    NY Mets
    (Vargas) 13.234
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Mets
    -160
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+140); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:17 PM.

  4. #4
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 13


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    ARIZONA (77 - 69) at COLORADO (80 - 65) - 3:10 PM
    CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 24-41 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ARIZONA is 15-24 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 80-65 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 78-65 (+15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 48-41 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    COLORADO is 47-32 (+18.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    COLORADO is 46-34 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    COLORADO is 32-19 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    FREELAND is 20-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    FREELAND is 11-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
    FREELAND is 14-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
    ARIZONA is 171-141 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 14-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 8-7 (+0.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
    8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

    CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
    BUCHHOLZ is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

    KYLE FREELAND vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    FREELAND is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.568.
    His team's record is 4-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

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    MIAMI (57 - 87) at NY METS (66 - 78) - 7:10 PM
    JEFF BRIGHAM (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 0-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
    NY METS are 65-78 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 31-42 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    NY METS are 133-148 (-57.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
    NY METS are 30-38 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 42-54 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    NY METS are 103-124 (-29.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 25-29 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 6-8 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

    JEFF BRIGHAM vs. NY METS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JASON VARGAS vs. MIAMI since 1997
    VARGAS is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.182.
    His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA DODGERS (79 - 67) at ST LOUIS (81 - 65) - 7:15 PM
    CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA DODGERS are 79-67 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    LA DODGERS are 18-22 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 56-49 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ST LOUIS is 39-25 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    ST LOUIS is 45-34 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 22-12 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    LA DODGERS are 82-53 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    ST LOUIS is 121-112 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 53-51 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+4.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

    CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    KERSHAW is 6-9 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.166.
    His team's record is 10-11 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-9. (+1.1 units)

    AUSTIN GOMBER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    GOMBER is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (89 - 57) at BALTIMORE (41 - 104) - 7:05 PM
    BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 89-57 (+37.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    OAKLAND is 35-16 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    OAKLAND is 188-100 (+45.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
    OAKLAND is 43-28 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    OAKLAND is 22-10 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    OAKLAND is 24-14 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 53-38 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    OAKLAND is 59-33 (+31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    OAKLAND is 52-36 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    OAKLAND is 48-13 (+31.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    OAKLAND is 23-2 (+20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    BALTIMORE is 41-104 (-53.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 20-45 (-21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    BALTIMORE is 5-22 (-15.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 24-46 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 8-29 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 25-70 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 27-76 (-42.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    BALTIMORE is 14-40 (-24.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    BALTIMORE is 20-60 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BUNDY is 1-17 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    BRETT ANDERSON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    ANDERSON is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.364.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    DYLAN BUNDY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    BUNDY is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (65 - 80) at BOSTON (100 - 46) - 7:10 PM
    SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 65-80 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 33-47 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    TORONTO is 5-23 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
    TORONTO is 84-106 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 14-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
    BOSTON is 100-46 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 46-18 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    BOSTON is 51-20 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    BOSTON is 47-19 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    BOSTON is 69-37 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    BOSTON is 79-32 (+32.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    BOSTON is 69-30 (+24.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 154-140 (-48.4 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 14-4 (+7.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
    9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

    SAM GAVIGLIO vs. BOSTON since 1997
    GAVIGLIO is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.286.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
    RODRIGUEZ is 3-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.221.
    His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (67 - 78) at KANSAS CITY (49 - 96) - 8:15 PM
    STEPHEN GONSALVES (L) vs. HEATH FILLMYER (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 24-47 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 64-45 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 13-5 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    MINNESOTA is 375-390 (+44.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 100-92 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 49-96 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 26-54 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 304-434 (-117.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 7-8 (+1.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

    STEPHEN GONSALVES vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    GONSALVES is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 19.31 and a WHIP of 3.433.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    HEATH FILLMYER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    FILLMYER is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 15.20 and a WHIP of 3.189.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (79 - 66) at LA ANGELS (73 - 73) - 10:05 PM
    MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 173-213 (-56.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    LEAKE is 16-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SEATTLE is 79-66 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 45-37 (+6.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    SEATTLE is 38-33 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    SEATTLE is 19-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    SEATTLE is 55-40 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SEATTLE is 55-43 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SEATTLE is 38-26 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    LEAKE is 18-10 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    LEAKE is 10-3 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
    LA ANGELS are 30-37 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    LA ANGELS are 19-23 (-8.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    LA ANGELS are 22-43 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 8-7 (+1.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

    MIKE LEAKE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    LEAKE is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.620.
    His team's record is 3-3 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

    ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO CUBS (84 - 61) at WASHINGTON (74 - 72) - 4:05 PM
    MIKE MONTGOMERY (L) vs. JOE ROSS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1779-1823 (-266.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 458-474 (-94.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 904-908 (-169.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1315-1358 (-205.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    MONTGOMERY is 4-12 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    MONTGOMERY is 4-10 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
    WASHINGTON is 74-72 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 55-63 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 37-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 29-31 (-17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 27-28 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 16-23 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
    WASHINGTON is 38-36 (-13.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    WASHINGTON is 38-41 (-19.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

    MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JOE ROSS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    ROSS is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.145.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (57 - 87) at NY METS (66 - 78) - 3:10 PM
    SANDY ALCANTARA (R) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 6-8 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

    SANDY ALCANTARA vs. NY METS since 1997
    ALCANTARA is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    STEVEN MATZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
    MATZ is 3-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.206.
    His team's record is 3-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:18 PM.

  5. #5
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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, September 13



    National League
    Diamondbacks (77-69) @ Rockies (80-65)

    Buchholz is 2-0, 1.05 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 8-8, 4-6 away
    5-inning record: 11-1-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-16

    Freeland is 5-0, 2.01 in his last seven starts; under is 12-5 in his last 17 starts. Team in his starts: 20-9, 10-2 home
    5-inning record: 14-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-29

    Arizona lost nine of its last 12 games; five of their last seven games went over. Colorado won eight of its last 11 games; under is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.

    Marlins (57-87) @ Mets (66-78)
    Alcantara is 2-0, 0.75 in two starts (over 1-1). Team in his starts: 2-0, 0-0 away
    5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

    Brigham allowed three runs in three IP (82 PT) in his first ’18 start. Under 1-0. Team in his starts: 0-1, 0-0 away
    5-inning record: 10-14-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26

    Matz is 0-1, 2.25 in his last four starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 12-14, 5-8 home
    5-inning record: 10-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26

    Vargas is 3-1, 3.60 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 5-12, 2-4 home
    5-inning record: 6-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-17

    Marlins are 3-17 in their last 20 road games; over is 10-4-1 in their last 15 road games. Mets won seven of their last ten games; over is 5-0-2 in their last seven games.

    Dodgers (79-67) @ Cardinals (81-65)
    Kershaw is 4-0, 2.43 in his last eight starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 12-10, 6-4 away
    5-inning record: 14-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-22

    Gomber is 4-0, 2.98 in his eight starts (under 4-3-1). Team in his starts: 7-1, 2-0 home
    5-inning record: 7-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-8

    Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine games; they’re 16-8 in road series openers- under is 9-5 in their last 14 games. St Louis won three of its last four games; they’re 7-0 in last seven home series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six home games.

    Cubs (84-61) @ Nationals (74-72)
    Montgomery is 1-1, 3.20 in his last four starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 7-8, 4-5 road
    5-inning record: 6-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

    Ross is making his first ’18 start; he is 17-13, 3.95 in 45 big league starts, and was 2-1, 2.39 in six AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0 home
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

    Cubs lost four of their last five games; under is 3-0 in their last three. Washington won its last five games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

    American League
    A’s (89-57) @ Orioles (41-104)

    Anderson is 1-1, 2.15 in his last five starts (under 10-3). Team in his starts: 7-6, 5-4 away
    5-inning record: 4-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-13

    Bundy is 0-4, 10.27 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 8-19, 4-11 home
    5-inning record: 9-14-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27

    A’s won eight of their last nine games; over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Baltimore lost ten of its last 11 games; four of last five Oriole games went over.

    Toronto (65-80) @ Boston (100-46)
    Gaviglio is 1-4, 5.93 in his last five starts; under is 4-1 in his last five road starts. Team in his starts: 9-9, 4-4 away
    5-inning record: 6-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-20

    Rodriguez is 3-1, 2.08 in his last five starts (under 5-0). Team in his starts: 17-4, 9-3 home
    5-inning record: 13-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27

    Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 games, over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Boston won seven of its last nine games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

    Twins (67-78) @ Royals (49-96)
    Gonsalves is 0-2, 13.87 in four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 2-2, 1-0 away
    5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4

    Fillmyer is 1-1, 7.36 in his last four starts (over 6-3-1). Team in his starts: 3-7, 3-3 home
    5-inning record: 3-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-10

    Twins won four of their last six games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five. Minnesota is 8-16 in road series openers. Kansas City is 9-2 in its last 11 home games; they won last five home series openers. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

    Mariners (79-66) @ Angels (73-73)
    Leake is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 18-10, 9-5 away
    5-inning record: 11-9-8 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-28

    Shoemaker is 2-0, 3.45 in his three starts (over 2-1). Team in his starts: 3-0, 0-0 home
    5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3

    Seattle is 5-7 in its last 12 games; six of their last seven games stayed under. Mariners are 13-11 in road series openers. Angels won seven of their last nine games; under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games. Halos are 13-10 in home series openers.

    ______________________________

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/11
    Ariz 37-25-11……35-24-12……..72-49
    Atl 32-29-13…..34-27-10………66-56
    Cubs 30-31-13……33-28-10…….63-59
    Reds 22-44-5……29-33-11….…51-77
    Colo 34-26-14……36-25-11……69-51
    LA 36-27-8…….33-29-15……70-56
    Miami 24-35-9…..31-30-15…….55-65
    Milw 30-34-10…..37-27-8…….67-61
    Mets 33-30-8……28-28-16…..61-56
    Philly 27-30-16…..35-25-10……62-55
    Pitt 31-30-9……34-27-13……..65-57
    StL 36-26-13……31-31-8………67-57
    SD 22-42-12……25-35-9…….47-77
    SF 30-32-15…..27-26-16……57-58
    Wash 30-29-13..…31-31-11……61-60

    Orioles 19-45-12……21-38-11……40-83
    Boston 36-28-14……43-19-7……..79-47
    W Sox 24-41-6…..…24-40-11……48-81
    Clev 30-29-14……44-19-10……..74-48
    Det 25-37-10…..…32-32-14.……57-69
    Astros 40-20-15……37-21-14…….77-41
    KC 22-41-9…….30-34-10…..52-75
    Angels 32-29-15……29-33-8……61-61
    Twins 22-41-11……34-32-10…..56-73
    NYY 34-24-14……42-23-8………76-46
    A’s 27-32-11……34-27-14…..61-59
    Sea 34-30-10……32-25-17…….66-53
    TB 33-28-13……35-26-9……67-53
    Texas 23-38-9…..28-39-8…….51-77
    Toronto 19-39-12…24-34-16……43-73

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/11)
    Ariz 31-72…….28-72…..…59
    Atl 23-73……30-72………53
    Cubs 14-73……..23-68……..37
    Reds 18-73……..17-75……..35
    Colo 23-73…….28-72.…….51
    LA 24-70……..27-76..…..51
    Miami 14-68……..21-75…….35
    Milw 26-73…..…28-74…….54
    Mets 27-71……..22-73……49
    Philly 18-73……..22-71…..40
    Pitt 16-70……..21-76…….37
    StL 25-75……..21-70…….46
    SD 20-77……..19-69…….39
    SF 16-75………21-72..…..37
    Wash 25-72……..22-73…….47

    Orioles 21-76……..20-69……..41
    Boston 19-75……28-70………47
    White Sox 19-70……21-74…….40
    Clev 20-72…….29-72……..49
    Detroit 24-72……..21-75….…45
    Astros 21-74…..…17-72………38
    KC 16-72..…….23-72…….39
    Angels 20-74…..….18-70…….38
    Twins 16-71………15-73…….31
    NYY 18-73……..29-72………47
    A’s 18-72…..…..23-75…….41
    Seattle 28-72………23-74…….51
    TB 22-74..……22-69…….44
    Texas 11-70……20-74…….…31
    Toronto 18-70………16-74….….34

    Interleague play- 2018
    NL @ AL– 74-69 NL, favorites -$513
    AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
    Total: 143-130 NL, favorites -$295
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:18 PM.

  6. #6
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    MLB

    Thursday, September 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 18 games
    Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
    Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
    Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
    Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Arizona is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games
    Colorado is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home
    Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
    Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
    Colorado is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
    Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
    Colorado is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona


    Miami Marlins
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    New York Mets
    NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
    NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
    NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    NY Mets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    NY Mets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


    Chicago Cubs
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
    Chi Cubs is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Nationals
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
    Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
    Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


    Miami Marlins
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
    New York Mets
    NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Mets is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
    NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
    NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    NY Mets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    NY Mets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami


    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
    Oakland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 15 games on the road
    Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
    Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
    Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
    Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Baltimore is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Baltimore is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
    Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
    Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
    Baltimore is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oakland


    Toronto Blue Jays
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Toronto is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
    Toronto is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games on the road
    Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Boston is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto


    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    LA Dodgers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
    LA Dodgers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    LA Dodgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    LA Dodgers is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis Cardinals
    St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
    St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    St. Louis is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
    St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
    St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
    St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
    St. Louis is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
    St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


    Minnesota Twins
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Kansas City Royals
    Kansas City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
    Kansas City is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
    Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
    Seattle is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
    Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Angels
    Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
    Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
    Los Angeles Angels
    LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
    LA Angels is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
    LA Angels is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
    LA Angels is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Seattle
    LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:19 PM.

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    MLB
    Weather Report

    Thursday, September 13





  8. #8
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    MLB

    Thursday, September 13



    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking:
    Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins (2-0, 0.75 ERA, $267)

    What is this? A Miami Marlins starting pitcher in our Streaking section? It's been a while.

    Granted, it's only been two starts in 2018 for right-hander Sandy Alcantara, but those two starts have been great. Heading in to his third start of the season Alcantara owns a win/loss record of 2-0, an ERA of 0.75, and a WHIP of 1.0833. Walks have been a minor issue with 7 BBs in 12 innings of work, so he'll have to get that situation under control.

    Alcantara gets the start opposite Steven Matz in Game 1 of today's doubleheader in Queens between the Marlins and Mets.

    Slumping:
    Stephen Gonsalves, Minnesota Twins (0-2, 11.68 ERA, $-48)

    Stephen Gonsalves is the top pitching prospect in the Minnesota Twins' organization, but Twins fans have yet to see the starter they were promised. Tonight will be Gonsalves' fifth start since getting the call to the big club back in mid-August and he has yet to register anything even resembling a quality start. The left-hander is currently 0-2 with an ERA of 11.68, a WHIP of 3.00, and an incredible opponent's on-base percentage of .528.

    Somehow, Gonsalves and the Twins are -120 road favorites tonight in Kansas City against Heath Fillmyer and the Royals. This doesn't say much for the 2018 Royals.


    Windy In D.C.

    There will be a 12-13 mile per hour wind blowing in from right field this afternoon when the Nationals host the Chicago Cubs at Nationals Park in D.C.

    Today marks the return to the Nationals' rotation of Joe Ross who underwent Tommy John surgery a year ago. In his return he will face a banged-up, slumping Cubs' roster that is averaging only 2.8 runs per game over their last five and tends to be very streaky on both the good side and the bad. Big lefty Mike Montgomery gets the ball for the Cubs and he's been very solid on the road with an ERA of 3.43 this season in 63 innings.

    The smart lean tonight in on the Under 9.5 (-125) full game with a sprinkle on Under 8.5 at +120.


    Angel Gets His Wings

    We already talked about tonight's game between the A's and Orioles in our Double-Play Picks but it's worth pointing out that Angel Hernandez will be calling balls and strikes and he's been a solid Over umpire this season at 15-11, including Overs in seven of his last nine games in pads.

    With the expectation that the A's will dominate and hammer Dylan Bundy tonight, they could go over the full game total of 9 (+100) by themselves. Definitely take a look at Over on Oakland's team total of 4.5, but you'll have to pay a premium at -145.
    Pitcher's Duel In St. Louis

    Tonight's game in St. Louis between the Cardinals and the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers features a great pitching matchup between Clayton Kershaw and Austin Gomber.

    We are all well aware of Kershaw's awesomeness. His fastball velocity is down slightly this season, but "The Claw" is a pitcher not a thrower - he is currently on a streak of 12 consecutive quality starts heading into Thursday's outing. On the other side, lefty Austin Gomber gets the call for the Cards and he has been tremendous since joining the St. Louis rotation. In his last six starts he owns a very solid ERA of 2.06 and a decent WHIP of 1.3143.

    We're looking strongly at the full game Under 7.5 (-105) and Under 4 (-115) for the opening five innings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:20 PM.

  9. #9
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    Diamond Trends - Thursday
    Vince Akins

    SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rockies are 11-0 SU as a home favorite off a home game in which their bullpen did not allow a run.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- This one has appeared in this spot multiple times this season. The Orioles are 0-23 SU as a home 135+ dog after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

    Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Mets are 0-5 SU in franchise history at home off a game as a favorite in which Jay Bruce had multiple RBI. NY was an average of minus 139 on the moneyline in these five losses, they were outscored by an average of 6.40 runs per game, they lost each by multiple runs and they never led in any of the five games.

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Athletics are 0-10 OU in franchise history with Brett Anderson as a favorite when he gave up no walks in his last start. The average final score in these games has been.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:21 PM.

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