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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., Sept. 13 - Sat., Sept. 15)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., Sept. 13 - Sat., Sept. 15)


    Week 3


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 13 - Saturday, September 15

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Week 2 Rewind
    Brian Edwards

    Georgia stole the show in Week 2 by going on the road and winning 41-17 at South Carolina as an 8.5-point road favorite. UGA raced out to a 14-0 lead before the crowd could get comfortable in their seats.

    On a third-and-seven play on USC’s opening drive, junior quarterback Jake Bentley hit junior RB Rico Dowdle in the hands with a pass that was going to come up short of the first-down marker. But Dowdle couldn’t handle the throw, which went through his hands and hit off his shoulder pads along the sidelines.

    The ball bounced off Dowdle’s pads into the air and was caught by Deandre Baker, who returned the interception 56 yards to the fringe of the end zone. Baker then pulled a DeSean Jackson (circa MNF at Dallas when he was with the Eagles) and dropped the ball in celebration before he was across the plane of the end zone.

    Fortunately for Baker, Juwan Taylor saw his teammates’ potentially crucial mistake and jumped on the ball to get credit for the TD. Two players later on a third-and-eight play, Bentley threw to Dowdle again. And once more, he dropped the pass, this time for what would’ve been a first-down conversion.

    UGA promptly drove down the field in four plays and capped the drive with a D’Andre Swift TD run to silence the crowd and take a 14-0 advantage. To its credit, Will Muschamp’s team answered with an 11-play, 75-yard drive to trim the deficit to 14-7. Deebo Samuel found Bryan Edwards for a 13-yard TD pass off a gadget play.

    The teams would trade field goals and USC was on the move and into UGA territory late in the second quarter. During that drive, it started to seem as if the Gamecocks might’ve taken Georgia’s best punch, only to weather that storm, and might be on the cusp of getting even just before intermission.

    Well, not so much. The Gamecocks’ drive would stall on the fringe of field-goal range, and then UGA’s two-minute offense produced a field goal before halftime for a 20-10 lead. Georgia received to start the second half and produced a TD drive. Then after a defensive stop, UGA would score again to go ahead 34-10 and the outcome was no longer in doubt early in the third quarter.

    Jimbo Fisher’s rebuilding job at Texas A&M might not take long. The Aggies certainly looked the part Saturday night in front of an electric crowd at Kyle Field, where they played host to Clemson, a program that’s been to the College Football Playoffs for three straight seasons.

    The Tigers were able to get on the airplane to go back home unscathed, but they had to dodge a serious bullet in College Station. Dabo Swinney’s club won a 28-26 decision, but Texas A&M easily took the cash as a 12-point home underdog. The 54 combined points inched ‘over’ the 50.5-point total in the final minute.

    Trailing 28-13 going into the fourth quarter, the Aggies made it a one-possession game when Kellen Mond found Quartney Davis for a 14-yard scoring strike with 14:07 remaining. With 46 seconds left, Mond avoided pressure and scrambled to his left and then zipped a dart high into traffic, and Kendrick Rogers elevated to make a spectacular TD grab. However, the two-point conversion failed and the onside kick was unsuccessful.

    As gut-wrenching as the defeat was, Fisher had to feel great about producing 501 yards of total offense (compared to Clemson’s 413 yards) against one of the nation’s best defenses. Mond threw for 430 yards and three TDs without an interception. Rogers had seven receptions for 120 yards and two TDs.

    Clemson’s Kelly Bryant threw for 205 yards and one TD without an interception. He also ran for a team-best 54 yards and one TD.

    Stanford captured a 17-3 win over USC as a five-point home favorite. After being shut down by San Diego State’s defense in a 31-10 season opening win, senior RB Bryce Love rushed for 136 yards and one TD on 22 attempts. TE Kaden Smith had four catches for 77 yards for the Cardinal, which avenged a pair of losses to the Trojans last year.

    Kentucky ended the longest active losing streak in an FBS rivalry when it won a 27-16 decision at Florida. The Wildcats had lost 31 straight games to the Gators and hadn’t won in Gainesville since 1979.

    UK senior RB Benny Snell gashed the UF defense for 175 rushing yards on 27 carries. QB Terry Wilson ran for 105 yards and one TD on 10 attempts, in addition to completing 11-of-16 passes for 151 yards and two TDs with one interception. The ‘Cats won outright as 13.5-point road underdogs, hooking up money-line supporters with a +425 payout (paid $425 on $100 wagers).

    After throwing five TD passes without an interception in a blowout win over FCS foe Charleston Southern last week, third-year sophomore QB Feleipe Franks completed only 17-of-38 passes for 232 yards and two TDs with one interception and a fumble that was returned for a TD on the game’s final play.

    If you’re a Gator fan and UF alum (my hand is raised), what was most galling was what we saw out of the offense late in the fourth quarter. When you’re down by 11 points, how on earth is there any thought process other than scoring a TD and then, most importantly (BY FAR!!!), converting a two-point conversion?

    I really can’t put into words how much my blood was boiling when Franks found Freddie Swain for a four-yard TD pass with 3:34 remaining. At this point, any QB with a clue signals to his teammates to immediately huddle up and get ready for the two-point conversion. Truth be told, it should be coached into the entire offensive unit that that’s the scenario, but it’s your QB that must lead in this situation. And he should’ve mentioned it beforehand in the huddle a time or two during the drive.

    Instead, the entire offense swarms Swain in the end zone celebrating a TD. This is so disturbing on so many levels. First of all, what the hell is there to celebrate about cutting the deficit to five against a UK team you’ve beaten 31 times in a row with less than four minutes remaining and only one timeout left?

    Nothing! Nothing is the answer to that question. When the television cameras focused in on Franks, he was literally running off the field without a clue and the play clock was already down to 17 seconds. In other words, it hadn’t even occurred to Franks yet that his team had to go for two. Finally, the offense had to hurriedly huddle up and get a play called.

    There was four seconds remaining on the play clock when the Gators broke the huddle. They didn’t get the play off, but the referees inexplicably didn’t whistle them for a delay-of-game flag. The two-point conversion predictably failed and Dan Mullen nearly had to burn his last timeout due to the incompetence of a QB who had zero awareness of time and score.

    Ok, let’s move on. As Auburn can attest to circa 2014, it’s not easy to win at Kansas State. Mississippi State made it look that way, though. Joe Moorhead’s club went into Manhattan and dominated from start to finish in a 31-10 victory as a 6.5-point road ‘chalk.’ Sophomore RB Kylin Hill ran for 211 yards and two TDs on only 17 carries, while QB Nick Fitzgerald produced 159 rushing yards on 19 attempts. The Bulldogs enjoyed a 538-213 advantage in total offense.

    Arkansas had a 27-9 lead at winless Colorado State midway through the third quarter, but Mike Bobo’s team rallied to win a 34-27 decision as a 14-point home underdog. The Razorbacks joined Tennessee and Texas A&M as the only SEC teams to lose non-conference contests so far, although the Aggies acquitted themselves extremely well.

    Missouri generated 601 yards of total offense against one of the nation’s best Group of Five defenses in a 40-13 home win over Wyoming. Drew Lock connected on 33-of-45 passes for 398 yards and four TDs without an interception. We’ll find out more about the Tigers this week when they go on the road in revenge mode to face a Purdue team’s that’s in desperation mode after dropping a pair of nail-biters at home vs. Northwestern and Eastern Michigan.

    I feel like at least 90 percent of college football scribes destroyed Arizona State for hiring Herm Edwards. I was in the minority, praising the hire of a coach who has infectious energy and wreaks of class and integrity. The thinking here was that he’d be able to motivate and recruit extremely well, traits that have led some coaches to enormous success even if when they didn’t have a clue about clock management and other in-game decisions (yes, Les Miles to come to mind here). And after coaching in the NFL for as long as Edwards did, he certainly knows what he’s doing with in-game moves.

    This was on full display Saturday night in Tempe as Edwards milked the entire clock to allow his kicker to make a game-winning field goal in walk-off fashion. ASU and Michigan State were tied and the Sun Devils were in the red zone with about 1:45 remaining and had a first down. If you score on the next play, the Spartans have plenty of time to answer and force overtime.

    Edwards opted to kneel on it a few times and have the game decided on a chip-shot FG. The strategy worked and ASU improved to 2-0 with a 16-13 win over the Spartans, who brought back 19 starters from a 10-3 team, as a 4.5-point home underdog. The Sun Devils have another tough non-conference game on deck at San Diego State, and the early returns on the Edwards hire are making most national pundits look foolish.

    Staying in the Pac-12 South, the hire of Kevin Sumlin at Arizona is a different story compared to the new guy at arch-rival ASU. The Wildcats lost 45-18 at Houston, which was losing to Rice at halftime of its opener last week. Khalil Tate, who ran for 1,411 yards and averaged 9.2 yards per carry in 2017, has run for a total of 22 yards on 15 attempts through two games.

    Hawaii QB Cole McDonald continues to light it up. The Warriors knocked off Rice 43-29 to improve to 3-0, but the Owls covered the number as 17-point road underdogs. Bettors on the ‘over’ like me got a super-fortunate win when three TDs were scored in the game’s final 3:01.

    In his first three career starts, McDonald has thrown for 1,165 yards and 13 TDs without being intercepted. He’s also run for 125 yards and two TDs, and he’s only been sacked five times. Hawaii is in a horrific travel spot this week at Army in a noon Eastern kick. The Warriors were 6.5-point underdogs as of early Monday afternoon. Remember, they have already won outright at Colorado State (+17) and vs. Navy (+13) when catching a double-digit ‘dog number.

    **Quick Hitters**

    -- Houston is 2-0 and QB D’Eriq King has a 7/0 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

    -- LSU’s Joe Burrow wasn’t nearly as sharp in a 31-0 home win over SE Louisiana.

    -- Eastern Michigan is 12-1 ATS in its past 13 games as a road underdog after winning 20-19 at Purdue on a late FG.

    -- Maryland was in a letdown spot at Bowling Green and trailed 14-10 at intermission. The Terrapins outscored the Falcons 35-0 in the second half, however, to win by a 45-14 count. They enjoyed a 565-158 advantage in total offense.

    -- Texas looked awful again in a 28-21 non-covering home win over Tulsa. The Longhorns host USC this week after losing to the Trojans in double overtime last year.

    -- Shea Patterson threw three TD passes without an interception in Michigan’s 49-3 win over Western Michigan.

    -- Syracuse QB Eric Dungey is the country’s most important player to his team.

    -- Samford enjoyed a 535-457 advantage in total offense in its 36-26 loss at Florida State as a 31-point underdog. The Bulldogs, who jumped out to a 13-0 lead midway through the first quarter and had two different nine-point leads, took a 23-21 advantage into the fourth quarter and the Seminoles didn’t get their first lead of the season until scoring a go-ahead TD with 4:03 remaining. A 63-yard pick-six by Levonta Taylor created the misleading final score in FSU’s favor.

    -- The Sonny Dykes Era at SMU is off to a dreadful start.

    -- It’s only two games, but Barry Odom’s hire of OC Derek Dooley is looking good so far (I had my doubts coming into the season).

    -- Vandy has blown out Middle Tennessee (35-7) and Nevada (41-10) to start Derek Mason’s crucial fifth season with a 2-0 record. The Commodores travel to South Bend to take on Notre Dame in Week 3. The other two SEC coaches considered to be on the hot seat entering the 2018 campaign are also 2-0 (LSU’s Ed Orgeron and UK’s Mark Stoops).

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    Week 3 Injury Update
    Brian Edwards

    Let’s get you caught up on the most important injuries effecting a bunch of teams moving forward…

    -- Oklahoma star RB Rodney Anderson is out for the season with a knee injury sustained in his team’s home win over UCLA this past Saturday. Anderson was a second-team All-Big-12 selection last year when he ran for 1,161 yards and 13 touchdowns with a 6.2 yards-per-carry average. He also had 17 catches for 281 yards and five TDs as a freshman. Anderson had 119 rushing yards and three TDs on just 11 attempts (10.8 YPC) so far this year. The Sooners are in revenge mode Saturday at Iowa St., which won 38-31 in Norman last year as a 31-point underdog. Also, junior starting DT Marquise Overton (appendix) is ‘out’ for OU. Overton had 43 tackles, three tackles for loss and one QB hurry in 2017.

    -- OU isn’t the only team that lost its star RB in Week 2. Minnesota’s Rodney Smith also went down with a season-ending knee injury. Smith, a fifth-year senior, will apply for a sixth year of eligibility and P.J. Fleck told the media on Monday that he fully expects the NCAA to grant him another season. Smith ran for 977 yards and three TDs in ’17, averaging 4.3 YPC.

    -- There are four QBs that have already been ruled ‘out’ for Week 3. Let’s start with Iowa State’s Kyle Kempt, who orchestrated the aforementioned upset at OU last year by completing 18-of-24 throws for 343 yards and three TDs without an interception. Kempt sustained a knee injury that’ll keep him on the sidelines for at least one game in his team’s 13-3 loss at Iowa this past Saturday. Kempt led the Cyclones to their first bowl bid since 2012 in ’17 when he threw for 1,787 yards (66.3% completions) with a 15/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Sophomore Zeb Noland is expected to get his second career start. Noland completed just 4-of-10 passes for 43 yards in relief of Kempt at Iowa.

    -- Duke captured a bittersweet 21-7 win at Northwestern as a short underdog this past Saturday. Junior QB Daniel Jones injured his left clavicle and underwent surgery Sunday. He is out indefinitely. Jones has started 27 games in a row since the day he stepped on campus as a freshman. He had completed 29-of-39 passes (74.4%) for 389 yards and four TDs without an interception through two games. Jones has 5,916 career passing yards and a 34/20 TD-INT ratio. He also has 1,044 career rushing yards and 15 TDs. Unfortunately for David Cutcliffe, this wasn’t the only key injury for the Blue Devils. Junior CB Mark Gilbert had season-ending hip surgery on Sunday. He was a first-team All-ACC selection in ’17 when he had 35 tackles, 15 passes broken up, six interceptions and three TFL’s. Gilbert was a fourth-team All-American pick in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine, while Steele had senior safety Jeremy McDuffie as a preseason third-team All-ACC selection. McDuffie, who was a third-team All-ACC choice last year when he tallied 57 tackles, nine PBU, three interceptions, on pick-six, one QB hurry and 0.5 TFL’s, is listed as ‘questionable’ Saturday at Baylor due to an undisclosed injury. And finally, WR Aaron Young is also a question mark with an undisclosed issue. Young had 16 catches for 219 yards and one TD in ’17.

    -- San Diego State senior QB Christian Chapman (13/4 TD-INT in ’17) is ‘out’ for the next 3-6 weeks with a sprained MCL sustained in his team’s 28-14 home win. The Aztecs will play host to unbeaten Arizona St. on Saturday.

    -- New Mexico QB Tevaka Tuioti is ‘out’ Saturday at New Mexico St. due to a concussion. Also, back-up QB Coltin Gerhart is a ‘questionable’ with a foot injury.

    -- There also a bunch of QBs listed as ‘questionable’ in Week 3, including Illinois signal caller A.J. Bush, Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez (knee), Rutgers’s Artur Sitkowski (arm), Texas Tech’s McLane Carter (ankle) and Southern Cal’s J.T. Daniels (hand).

    -- Ole Miss WR DaMarkus Lodge missed this past week’s 76-41 home win over Southern Illinois due to concussion symptoms. He is still in concussion protocol and day to day. Lodge had 41 receptions for 698 yards and seven TDs last season. He had six catches for 96 yards in a 47-27 win over Texas Tech in the Rebels’ opener.

    -- Florida was without its two best defensive players, LB David Reese and DE CeCe Jefferson, in Saturday’s 27-16 home loss vs. Kentucky. Reese, a fourth-team preseason All-American in Steele’s mag, has missed the first two games with a high-ankle sprain sustained in late August. Jefferson has been suspended for the first two UF games. Dan Mullen said he expects both players to be ready for Saturday’s home game vs. Colorado St. However, starting sophomore CB Marco Wilson was lost to a season-ending ACL tear in the first quarter vs. UK. Wilson started all 11 games as a true freshman last year.

    -- Washington All-American OT Trey Adams had surgery on his injured back last week. He is out indefinitely and will more than likely miss the entire season.

    -- Fresno State sophomore OT Netane Muti, who started 13 of 14 games in '17 and was a preseason third-team All-MWC pick in Steele's mag, tore his Achilles in Saturday's loss at Minnesota and will miss the rest of the year.

    -- Georgia Tech RB KirVonte Benson is 'questionable' at Pittsburgh after leaving Saturday's loss at USF with a leg injury. Benson rushed for 1,053 yards and six TDs with a 5.2 YPC average in '17. QB TaQuon Marshall also left the USF game injured, but he's 'probable' against the Panthers.

    -- South Carolina's best defensive lineman, D.J. Wonnum, is expected to miss about four weeks with a ligament tear in his ankle. Wonnum didn't play vs. UGA. He had 56 tackles, seven TFL's, six sacks, five PBU and two QB hurries last year. DB Nick Harvey, a grad transfer from Texas A&M, was suspended for the loss to UGA and is 'questionable' vs. Marshall.

    As for the weather, Hurricane Florence was upgraded to a Category 4 on Monday with the governors of South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia ordering mandatory evacuations for those along the coast starting Tuesday. Coastal Carolina has already moved its game vs. Campbell to Wednesday afternoon at 2:00 p.m. Eastern.

    South Carolina is scheduled to host Marshall on Saturday, but classes at the school have already been cancelled indefinitely starting tomorrow. Clemson is slated to play Georgia Southern at home, while North Carolina is preparing for UCF in Chapel Hill. As for Duke, it is on the road at Baylor.

    East Carolina is at Virginia Tech in Week 3, so that’s another game that could be impacted. Virginia is set to host Ohio. Whether these games get moved to a different day or postponed remains to be seen and if they’re played, weather could be an important factor.

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Thursday, September 13

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    BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 0) - 9/13/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WAKE FOREST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
    WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Friday, September 14

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    GEORGIA ST (1 - 1) at MEMPHIS (1 - 1) - 9/14/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
    GEORGIA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    GEORGIA ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Saturday, September 15

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    UTEP (0 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against SEC opponents since 1992.
    UTEP is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    BALL ST (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TEMPLE (0 - 2) at MARYLAND (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 2) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
    FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (1 - 1) at TOLEDO (1 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TOLEDO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    TOLEDO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HAWAII (3 - 0) at ARMY (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
    HAWAII is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    HAWAII is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    KENT ST (1 - 1) at PENN ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UCF (2 - 0) at N CAROLINA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    OLD DOMINION (0 - 2) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
    OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    FLORIDA ST (1 - 1) at SYRACUSE (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    FLORIDA ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) at IOWA ST (0 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
    IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TROY (1 - 1) at NEBRASKA (0 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEBRASKA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    RUTGERS (1 - 1) at KANSAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    RUTGERS is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 126-163 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 118-154 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    KANSAS is 97-130 ATS (-46.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    E CAROLINA (1 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 12:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA TECH (1 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 12:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VANDERBILT (2 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 2:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OHIO U (1 - 0) at VIRGINIA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO U is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SMU (0 - 2) at MICHIGAN (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOISE ST (2 - 0) at OKLAHOMA ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 142-102 ATS (+29.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 142-102 ATS (+29.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BYU (1 - 1) at WISCONSIN (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
    WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W VIRGINIA (2 - 0) at NC STATE (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W VIRGINIA is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI OHIO (0 - 2) at MINNESOTA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI OHIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI OHIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LSU (2 - 0) at AUBURN (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
    AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S FLORIDA (2 - 0) at ILLINOIS (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ILLINOIS is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 128-167 ATS (-55.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    ILLINOIS is 86-128 ATS (-54.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    C MICHIGAN (0 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    C MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
    N ILLINOIS is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GA SOUTHERN (2 - 0) at CLEMSON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 3) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 91-125 ATS (-46.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TULANE (1 - 1) at UAB (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TULANE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DUKE (2 - 0) at BAYLOR (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
    DUKE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    DUKE is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO ST (1 - 2) at FLORIDA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (2 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTSA (0 - 2) at KANSAS ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NORTH TEXAS (2 - 0) at ARKANSAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE ST (0 - 2) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN JOSE ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OREGON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E MICHIGAN (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OREGON ST (1 - 1) at NEVADA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON ST is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ALABAMA (2 - 0) at OLE MISS (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ALABAMA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    ALABAMA is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARKANSAS ST (1 - 1) at TULSA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS ST (1 - 1) at S ALABAMA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S ALABAMA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    S ALABAMA is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 1) at GEORGIA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
    GEORGIA is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARSHALL (2 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
    MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MISSOURI (2 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
    PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AKRON (1 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against MAC opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 0) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA MONROE (2 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    W KENTUCKY (0 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOUISVILLE is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    USC (1 - 1) at TEXAS (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    USC is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OHIO ST (2 - 0) at TCU (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 8:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 186-140 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 156-121 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 119-85 ATS (+25.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
    TCU is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (1 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 0) - 9/15/2018, 10:00 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    UTAH is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at UCLA (0 - 2) - 9/15/2018, 10:30 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2018, 10:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,755
    Credits
    189,618

    Default

    NCAAF

    Week 3


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, September 13

    Boston College @ Wake Forest
    Boston College
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest

    Wake Forest
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Boston College
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston College

    Tennessee Tech @ Utah State
    Tennessee Tech
    Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Tennessee Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Utah State
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah State's last 13 games
    Utah State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home


    Friday, September 14

    Georgia State @ Memphis
    Georgia State
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia State's last 12 games on the road
    Georgia State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road

    Memphis
    Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


    Saturday, September 15

    Murray State @ Kentucky
    Murray State
    Murray State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Murray State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games

    Kentucky
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games at home
    Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Texas El Paso @ Tennessee
    Texas El Paso
    Texas El Paso is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Texas El Paso is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Tennessee
    Tennessee is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
    Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Oklahoma @ Iowa State

    Oklahoma
    Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
    Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Iowa State
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Iowa State's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa State's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma

    Rutgers @ Kansas

    Rutgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 8 games on the road

    Kansas
    Kansas is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
    Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Florida State @ Syracuse

    Florida State
    Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Syracuse
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing Syracuse

    Syracuse
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games when playing Florida State
    Syracuse is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games

    Miami-FL @ Toledo

    Miami-FL
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 9 games on the road
    Miami-FL is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

    Toledo
    Toledo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Toledo is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

    Central Florida @ North Carolina

    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    North Carolina
    North Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    North Carolina is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    Hawaii @ Army

    Hawaii
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
    Army

    Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Army is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

    Ball State @ Indiana

    Ball State
    Ball State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
    Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

    Indiana
    Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Ball State

    Temple @ Maryland

    Temple
    Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Maryland
    Maryland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Temple
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home

    Troy @ Nebraska

    Troy
    Troy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Nebraska
    Nebraska is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Nebraska is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Kent State @ Penn State

    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games on the road
    Kent State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Penn State
    Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Rhode Island @ Connecticut

    Rhode Island
    Rhode Island is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Rhode Island is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Connecticut's last 21 games at home

    East Carolina @ Virginia Tech

    East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games on the road
    East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech

    Virginia Tech
    Virginia Tech is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against East Carolina

    Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh

    Georgia Tech
    Georgia Tech is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Georgia Tech is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Pittsburgh is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

    Tulane @ Alabama-Birmingham

    Tulane
    Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Alabama-Birmingham

    Alabama-Birmingham
    Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Alabama-Birmingham is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

    UC Davis @ Stanford

    UC Davis
    UC Davis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    UC Davis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Stanford
    Stanford is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Vanderbilt @ Notre Dame

    Vanderbilt
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
    Vanderbilt is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Notre Dame
    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Notre Dame is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

    Ohio @ Virginia

    Ohio
    Ohio is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Ohio is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road

    Virginia
    Virginia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Louisiana State @ Auburn

    Louisiana State
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Auburn
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 7 games on the road

    Auburn
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 9 games when playing at home against Louisiana State
    Auburn is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

    Duke @ Baylor

    Duke
    Duke is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Baylor
    Baylor is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Boise State @ Oklahoma State

    Boise State
    Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    Boise State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Oklahoma State
    Oklahoma State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Georgia Southern @ Clemson

    Georgia Southern
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Clemson
    Clemson is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Clemson is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games

    West Virginia @ North Carolina State

    West Virginia
    West Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

    North Carolina State
    North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Brigham Young @ Wisconsin

    Brigham Young
    Brigham Young is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Brigham Young's last 12 games on the road

    Wisconsin
    Wisconsin is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
    Wisconsin is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

    South Florida @ Illinois

    South Florida
    South Florida is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games

    Illinois
    Illinois is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
    Illinois is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

    Southern Methodist @ Michigan

    Southern Methodist
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games

    Michigan
    Michigan is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games

    Miami-OH @ Minnesota

    Miami-OH
    Miami-OH is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Miami-OH is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    Southern Miss @ Appalachian State

    Southern Miss
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games on the road
    Southern Miss is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road

    Appalachian State
    Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

    Lehigh @ Navy

    Lehigh
    Lehigh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

    Navy
    Navy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games

    Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois

    Central Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Michigan's last 8 games

    Northern Illinois
    Northern Illinois is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Northern Illinois is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

    North Texas @ Arkansas

    North Texas
    North Texas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    North Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Arkansas
    Arkansas is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games
    Arkansas is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

    Colorado State @ Florida

    Colorado State
    Colorado State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games on the road

    Florida
    Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Texas-San Antonio @ Kansas State

    Texas-San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games

    Kansas State
    Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Kansas State is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

    Wofford @ Wyoming

    Wofford
    Wofford is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Wofford is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Wyoming

    Wyoming is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games at home
    Wyoming is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

    Eastern Kentucky @ Bowling Green

    Eastern Kentucky
    Eastern Kentucky is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Eastern Kentucky is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 9 games
    Bowling Green is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games

    Houston @ Texas Tech

    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 20 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road

    Texas Tech
    Texas Tech is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Texas Tech is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

    New Hampshire @ Colorado

    New Hampshire
    New Hampshire is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    New Hampshire is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
    Colorado is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

    San Jose State @ Oregon

    San Jose State
    San Jose State is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
    San Jose State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

    Oregon
    Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Idaho State @ California

    Idaho State
    Idaho State is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Idaho State is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road

    California
    California is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    California is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Old Dominion @ Charlotte

    Old Dominion
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games on the road
    Old Dominion is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

    Bethune-Cookman @ Florida Atlantic

    Bethune-Cookman
    Bethune-Cookman is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Bethune-Cookman is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

    Florida Atlantic
    Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Florida Atlantic is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

    Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo

    Eastern Michigan
    Eastern Michigan is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
    Eastern Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo

    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    Norfolk State @ Liberty

    Norfolk State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games

    Liberty
    Liberty is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
    Liberty is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

    Alabama @ Mississippi

    Alabama
    Alabama is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    Alabama is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games

    Mississippi
    Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Mississippi is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    Oregon State @ Nevada

    Oregon State
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon State's last 8 games on the road
    Oregon State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Nevada

    Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Delaware State @ Western Michigan

    Delaware State
    Delaware State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Delaware State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Western Michigan

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home
    Western Michigan is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

    Campbell @ Coastal Carolina

    Campbell
    No trends to report

    Coastal Carolina
    Coastal Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games

    Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati

    Alabama A&M
    Alabama A&M is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Alabama A&M is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 18 games at home

    Arkansas State @ Tulsa

    Arkansas State
    Arkansas State is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 12 games on the road

    Tulsa
    Tulsa is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
    Tulsa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Texas State @ South Alabama

    Texas State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games on the road
    Texas State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road

    South Alabama
    South Alabama is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    South Alabama is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

    Middle Tennessee @ Georgia

    Middle Tennessee
    Middle Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Middle Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road

    Georgia
    Georgia is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
    Georgia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

    Louisiana-Lafayette @ Mississippi State

    Louisiana-Lafayette
    Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road

    Mississippi State
    Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Mississippi State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

    Missouri @ Purdue

    Missouri
    Missouri is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Missouri is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

    Purdue
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Purdue's last 21 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games

    Marshall @ South Carolina

    Marshall
    Marshall is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Marshall is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

    South Carolina
    South Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    South Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

    Louisiana-Monroe @ Texas A&M

    Louisiana-Monroe
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
    Louisiana-Monroe is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

    Texas A&M
    Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Texas A&M is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Western Kentucky @ Louisville

    Western Kentucky
    Western Kentucky is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
    Western Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

    Louisville
    Louisville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Louisville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

    Massachusetts @ Florida International

    Massachusetts
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 12 games on the road
    Massachusetts is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

    Florida International
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games at home
    Florida International is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Northern Iowa @ Iowa

    Northern Iowa
    Northern Iowa is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    Northern Iowa is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games

    Iowa
    Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Iowa
    Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Iowa

    Akron @ Northwestern

    Akron
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Akron's last 9 games on the road
    Akron is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Northwestern
    Northwestern is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Southern California @ Texas

    Southern California
    Southern California is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern California's last 11 games on the road

    Texas
    The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Texas's last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home

    Eastern Washington @ Washington State

    Eastern Washington
    Eastern Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Eastern Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

    Washington State
    Washington State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Washington State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    Texas Christian @ Ohio State

    Texas Christian
    Texas Christian is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Texas Christian is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

    Ohio State
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    New Mexico @ New Mexico State

    New Mexico
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
    New Mexico is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Mexico State

    New Mexico State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
    New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico

    Washington @ Utah

    Washington
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Utah

    Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Prairie View @ Nevada-Las Vegas

    Prairie View
    Prairie View is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Prairie View is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    Nevada-Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 18 games at home

    Fresno State @ California-Los Angeles

    Fresno State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road
    Fresno State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    California-Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games

    Arizona State @ San Diego State

    Arizona State
    Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    San Diego State
    San Diego State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Arizona State

    Southern Utah @ Arizona

    Southern Utah
    Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
    Arizona is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  6. #6
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    Tech Trends - Week 3
    Bruce Marshall

    Thursday, Sept. 13

    BOSTON COLLEGE at WAKE FOREST
    ...Road team has won outright last four meetings in series. Last eight "under" in series.
    "Under" and BC, based on team, series, and "totals" trends.


    Friday, Sept. 14

    GEORGIA STATE at MEMPHIS
    ...GSU 20-7 as road dog since 2012 (though just 1-2 since LY). Tigers just 8-10 as Liberty Bowl chalk since 2015, though have covered 6 of last 8 laying DD.
    Slight to GSU, based on team trends.


    Saturday, Sept. 15

    UTEP at TENNESSEE
    ...Miners now on 2-11-1 spread skid since last season. Vols, however, almost as bad since LY (2-11 vs. line). UT 0-6 vs. points last 6 hosting non-SEC BCS foes.
    Slight to UTEP, based on extended UT woes.


    BALL STATE at INDIANA
    ... After 5-0 mark as road dog in 2016 debut year, Neu fell off to 1-5 in role in 2017. Though Cards have remarkably covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 visiting Big Ten foes!
    Ball State, based on team trends.


    TEMPLE at MARYLAND
    ...Still no sign of Durkin, though Terps only 5-7 vs. spread at College Park since 2016. Texas win was at FedEx Field. Temple might be starting slow again for Collins as LY when dropping first four vs. line before rallying to cover 7 of last 9. Owls 11-3 vs. line last 14 away, though a good portion of that was under Matt Rhule (5-2 LY for Collins).
    Slight to Temple, based on team trends.


    UMASS at FIU
    ...UMass 8-2 as road dog past two seasons before running into BC in opener. Butch 0-3 as home chalk LY.
    Slight to UMass, based on team trends.


    MIAMI-FLA at TOLEDO
    ... Richt is 6-3 as visiting chalk since arriving in 2016 but Canes now on 3-8 spread downturn. Candle just 2-3 as dog with Rockets but extended Toledo dog trends are good (12-6 during Campbell years of 2012-15).
    Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.


    HAWAII at ARMY
    ...New and improved Bows 3-0 SU TY. Monken only 10-13 vs. spread at Michie since arriving at West Point in 2014.
    Hawaii, based on recent trends.


    KENT STATE at PENN STATE.
    ..James Franklin cooling off a bit vs. line, only 3-4 last seven on board after 16-2 spread run. Only 2-4 vs. spread last six hosting non-Big Ten foes at Beaver Stadium. Golden Flashes only 7-11 as DD dog past three seasons but did cover opener at Lovie.
    Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.


    UCF at NORTH CAROLINA
    ...Fedora just 1-6 vs. spread as Chapel Hill dog since 2014, UCF 5-1 as visiting chalk since 2016.
    UCF, based on team trends.


    OLD DOMINION at CHARLOTTE
    ... Monarchs now on 4-11-1 spread skid and 1-5 last six as chalk after covering 8-0-1 previous nine laying points.
    Slight to Charlotte, based on team trends.


    FLORIDA STATE at SYRACUSE.
    ..Noles just 1-3-2 vs. spread as visitor LY. FSU 4-9-2 last 15 on board (0-2 for Taggart). Cuse however just 4-9 vs. line at Carrier Dome since Dino arrived in 2016.
    Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.


    OKLAHOMA at IOWA STATE
    ...Revenge for OU after home loss to ISU last October. Road chalk also the one role that didn’t work as well for Sooners LY (1-2). Matt Campbell 11-7-1 as dog since taking over Cyclones in 2016.
    Iowa State, based on team trends.


    TROY at NEBRASKA
    ...Scott Frost only 7-8-1 last 16 on board. Huskers no covers last 7 at Lincoln. Troy 8-1 as visiting dog for Neal Brown since 2015.
    Troy, based on team trends.


    RUTGERS at KANSAS
    ...KU 2-6 vs. points last 8 at Lawrence, and Beaty now 13-23-1 vs. spread since taking over KU in 2015.
    Rutgers, based on Kansas woes.


    EAST CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH
    ...ECU only 7-18-1 vs. line for Montgomery since 2016. Hokies destroyed Pirates LY 64-17. Fuente 7-4 as Blacksburg chalk since arriving in 2016.
    Virginia Tech, based on ECU woes.


    GEORGIA TECH at PITT
    ...Paul Johnson has covered 4 of 5 vs. Pitt since Panthers joined ACC in 2013. Narduzzi 6-16 vs. spread at Heinz Field since arriving in 2015.
    Georgia Tech, based on team trends.


    VANDERBILT at NOTRE DAME
    ...Derek Mason was 17-11 as dog entering last season before slipping to 2-6 in role. Dores 10-2 vs. spread last 12 in reg season vs. non-SEC BCS foes. ND 5-8 as South Bend chalk since 2015.
    Vandy, based on team trends.


    OHIO at VIRGINIA
    ...Bronco Mendenhall 4-2 as chalk since LY. Solich 6-2 as visiting dog since 2015.
    Ohio, based on team trends.


    SMU at MICHIGAN
    ...Tough start for Sonny Dykes at SMU, 0-3 and outscored 139-45 in process. Ponies 1-5-1 vs. spread last 7 away from Dallas. Harbaugh just 5-9 vs. spread last 13 on board.
    Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.


    SOUTHERN MISS at APP STATE
    ...USM has covered 5 of its last 6 as a reg-season dog. App was only 3-9 vs. spread at Boone entering last season before covering 4 of 6 at Kidd Brewer Stadium.
    Slight to Southern Miss, based on team trends.


    BOISE STATE at OKLAHOMA STATE
    ...Broncos 14-5 vs. spread as visitor since 2015, and covered all three as dog away from blue carpet LY. Gundy just 3-5-1 last 9 vs. spread at Stillwater.
    Boise State, based on team trends.


    BYU at WISCONSIN
    ...Sitake now 6-1 as road dog with Cougs since taking over in 2016. Cougs have also covered 5 of last 7 since late LY. Wiscy was 10-5-1 as DD chalk past two seasons before narrow non-covers first two TY. Chryst still 21-10-1 vs. points last 32 on board.
    BYU, based on recent trends.


    WEST VIRGINIA at NC STATE
    ...Pack was 2-0 as home dog LY though only 5-9 last 14 on board. Also no covers 5 of last 6 in reg season vs. non-ACC. Holgorsen now 6-3 last 9 as chalk.
    Slight to West Virginia, based on team trends.


    MIAMI-OHIO at MINNESOTA
    ... Miami now on 4-10 spread slide since LY, and no covers last six non-MAC. Fleck just 6-7-1 vs. spread with Gophers but has covered 4 of 5 outside Big Ten. Fleck 2-0 SU, 1-1 vs. line vs. Chuck Martin while with WMU.
    Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.


    LSU at AUBURN
    ...Orgeron now 4-0 as dog since LY and 15-8 vs. spread since taking over LSU midway 2016. Home team has won and covered last four in this series. Malzahn just 4-11-1 as Jordan-Hare chalk since 2015.
    LSU, based on team trends.


    USF vs. ILLINOIS
    (at Soldier Field, Chicago)...Lovie now on 5-12 spread skid since late 2016. Lovie just 7-12 as dog since taking over Illini in 2016, and 2-6 last eight vs. line against non-Big Ten.
    south Florida, based on Lovie woes.


    CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS
    ...Bonamego now 8-3 as visiting dog since 2015, and Chips 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as visitor. CMU has also had NIU’s number lately, winning and covering last four meetings. Huskies on 2-8-1 spread skid since early 2017.
    Central Michigan, based on series and team trends.


    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at CLEMSON
    ...Eagles just 3-5-1 as road dog since 2016. Dabo 5-3-1 as double-digit chalk LY and 6-2 last 8 vs. spread reg season vs. non-ACC.
    Clemson, based on team trends.


    NEW MEXICO at NEW MEXICO STATE
    ...Ags have covered last 3 and now 3-0-1 last 4 vs. line in series. Though NMSU now no covers last six in reg season play.
    Slight to New Mexico, based on recent team trends.


    TULANE at UAB
    ...Willie Fritz now on 11-4 spread uptick. Blazers 5-0-1 vs. line at home LY, though have covered just 1 of last 5 on line.
    Tulane, based on team trends.


    DUKE at BAYLOR
    ...Rhule 2-5 vs. line at Waco since taking over at Baylor LY. Cutcliffe 25-12-1 as chalk since 2012.
    Duke, based on team trends.


    COLORADO STATE at FLORIDA
    ...Rams 1-9 vs. line last ten on board. Gators 7-5 vs. line as Swamp chalk since 2016.
    Florida, based on CSU negatives.


    HOUSTON at TEXAS TECH
    ...UH just 2-9 last 11 vs. spread away from home. Tech 5-0-1 vs. line last five hosting non-Big 12.
    Texas Tech, based on team trends.


    UTSA at KANSAS STATE...UTSA
    just 1-9 vs. spread last ten on board. Bill Snyder 5-2 vs. spread last 7 vs. non-Big 12 at home.
    Kansas State, based on team trends.


    NORTH TEXAS at ARKANSAS
    ...UNT 7-4 last 11 vs. line vs FBS. Hogs just 4-9-1 last 13 on board vs. BCS schools.
    North Texas, based on team trends.


    SAN JOSE STATE at OREGON
    ...SJSU just 2-5 as road dog for Brennan LY and has failed to cover last five on road vs. non-MW. Ducks 5-2 vs. points since LY as Eugene chalk, 4-3-1 last eight laying DD.
    Oregon, based on team trends.


    EASTERN MICHIGAN at BUFFALO
    ...Eagles now on 21-6-1 spread run, also 14-2 vs. spread last 15 away from Ypsilanti. Lance Liepold’s Bulls not far behind, however, now 11-2-2 last 15 on board.
    Slight to EMU, based on team trends.


    OREGON STATE at NEVADA
    ... Beavs now on 1-6-1 skid as road dog, and 4-9-1 overall vs. spread since LY. OSU no covers last six as non-Pac 12 visitor. Pack on 6-3 spread uptick for Jay Norvell.
    Nevada, based on team trends.


    ALABAMA at OLE MISS
    ...Saban rolled 66-3 LY, but Rebs have played Bama as tough as anyone in recent years, covering previous three and winning two of those outright. Matt Luke now on 5-1 SU and spread uptick since late LY. Saban only 1-3 as visiting chalk LY.
    Ole Miss, based on team and extended series trends.


    ARKANSAS STATE at TULSA
    ...Red Wolves just 1-6 last 7 as non-Belt visitor. Tulsa just 2-5 vs. spread last seven as host.
    Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.


    TEXAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA
    ...Tex State now on 6-11 spread side since late 2016 Jags 3-10-1 last 14 as Mobile chalk, though that was all with Joey Jones.
    Slight to South Alabama, based on team trends.


    MTSU at GEORGIA
    ...Blue Raiders just 5-9 vs. line last 14 as dog. Losing lately vs. SEC but all of that vs. Vandy (no covers last four vs. Dores). Kirby Smart is 5-2 last 7 laying DD vs. BCS foes. Dawgs on 13-5 spread run.
    Georgia, based on team trends.


    MARSHALL at SOUTH CAROLINA
    ...Gamecocks 3-3 vs. line the last six years in game following Georgia. If Muschamp laying DD , however, he’s only 1-3 in that role with SC. Herd has covered last six as road dog.
    Marshall, based on team trends.


    MISSOURI at PURDUE
    ...Purdue rolled 35-3 LY. But Barry Odom 4-1 vs. line as visitor LY and covered 8 of last 10 on board. Odom 2-0 as road dog LY after 0-5 in 2016. Brohm, however, covered all four vs. non-Big Ten LY.
    Purdue, based on team trends.


    AKRON at NORTHWESTERN
    ...Pat Fitz on 8-2 spread surge. Bowden just 7-12 as DD dog since 2014.
    Northwestern, based on team trends.


    ULL at MISSISSIPPI STATE
    ...Note that under Mullen, MSU only 3-7 as DD chalk the past two seasons (3-3 LY). But Bulldogs are 6-1 vs. spread last seven outside of SEC. ULL failed to cover all three away LY vs. non-Belt.
    Miss State, based on team trends.


    ULM at TEXAS A&M
    ...ULM 4-1 vs. line as non-Belt visitor under Matt Viator. Ags were 2-8 as DD chalk in 2015-16 before recovering to 3-1 in role since LY (1-0 Jimbo).
    Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


    WESTERN KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE
    ...Petrino on 5-13 spread skid, and he’s just 8-12 as home chalk since 2014. But WKU just 2-6 vs. line away from home for Sanford since LY.
    Slight to Western Kentucky, based on recent ‘Ville negatives.


    USC at TEXAS
    ...Trojans on 4-13 spread skid since late 2016, 2-7 last 9 vs. spread away from Coliseum. SC also no covers last six vs. non-Pac 12. If Tom Herman a dog note 10-1 mark in role since 2015.
    Texas, based on team trends.


    OHIO STATE vs. TCU
    (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Tx)...Buckeyes 7-1 vs. line last 8 vs non-Big Ten away from Big Horseshoe. Patterson only 3-4 as dog since 2016 but was 7-2 getting points the previous three years.
    Slight to Ohio State, based on team trends.


    WASHINGTON at UTAH
    ...Utes have covered last three years in this series. Petersen just 2-6 vs. number last eight away from Seattle. Utes 12-4 as dog for Whittingham since 2014.
    Utah, based on team and series trends.


    FRESNO STATE at UCLA
    ...Tedford 6-1-2 vs. line away since LY. FSU on 13-3-2 spread run since late 2016. Bruins 0-4 as home dog since 2014, and 9-17-2 vs. line last 28 overall. Also 2-7-1 last ten vs. spread non Pac 12.
    Fresno State, based on team trends.


    ARIZONA STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE
    ...Sun Devils only 2-6-1 vs. spread last nine vs. non-Pac 12 away from Tempe. Rocky had won 3 in a row SU vs. Pac 12 before Stanford loss.
    Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
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    73,755
    Credits
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    Default

    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 3



    Thursday, September 13

    Boston College @ Wake Forest

    Game 103-104
    September 13, 2018 @ 5:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston College
    98.173
    Wake Forest
    94.700
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston College
    by 3 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston College
    by 6
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wake Forest
    (+6); Under

    Tennessee Tech @ Utah State


    Game 211-212
    September 13, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tennessee Tech
    39.128
    Utah State
    90.009
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah State
    by 51
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah State
    by 42 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah State
    (-42 1/2); Over

    Robert Morris @ James Madison


    Game 867-868
    September 13, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Robert Morris
    31.232
    James Madison
    93.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    James Madison
    by 62
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    James Madison
    by 29 1/2
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    James Madison
    (-29 1/2); Over



    Friday, September 14

    Georgia State @ Memphis

    Game 105-106
    September 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia State
    69.535
    Memphis
    94.221
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 24 1/2
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 27 1/2
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia State
    (+27 1/2); Over

    Brown @ Cal Poly


    Game 801-802
    September 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brown
    34.622
    Cal Poly
    53.968
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cal Poly
    by 19 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cal Poly
    by 17
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cal Poly
    (-17); Under



    Saturday, September 15

    UTEP @ Tennessee

    Game 107-108
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UTEP
    51.595
    Tennessee
    78.772
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 27
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 30 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    UTEP
    (+30 1/2); Under

    Ball State @ Indiana


    Game 109-110
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    73.481
    Indiana
    83.526
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 10
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 15
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ball State
    (+15); Over

    Temple @ Maryland


    Game 111-112
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Temple
    75.805
    Maryland
    86.148
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Maryland
    by 10 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Maryland
    by 16
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Temple
    (+16); Under

    Massachusetts @ FIU


    Game 113-114
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Massachusetts
    70.758
    FIU
    72.819
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    FIU
    by 2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FIU
    by 4 1/2
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Massachusetts
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Miami-FL @ Toledo


    Game 115-116
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami-FL
    100.810
    Toledo
    87.067
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 14
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 10
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami-FL
    (-10); Under

    Hawaii @ Army


    Game 117-118
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hawaii
    78.692
    Army
    88.256
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 9 1/2
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Army
    by 6 1/2
    62
    Dunkel Pick:
    Army
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Kent State @ Penn State


    Game 119-120
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    65.939
    Penn State
    115.496
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Penn State
    by 49 1/2
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Penn State
    by 34
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Penn State
    (-34); Over

    Central Florida @ North Carolina


    Game 121-122
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Central Florida
    99.290
    North Carolina
    77.812
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Florida
    by 21 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Florida
    by 14 1/2
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Central Florida
    (-14 1/2); Under

    Old Dominion @ Charlotte


    Game 123-124
    September 15, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Old Dominion
    55.941
    Charlotte
    58.404
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 2 1/2
    36
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Old Dominion
    by 2
    41
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+2); Under

    Florida State @ Syracuse


    Game 125-126
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida State
    87.686
    Syracuse
    86.586
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 1
    74
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 3 1/2
    68
    Dunkel Pick:
    Syracuse
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Oklahoma @ Iowa State


    Game 127-128
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma
    110.862
    Iowa State
    102.128
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 8 1/2
    61
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 18
    55
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa State
    (+18); Over

    Troy @ Nebraska


    Game 129-130
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Troy
    83.719
    Nebraska
    81.370
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Troy
    by 2 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nebraska
    by 11 1/2
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Troy
    (+11 1/2); Under

    Rutgers @ Kansas


    Game 131-132
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rutgers
    75.729
    Kansas
    76.489
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas
    by 1
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas
    by 3
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rutgers
    (+3); Under

    East Carolina @ Virginia Tech


    Game 133-134
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Carolina
    77.586
    Virginia Tech
    102.031
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 24 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 28
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Carolina
    (+28); Over

    Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh


    Game 135-136
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Tech
    88.363
    Pittsburgh
    87.274
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 1
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 4 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Vanderbilt @ Notre Dame


    Game 137-138
    September 15, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vanderbilt
    88.561
    Notre Dame
    93.840
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 5 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 14 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vanderbilt
    (+14 1/2); Under

    Ohio @ Virginia


    Game 139-140
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio
    82.096
    Virginia
    79.192
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio
    by 3
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia
    by 5 1/2
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio
    (+5 1/2); Under

    SMU @ Michigan


    Game 141-142
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SMU
    70.132
    Michigan
    100.372
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan
    by 30
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 35 1/2
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    SMU
    (+35 1/2); Over

    Southern Miss @ Appalachian St


    Game 143-144
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern Miss
    78.747
    Appalachian St
    87.361
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 8 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 16
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern Miss
    (+16); Under

    Boise State @ Oklahoma State


    Game 145-146
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boise State
    104.245
    Oklahoma State
    103.723
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boise State
    by 1
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma State
    by 3
    63 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boise State
    (+3); Over

    Brigham Young @ Wisconsin


    Game 147-148
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brigham Young
    81.434
    Wisconsin
    107.083
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 25 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 21
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wisconsin
    (-21); Under

    West Virginia @ NC State


    Game 149-150
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    West Virginia
    101.170
    NC State
    94.223
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    West Virginia
    by 7
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    West Virginia
    by 3 1/2
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    West Virginia
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Miami of Ohio @ Minnesota


    Game 151-152
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami of Ohio
    75.445
    Minnesota
    87.837
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 12 1/2
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 15
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami of Ohio
    (+15); Over

    LSU @ Auburn


    Game 153-154
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LSU
    100.952
    Auburn
    103.167
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Auburn
    by 2
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 10
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    LSU
    (+10); Under

    South Florida @ Illinois


    Game 155-156
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Florida
    92.753
    Illinois
    78.397
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 14 1/2
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 10
    59
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Florida
    (-10); Over

    Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois


    Game 157-158
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Central Michigan
    65.230
    Northern Illinois
    82.184
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northern Illinois
    by 17
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northern Illinois
    by 13 1/2
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Northern Illinois
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Georgia Southern @ Clemson


    Game 159-160
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    76.667
    Clemson
    106.454
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Clemson
    by 30
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Clemson
    by 34
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia Southern
    (+34); Under

    New Mexico @ New Mexico St


    Game 161-162
    September 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico
    65.370
    New Mexico St
    65.772
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Mexico St
    Even
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Mexico
    by 5 1/2
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico St
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Tulane @ UAB


    Game 163-164
    September 15, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tulane
    82.998
    UAB
    67.022
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tulane
    by 15
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tulane
    by 3 1/2
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulane
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Duke @ Baylor


    Game 165-166
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Duke
    88.926
    Baylor
    97.378
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baylor
    by 8 1/2
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baylor
    by 6
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baylor
    (-6); Under

    Colorado State @ Florida


    Game 167-168
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado State
    74.043
    Florida
    85.270
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 11
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    by 20 1/2
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado State
    (+20 1/2); Under

    Houston @ Texas Tech


    Game 169-170
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    89.625
    Texas Tech
    91.606
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 2
    76
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 1 1/2
    71
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (+1 1/2); Over

    TX-San Antonio @ Kansas State


    Game 171-172
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    TX-San Antonio
    67.386
    Kansas State
    91.606
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas State
    by 24
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas State
    by 21 1/2
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas State
    (-21 1/2); Under

    North Texas @ Arkansas


    Game 173-174
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Texas
    74.305
    Arkansas
    83.820
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas
    by 9 1/2
    74
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas
    by 7
    70
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas
    (-7); Over

    San Jose St @ Oregon


    Game 175-176
    September 15, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose St
    57.489
    Oregon
    94.031
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oregon
    by 36 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oregon
    by 42
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose St
    (+42); Over

    Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo


    Game 177-178
    September 15, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Michigan
    84.685
    Buffalo
    78.655
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Eastern Michigan
    by 6
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 5
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Eastern Michigan
    (+5); Under

    Oregon State @ Nevada


    Game 179-180
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oregon State
    70.649
    Nevada
    79.639
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nevada
    by 9
    76
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nevada
    by 3 1/2
    70
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nevada
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Alabama @ Mississippi


    Game 181-182
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama
    121.402
    Mississippi
    97.451
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 24
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Alabama
    by 21
    71
    Dunkel Pick:
    Alabama
    (-21); Under

    Arkansas St @ Tulsa


    Game 183-184
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arkansas St
    78.921
    Tulsa
    75.659
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas St
    by 3 1/2
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas St
    by 1
    72
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas St
    (-1); Over

    Texas State @ South Alabama


    Game 185-186
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas State
    53.574
    South Alabama
    67.251
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Alabama
    by 13 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Alabama
    by 10 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Alabama
    (-10 1/2); Under

    Middle Tennessee St @ Georgia


    Game 187-188
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Middle Tennessee
    75.662
    Georgia
    114.877
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia
    by 41
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia
    by 32 1/2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia
    (-32 1/2); Over

    Marshall @ South Carolina


    Game 189-190
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marshall
    77.041
    South Carolina
    93.661
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Carolina
    by 16 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Carolina
    by 13
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Carolina
    (-13); Under

    Missouri @ Purdue


    Game 191-192
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Missouri
    98.219
    Purdue
    87.959
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Missouri
    by 10 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Missouri
    by 7
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Missouri
    (-7); Over

    Akron @ Northwestern


    Game 193-194
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Akron
    69.617
    Northwestern
    94.939
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northwestern
    by 25 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northwestern
    by 21
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Northwestern
    (-21); Under

    LA-Lafayette @ Mississippi St


    Game 195-196
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Lafayette
    66.283
    Mississippi St
    102.372
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi St
    by 36
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Mississippi St
    by 32 1/2
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Mississippi St
    (-32 1/2); Under

    LA-Monroe @ Texas A&M


    Game 197-198
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Monroe
    66.359
    Texas A&M
    101.340
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 35
    74
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 26 1/2
    66
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas A&M
    (-26 1/2); Over

    Western Kentucky @ Louisville


    Game 199-200
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Kentucky
    69.809
    Louisville
    90.220
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisville
    by 20 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisville
    by 23 1/2
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Kentucky
    (+23 1/2); Over

    USC @ Texas


    Game 201-202
    September 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    USC
    98.514
    Texas
    90.142
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    USC
    by 8 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas
    by 3 1/2
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    USC
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Ohio State @ TCU


    Game 203-204
    September 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ohio State
    118.139
    TCU
    102.217
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 16
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 12 1/2
    60
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (-12 1/2); Under

    Washington @ Utah


    Game 205-206
    September 15, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    109.024
    Utah
    94.701
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 14 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 6 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Fresno State @ UCLA


    Game 207-208
    September 15, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fresno State
    93.437
    UCLA
    81.664
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fresno State
    by 12
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UCLA
    by 1 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fresno State
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Arizona State @ San Diego St


    Game 209-210
    September 15, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona State
    90.187
    San Diego St
    90.261
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    Even
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona State
    by 5
    45 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego St
    (+5); Under

    Murray State @ Kentucky


    Game 213-214
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Murray State
    49.308
    Kentucky
    91.971
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kentucky
    by 42 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 37 1/2
    55
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kentucky
    (-37 1/2); Over

    Rhode Island @ Connecticut


    Game 215-216
    September 15, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rhode Island
    65.852
    Connecticut
    63.877
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 10
    60 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rhode Island
    (+10); Under


    UC-Davis @ Stanford

    Game 217-218
    September 15, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UC-Davis
    79.452
    Stanford
    99.631
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Stanford
    by 20
    70
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Stanford
    by 28
    67
    Dunkel Pick:
    UC-Davis
    (+28); Over

    Lehigh @ Navy


    Game 219-220
    September 15, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Lehigh
    49.640
    Navy
    86.092
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Navy
    by 36 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Navy
    by 30
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Navy
    (-30); Over

    Wofford @ Wyoming


    Game 221-222
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wofford
    63.854
    Wyoming
    85.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wyoming
    by 21 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wyoming
    by 14
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wyoming
    (-14); Under

    Eastern Kentucky @ Bowling Green


    Game 223-224
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Kentucky
    55.356
    Bowling Green
    63.561
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bowling Green
    by 8
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Bowling Green
    by 13 1/2
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Eastern Kentucky
    (+13 1/2); Over

    New Hampshire @ Colorado


    Game 225-226
    September 15, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Hampshire
    57.851
    Colorado
    88.334
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 30 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    by 35 1/2
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Hampshire
    (+35 1/2); Under

    Idaho State @ California


    Game 227-228
    September 15, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Idaho State
    56.440
    California
    89.925
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    California
    by 33 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    California
    by 36 1/2
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Idaho State
    (+36 1/2); Over

    Norfolk St @ Liberty


    Game 229-230
    September 15, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Norfolk St
    00.000
    Liberty
    00.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Norfolk St

    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Norfolk St

    Dunkel Pick:
    Norfolk St
    PPD

    Bethune Cookman @ Florida Atlantic

    Game 231-232
    September 15, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Bethune Cookman
    46.985
    Florida Atlantic
    89.826
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 43
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 37 1/2
    60
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida Atlantic
    (-37 1/2); Under

    Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati


    Game 235-236
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama A&M
    38.398
    Cincinnati
    80.940
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 42 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 37 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (-37 1/2); Under

    Delaware St @ Western Michigan


    Game 237-238
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Delaware St
    25.239
    Western Michigan
    76.959
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 51 1/2
    74
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Michigan
    by 46 1/2
    71
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Michigan
    (-46 1/2); Over

    Northern Iowa @ Iowa


    Game 239-240
    September 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northern Iowa
    78.941
    Iowa
    102.101
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa
    by 23
    38
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa
    by 20
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa
    (-20); Under

    East Washington @ Washington St


    Game 241-242
    September 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Washington
    71.078
    Washington St
    93.596
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington St
    by 22 1/2
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington St
    by 16 1/2
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington St
    (-16 1/2); Over

    Prairie View @ UNLV


    Game 243-244
    September 15, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Prairie View
    55.892
    UNLV
    74.410
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UNLV
    by 18 1/2
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UNLV
    by 24 1/2
    67
    Dunkel Pick:
    Prairie View
    (+24 1/2); Under

    Southern Utah @ Arizona


    Game 245-246
    September 15, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern Utah
    65.619
    Arizona
    78.740
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 13
    77
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    by 21
    71
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern Utah
    (+21); Over

  8. #8
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    Notable College Football games canceled due to Hurricane Florence:

    ECU @ VTech
    Elon @ W&M
    Tenn St @ Hampton
    UCF @ UNC
    WVU @ NC St
    S. Miss @ App St
    Colgate @ Furman
    Marshall @ S Car.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 02:35 PM.

  9. #9
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    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 3



    Thursday’s games
    Road team won last four Boston College-Wake Forest games, with average total of 29.5 in those games; Eagles won last two visits here, 17-14/23-17. BC scored 117 points in beating couple of stiffs to open season; they’ve goto 10 starters back on offense. Under Addazio, Eagles are 4-5 as road favorites. Deacons won first two games; they needed OT to win at Tulane- they’re -3 in turnovers this year. Under Clawson, Wake is 8-4-1 as a home underdog. Both teams have lot of experience on OL. This is last game of 3-game suspension for Wake QB Hinton. Unsure if weather will be a factor with tropical storm looming; kickoff was moved up two hours.

    Old Dominion beat Charlotte last three years, 6-0/52-17/37-34; since going I-A, Monarchs are 5-2 vs spread as road favorites. OSU lost its first two games this year, giving up 1,080 yards in losses to Liberty (52-10), FIU (28-20). Charlotte got waxed 45-9 at home by Appalachian State LW; ASU outgained them, 343-203. Since going I-A, 49ers are 5-8-1 as home underdogs. Both teams are in early stages of building a I-A program.

    Friday’s game
    Last week, Memphis lost conference game as a road favorite at Navy; Tigers turned ball over four times (-3)- they outgained Middies by 62 yards. Under Norvell, Memphis is 5-7 as home favorites. Georgia State is 1-3 vs spread last four times they got 20+ points, after a 10-0 run in such games. Panthers lost 41-7 at NC State LW, giving up 426 PY. Last three years, AAC teams are 6-4 vs spread when playing Sun Belt teams.

    Saturday’s best 13 games
    Indiana (-16) beat Ball State 30-20 two years ago, but Cardinals won previous two meetings, in 2011-12. Hoosiers won their first two games, allowing only 310 ypg; they’ve got a senior QB and very experienced OL. Under Allen, Indiana covered three of four games as home favorites. Ball State hung in at Notre Dame LW, losing 24-16- they were outgained only 414-349. Cardinals are 7-5 as road underdogs under coach Neu. Last two years, Big 14 teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing a MAC opponent.

    Florida State lost its opener 24-3 to Virginia Tech; they were trailing I-AA Samford at halftime LW, so the fanbase is restless. Seminoles gave up 485 PY LW, bad news vs Orange attack that hung 55 points, 560 yards on Western Michigan two weeks ago. FSU is 9-7-2 vs spread in last 18 games as road favorites- they beat Syracuse the last five years, but LY’s game was 27-24 in Tallahassee. Under Babers, Syracuse is 2-5 as home underdogs; they’ve got a senior QB- both teams have lot of experience on OL.

    Iowa State went to Norman LY and upset Oklahoma 38-31 as 31-point underdog, but Sooners won last two visits to Ames, 34-24, 59-14- OU covered three of its last four visits here. Kyler Murray is averaging 11.7 yards/pass attempt- they scored 112 points in winning first two games, throwing for 640 yards. Cyclones had its opener rained out, then lost 13-3 (+4) at Iowa LW; Total yardage in that game was 271-188, Hawkeyes- not much offense there. Under Campbell, ISU is 5-3-1 as a home underdog.

    Boise State scored 118 points in winning/covering first two games; Broncos threw ball for 723 yards. Over last decade, Boise is 5-2 as a road underdog, 2-0 in four years under Harsin- they had their worst season running ball in 20 years LY, but ran it for 400 yards LW. Oklahoma St isn’t UConn, though; last 4+ years, Cowboys are 10-10-1 as home favorites, though they’re 5-2 in last seven games laying single-digit spread. OSU has only five starters back on offense and a new QB. Since 2011, Big X teams are 7-1 vs spread when facing a Mountain West team.

    Home side won last five LSU-Auburn games; LSU lost its last to visits to the Plains, 18-13/41-7. LSU beat Miami 33-17 on neutral field two weeks ago; they’re 4-0 vs spread as underdogs under Orgeron- over last decade, LSU is 1-1 as double digit dogs. First true road game for LSU’s new QB Barrow (Ohio St transfer)- they gained only 296 TY vs Miami, 335 yards vs SE Louisiana LW. Last 3+ years, Auburn is 4-11-1 vs spread as home favorites, 5-11-2 as double digit faves, 2-5 as home favorites in SEC games. Auburn beat Washington 21-16 on neutral field two weeks ago.

    Texas Tech (+6.5) went to Houston and upset Cougars 27-24 LY; Tech outgained Houston, 521-427, running for 200 yards, throwing for 321. Under Kingsbury, Tech is 6-5 as home underdogs; they gave up 546 TY in 47-27 loss to Ole Miss on a neutral field. Houston scored 45-45 points in winning its first two games this season; Cougars ran ball for 257-297 yards in those games. Houston is 4-7 in its last 11 games as a road favorite. Since start of LY, Big X teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

    Alabama crushed Ole Miss 66-3 LY, their 10th win in last 12 series games, but Rebels are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 game vs Bama. Crimson Tide is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight visits to Oxford. Alabama scored 51-57 points in winning their first two games; I mean, their backup QB has a 26-2 record as starting QB- they’re loaded. Over last decade, Tide is 23-16 as road favorites. Ole Miss gave up 1,105 TY in winning its first two games, but they trailed I-AA Southern Illinois at halftime LW, 38-35. Over last decade, Rebels are 7-11 vs spread as home underdogs.

    Since 2012, Purdue is 4-19 vs spread as home underdogs, 1-11 since 2015. Purdue (+7) went to Columbia LY and hammered Missouri 35-3; think Mizzou coaches circled this game on calendar? Tigers gained only 203 yards that day; they crushed Wyoming 40-13 LW, outgaining Cowboys 601-248. Since 2012, Mizzou is 6-3 as road favorites, 2-1 under Odom. Purdue lost its first two games this year by total of five points despite throwing for 543 yards- they’re -4 in turnovers. Last 3+ years, SEC teams are 8-4 vs spread when facing a Big 14 squad.

    USC (-15) threw for 397 yards in 27-24 home win over Texas LY, but their QB that day plays in the NFL now; USC’s QB is true freshman who skipped his senior year of HS, so he should still be playing HS ball. Trojans were -3 in turnovers LW in 17-3 at Stanford- since 2012, they’re 3-10 vs spread as road underdogs. Texas lost its opener at Maryland, then struggled past Tulsa 28-21 LW; under Herman, Longhorns are 1-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Since 2011, SEC teams are 8-3 vs spread when playing Pac-12 teams.

    Ohio State scored 129 points in winning its first two games, running ball for 600 yards, throwing it for 700; last 4+ years, Buckeyes are 16-9 vs spread away from home, but this is first road start for this QB. TCU fell behind 9-0 vs local rival SMU LW, before punt return TD woke them up and spurred Horned Frogs to 42-12 win. Last 5+ years, TCU is 9-4 vs spread as an underdog- their OL this season is inexperienced. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 7-3 vs spread when playing Big X opponents.

    Washington beat Utah last two years, 31-24/33-30; Huskies lost their opener 21-16 to Auburn in SEC country (Atlanta), can’t afford another loss if they’re going to make NCAA playoff; they whacked a I-AA team LW. Under Petersen, Washington is 8-6 vs spread as road favorites. Utah ran ball for only 68 yards in 17-6 win at Northern Illinois LW; they outgained NIU 354-228. In their opener vs I-AA Weber State, Utah was -4 in turnovers, so their offense is work in progress. Since 2012, Utes are 6-3 vs spread as home underdogs.

    UCLA is off to an 0-2 start under Kelly, losing to Cincy/Oklahoma- Bruin QB’s were sacked 11 times- their #1 QB is hurt, backup is a freshman. UCLA is 5-14 vs spread in its last 19 home games. Fresno State was outgained 307-299 in losing defensive struggle 21-14 at Minnesota LW. Under Tedford, Bulldogs are 5-0 vs spread as an underdog. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams. Fresno lost its last four games vs Pac-12 teams, all by 20+ points.

    Arizona State is 2-0 after upsetting Michigan State 16-13 at home LW; ASU threw for 380 yards, ran for only 44- over last decade, Sun Devils are 7-14-1 vs spread as road favorites. San Diego State (+3) went to Tempe and won 30-20 LY, outrushing ASU 279-44. Aztecs lost its opener 31-10 at Stanford, then drilled a I-AA team LW. In seven years under Long, San Diego State is 4-2-1 vs spread when getting points at home. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams.

    Trends from non-top 13 games
    13) Last five years, Temple is 13-6 as a road underdog. Maryland is 8-3 in its last 11 games as a double digit favorite.

    12) Under Richt, Miami Fla is 6-3 as road favorites: Since 2010, Toledo is 1-4 as home underdog. Rockets (+13.5) lost 52-30 in Miami LY.

    11) Hawai’i won its first three games this year, scoring 145 points; they’re 6-5 as road underdogs under Rolovich. Under Monken, Army is 7-9 as home favorites.

    10) Kansas is favored to win a football game; since 2012, they’re 3-8 as home favorites, 2-3 in 3+ years under Beaty. Since 2011, Rutgers is 16-7 as a single digit underdog.

    9) Last 3+ years, Georgia Tech is 0-7 as a road favorite; Tech is 3-2 in its last five games with Pittsburgh, covering (1-1 SU) their last two visits to Steel City. Pitt is 2-5 under Narduzzi as a home underdog- they lost 51-6 at home to Penn State LW.

    8) Since 2012, Vanderbilt is 15-12 as road underdogs, 10-10 under Mason- they’re 13-7 as double digit dogs the last 4+ years. Under Kelly, Notre Dame is 19-23-1 as a double digit favorite.

    7) Ohio-Virginia are playing in Nashville because of the storm; Bobcats had last week off after edging I-AA Howard 38-32 in their opener- they were outgained by 222 yards in that game, but were +4 in turnovers. Since 2011, Virginia is 10-16-3 vs spread when favored.

    6) Under Smith, Illinois is 3-7 as home underdogs; they’re 10-16 in last 26 games as a double digit underdog. AAC teams are 15-8 vs spread in their last 23 games vs Big 14 squads.

    5) New Mexico State upset New Mexico SU last two years, and is 3-0-1 vs spread in last four series games; Aggies covered last two series games played here, which were decided by total of four points. Under Martin, State is 9-11-2 as home underdogs under.

    4) Tulane-UAB haven’t met since 2012; under Fritz, Green Wave is 3-1 as road favorite. over last decade, UAB is 15-6-1 as home underdogs. Since 2011, AAC teams are 13-11 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

    3) Duke (-13) beat Baylor 34-20 at home LY; last 5+ years, Blue Devils are 21-5 vs spread in non-ACC games. Baylor is 7-11 vs spread in its last 18 home games.

    2) Last 3+ years, North Texas is 7-11 vs spread as road underdogs; Mean Green beat SMU 46-23 in its season opener. Arkansas blew a 27-9 lead LW in last 18:00, losing 34-27 at Colorado State. Last three years, Razorbacks are 5-8 as home favorites.

    1) Oregon State is 6-14-1 vs spread in its last 21 games as road underdogs; Nevada is 2-7 vs spread in its last nine non-conference games. Pac-12 teams are 21-17-1 vs spread in last 39 games vs Mountain West opponents.
    Last edited by Udog; 09-14-2018 at 12:22 AM.

  10. #10
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    The Triple Option: College football Week 3 picks, predictions
    Andrew Caley

    It’s the first full week of back to school for the little guy in my household and that means a lot of lessons to be learned and re-learned. And not just for him, but for his mom and I as well.

    Whether that means getting his own cereal in the morning, dreading that he has to do homework before turning on the PS4 in the afternoon, or the fact he's back on a strict deadline. It all amounts to a lot of change. Some things are bigger battles than others (thank you very much Nanny and Grampy for getting him a tablet...). But you have to learn your lessons and pick your battles. And the same can be said about early-season college football betting.

    We're coming off our first (and hopefully last) losing week of the season. But last week we got away from the keys to success early in a college football season. With so much change, we need to learn our lesson and stick to things we know.

    That being said, the Tigers should learn a lesson from last year’s mistakes against the Tigers!

    Ah, never change college football. The Auburn Tigers will have revenge on their minds when they host the Tigers of LSU this Saturday afternoon. Auburn was upset 27-23 by LSU as a 6.5-point road fave in Death Valley last season and, as usual, this matchup will once again go a long way to determining the SEC West champions.

    Both Tigers have gotten off to similar starts, winning a game versus a ranked opponent on a neutral site in their opener, before beating up on a cupcake last week (but both failed to cover). Also, as per usual, they both tout elite defenses and boast talented runners. But the similarities stop at the game’s most important position as the Tigers (Auburn) have a decided edge.

    Auburn junior quarterback Jarrett Stidham has the talent and experience to lead the Tigers far this season and that showed up in their win over Washington, completing 72.2 percent of his passes for 273 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions against a Huskies defense that's no joke.

    Things haven’t gone as well for Ohio State transfer, Joe Burrow. The junior signal caller is hitting on just 47.7 percent of his throws, but that isn’t even Burrow’s biggest problem. That would be his offensive line. The LSU o-line has problems keeping Burrow upright, allowing constant pressure resulting in four sacks this season.

    Auburn will eventually wear down LSU in the trenches and extend the lead late. War Eagle is also eager to prove its worth as CFP contender after beating both teams that played for the national championship last season.

    Pick: Auburn -9.5

    Boise State Broncos at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3, 64.5)

    One lesson I learned from betting the early workings of the college football schedule is wager on what you know. Take the known commodity over the unknown.

    The known commodity in this case is the Boise State Broncos. While the Broncos have been everyone’s favorite non-Power 5 team to root for when it comes to upsetting the BCS apple cart, they actually haven’t been to a New Year’s Six bowl game since 2014. But that could change this season and it all starts with their matchup against the Cowboys.

    This Broncos team has a powerful and balanced offense led by quarterback Brett Rypien. The senior gunslinger has been outstanding to start the year, chucking the ball around for 667 yards with seven touchdowns and no interceptions, while completing 73.2 percent of his passes. Boise State also boasts a stout defense which should make life tough for a Cowboys team in transition.

    Oklahoma State is off to a good start, but it has yet to face a team like the Broncos. And with former stars Mason Rudolph and James Washington moving on to the NFL, there's lots of inexperience at the quarterback and skills positions. And while the defense has strong numbers (against Missouri State and Southern Alabama) this is still a unit that ranked 120th in passing yards allowed last season.

    Ultimately, this game means more to Boise State’s season than it does to the Pokes and the Broncos' experience will pay off here as they try to march to another undefeated season.

    Pick: Boise State +3

    Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Mississippi State Bulldogs (-32.5, 64.5)

    Another lesson I learned when I first started betting college football was that when it comes to big spreads, especially early in the season, look for teams that run the ball and do it often. No matter what the score. And that’s exactly what the Mississippi State Bulldogs do.

    The Bulldogs went into Bill Snyder Family Stadium as slight 6.5-point favorites and in a game in which many pundits liked Kansas State to pull off the upset, and MSU rammed the ball down the Wildcats' throats.

    Nick Fitzgerald looked a little rusty throwing the football in his season debut, but boy did he ever make up for it on the ground. Fitzgerald rumbled for 159 yards on 19 carries while running back Kylin Hill went for 211 on just 17 carries and is carrying the rock at a clip of 10 yards per attempt this season.

    The Bulldogs duo faces a Ragin’ Cajun defense that was one of the worst in the nation last season, especially against the rush, and allowed Grambling State to rack up 147 rushing yards in their opener last week.

    Expect the Bulldogs to give Fitzgerald plenty of work before they open SEC play next week. Additionally, they’ve proven they can cover big numbers already when they cashed as 47.5-point favorites over Stephen F. Austin in their opener. They do it again Saturday.

    Pick: Mississippi State -32.5

    Last week: 1-2
    Season to date: 3-3
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2018 at 10:37 AM.

  11. #11
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    College Essentials - Week 3
    Tony Mejia

    Week 2 had a few fun football games that came down to the wire but lacked anything that dramatically altered the national picture. Georgia trounced South Carolina to prove it belongs with the national elite despite losing four of the first 35 picks in this past NFL draft, while USC snuffed out young Stanford.

    In the most interesting result, Texas A&M pushed Clemson to the brink of an upset, coming up a two-point conversion short of forcing a title contender into OT

    College football is very much about survival on the road, but the Tigers were a 12.5-point favorite and are supposed to be sounder on defense than they looked. Surprises are coming. There hasn't been a blockbuster yet. Will we get one this week?

    There are a number of worthy candidates on the list below that could be knocked off, shaking up the college football world. You may not believe there will be any outright upsets, but read the following and see if you at least think it's worth it to take the points in a few of these:

    Saturday

    Ohio State vs. TCU, 8 p.m. ET, ABC:
    Horned Frogs QB Shawn Robinson missed a ton of throws against SMU but did manage to create plays with his speed and elusiveness. KeVontae Turpin scored on a punt return and a touchdown catch against but needs to touch the ball more since he’s one of the Big 12’s most impressive athletes. With Robinson playing through expected growing pains, Gary Patterson will need Turpin to make life easier for his quarterback in Arlington this weekend since TCU doesn’t have the volume of playmakers that the Buckeyes bring to the table.

    Urban Meyer remains suspended, serving the final game of a penalty the Buckeyes put in place after a lengthy review of a situation that could've ended far worse for him. Interim head coach Ryan Day faces his biggest challenge before handing the team back over. Having outscored his first two overmatched foes by a count of 129-34, it would be interesting to see what happens if some game pressure enters the equation for the first time since the first two games without Meyer were over by halftime. Dwayne Haskins will also be facing the fiercest defense he’s seen since taking over for J.T. Barrett, so we’ll see how he handles increased pressure. His ability to pass the ball accurately down the field has played a huge role in how explosive the Buckeyes have been and should be the x-factor here since TCU is likely to key on stopping the run.

    LSU at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS:
    After an impressive debut against Miami, LSU’s Tigers coasted past FCS middleweight Southeastern Louisiana, posting an easy shutout. Auburn destroyed lightweight Alabama State 63-9, so both traditional SEC West powers enter this one confidently. After having plenty of support at AT&T Stadium against the Hurricanes and playing in Baton Rouge last week, QB Joe Burrow will face his first road atmosphere and will likely have to be more than a game manager to produce an upset since they may be a double-digit underdog by kickoff. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham could really enhance his growing reputation as a potential Top-10 pick against a defense fueled by first-round locks in LB Devin White and corner Greedy Williams.

    Boise State at Oklahoma State, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Broncos are averaging 59 points per game through their first two wins and were up 41-0 at the break last week against UConn, allowing them to apply the brakes and cruise home. They outgained the Huskies 514-78 in the first half en route to a record-setting 818 yards of offense. Receiver John Hightower, a highly-regarded JUCO transfer who doubled as a track standout, scored on a 67-yard pass and on a 55-yard run, taking an end-around to the house. Top returning WR A.J. Richardson opened the second half by taking a screen pass 74 yards. UConn is a disaster and Troy looked overwhelmed so we’ll get a better indication of what to make of the Boise offense in Stillwater since the Oklahoma State defense looks formidable.

    The Cowboys are transitioning from losing Mason Rudolph and top receiver James Washington to the Steelers and saw top receivers Tylan Wallace and Tryon Johnson help new QB Taylor Cornelius throw for 428 yards against South Alabama last week. Johnson, an LSU transfer, averaged 27.4 yards per catch, while Wallace hauled in 100 balls. Top RB Justice Hill scored twice despite getting only nine carries as Mike Gundy spread out the touches for his running backs but should be the x-factor here since the increased level of competition likely guarantees a heavier workload. Boise comes in healthy after its two blowouts with corner Avery Williams expected to play through an elbow injury.

    USC at Texas, 8 p.m. ET, FOX:
    The Trojans showed some fight in that they never collectively hung their heads but their first road trip of the season produced the program’s first touchdown-less game since a 52-6 loss to Alabama in ’16. Stanford cruised 17-3 as freshman QB J.T. Daniels struggled and didn’t hook up with top target Amon-Ra St. Brown until the fourth. Tyler Vaughns caught seven balls from Daniels, who was picked off twice and completed 47 percent of his passes. The Cardinal whipped their Pac-12 rivals up front, surrendering 3.1 yards per carry while harassing Daniels all night. Meanwhile, Tom Herman is still talking up his group and reassuring a nervous fan base that couldn’t have been thrilled with a one-score game in the home opener against a Group of Five opponent. Although the Longhorns led 21-0 at the break, Tulsa moved the ball well and sabotaged itself with drops and missed field goals. QB Sam Ehlinger was efficient despite a costly fumble and accounted for three of the four touchdowns while true freshman Keaontay Ingram found the end zone and is showing why he was regarded the top prep running back in the Lone Star State last year. Ingram did suffer a knee injury that has been diagnosed as a bone bruise, likely making him unavailable for Saturday’s showdown with USC. Ehlinger doing his best work in the fourth quarter and Cal transfer Tre Watson helping close things out were positives for a Texas team that still appears to be overrated and fragile.

    Oklahoma at Iowa State, 12 p.m. ET, ABC:
    In last week’s rout of UCLA, the Sooners got 306 passing yards from QB Kyler Murray, who also gained 69 on the ground and accounted for five touchdowns. Unfortunately, standout RB Rodney Anderson left with a knee injury that will end his season, so TJ Pledger got some work in alongside Trey Sermon to identify the primary back going forward. The Sooners should still be formidable and remain the Big 12 favorite, but the conference opener against Iowa State got more complicated since the Cyclones bring the best defense OU has seen to date to the table for its first road test. After getting shut down by Iowa, ISU has to be concerned that it doesn’t have enough offense to hang with a high-octane Oklahoma attack, so it will need top RB David Montgomery to fare much better this week to help control possession.

    Vanderbilt at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC:
    The Commodores went up and down the field against Nevada on Saturday but ended up scoreless in the first quarter due to a fumble and put another ball on the ground late in the half. They didn’t take control until the second half but QB Kyle Shurmur and leading returning receiver Kalija Lipscomb continued to show off great chemistry as the receiver set career-bests for catches (10) and TDs (2). Illinois transfer RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn racked up 93 yards and two scores on just 11 carries, strengthening his hold on the primary role ahead of returnees Khari Blasingame and Jamauri Wakefield but the ‘Dores are going to need them all to produce to pull off a road upset in South Bend. The Fighting Irish are 27-16 vs. SEC foes and have won both career matchups against Vandy.

    Although Vanderbilt has had losing records in every one of Derek Mason's first four seasons, he's looking to start 3-0 for the second straight year and has a team that has played against plenty of quality teams in a number of difficult venues. Notre Dame Stadium shouldn't be too daunting. The 'Dores have struggled away from Nashville though, coming in 5-16 on the road under James Franklin's successor. Safety Zaire Jones will return from suspension to try and aid the Vandy cause, whlle the Irish must toil withouts suspended RB Dexter Williams, who won't return until October. In order to produce an upset, Vandy needs to continue its run of forcing timely turnovers.

    Washington at Utah, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    Wind gusts are expected to play a significant role here, which could bode well for the host Utes since they utilize a spread option run by Tyler Huntley that’s more reliant on the run than the Huskies are. That means Jake Browning-led Washington would be more impacted if the weather does limit how effective the passing game can be on Saturday. The Utes will have top running back Zack Moss in the mix despite an ankle tweak suffered in the fourth quarter of a 17-6 win over Northern Illinois. He got just 16 carries and will certainly get more so long as his wheel holds up since head coach Kyle Whittingham made it a point to say “he’s a weapon that we need to utilize a little bit more. That is on us coaches.”

    The Huskies have their own brilliant back in Myles Gaskin, who has rushed for over 1,300 yards in each of his first three seasons and is now well over 4,000 career rushing yards. They’ve won 10 of 11 meetings against Utah, losing only in 2015 in Seattle, although the last two games have both been one-possession affairs. The Utes blew last year’s game with bad decisions down the stretch, surrendering 10 points in the final two-plus minutes in losing 33-30 on a last-second field goal. They’re the healthier team here since Washington lost left tackle Trey Adams to a back injury just before the season started and haven’t officially divulged whether center Nick Harris will return from an injury-related absence. Linebacker DJ Beavers (foot) is also banged up. Utah leads the country in total defense (143.5 ypg), pass defense (62.0 ypg) and yards per played allowed (2.22) while ranking second in pass efficiency defense (57.12)

    Alabama at Ole Miss, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Rebels have a better receiving corps that the Louisville team Alabama saw in Orlando and have 61.5 points per game, though the defense has contributed to a few of those scores. Most of the damage has been done by QB Jordan Ta’amu taking advantage of overwhelmed defensive backs via AJ Brown, DK Metcalf and DaMarkus Lodge, one of the top receiving trios in the country. Scouts are drooling at the prospect of watching them duel with the likes of Savion Smith, Trevon Diggs and special-looking freshman Patrick Surtain, Jr. and should get plenty of opportunities since the Rebs aren’t likely to be able to run the ball effectively and will likely be behind.

    Although we may see Jalen Hurts, there’s no longer a QB controversy in Tusclaoosa. Tua Tagovailoa has been tremendous thus far, throwing six touchdowns and averaging 22.2 yards per completion and will presumably get most if not all or the stops with Nick Saban calling this matchup the biggest challenge the Tide has faced thus far. Last year’s game featured current Michigan QB Shea Patterson working with a very young offense that couldn’t execute in a 66-3 loss that produced the most points scored in the Saban era and the largest margin of victory for the Tide since 1979. Ole Miss had won two of three meetings prior to last season, so it was no surprise that ‘Bama took no prisoners in Tuscaloosa. It out-gained Ole Miss 613-253. The Crimson Tide come in relatively healthy, while Ole Miss will get guys like LB Kevontae' Ruggs and WR Lodge back. Unfortunately, safely Jaylon Jones is out and will definitely be missed. There's been talk of rain in the forecast, but the latest look calls for storms to stay away and stifling heat ot prevail.

    Arizona State at San Diego State, 10:30 p.m. ET, CBSC:
    The Aztecs fell in the season opener against Stanford and then actually trailed Sacramento State last weekend before turning things around in the fourth. They had scored just 24 points through the first seven quarters and now lose senior QB Christian Chapman for 3-to-6 weeks after he sprained an MCL in the second quarter on Saturday. His run of 31 consecutive starts will end as junior backup Ryan Agnew takes over despite throwing a pair of interceptions in Chapman’s place last week. Agnew has yet to throw his first touchdown pass but is a known commodity to Arizona State defensive coordinator Danny Gonzales since he served in the same capacity at SDSU last season and was the safeties coach under Rocky Long since he took over in 2011.

    Gonzales’ expertise with the Aztecs’ complicated 3-3-5 should help Arizona State’s offensive preparation but it will be interesting to see how Rocky Long’s team deals with their own defense considering they know what can be exploited most consistently. This will be a chess match that would certainly favor San Diego State at home if it wasn’t for it starting a backup quarterback. RB Juwan Washington was forced to carry 36 times just to survive the upset bid last week and will again be the primary weapon in his third game as a starter following in the footsteps of SDSU legends Donnell Pumphrey and Rashaad Penny. He’ll be facing a stingy ASU defense that will have everyone in the mix but safety Dasmond Tautalatasi, whose interception in the end zone before injuring his elbow provided a huge lift in the upset of Michigan State. Evan Fields (hamstring) returns this week and will team with redshirt senior Jalen Harvey at the Tillman safety spot named after late Sun Devils star Pat. Star receiver N’Keal Harry will be a huge problem for San Diego State’s secondary and could cause problems the way Stanford’s JJ Arcega-Whiteside managed to in the season opener. Arizona State has won just two of 10 road openers and will need senior starter Manny Wilkins to hook up with Harry to consistently move the ball.

    Houston at Texas Tech, 4:15 p.m. ET, FOX:
    The Cougars don’t play AAC favorite UCF unless they square off in the conference championship, so this looks to be the biggest game they can count on playing since last week’s win over Arizona no longer looks as impressive as they probably thought it would before the season began. Defeating the Red Raiders may also lack shine since they’ve already dropped a game to Ole Miss and don’t figure to compete for a Big 12 title, but this will be the final Power 5 Houston can prey upon until a bowl game. Texas Tech may be down to its backup quarterback, true freshman Alan Bowman, if junior McLane Carter, the team’s most experienced option, can’t shake a high ankle sprain. Next week’s conference opener at Oklahoma State is certainly more important and West Virginia comes into Lubbock to end September, so Kliff Kingsbury could err on the side of cushion and ride with Bowman, who has thrown for 555 yards and two scores without being intercepted but has done the bulk of that work against Lamar.

    Whoever starts for the Red Raiders will be dealing with All-American DT Ed Oliver and a defense that has clamped down enough to give up three or fewer points in half of their quarters this season. Texas Tech has won seven of eight in the series but will have to slow down a Houston offense that has scored 45 points in each of their wins with QB D’Eriq King accounting for 10 touchdowns. Tech may also be down its top two options at running back since senior Tre King and sophomore Da’Leon Ward have been limited and will be game-time decisions. The Red Raiders posted their first shutout in a dozen years in a 77-0 rout of Lamar, forcing four turnovers. The offense had three touchdowns called back due to penalties and the team was flagged 14 times despite being overwhelmingly dominant, so they’ve exhibited traits of a young football team learning on the job. Lightning fast freshmen Tazhawn Henry and KeSean Johnson have Houston ties and may factor in heavily against their hometown school. This should be a fun one.

    Others to watch:
    Florida State at Syracuse, Duke at Baylor, BYU at Wisconsin, Missouri at Purdue, Miami, FL at Toledo, Fresno State at UCLA, Middle Tennessee at Georgia, Georgia Tech at Pitt

  12. #12
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    Week 3's college football odds and analysis

    Week 3 of the college football season is here and with some huge matchups on the board we're delivering need-to-know notes for cracking the NCAAF odds. Will Texas Tech have their starting quarterback for the big battle against Houston? Stanford will be without Bryce Love and are we primed for a fast start when Boise State visit Oklahoma State? All that and more in this week's best college football odds and analysis.

    BIG MOVES

    Hurricane Florence has made a mess of the Southeastern Seaboard – but a handful of teams have made arrangements that will allow some of this week's games to be played with minimal disruption. One of the most notable moves comes courtesy the Virginia Cavaliers, who have relocated Saturday's showdown against the Ohio Bobcats to Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Both teams will be looking to bounce back from subpar efforts, with the Cavaliers having dropped a 20-16 decision to Indiana last week and Ohio squeaking past Howard 38-32 despite going in as a 30.5-point favorite.

    The line hasn't budged much, with Virginia going in as a 5.5-point fave. But with oddsmakers initially expecting inclement weather to play a role, the move to Vanderbilt has sent the number soaring from a low of 40.5 in some spots to 54 as of Saturday morning. Ohio is 3-9-1 O/U in its last 13 neutral site games, while Virginia is 4-0 O/U in its previous four played in a neutral location.

    LAST-MINUTE DECISION

    The Texas Tech Red Raiders still haven't named a starting quarterback for Saturday's marquee matchup with visiting Houston – but bettors are banking on McClane Carter sitting out the game. Carter is nursing an ankle injury suffered in the Red Raiders' season opener, and all Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury has said is that he's "hopeful" his No. 1 QB will return this weekend. True freshman Alan Bowman will get the start if Carter can't go; he was nearly flawless against Lamar, going 22-for-25 for 282 yards and two scores as the sixth true frosh to start at QB in Red Raiders history.

    This line opened at Texas Tech -3, but the Red Raiders are now as low as +2 against a Houston offense that has produced 90 points through the first two games. The Cougars haven't allowed more than 27 points in six straight games, and the absence of Carter would undoubtedly make it even more difficult for Texas Tech to reach its team total of 34.5.

    NOT HALF BAD

    Two of the top first-half teams in the nation square off this weekend at Boone Pickens Stadium as Oklahoma State hosts Boise State in a battle of nationally ranked teams. The Broncos rank second in the nation in first-half points per game vs. FBS foes, having averaged 38 through their first two contests. But they'll meet their match in the Cowboys, who produced 31 first-half points in each of their first two games of the season, both one-sided victories. Oklahoma State is no stranger to fast starts, having averaged 24.8 first-half points in 2017. Meanwhile, this is foreign territory for Boise State, which averaged just 17.1 first-half points last season.

    You probably know where this is going: The first-half total for this one is 34 (O -115/U -105), and with both teams expected to push the tempo from the outset, there's a decent chance they'll blow past that number by the break.

    BETTER LATE THAN NEVER

    On the other side of the coin, there are few teams who have been stronger in the second half than the Illinois Illini, who face a major challenge Saturday against South Florida at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Illini have overcome slow starts in each of their first two games, scoring 48 of their 65 points after the break; that could bode well for the hosts against a Bulls team that has surrendered 35 of its 52 points against in the second half. Both teams have opened the season 2-0, though South Florida comes in as a solid favorite after putting up an impressive 83 points through its first two games.

    Bettors aren't exactly enthralled with the Illini's second-half exploits; they opened as high as +8 in some spots but are now up to +11.5. USF is favored by seven in the first half (-110) – and given Illinois' early struggles, it might be a solid play.

    LOVE LOST

    The Stanford Cardinal will be without fledgling Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Love for this weekend's encounter with visiting UC-Davis. Love, who rumbled for 136 yards and a score in last week's decisive win over USC, was removed from the game in the fourth quarter and taken to hospital with an undisclosed ailment. Head coach David Shaw downplayed the significance of the injury after the game, but Stanford appears to be playing it cautious with their all-world running back in a game the Cardinal are expected to win comfortably.

    That said, keep an eye on Stanford's team total for this one; Love was responsible for 19 of its 54 offensive touchdowns last season, and his absence suppresses the Cardinal's scoring potential. Love might also fall right out of the Heisman race; he came into the week at +1,000.

    CARDINALS QB CONTROVERSY?

    A turf toe injury suffered by redshirt freshman Jawon Pass has created the potential for a quarterback controversy in Louisville. Cardinals head coach Bobby Petrino says he's in wait-and-see mode with Pass and backup Malik Cunningham, who came on in relief of an injured Pass to kick off the second half last week and led Louisville to a comfortable 31-7 win over Indiana State. Petrino suggested that the freshman's health would be something to monitor throughout the week; Pass got through Tuesday's practice without issue.

    Expect Pass to be on a short leash if he does get the start for Saturday's encounter with visiting Western Kentucky. The Cardinals are desperate to generate more offense, having started the year 0-2 ATS; they're -22.5 against the Hilltoppers, with the total sitting at 56.5 at most books.

    MARTINEZ A GAME-TIME DECISION

    Nebraska head coach Scott Frost isn't ready to decide on this week's starting quarterback – and says he might even wait until "two minutes to kickoff," according to a report in the Lincoln Journal Star. Adrian Martinez is working through a knee injury suffered in last week's 33-28 loss to visiting Colorado and has been limited to participating in Thursday's walkthrough. Given that the Huskers are 10.5-point favorites against visiting Troy, Frost might elect giving Martinez an extra week of rest and starting sophomore walk-on Andrew Bunch, who went 4-for-9 for 49 yards in relief of Martinez in the loss to the Buffaloes.

    Nebraska carries a 34.5-point team total into Saturday's encounter with Troy, though that might move if word of Martinez's status becomes available. As it stands, the under becomes an intriguing option with the potential downgrade to Bunch.

    ANOTHER GAME MOVED

    Georgia has decided to move up the start time of its Saturday showdown with visiting Middle Tennessee State to noon in order to avoid any potential disruptions from Hurricane Florence. The game was originally slated to start at 7:15 p.m. ET. This marks the 11th game affected by the incoming storm, which is expected to make landfall Friday. The Bulldogs will be looking to carry over the momentum from last week's emphatic 41-7 trouncing of South Carolina, with Georgia easily covering as an 8.5-point favorite. MTSU is also coming off a major cover, trouncing Tennessee-Martin 61-37 as a five-point underdog.

    Little has changed with regard to the line and total; Georgia comes in at -32, with the total steady at 54.5. It is worth noting, however, that the Bulldogs are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home fave of 30 or more points.

    SINDELAR'S STATUS UNKNOWN

    Purdue quarterback Elijah Sindelar doesn't know if he'll be on the field for Saturday's tilt with visiting Missouri. Sindelar suffered an undisclosed during practice on Wednesday and did not participate on Thursday; head coach Jeff Brohm suggested that the junior QB will be a game-time decision. It has been a rough start to the season for Sindelar, who has thrown for a paltry 283 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions; he was picked off just seven times all of last season. David Blough will get the call if Sindelar can't go. Blough has completed 18-of-26 passes for 122 yards in relief so far in 2018.

    Perhaps bettors are keen on Purdue switching starting quarterbacks – the Boilermakers opened at +7.5 but have been bet down as low as +5.5 at select books. The total has jumped from a 62 opener up to 65.5.

    DEFENSE = OFFENSE AT UTAH STATE

    The Utah State Aggies aren't one to limit themselves to offensive touchdowns as they prepare to host FCS Tennessee Tech on Thursday night. Utah State has put up a whopping 91 points through its first two games, highlighted by a 60-13 drubbing of New Mexico State last week; the Aggies had a kickoff-return touchdown and an interception return for a score in the victory, giving them three non-offensive TDs through the first two games of the season. That's nothing new for Utah State, which scored seven non-offensive TDs in 2017 (three interceptions, two fumble recoveries, one kickoff, one blocked punt return.)

    There is no line or total for the Aggies' Thursday encounter with Tennessee Tech, but bettors should strongly consider a wager on the home side to score a special teams or defensive touchdown; the Golden Eagles allowed an interception return TD in their season-opening loss to Chattanooga.

    KEMPT TO RETURN SATURDAY

    The Iowa State Cyclones appear to have dodged a major injury to their starting quarterback. Kyle Kempt suffered a knee injury late in last week's loss to Iowa, but wide receivers coach Bryan Gasser says the redshirt freshman is "moving and trending in the right direction." It isn't yet clear if Kempt will be healthy enough to hit the field for this weekend's daunting tilt with the visiting Oklahoma Sooners; if he sits out, Zeb Noland would likely take over the starting role. Kempt was efficient last week, going 15-for-21 for 126 yards in the 13-3 defeat.

    The Cyclones' chances of going over their team total of 17.5 (-110) take a major hit if Kempt is ruled out; Noland has completed just 40 of his 76 collegiate pass attempts, while the Sooners – who enter Thursday favored by 17.5 points – have held opposing QBs to a 58.6-percent success rate through their first two games this season.

    OREGON STATE'S PIERCE SIDELINED

    The Oregon State Beavers will be without one of their top offensive threats for what should be a barn-burner Saturday at Nevada. Junior running back Artavis Pierce is expected to miss the next four weeks after suffering an elbow injury in last weekend's victory over Southern Utah. It's a significant blow for the Beavers, as Pierce racked up 259 rushing yards and three touchdowns while adding four catches for 47 yards in his first two games. Jermar Jefferson will likely get the call as the feature back for the next month, with B.J. Taylor backing him up.

    Oregon State opened at +5.5, but that line is now down to +3.5. The total is down only slightly from a 71.5-point opening but remains stout at 70; the Beavers have seen an average of 90.5 total points scored in their first two games.

    AZTECS DOWN A QB

    It'll be next man up for San Diego State this weekend after starting quarterback Christian Chapman suffered a sprained left MCL that will knock him out of the lineup for the next three-to-six weeks. Chapman suffered the injury in Saturday's 28-14 win over Sacramento State; he had gone 6-of-11 for 112 yards up to that point. While the Aztecs are a run-first team, Chapman still represents a major loss after throwing for 33 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions in his previous two seasons. Ryan Agnew will slot into the starting QB role this weekend against visiting Arizona State while Chapman recovers.

    As the news of Chapman's injury was released just prior to the line being set, it has moved only slightly from an Aztecs +5 opener down to +4.5. San Diego State is +175 on the money line, with the total holding steady at 45.5.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-15-2018 at 10:44 AM.

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