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Thread: CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Fri., Sep. 14 - Sat., Sept. 15)

  1. #1
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    Default CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Fri., Sep. 14 - Sat., Sept. 15)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, September 14 - Saturday, September 15

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
    David Schwab

    There were quite a few twists and turns in Week 13 with the results having an impact on the playoff race in each division. British Columbia got things started by picking up a key win in the West with Friday night’s 26-14 victory over Ottawa as a slight 1 ½-point home favorite.

    In the first of three games on Saturday, Hamilton closed the gap in the East by beating Toronto 36-25 as a five-point favorite on the road. Saskatchewan continued its winning ways by knocking off Winnipeg 32-27 as a four-point road underdog and Edmonton evened up its home-and-home series against Calgary with a 48-42 upset as a two-point underdog at home.

    Friday, Sept. 14

    British Columbia Lions (4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS)

    Point-spread: BC -3
    Total: 49

    Game Overview

    BC continues to bring up the rear in the West, but with last week’s win it is still in contention for a crossover position in the playoffs. The Lions have covered against the spread in five of their last seven games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of those seven contests. One injury note for this Friday is quarterback Travis Lulay, who remains in concussion protocol.

    Montreal is coming off a bye after stunning Ottawa 21-11 in Week 12 as a heavy 16-point road underdog. This was the Alouettes second straight-up win in a row and they have now covered in their last four games. Earlier in the season, Montreal traded for quarterback Johnny Manziel, but it may have found its new starter in Antonio Pipkin. He has completed 64.3 percent of his 84 passing attempts for 762 yards through three previous starts.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Lions have won their last five games against the Alouettes both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in seven of the last 10 meetings in Montreal. BC started this season with a 22-10 victory against Montreal as an 8 ½-point favorite at home.


    Saturday, Sept. 15

    Calgary Stampeders (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)

    Point-spread: Calgary -1
    Total: 53 ½

    Game Overview

    Calgary’s breathing room in the West Division title race just became a bit tighter with the loss to its bitter rivals. It is 2-2 SU in its last four games and 1-4 ATS in its last five outings. The total went way OVER 50 points against Edmonton in Week 13 and it has gone OVER in four of the Stampeders last six games. Their points-allowed average has ballooned to 33.5 over their past four contests. Calgary trailed by 20 points in Saturday’s loss heading into the fourth quarter.

    The Tiger-Cats have worked their way into a tie for first in the East with a SU three-game winning streak. They have covered in their last two games with the total going OVER in each outing. They are 2-3 ATS at home this season with the total going OVER in three of the five games. Jeramiah Masoli threw for 307 yards and four touchdowns in Saturday’s win at Toronto and Hamilton piled up another 117 yards on the ground.

    Betting Trends

    -- Calgary has covered in five of its last six road games against the Tiger-Cats and the total has stayed UNDER in five of those six games. Back in Week 1, the Stampeders hammered out a 28-14 victory at home against Hamilton as 7 ½-point favorites.

    Ottawa RedBlacks (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS)
    Point-spread: Saskatchewan OFF
    Total: OFF

    Game Overview

    The RedBlacks have started the second half of their season with back-to-back losses both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in each game. They started the season with a 40-17 romp over Saskatchewan as two-point home favorites, but they have only managed to score a combined 25 points in those two recent setbacks. Trevor Harris threw a pair of interceptions in the loss to BC and he now has nine picks on the year against 11 touchdown throws.

    The longest current winning streak in the CFL belongs to Saskatchewan at four games both SU and ATS. The recent sweep of Winnipeg with a combined 63 points scored has raised the Roughriders’ scoring average of the year to 25.3 points per game. Much of the team’s recent success could be pinned to the play of quarterback Zach Collaros, but he left Saturday’s game against the Blue Bombers in the fourth quarter with an undisclosed injury.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Roughriders have a SU 4-2 edge in its last six games against Ottawa. However, the RedBlacks have covered the spread in six of the last nine meetings. The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven meetings in Saskatchewan.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 04:31 PM.

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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 14


    Friday, September 14

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    BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 6) at MONTREAL (3 - 8) - 9/14/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
    MONTREAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, September 15

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    CALGARY (9 - 2) at HAMILTON (6 - 5) - 9/15/2018, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HAMILTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
    HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OTTAWA (6 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 4) - 9/15/2018, 9:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 126-92 ATS (+24.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CFL

    Week 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, September 14

    British Columbia Lions
    British Columbia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    British Columbia is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
    British Columbia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games on the road
    British Columbia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    British Columbia is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    British Columbia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of British Columbia's last 10 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    Montreal Alouettes
    Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Montreal is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
    Montreal is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 13 games
    Montreal is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Montreal is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games at home
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
    Montreal is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against British Columbia
    Montreal is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against British Columbia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing at home against British Columbia


    Saturday, September 15

    Calgary Stampeders
    Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Calgary is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 16 games
    Calgary is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games when playing Hamilton
    Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Hamilton is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home
    Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Hamilton is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
    Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
    Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing Calgary
    Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
    Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary


    Ottawa RedBlacks
    Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
    Ottawa is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
    Ottawa is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
    Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
    Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    Saskatchewan Roughriders
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
    Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Saskatchewan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
    Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 04:33 PM.

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    CFL

    Dunkel

    Week 14


    Friday, September 14

    BC Lions @ Montreal

    Game 659-660
    September 14, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    BC Lions
    112.846
    Montreal
    105.326
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    BC Lions
    by 7 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    BC Lions
    by 3
    49
    Dunkel Pick:
    BC Lions
    (-3); Over




    Saturday, September 15

    Calgary @ Hamilton

    Game 661-662
    September 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    117.834
    Hamilton
    114.329
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 3 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 1 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Ottawa @ Saskatchewan


    Game 663-664
    September 15, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    113.917
    Saskatchewan
    111.454
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 2 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Saskatchewan
    by 5
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+5); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-13-2018 at 04:33 PM.

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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 14


    BC Lions (4-6) (-3, 48.5) @ Montreal (3-8)— Alouettes won last two games, covered last four; they’re 1-4 SU/ATS at home, upsetting Toronto in last home game. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. BC is 0-5 SU on road, 0-1 as road favorites; under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Lions are 1-3 in game decided by less than a TD- they won/covered last six series games, winning last three visits here, by 7-20-9 points. Under is 3-2 in BC’s last five visits here. Lions won first meeting 22-10 in season opener, outscoring Montreal 15-0 over last three quarters.

    Calgary (9-2) (-1, 53.3) @ Hamilton (6-5)— Stampeders won last 10 series games, covering five of last six; Calgary won its last four visits here (3-1 vs spread), winning by 3-19-3-10 points. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Stamps split their last four games after a 7-0 start, losing last two road games, 40-27 in Regina, 48-42 in Edmonton. Four of their last six games went over total. Ti-Cats won their last three games, scoring 34 ppg; they’re 6-0 when they score 25+ points, 0-5 when they don’t. Hamilton is 1-0-1 vs spread as an underdog.

    Ottawa (6-5) @ Saskatchewan (7-4) (-5, 50.5)— Road team won four of last five series games; Roughriders won four of last six. Ottawa split its last four visits here- all four of those games were decided by 3 or fewer points. Underdogs covered six of last seven series games. Ottawa lost its last two games, scoring 14-11 points; they’re 3-3 SU on road, 3-2 vs spread in last five games getting points. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Riders won their last four games, averaging 31.7 ppg; five of their last seven games went over the total.

    Through Week 13: Favorites 21-29; Under 29-19-2

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