For line moves, let's move ahead into all the big ones for Week 1 of the NFL. Take a minute to review all the betting trends, our free picks and predictions (316-247-5 long term, 125-95-3 of late) to see what we are thinking today. See you back here next week.**


NFL (453) PITTSBURGH at (454) CLEVELAND *1:00 ET* CBS* *New* Total

With no Le'Veon Bell all preseason and likely doubtful to even suit up looking for a bigger payday, Pittsburgh is down from 6.5 to -4. Cleveland will be better this season, in part because they could not be any worse than 1-31 the past two years. Yet, to take the Browns still requires some Bill Raftery "onions" with them 2-10 ATS as a home underdog of seven points or less.*Update - For the most part Pittsburgh and -4 has held up, however about half the books have gone back up to -4.5. The total has plunged like from 47 to 41. Because the Steelers have been down the road before with LVB, they will be fine and win 20-14.

Betting Trend - Was 74% backing Pittsburgh, now 71% and 66% on Under

Doug's VPID Take*- Pittsburgh covers and Under

NFL (455) SAN FRANCISCO at (456) MINNESOTA *1:00 ET*FOX* *New*

Though San Francisco is highly regarded in many betting circles, when they are facing Minnesota on the road, evidently that is a different story. The 49ers have been upped from +4.5 to +6.5 in the land of 10,000 lakes. The Vikings Mike Zimmer has replaced Brian Billick as every bettor's favorite coach with his incredible 44-22 ATS record. When the Vikes are home favorites. they are a delectable 18-7 ATS.

Betting Trend - 75% backing Minnesota

Doug's VPID Take*- Minnesota covers

NFL (457) CINCINNATI at (458) INDIANAPOLIS *1:00 ET* CBS

This AFC affair was sent out with Indianapolis as the one-point favorite long before we knew if Andrew Luck would really be playing this season. With Luck a lock to start, the Colts were ridden to -2.5 over Cincinnati. The Bengals are the Bengals, you just never know. However, the Cincy defensive line looks like it could handle and a more talented, yet rebuilding Indy O-Line and the Bengals are 19-10 ATS as a road underdog of three points or less. Update - In spite of a lot of Cincy support, it's not sharp money and the line has stayed at 2.5.

Betting Trend -*Still 74% backing Cincinnati

Doug's VPID Take*- Lean Cincinnati

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