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Thread: NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sept. 7 - Sat., Sept. 8)

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    Default NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sept. 7 - Sat., Sept. 8)


    Week 2


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Friday, September 7 - Saturday, September 8

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Betting Recap - Week 1
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes



    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Cincinnati (+14.5, ML +450) at UCLA, 26-17
    Villanova (+14.5, ML +450) at Temple, 19-17
    Hawaii (+13.5, ML +425) vs. Navy, 59-41
    Maryland (+13, ML +400) vs. Texas, 34-29
    Brigham Young (+11, ML +320) at Arizona, 28-23

    The largest favorites to cover
    Toledo (-48.5) vs. Virginia Military, 66-3
    Mississippi State (-47.5) vs. Stephen F. Austin, 63-6
    Texas A&M (-46.5) vs. Northwestern State, 59-7
    Florida (-43) vs. Charleston Southern, 53-6
    Ohio State (-40) vs. Oregon State, 77-31

    Top 25 Notes

    -- Top-ranked Alabama remains the gold standard in college football until further notice. They rolled up a 51-14 victory against Louisville as a 23 1/2-point favorite at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The only drama in this game came down to whether or not the over or under would cash. See bad beats below. ... There were concerns that Ohio State might be a bit distracted due to the Urban Meyer suspension, but Oregon State knows the Buckeyes were plenty focused. Ohio State covered the largest spread of any FBS vs. FBS game, hammering the beleaguered Beavers by a 77-31 score. They ended up getting the cover late, yet another big-time program dealing out a bit of a bad beat in the opening weekend. ... On the 11-year anniversary of their colossal upset in Ann Arbor, Appalachian State was at it again at Penn State. They entered the game as 24 1/2-point underdogs, but the Mountaineers put a scare into the Top 10 Nittany Lions. App State scored 28 points in the final quarter to force overtime, 38-38. Penn State survived in OT, 45-38, but soon Big Ten clubs are going to refuse to take calls from Boone, N.C. about future scheduling.

    -- Auburn-Washington looked like one of the best matchups of the opening slate on paper, and it certainly lived up to the billing. Sure, there were some mistakes on both sides, but this one came right down to the end. Auburn ended up securing a 21-16 victory, potentially damaging Washington's playoff hopes before their second game of the season, while the Tigers earned a huge feather for their cap.

    -- Michigan-Notre Dame was another highly anticipated matchup, as these two storied schools renewed their rivalry. Jim Harbaugh has a new toy under center in QB Shea Patterson, but the Wolverines were tripped up 24-17 to lose for the 17th straight time on the road against a ranked opponent.

    -- Two games were cancelled due to inclement weather, including the Akron-Nebraska. It was supposed to be the celebration of Scott Frost's return to Lincoln. His debut will have to wait another week until Colorado pays a visit next week. The other cancelled game was South Dakota State-Iowa State, the first cancelled game for the Cyclones since 1963 when John F. Kennedy was assassinated. There are no plans to make up either contest.

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    -- The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) mostly did what they were supposed to do, and that is win. That is, except for Louisville. North Carolina-California was also a bit of a coin-flip game, and the Golden Bears came away with the 24-17 result. UNC slipped to 0-4 SU over the past four season openers, and a disturbing 0-5-1 ATS across the past six season openers dating back to Sept. 1, 2012. ... Wake Forest grinded out a tough 23-17 win in overtime on the road against Tulane as the Green Wave narrowly covered a seven-point number at most shops. The Demon Deacons have been favored by three or more points just four times since the start of the 2010 season. The last time they covered as favorites by a field goal or more on the road was Nov. 28, 2009 at Duke.

    -- Mid-American giant killer Northern Illinois entered the weekend 4-1 SU in their past five against Big Ten opponents. Iowa was wearing their upset bug repellent and never gave the Huskies a chance to threaten. It was a 3-0 lead at halftime for Iowa, so the thought was NIU could still make it happen. But the Hawkeyes pulled away in the second half for an emphatic 33-7 victory. ... Indiana hung on tight for a 38-28 road victory against Butch Davis and Florida International despite hot and humid conditions in South Florida. The Golden Panthers did grab the cover, however. ... Northwestern handed Purdue a loss in Thursday's game, 31-27. While the Wildcats won at Ross-Ade, the Boilermakers showed they're not going to be a pushover any longer.

    -- Oklahoma was expected to receive a little more resistance from Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic on Saturday, but the Owls remain a cream puff rather than a giant killer like App State, NIU, etc. Boomer Sooner laid down the boom, rolling up a 56-0 lead at one point before the Owls finally lit up their side of the scoreboard. ... It looks like another long season is in the offing for Kansas, as they suffered a 26-23 setback against FCS Nicholls State. Hey, at least the Jayhawks forced them to overtime. ... Kansas State almost joined their rivals in misery, as FCS South Dakota gave the Wildcats all they could handle at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan. In the end, K-State survived 27-24, but they have a lot of work to do. ... West Virginia humbled Tennessee in a neutral-site battle, as QB Will Grier kept his Heisman campaign on schedule.

    -- UCLA was unable to pull any comeback heroics like last season against Texas A&M. It was Cincinnati spoiling the debut of Chip Kelly, 26-17. ... Southern California was a bit sluggish in their home opener against UNLV, but the alarm clock went off to start the fourth quarter. The Runnin' Rebels trailed just 19-14 going into the final 15 minutes, but the Trojans outscored the visitors 24-7 and they nearly covered. ... Washington State-Wyoming was supposed to be more of a defensive struggle, at least for the visiting Cougars. The Cowboys have an impressive defense, and they shut down New Mexico State in Week Zero. The Cougs weren't having any of it, piling up 41 points in a 41-19 win. It wasn't as lopsided as it looks, though. Wazzu entered the final 15 minutes up just 20-19 before running away.

    -- Ole Miss looked mighty impressive on the road at Texas Tech, winning 47-27 to easily cover a 2 1/2-point number. ... South Carolina was not a very kind host to Coastal Carolina, smashing the Chanticleers by a 49-15 count. The Gamecocks covered the 30 1/2-point number, their largest spread covered since winning 70-10 as 34 1/2-point favorites on Nov. 23, 2013 against, yep...Coastal Carolina. ... Vanderbilt was supposed to receiver a bigger test against South Middle Tennessee, as they were just a three-point favorite. The Commodores roughed up the Blue Raiders by a 35-7 count.

    Mid-Major Report

    -- Temple was shocked by FCS Villanova at home, losing 19-17. The Owls led 17-13 heading to the final quarter, but the Wildcats ended up celebrating in the end. For FBS teams nicknamed the Owls (FAU, Temple and Rice), they ended up 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. Only Rice earned a cover in their 45-27 loss against Houston. ... Memphis lost a lot of key components, but it didn't show in their 66-14 victory over FCS Mercer. The Tigers piled up 28 points in both the first and second quarter to build a 56-0 halftime lead before letting the reserves bring it home. ... SMU had their lunch handed to them by North Texas, 46-23. The two sides combined for 33 points in the fourth quarter, but came up just short of the total (71 1/2).

    -- Texas El-Paso entered their contest against FCS Northern Arizona as seven-point underdogs despite the fact the game was being played at home. Vegas got it right, and then some...as the Lumberjacks crushed their FBS opponent by a 30-10 count. It's gonna be a long season in El Paso, so be prepared to fade the Miners. ... Marshall picked up a 35-28 road win against rival Miami-Ohio, covering as one-point road 'dogs. The Thundering Herd is now 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS across their past six season openers. ... Old Dominion went to Liberty, favored by five points. The Flames, playing in their first game ever as an FBS program, never faltered in the 52-10 victory against the Monarchs.

    -- Central Michigan opened on the road against Kentucky, and John Bonamego's crew hung around for a while. In fact, they trailed just 21-20 at halftime. But the Chips were scoreless in the second half to slip up 35-20. They were able to hang around for the cover, however. ... Ohio roughed up FCS Hampton in their opener last season, but this year they had trouble with Howard. The Bison won a game against the FBS last season at UNLV, and they were trying to spring another upset as 31 1/2-point 'dogs. Eventually the Bobcats won 38-32, but it wasn't pretty.

    -- Idaho dropped back down to FCS, and Fresno State treated them rather rudely in their visit to the Valley. The Bulldogs scored seven rushing touchdowns en route to a 79-13 win. ... Nevada also went for a 70-burger against FCS Portland State, winning 72-19 to cover a four-touchdown spread. ... Offense was not missing in the Islands, either. Hawaii is off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start after sinking Navy. The Warriors are using the run-and-shoot and look like a very entertaining group early on. ... San Jose State is going to be terrible again. They were dropped 44-38 at home against FCS UC-Davis. Ouch.

    Bad Beats

    -- Oregon State was covering the 40-point number for the entire game, but Beavers side bettors were sunk by Buckeyes reserve RB Master Teague, as he ripped off a 33-yard touchdown run with 3:50 to go for the 77-31 win and cover.

    -- Louisville didn't score much in their neutral-site battle against 'Bama, but they scored enough. 'Under' (60) were left muttering to themselves after Kemari Averett hauled in an 8-yard TD pass with 1:55 to play to close the Tide lead to 51-14, changing the 'under' to an 'over'. Why? WHY?!?!?!

    -- Army was trailing 31-14, and they were attempting a long field goal in the closing minutes at Duke. The field goal was blocked, which was the good news for 'under' (46) bettors. The bad news is that the Blue Devils returned it deep into Black Knights territory. With 3:59 to go, Duke booted a 30-yard field goal which had no impact on the score or line, but it flipped an 'under' to an 'over'.

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    Clemson opens double-digit fave, draws early action vs. Texas A&M
    Patrick Everson

    After a riveting and lengthy Week 1 of the college football season, it’s time to move on to a more standard Week 2. Covers checks in on the opening lines and early action for a trio of games, with insights from Mike Piranio, sportsbook director at Mandalay Bay on the Las Vegas Strip.

    Clemson Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (+11)

    Clemson, which won the national title two seasons ago and lost to Alabama in the College Football Playoff semifinals last year, coasted into action this season. The Tigers (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) played host to FCS outfit Furman on Saturday and rolled to a 48-7 victory, though they failed to cash as massive 50-point favorites.

    Texas A&M opened a new coaching era this season with Jimbo Fisher, who exited Florida State after an eight-year stretch at Florida State. The Aggies also opened with an overmatched FCS foe, walloping Northwestern State 59-7 as a 46.5-point home chalk Thursday night.

    “Clemson opened at -11 and immediately went to -13,” Piranio said. “Clemson’s a public team, A&M has a new coach, that’s gonna make a difference in the public’s mind on how they’re doing, although he’s a good coach. But it’ll take a while for (the Aggies) to adjust. That game might go up a little bit, but it’s made its move already.”

    In fact, Mandalay Bay and other MGM books were sitting at Clemson -12.5 late Monday afternoon.

    No. 4. Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (+9)

    Georgia, which lost to Alabama in overtime in last year’s national championship game, also eased its way into the 2018-19 campaign. The Bulldogs blanked Austin Peay 45-0, but fell just short of cashing as 48.5-point home faves Saturday.

    South Carolina is coming off a 9-4 season, including a victory over Michigan in the Outback Bowl. Last week, the Gamecocks at least scheduled an FBS opponent, but it was Coastal Carolina out of the Sun Belt Conference. South Carolina breezed to a 49-15 win and cover laying 31 points at home.

    “That one hasn’t moved much. It started at 9, there are 9.5s and 10s,” Piranio said. “But I look for that to stick around 9.5, not move too much, because both teams are quality teams. We have a lot of action on South Carolina winning the SEC, so the public has some ties to that game.”

    Southern California Trojans at Stanford Cardinal (-4)

    These Pac-12 rivals got two cracks at each other last season, in Week 2 and in the conference title game, with Southern Cal winning both times and splitting the cash. The Trojans opened 2017-18 with a 43-21 victory over UNLV on Saturday as a healthy 24-point chalk.

    Stanford exacted a little revenge in its season opener, after losing outright on the road to San Diego State last year. The Cardinal didn’t take the lead until just before halftime Friday night, at 9-7, but pulled away in the second half for a 31-10 victory giving 14 points at home.

    “It opened up at -4 Stanford, it’s gone to 3.5. I look for that game to go back up to 4,” Piranio said Monday afternoon, and indeed MGM books were later at 4, though dipping again is certainly not out of the question. “The public likes the Southern California teams, and (those bettors) come in here a lot.”
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2018 at 09:28 PM.

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    Early Line Moves - Week 2

    The second week of the college football season is upon us and it is the first real week where we can track early line moves. The first week of the season was completely different because the college football odds were up for months in some cases. This time around the odds were released on Sunday night or Monday morning, so we will get true early line movement we can track.

    Let’s look at the early line moves for Week 2 college football action, some line moves around the key number of three and a few smaller line moves on some of the marquee games for Week 2.

    Week 2 Early Moves

    TCU -17.5 to -22.5 at SMU

    The first game of Week 2 is getting a lot of action, as bettors are pounding the TCU Horned Frogs at SMU. The Horned Frogs looked good last week in a 55-7 rout of Southern, while the Mustangs were routed 46-23 at North Texas. This Friday night game can be seen on ESPN 2.

    Liberty +12 to +9.5 at Army
    The Flames are getting some action on Saturday on the road at Army. Liberty opened up as a 12-point underdog and that number is down to 9.5. This is one of the few dogs that got a lot of early action.

    Florida Atlantic -7.5 to -10 vs. Air Force
    Bettors must be ignoring what happened last week to the Owls, as they were humiliated by Oklahoma. The Falcons rolled over Stony Brook in Week 1, winning 38-0.

    Vanderbilt -7.5 to -10 vs. Nevada
    The Commodores are getting a lot of love from bettors, as they are now double-digit favorites vs. the Wolf Pack. Vanderbilt rolled over Middle Tennessee last week, while Nevada crushed Portland State.

    Utah State -21 to -24 vs. New Mexico State
    Utah State looked really good last week and nearly beat Michigan State. This will be the third game for New Mexico State and they already look like one of the worst teams in college football.

    Michigan State -4 to -7 at Arizona State
    This is a strange move, as Michigan State didn’t look good last week in close win over Utah State, while Arizona State looked as good as they have in years in winning their opener under Herm Edwards.

    Key Number Line Moves

    Georgia Tech -2 to -3 at South Florida

    The Yellow Jackets had no trouble in their opener, as they routed Alcorn, while South Florida won by 20 points over Elon.

    BYU -2.5 to -3.5 vs. California
    One of the most impressive performances in Week 1 came from the Cougars as they went on the road and dominated Arizona in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. The Golden Bears got past North Carolina in Week 1, winning by a touchdown.

    Marquee Games Line Moves

    Clemson -11 to -12.5 at Texas A&M

    One of the marquee games this week has Clemson on the road to take on A&M. The Tigers are considered one of the best teams in the country, but Jimbo Fisher knows Clemson really well. Bettors are backing the No. 2 team in the country in this game on ESPN.

    Georgia -9 to -9.5 at South Carolina
    The No. 3 ranked Bulldogs had no trouble in Week 1, as they dominated Austin Peay, winning 45-0. South Carolina rolled over College of Charleston, winning 49-15. This contest can be seen on CBS on Saturday.

    Pittsburgh +9 to +7.5 vs. Penn State
    The Nittany Lions didn’t look good last week on defense, as they gave up a lot of points to Appalachian State. The Nittany Lions were fortunate just to get an overtime win. The Panthers were not that great, but they did get past Albany 33-7. This game is the feature game on ABC on Saturday night.

    USC +4 to +3.5 at Stanford
    This game on FOX has seen a little bit of movement to the Trojans. Stanford didn’t look that good last week in a win over San Diego State, while USC rolled over UNLV.

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Friday, September 7

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    TCU (1 - 0) at SMU (0 - 1) - 9/7/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TCU is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    SMU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
    SMU is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
    TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Saturday, September 8

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    LIBERTY (1 - 0) at ARMY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
    ARMY is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    UAB (1 - 0) at COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UAB is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    UAB is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GEORGIA TECH (1 - 0) at S FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    W MICHIGAN (0 - 1) at MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    APPALACHIAN ST (0 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    E MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    AIR FORCE (1 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    AIR FORCE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) at OLD DOMINION (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OLD DOMINION is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DUKE (1 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NORTHWESTERN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) at KANSAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS ST is 150-117 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    ARIZONA (0 - 1) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEVADA (1 - 0) at VANDERBILT (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    GEORGIA ST (1 - 0) at NC STATE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
    GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    GEORGIA ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    UCLA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 2) at UTAH ST (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
    NEW MEXICO ST is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    KANSAS (0 - 1) at C MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 76-114 ATS (-49.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    KANSAS is 117-154 ATS (-52.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    KANSAS is 96-130 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    KANSAS is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTEP (0 - 1) at UNLV (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTEP is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
    UTEP is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
    UTEP is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
    UNLV is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    UNLV is 87-123 ATS (-48.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at NAVY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
    NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 94-57 ATS (+31.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    NAVY is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    NAVY is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NAVY is 106-71 ATS (+27.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
    MEMPHIS is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    NAVY is 1-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    N CAROLINA (0 - 1) at E CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RUTGERS (1 - 0) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 155-121 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 167-126 ATS (+28.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (1 - 0) at TEMPLE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GEORGIA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BAYLOR (1 - 0) at UTSA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BAYLOR is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    UTSA is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARKANSAS ST (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (1 - 0) at NEBRASKA (0-0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA MONROE (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
    SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALL ST (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA ST (0-0) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    IOWA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARYLAND (1 - 0) at BOWLING GREEN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEMSON (1 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WYOMING (1 - 1) at MISSOURI (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at INDIANA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KENTUCKY (1 - 0) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (1 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N ILLINOIS is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    UTAH is 63-35 ATS (+24.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FRESNO ST (1 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at COLORADO ST (0 - 2) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARKANSAS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (1 - 0) vs. MIAMI OHIO (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TULSA (1 - 0) at TEXAS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S ALABAMA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PENN ST (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    USC (1 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALIFORNIA (1 - 0) at BYU (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALIFORNIA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (0 - 1) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:45 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA ST is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE ST (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    RICE (1 - 1) at HAWAII (2 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:59 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2018 at 09:30 PM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    73,993
    Credits
    192,635

    Default

    NCAAF

    Week 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, September 7

    Texas Christian @ Southern Methodist
    Texas Christian
    Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
    Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

    Southern Methodist
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
    Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


    Saturday, September 8

    Mississippi State @ Kansas State
    Mississippi State
    Mississippi State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

    Kansas State
    Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Kansas State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

    Nevada @ Vanderbilt
    Nevada
    Nevada is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 18 games on the road

    Vanderbilt
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games
    Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    Arizona @ Houston
    Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

    Houston
    Houston is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home

    Duke @ Northwestern
    Duke
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Northwestern

    Northwestern
    Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Georgia Tech @ South Florida
    Georgia Tech
    Georgia Tech is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
    Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

    South Florida
    South Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
    South Florida is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

    Liberty @ Army
    Liberty
    Liberty is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Liberty is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

    Army
    Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Army is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

    Towson @ Wake Forest
    Towson
    Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

    Wake Forest
    Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Wake Forest is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    Western Michigan @ Michigan
    Western Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
    Western Michigan is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

    Michigan
    Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan's last 18 games at home

    Eastern Michigan @ Purdue
    Eastern Michigan
    Eastern Michigan is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Eastern Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Purdue
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Purdue's last 20 games at home
    Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    New Mexico @ Wisconsin
    New Mexico
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
    New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Wisconsin
    Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
    Wisconsin is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

    Georgia State @ North Carolina State
    Georgia State
    Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Georgia State is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road

    North Carolina State
    North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    California-Los Angeles @ Oklahoma
    California-Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road

    Oklahoma
    Oklahoma is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
    Oklahoma is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Holy Cross @ Boston College
    Holy Cross
    No trends to report

    Boston College
    Boston College is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Boston College is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Portland State @ Oregon
    Portland State
    Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Oregon
    Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oregon's last 12 games at home

    William & Mary @ Virginia Tech
    William & Mary
    William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Virginia Tech
    Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games

    Air Force @ Florida Atlantic
    Air Force
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games on the road
    Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

    Florida Atlantic
    Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Florida Atlantic is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

    Kansas @ Central Michigan
    Kansas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road
    Kansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

    Central Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
    Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    Arkansas State @ Alabama
    Arkansas State
    Arkansas State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 11 games on the road

    Alabama
    Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Alabama is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games

    Georgia @ South Carolina
    Georgia
    Georgia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road

    South Carolina
    South Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of South Carolina's last 11 games when playing at home against Georgia

    Colorado @ Nebraska
    Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
    Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nebraska

    Nebraska
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

    North Carolina @ East Carolina
    North Carolina
    North Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    North Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina

    East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 11 games
    East Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina

    Wagner @ Syracuse
    Wagner
    Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Syracuse
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Syracuse's last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Syracuse's last 20 games

    Rutgers @ Ohio State
    Rutgers
    Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Rutgers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

    Ohio State
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Buffalo @ Temple
    Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
    Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Temple
    Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
    Temple is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

    Howard @ Kent State
    Howard
    Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Kent State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games
    Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

    Memphis @ Navy
    Memphis
    Memphis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

    Navy
    Navy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games at home

    Morgan State @ Akron
    Morgan State
    Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

    Akron
    Akron is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games at home

    Ball State @ Notre Dame
    Ball State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games on the road
    Ball State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

    Notre Dame
    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Notre Dame is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

    Southern Illinois @ Mississippi
    Southern Illinois
    Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

    Mississippi
    Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    East Tennessee State @ Tennessee
    East Tennessee State
    East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Tennessee
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
    Tennessee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Lamar @ Texas Tech
    Lamar
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games

    Texas Tech
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas Tech's last 24 games at home
    Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

    North Dakota @ Washington
    North Dakota
    North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Washington
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Iowa State @ Iowa
    Iowa State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa

    Iowa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State
    Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

    Youngstown State @ West Virginia
    Youngstown State
    Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    West Virginia
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
    West Virginia is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

    Savannah State @ Miami-FL
    Savannah State
    Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Miami-FL
    Miami-FL is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

    Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern
    Massachusetts
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games on the road
    Massachusetts is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Georgia Southern
    Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Georgia Southern is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Maryland @ Bowling Green
    Maryland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Maryland's last 10 games

    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
    Bowling Green is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

    Appalachian State @ Charlotte
    Appalachian State
    Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Charlotte
    Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    South Carolina State @ Central Florida
    South Carolina State
    South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall
    Eastern Kentucky
    Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    Marshall
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
    Marshall is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Southeastern Louisiana @ Louisiana State
    Southeastern Louisiana
    Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

    Louisiana State
    Louisiana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Louisiana State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    Wyoming @ Missouri
    Wyoming
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games on the road
    Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

    Missouri
    Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    Clemson @ Texas A&M
    Clemson
    Clemson is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    Clemson is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

    Texas A&M
    Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Texas A&M is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

    Baylor @ Texas-San Antonio
    Baylor
    Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road

    Texas-San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
    Texas-San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

    Indiana State @ Louisville
    Indiana State
    Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

    Louisville
    Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games

    Southern University @ Louisiana Tech
    Southern University
    Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

    Louisiana Tech
    Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Louisiana Tech is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

    Tennessee-Martin @ Middle Tennessee
    Tennessee-Martin
    Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    Middle Tennessee
    Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Louisiana-Monroe @ Southern Miss
    Louisiana-Monroe
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 12 games on the road
    Louisiana-Monroe is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

    Southern Miss
    Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Southern Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

    Alabama-Birmingham @ Coastal Carolina
    Alabama-Birmingham
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 5 games on the road
    Alabama-Birmingham is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

    Coastal Carolina
    Coastal Carolina is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    Coastal Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Florida A&M @ Troy
    Florida A&M
    Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Troy
    Troy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Texas Southern @ Texas State
    Texas Southern
    Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Texas State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas State's last 19 games

    Samford @ Florida State
    Samford
    Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Florida State
    Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Alabama State @ Auburn
    Alabama State
    Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Auburn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games at home

    Kentucky @ Florida
    Kentucky
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games

    Florida
    Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
    Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

    Utah @ Northern Illinois
    Utah
    Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    Northern Illinois
    Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games

    Virginia @ Indiana
    Virginia
    Virginia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

    Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
    Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

    Western Illinois @ Illinois
    Western Illinois
    Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Illinois
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games

    Fresno State @ Minnesota
    Fresno State
    Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road

    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

    Florida International @ Old Dominion
    Florida International
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games

    Old Dominion
    Old Dominion is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 7 games

    Incarnate Word @ North Texas
    Incarnate Word
    No trends to report

    North Texas
    North Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

    Maine @ Western Kentucky
    Maine
    Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

    Western Kentucky
    Western Kentucky is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home

    Arkansas @ Colorado State
    Arkansas
    Arkansas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    Arkansas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

    Colorado State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home
    Colorado State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Southern Utah @ Oregon State
    Southern Utah
    Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

    Oregon State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games at home

    South Alabama @ Oklahoma State
    South Alabama
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Alabama's last 10 games

    Oklahoma State
    Oklahoma State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
    Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

    Tulsa @ Texas
    Tulsa
    Tulsa is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tulsa's last 15 games on the road

    Texas
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 21 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games at home

    Penn State @ Pittsburgh
    Penn State
    Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Penn State's last 8 games

    Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

    New Mexico State @ Utah State
    New Mexico State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing Utah State

    Utah State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
    Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

    Cincinnati @ Miami-OH
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Miami-OH

    Miami-OH
    Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

    Nicholls State @ Tulane
    Nicholls State
    Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    Tulane
    Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Southern California @ Stanford
    Southern California
    Southern California is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Stanford

    Stanford
    Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

    Texas El Paso @ Nevada-Las Vegas
    Texas El Paso
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road
    Texas El Paso is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

    Nevada-Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 17 games at home
    Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Sacramento State @ San Diego State
    Sacramento State
    Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    San Diego State
    San Diego State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
    San Diego State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

    California @ Brigham Young
    California
    California is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    California is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

    Brigham Young
    Brigham Young is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brigham Young is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

    Connecticut @ Boise State
    Connecticut
    Connecticut is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
    Connecticut is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road

    Boise State
    Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Boise State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

    Michigan State @ Arizona State
    Michigan State
    Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games on the road

    Arizona State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games
    Arizona State is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home

    San Jose State @ Washington State
    San Jose State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 6 games on the road
    San Jose State is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games

    Washington State
    Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Washington State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    Rice @ Hawaii
    Rice
    Rice is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
    Rice is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii

    Hawaii
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games
    Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Rice


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2018 at 09:31 PM.

  7. #7
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    Nov 2004
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    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 2


    Friday, September 7

    TCU won its last six games with SMU (3-2-1 vs spread), winning 33-3/56-0 in last two visits here (short drive from Ft Worth to Dallas). Last seven years, Horned Frogs are 8-14 as road favorites, but were 3-1 LY. Last four years, SMU is 5-11 as home underdogs. Mustangs got pounded 46-23 at North Texas Saturday; they were outgained 529-256. TCU cruised over a I-AA opponent. Last five years, Big X teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams; they were 5-2 LY.


    Saturday’s best 13 games
    Florida Atlantic was crushed 63-14 at Oklahoma last week, giving up 10.5 yards per play; Owls have ten starters back on defense, have an experienced OL, but Kiffin has some damage control to do, getting FAU to bounce back and cover a 9-point spread here. Owls were 9-2 vs spread as a favorite in Kiffin’s first year LY. Air Force beat a I-AA team 38-0 LW; they were just 2-8 passing, though. Falcons covered seven of last nine tries as a road underdog. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 9-3 vs spread when facing a Mountain West opponent, 3-2 when favored.

    Northwestern beat Duke two of last three years; Blue Devils lost 24-13 here in 2016. Duke beat Army 34-14 LW; yardage was just 381-365. Last three years, Duke is 5-7 as a road underdog. Wildcats beat Big 14 rival Purdue 31-27 LW; they were outgunned 472-401, giving up 202 rushing yards to the Boilers. Last three years, Northwestern is 9-5 as a home favorite. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

    Kansas State was down 24-12 after 3rd quarter to a I-AA team LW; they rallied to win 27-24, but that is a red flag. Wildcats were -4 in turnovers LW; since 2011, they’re 27-9 vs spread as an underdog, 9-3 at home. Mississippi State crushed a I-AA team LW without QB Fitzgerald (suspended)- he is back here. Since ’11, Bulldogs are 8-8-1 as road favorites- they have new coach this year, with Mullen off to coach Florida. Last 7+ years, SEC teams are 8-6 vs spread when favored over a Big X team.

    Houston (-1) won 19-16 at Arizona LY; yardage was 383-371. Wildcats had 21 first downs but only one TD. Cougars whacked local rival Rice 45-27 LW, gaining 577 yards (257 on ground, 320 PY). Houston was 4-2 as home favorites LY in Applewhite’s first year as coach. Arizona was upset 28-23 at home by BYU LW; Tate was just 17-34 passing- they were outgained 392-326. Since 2015, Wildcats are 2-9 as road underdogs; Sumlin was 6-9 as a road underdog at A&M. Last 4+ years, AAC teams covered four of five games vs Pac-12 opponents.

    Oklahoma crushed FAU 63-14 LW, running/passing for 300+ yards; last 3+ years, Sooners are 14-4 vs spread as home favorites- they have Big X opener at Iowa State next week. UCLA lost 26-17 at home as a 14-point HF to Cincinnati LW; QB Speight got hurt, a true freshman backup threw 25 passes for 4.7 ypa. Since 2009, Bruins are 13-21 as road underdogs. Last 7+ years, Big X teams are 15-10-1 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent, 5-5 when favored.

    Navy beat Memphis two of last three years, beating them 42-28 here in ’16; Memphis won LY’s game 30-27 at home, thanks to +4 turnover ratio (5-1). Navy ran ball for 312 yards in that game, and in their 59-41 loss at Hawai’i LW. Rainbows had 436 passing yards- Navy was just 6-13/85 passing. Memphis crushed a I-AA team LW, which means nothing; they’re 5-7 as home favorites in Norvell’s first two years as coach. Tigers have 15 starters back, 114 starts back on OL.

    Georgia beat South Carolina last three years, by 32-14-14 points; their 28-14 win here in ’16 was their first in last four visits to Columbia. Favorites are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Dawgs are 5-2 as road favorites in two years under Smart; last 20 years, they’re 4-3-1 vs spread as favorites in Columbia. Both teams had easy wins LW; Dawgs over a I-AA team, Gamecocks beat Coastal Carolina 49-15, running for 263 yards. Last nine years, Carolina is 9-3 vs spread as a home underdog.

    Colorado spanked Colorado State 45-13 LW, running ball for 258 yards, throwing for 338; last three years, Buffaloes are 8-5 as road underdogs- they’ve got only four returning starters on offense. Nebraska’s game was rained out LW; they’re playing a freshman QB, with walk-ons as backups. Last five years, Cornhuskers are 11-17-1 as home favorites; they’ve got new coach in former UCF coach Frost. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.

    Iowa won four of last five games with Iowa State, scoring 42-44 points last two years; Iowa won LY’s game 44-41, rallying from down 31-21 in 4th quarter. Cyclones won two of last three visits to Iowa City- they covered 8 of last 10 visits here. Iowa beat Northern Illinois 33-7 LW, running ball for 209 yards; Cyclones played part of their game LW, before it was rained out. State is 6-3 as road underdogs under Campbell; since 2012, Hawkeyes are 13-22-1 as home favorites. Last 4+ years, Big X teams are 7-5-1 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

    Texas A&M coach Fisher is familiar with Clemson from his days at Florida State; Tigers beat FSU 37-34/31-14 last two years. Clemson has 15 starters back, 84 starts back on OL- they’re 7-11 as road favorites the last four years. Clemson’s top two QB’s split 31 passes LW. Texas A&M crushed a I-AA team LW, hard to tell much there. Last four years, Aggies are 1-4-1 as home underdogs. A&M has 101 starts back on its OL. Last 3+ years, ACC teams are 20-16-1 vs spread when facing an SEC opponent.

    PSU-Pitt split couple games last two years, with home team winning, dogs covering both- teams renewed rivalry for first time since 2000. Panthers outgunned PSU in both games. Penn State survived an OT game with App State LW, tying game in last minute; ASU outgunned the Lions, 451-434. Under Franklin, Penn State is 5-3 as road favorites. Pitt beat up on a I-AA team LW; they’re 2-4 as home underdogs, under Narduzzi. Penn State has a senior QB with 28 starts. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

    USC is 6-5 in its last 11 games with Stanford; they beat Cardinal twice LY, 42-24 at home, then 31-28 in Pac-12 title game. Trojans lost three of last four visits to the Farm. USC beat UNLV 43-21 LW but gave up 308 rushing yards; game was only 19-14 at the half. Trojans start a true freshman QB who left HS a year early- very young kid- since 2012, they’re 3-9 as road underdogs. Cardinal pulled away from San Diego State in 31-10 win LW; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as home favorites.

    Michigan State held off Utah State 38-31 LW; Aggies threw ball for 319 yards. Yardage in game was 452-344. Last three years, Spartans are 1-8 vs spread when laying points on road- they’ve got 19 starters back, a QB with 16 career starts. Arizona State whacked UTSA 49-7 LW in Herm Edwards’ first game as a college HC; Sun Devils were 5-2 as home underdogs the last two years. ASU has a senior QB with 24 starts, but only four returning starters on defense. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.

    College trends for non-top 13 games

    Michigan is 5-9 vs spread in its last 14 games when laying 20+ points; they’re 3-6 vs spread coming off a loss. Since 2013, Western Michigan is 14-6 as a road underdog.

    Eastern Michigan covered 10 of its last 11 games as road underdogs; Purdue covered seven of its last eight games as home favorites- they’re 7-3 when laying 10+ points.

    Under Mason, Vanderbilt is 4-8 as a home favorite. Last two years, Nevada is 4-7 as a road underdog- they covered two of last eight non-league games.

    Since 2009, Kansas is 13-29-2 as a road underdog, 6-12 when getting less than 10 points. Jayhawks are 5-13 vs spread in last 18 non-league games. Since 2013, Central Michigan is 5-8 as home favorites.

    East Carolina lost to a I-AA team LW; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as a home underdog, 8-17-1 when coming off a loss. since 2013, North Carolina is 6-2 as road favorites.

    Since 2008, Temple is 29-14 vs spread out of conference; they were 0-3 as home favorites LY, after going 8-3 from 2014-16. Since 2015, Buffalo is 5-8-1 as road underdogs. Under is 10-2 in Buffalo’s last 12 road games.

    Last two years, Bowling Green is 0-8 vs spread in non-MAC games; they’re 1-5 as home underdogs under Jinks. Falcons are 5-10 in last 15 games as an underdog. Since 2010, Maryland is 4-6 as road favorites; they’re 18-31 coming off a win, but are 8-3 when laying 10+ points.

    Missouri covered five of its last six games when laying double digits; they’re 6-5 as home favorites under Odom. Under Bohl, Wyoming is 11-7 as a double digit underdog.

    Since 2015, Indiana is 8-4 vs spread outside the Big 14: they were 5-1 vs spread as favorites LY. Virginia is 5-6 as road underdogs under Mendenhall; they’re 5-4 in non-ACC games.

    Under Stoops, Kentucky is 7-13-2 when a double digit underdog; since 2016, they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Since 2016, Florida is 6-4 as a home favorite. Under is 11-7 in their last 18 home games.

    Since 2015, Minnesota is 5-11 as home favorites; they crushed New Mexico State 48-10 LW. Fresno State was 4-0 as road underdogs LY, after being 2-10 in 2015-16. Bulldogs were 10-4 LY in Bedford’s first season as coach, after going 1-11 the year before.

    Since 2011, Arkansas is 0-5 as road favorites; their last cover as a road favorite was in 2010. Colorado State allowed 43-45 points in losing its first two games this season; they covered six of last eight games when getting double digits.

    Underdogs covered last five Cincinnati-Miami OH games; Miami is 6-8 as home favorites under Martin. Since 2015, Bearcats are 8-4 as road underdogs.
    Last edited by Udog; 09-05-2018 at 06:27 PM.

  8. #8
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    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 2


    Friday, September 7

    TCU @ SMU

    Game 301-302
    September 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    TCU
    102.738
    SMU
    69.611
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    TCU
    by 33
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    TCU
    by 22 1/2
    59
    Dunkel Pick:
    TCU
    (-22 1/2); Under



    Saturday, September 8

    Liberty @ Army

    Game 303-304
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Liberty
    71.874
    Army
    85.533
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 13 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Army
    by 9 1/2
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Army
    (-9 1/2); Over

    UAB @ Coastal Carolina


    Game 305-306
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UAB
    74.118
    Coastal Carolina
    66.736
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UAB
    by 7 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UAB
    by 10
    55
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coastal Carolina
    (+10); Over

    Georgia Tech @ South Florida


    Game 307-308
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Tech
    90.668
    South Florida
    89.448
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 1
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Tech
    by 3 1/2
    62 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Florida
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Western Michigan @ Michigan


    Game 309-310
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Michigan
    76.356
    Michigan
    95.975
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan
    by 19 1/2
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 28
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Michigan
    (+28); Over

    Appalachian St @ Charlotte


    Game 311-312
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Appalachian St
    81.679
    Charlotte
    70.085
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 11 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Appalachian St
    by 14
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+14); Under

    Eastern Michigan @ Purdue


    Game 313-314
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Michigan
    74.411
    Purdue
    99.233
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Purdue
    by 25
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Purdue
    by 16 1/2
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Purdue
    (-16 1/2); Over

    New Mexico @ Wisconsin


    Game 315-316
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico
    68.799
    Wisconsin
    107.654
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 41
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 34 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wisconsin
    (-34 1/2); Under

    Air Force @ Florida Atlantic


    Game 317-318
    September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Air Force
    79.401
    Florida Atlantic
    94.711
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 15 1/2
    76
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida Atlantic
    by 9 1/2
    69
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida Atlantic
    (-9 1/2); Over

    FIU @ Old Dominion


    Game 319-320
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    FIU
    76.289
    Old Dominion
    53.472
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    FIU
    by 23
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    FIU
    by 1
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    FIU
    (-1); Under

    Duke @ Northwestern


    Game 321-322
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Duke
    98.913
    Northwestern
    98.952
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Duke
    Even
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northwestern
    by 3
    48 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Duke
    (+3); Over

    Mississippi St @ Kansas State


    Game 323-324
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mississippi St
    97.628
    Kansas State
    95.250
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi St
    by 2 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Mississippi St
    by 9
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas State
    (+9); Under

    Arizona @ Houston


    Game 325-326
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    82.768
    Houston
    84.597
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 4
    71
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+4); Under

    Nevada @ Vanderbilt


    Game 327-328
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nevada
    78.908
    Vanderbilt
    84.292
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vanderbilt
    by 5 1/2
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vanderbilt
    by 9
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nevada
    (+9); Over

    Georgia State @ NC State


    Game 329-330
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia State
    69.863
    NC State
    101.895
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC State
    by 32
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC State
    by 24 1/2
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC State
    (-24 1/2); Over

    UCLA @ Oklahoma


    Game 331-332
    September 8, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UCLA
    79.598
    Oklahoma
    117.928
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 38 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma
    by 30
    64
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma
    (-30); Under

    New Mexico St @ Utah State


    Game 333-334
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Mexico St
    66.463
    Utah State
    79.318
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah State
    by 13
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah State
    by 24
    62
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Mexico St
    (+24); Over

    Kansas @ Central Michigan


    Game 335-336
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas
    69.748
    Central Michigan
    71.971
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Michigan
    by 2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Michigan
    by 5
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas
    (+5); Under

    UTEP @ UNLV


    Game 337-338
    September 8, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UTEP
    46.641
    UNLV
    78.364
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UNLV
    by 31 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UNLV
    by 23 1/2
    55 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    UNLV
    (-23 1/2); Under

    Memphis @ Navy


    Game 339-340
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    100.285
    Navy
    81.028
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 19
    75
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 7
    68
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (-7); Over

    North Carolina @ East Carolina


    Game 341-342
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Carolina
    88.925
    East Carolina
    66.472
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Carolina
    by 22 1/2
    65
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Carolina
    by 17
    60
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (-17); Over

    Rutgers @ Ohio State


    Game 343-344
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rutgers
    77.376
    Ohio State
    116.491
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 39
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ohio State
    by 35
    64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (-35); Under

    Buffalo @ Temple


    Game 345-346
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    75.504
    Temple
    77.956
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Temple
    by 2 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Temple
    by 4 1/2
    51
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Georgia @ South Carolina


    Game 347-348
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia
    107.949
    South Carolina
    100.590
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia
    by 7 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia
    by 10
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Carolina
    (+10); Over

    Baylor @ TX-San Antonio


    Game 349-350
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baylor
    80.709
    TX-San Antonio
    69.055
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baylor
    by 11 1/2
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baylor
    by 15 1/2
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    TX-San Antonio
    (+15 1/2); Over

    Arkansas St @ Alabama


    Game 351-352
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arkansas St
    84.551
    Alabama
    114.773
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 30
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Alabama
    by 36 1/2
    66
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arkansas St
    (+36 1/2); Under

    Colorado @ Nebraska


    Game 353-354
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    80.879
    Nebraska
    88.825
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nebraska
    by 8
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nebraska
    by 4
    65
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nebraska
    (-4); Under

    LA-Monroe @ Southern Miss


    Game 355-356
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA-Monroe
    67.972
    Southern Miss
    77.134
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Southern Miss
    by 9
    74
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Southern Miss
    by 6
    68
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern Miss
    (-6); Over

    Ball State @ Notre Dame


    Game 357-358
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    62.694
    Notre Dame
    99.627
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 37
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Notre Dame
    by 34 1/2
    62 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Notre Dame
    (-34 1/2); Over

    Iowa State @ Iowa


    Game 359-360
    September 8, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa State
    93.385
    Iowa
    105.845
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa
    by 12 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa
    by 4
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa
    (-4); Under

    Maryland @ Bowling Green


    Game 361-362
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Maryland
    79.677
    Bowling Green
    71.032
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Maryland
    by 8 1/2
    61
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Maryland
    by 16
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Bowling Green
    (+16); Under

    Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern


    Game 363-364
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Massachusetts
    77.304
    Georgia Southern
    68.121
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Massachusetts
    by 9
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 2 1/2
    62 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Massachusetts
    (+2 1/2); Over


    Clemson @ Texas A&M

    Game 365-366
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Clemson
    109.733
    Texas A&M
    94.061
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Clemson
    by 15 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Clemson
    by 12 1/2
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Clemson
    (-12 1/2); Under

    Wyoming @ Missouri


    Game 367-368
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wyoming
    77.709
    Missouri
    99.721
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Missouri
    by 22
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Missouri
    by 17 1/2
    52
    Dunkel Pick:
    Missouri
    (-17 1/2); Over

    Virginia @ Indiana


    Game 369-370
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Virginia
    85.081
    Indiana
    88.637
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 3 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 6 1/2
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Virginia
    (+6 1/2); Under

    Kentucky @ Florida


    Game 371-372
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kentucky
    87.672
    Florida
    89.569
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida
    by 2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    by 14
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kentucky
    (+14); Over

    Utah @ Northern Illinois


    Game 373-374
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    101.330
    Northern Illinois
    80.554
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 21
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 10
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-10); Under

    Fresno State @ Minnesota


    Game 375-376
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fresno State
    91.236
    Minnesota
    95.037
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-2); Over

    Arkansas @ Colorado State


    Game 377-378
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arkansas
    78.209
    Colorado State
    73.655
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arkansas
    by 4 1/2
    75
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arkansas
    by 14
    70
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado State
    (+14); Over

    Cincinnati @ Miami of Ohio


    Game 379-380
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    78.413
    Miami of Ohio
    72.571
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 6
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami of Ohio
    by 1 1/2
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+1 1/2); Under

    Tulsa @ Texas


    Game 381-382
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tulsa
    69.499
    Texas
    97.303
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 28
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas
    by 23
    62
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    (-23); Over

    South Alabama @ Oklahoma State


    Game 383-384
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Alabama
    67.383
    Oklahoma State
    102.591
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma State
    by 35
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma State
    by 32
    63
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma State
    (-32); Under

    Penn State @ Pittsburgh


    Game 385-386
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Penn State
    103.904
    Pittsburgh
    97.866
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Penn State
    by 6
    61
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Penn State
    by 9
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (+9); Over

    USC @ Stanford


    Game 387-388
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    USC
    100.485
    Stanford
    102.661
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Stanford
    by 2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Stanford
    by 5 1/2
    56 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    USC
    (+5 1/2); Under

    California @ Brigham Young


    Game 389-390
    September 8, 2018 @ 9:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    California
    92.289
    Brigham Young
    81.061
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    California
    by 11
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brigham Young
    by 3
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    California
    (+3); Over

    Connecticut @ Boise State


    Game 391-392
    September 8, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    72.535
    Boise State
    95.587
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boise State
    by 23
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boise State
    by 31 1/2
    64
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (+31 1/2); Under

    Michigan State @ Arizona State


    Game 393-394
    September 8, 2018 @ 10:45 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan State
    97.700
    Arizona State
    88.558
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan State
    by 9
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 6
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan State
    (-6); Under

    San Jose St @ Washington St


    Game 395-396
    September 8, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose St
    55.787
    Washington St
    95.298
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington St
    by 39 1/2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington St
    by 34 1/2
    65 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington St
    (-34 1/2); Over

    Rice @ Hawaii


    Game 397-398
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rice
    60.781
    Hawaii
    80.919
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hawaii
    by 20
    65
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hawaii
    by 17
    71 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hawaii
    (-17); Under

    Towson @ Wake Forest


    Game 399-400
    September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Towson
    61.517
    Wake Forest
    93.996
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wake Forest
    by 32 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wake Forest
    by 30 1/2
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wake Forest
    (-30 1/2); Over

    Holy Cross @ Boston College


    Game 401-402
    September 8, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Holy Cross
    53.632
    Boston College
    94.808
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston College
    by 41
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston College
    by 44 1/2
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Holy Cross
    (+44 1/2); Under

    William & Mary @ Virginia Tech


    Game 403-404
    September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    William & Mary
    63.423
    Virginia Tech
    94.138
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 31
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 37 1/2
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    William & Mary
    (+37 1/2); Over

    Portland St @ Oregon


    Game 405-406
    September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland St
    42.306
    Oregon
    94.963
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oregon
    by 52 1/2
    75
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oregon
    by 49
    79 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oregon
    (-49); Under

    Morgan St @ Akron


    Game 407-408
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Morgan St
    28.873
    Akron
    75.053
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Akron
    by 46
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Akron
    by 38
    57 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Akron
    (-38); Over

    Howard @ Kent State


    Game 409-410
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Howard
    54.854
    Kent State
    59.356
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kent State
    by 4 1/2
    69
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kent State
    by 6 1/2
    64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Howard
    (+6 1/2); Over

    Wagner @ Syracuse


    Game 411-412
    September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wagner
    48.575
    Syracuse
    82.588
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Syracuse
    by 34
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Syracuse
    by 43 1/2
    66
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wagner
    (+43 1/2); Under

    Southern Illinois @ Mississippi


    Game 413-414
    September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern Illinois
    70.202
    Mississippi
    95.901
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Mississippi
    by 25 1/2
    61
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Mississippi
    by 29 1/2
    65
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern Illinois
    (+29 1/2); Under

    East Tenn St @ Tennessee


    Game 415-416
    September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Tenn St
    51.088
    Tennessee
    74.309
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 23
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 37 1/2
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Tenn St
    (+37 1/2); Over

    Lamar @ Texas Tech


    Game 417-418
    September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Lamar
    41.696
    Texas Tech
    87.148
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 45 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 43
    66 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (-43); Under

    North Dakota @ Washington


    Game 419-420
    September 8, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Dakota
    56.706
    Washington
    105.354
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 48 1/2
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 45
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-45); Over

    Savannah St @ Miami-FL


    Game 421-422
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Savannah St
    41.807
    Miami-FL
    98.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 56 1/2
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 54
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami-FL
    (-54); Over

    South Carolina St @ Central Florida


    Game 423-424
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Carolina St
    43.430
    Central Florida
    102.005
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Central Florida
    by 58 1/2
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Florida
    by 46 1/2
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    Central Florida
    (-46 1/2); Under

    Youngstown St @ West Virginia


    Game 425-426
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Youngstown St
    64.013
    West Virginia
    92.001
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    West Virginia
    by 28
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    West Virginia
    by 33 1/2
    61
    Dunkel Pick:
    Youngstown St
    (+33 1/2); Under

    Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall


    Game 427-428
    September 8, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Eastern Kentucky
    53.461
    Marshall
    78.935
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marshall
    by 25 1/2
    59
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marshall
    by 28 1/2
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Eastern Kentucky
    (+28 1/2); Over

    Tenn-Martin @ Middle Tennessee St


    Game 429-430
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tenn-Martin
    56.176
    Middle Tennessee
    80.359
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Middle Tennessee
    by 24
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Middle Tennessee
    by 21 1/2
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Middle Tennessee
    (-21 1/2); Under

    Indiana State @ Louisville


    Game 431-432
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana State
    44.159
    Louisville
    94.485
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisville
    by 50 1/2
    76
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisville
    by 44 1/2
    67 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Louisville
    (-44 1/2); Over

    Florida A&M @ Troy


    Game 433-434
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida A&M
    48.137
    Troy
    76.436
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Troy
    by 28 1/2
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Troy
    by 37 1/2
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida A&M
    (+37 1/2); Under

    Southern U @ Louisiana Tech


    Game 435-436
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern U
    51.524
    Louisiana Tech
    80.305
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 28 1/2
    68
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Louisiana Tech
    by 36 1/2
    64 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern U
    (+36 1/2); Over

    Texas Southern @ Texas State


    Game 437-438
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Southern
    27.724
    Texas State
    61.037
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas State
    by 33 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas State
    by 28 1/2
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas State
    (-28 1/2); Under

    SE Louisiana @ LSU


    Game 439-440
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SE Louisiana
    62.458
    LSU
    103.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LSU
    by 41
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LSU
    by 38 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LSU
    (-38 1/2); Over

    Samford @ Florida State


    Game 441-442
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Samford
    71.220
    Florida State
    90.552
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 19 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 34 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Samford
    (+34 1/2); Over

    Western Illinois @ Illinois


    Game 443-444
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Illinois
    77.265
    Illinois
    72.108
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Western Illinois
    by 5
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois
    by 9
    52 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Western Illinois
    (+9); Under

    Maine @ Western Kentucky


    Game 445-446
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Maine
    72.072
    Western Kentucky
    68.757
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Maine
    by 3 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Western Kentucky
    by 9 1/2
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Maine
    (+9 1/2); Under

    Alabama St @ Auburn


    Game 447-448
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama St
    49.562
    Auburn
    95.068
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Auburn
    by 46 1/2
    64
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 50 1/2
    59 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Alabama St
    (+50 1/2); Over

    Incarnate Word @ North Texas


    Game 449-450
    September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Incarnate Word
    35.231
    North Texas
    81.073
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Texas
    by 46
    83
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Texas
    by 41
    78
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Texas
    (-41); Over

    Nicholls St @ Tulane


    Game 491-492
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nicholls St
    64.246
    Tulane
    81.749
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tulane
    by 17 1/2
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tulane
    by 14 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulane
    (-14 1/2); Under


    Southern Utah @ Oregon State

    Game 493-494
    September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Southern Utah
    68.862
    Oregon State
    72.407
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oregon State
    by 3 1/2
    63
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oregon State
    by 11 1/2
    70
    Dunkel Pick:
    Southern Utah
    (+11 1/2); Under

    Sacramento St @ San Diego St


    Game 495-496
    September 8, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento St
    72.103
    San Diego St
    85.092
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    by 13
    66
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego St
    by 26 1/2
    58 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento St
    (+26 1/2); Over
    Last edited by Udog; 09-06-2018 at 04:14 PM.

  9. #9
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    Default

    College Essentials - Week 2
    Tony Mejia

    We’re off and running in September, nearly getting a monumental upset with Appalachian State taking Penn State to overtime in Happy Valley, leading in the final minute of regulation. Utah State harrassed Michigan State and BYU took down Arizona in Tucson, so the upset bug is flourishing early, feasting on a few slumping FBS programs courtesy of FCS schools.

    Florida State, Miami, Texas and UCLA had rough debuts, Auburn held off Washington in the game with the most national impact and Notre Dame squashed Michigan as Jim Harbaugh’s tenure at his alma mater grew more disappointing.

    Alabama, despite losing standouts like Minkah Fitzgerald and Daron Payne, showed off a fierce defense against Louisville and remain college football’s most impressive force. Almost everyone has dipped a toe into the water. Here’s what we’re looking at for this week for a card that will unfold almost entirely on Saturday outside of TCU sidling up to SMU in Dallas on Friday night:

    Saturday
    Arizona at Houston, 12 p.m. ET, ABC: Kevin Sumlin lost his debut with the Wildcats in Tucson, falling to BYU. Heisman candidate Khalil Tate was limited him to just 14 rushing yards on eight attempts. The quarterback I expected to most perform like former Louisville Heisman winner Lamar Jackson was turned into a pocket passer, something that can’t continue if Arizona is going to have a successful season. Sumlin will return to his old stomping grounds in Houston, running into the potential No. 1 overall pick in DT Ed Oliver. He took blame for schematically not getting Tate’s legs more involved into his game plan, so we’ll see what wrinkles emerge this week from he and offensive coordinator Noel Mazzone. Oliver’s presence will be a headache in its own right given the rough showing from the offensive line against the first set of Cougars on the slate.

    The U of H Cougs defense had a rough start against crosstown rival Rice but got it together to allow just three second-half points in a commanding first victory. They’ve got big play potential Arizona must be wary of with D’Eriq King also capable of beating you with his arm and his legs. He averaged 19 yards per completion against the Owls and didn’t even have Utah transfer Raelon Singleton out there due to a hamstring issue. Marquez Stevenson, Keith Corbin, Courtney Lark and Bryson Smith each had receptions of at least 20 yards, while running backs Terence Williams, Patrick Carr and Mulbah Car are still competing to become the full-time starter. This early start has a chance to be sabotaged by thunderstorms, but may otherwise turn into a shootout.

    Mississippi State at Kansas State, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: Nick Fitzgerald is back after sitting out the first game of Joe Moorhead’s head coaching tenure in Starkville due to suspension for getting in trouble back in March. The Tim Tebow-like senior accounted for 29 touchdowns last season after waiting out the Dak Prescott era and remains the unquestioned starter despite the fact backup Keyaton Thompson threw for 364 yards and five scores in a 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin. Fitzgerald will be taking his first live snaps since dislocating his ankle in last November’s Egg Bowl. The offense returns almost everyone but has new leadership with Luke Getsy, an NFL assistant the last few years, coming into help Moorhead run the attack. Having Fitzgerald’s experience for a tough challenge in Manhattan should aid the cause. .

    K-State’s encounter with an FCS foe went far less smoothly than the Bulldogs’ experience with the Lumberjacks. South Dakota led 24-12 entering the fourth quarter, taking advantage of turnovers and miscues. If the Coyotes hadn’t been saddled with a first-time starter who threw 32 incompletions, the Wildcats would’ve been too far behind to snatch away a victory like they managed to. Isaiah Zuber returned a punt 85 yards for a crucial fourth-quarter score and then hauled in the game-winning reception. Starting RB Alex Barnes fumbled three times and both quarterbacks threw interceptions, but it was the lack of push from an offensive line that K-State had high hopes for that looms as the largest concern with an SEC foe in town. These schools haven't played in 41 years. Mississippi State has won both career meetings.

    UCLA at Oklahoma, 1 p.m. ET, FOX: The Chip Kelly era began with a resounding thud as Cincinnati came up with an impressive upset as a nearly two-touchdown underdog. Wilton Speight may be somewhat limited, but the Michigan transfer gave the Bruins their best chance to win immediately, so watching him exit and likely not participate this week definitely makes this game nearly impossible to win. True freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson came in and finished 15-for-25 and led only one scoring drive, so don’t expect much from an attack that is also starting a freshman center in Christaphany Murray, who will be making his first snaps in an opposing stadium to someone taking them for the first time. Kelly couldn’t remember ever being a 31-point underdog, so that will be new for him too. Tailback Soso Jamabo remains suspended, so expect more looks for another freshman, Kazmeir Allen, who was the lone highlight offensively against Cincy, amassing 103 yards on five carries.

    Oklahoma toyed with Florida Atlantic and will take aim at a UCLA defense that returned a number of regulars from last year’s group. We’ll see if the Sooners need Kyler Murray to play longer than the single half he participated in last Saturday, but odds are that covering this one may hinge on the work of sophomore backup Austin Kendall, who completed eight of 10 passes for 88 yards and a score against the Owls and has been efficient in limited action. Thunderstorms may be a factor in this contest, which is the fifth meeting all-time between the schools. OU is 3-1.

    Georgia at South Carolina, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: Both teams annihilated overwhelmed their first opponents last week. The Gamecocks showed off new coordinator Bryan McClendon’s faster-paced offense and QB Jake Bentley decisively got everybody lined up and went to work, spreading it around and pushing it downfield. The Dawgs aren’t Coastal Carolina, but South Carolina can’t cower at home if it is going to pull off an upset of the defending national runner-up here. Georgia’s D’Andre Swift isn’t getting much play yet, but considering he’s attempting to replace current pros Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, this is an opportunity for the sophomore running back to begin his Heisman campaign. Freshman James Cook, who racked up 66 yards on six carries, will miss the first half of this one after being ejected for targeting.

    Elijah Holyfield, Evander’s son, will be the primary backup to Swift, who was one of six players to score touchdowns against Austin Peay but was clearly the most impressive offensive player. It’s going to be on him and Jake Fromm to move the offense in Columbia against a Gamecocks defense that was middle-of-the-road in the SEC last season and lost top tackler Skai Moore, who made the Colts as an undrafted free agent, to graduation. It will be interesting to see what Will Muschamp does with his new group. Kirby Smart and Mel Tucker’s group finished second in the league in points and yards allowed last season but lost first-rounder Roquan Smith, among others. The secondary, led by Deandre Baker and J.R. Reed, is now UGA’s strength, which lines up nicely against South Carolina’s highly regarded receiving duo, Deebo Samuel and Bryan Edwards. Although some on the West Coast may object, this is Saturday’s most compelling matchup.

    Colorado at Nebraska, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The Buffs looked fantastic in the Rocky Mountain Showdown, crushing rival Colorado State. Junior QB Steven Montez was sharper than that knife you have to make sure the kids can’t get to. Although the Rams defense has opened the season in a cooperative mood, it’s impossible to ignore that Virginia Tech transfer Travon McMillan gives Colorado a powerful backfield option or that sophomore WR Laviska Shenault might emerge as a force in the Pac-12 due to his size and strength. CSU could do nothing with Colorado, so the ‘Huskers will be more effective from a talent standpoint alone. It remains to be seen, however, what talented coordinator Eric Chinander can accomplish since he’ll be working with a new group for the first time after joining Scott Frost in coming over from UCF. Tre Neal joining him and and being listed at first-team safety is a plus, but the group of returnees he inherited got lit up often last season.

    Nebraska got to run through the tunnel as Scott Frost led the ‘Huskers out for the first time but lightning and torrential rain forced a postponement of its game against Akron. True freshman QB Adrian Martinez now has to debut against a defense that is going to get after him as they look to spoil the party in Lincoln. The 18-year-old beat out another redshirt freshman, Tristan Gebbia, who transferred to Oregon State. If Martinez struggles or gets banged up, the ‘Huskers would have to turn to sophomore Andrew Bunch, who hasn’t played either. These former Big 12 rivals haven’t played since 2010. Nebraska is 49-18-2, while Colorado has dropped 14 of its last 15 road openers.

    Iowa State at Iowa, 5 p.m. ET, FOX: The Cyclones saw inclement weather cancel their first test against South Dakota State, which has its positives and negatives. Although Iowa State was eager to open a season where there are more expectations than there have been in years, nobody got nicked up and it didn’t have to put anything on tape for the Hawkeyes to study. Iowa got disappointingly inconsistent play from QB Nate Stanley but still managed to stifle Northern Illinois and is favored at home in Iowa City, having won the CyHawk Trophy seven times over the last decade, including the last three.

    Iowa won in Ames 44-41 in OT last September, but has dropped this rivalry game twice over the last three meetings at home in Kinnick Stadium. We’ll see if the defense holds up against top rusher David Montgomery, who can really open things up for Iowa State if he gets it going. In 6-foot-6 WR Hakeem Butler, ISU has a tremendous red-zone threat who may emerge as a national breakout candidate since career receptions leader Allen Lazard has moved on, landing on the Jags’ practice squad. Both teams are at full strength with starting linemen Tristan Wirfs (Iowa) and Julian Good-Jones (ISU) having served suspensions. Thunderstorms are in Iowa’s forecasts all week and may play a role on Saturday, so keep an eye out.

    Clemson at Texas A&M, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN: Jimbo Fisher’s debut in College Station saw his QB choice, sophomore Kellen Mond, excel against FCS foe Northwestern State. The competition will be a lot stiffer with the Tigers in town, so we’ll truly see if he’s taken a step forward when he gets his first taste of adversity from one of the nation’s top defensive fronts. Dabo Swinney may be forced to get serious earlier than he probably wants to in playing true freshman Trevor Lawrence over senior Kelly Bryant since the kid appears to be the better option. He threw for three scores and engineered more scoring drives than Clemson’s starter, opening things up thanks to a better, more consistent arm. Bryant will play here, too, probably as the starter, but the Aggies will see both and are preparing accordingly.

    If the Aggies are able to move the ball, I think we’ll see more of Lawrence despite the atmosphere potentially being a daunting one for his first college road game. Beyond Mond’s ability to demonstrate consistency, A&M will utilize RB Trayveon Williams to try and test Brett Venables’ defense, which led the ACC in virtually everything last season and allowed just 13.6 points, the second-lowest total in the nation. Williams is leading the country in rushing yards per game (240.0) after torching Northwestern State, but will now be tested by arguably college football’s top defensive line. Clemson was 0-3 against the Aggies before breaking through in their last meeting back in 2005, winning 25-24 in Death Valley. Fisher is 4-4 against the Tigers but lost with FSU each of the last three years.

    Kentucky at Florida, 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC: The SEC East looks to be Georgia and everybody else, but South Carolina will be attempting to alter that narrative in Columbia and the winner of this one would be poised to rise up and make their own run. The Gators will be getting a number of players back from suspensions after a host of guys served punishments for offseason transgressions, while the ‘Cats will take their shot at an upset with a QB controversy brewing. Gunnar Hoak, who lost the QB competition to former Oregon recruit Terry Wilson in camp, may have passed him after settling everyone down following Wilson’s three first-half turnovers in rallying Kentucky over Central Michigan. In roommates Benny Snell and AJ Rose, UK has a lethal combo to anchor the ground game that could make the offense formidable if it gets consistent production via the pass. USC transfer E.J. Price lived up to his reputation in his debut and has overcome a hand injury in order to factor in here.

    This will be the first true test for the Florida defense under esteemed new coordinator Todd Grantham, who inherits a defense that finished seventh in the 14-team SEC in run defense and scoring a year ago. The Gators offense wasn’t tested at all by Charleston Southern but Feleipe Franks threw for five TDs in a 53-6 win and has secured Dan Mullen’s confidence. Mullen took his foot off the gas late in the third quarter or the team could’ve topped 70, but there are still a lot of guys on both sides of the ball who may not be up to speed for one reason or another. It could be the perfect time for Kentucky to snap a 31-game losing streak at the hands of Florida. Kentucky is 2-10 in SEC road openers and fell behind 45-0 in its last trip to Gainesville. If a quarterback emerges and plays well, they should have a shot. Rain is in the forecast, so the "Swamp" could live up to its billing.

    Penn State at Pittsburgh, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN: After allowing 28 points and 266 yards in the fourth quarter and OT against Appalachian State, the Nittany Lions should be locked in defensively as they take the field for their first road game. While an upset loss wouldn’t have end their season, Penn State flirted with disaster given its preseason expectations, so watching Trace McSorley come through in the clutch once again has to be reassuring given the loss of Saquon Barkley. New center Michael Menet had some growing pains, according to head coach James Franklin, but he felt the sophomore held up well in his first start against an odd front. This will be his first time snapping in an opposing stadium, although PSU backers should help fill out Heinz Field.

    Missed tackles were an issue for Penn State, which committed just two penalties, didn’t turn it over, ran for 204 yards and threw for 230 but still nearly lost to a 24.5-point underdog with a first-time starter at QB. Was that a warning sign that the days of Franklin’s team being vulnerable week in and week out have returned? Pitt outgained PSU last season but fell 33-14 in Happy Valley but it won this matchup in ’16, prevailing in a 42-39 shootout. Pat Narduzzi’s team got up 33-7 on FCS opponent Albany and coasted in the second half. The Panthers’ secondary may be back at full strength after missing a trio from their projected two-deep against the Great Danes. Pitt has a veteran team in place and a chip on its collective shoulder from the knowledge that Penn State neither considers its in-state foe a rival nor seems terribly interested in the series continuing beyond next season. Expect the home team to leave no stone unturned.

    USC at Stanford, 8:30 p.m. ET, FOX: The Trojans were in a battle with UNLV for a half before the kids warmed up, but they’ve got to prove they can execute on the road against a veteran Cardinal team. Freshman QB JT Daniels and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown have bright futures and sophomore RBs Stephen Carr and Vavae Malepai are talented, but this immense Pac-12 clash may be too early on the schedule for USC to survive. Bryce Love got bottled up by San Diego State but the attention he commanded allowed QB K.J. Costello to shine. Stanford needs that to be a weekly occurrence to maximize its potential and must protect the Farm since it closes out the month with challenging road trips to Oregon and Notre Dame.

    Costello hooked up with JJ Arcega-Whiteside six times for 226 yards, scoring three touchdowns and now faces a Trojans secondary that saw safety Ykill Ross leave the team after losing his starting gig due to a hamstring issue and the other projected starter, Bubba Bolden, sidelined with a disciplinary issue. Starting corner Greg Johnson should play but missed practice Monday, so talented Iman Marshall will have added pressure on him to try and bottle up Arcega-Whiteside. Up front, defensive linemen Brandon Pili and Liam Jimmons are dealing with nagging ailments. USC beat Stanford twice last year, ending a run that had seen it drop eight of 10, but has won in Palo Alto only once since ’09. It’s set to be a perfect night for football, a few slight wind gusts aside.

    Michigan State at Arizona State, 10:45 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Spartans didn’t play to their potential and QB Brian Lewerke looked shaky as Utah State stormed into East Lansing and fared extremely well, hanging around for four quarters as a 24-point underdog. There’s no way Michigan State expected to be punched in the mouth the way it was. Left tackle Cole Chewins, who missed the Friday night victory, has a chance to return and would upgrade the offensive line. The Spartans were also without their most talented corner, sophomore Josiah Scott, who will likely be out a few months. Given how well the Aggies passed it, his absence is going to be a major obstacle for the MSU secondary.

    Sparty wouldn’t cop to underestimating Utah State will have no one but itself to blame if Mark Dantonio doesn’t have everyone ready to play in Temple given what the Sun Devils put on display in Herm Edwards’ debut. QB Manny Wilkins put the ball where it had to be all night against Texas-San Antonio, allowing playmakers N’Keal Harry and Eno Benjamin to shine. The senior threw four touchdown passes and made some plays with his feet, while suspended backup RB Trelon Smith’s void was filled nicely by fellow sophomore Isaiah Floyd. Edwards will have linebacker Jaya Jay Wilson back from suspension but may be down a starting offensive lineman if guard Steven Miller can’t get healthy. This is the first meeting between these schools since 1986. The high in Tempe on Saturday is set to be 107, so Michigan State is fortunate that this one won't get underway until after sunset.

    Other games to watch: California at BYU, Memphis at Navy, Duke at Northwestern, Georgia Tech at South Florida, Nevada at Vanderbilt, Virginia at Indiana, Fresno State at Minnesota, Rutgers at Ohio State

  10. #10
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    TCU at SMU
    Brian Edwards

    Matchup: (16) TCU at SMU
    Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
    Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 7, ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET

    Southern Methodist will try to shake off a dismal debut to the Sonny Dykes Era on Friday night when it plays host to TCU in the Battle for the Iron Skillet. As of Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had the Horned Frogs installed as 22-point road favorites with a total of 58.5. The Mustangs were +1250 on the money line at both 5Dimes.eu and *** Global (risk $100 to win $1,250).

    TCU (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) has won five games in a row over SMU by at least 19 points, including last year’s 56-36 win that resulted in a push as a 20-point home favorite. Gary Patterson’s program has beaten the Mustangs 16 times out of the past 18 meetings in this in-state rivalry.

    When these schools collided at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Ft. Worth in 2017, the 92 combined points soared ‘over’ the 65-point total. SMU took a surprising 19-7 lead until TCU woke up midway through the second quarter and scored back-to-back TDs to go ahead, 21-19. The Mustangs responded with their third short field goal of the half to go back in front 22-21 with 17 seconds left until intermission.

    However, TCU quarterback Kenny Hill found Jalen Reagor for a 38-yard scoring strike on the last play of the second quarter to put the Frogs back ahead at halftime. It was still a one-possession game (35-29) going into the final stanza, but TCU scored 21 straight points to put the game away.

    Hill threw for 365 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Darius Anderson rushed for 89 yards and two TDs on 14 carries, while KaVontae Turpin had seven receptions for 88 yards and one TD. Reagor had three catches for 79 yards and one TD, and Kenedy Snell scored TDs on a 71-yard reception and a 10-yard scamper.

    SMU quarterback Ben Hicks connected on 17-of-37 passes for 305 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Ke’Mon Freeman rushed for 57 yards and two TDs on 12 carries, while James Proche caught three balls for 93 yards and one TD.

    TCU returned five starters on offense and six on defense from last season’s team that finished 11-3 SU and 6-7-1 ATS. One of those returning starters on defense was lost to a season-ending injury during camp in August, though. Sophomore nose tackle Ross Blacklock, who was the Big 12’s Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year and a Freshman All-American in ’17, will miss the entire 2018 campaign. Blacklock produced 27 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss and two sacks last year.

    Patterson is the second-longest tenured coach in the FBS behind only Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz. The 58-year-old has been offered a slew of jobs to leave, turning down all of them during his 18-year tenure. Patterson has produced 11 seasons with double-digit win totals, winning at least 11 games 10 different times.

    He is 161-57 overall and has overseen smooth transitions from the now-defunct WAC to the Mountain West (2005) and then into a Power Five league in the Big 12 (2012). Patterson’s program started slowly in the Big 12, going 4-5 and 2-7 in league action in ’12 and ’13. Since then, however, the Frogs are 26-10 vs. Big 12 foes over the last four seasons.

    TCU beat up on FCS foe Southern by a 55-7 count last week, but it failed to cover the number as a 50-point home favorite. True sophomore QB Shawn Robinson made his second career start, completing 17-of-24 passes for 182 yards and three TDs without an interception. He had 45 rushing yards and two TDs on runs of 36 and nine yards on his only attempts.

    Turpin produced 108 all-purpose yards on 10 touches, while Reagor had four receptions for 47 yards and one TD. Reagor also had a nine-yard run on his lone carry and a 37-yard kickoff return. Anderson, a third-team All-Big 12 selection when he ran for a team-best 768 yards and eight TDs while averaging 6.0 yards per carry last year, will be fresh for SMU after rushing for 36 yards on merely eight attempts vs. Southern.

    Reagor, a sophomore WR, led TCU in TD catches (eight) and receiving yards (576) on 33 catches as a true freshman in ’17. He is a preseason fourth-team All-Big 12 pick in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine. Anderson is a preseason second-team All-Big 12 choice, while junior OT Lucas Niang is a third-team selection and junior OG Cordel Iwuagwu is a fourth-teamer like Reagor.

    Steele’s Big 12 Unit Rankings shine a bright light on TCU’s defense. As for the offense? Not so much. The Frogs are ranked seventh (in the 10-team conference) at the QB position, fourth at RB, sixth at WR and seventh on the offensive line.

    The defense is a much different deal, as Patterson’s unit is ranked tops in the league on the defensive line, at linebacker, in the secondary and on special teams. Steele’s National Unit rankings have TCU at ninth on both the d-line and at LB, 12th in the secondary and third on special teams.

    Turpin is a preseason first-team all-conference choice in Steele’s mag as the kick and punt returner. He averaged 16.2 yards per punt return with one TD last year, in addition to averaging 30.8 yards per kick return with another TD. The dynamic senior had 41 receptions for 394 yards and one TD, and he also ran for 86 yards and a pair of scores on 11 totes for a 7.8 YPC average.

    Senior DE Ben Banogu is the star of the defense, garnering first-team All-Big 12 honors last season when he tallied 49 tackles, 8.5 sacks, eight tackles for loss, seven QB hurries, three forced fumbles and one pass broken up. Other defensive standouts for the Frogs include senior LB Ty Summers, senior safety Niko Small and junior CB Jeff Gladney.

    Summers recorded five tackles, one sack, one TFL and one QB hurry in last week’s opener. He had 64 tackles, five PBU, four sacks, four TFL’s, three QB hurries, one interception and one forced fumble in ’17. Gladney tallied 28 tackles, five PBU and two interceptions for 94 return yards and one TD last year. He had two tackles, one TFL and one PBU vs. Southern.

    TCU scored at a 33.6 points-per-game clip in ’17, while its defense surrendered just 19.0 PPG. The Frogs enjoyed a 1,229-yard advantage over their foes in total offense last season, and they were +3 in turnover margin.

    Patterson’s team won its first seven games of ’17 to climb up to No. 4 in the national rankings. TCU’s unbeaten season ended with a 14-7 loss at 25th-ranked Iowa State. After bouncing back to thump Texas 24-7, the Frogs saw their College Football Playoff hopes disappear in a 38-20 defeat at fifth-ranked Oklahoma. They handily won at Texas Tech and vs. Baylor at home to qualify for the Big 12 Championship Game and a rematch with the Sooners, who delivered similar treatment in a 41-17 triumph to clinch a CFP berth.

    To its credit, TCU rallied from a big first-half deficit to knock off 15th-ranked Stanford 39-37 at the Alamo Bowl. The Cardinal took the money as a three-point underdog, however.

    SMU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) saw head coach Chad Morris leave to take the Arkansas job after leading the school to its first bowl game since 2012. The Mustangs went 7-6 SU and 6-6-1 ATS last year, dropping a 51-10 decision to La. Tech at the Frisco Bowl. (Dykes served as HC in this game, but he’d only been on the job for about two weeks.)

    Dykes’s squad returns six starters on offense and eight on defense. The Mustangs lost just 19 lettermen, but they still took woodshed treatment in a 46-23 loss at North Texas as three-point road underdogs in last week’s opener. The 69 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 71.5-point total.

    SMU trailed the Mean Green 20-0 at halftime and 36-0 going into the fourth quarter. North Texas enjoyed an enormous 529-256 advantage in total yards and a 30-9 edge in first downs.

    Hicks completed only 12-of-24 throws for 252 yards and two TDs with one interception. He had zero help from the ground game that was limited to four yards on 19 attempts (0.2 YPC). Senior RB Braeden West had a five-yard TD run and caught three passes for 86 yards and one TD. Proche had two receptions for 77 yards and one TD.

    Hicks was outstanding as a sophomore in ’17, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 3,569 yards with a 33/12 TD-INT ratio. He has 25 career starts under his belt. Hicks lost a pair of elite WRs in Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton, who combined for 182 catches for 2,321 yards and 25 TD grabs last season.

    Proche caught 40 balls for 816 yards and six TDs in ’17. He was a second-team preseason All-AAC selection in Steele’s mag. Junior RB Xavier Jones was a second-team All-AAC pick last year and a preseason first-teamer. However, he was only given two carries that gained just three yards against the Mean Green. Jones had 1,075 rushing yards and nine TDs with a 5.9 YPC average in ’17.

    Dykes admitted Monday night on his weekly radio show that Jones wasn’t healthy the last couple of weeks of camp. He called him “probably 85-90 percent” going into the North Texas game. “The good thing is I think he’ll be back this week full go and he’s doing much better,” Dykes told PonyStampeded.com.

    Even if Jones can’t go, West and Freeman are excellent back-up options even if the stats didn’t suggest as much vs. North Texas. West rushed for 568 yards and two TDs with a 7.8 YPC average in ’17, while Freeman had 543 rushing yards, 11 TDs and a 4.1 YPC average.

    Since 2014, SMU has limped to a 4-11 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, TCU has compiled an 8-14 ATS record as a road favorite since 2011, but we should note that the Frogs went 3-1 ATS in four such spots last season.

    Two SMU starters are on the injury report. Junior OT Bryce Wilds is ‘questionable’ due to an undisclosed issue and junior DE Tyeson Neals is ‘out’ for the next several weeks with a knee injury. Neals produced 19 tackles, 4.5 sacks, four TFL’s and two QB hurries last year.

    For TCU, senior starting DE L.J. Collier and Blacklock’s back-up nose tackle Joseph Broadnax are both ‘questionable’ due to disciplinary matters. Collier had 18 tackles, four sacks, two QB hurries, one interception and 0.5 TFL’s in ’17, while Broadnax contributed 14 tackles, two TFL’s, 1.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

    Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on ESPN2.

    **Bonus Nuggets**

    -- The ‘over’ is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings of the TCU-SMU rivalry.

    -- Former Georgia Tech RB Dedrick Mills was dismissed from the program by Paul Johnson in August of 2017 for an unspecified violation of team rules. As a freshman in 2016, Mills led the Yellow Jackets in rushing yards (771) and rushing TDs with 12. He’s playing juco ball at Garden City Community College in Kansas but missed most of last year injured. Anyway, he announced on his Twitter account this week that he’s verbally committed to Scott Frost and Nebraska. Mills hopes to get a medical hardship waiver from the NCAA for 2017 and if it’s granted, he’ll have two years of eligibility remaining at Nebraska starting in 2019 (assuming he sticks to his verbal pledge).

    -- North Texas junior QB Mason Fine had himself a day vs. SMU last week. Fine completed 40-of-50 passes for 444 yards and three TDs without an interception.

    -- Hawaii QB Cole McDonald has been nothing short of sensational in first two career starts, leading the Warriors to a pair of easy wins as double-digit underdogs. In Week Zero at Colorado State as a 17-point underdog, McDonald had his team up 37-7 late in the third quarter. The Rams rallied to make it interesting but still lost by a 43-34 count. Then in Week 1, Hawaii trounced Navy 59-41 as a 13-point ‘dog. McDonald has completed 71.8 percent of his throws for 846 yards and nine TDs without a pick. He also has a pair of rushing scores.

    -- After opening as a 3.5-point home favorite Sunday night for this week’s double-revenge spot vs. USC, Stanford was up to a 5.5-point ‘chalk’ to the Trojans by Wednesday afternoon. The Cardinal will be without starting senior center Jesse Burkett, who is ‘out’ for undisclosed reasons. Burkett has 28 career starts to his credit.

    -- Former Alabama and Arizona State QB Blake Barnett made his debut for Charlie Strong’s USF team in its 34-14 home win over Elon last week. Barnett completed 24-of-34 passes for 305 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 31 yards and one TD on eight attempts. The Bulls play host to Ga. Tech this weekend.

    -- Indiana is already without its top RB Morgan Ellison due to an indefinite suspension. The Hoosiers will now be sans RB Cole Gest for the rest of the year after he tore his ACL in the team’s opener vs. FIU. Gest rushed for 428 yards and one TD while averaging 4.6 YPC in ’17.

    -- Louisville junior DE Jonathan Greenard is ‘out’ indefinitely with a wrist injury that includes ligament damage. Greenard had 48 tackles, 8.5 TFL’s, seven sacks, eight QB hurries and one PBU for the Cardinals last season.

    -- Illinois fifth-year senior WR Mike Dudek sustained a third career season-ending injury in his team’s season-opening win over Kent State. Dudek was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection as a freshman in 2014 when he had 76 receptions for 1,038 yards and six TDs. Best of luck to him in his recovery and his future whether it be on the gridiron or not!

    -- Miami, Fl. and Florida State are both 0-1 for the first time since 1975. No wonder I’ve been sleeping like a champ the last two nights!

    -- The last time a team lost its season opener and won the national title was Miami in 1983. Who did the Hurricanes lose to? Florida. How do I know? Because I was there. The Gators were up 28-0 in the final seconds as UM moved into UF territory. Former HC Howard Schnellenberger called a timeout with just a few seconds left so his place-kicker could attempt a field goal on the game’s final play. He made the long kick to dodge cream-cheese treatment in the 28-3 loss.

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    The Triple Option: College football Week 2 picks, predictions
    Andrew Caley

    Well, that was interesting.

    Week 1 of the college football season is always full of surprises. And at the same time, it isn’t.

    Texas lost its opener to Maryland for the second straight season and Chip Kelly suffered an embarrassing loss at home in his debut for UCLA, while teams like Penn State and Michigan State barely survived upset bids as huge favorites.

    But meanwhile, Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Wisconsin, Ohio State and Oklahoma all won and by a massive average margin of 41.5 points. Unfortunately, these big boys only went 3-3 against the spread. To be fair though, they faced an average spread of -45 and failed to cover by less than one score.

    Another thing that stayed the same was the SEC’s dominance. The conference went 13-1 straight up (c’mon Tennessee!) and 10-3-1 against the spread, despite seeing an average chalk of about -22.5.

    How about something that’s kind of the same, but different? Week 2 has got you covered.

    Jimbo Fisher and Dabo Sweeney will meet for the ninth time as head coaches this Saturday. But this time with Fisher at the helm of Texas A&M. The two have split those contests down the middle, so they probably don’t have many surprises left for each other.

    Luckily, for Sweeney and Clemson, that may not matter. The Tigers defensive line is going to make life miserable for Aggies’ sophomore quarterback Kellen Mond, whom has a career competition mark of just 53.2 percent. Expect Clemson to force Mond to throw and the Tigers’ experience and talent will be enough for them to pull away from Texas A&M by the end of this one.

    Pick: Clemson -12

    Michigan State Spartans at Arizona State Sun Devils (+6.5, 54)


    Here’s something that was a little surprising: Herm Edwards’ debut at Arizona State. Edwards had his Sun Devils flying all over the field in his first game. His defense limited USTA to just 221 total yards, including just three - count ‘em on one hand - three rushing yards, while racking up nine sacks in Arizona State’s impressive 49-7 win over the Roadrunners.

    The Sun Devils also deployed a balanced attack on offense. Senior quarterback Manny Wilkins was an efficient 16 for 24 for 237 yards and four touchdowns, while sophomore running back Eno Benjamin added 146 total yards and two scores.

    Meanwhile, Michigan State’s defense was porous in it’s opener against Utah State, allowing the Aggies to torch them for 319 yards through the air. But what’s worse for the Spartans was their offensive line play. They allowed the Aggies to put pressure on QB Brian Lewerke all game resulting in three sacks and were only able to manage 3.9 yards per carry for the ground game.

    Throw in a rough road trip to Arizona, and a late start (10:45 p.m. ET) and the Sun Devils will have an opportunity to put the Spartans on upset alert for the second straight week.

    Pick: Arizona State +6.5

    Rice Owls at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-17, 71.5)


    Here’s something that won’t change: the fact most seasoned college football bettors (some call us degenerates) spend too much time following the Rainbow Warriors and usually for the wrong reasons. But we’re hoping this week is different. Instead of chasing losses in Hawaii’s midnight kickoffs, we think we’ll just be rounding out a perfect Week 2 with some late-night action.

    But something that might change is the way we perceive the Rainbow Warriors in 2018. Hawaii has come flying out of the gate, winning both games outright as a double-digit underdog and thanks to a revamped offense and the play of sophomore quarterback Cole McDonald, the Bows have their sights on their first winning season since 2010.

    McDonald has been a revelation for the Rainbow Warriors’ run-and-shoot offense, completing 56 of 78 pass attempts (71.8 percent) for 846 yards and nine touchdowns with no interceptions. And now they get to face a Rice team that hasn’t looked up to snuff in its first two games.

    The Owls squeaked out a 31-28 win as 23-point home faves against FCS Prairie View A&M (yeah, I’ve never heard of them either) and followed that up with a 45-27 home loss against Houston as 25.5-point underdogs (which they did cover), allowing an average of 439 total yards (292 passing) per game.

    This time it’s Hawaii which is the double-digit favorite and for good reason. Rice, on the road in Hawaii, is clearly an inferior team (at least compared to the Bows’ first two opponents) that doesn’t look capable of stopping the Rainbow Warriors’ offense. There’s no reason to think the Bows don’t keep rolling here.

    Pick: Hawaii -17

    Last week: 2-1
    Season: 2-1

    Heisman Odds Update

    It’s all about Tua. Officially named the starter for Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa didn’t disappoint. The sophomore quarterback played only the first half of Alabama’s win over Louisville, but still threw for 227 yards and two touchdowns on 12-of-16 passing, while adding another major on the ground.

    And as a result, Tagovailoa’s Heisman odds continue to climb even though he was already the favorite. Tagovailoa now sits at 3/1 to win the award for the most outstanding player in college football. As noted last week, the sophomore gunslinger is the Westgate LV Superbook’s biggest liability in the Heisman market.

    It looks like Tagovailoa’s biggest challenge for the Heisman Trophy, will come from West Virginia quarterback Will Grier. The Mountaineers’ signal-caller shredded the Tennessee secondary last week, throwing for 429 yards on 25-of-34 passing (73.5 percent) with five touchdowns. He is now the clear No. 2 behind Tagovailoa at 6/1.

    The two leaders are followed by a trio of players at 12/1. Stanford running back Bryce Love, Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor and UCF quarterback McKenzie Milton. Another guy worth watching is Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray a 20/1.

    Right now, it feels like Grier is the one worth backing, as he and West Virginia are primed to have a huge year in the Big 12, but a regular season finale at home versus the Sooners could decide a lot.

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    Week 2 Upset Alerts

    The debut of this weekly piece a week ago held it's own as the three underdogs finished with a 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 straight up record. Rice was able to get it going in the right direction by taking a 24-17 lead at halftime as +25.5-point underdogs to easily get the cover, while the smallest dog SMU got blown out from start to finish against North Texas.

    But it was the play of the Cincinnati Bearcats (and depending how you look at it, the play of UCLA) that capped off the day. Cincinnati never looked in trouble in that game after a sloppy first quarter found them down 10-0, as UCLA appears as though they've got a long way to go in the Chip Kelly era to be competitive. UCLA is catching +30 on the road against Oklahoma this week and that says a lot. But it was a great start to Year 2 under coach Fickell in Cincinnati and they'll probably have a few more underdog wins in them this year.

    Yet, it's on to Week 2 now and that means it can be classic overreaction week. Whether it's in the perception or the actual betting lines themselves, Week 2 brings classic reactions and overreactions to what they saw a week ago and let them too heavily influence their handicapping process. But there's a good chunk of teams who won't look anything like the team they were in Week 1 by season's end, so keep your preseason projections for every team weighed heavier than the 60 minutes of action last week.

    Hopefully we can take advantage of a few of those potentially inflated underdog numbers this week. So let's get right to it:

    Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

    YTD: 0-1 SU; 0-1 ATS

    Nevada +9 over Vanderbilt


    This is a line that immediately jumped off the board to me because Vanderbilt seems to be getting way too much respect for a strong Week 1 performance. That and Nevada took some time before blowing out a FCS team last week. Put it all together and a week after Vandy got no respect from bettors – Vandy line went from -6 to -3 before they won 35-7 – it seems like now they are getting way too much respect.

    Without question Vanderbilt will be a big step up for a Nevada team that looks to be on the rise, but 70+ points is still 70+ points and they won't even need half of that to potentially come out of Vandy with an outright victory. We shouldn't see this Wolfpack attack get stifled by Vandy's defense in a similar fashion to Middle Tennessee did a week ago, and Vandy's offense didn't exactly do a whole lot of impressing either in that win.

    But drastically outperforming the line and clearly the consensus opinion as well Vanderbilt forced oddsmakers to overadjust here and I'll gladly take the points with Nevada and dash a bit on the ML as well. Vandy's not a school you can trust laying chalk – as so many bettors believed a week ago with that line move – and sticking with that line of thought should pay off here.


    Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

    YTD: 1-0 SU; 1-0 ATS

    Bowling Green +16 over Maryland


    Bowling Green isn't likely to be a great team this year and the fact that they got run over by Oregon last week doesn't really do them any favors. But this play is more about fading a Maryland team that probably played well over their heads last week in their own big outright upset (+13.5) over Texas. There really is nowhere to go but down for Maryland from here given all they've got going on regarding the program, and laying this many points on the road could end up being disastrous.

    For one, if Maryland did indeed play well over their heads, then there is going to be a “coming down” part naturally on the field. But even just the mental and emotional preparation and intensity has to drop a bit for a multitude of reasons. The hype of it being the first game of a trying off-season is now gone, there's no added hype of being up against a big name program at home on national television, and now it's actually you guys who are the hunted and in hostile territory. Not a good recipe for a successful meal at all.

    Secondly, Bowling Green may have lost 58-24 in Oregon last week, but who really goes there as a non-Power 5 road team and really has a chance. The Falcons are true to their identity of being in the MAC though as they aren't shy about putting up points when they can – they did score 24 vs Oregon – and can you really trust Maryland's defense on the road?

    This game just feels like it's going to be a huge letdown/disaster for Maryland and like the Cincinnati/UCLA game in this spot a week ago, a Bowling Green SU victory would not be surprising at all.


    Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

    YTD: 1-0 ATS

    Ball State +34.5 vs Notre Dame


    Speaking of MAC teams catching points against an opponent in a tougher spot, we've got Ball State catching 30+ against the Fighting Irish, just six days after they beat up on Michigan in one of the biggest games of the weekend.

    Notre Dame definitely got done what they needed to in that Michigan game to remain in the national championship picture as an Independent, but being an Independent team can also put you in some tougher scheduling spots because everyone wants to boost their resume (if they can) by playing you. This week they host a Ball State squad that would love to raise the name of their own brand against an Irish team in a classic letdown spot.

    Coming down from the euphoric emotions after that Michigan win is going to be tough, especially knowing you've got another upstart team from another Power 5 conference that's looking to make a name off your brand next week as well; the aforementioned Vanderbilt Commodores. There is no looking ahead for Notre Dame here though, but the perception of this team has risen drastically since beating Michigan and this looks to be a few too many points.

    Ball State got the monkey of a nine-game losing streak entering the year off their back with a dominant win against FCS play, but for as insignificant as a win like that may seem to most, it probably wasn't that insignificant for the players. First off, it gave them their confidence back that they could win again, and growing confidence is never a bad thing when you're going into try and shock the entire college football world.

    Secondly, it allowed Ball State's offense to sense and feel what a highly successful offensive game looks and feels like. Moving the ball against Notre Dame's defense will be a completely different story, but the Cardinals likely only have to score on a couple of possessions against a less interested Irish defense to keep it within this number. Ball State won't win this game but they'll keep the margin of defeat within the 20's.

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    Biggest line moves for Week 2:

    NMSU at Utah St: Open -16, Now: -23
    Baylor at UTSA: Open +12, Now: +17
    FSU at Min: Open -3, Now: +1
    WMU at Mich: Open: -24.5, Now: -28
    GT at USF: Open Pk, Now: +3
    Arz at Hou: Open: -7, Now: -3.5
    Ark at CSU: Open: +11, Now: +14


    Strong winds for Kansas at Central Michigan (-3.5).⚠️ Total opened 56.5 and is now down to 49.5.

    Strong winds in the forecast for Duke at Northwestern (-2.5). Total at 47.5.

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    Nasty day at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati at Miami (Ohio) is a pick'em, with total at 49.5 points. Strong winds and rain in the forecast
    Last edited by Udog; 09-08-2018 at 09:19 AM.

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