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Thread: Cnotes 2018 nfl thread thru the superbowl- trends-news-picks+more !

  1. #451
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    Underdog Plays - Week 10
    November 7, 2018
    By Bookmaker


    by Kyle Markus

    NFL Football Odds - Top NFL Underdog Plays Of Week 10


    In a 16-game season, playoff spots can often be decided by one or two close outcomes. When underdogs are able to pull out a win, it greatly increases their chance at making a postseason push. The NFL is known for its parity and this year is no exception, as underdogs have come away with surprising wins every week of the year.

    As the NFL slate heads into Week 10, there will be plenty of underdogs who cover and a few who win outright to pay off well on the moneyline. Here is a look at some of the best underdog plays in NFL gambling.

    Odds Analysis - per BookMaker.eu

    The Carolina Panthers will be on the road this week in a tough matchup against a talented Pittsburgh Steelers team. The Panthers are the +172 underdogs on the moneyline but their offense is really clicking. The Steelers have played better lately but look more vulnerable this season than in past years. These are good odds, so jump on Carolina to pull off the upset.

    The Tennessee Titans are 6.5-point home underdogs in a matchup against the New England Patriots. Tennessee isn’t a great team but plays the right type of style to keep this one close. If the Titans can run the ball well and quarterback Marcus Mariota avoids turnovers, they could actually put a sc02
    are into the Patriots. New England should squeak out the win but the Titans are the choice to cover as the underdogs.

    The San Francisco 49ers looked great last time out against the Raiders, and will be favored by three points against the New York Giants. The 49ers are at home and third-string quarterback Nick Mullens will start again after a fantastic debut against Oakland. The Giants’ defense is better than Oakland’s and a game’s worth of tape to study will bring Mullens back to earth. New York is the pick to cover the spread and is also a logical choice as the +127 underdog on the moneyline.

    The Miami Dolphins don’t have a great team but they are decent enough. They are 10-point underdogs on the road against the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay is tough to beat at home and the presence of Aaron Rodgers is the reason why this spread is so large. However, the Packers have some holes and this spread is high. Take the Dolphins to get a late score to earn the backdoor cover in Green Bay.

    Free NFL ATS Picks

    The Jacksonville Jaguars have had a disappointing season after making it to the AFC Championship game a year ago. They will aim to get back on track this week in a road matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. Indy has a star quarterback in Andrew Luck but he could get neutralized by Jacksonville’s talented defense.

    The Jaguars have stumbled lately but they are 3-point underdogs and that spread is entirely too high. Quarterback Blake Bortles has had some serious issues of late but look for him to bounce back against a soft Indianapolis defense. The Jaguars are the choice to not just cover but pull off the upset at +125 odds in NFL gambling.

    NFL ATS Pick: Jaguars to beat the Colts as the +125 underdog
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Ugly Dogs - Week 10
    November 7, 2018
    By BetDSI


    By Tom Wilkinson

    NFL Week 10 Ugly Dogs


    If you want to win money betting NFL games then you need to go against the grain. One of the ways to do that is to take teams that no one else wants to bet. I call them ugly dogs and last week those ugly dogs had a rough week as they went -0-2 against the spread, but in the last five weeks they are still 12-7 ATS. There are four plays this week, including one of the biggest pointspreads in recent memory. Let’s look at the Week 10 ugly dog picks.

    Check out the latest Week 10 NFL odds at BetDSI

    Buffalo Bills +7 at New York Jets

    The Bills have been a mess lately without rookie quarterback Josh Allen. They have been blown out in each of their last three games and scored less than 10 points in each contest. It seems unlikely that Allen will play this week, but at least the Bills won’t have to go with Nathan Peterman, as it appears that Derek Anderson will be ready to go.

    Anderson isn’t great, but someone off the street would be better at quarterback than Peterman. The Jets are also not a good team and they are laying a touchdown in this one. The public will be going against the Bills in this one and that helps our cause. We’ll take the Bills as our first ugly dog play of the week.

    Arizona Cardinals +17 at Kansas City Chiefs

    The Kansas City Chiefs look like the best team in the NFL and they have the most explosive offense in the league. They are at home against an Arizona team that has won just two games all season. The Cardinals don’t have any real chance of slowing down the Chiefs in this one, so this game comes down to whether or not the Cardinals offense can do something against the Kansas City defense. The Cardinals do have David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald, but rookie quarterback Josh Rosen is struggling.

    The public is going to be all over the Chiefs in this one and who can argue, as the Chiefs are not only winning, but they are covering. This is a huge number so perhaps the Cardinals can slip in the backdoor. We’ll go against everyone here and take the Cardinals as an ugly dog.

    Oakland Raiders +10 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

    When was the last time the Raiders were getting double-digits at home? The Raiders are a complete mess under Jon Gruden and playing for next year. They face a Los Angeles team that looks like they could be one of the few teams in the league that could challenge Kansas City or New England in the AFC.

    The only positive for the Raiders is that this is a rivalry game, so perhaps they will show some emotion. This one is ugly, as no one is going to want to bet the Raiders, but that is what these picks are all about. We’ll take the big points with the Raiders as an ugly dog.

    Dallas Cowboys +6.5 at Philadelphia Eagles

    It is hard to believe that the Cowboys have fallen into the ugly dog category but that is the case. They are just 3-5 on the season, are poorly coached, and they could be without one of their top defensive players, as Sean Lee is hurt yet again. They now have to go into Philadelphia off a Monday night and play a rested Philadelphia team coming off their bye.

    The Cowboys have some talent, but they simply can’t put everything together. The positive for Dallas is that this is a division game and one that they simply have to win to stay in touch with the Redskins and Eagles in the NFC East. Not many people are going to want anything to do with the Cowboys coming off their poor showing against Tennessee so that gives us added value on Dallas. It is hard to put money down on the Cowboys, but they qualify as an ugly dog this week in Philadelphia.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Teams to Watch - Week 10
    November 7, 2018
    By YouWager.eu


    Futures Forecast Predictions, top picks, teams to avoid for Week 10

    We are now officially into the second half of the season, with the better teams in the league beginning to separate from the pack. While there is still a lot of football to be played, it’s fair to suggest that a little bit of panic has to be settling in for the teams on the outside looking in at the playoff picture. Some of those teams are rather surprising, with the likes of Atlanta, Green Bay, and Jacksonville all sitting off the pace and out of the playoffs.

    There is still time for these teams to make good, starting in Week 10, so let’s look at who to play and avoid this weekend with all the odds, props and futures offered by YouWager.eu.

    Detroit Lions (+230) at Chicago Bears (-280)

    We all expected the Bears to take a step forward this season, but I must admit that I still had them sitting behind the Vikings and the Packers in the NFC North. They are sitting on top of the division right now and have an opportunity to improve on their current record when they host the Detroit Lions on Sunday afternoon.

    The Lions have been brutal on offense over the last couple of weeks and have now traded away top receiver Golden Tate, a sure sign that they have given up on this season. They are probably going to struggle against a very good Bears D, which is why I will choose to avoid the Detroit Lions.

    New Orleans Saints (-230) at Cincinnati Bengals (+190)

    If the season was to end today, both of these teams would be in the playoffs, so it goes without saying that this is one of the best games on the Week 10 schedule. We all knew that the Saints were for real before last week, but they put a bit of an exclamation point on their season by handing the Rams their first loss of the year.

    This is by no means going to be an easy road trip, but you have to wonder what kind of hit the Bengals are going to take without the injured A.J. Green in the line-up. I think that alone swings things in the favor of the road team, which is why I would play the New Orleans Saints.

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    Los Angeles Chargers (-490) at Oakland Raiders (+390)

    In the AFC, it is the Patriots and the Chiefs who appear to be getting all the love, but we really should not be sleeping on the Chargers. Over the past few seasons, the Chargers have had to dig themselves out of an early hole after a slow start, but that has not been the case this season. This is a team that is firing on all cylinders, yet still somehow flying below the radar.

    They will make the short trip to Oakland to face a Raiders team that is falling apart at the seams. It has been nothing but chaos since Joh Gruden took over, which is just one of the reasons why I would avoid the Oakland Raiders.

    Dallas Cowboys (+230) at Philadelphia Eagles (-280)

    If we are talking about surprise teams this season, we need to talk about the defending Super Bowl Champions Eagles. They have had a poor start to the season, finishing the first half at .500 and below the playoff line. The Cowboys come into this one one game worse than the Eagles, but perhaps the most surprising element of their first half is that they are winless on the road.

    Philly is still very much in the race to win the NFC East, but they need to start putting some wins together now. I think that urgency drives them forward, which is why I am going to play the Philadelphia Eagles.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Saints sign ex-Cowboys WR Bryant
    November 7, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    METAIRIE, La. (AP) Dez Bryant has found a new team, agreeing to join the already prolific offense of the surging New Orleans Saints.

    The former Dallas Cowboys wide receiver, who has been looking for an NFL home since becoming a free agent in April, will now have a chance to catch passes from one of the most prolific quarterbacks in NFL history in New Orleans' Drew Brees.

    ''There is certainly a skillset that he has that is going to be beneficial. So I look forward to getting to work with him. I look forward to building a rapport with him. I look forward to getting him involved in this offense and just become a complement to all the guys that we already have,'' Brees said. ''He'll be a great addition.''

    The 30-year-old Bryant and the Saints agreed to contract terms on Wednesday, and it remains unclear to what extent Bryant will play when New Orleans visits Cincinnati on Sunday.

    Bryant spent his first eight years in the NFL with Dallas and last season caught 69 passes for 838 yards and six touchdowns, including a 50-yard scoring play, for the Cowboys.

    However, his professional reputation has been marred at times by public confrontations with coaches and teammates during games and practices.

    Veteran Saints tight end Ben Watson said players in New Orleans' locker room must guard against pre-judging Bryant based on superficial observations from old television clips without knowing all the facts or how Bryant has evolved personally since.

    ''I don't know Dez. I wasn't in the locker room with him in Dallas. I don't know all the dynamics,'' Watson said. ''I also don't know what's transpired with him personally since that situation. So the great thing about a locker room, I think, is we take guys in and we say, `Hey, what are you like now?'''

    Seeking salary cap relief, the Cowboys released Bryant after last season with two years remaining on the receiver's five-year, $70 million contract.

    Last season was Bryant's best since he caught 88 passes for 1,320 yards and 16 TDs in 2014, which at the time was his third consecutive season with at least 1,200 yards receiving. He signed his last Cowboys contract right after that, but has not approached that level of production since - a central reason Dallas released him in April.

    ''What matters is, what are we going to do for the next eight games?'' said Watson, who played for the Patriots when running back Corey Dillon arrived with a reputation as a malcontent from Cincinnati in 2004 and helped New England win a Super Bowl.

    Watson was still with the Patriots in 2007 when they added another perceived malcontent in receiver Randy Moss, who caught 23 of Tom Brady's NFL-record 50 TD passes that season.

    ''People change over time and there are certain factors you just don't know about. So we just move forward,'' Watson said. ''If somebody's new, you have a clean slate and you embrace that person because now they're your teammate.''

    Bryant was among several receivers to work out for the Saints on Tuesday. He'd previously met with Cleveland and Baltimore.

    New Orleans (7-1), which has won seven straight and leads the NFC South, didn't necessarily need another receiver.

    Led by the record-setting Brees, the Saints rank seventh on offense overall, averaging 402.2 yards per game, and seventh in passing, averaging 289.9 yards. At the same time, New Orleans is without deep threat Ted Ginn Jr., who is currently on injured reserve and won't be eligible to return until the final few weeks of the season, if he's ready by then.

    The Saints also have yet to receive consistent production from Cameron Meredith, a former Chicago receiving leader who was acquired in free agency, but who also is trying to come back from major knee surgery that wiped out his 2017 season.

    Bryant's return to the NFL with the Saints means he could play against his former club in a few weeks. The Saints play at Dallas on Nov. 29.

    ''They're getting a great receiver. He goes up and attacks the ball better than I've seen anyone,'' Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliot said. ''He's definitely a special player and I'm glad he got picked up and I'm glad something worked out for him.''

    Added Cowboys coach Jason Garrett: ''I'm happy he has an opportunity to go play and finish the right way, it will be a great environment for him to go out and make an impact.''

    New Orleans also has two games remaining against division rival Carolina (6-2).

    ''The nice thing is we don't play them until December, so we will get an opportunity to see what they are doing with him,'' Panthers coach Ron Rivera said shortly after hearing about Bryant's agreement with the Saints. ''He's a good player. He's a guy that has shown he can go up and get the football.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Bettors jump on Panthers' opening odds for NFL Week 10 battle vs. Steelers
    Patrick Everson

    Greg Olsen and the Panthers have won and covered in their last three games, which has apparently caught bettors' attention. Carolina opened +6.5 at Pittsburgh and was quickly bet to +5.5.

    Every NFL team will have at least half the season in the rearview mirror when Week 9 concludes Monday night. We check in on the opening lines and early action for a quartet of Week 10 contests, with insights from John Murray and Derek Wilkinson, director and supervisor, respectively, of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

    Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

    Pittsburgh is starting to look more like, well, Pittsburgh heading into this Thursday night contest. The Steelers (5-2-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) have won and covered four in a row and five of six, including a 23-16 Week 9 victory at Baltimore as 1.5-point underdogs.

    Carolina won and cashed in its last three outings and is 5-1 SU in its last six, trying to keep pace with New Orleans in the NFC South. The Panthers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) bolted to a 35-7 lead against Tampa Bay, but had to hang on late in a 42-28 win as 6-point home favorites in Week 9.

    There was no action on this number in the first hour after it was posted, but Carolina drew some cash Sunday night.

    “We got a decent-sized bet on Panthers +6.5 and another at +6,” Wilkinson said. “Also, the market evened out lower than we anticipated.”

    Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (-9.5)

    Los Angeles finally exited the ranks of the undefeated, well after every other NFL team had at least one loss. The Rams (8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS) found themselves in a 35-14 second-quarter hole at New Orleans, came all the way back to tie the game at 35, but couldn’t quite finish in a 45-35 setback laying 1.5 points.

    Seattle looked like it was finding good form with a 4-1 SU and ATS run heading into Week 9. But the Seahawks (4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) fell flat at home against San Diego, losing 25-17 as 1-point home pups.

    “We opened it Rams -9.5 and took one bet on the Rams so far, but nothing noteworthy,” Murray said. “The Rams will be included in every teaser and moneyline parlay next week.”

    The SuperBook moved with the market to Rams -10 on Sunday night.

    Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)

    The NFC East is completely up for grabs at the midway point, and defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia is rested for the second half, coming off its bye week. The Eagles (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) beat Jacksonville 24-18 laying 3.5 points on the road in Week 8, but have yet to win back-to-back games this season.

    Dallas still has some Week 9 work to do before thinking about this Sunday night NFC East clash. The Cowboys (3-4 SU and ATS), coming off a Week 8 bye, host Tennessee in the Monday nighter.

    “We opened Eagles -6 and haven't seen any bets yet on either side,” Murray said. “We will need Dallas by kickoff on Sunday night.”

    Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)

    Green Bay is in the midst of a very tough stretch of four road games in five weeks, the first two of which were in Weeks 8 and 9, taking the squad from the West Coast to the East Coast. In the Week 9 Sunday nighter, the Packers (3-4-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) traveled to New England as 5-point ‘dogs and couldn’t keep up in the second half, falling 31-17.

    Miami got out of the gate 3-0 SU and ATS, then spent the past several weeks trying to regain that form. The Dolphins (5-4 SU and ATS) ended a 1-4 SU and ATS skid by slogging past the New York Jets 13-6 as 3-point home favorites in Week 9.

    “We opened Packers -7.5 and took some money on Miami, but we are leaving the line there,” Murray said. “I'm sure we will want more Miami money by Sunday.”

    Per The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure, the line on this game was taken off the board while the Packers battled the Patriots on Sunday night. The line will go back up Monday morning.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 10


    Thursday. November 8

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CAROLINA (6 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 2 - 1) - 11/8/2018, 8:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 167-132 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 161-125 ATS (+23.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sunday, November 9

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    BUFFALO (2 - 7) at NY JETS (3 - 6) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    NY JETS is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (4 - 4) at CLEVELAND (2 - 6 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (7 - 1) at CINCINNATI (5 - 3) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (5 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 5) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 34-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 34-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (5 - 4) at GREEN BAY (3 - 4 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 190-136 ATS (+40.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    JACKSONVILLE (3 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 5) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (3 - 5) at CHICAGO (5 - 3) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    DETROIT is 139-175 ATS (-53.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    DETROIT is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (2 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (8 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
    KANSAS CITY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
    KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CHARGERS (6 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 7) - 11/11/2018, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CHARGERS is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
    LA CHARGERS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 77-107 ATS (-40.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 77-107 ATS (-40.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 143-180 ATS (-55.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CHARGERS is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    LA CHARGERS is 3-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (4 - 4) at LA RAMS (8 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 188-236 ATS (-71.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 188-236 ATS (-71.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 134-186 ATS (-70.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 146-187 ATS (-59.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 66-99 ATS (-42.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
    LA RAMS is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (3 - 5) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 4) - 11/11/2018, 8:20 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday. November 12

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (1 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 7) - 11/12/2018, 8:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 32-10 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #457
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    80,771
    Credits
    157,074

    Default

    NFL

    Week 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, November 8

    Carolina Panthers
    Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
    Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games
    Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
    Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Carolina


    Sunday, November 11

    Detroit Lions
    Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
    Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
    Detroit is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Detroit is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Detroit is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bears
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
    Chicago is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
    Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
    Chicago is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


    Arizona Cardinals
    Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games
    Arizona is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Arizona's last 21 games on the road
    Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
    Kansas City Chiefs
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games at home
    Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
    Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona


    New England Patriots
    New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    New England is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
    New England is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
    New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    Tennessee Titans
    Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
    Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Tennessee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
    Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
    Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England


    New Orleans Saints
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
    Cincinnati Bengals
    Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
    Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing New Orleans


    Atlanta Falcons
    Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
    Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
    Cleveland Browns
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 2-22-1 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    Cleveland is 3-18-1 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home


    Jacksonville Jaguars
    Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
    Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
    Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
    Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Jacksonville's last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
    Jacksonville is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
    Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
    Indianapolis Colts
    Indianapolis is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 16 games
    Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home
    Indianapolis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 14 games when playing Jacksonville
    Indianapolis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
    Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


    Washington Redskins
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
    Tampa Bay is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 14 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
    Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington


    Buffalo Bills
    Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
    Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
    Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
    Buffalo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
    Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
    Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
    New York Jets
    NY Jets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    NY Jets is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
    NY Jets is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games at home
    NY Jets is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Jets is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    NY Jets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo


    Los Angeles Chargers
    LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Chargers's last 19 games
    LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 10 games on the road
    LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
    LA Chargers is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Oakland
    LA Chargers is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    LA Chargers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Oakland Raiders
    Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Oakland is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 15 games
    Oakland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games at home
    Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
    Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Chargers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
    Oakland is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
    Oakland is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers


    Miami Dolphins
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Green Bay
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
    Green Bay Packers
    Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
    Green Bay is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Green Bay is 3-7-1 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 14 games
    Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Green Bay is 11-4-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
    Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami


    Seattle Seahawks
    Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
    Seattle is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
    Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Rams
    Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Seattle's last 17 games when playing LA Rams
    Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
    Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
    Los Angeles Rams
    LA Rams is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Rams is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    LA Rams is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
    LA Rams is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Rams's last 17 games when playing Seattle
    LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
    LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle


    Dallas Cowboys
    Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 17 games
    Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia Eagles
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Dallas
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


    Monday, November 12

    New York Giants
    NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 15 games
    NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    NY Giants is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games on the road
    NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
    NY Giants is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
    NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
    NY Giants is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
    San Francisco 49ers
    San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games
    San Francisco is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games at home
    San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    San Francisco is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
    San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
    San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Giants
    San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    San Francisco is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #458
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    80,771
    Credits
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    Default

    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 10



    Thursday. November 8

    Carolina @ Pittsburgh

    Game 107-108
    November 8, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    133.230
    Pittsburgh
    144.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 11 1/2
    57
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 4
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-4); Over


    Sunday, November 11

    Buffalo @ NY Jets


    Game 251-252
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    113.155
    NY Jets
    130.046
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Jets
    by 17
    35
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Jets
    by 7
    37
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Jets
    (-7); Under

    Atlanta @ Cleveland


    Game 253-254
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    134.180
    Cleveland
    125.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 9
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 4
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-4); Over

    New Orleans @ Cincinnati


    Game 455-456
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    141.922
    Cincinnati
    129.806
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 12
    60
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    53 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-4 1/2); Over

    Washington @ Tampa Bay


    Game 257-258
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    126.453
    Tampa Bay
    126.346
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    Even
    54
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 3
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+3); Over

    New England @ Tennessee


    Game 259-260
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    139.331
    Tennessee
    134.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 4 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 7
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (+7); Under

    Miami @ Green Bay


    Game 261-262
    November 11, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    121.506
    Green Bay
    134.917
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Green Bay
    by 13 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 9 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Green Bay
    (-9 1/2); Under

    Jacksonville @ Indianapolis


    Game 263-264
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Jacksonville
    125.590
    Indianapolis
    131.291
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indianapolis
    by 5 1/2
    50
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indianapolis
    by 3
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indianapolis
    (-3); Over

    Detroit @ Chicago


    Game 265-266
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    128.774
    Chicago
    139.199
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 10 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 6 1/2
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Arizona @ Kansas City


    Game 267-268
    November 11, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    122.766
    Kansas City
    141.359
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 18 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 16 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-16 1/2); Under

    LA Chargers @ Oakland


    Game 269-270
    November 11, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Chargers
    131.179
    Oakland
    123.525
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 7 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 10
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+10); Under

    Seattle @ LA Rams


    Game 271-272
    November 11, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    134.123
    LA Rams
    136.791
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Rams
    by 2 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Rams
    by 10
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+10); Over

    Dallas @ Philadelphia


    Game 273-274
    November 11, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    128.890
    Philadelphia
    132.401
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 3 1/2
    40
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 6 1/2
    43
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+6 1/2); Under


    Monday, November 1

    NY Giants @ San Francisco


    Game 275-276
    November 12, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    124.669
    San Francisco
    126.185
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Francisco
    by 1 1/2
    41
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Francisco
    by 3
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Giants
    (+3); Under
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #459
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
    SIN CITY
    Posts
    80,771
    Credits
    157,074

    Default

    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 10



    Thursday
    Panthers (6-2) @ Steelers (5-2-1)— Carolina won/covered its last three games; they’ve got 13 TD’s on their last 24 drives. In their wins, Panthers are +11 in TO’s, -3 in losses- they’re 1-2 on road, rallying back from down 17-0 in only win; since ’15, they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Steelers won/covered their last four games; Pitt is 2-2 at home this year, losing to Chiefs/Ravens- since ’13, they’re 20-15 as HF, 2-2 this year. Pitt won last five meetings, all by 10+ points; Carolina is 0-3 at Heinz Field, losing by 10-16-24 points. FC South non-divisional road teams are 4-7 vs spread; AFC North non-divisional HF are 5-3. Over is 5-2 in last seven Carolina games, 3-1 in Steeler home games.

    Sunday
    Bills (2-7) @ Jets (3-6)— It would take onions to lay 7.5 points with the Jets. Gang Green lost last three games, by 20-14-7 points; they scored one TD on their last 23 drives. Jets are 2-2 SU at home; under Bowles, they’re 7-5 as HF, 2-1 this year. Buffalo is really bad; they lost last four games- in their last two games, Bills ran 144 plays, and were outscored 21-15 by other team’s defense on those plays. Buffalo is 2-3 as AU this year; in their last three games, Bills are -10 in turnovers. Jets won three of last four series games, winning 30-10/34-21 in last two played here. Opening total of 36.5 is NFL’s lowest since 2012. NFL-wide, divisional HF are 11-13 vs spread this year. Under is 6-1 in Bills’ last seven games, 2-4 in Jets’ last six games.

    Falcons (4-4) @ Browns (2-6-1)— Atlanta won its last three games, scoring 31.7 ppg; they’ve converted 42 of last 68 third down plays, scored 11 TD’s on last 28 drives. Falcons are 1-2 on road this year; under Quinn, they’re 5-7 as road favorites, 0-0 this year. Atlanta is 5-10 vs spread in its last 15 games on natural grass. Cleveland lost its last four games, allowing 33.5 ppg; they’re 6-14-1 in last 21 games as home underdogs, 2-2 this year. Home side lost three of four series games, with Browns winning three of the four games, splitting pair here. NFC South non-divisions road teams are 6-3 vs spread; AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 3-5. Over is 6-1 in Falcons’ last seven games, 3-1 in Browns’ last four games.

    Saints (7-1) @ Bengals (5-3)— New Orleans won its last seven games, covered last six, has trap game here, coming off big wins over NFC rivals Vikings/Rams. Saints are 4-0 on road this year, scoring 32.5 ppg; they’re 5-1 in last six games as road favorites, 1-0 this year. Bengals lost two of last three games; they’re 3-1 at home- they covered eight of last nine games as a home dog. Cincy won four of last five series games; home side lost four of last six series games. Saints are 4-3 in their visits here, with last one in ’10. AJ Green (toe) is out here, big blow to Bengal offense. Cincy is 6-13 vs spread in last 19 post-bye games; NFC South non-divisions road teams are 6-3 vs spread; AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 3-5. Under is 3-1 in Bengals’ last four games.

    Redskins (5-3) @ Buccaneers (3-5)— In its last six games, Tampa Bay is minus-17 in turnovers, which is terrible- they have one takeaway in their last five games. Tampa Bay’s defense is hurting; they allowed 37-42 points in last two games, 30+ points in five of last six. Bucs allowed 10 TD’s on foes’ last 23 drives. Washington won three of its last four games; they’ve run ball for 130+ yards in their wins, 65-39-79 in their losses. Redskins are 8-6 in last 14 games as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Teams split last eight meetings; four of last five meetings were decided by 3 or fewer points. Redskins are 2-3 vs Bucs here, with last visit in ’12. Over is 7-1 in Tampa Bay games this year; under is 3-1 in Redskins’ last four games.

    Patriots (7-2) @ Titans (4-4)— New England won its last nine (8-1 vs spread) pre-bye games; they won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread). NE is 2-2 on road this year, 2-2 as AF; since ’16, they’re 13-6 as AF. Patriots won last seven series games, with last five wins all by 17+ points- they waxed Titans 35-14 in a playoff game LY, won last two visits here 40-23/34-13. Tennessee snapped 3-game skid with Monday night win; this is short week for them. Titans covered three of last four tries as home dogs- they’re 2-1 at home this year, with both wins by a FG. In their last two games, Tennessee converted 20-29 third down plays. Titans are 3-1 when they score 20+ points, 1-3 when they score less; Under is 5-2 in last seven Tennessee games.

    Dolphins (5-4) @ Packers (3-4-1)— Green Bay lost at Rams/Patriots last two weeks, drop way down in class here; Packers are 3-0-1 at home this year, 1-2 as HF- since 2014, they’re 18-12-2 as HF. Miami won LW without scoring an offensive TD; Dolphins lost their last three road games, by 31-10-19 points, after beating Jets in road opener. Miami is 3-8 in its last 11 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year. Green Bay won three of last four meetings, after losing nine of first 10; Dolphins are 3-2 on frozen tundra, winning last visit here 23-20 in OT in ’10. Dolphins are 2-6 vs spread in last eight pre-bye games. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 2-9 vs spread this year. Three of last four Miami games went over the total.

    Jaguars (3-5) @ Colts (3-5)— Jaguars lost last four games, scoring only three TD’s on 30 drives in last three games; they’re 1-2 in true road games, covered seven of last eight post-bye games; Jags are 7-5 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 0-1 this year. Jags covered seven of their last eight post-bye games. Colts scored 37-42 points in winning last two games, after a 1-5 start; they’re 1-2 at home this year, 1-2 as HF. Since ’14, Indy is 13-11-1 as HF- they’re 10-3 vs spread in their last 13 post-bye games. Jax won four of last five series games, with three of four wins by 20+ points, but Jaguars lost four of last five visits here. Four of Colts’ last five games went over the total. Jaguars are 3-0 scoring 20+ points, 0-5 when they score less than 20.

    Lions (3-5) @ Bears (5-3)— Lions fired their special teams coach Monday, so they’ve got issues in their building; Detroit was outrushed 304-100 in losing their last two games- Stafford was sacked 10 times Sunday, so their OL has problems, too. Lions are 12-16 in last 28 games as AU, 2-1 this year. Chicago beat cruddy QB’s (Jets/Bills) last two weeks; Bears are 3-1 at home this year, are 3-0 as HF, after being 1-6 n that role from ’15-’17. Detroit won nine of last ten series games, winning last three by 3-3-10 points; five of last six series games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Detroit won four of its last five visits here. Four of last five Chicago games went over total; over is 3-1 in Detroit’s road games.

    Cardinals (2-6) @ Chiefs (8-1)— Since 2000, Chiefs are 23rd NFL team to be favored by 17+ points; first 22 teams went 8-12-2 vs spread (they all won SU). KC is 9-1 vs spread this year, 3-1 as HF; only one of their wins (45-10 vs Cincy) was by more than 16 points. Chiefs scored 14 TD’s on their last 29 drives. Arizona has rookie QB, rookie coach; they’ve lost three games by 18+ points. Cardinals are 1-2 on road, losing 34-0 at Rams, 27-17 at Vikings- they won at SF. Chiefs are 8-3-1 in series; Arizona is 0-4-1 at Arrowhead, losing by 24-10-49-18 points. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread; NFC West road underdogs are 3-3-1. Three of last four Arizona games went over total; under is 4-2 in Chiefs’ last six games.

    Chargers (6-2) @ Raiders (1-7)— Chargers won their last five games; they’re 4-0 outside LA, after stopping Seattle inside 10-yard line on last drive Sunday. Under Lynn, LA is 3-1-1 as road favorites, 2-0 this year- they held last four opponents under 20 points. Raiders lost last four games; they gave up a while ago, allowing 42-34 points in last two games. Oakland is 1-2 at home, giving up 33-42-42 points (over 2-1). Raiders are 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs. Chargers won last three series games, beating Oakland 26-10 (-5.5) at home in Week 5, when they outgained Raiders 412-289; Bolts are 4-3 in their last seven visits here. Chargers changed kickers this week after missing three PAT’s in Seattle.

    Seahawks (4-4) @ Rams (8-1)- After facing Rodgers/Brees last two weeks, Rams are facing Seattle team that ran ball for 169 yards/game the last five weeks. Since ’14, Seahawks are 8-6-1 as AU, 1-1-1 this year. LA won first meeting this year 33-31 (-7) in Seattle in Week 5, despite going -2 in turnovers; Rams won five of last seven series games. Seahawks lost three of last four road series games, winning here 16-10 LY. Rams lost for first time LW; they were 3-1 vs spread coming off loss LY. LA is 4-0 at home, 3-1 as HF, winning by 34-12-7-2 points; under McVay, LA is 6-4 as HF. Three of Rams’ last four games, six of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total. Rams haven’t had their bye yet; Seattle had theirs two weeks ago, could be fresher.

    Cowboys (3-5) @ Eagles (4-4)— Home side lost eight of last ten series games; Dallas won four of last five visits here. Teams split season series each of last five years. Short week for Dallas team that lost three of its last four games; Cowboys are 3-0 when they score 20+ points, 0-5 when they don’t- they fired OL coach last week and still ran ball for only 72 yards in dismal home loss Monday (Prescott’s INT in red zone didn’t help). Dallas is 1-4 in last five games as road dogs. Eagles are 2-2 at home this year, 0-3 as HF; all four games were decided by 6 or fewer points. Philly is 2-4 vs spread in last six post-bye games- they’re 2-3 in last five games, but blew double digit leads in two of the losses. All four Dallas road games this season stayed under total.

    Monday
    Giants (1-7) @ 49ers (2-7)— Niners’ QB Mullens had great debut LW in 34-3 win over Oakland, averaging 11.9 yards/pass attempt; 49ers scored 27+ points in five of their last eight games, are 2-2 at home- they’re 4-10 in last 14 games as HF. Giants lost their last five games (2-3 vs spread); they ran ball for 61-37 yards in last two games. NY was outscored 41-12 in first half of last three games; they’re 11 of last 47 on 3rd down. Giants are 1-3 on road this year but covered last three away tilts; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as road dogs. Teams split last six series games; Giants are 3-2 in last five visits here. Big Blue is 1-3 in last four post-bye games. 49ers played on Thursday LW, so both teams come into this game well-rested.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    By: Brandon DuBreuil


    NO GREEN FOR CINCY

    Reports out of Cincinnati are that A.J. Green won’t need surgery on his foot but that he will miss at least two weeks, which includes Week 10 where the 5-3 Bengals host the Saints and Week 11 at Baltimore. This is terrible news for Cincy fans and Green backers, but Tyler Boyd owners must be licking their chops.

    Boyd has been one of the biggest surprise players of the season with 49 catches for 620 yards and five touchdowns on 66 targets and is coming off one of his best games of the season where he posted a 9-138-1 line on Tampa Bay in Week 8. Andy Dalton will have to rely on him heavily over the next two weeks but there is some concern that Boyd might not be as productive when opponents shadow him like a WR1 — which they’re going to do without Green on the field. For that reason, we’re going to stay away from his receiving totals and instead back him to get into the end zone. Boyd has five touchdowns in the six games where he has received seven or more targets so far this season and we like him to get at least that many looks against the Saints. Take Boyd to score a touchdown at any time at home against a Saints pass defense that ranks 29th in DVOA.


    MICHEL’S RETURN

    Reports out of New England late on Monday are that running back Sony Michel is set to return this week at Tennessee, assuming he doesn’t have any setbacks throughout the week. Michel has missed the last two weeks after being knocked out of the Patriots’ win at Chicago and, although New England has been able to win without him, the offense just hasn’t been the same.

    Two weeks ago in Buffalo, New England was unable to score a touchdown until the fourth quarter and on Sunday the offense stalled until Cordarrelle Patterson was able to gain some chunks as a running back in the second half. Michel’s presence can’t be understated: His ability to gain significant yards on first down forces opponents to respect the run, which in turn opens up receivers for Tom Brady. Assuming he does return in Week 10, bettors can expect a lot of carries which will lead to a lot of yards against a mediocre Titans rush defense that is ranked 17th in DVOA and is giving up 112.3 rushing yards per game. Take the Over on Michel’s rushing yards total.


    SURGERY FOR GERONIMO?

    Packers coach Mike McCarthy told the media on Monday that Geronimo Allison has a “significant” core muscle injury after the receiver visited a specialist in Philadelphia. It would appear that surgery is on the horizon for Allison. For Green Bay, this means that its receiving corps will look much like it did on Sunday night in New England with Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling on the perimeters and Randall Cobb in the slot.

    You know what you’re getting with Adams (stud) and Cobb (average) but MVS is a bit more of a mystery. He has two huge yardage performances over the last three weeks on nearly identical lines of three catches for 103 yards and three catches for 101 yards (both on six targets) with a touchdown sandwiched between. Against New England, MVS made two great catches in the third quarter which likely went a long way in gaining Aaron Rodgers’ confidence. This week, the rookie out of South Florida is in a great spot in a home game at Lambeau against a Miami defense that is ranked 24th in pass defense DVOA. We expect Rodgers to give him 7-9 targets which should be plenty to get him a chunk of yards. Take the Over on his receiving yards total.


    CARSON BANGED UP

    Seattle’s Chris Carson won’t “do much” at practice this week, at least according to coach Peter Carroll, after the running back hurt his thigh in Sunday’s loss to the Chargers and was seen with his leg wrapped after the game. Mike Davis got the bulk of the work after Carson (eight carries for 40 yards) left the game and finished with an unimpressive 62 yards on 15 carries.

    Regardless of what happens in practice this week or who suits up at running back, the Seahawks’ backfield is one to avoid in Week 10 as they visit the Rams. Yes, Seattle runs the ball more than any team in the league but that won’t happen on Sunday as a 10-point underdog. The Seahawks will try to establish the run early but won’t be able to keep handing it off after Jared Goff and the Rams get up by double digits. Carson had success against the Rams a month ago but that was in Seattle and while healthy. We just don’t see Seattle running backs getting the volume they need to succeed on Sunday and we’re taking the Under on the rushing yards total for Carson (or Davis if he gets the start).


    WASHINGTON WOES

    You’d be tough pressed to find a team that had a worse day than Washington on Sunday as it suffered multiple devastating injuries in addition to getting blown out at home by the lowly Falcons. Washington confirmed on Monday that left guard Shawn Lauvao, right guard Brandon Scherff, and wide receiver Paul Richardson are all out for the season after injuries sustained in Week 9.

    This news affects the offense in numerous negative ways but no one is likely hit harder than Adrian Peterson. Washington’s offense has been built on pounding the ball with AP and winning the time-possession game and it’s going to be very hard to do that down two starters on the offensive line. On Sunday, Peterson was only able to rack 17 yards on nine carries as Washington had to use all eight of its active offensive linemen because of injuries. It didn’t help his cause that Washington fell behind 21-7 in the first half, but that could happen against this week as Washington visits Tampa Bay and its quick-strike passing game that is similar to Atlanta’s offensive strategy. AP’s stock is trending way down for the rest of the season and we’re taking the Under on his rushing yards total in Week 10.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    By: Brandon DuBreuil


    DEZ HEADING TO NOLA?

    Reports late on Tuesday were that Dez Bryant and the New Orleans Saints were in negations for a contract after the team liked what it saw from his workout. At this point, it would be a shock for Bryant to turn down any kind of deal, especially one that allowed him to play with Drew Brees on a Super Bowl contender, but stranger things have happened.

    Assuming Bryant signs on Wednesday he’d likely be a healthy scratch for New Orleans’ Week 11 game at Cincinnati as there just isn’t enough time for him to learn the offense between now and Sunday. Once he’s up to speed with the offense, Bryant would slide into the WR3 role alongside Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith. Bryant isn’t going to affect Thomas’ production moving forward, and likely not Smith’s, but he could carve out a role for himself simply because he’s playing in a New Orleans’ offense with one of the greatest quarterbacks of our generation. If Dez is active in Week 10, we recommend passing on his prop bets but here’s one note of interest for the near future: New Orleans visits Dallas in a primetime game on November 29th. Get your popcorn ready.


    MULLENS GETS MONDAY NIGHT

    Coach Kyle Shanahan announced on Tuesday that quarterback Nick Mullens will start against the Giants in Week 10, regardless of C.J. Beathard’s health. This was expected but it’s now official after Mullens lit up the Raiders for three touchdowns in the first half of his first career start last week. This week, he gets the primetime lights again as 49ers host the Giants on Monday Night Football.

    Mullens looked great in his debut but let’s take it with a grain of salt as it was against Oakland and its league-worst pass defense in DVOA. He gets another soft matchup on paper this week, however, as the Giants rank 27th using the same metric. Let’s not forget that the G-Men are basically tanking after trading away two defensive starters just a couple of weeks ago. Offensively, however, the Giants are still uber-talented at all skill positions and veteran Eli Manning will have had an extra week to prepare for a middle-of-the-pack San Francisco defense. We expect lots of points in this one and, with a total currently set at 44, we recommend jumping on the Over before it gets bet up.


    STATUS QUO IN BIG D

    Speaking after their ugly loss to the mediocre Titans on Monday Night Football, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones said coach Jason Garrett will not be replaced midseason and that Dak Prescott is the quarterback of the future and that “he’s going to get extended”. His comments about Prescott aren’t surprising as Dallas has no other choice but to stick with Prescott for the time being (and we’ll see about that contract extension after the draft). But Tuesday seemed like the perfect day to fire Garrett with the 3-5 Cowboys severely underperforming.

    Dallas travels to Philadelphia in Week 10 to take on the Super Bowl champs in another primetime game on Sunday Night Football. The line opened at Eagles -5.5 and has since been bet up to -6.5, which seems like a spread that is way too big for a divisional matchup between these two rivals, but it reflects the current state of the Cowboys. Dallas is traveling on a short week and will be without defensive leader Sean Lee who will miss some time after aggravating his hamstring injury. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is coming off its bye and welcomes star receiver Golden Tate to its offense. Lay the 6.5 with Eagles as things are going to get worse before they get better in Dallas.


    DUKE’S ALIVE!

    As it turns out, all Duke Johnson Jr. needed to get his season off life support was for the Browns to fire their head coach and their offensive coordinator. His fantasy owners have been waiting for the pass-catching back to get involved in the offense and it happened in a big way in Week 9 as he led the Browns in targets with nine, catching all of them and turning them into 78 yards and two touchdowns. Not bad for a guy who had 20 total catches on the season before last week.

    In Week 10, Johnson is set up in a prime spot to once again see a lot of targets out of the backfield as the Atlanta Falcons and their high-flying offense visit Cleveland. The Falcons are going to put up points — they rank eighth in the league with 28.5 points per game and have scored 30 or more in five of eight games so far this season. But they’re also going to give up a lot of points with a defense that ranks 30th in DVOA and is allowing 28.2 points per game. This game has a total currently set at 50.5 and there should be lots of opportunities for Johnson to use his receiving skills out of the backfield. Take the Over on his receptions total.


    DOYLE RULES! (JUST NOT THIS WEEK)

    This didn’t get much coverage last week with Indianapolis on its bye, but Jack Doyle returned in Week 8 after missing five weeks. Quarterback Andrew Luck was certainly happy to have his top tight end back on the field as he targeted Doyle seven times, resulting in six catches for 70 yards and a touchdown. Eric Ebron was solid in Doyle’s absence and might continue to be a factor down the stretch, but Doyle is the Colts’ clear-cut No. 1 tight end when healthy.

    Indy comes out of its bye by hosting the Jaguars on Sunday afternoon in a game where the Colts are actually favored by three (imagine what this line would’ve been in the preseason). The Jags are in rough shape, but they’ve been very tough on tight ends so far this season, giving up an average of 3.5 catches for 41.6 yards. Even with a ton of injuries to their secondary, they managed to limit Zach Ertz to four catches and 26 yards the last time they took to the field. The Jags also held Rob Gronkowski to two catches for 15 yards back in Week 2. We like Doyle’s outlook for the rest of the season, but we recommend fading him this week as the Jags blanket opposing tight ends. Take the Under on his receiving yards total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Tech Trends - Week 10
    Bruce Marshall

    Thursday, Nov. 8

    CAROLINA at PITTSBURGH (FOX/NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)

    Cam has covered last 2 as dog TY and Panthers now 13-5 in dog role since 2015. Steel has covered four straight TY but Tomlin just 2-5 last 7 as Heinz Field chalk. Steel “over” 5-1 last six at home.
    Tech Edge: Panthers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


    Sunday, Nov. 11

    BUFFALO at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Bills on 7-3 “under” run since late 2017. They’ve also failed to cover last 2 at Jets or 3 of last 4 in series. Jets 9-3-1 vs. line since late 2016 at MetLife.
    Tech Edge: “Under” and Jets, based on “totals” and team trends.


    ATLANTA at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Falcs just 3-8 last 11 as reg season visitor, also "over' 6-2 this season. Browns 1-3 last 4 vs. line.
    Tech Edge: "Over," based on “totals” trends.


    NEW ORLEANS at CINCINNATI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Saints have covered last 5 away since late 2017. Also now on 16-5 spread run away from Superdome. Cincy no covers last three TY.
    Tech Edge: Saints, based on recent trends.


    WASHINGTON at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Jay Gruden on 7-4 spread run since late LY, he’s also “under” 8-3 last 11 after extended “over” run prior. Bucs however “over” 8-1 last 9 since late 2017. Tampa Bay also on 1-5 spread skid.
    Tech Edge: Redskins and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.


    NEW ENGLAND at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Belichick has covered 5 of last 6 TY and last two away after dropping previous 3 and 4 of 5 away from Gillette. Note that in front of bye week, Pats have won and covered last six., Titans “under” 9-5 since late 2017.
    Tech Edge: “Under” and Pats, based on “totals” and team trends.


    JACKSONVILLE at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Jags no wins or covers last four TY, while Indy has won and covered last two. Jags however have covered last six meetings.
    Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on recent trends.


    DETROIT at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Bears 3-0 as home chalk TY. “Unders” 4-1 last five meetings.
    Tech Edge: Bears and "under," based on recent trends.


    ARIZONA at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
    Big Red has only dropped 1 of last 6 vs. line TY (4-1-1 vs. points). Cards however only 2-5-1 last 8 as road dog. Andy Reid 12-1 vs. line last 13 in reg season.
    Tech Edge: Chiefs, based on team trends.


    L.A. CHARGERS at OAKLAND (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
    Raiders 2-6 vs. line TY, 4-15-3 last 22 on board since early 2017. Bolts 12-4 vs. spread last 16 at Oakland. “Unders” 5-1 last six in series.
    Tech Edge: Chargers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


    MIAMI at GREEN BAY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
    Pack 1-2 as Lambeau chalk TY and “over” 23-8 since late 2016 season.
    Tech Edge: "Over," based on "totals" trends.


    SEATTLE at L.A. RAMS (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
    Note dog team 6-1 vs. points last 7 meetings. Rams only 1 cover last six TY and just 5 covers last 14 overall (5-8-1). Pete Carroll on 15-7-1 run as dog dating back to 2012.
    Tech Edge: Seahawks, based on team and series trends.


    DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
    Cowboys 1-3 vs. line away TY, also on 13-4 “under” run since mid 2017. Birds no covers last three at Linc after much success prior under Pederson.
    Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.


    Monday, Nov. 12

    N.Y. GIANTS at SAN FRANCISCO (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)

    Eli on 11-4 “under” run since mid 2017.
    Tech Edge: “Under,” based on "totals”trends
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CAR at PIT 08:20 PM

    CAR +3.5

    U 50.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Big Ben's 5 TDs key Steelers' TNF rout
    November 8, 2018
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    PITTSBURGH (AP) The Pittsburgh Steelers aren't playing like a team missing Le'Veon Bell.

    Ben Roethlisberger threw for 328 yards and five touchdowns, James Conner ran for 65 yards and a score before leaving late with a possible concussion and the Steelers pounded the Carolina Panthers 52-21 on Thursday night for their fifth straight victory.

    Antonio Brown added eight receptions for 96 yards - including a 53-yard touchdown in the second quarter - to cap an eventful day that began with the star wide receiver being cited for reckless driving after police clocked Brown's Porsche driving over 100 mph down a busy highway in the northern city suburbs.

    While Bell - a three-time Pro Bowl running back who still hasn't signed his one-year franchise tender - tweeted his thoughts as he watched on television, the Steelers (6-2-1) rolled on without him. Bell has until next Tuesday to sign a contract if he wants to play this season. His teammates have long since tired of talking about Bell's status and at this point, the AFC North leaders appear to be doing just fine on their own.

    Carolina not so much.

    The Panthers (6-3) saw their three-game winning streak come to an abrupt halt in a city where they've never won. Carolina fell to 0-4 all-time in Pittsburgh and was never really in it after the Steelers scored 21 points in the game's first 11 minutes.

    Cam Newton completed 23 of 29 for 193 yards and a pair of flips to Christian McCaffrey that the second-year running back turned into scores but Newton's showdown with Roethlisberger never materialized. The Steelers sacked Newton five times and rarely let him get comfortable.

    Newton didn't help matters when he threw off his back foot out of the Carolina end zone while trying to avoid getting sacked in the first quarter. Pittsburgh linebacker Vince Williams raced under the floater and returned it 17 yards for a touchdown to give the Steelers a 14-7 lead they never came close to relinquishing.

    McCaffrey finished with 138 yards total offense (77 yards rushing, 61 yards receiving) and accounted for all three Panther scores but it wasn't nearly enough.

    Pittsburgh's 52 points matched the most ever surrendered by the Panthers in franchise history. Carolina allowed the same total in a 52-9 loss to Oakland on Dec. 24, 2000.

    The Steelers held the 36-year-old Roethlisberger out of practice during the short week in an effort to keep him fresh. Roethlisberger responded with one of the finest performances of his career, completing 22 of 25 passes while spreading the ball to nine different players on his way to a perfect quarterback rating of 158.3.

    Roethlisberger's first pass turned into a 75-yard touchdown pass to JuJu Smith-Schuster on Pittsburgh's first offensive snap and his last came on a 6-yard toss to rookie Jaylen Samuels on the first play of the fourth quarter.

    In between he did a little bit of everything. Roethlisberger even showed off his legs, scrambling for 18 yards in the third quarter on a play that ended with Carolina safety Eric Reid getting ejected for targeting after Reid appeared to dive at Roethlisberger's head as the quarterback attempted to slide.

    Reed, signed by Carolina in September six months after filing a grievance alleging collusion by the NFL to prevent teams from signing him because of his participation in racial injustice protests during the national anthem alongside former San Francisco 49ers teammate Colin Kaepernick, went out to shake Roethlisberger's hand as a peace offering before making his way to the Carolina locker room.

    UP NEXT

    Panthers: Travel to Detroit on Nov. 18 to take on the Lions. Carolina is 6-2 all-time against Detroit.

    Steelers: Visit Jacksonville on Nov. 18. The Jaguars beat Pittsburgh twice on the road last season, including a 45-42 upset in the divisional round of the playoffs.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #465
    Join Date
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    NFLNovember's Best Bets and Opinions

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    11/08/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    11/05/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    11/04/2018 9-12-0 42.86% -21.00
    11/01/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00

    Totals..............9 - 16........35.00%.....-43.00


    ********************

    Best Bets For November

    DATE........................ATS..................U NITS....................O/U................UNITS..............TOTAL

    11/08/2018..............0 - 1.................-5.50......................0 - 1...............-5.50...............-11.00
    11/05/2018..............0 - 1.................-5.50......................1 - 0...............+5.00..............-0.50
    11/04/2018..............3 - 4.................-7.00......................3 - 4...............-7.00...............-14.00
    11/01/2018..............0 - 1.................-5.50......................0 - 1...............-5.50...............-11.00

    Totals......................3 -7.................-23.50.....................4 - 6...............-12.50..............-36.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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