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Thread: Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/30

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 30

    Good Luck on day #242 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Dell Technologies PGA tourney in Boston this weekend:

    8-1: Dustin Johnson

    10-1: Justin Thomas

    12-1: Brooks Koepka

    16-1: Rory McIlroy, Jason Day

    18-1: Jordan Spieth

    20-1: Eldrick Woods

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) If you’re watching HBO’s Hard Knocks, you hear Cleveland OC Todd Haley a lot, and since the Browns’ offense is struggling, Haley is often unhappy. Steelers-Browns in Week 1 has to be at least a little personal for Haley— he spent the last six years working for Pittsburgh, where he replaced Bruce Arians as offensive coordinator.

    By the way, if I owned the Browns and my coaches told me that Tyrod Taylor was our starting QB, thats fine, but then he dislocated his left pinky vs Philly last week and they put him back in the game— who does that???? Its a damn exhibition game. I’d have some harsh questions for the head coach.

    12) By the way, Cleveland LB Michael Kendricks was charged Wednesday with insider trading by federal prosecutors; he made nearly $1.2M in illegal profits on four major investments four years ago. Kendricks spent the last six seasons with the Eagles; he could be facing “substantial prison time” if he is convicted.

    Did the Browns know about this before they signed Kendricks? In any event, they released him Wednesday night. Chances are he’ll be in the next sequel they make to The Longest Yard.

    11) Most profitable starting pitchers this season (thru Tuesday’s games):
    1. Mike Fiers (17-8) $1,567
    2. David Price (19-6) $1,194
    3. Eduardo Rodriguez (16-3) $1,160
    4. Mike Leake (17-9) $1,156
    5. Jon Lester (20-7) $1,129
    6. Aaron Nola (19-8) $1,091

    10) How times have changed: in May of 1968, Catfish Hunter pitched a perfect game for the A’s, in their first month playing in Oakland. He also had three hits in the game (this was five years before the DH).

    But there is no video of that game; it was against the Twins too- they had some really good hitters- Rod Carew, Harmon Killebrew, Tony Oliva batted 2-3-4 that night.

    9) Cincinnati Bengals gave two their best defensive players big contract extensions this week; Carlos Dunlap gets a 3-year, $45M extension and Geno Atkins gets $65.3M for four years. Bengals open the season in Indianapolis.

    8) From Ryan Spaeder: Cole Hamels is the first in-season acquisition in baseball history to allow one or no runs in each of his first six starts with his new team.

    7) Jared Goff and Carson Wentz will be the only Week 1 starting QB’s who didn’t take a snap in preseason, and it isn’t 100% that Wentz is starting in Week 1, as he recovers from his knee surgery. Goff is healthy.

    6) Aaron Rodgers signed a 4-year contract extension with Green Bay, with a lot of zeroes in it- he will be making $33.5M a year, or $33,500,000.

    Packers then traded backup QB Brett Hundley to Seattle for a 2019 draft pick, which moves DeShone Kizer up to the #2 QB job in Green Bay.

    No matter what, Russell Wilson and Rodgers better stay healthy.

    5) If you watch Phillies games on TV, Aaron Nola is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young award.

    If you watch Nationals games on TV, Max Scherzer is the favorite to win the award.

    If you watch Mets games on TV, Jacob deGrom is the favorite to win the award.

    You get the idea.

    4) MLB announced 2019 spring training schedules Wednesday; A’s-Mariners play on February 21, which is very early because they’re heading to Japan to play March 20-21.

    3) NFL announcers on CBS will not be mentioning pointspreads during games this season.

    In semi-related news, Westgate Super Contest had its 2,000th entrant sign up Wednesday, and there are still 11 more days to enter. For a mere $1,500, you pick five NFL games a week against the spread- the winner will get over a million bucks.

    2) Astros put Charlie Morton (shoulder) on DL, so they’re down two starting pitchers, with Lance McCullers also on the shelf.

    1) Jets traded backup QB Teddy Bridgewater to New Orleans for a 3rd round draft pick, so the Saints now have Drew Brees’ successor on their roster.

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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, August 30



    National League
    Brewers (74-60) @ Reds (57-76)

    Miley is 0-1, 4.71 in his last four starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 6-4, 4-2 away
    5-inning record: 4-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-9

    Reed allowed five runs in three IP (73 PT) in his only ’18 start, back on April 9. Team in his starts: 0-1, 0-0 home
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1

    Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games; they’re 16-16 vs vs lefty starters- over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Cincinnati lost six of its last seven games; they’re 17-15 vs vs lefty starters- under is 8-5 in their last 13 games.

    Pirates (65-68) @ Cardinals (74-59)
    Musgrove is 1-3, 3.48 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Team in his starts: 6-9, 2-4 away
    5-inning record: 6-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

    Gant is 2-1, 1.99 in his last four starts; under is 4-3 in his home starts. Team in his starts: 4-9, 2-5 home
    5-inning record: 6-3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-13

    Pirates lost six of their last eight games; four of their last six road games went over. St Louis is 16-4 in its last 20 games; over is 7-6 in their last 13 home games.

    Cubs (78-54) @ Braves (74-58)
    Montgomery is 1-1, 2.82 in his last four starts; his last three stayed under. Team in his starts: 6-7, 3-4 away
    5-inning record: 6-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13

    Foltynewicz is 3-1, 1.93 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 12-13, 6-6 home
    5-inning record: 11-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-25

    Cubs won seven of their last eight games; they’re 3-6 in last nine road series openers. Under isi 7-1-1 in their last nine road games. Atlanta lost five of its last six home games; they’re 12-9 in home series openers. 19-19 vs vs lefty starters- under is 10-2 in their last 12 games.

    Diamondbacks (72-61) @ Dodgers (72-61)
    Ray is 0-0, 4.34 in his last seven starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six road starts. Team in his starts: 7-10, 5-4 road
    5-inning record: 9-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-17

    Hill is 4-0, 2.55 in his last seven starts (over 5-2). Team in his starts: 9-9, 3-4 home
    5-inning record: 6-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18

    Arizona lost four of its last six games; they’re 24-20 vs vs lefty starters—seven of their last nine games stayed under. Dodgers won their last five games; they’re 1-4 in last five home series openers, 28-21 vs vs lefty starters- over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

    Rockies (72-60) @ Padres (52-83)
    Marquez is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts; his last six starts stayed under. Team in his starts: 14-11, 8-4 road
    5-inning record: 11-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 16-25

    Lauer is making his first start since July 30; he is 0-2, 11.45 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1). Team in his starts: 5-13, 3-6 home
    5-inning record: 7-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-18

    Colorado is 8-4 in its last 12 games, 15-7 in road series openers, 25-21 vs lefty starters- under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. San Diego won three of its last four home games; they’re 3-18 in home series openers. Four of their last five games went over.

    American League
    Twins (62-70) @ Indians (75-57)

    Odorizzi is 1-1, 4.21 in his last five starts; his last four stayed under. Team in his starts: 12-15, 4-9 away
    5-inning record: 11-11-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27

    Clevinger is 2-0, 2.70 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 11-15, 6-7 home.
    5-inning record: 7-12-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-26

    Twins lost four of their last five games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Cleveland lost five of its last seven games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

    Detroit (52-81) @ New York (84-49)
    Liriano is 0-4, 9.00 in his last four starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 7-14, 3-10 away
    5-inning record: 7-10-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21

    Happ is 5-0, 2.37 in his five starts for New York (over 3-1-1). Team in his starts: 5-0, 4-0 home.
    5-inning record: 5-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5

    Tigers lost their last five games; they’re 16-17 vs vs lefty starters- over is 4-2 in their last six road games. New York won five of its last seven games; they’re 26-10 vs vs lefty starters- their last five games stayed under.

    Angels (64-69) @ Astros (82-51)
    Heaney is 1-2, 6.67 in his last five starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 12-12, 4-8 away
    5-inning record: 7-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24

    Verlander is 2-2, 6.98 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 16-12, 5-10 home.
    5-inning record: 18-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28

    Angels lost their last six games; they’re 9-13 in road series openers. Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Houston won eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-7 vs lefty starters, 10-11 in home series openers- over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Astros are 7-1 since Altuve got back in the lineup.

    Red Sox (92-42) @ White Sox (53-80)
    Porcello is 1-3, 6.26 in his last four starts; over is 13-7 in his last 20 starts. Team in his starts: 17-10, 9-6 away
    5-inning record: 17-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-21

    Giolito is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts; over is 5-1 in his last six home starts. Team in his starts: 14-12, 4-8 home.
    5-inning record: 8-15-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-26

    Red Sox are 5-6 in their last 11 games, 13-9 in road series openers. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Chicago is 11-4 in its last 15 games, 8-13 in home series openers. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

    Mariners (74-59) @ A’s (80-54)
    LeBlanc is 1-1, 4.57 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 14-7, 5-5 away
    5-inning record: 12-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-21

    Montas is making his first start since July 29; he is 1-2, 6.00 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 7-3, 2-2 home.
    5-inning record: 4-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-10

    Mariners are 5-9 in their last 14 games; they’re 12-10 in road series openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. A’s are 19-8 in their last 27 games; they’re 26-18 vs lefty starters, 12-9 in home series openers— four of their last six games stayed under.

    ______________________________

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/29
    Ariz 34-23-10……33-22-10……..67-45
    Atl 30-28-10…..32-23-9………62-51
    Cubs 25-26-13……32-28-9…….57-54
    Reds 21-40-4……25-31-10….…46-71
    Colo 33-23-14……33-23-8……65-47
    LA 34-23-8…….31-25-14……66-48
    Miami 23-33-9…..27-28-15…….50-61
    Milw 26-33-9…..34-25-7…….60-58
    Mets 31-30-5……26-27-15…..57-55
    Philly 26-26-15…..34-21-10……60-47
    Pitt 29-28-7……29-27-13……..58-55
    StL 34-25-10……28-30-6………62-55
    SD 20-39-10……22-34-9…….42-73
    SF 29-30-12…..27-24-13……56-54
    Wash 29-28-13..…29-25-10……58-53

    Orioles 18-37-12……21-37-11……39-73
    Boston 32-23-14……41-18-6……..73-41
    W Sox 23-40-6…..…20-35-10……43-75
    Indians 27-27-13……41-16-9……..68-43
    Det 21-35-9…..…30-30-11.……51-65
    Astros 37-18-15……33-20-12…….70-37
    KC 20-38-8…….27-32-10…..47-70
    Angels 28-27-11……28-32-8……56-59
    Twins 20-35-11……32-31-8…..52-66
    NYY 33-21-11……41-21-7………74-41
    A’s 26-32-11……28-25-12…..54-57
    Seattle 32-29-9……29-24-14…….61-51
    TB 30-26-12……31-25-9……60-50
    Texas 22-35-8…..25-37-7…….47-72
    Toronto 18-37-11…23-30-15……41-66

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/29)
    Ariz 28-66…….25-66…..…53
    Atl 21-67……27-64………48
    Cubs 12-64……..22-66……..34
    Reds 15-66……..16-68……..31
    Colo 22-69…….24-64.…….46
    LA 22-65……..25-68..…..47
    Miami 14-65……..19-69…….33
    Milw 23-67…..…25-68…….48
    Mets 27-65……..21-68……48
    Philly 16-67……..21-66……37
    Pitt 15-64……..19-70…….34
    StL 23-69……..20-64…….43
    SD 19-70……..19-66…….38
    SF 13-69………21-67..…..34
    Wash 25-70……..19-64……..44

    Orioles 19-67……..20-68………39
    Boston 19-68……25-66………44
    White Sox 19-68……16-64…….35
    Clev 18-66…….28-65……..46
    Detroit 20-65……..20-69….…40
    Astros 20-69…..…15-65………35
    KC 16-66..…….21-67…….37
    Angels 17-64…..….18-68…….35
    Twins 15-64………15-68…….30
    NYY 15-65……..28-68………43
    A’s 18-71…..…..18-65…….36
    Seattle 26-68………21-67…….47
    TB 21-68..……20-64…….41
    Texas 10-65……19-68…….…29
    Toronto 17-66………14-67….….31

    Interleague play- 2018
    NL @ AL– 71-67 NL, favorites +$100
    AL @ NL– 68-56 NL, favorites -$167
    Total: 139-123 NL, favorites -$67

  4. #4
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    MLB

    Thursday, August 30


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
    Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
    Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
    Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
    Cincinnati Reds
    Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home
    Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    Cincinnati is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


    Minnesota Twins
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Indians
    Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
    Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
    Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
    Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Detroit Tigers
    Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
    Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
    Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
    Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
    New York Yankees
    NY Yankees is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
    NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games at home
    NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    NY Yankees is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games
    Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
    Pittsburgh is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis Cardinals
    St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    St. Louis is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
    St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
    St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
    St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


    Chicago Cubs
    Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 21 games
    Chi Cubs is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games on the road
    Chi Cubs is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Chi Cubs is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Atlanta
    Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games
    Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Atlanta is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
    Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs


    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
    Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    Chicago White Sox
    Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
    Chi White Sox is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Chi White Sox is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games at home
    Chi White Sox is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
    Chi White Sox is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Chi White Sox is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    Chi White Sox is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston


    Los Angeles Angels
    LA Angels is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Angels is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    LA Angels is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    LA Angels is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Houston
    LA Angels is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Angels's last 14 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Astros
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
    Houston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Houston is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
    Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games when playing at home against LA Angels


    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Seattle is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 11 games on the road
    Seattle is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Oakland
    Seattle is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing Oakland
    Seattle is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Oakland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
    Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Oakland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 14 games at home
    Oakland is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Seattle
    Oakland is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Seattle
    Oakland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Seattle
    Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
    Arizona is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing LA Dodgers
    Arizona is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
    Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Dodgers is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
    LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
    LA Dodgers is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Arizona
    LA Dodgers is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Arizona
    LA Dodgers is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona


    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Colorado's last 17 games
    Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
    Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing San Diego
    Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
    Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego
    San Diego Padres
    San Diego is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    San Diego is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
    San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Diego is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games at home
    San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Colorado
    San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
    San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-30-2018 at 11:52 AM.

  5. #5
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    MLB
    Weather Report

    Thursday, August 30






  6. #6
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, August 30



    Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

    Game 951-952
    August 30, 2018 @ 12:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    (Miley) 12.196
    Cincinnati
    (Reed) 15.736
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 3 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    -130
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+110); Over

    Pittsburgh @ St. Louis


    Game 953-954
    August 30, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    (Musgrve) 15.761
    St. Louis
    (Gant) 17.967
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -120
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-120); Under

    Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta


    Game 955-956
    August 30, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Mntgmry) 16.656
    Atlanta
    (Fltynwcz) 14.852
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    -135
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (+115); Over

    Arizona @ LA Dodgers


    Game 957-958
    August 30, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    (Ray) 15.841
    LA Dodgers
    (Hill) 18.088
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -135
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-135); Under

    Colorado @ San Diego


    Game 959-960
    August 30, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Marquez) 16.091
    San Diego
    (Lauer) 15.064
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    ( );

    Minnesota @ Cleveland

    Game 961-962
    August 30, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Odorizzi) 16.163
    Cleveland
    (Clevnger) 13.514
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -210
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+180); Under

    Detroit @ NY Yankees


    Game 963-964
    August 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Liriano) 14.369
    NY Yankees
    (Happ) 12.934
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    -300
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+250); Under

    LA Angels @ Houston


    Game 965-966
    August 30, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Angels
    (Heaney) 14.984
    Houston
    (Verlnder) 18.370
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 3 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -230
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-230); Over

    Boston @ Chicago White Sox


    Game 967-968
    August 30, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Porcello) 16.261
    Chicago White Sox
    (Giolito) 15.068
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -200
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-200); Under

    Seattle @ Oakland


    Game 969-970
    August 30, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    (LeBlanc) 16.240
    Oakland
    (Montas) 14.684
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    -135
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+115); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-30-2018 at 11:53 AM.

  7. #7
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    Thursday's Diamond Notes
    Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: White Sox (7-3 last 10)

    Yes, the White Sox are going nowhere towards the playoffs this season. However, Chicago is saving its best baseball for late in the season as the Sox are coming off five consecutive series victories. The latest series win was a solid performance by taking two of three from the Yankees in New York with both victories coming as a +200 underdog or higher. The worst part is in the lone loss, Chicago squandered a 4-0 lead and lost on a walk-off homer on Tuesday, which prevented the Sox from a season-high five-game winning streak.

    The task doesn’t get easier as Chicago returns home tonight to battle Boston. Granted, the White Sox did grab two of three matchups at Fenway Park back in June, as Boston heads to Chicago trying to snap a four-game road losing streak. Since the All-Star break, Chicago has won seven of eight starts made by right-hander Lucas Giolito, while the right-hander is coming off three consecutive road wins in his past three outings.

    Coldest team: Angels (2-9 last 11)

    Both Western divisions in baseball are top-heavy this season as three teams have a shot to make the playoffs in the AL West and NL West. However, the Angels aren’t part of that mix as they have won only two of their last 11 games since sweeping the Padres in mid-August. In the last seven games, Los Angeles has picked up one victory against three potential playoff squads (Houston, Colorado, and Arizona), while veteran slugger Albert Pujols was lost for the season after undergoing knee surgery.

    The Angels travel to the Lone Star State to face the Astros tonight for the start of a four-game set. Andrew Heaney hasn’t had much luck on the road for the Halos this season, as L.A. owns a 4-8 record in his 12 away starts, although the Halos are 3-1 in his past four road outings. The only good news for the Angels tonight is they face Justin Verlander, who is winless in his last four home assignments.

    Hottest pitcher: J.A. Happ, Yankees (15-6, 3.80 ERA)

    The Yankees acquired plenty of arms at the trade deadline to help themselves for a potential run in the playoffs. Happ won 10 starts as a member of the Blue Jays before getting dealt to New York, but the southpaw has been electric since his move to the Bronx by compiling a 5-0 record in five starts. In those five outings, Happ has allowed a total of eight earned runs, while four of those wins have come at Yankee Stadium. Happ will get the ball at home tonight as a heavy favorite against the Tigers, but Detroit got the best of Happ in two wins earlier this season when he pitched for Toronto.

    Coldest pitcher: Joe Musgrove, Pirates (5-7, 3.56 ERA)

    The former Astros’ hurler went through a stretch after the All-Star break by tossing at least seven innings in five of six starts. However, that streak came to an end when he lasted only four innings in an extra-innings loss to the Brewers last Friday. The Pirates have lost four of Musgrove’s last five starts, including three defeats by one run each. Musgrove faces the Cardinals tonight in a rubber match at Busch Stadium as the right-hander defeated St. Louis earlier this season at home by tossing seven scoreless innings in an 8-1 blowout.

    Biggest OVER run: Red Sox (6-2-1 last nine)

    Boston’s offense scored a total of two runs in the final two losses of a three-game sweep at Tampa Bay last weekend. The Red Sox rebounded in a huge way by crossing home plate 22 times in a two-game home sweep of the Marlins. Boston dropped an 11-spot in the seventh inning in last night’s 14-6 blowout of Miami, the 17th time this season the Red Sox have scored double-digit runs. The Red Sox travel to Chicago to face the streaking White Sox as Rick Porcello takes the mound for Boston. The UNDER has hit in three of Porcello’s last four road outings, while Porcello lost to the White Sox earlier this season as a -220 home favorite, 5-2.

    Biggest UNDER run: Yankees (5-0 last five)

    New York is coming off probably its worst home series of the season after losing two of three to the White Sox in the Bronx. For the exception of a late rally in Tuesday’s walk-off win, the Yankees produced three runs in the two losses, which is in stark contrast to scoring 27 runs in last weekend’s four-game sweep of the Orioles. The Yankees draw another below .500 squad tonight as the Tigers invade the Bronx looking to snap a five-game skid. Detroit has scored two runs or less in four straight games, while New York’s offense could wake up as Tigers’ pitching has given up at least six runs in five consecutive contests.

    Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers

    One game separates the top three teams in the NL West with two days remaining in August. Arizona and Los Angeles are both coming off road wins last night as the two squads start a crucial four-game series at Dodger Stadium tonight. The D-backs remained in first place by edging the Giants, 3-1, while the Dodgers held off the Rangers in Arlington to pick up their second consecutive sweep.

    Robbie Ray takes the ball in the opener for Arizona as the southpaw has amazingly picked up a no-decision in seven consecutive starts. The D-backs are 2-8 in Ray’s last 10 starts dating back to the start of July, while not lasting past the sixth inning nine times in this stretch. Ray has not faced the Dodgers this season, but Arizona won four of his six starts against Los Angeles in 2017, including two victories at Chavez Ravine.

    Rich Hill counters for the Dodgers, as the southpaw tossed six scoreless innings against the Padres his last time out in an 11-1 home blowout. Los Angeles has compiled a 5-2 record in Hill’s seven starts since the All-Star break, but Hill has been torched by Arizona in two outings this season by allowing 14 hits and 12 earned runs in nine innings of work. The D-backs have won five of the last nine matchups with the Dodgers, as these teams meet for one more series in Phoenix in late September.

    Betcha didn’t know:
    The Athletics have won seven of their last nine home series openers as they welcome in the Mariners tonight. Oakland dropped two of three to Houston and face a Seattle squad mired in a mini slump after getting swept at San Diego in a two-game series. Mariners’ starter Wade LeBlanc was money in the bank at home until losing his last two starts at Safeco, but Seattle has won each of LeBlanc’s last three starts on the highway.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Yankees (-300) vs. Tigers

    Biggest public underdog:
    Cubs (+114) at Braves

    Biggest line move:
    Pirates (+115 to +100) at Cardinals
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-30-2018 at 11:54 AM.

  8. #8
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, August 30



    Colorado @ San Diego

    Game 959-960
    August 30, 2018 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Marquez) 16.091
    San Diego
    (Lauer) 15.064
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -145
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-145); Under

  9. #9
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, August 30


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (74 - 60) at CINCINNATI (57 - 76) - 12:35 PM
    WADE MILEY (L) vs. CODY REED (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 21-31 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 11-16 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 74-60 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 76-73 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-10 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 62-53 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
    REED is 0-12 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 10-5 (+3.4 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.5 Units)

    WADE MILEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    MILEY is 4-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.220.
    His team's record is 6-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.7 units)

    CODY REED vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    REED is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 54.00 and a WHIP of 8.000.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (65 - 68) at ST LOUIS (74 - 59) - 7:15 PM
    JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 32-44 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 20-45 (-20.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 20-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
    ST LOUIS is 36-22 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 32-24 (+10.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 26-21 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
    ST LOUIS is 117-109 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 49-50 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 55-54 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 10-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 8-7 (-0.4 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

    JOE MUSGROVE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    MUSGROVE is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

    JOHN GANT vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    GANT is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 7.30 and a WHIP of 1.460.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO CUBS (78 - 54) at ATLANTA (74 - 58) - 7:35 PM
    MIKE MONTGOMERY (L) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1773-1816 (-264.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 56-51 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1309-1353 (-205.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    ATLANTA is 74-57 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ATLANTA is 37-26 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 35-22 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    ATLANTA is 37-31 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 13-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

    MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    MONTGOMERY is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 0.818.
    His team's record is 1-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    FOLTYNEWICZ is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.625.
    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (73 - 60) at LA DODGERS (72 - 61) - 10:10 PM
    ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 21-33 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ARIZONA is 167-132 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 38-29 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    ARIZONA is 22-11 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 79-58 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 26-17 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
    ARIZONA is 95-71 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 72-61 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    LA DODGERS are 14-21 (-18.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
    LA DODGERS are 35-33 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    LA DODGERS are 49-51 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    LA DODGERS are 30-27 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    LA DODGERS are 52-43 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    HILL is 9-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 8-4 (+5.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

    ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    RAY is 6-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.169.
    His team's record is 8-6 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+4.1 units)

    RICH HILL vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    HILL is 1-7 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.95 and a WHIP of 1.385.
    His team's record is 3-10 (-12.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.6 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (72 - 60) at SAN DIEGO (52 - 83) - 10:10 PM
    GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 9-6 (+0.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.4 Units)

    GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    MARQUEZ is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.419.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

    ERIC LAUER vs. COLORADO since 1997
    LAUER is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 3.333.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (62 - 70) at CLEVELAND (75 - 57) - 1:10 PM
    JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 23-41 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 6-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 147-148 (+1.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 375-389 (+45.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
    MINNESOTA is 52-52 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 75-57 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 21-23 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 33-27 (-23.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 57-42 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    CLEVINGER is 11-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    CLEVINGER is 3-8 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 9-9 (+4.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
    10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

    JAKE ODORIZZI vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    ODORIZZI is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.609.
    His team's record is 2-6 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.8 units)

    MIKE CLEVINGER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    CLEVINGER is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.416.
    His team's record is 3-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (53 - 80) at NY YANKEES (84 - 49) - 7:05 PM
    FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 117-178 (-42.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 2-20 (-16.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.
    DETROIT is 19-46 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    DETROIT is 7-29 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
    LIRIANO is 13-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record)
    HAPP is 11-22 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against DETROIT this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    LIRIANO is 4-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.484.
    His team's record is 4-7 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.6 units)

    J.A. HAPP vs. DETROIT since 1997
    HAPP is 3-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.385.
    His team's record is 3-6 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA ANGELS (64 - 69) at HOUSTON (82 - 51) - 8:10 PM
    ANDREW HEANEY (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA ANGELS are 64-69 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    LA ANGELS are 27-36 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    LA ANGELS are 30-38 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    LA ANGELS are 20-41 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 16-16 (-17.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.
    HOUSTON is 35-30 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    HOUSTON is 19-17 (-20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    HOUSTON is 25-27 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 8-15 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 10-18 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
    HOUSTON is 23-23 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 11-14 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
    HOUSTON is 20-16 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
    VERLANDER is 5-10 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
    VERLANDER is 44-41 (-27.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    VERLANDER is 3-9 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
    VERLANDER is 3-7 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season. (Team's Record)
    VERLANDER is 3-6 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 8-4 (+2.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

    ANDREW HEANEY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    HEANEY is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.065.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

    JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    VERLANDER is 12-8 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.05 and a WHIP of 1.042.
    His team's record is 13-10 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-5. (+10.3 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (92 - 42) at CHI WHITE SOX (53 - 80) - 8:10 PM
    RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 10-19 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
    CHI WHITE SOX are 16-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
    CHI WHITE SOX are 36-41 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    GIOLITO is 14-12 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    GIOLITO is 12-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
    BOSTON is 92-42 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 43-16 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    BOSTON is 20-7 (+11.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    BOSTON is 75-28 (+33.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    BOSTON is 64-27 (+23.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    PORCELLO is 92-50 (+25.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+3.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    RICK PORCELLO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
    PORCELLO is 11-9 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.312.
    His team's record is 15-9 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-11. (+0.2 units)

    LUCAS GIOLITO vs. BOSTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (74 - 59) at OAKLAND (80 - 54) - 10:05 PM
    WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 172-213 (-57.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 97-167 (-51.7 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
    OAKLAND is 80-54 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    OAKLAND is 36-25 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    OAKLAND is 39-26 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    OAKLAND is 340-278 (+56.8 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
    OAKLAND is 48-35 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    OAKLAND is 33-20 (+19.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    SEATTLE is 74-59 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 40-34 (+5.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    SEATTLE is 36-31 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    SEATTLE is 17-12 (+7.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    SEATTLE is 51-35 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SEATTLE is 52-37 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SEATTLE is 33-24 (+6.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    SEATTLE is 34-35 (+4.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    LEBLANC is 14-7 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    LEBLANC is 12-6 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
    8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

    WADE LEBLANC vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    LEBLANC is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.146.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

    FRANKIE MONTAS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-30-2018 at 11:56 AM.

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    Diamond Trends - Thursday
    Vince Akins

    SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Indians are 18-0 SU since the start of the 2012 season as a home 140+ favorite after they lost by one run and it is post All-Star break.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Mariners are 0-14 SU in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog off a road game in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break.

    Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Reds are 0-14 SU as a home dog off a game as a dog in which Scooter Gennett had multiple hits.

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Dodgers are 11-0 OU with Rich Hill as a favorite when he went 6+ innings and allowed fewer than six hits in his last start.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-30-2018 at 11:57 AM.

  11. #11
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    MLB

    Thursday, August 30



    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking:
    J.A. Happ, New York Yankees (15-6, 3.850 ERA, $753)

    It's was certainly no secret that the major issue with the Yankees' roster (other than some missing bodies due to injury) was their starting rotation. Well, what a boost they've gotten from the addition of J.A. Happ from the Blue Jays at the trade deadline.

    Since putting on the pinstripes, Happ owns a team win/loss record of 5-0, an ERA of 2.37, and a WHIP of 0.9231.

    Happ looks to keep it rolling this evening at Yankee Stadium as a huge -310 favorite against Francisco Liriano and the visiting Detroit Tigers.

    Slumping:
    Francisco Liriano, Detroit Tigers (3-9, 4.82 ERA, $-559)

    Francisco Liriano, another former Blue Jays' starter, comes in to tonight's outing with a team win/loss record of 3-9 on the season. Some of that can certainly be associated with the fact that he pitches for the rebuilding Detroit Tigers, but he has also really struggled with his personal stats of late. In Liriano's last three starts he is 0-3 with an ERA of 8.25, a WHIP of 2.25, and an opponent's on-base percentage of .443.

    Liriano has the difficult assignment of trying to beat his ex-teammate, J.A. Happ, and contain the Yankees in The Bronx tonight as a +280 underdog.


    Pitcher's Wind At Progressive

    The weather forecast is calling for a 12-14 mile per hour wind blowing in from right-center field for this afternoon's game between the Twins and Indians in Cleveland. This is great news for today's starting pitchers, Jake Odorizzi and Mike Clevinger.

    While Odorizzi's numbers are exactly awe-inspiring, he has been better on the road this season with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.35 away from Target Field. Clevinger has been dynamite in his last two starts at Progressive Field, allowing only one run in 13 innings of work.

    With the wind blowing in and Clevinger's recent form at home, the Under on Minnesota's team total is worth a look at 3.5 (-115) and perhaps a sprinkle on the full game Under at 8.5 (-105).


    YARR!!! More Unders

    The Pirates and Cardinals will wrap up their three-game series this evening in St. Louis. The first two games of their mid-week set went Under the closing total and six of their last eight head-to-head encounters have cashed for Under bettors.

    The Under has hit in 12 of the Pirates' last 16 games overall and seven of the Cards' last nine contests have finished Under the closing number.

    Joe Musgrove gets the road start for the Pirates and he has been very tidy away from home with a 2.92 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP this season. His only career start against the Cardinals was back in May when he held them scoreless for seven innings in an eventual 8-1 victory.

    Cards' starter John Gant is also in very good recent form with a very nice 1.99 ERA over his last four starts and owns a 3.35 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in seven starts at home this season.

    With all of these stats, and the fact that Mike Winters and his huge 64.4 strike percentage on the season will be behind the plate, it makes sense to look at Under 8 (-115) for the full game and Under 4.5 (-130) for the first five innings.


    An Insulting total?

    Most times, when you see a total of 8.0 or lower, you expect to see a fairly decent pitching matchup on the board. And no offense to Robbie Ray and Rich Hill in tonight’s D-backs-Dodgers game, but they aren’t show stoppers by any means.

    Ray has failed to find the magic he had last year with a 4.73 ERA and Hill has a 3.50 ERA, but rarely pitches more than six innings. Yes, this number is about a pair of lineups that are what some would call inconsistent.

    However, both have a penchant for hitting home runs off south paws, which both Hill and Ray are. Plus, the Dodges bullpen has been iffy of late. Lastly, the Over has cashed the last seven times these two NL West rivals have met in L.A. We think the number is a little low for teams so talented. Look at the Over 7.5.

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