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Thread: Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

  1. #781
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    cfb record + best bets thru the bowl games:

    date w-l-t % units record

    12/01/2018 13-7-1 65.00% +26.50



    best bets:

    date............................ats............... .........units...................o/u...................units...............total

    12/01/2018.................5 - 2........................+14.00.................5 - 1..................+19.50..............+33.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #782
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    Top 6 picks for Week 13 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Colts -4 (1,029)

    2) Steelers -3.5 (961)

    3) Falcons -1 (911)

    4) Giants +5.5 (826)

    5) Patriots -5 (776)

    6) Seahawks -9.5 (731)

    Season record: 37-32-3
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #783
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    College Playoff Primer
    December 3, 2018
    By Brian Edwards


    The College Football Playoff is set after Sunday’s announcement of the nation’s top four teams. Unbeaten and top-ranked Alabama will square off against No. 4 Oklahoma, the Big 12 champion, at the Orange Bowl in Miami in one semifinal matchup on Dec. 29.


    The other game is also on Dec. 29 and will be at Jerry World in Arlington, where undefeated and second-ranked Clemson will take on unbeaten No. 3 Notre Dame in the Cotton Bowl. The winners will collide in the finals on Jan. 7 at 8:00 p.m. Eastern in Santa Clara at Levi’s Stadium, the home of the NFL’s San Francisco 49ers.


    As of Sunday night, most betting shops had Alabama (13-0 straight up, 8-5 against the spread) installed as a 14-point favorite with a total of 79.5. The Sooners were +400 on the money line (risk $100 to win $400).


    Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa had to leave the SEC Championship Game with a foot injury that’s expected to have him sidelined for at least two weeks. Without the sophomore QB, back-up and former starter Jalen Hurts rallied the Crimson Tide from a 28-14 deficit to win 35-28 over Georgia in an epic thriller.


    Lincoln Riley’s squad avenged its only loss of the season – a 48-45 setback vs. Texas in the Red River Rivalry – by beating the Longhorns 39-27 in Saturday’s Big 12 Championship Game at Jerry World. The Sooners will be underdogs for the first time this season. They were ‘dogs three times last year in Riley’s first season since taking over for Bob Stoops, compiling a 2-1 record both SU and ATS. OU lost a 54-48 decision to Georgia as a 2.5-point ‘dog in last year’s CFP semifinals in Pasadena.


    This is Oklahoma’s richest underdog spot since the 2013 Sugar Bowl, where OU thumped Alabama by a 45-31 count as a 15-point puppy. The Sooners have won outright in both of their most recent situations as double-digit ‘dogs, beating Oklahoma St. 33-24 in Stillwater as 10-point road ‘dogs in the 2013 regular-season finale.


    These storied programs played a home-and-home series back in 2002 and 2003. OU won a 37-27 decision in Norman as a 12.5-point favorite. The Sooners went to Tuscaloosa the following season and won 20-13 at ‘Bama, but the Tide covered the number once again as a 7.5-point home underdog.


    Clemson won the ACC title with a 42-10 win over Pittsburgh as a 27.5-point ‘chalk.’ As of Sunday night, most books had the Tigers listed as 11-point favorites against the Fighting Irish. The total was in the 55-56 range and Notre Dame was +325 to win outright (paid $325 on $100 wagers).


    Dabo Swinney’s club is in the CFP for the fourth straight year. Like ‘Bama, Clemson has been a double-digit favorite in all 13 of its games, winning by at least 20 points 11 times. Meanwhile, Brian Kelly’s bunch is an underdog for only the second time this season. The Irish beat Michigan 24-17 in its opener as a 2.5-point home underdog. They haven’t been double-digit ‘dogs since the 2016 regular-season finale resulted in a non-cover when USC beat them 45-27 as 17.5-point home ‘chalk.’


    Georgia finished No. 5 and Ohio State, the Big Ten champ, was sixth in the final CFP poll. The Bulldogs will meet Texas in the Sugar Bowl, while Ohio State will face Washington at the Rose Bowl. As of Sunday night, most spots had the Bulldogs favored by 10.5 points, while the Buckeyes were 4.5-point ‘chalk’ vs. UW.


    Other New Year’s Six matchups include LSU (-7.5) vs. UCF at the Sugar Bowl and Michigan (-6) vs. Florida at the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl. Michigan junior DE Rashan Gary announced Sunday that’s he’s turning pro and will not play in his team’s bowl game. Gary had 44 tackles, four tackles for loss, 3.5 sacks, and five QB hurries in nine games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #784
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    Army vs. Navy
    Tom Wilkinson

    The script has flipped in the Army-Navy rivalry, as now it is Army that is the better team and on a winning streak in the series. The Navy Midshipmen beat Army for 14 straight seasons and the series became known more for the “streak” than anything else.

    That changed two years ago when Army broke the streak and now it is the Army Black Knights who have won two straight. Let’s look at this matchup on Saturday and college football picks.

    Date and Time: Saturday, December 8, 2018, 12:00 p.m. ET
    Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
    College Football Odds: Army -7, O/U 41
    Army vs. Navy TV Coverage: CBS

    This season the favorite in this game is Army, as they come into the game ranked in the Top 25 in the country, while Navy won just three games and finished 3-9. The Black Knights are not worried about extending the streak to three against Army; they are just concerned about winning this game. “It’s not really about the streak. It’s about winning the next game. That is what Army football is all about,” Army starting center Bryce Holland said to the media, “We always talk about going 1-0 each week. So we’re not worried about holding on to some streak. We’re concerned with winning this next game against Navy.”

    Despite the fact that Army is the better team this season, head coach Jeff Monken is not confident. “I’m scared to death, just like I always am leading up to this game,” Monken said to the media, “For one, I know that Navy is really well-coached. I know Kenny and his staff will have their team very well prepared.”

    Monken said that Navy could easily have finished with a winning record this season, as they lost to SMU by a point in overtime and to Tulane by a point. They also blew leads and lost to Temple and Houston.

    This series has seen close games and it hasn’t mattered what the records of the two teams were. Navy won 11 games in 2015 and had to get two interceptions late in the game to hold on for a 21-17 win. Army had their best season in twenty years last season and yet they had to survive a missed field goal at the end to win 14-13.

    It should be noted that Army has found a way to win close games. Nine of their last 19 wins have been by seven points or less. “They are doing a really good job of continuing to battle to the finish,” Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo said to the media, “They got a belief. They have a system in what they are doing offensively and defensively. It’s really impressive with what they have done.”

    Matchup to Watch

    Both of these teams love to run the ball, as Navy is third in the country in rushing yards per game, while Army is second. The difference in these two teams is on defense. How is Navy going to slow down the Army rushing attack? Navy is 89th in the country against the run. On the other side, the Army defense is 12th in the country against the run.

    Key Stats

    The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Under is 14-4 in Navy’s last 18 games in December. The Under is 9-3 in Navy’s last 12 neutral site games. The Under is 13-3 in the Black Knights last 16 games in December. The Under is 16-5 in the Black Knights last 21 neutral site games. The Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #785
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    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 15


    Saturday, December 8

    Navy @ Army

    Game 103-104
    December 8, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Navy
    78.171
    Army
    88.942
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Army
    by 11
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Army
    by 6 1/2
    41
    Dunkel Pick:
    Army
    (-6 1/2); Over





    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Saturday, December 8

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NAVY (3 - 9) vs. ARMY (9 - 2) - 12/8/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARMY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
    NAVY is 172-131 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
    NAVY is 172-131 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    NAVY is 98-60 ATS (+32.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
    NAVY is 156-118 ATS (+26.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
    NAVY is 74-42 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    NAVY is 80-45 ATS (+30.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
    ARMY is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
    ARMY is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
    ARMY is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NCAAF
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 15


    tba here....




    NCAAF

    Week 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, December 8

    Navy Midshipmen
    Navy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Navy is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games
    Navy is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Army
    Navy is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Army
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
    Army Black Knights
    Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Army's last 7 games
    Army is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Navy
    Army is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Navy
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #786
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    Tech Trends - Week 15
    December 5, 2018
    By Bruce Marshall


    SATURDAY, DEC. 8

    Matchup Skinny Edge

    ARMY vs. NAVY (at Philadelphia)...Navy closed with covers in its last three, and was 4-3 as dog in 2018. Niumatalolo 32-17 as dog since 2009. Army has covered last four away from home TY. Army has covered 4 straight and 6 of 7 in series but was a dog in every one of those, in fact has not been favored in series since 2001. Mids had won 14 in a row SU vs. Black Knights prior to narrow, late losses past two seasons. Note 12 straight "unders" in series.
    Slight to Under" and slight to Navy, based on "totals" and team trends
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #787
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    SATURDAY, DECEMBER 8
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    NAVY at ARMY 03:00 PM
    NAVY +7.5
    O 40.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #788
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    Tuesday’s 6-pack

    Highest payrolls in the NBA:

    6) Portland Trailblazers $131,747,436

    5) Houston Rockets $134,843,975

    4) Toronto Raptors $141,265,305

    3) Golden State Warriors $145,699,527

    2) Oklahoma City Thunder $146,463,850

    1) Miami Heat $158,203,135

    Quote of the Day
    “I think your play is embarrassing, me subbing them is saving them, maybe. Maybe we saved them. The pro player thing, this is basketball; this is about honoring the game and doing the right things.

    Embarrassment is not giving the effort in that Bulls uniform, so I put five guys in that I thought could put the effort in. They’re disappointed, they feel bad about it. We need some leadership to step up, we need some guys to take leadership roles on the team.”
    Chicago Bulls’ coach Jim Boylen

    Tuesday’s quiz

    Who was the Detroit Lions coach last time they won a playoff game?

    Monday’s quiz
    Matt Prater (then with the Broncos) holds the record for the longest FG in NFL history (64 yards); he kicked it against the Tennessee Titans.

    Sunday’s quiz
    Dwyane Wade played his college basketball at Marquette.

    ***********************

    Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Saturday night the Chicago Bulls lost by 56 points to Boston- they lost at home, 133-76, which is obviously not good and it came a couple games after a coaching change.

    But this is worse; on Sunday, the Bulls refused to practice, because new coach Jim Boylen held a couple of two-hour practices earlier in the week. During the season with lot of games, NBA teams don’t have 2-hour practices very often.

    Chicago is 6-21, last in the Eastern Conference; their team payroll is $103,926,708, which is 2nd-lowest in the NBA. Their team sucks, but guys get mad when the coach shows them up by subbing out five guys at a time- they revolt at practicing. How do you get better?

    I’m getting old…..lol

    12) Baseball’s winter meetings are this week in Las Vegas, good chance to think ahead to next spring and also to feel warmer. Thinking about baseball takes some of the chill out of the air.

    11) ESPN’s Sunday night baseball games will move an hour next year, starting at 7:00 instead of 8, which means there will be overlap with the 4:00 games on DirecTV, which is fine.

    10) Tampa Bay Rays went 44-34 LY when they used an “opener” to pitch the first inning of a game; they’ve said they will use that tactic again in 2019.

    9) Oakland Raiders fired GM Reggie McKenzie Monday; when you’re paying the coach $100M over ten years, you have to give him control of the franchise, so they told McKenzie to take a hike. Dallas/Chicago are two of the hottest teams in the NFL, thanks in large part to players they got from Oakland, which stockpiled draft picks as it prepares to move to Las Vegas in 2020.

    8) 32-year old backup QB Josh Johnson, on his sixth NFL team, led two TD drives Sunday against the Giants; he said he used the Madden NFL video game in order to learn some of the names on the Redskins’ roster- he played Sunday despite only being on the team for five days.

    Johnson was picked in the AAF draft last week; not sure now if he’ll play in the new spring league, if he finished the season with Redskins, which he figures to do.

    Mark Sanchez said last week that the first time he talked to LT Trent Williams was in the huddle on the field in the Redskins’ loss at Philadelphia LW. Hard to win that way.

    7) Tennessee 76, Gonzaga 73— Impressive win on a neutral floor for Rick Barnes’ Volunteers; they made 12-29 on the arc, with Schofield going 6-10.

    6) I wonder how Michael O’Keefe’s acting career would’ve turned out if he hadn’t played golf against Judge Smails in Caddyshack.

    5) Iowa State football coach Matt Campbell agreed to a contract extension through 2024 and has gotten $1M in additional salary for his assistant coaches, good news for Cyclone fans.

    4) Kansas State is expected to hire North Dakota State’s Chris Kleiman its football coaching job; he is expected to accept the job but he is also expected to coach North Dakota State as far as they go in I-AA Playoffs. Kleiman is 67-6 at NDSU and has won three national titles.

    3) Oakland A’s new AAA affiliate will be called the Las Vegas Aviators, a logo that I predict will take off in popularity.

    2) Harold Baines is in the Baseball Hall of Fame? I’m not buying that, but it guarantees that Edgar Martinez is getting in down the road, which is a good thing.

    1) I don’t get why the Heisman Trophy TV show is an hour long; a complete waste of 45 minutes. Introduce the four finalists and tell us who won; dragging it out to an hour must make money or they wouldn’t do it, but I never watch it- just let me know who won.

    Best thing about the college football playoff is that it has taken a lot of the focus away from this individual award. I remember Joe Tessitore talking about the Heisman during a game on Labor Day weekend a few years ago, thats how ridiculous it had gotten.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #789
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    Las Vegas Bowl
    December 10, 2018
    By Bookmaker


    by Kyle Markus

    Las Vegas Bowl: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Fresno State Bulldogs


    The Fresno State Bulldogs proved to be the class of the Mountain West Conference this season, and will look to put a feather in its cap with a victory in the Las Vegas Bowl. They will take on a major conference foe in the Arizona State Sun Devils out of the Pac-12.

    This should be a good showdown as upper-tier non-Power 5 schools and middle of the road major-conference teams tend to match up well. The Bulldogs are expected to be the slight favorites but this game could go either way in NCAA football gambling.

    This NCAA football game between the Arizona State Sun Devils and Fresno State Bulldogs will be held at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada at 3:30 p.m ET on Saturday, December 15th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on ABC.

    We'll have NCAA football odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NCAAFB season.

    Odds Analysis


    Fresno State is listed as a four-point favorite to capture this game. The neutral site location makes it so that neither team gets points for the home field, which means the oddsmakers believe the Bulldogs are the slightly more talented team.

    The Sun Devils are the +160 underdogs on the moneyline, while Fresno State is the -185 favorite. The scoring total is listed at 52 points.

    Injury Report

    Arizona State star wide receiver N’Keal Harry isn’t hurt, but he’s not going to play in this game to avoid that exact fate. Harry is projected to be a first-round pick in the NFL draft, and like other stars, has decided to bypass the bowl game. It is a trend that has become more popular in recent years and it is hard to blame a player like Harry for thinking about his future.

    It is a big loss, as Harry has 73 catches for 1,088 yards and nine touchdowns on the season. He has also been an impactful punt returner and Arizona State’s offense will not be as scary without him. The Sun Devils still have a senior quarterback in Manny Wilkins, but figure to lean on star running back Eno Benjamin, who has amassed 1,524 yards and 15 touchdowns on the season.

    Key Stat

    38. That’s the number of points Fresno State scored in its other game against a Pac-12 team, rolling to a 24-point win over the UCLA Bruins in non-conference action early in the year. Quarterback Marcus McMaryion had a solid game, completing 22-of-33 passes for 270 yards and a touchdown.

    Fresno State averaged a meager 2.9 yards per carry in the contest and will need to do better than that on the ground against Arizona State. The Sun Devils are a much better team than UCLA and this one does not seem likely to be a blowout.

    Free NCAA Football ATS Picks

    Fresno State has a star quarterback in McMaryion who has thrown 25 touchdowns and only three interceptions on the season. However, the Arizona State defense has been solid this season and will make him earn the yards in this one.

    If the Sun Devils had Harry they would be the pick, but his absence is going to make the offense too one-dimensional. Fresno State will have the better passing game and that will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Bulldogs to knock off another Pac-12 team to wrap up a very successful season.

    However, Arizona State is the choice to cover as this should be a competitive matchup in NCAAFB odds.

    NCAAFB ATS Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs 24, Arizona State Sun Devils 21
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #790
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    College Bowl Pick'em
    December 10, 2018
    By Kevin Rogers


    The 2018-19 bowl lineup is out with 39 games to watch over the next few weeks leading to the National Championship game in Santa Clara, California on Monday January 7. Alabama is the favorite to win it all as the Crimson Tide face Oklahoma in one of two college football playoff games on December 29.

    During the holiday season, bettors have the opportunity to earn extra cash with "College Bowl Pick ‘em" contests where all you have to do is pick the winner, which isn’t as easy as it looks.

    The most popular contest has you picking the winner of all 39 Bowl games and ranking them with confidence, starting with 39 as the most confident pick and counting all the way down to 1 as least confident.

    The two picks in this contest are the double-digit favorites in the playoff games. Clemson faces Notre Dame as 11-point favorites in the Cotton Bowl although both teams are undefeated. Since edging Syracuse by four points earlier this season, the Tigers have cruised through their schedule by winning the last eight games by at least 20 points.

    Defending national champion Alabama needed to rally past Georgia to capture the SEC championship, but the Crimson Tide are still the team to beat. ‘Bama squares off with Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl, as the Sooners grabbed the Big 12 title but are being criticized due to their lack of defense.

    Outside of the two playoff games, the next most confident pick on the board is actually a short underdog. Syracuse is coming off a resurgent season in which it finished at 9-3, with two of the losses coming to Clemson and Notre Dame. The Orange face West Virginia in the Camping World Bowl, but the Mountaineers will be without quarterback Will Grier, who is setting his sights on preparing for the NFL. WVU finished the season with back-to-back losses, while giving up 104 points to Oklahoma State and Oklahoma.

    Below are all 39 bowls ranked from 39-1. Happy Bowl Season!

    2018-19 COLLEGE BOWL PICK 'EM STRAIGHT UP

    Point Value Bowl Game Matchup Prediction


    39 Cotton Bowl Clemson vs. Notre Dame Clemson

    38 Orange Bowl Alabama vs. Oklahoma Alabama

    37 Camping World Bowl Syracuse vs. West Virginia Syracuse

    36 Gator Bowl Texas A&M vs. N.C. State Texas A&M

    35 Fiesta Bowl LSU vs. UCF LSU

    34 Sugar Bowl Georgia vs. Texas Georgia

    33 Redbox Bowl Oregon vs. Michigan State Oregon

    32 Sun Bowl Stanford vs. Pittsburgh Stanford

    31 Pinstripe Bowl Miami (FL) vs. Wisconsin Miami

    30 Potato Bowl BYU vs. Western Michigan BYU

    29 Birmingham Bowl Memphis vs. Wake Forest Memphis

    28 First Responder Bowl Boise State vs. Boston College Boise State

    27 Cheez-It Bowl California vs. TCU California

    26 Alamo Bowl Washington State vs. Iowa State Washington State

    25 Armed Forces Bowl Houston vs. Army Houston

    24 Music City Bowl Auburn vs. Purdue Auburn

    23 Independence Bowl Temple vs. Duke Temple

    22 Peach Bowl Florida vs. Michigan Florida

    21 Hawaii Bowl Louisiana Tech vs. Hawai'i Louisiana Tech

    20 Boca Raton Bowl UAB vs. Northern Illinois UAB

    19 Citrus Bowl Penn State vs. Kentucky Penn State

    18 Dollar General Bowl Troy vs. Buffalo Troy

    17 Quick Lane Bowl Minnesota vs. Georgia Tech Minnesota

    16 Rose Bowl Ohio State vs. Washington Ohio State

    15 Holiday Bowl Utah vs. Northwestern Utah

    14 Texas Bowl Vanderbilt vs. Baylor Vanderbilt

    13 Gasparilla Bowl Marshall vs. USF Marshall

    12 New Orleans Bowl Appalachian State vs. Middle Tennessee State Appalachian State

    11 Outback Bowl Iowa vs. Mississippi State Iowa

    10 Frisco Bowl San Diego State vs. Ohio San Diego State

    9 New Mexico Bowl North Texas vs. Utah State North Texas

    8 Liberty Bowl Missouri vs. Oklahoma State Missouri

    7 Military Bowl Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech Cincinnati

    6 Las Vegas Bowl Arizona State vs. Fresno State Arizona State

    5 Cure Bowl Louisiana vs. Tulane Louisiana

    4 Camellia Bowl Eastern Michigan vs. Georgia Southern Eastern Michigan

    3 Bahamas Bowl Toledo vs. FIU Toledo

    2 Belk Bowl Virginia vs. South Carolina Virginia

    1 Arizona Bowl Arkansas State vs. Nevada Arkansas State
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #791
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    2018-19 bowls

    December 15

    New Mexico Bowl


    Underdogs covered five of last six New Mexico Bowls. Utah State won this bowl four years ago, but lost 23-21/26-20 in last two bowls. Aggies are 10-2, losing first/last game; they were held 100 YR in both losses. State is 9-3 vs spread in last dozen games as a favorite. North Texas is in its 3rd straight bowl; they lost 38-31/50-30 in bowls last two years. Favorites covered their last five bowl games. UNT is 9-3 this year; their last three games were all decided by exactly 3 points. Under Littrell, Mean Green is 10-9 as an underdog, 1-1 this year. Mountain West teams are 3-4 in this bowl last seven years. Under is 10-1 in UNT games this season; over is 8-3-1 in Utah State games. Last seven years, MW teams are 13-11 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.

    Cure Bowl, Orlando

    Tulane is in its first bowl since 2013; they had to beat a poor Navy team 29-28 in finale just to get to 6-6 and be bowl-eligible. Green Wave beat ULL 41-39 (-5) in OT in last meeting two years ago. Tulane won four of its last five games overall; they’re 1-4 vs spread as a favorite this year, after being 7-4 last two years. UL-Lafayette is in 6th bowl in last nine years, but first one that wasn’t in New Orleans; Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-5 when they don’t. Tulane allowed 31+ in only one of its last six games. Dogs won two of three Cure Bowls, with Sun Belt team winning last two. Last five years, Sun Belt teams are 9-7 vs spread when playing an AAC team. Five of last six Tulane games, four of last five ULL games stayed under total.

    Las Vegas Bowl

    Fresno State won Mountain West title game in Boise Dec 1st; only 14 days between games for them. Underdogs won last two Las Vegas bowls; favorites are 4-3 vs spread in last seven. Pac-12 teams are 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here. Herm Edwards is coaching his first bowl game; ASU’s star WR Harry is skipping this game so he doesn’t get hurt- he is headed to NFL. ASU won four of its last five games; they’re 4-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points. Sun Devils are 2-3 in last five bowls, losing 43-42/52-31 in last two. Bulldogs snapped 4-game bowl losing streak when they won Hawai’i Bowl 33-27 LY. Since 2012, Mountain West teams are 4-6 vs spread when favored over a Pac-12 team. Eight of last nine Fresno games stayed under the total.

    Camellia Bowl, Montgomery, AL


    Eastern Michigan is in just its third bowl game ever, 2nd since 1985; they lost Bahamas Bowl 24-20 to Old Dominion two years ago. Eagles won five of their last six games after a 2-4 start; they’re 2-4 this year in games decided by less than 7 points. EMU is 4-6 vs spread in its last 10 games as a favorite. Georgia Southern has one of most experienced OL’s in country; they’re in only their 5th year of I-A football. GSU is Eagles pounded Bowling Green 58-27 in its only bowl game, three years ago. MAC teams are 14-11 vs spread in their last 25 games vs Sun Belt opponents. Sun Belt teams split four Camellia Bowls; average total in four games was 61.3. Seven of last nine EMU games stayed under total; five of last six Ga Southern games went over.

    New Orleans Bowl


    Favorites won/covered last three New Orleans Bowls; Sun Belt team won this game five of last seven years. Appalachian State is 10-2 with an OT loss at Penn State that they led in the last minute of regulation. ASU is 3-0 in bowl games, scoring 31+ points in all three- this is only their 5th year as a I-A team. Middle Tennessee State won five of last seven games, splitting pair with UAB; they’re 4-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. Sun Belt teams covered eight of their last ten games with C-USA opponents. Six of last eight ASU games stayed under the total; three of Blue Raiders’ last four games went over. ASU’s coach has already jumped ship for the Louisville job; MTSU’s senior QB is the head coach’s son, so this will be an emotional game for them.

    Dec 18

    Boca Raton Bowl, Boca Raton, FL


    UAB didn’t field a football team in 2015-16; they went 8-5 LY, lost their bowl game 41-6, then went 10-3 this year, winning C-USA title Dec 1. All three Blazer losses are by 21+ points. Northern Illinois is 8-5 after winning MAC title 30-29 over Buffalo Nov 30; Huskies lost their last five bowls, last three by 22+ points each. NIU is 7-0 when it scores 24+ points, 1-5 when they don’t; in their last four games (2-2) they were -7 in turnovers. Huskies have a top 10 OL in experience. Favorites covered three of first four Boca Raton Bowls, with average total of 64.8; C-USA teams are 3-0 in this game. Last two years, C-USA teams are 7-5 vs spread when playing MAC teams. Under is 9-4 in NIU games this season; four of last five UAB games went over.

    Dec 19

    Frisco Bowl, Frisco, TX


    San Diego State lost its last three games after a 7-2 start, which is how they wound up here- they lost SU as 18 and 24-point home favorites in November. Aztecs covered five of their last six tries as an underdog. Ohio U won five of its last six games, scoring 52-49 points in last two; Bobcats are 11-6 vs spread in their last 17 games as a favorite. Last eight years, Mountain West teams are 16-13 vs spread when playing a MAC team, 6-6 when an underdog. San Diego St is 3-2 in its last five bowls; they scored 34+ points in last three. Ohio won its bowl 41-6 LY, snapping a 3-bowl losing skid. Under is 6-3 in Aztecs’ last nine games, 1-4 in Ohio’s last five. Favorites covered three of four Frisco Bowls, with an average total of 77.3.

    Dec 20

    Gasparilla Bowl, Tampa


    Home game for South Florida, which lost its last five games (all by 10+ points) after a 7-0 start; Bulls threw for a combined 195 yards in last two games- they allowed 220+ RY in six of their last seven games. Under Strong, USF is 5-11 vs spread as a favorite, 1-5 this year. Bulls won four of last five bowls, with average total of 79 in last three. Marshall won five of its last seven games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as an underdog. Thundering Herd won its last six bowl games. Marshall has a big edge in experience on OL. Favorites covered this bowl four of last six years, with average total of 30.0 last three years. AAC teams are 14-13 vs spread when facing a C-USA squad, 1-4 this year. Three of last four USF games stayed under total; over is 4-1 in last five Marshall games.

    Dec 21

    Bahamas Bowl


    C-USA/MAC teams split the four Bahamas Bowls, with an average total of 66; FIU is 1-2 in bowl games, losing 28-3 to Temple LY- coach Davis is 5-3 in bowls. Panthers split their last four games after a 6-2 start; under Davis, they’re 6-3 vs spread as underdogs, 3-0 this year. FIU was outgained by 238+ yards in three of their last four losses. Toledo lost its last two bowls, getting blanked 34-0 by Appalachian St LY as a 7-point favorite. Rockets won four of their last five games after a 3-4 start, scoring 56-51 points in last two games; Toledo allowed 412+ TY in 10 of their last 11 games- they’re 2-5 vs spread in their last seven games as a single-digit favorite. Last five FIU games went over the total; over is 7-4 in Toledo games.

    Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise


    BYU won at Arizona/Wisconsin in September, but lost three of last five games, and stumbles in here with 6-6 record. Cougars didn’t go to a bowl LY, and lost three of their last four bowls before that- they did hold last six opponents to 327 or fewer TY. Western Michigan has 1-7 record in bowl games, with only win over MTSU in the Bahamas three years ago. Broncos lost three of their last four games after a 6-2 start; they allowed 42+ points in all five of their losses, are 7-0 when they give up less than 40 points. WMU lost two games that they scored 42+ points in this season. BYU is 9-4 vs spread in last 13 games as a double digit favorite; . Western Michigan Four of last five BYU games stayed under total; last four WMU games went over.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #792
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    Wednesday’s 6-pack

    — Penn 78, Villanova 75— Villanova’s 25-game Big Five win streak ends.

    — Colorado 78, New Mexico 75— Buffs were down 17, improve to 8-1.

    — New Mexico gets 6-10 Kansas transfer Carlton Bragg eligible Sunday

    — Spurs 111, Suns 86— Popovich moves into 4th place on all-time win list.

    — Orioles hired Cubs bench coach Brandon Hyde as their new manager.

    — Texas Rangers hired former P Brandon McCarthy to help out in aspects of pitching development in the major and minor leagues.

    Quote of the Day
    “Sometimes it makes it worse when it’s right there. If you get blown out it doesn’t seem to hurt as bad as when you have a chance.’’
    Ben Roethlisberger

    Wednesday’s quiz

    The Clippers were in San Diego before they played in LA; what was the team’s name before they moved to San Diego?
    (Hint: They had 2 or 3 really good/well-known players)

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Wayne Fontes was Lions’ coach in 1991, last time Detroit won a playoff game.

    Monday’s quiz
    Matt Prater (then with the Broncos) holds the record for the longest FG in NFL history (64 yards); he kicked it against the Tennessee Titans.

    ************************

    Wednesday’s List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Things you don’t see much; Dallas ran 93 plays Sunday, Philly only 48.

    Cannot remember last time an NFL team ran 93 plays in a game. Cowboys had only done it once before EVER, running 94 plays in a 1978 win over Green Bay.

    Does being on the field for 93 plays have a hangover effect this week, when the Eagles visit the Rams in Los Angeles?

    12) Very few NFL games get butchered the way New England butchered their loss in Miami last week; Brady took a sack at the end of the first half when Patriots were out of timeouts and in the red zone, costing his team three points, a horrible mistake that was a lot like Russell Wilson’s INT at the end of the first half Monday night.

    Then Miami scoring on a 69-yard desperation play to get the walk-off win; why is Gronkowski on the field for that play? Play started on the Miami 31; Tannehill ain’t throwing a Hail Mary pass 70+ yards. I’m guessing the Patriots’ flight home and defensive meetings Monday couldn’t have been very pleasant.

    11) Minnesota Vikings fired OC John DeFilippo Tuesday, after the Vikings got whacked 21-7 by the Seahawks Monday night. Mike Zimmer has gone thru lot of QB’s/OC’s in his tenure as the Vikings’ coach.

    10) Royals signed free agent OF Billy Hamilton, who runs really fast but as my dad often said, “He can’t steal first base.” When your on-base% is under .300, that not good.

    9) More baseball dealings:
    — Phillies gave Andrew McCutchen $16.7M a year for three years.
    — Blue Jays released oft-injured SS Troy Tulowitzki, who is still owed $38M.
    — White Sox acquired P Ivan Nova from Pittsburgh.

    8) Steph Curry is going to host a PGA Tour event at Lake Merced Golf Club in Daly City, CA, starting in the 2019-20 season. The tournament doesn’t have a sponsor yet; the golf course is going to get $3.6M in upgrades before then.

    7) Memphis Grizzlies equipment assistant Brianč Miller was offered $100,000 for the sneakers LeBron James gave her over the weekend, but she says she has no interest in selling them.

    6) ESPN released 11 Sunday night telecasts for 2019; what a surprise- five Red Sox games, four Bronx games, three Dodger games, zero Astros games. And they wonder why the sport isn’t as popular as it used to be? Houston is the 4th-biggest city in the country and they are one of the best teams— put their young stars on TV!!!!

    This doesn’t even need to be stated, but A’s/Rays aren’t on the list. Both won 90+ games LY.

    5) MLB Network is great this week, watching stuff from Winter Meetings every day, but then they put this guy Charlie Montoyo on Tuesday at 6pm, and I had no idea he was Toronto’s new manager. He worked for Kevin Cash in Tampa for four years, so thats a good thing these days, working with another successful manager.

    4) So its 4am Monday night/Tuesday morning and I’m winding down getting ready for bed, then I hear trucks outside, and they start jackhammering the road across street from me, digging this big hole. Seven feet deep, 25-30 feet long. It is freakin’ 4am!!!!

    So much for sleep……or water. Must’ve been a leak in the pipes.

    Water came back on 11 hours later, the road looks like it is a war zone, kind of killed the day, though not having water to take a shower forced me to get some sleep. Feel bad for guys who are outside at 4am in 15-degree weather fixing plumbing.

    3) City of Oakland is suing the Raiders, making it evident that this will be the Raiders’ last year playing home games in Oakland- they’re moving to Las Vegas in 2020.

    2) Football coaches are nomads: Ole Miss hired former Colorado coach Mike MacIntyre as its new defensive coordinator, which will make their defense a lot better. Ole Miss will have two new coordinators next year; their OC Phil Longo is off to the same job at North Carolina.

    Former Bowling Green coach Mike Jinks is the new running backs coach at USC; no offense to the fine folks at Bowling Green, but thats a promotion- RB coach at USC is a better job than HC at Bowling Green- what a storied history of RB’s the Trojans have had.

    1) Former Tennessee football coach Butch Jones was hired this week by Maryland as an assistant to new head coach Mike Locksley; both guys were assistants at Alabama this season.

    Colin Kaepernick should go be an assistant coach at Alabama; maybe he could get a job in the NFL then. Every other Saban assistant gets a new job fairly quickly.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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