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Thread: Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

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    Big Ten Report - Week 3
    September 13, 2018
    By ASA


    2018 BIG 10 STANDINGS

    Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
    Illinois 2-0 0-0 1-1 0-2
    Indiana 2-0 0-0 0-2 1-1
    Iowa 2-0 0-0 2-0 0-2
    Maryland 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
    Michigan 1-1 0-0 1-1 0-2
    Michigan State 1-1 0-0 0-2 1-1
    Minnesota 2-0 0-0 2-0 1-1
    Nebraska 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1
    Northwestern 1-1 1-0 1-1 1-1
    Ohio State 2-0 1-0 2-0 1-1
    Penn State 2-0 0-0 1-1 2-0
    Purdue 0-2 0-1 0-2 1-1
    Rutgers 1-1 0-1 1-1 0-2
    Wisconsin 2-0 0-0 0-2 1-1

    Games Scheduled for Saturday

    Ball State at Indiana (-14) - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

    BALL STATE
    – After rolling over Central Connecticut State in week 1 the Cards caught Notre Dame in a perfect spot for a letdown last week coming off their big win over Michigan. Ball State took advantage of it giving the Irish everything they could handle easily covering the 34 point spread with ease in the 24-16 loss. Ball State was outgained by just 65 yards but also ran a ridiculous 97 offensive plays to just 72 for the Irish. On a yards per play basis the Cardinals were only able to muster 3.6 YPP while allowing Notre Dame 5.75 YPP. The BSU offense has been extremely balanced after two weeks averaging 258 YPG passing and 242 YPG rushing. Their run defense was fantastic last week holding Notre Dame to just 117 yards on 2.7 YPC. Ball State left it all on the field in South Bend and now they must regroup and take on another of the state’s big boys on the road this weekend.

    INDIANA
    – IU moved to 2-0 and their players and coaches are breathing a sigh of relief after holding on at home vs Virginia last weekend. The Hoosiers (-5) held on for the 20-16 win as the Cavs threatened late and ended the game on the Indiana 27 yard line. Head coach Tom Allen has this team playing much more physical and running the ball on offense which is quite the change from the pass-happy Kevin Wilson regime before him. In two games IU has run the ball 89 times while attempting just 59 passes. Sophomore QB Peyton Ramsey has completed 73% of this passes with 5 TD’s. However the offensive star has been freshman RB Stevie Scott who rushed for 204 yards in last Saturday’s win. This team used to have to put up huge offensive numbers each week because their defense was not a strength. This Indiana stop unit has allowed just 4.75 YPP over their first 2 games so things might be changing in Bloomington.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These 2 have met 4 times since the start of the 2008 season with Ball State winning 3 of those games (4-0 ATS). The most recent meeting was in 2016 and that was an Indiana win 30-20 as a 16.5 point favorite. The Cards have covered 9 of their last 10 non-conference games. Indiana is now 0-2 ATS this year and they are 1-9-1 ATS their last 11 games dating back to last season. The Hoosiers are just 5-13 ATS the last 18 when favored by 2 TD’s or more (dating back to 1991).

    Temple at Maryland (-16) - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

    TEMPLE
    – The Owls came into the 2018 season with high hopes. Returning a number of key players and coming off a 7-6 season which included a bowl win, this team expected to contend in the AAC. They still could do that, but they are off to a slow start to say the least with an 0-2 record. Two home losses at the hands of Villanova and Buffalo were no fluke as Temple was outgained in each by a combined 226 yards. The offense has been a problem for the Owls as they are averaging just 303 YPG and have scored just 4 offensive TD’s in two games. They also have two special teams TD’s which makes their 23 PPG average a bit deceiving. Their defense has also fallen off allowing 414 YPG through their first two after giving up 380 YPG last season.

    MARYLAND – The Terps had some serious distractions entering the season with their head coach DJ Durkin suspended indefinitely shortly before the season began. The interim leader, Matt Canada, wasn’t even with the team last year throwing another potential wrench in the Terps early season plans. This team has responded unlike many thought they could or would with two easy wins to start the season. After handling Texas as a 13.5 point underdog, the Terps were in a letdown spot last week and rolled over Bowling Green on the road 45-14. Maryland trailed 14-10 at half but exploded for 35 unanswered points after halftime. After Bowling Green put up 151 yards in the first half the Terp defense was lights out in the second half allowing a grand total of 7 yards and no points. They outgained the Falcons 565 to 158 in the dominating performance. This Saturday the Terps host Temple in their first true home. They have to be careful not to look ahead to their Big Ten opener vs Minnesota the following week as the Owls will come in desperate after starting 0-2.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS –The Terps are 7-1 SU in this series which dates back to 1997. Maryland is 2-0 ATS this year covering the spread by a combined 34.5 points. Temple is 0-2 ATS this season failing to cover the spread by a combined 27.5 points. The road team in this series has covered 5 in a row. Since 2013 Maryland has been a favorite of more than 2 TD’s 7 times and they’ve covered 6 of those.

    Kent State at Penn State (-34.5) - (FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

    KENT STATE
    – The Golden Flashes come into this game with a 1-1 record which means they’ve already tallied half of the wins they had all last season (2-10 record last year). They rolled an overmatched Howard team last week by a final score of 54-14. It was the first time since 2008 they reached 50 points. However in week one KSU played Illinois on the road which gives us some perspective on this team. The Flashes lost their game at Illinois 31-24 but led 17-3 at half. The yardage was almost dead even in that game so they hung tight with a lower tier Big Ten team. Our takeaway from those two games is their offense is drastically improved. This is a team that averaged 12.8 PPG on just 275 YPG a year ago. They were held to less than 10 points in 5 of their 12 games last year! This year they’ve already scored 78 points in 2 games which is more than HALF their entire point total from 12 games last year (154). They’ve also gained nearly 1,000 yards in 2 games which is about 30% of the entire yardage they gained last year. They’ll have to continue that offensive progression this week to stay within reach of PSU.

    PENN STATE – PSU crushed in-state rival Pitt 51-6 a week ago which has some saying this team is back to top 10 caliber after struggling at home with Appalachian State a week earlier. This is a very solid team but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Last week’s win in Pittsburgh wasn’t quite as dominating as it may have seemed. The PSU offense only had 390 yards of total offense and outgained the Panthers by just 90 yards. They led just 7-6 late in the 2nd quarter when a few big plays went their way. On their final 3 drive of the half Pitt missed a FG, they were shut out on downs at the PSU 4-yard line, and then fumbled a snap on a punt leading to a short drive TD and a 14-6 halftime lead. The Panthers gained 231 of their 300 total yards by halftime but had just 6 points due to squandered opportunities. The Lions dominated the 2nd half to the tune of 37-0 including a safety and punt return for a score. The Penn State defense was great in the 2nd half as well as Pitt didn’t cross midfield until 30 seconds remaining in the game. That came with an asterisk however as it came after a PSU fumble which was returned across the 50 by the Panther defense.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These two have met 5 times with Penn State winning all 5 by an average score of 29-6. The most recent meeting was in Happy Valley in 2016 when PSU topped Kent 33-13 but failed to cover the 24 point spread. PSU is just 5-13 ATS (38%) their last 18 as a favorite of 24 or more – including 0-1 ATS this season. Kent is 2-0 ATS this year covering by a combined 41 points.

    Troy at Nebraska (-11.5) (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

    TROY
    – Troy was throttled by Boise St at home in their first game of the season losing 56-20. They were only outgained by 37 yards in that game but four turnovers did them in. Of Boise’s 56 points, 21 came directly as the result of Trojan turnovers including 2 fumbles returned for TD’s. That loss doesn’t look terrible after Boise rolled again last week beating UConn 62-7. Troy bounced back last week and ripped apart Florida Atlantic 59-7. The flipped the script in week to and rather than giving their opponent points as a result of turnovers, the Trojans scored 28 of their 59 points after four FAMU giveaways. Troy did lose their QB and top RB, however they still have high hopes for this season as they bring back 12 starters and 54 lettermen from a team that finished 11-2 last year including an upset win at LSU.

    NEBRASKA – The Huskers had to wait an extra week for new head coach Scott Frost’s debut after their original opener vs Akron was cancelled due to weather. Last week they played host to Colorado in a game that went back and forth before the Buffs pulled out 33-28 win. After CU took the 33-28 lead with just over 1:00 minute remaining, Nebraska’s back-up, walk-on QB Andrew Bunch was able to drive his team to the Buffalo 20 yard line before time ran out. Bunch was in the game because on the previous series, starting true freshman QB Adrian Martinez was taken off the field with a knee injury. Before his injury, Martinez had accounted for 304 total yards (187 passing & 117 rushing) and 3 TD’s. His injury wasn’t as serious as initially thought and as of this writing he is questionable for this game. Defensively the Huskers looked stronger allowing 395 yards (gave up 436 per game last year) and picking up 7 sacks which was HALF of what they had all of last year (14).

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The most recent two meetings between these two teams came in the 2003 and 2006 seasons. In those two games Nebraska outscored Troy by a combined score of 86-0 and outgained them 943 to 290. Since 1980 Nebraska has covered 60.5% of their games when coming off a SU & ATS loss (46-30-2 ATS). Dating back to 2001, Troy is 36-23 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points.

    Rutgers at Kansas (-2.5) - (12:00 p.m. ET)

    RUTGERS
    – After getting off to a fast start beating Texas State 35-7 in week one, the Scarlet Knights were quickly brought back down to earth last weekend in their 52-3 loss at Ohio State. They trailed 35-0 at half and 45-3 at the end of the 3rd quarter. Rutgers was outgained by nearly 450 yards and totaled only 134 total yards for the game. Looking on the positive side, they at least scored. Each of the previous two years the Knights were shutout by the Buckeyes. Starting true freshman QB Artur Sitkowski left the game with a shoulder injury after completing 6 of his 18 passes for 38 yards. There was no structural damage to Sitkowski’s shoulder and there is a chance he’ll be able to play this weekend at Kansas. If he can’t go, back up Giovanni Rescigno, who threw for just over 500 yards last year, will get the start.

    KANSAS – The Jayhawks put an end to the second longest road losing streak in college football last Saturday when the beat Central Michigan 31-7 as a 3-point underdog. They came into the game having lost 46 consecutive road games. While Kansas did outplay CMU, the score was a bit deceiving. KU only outgained the Chippewas by 80 yards and on a yards per play basis it was very close at 5.0 for Kansas to 4.7 for CMU. Kansas led just 7-0 at half but 5 CMU turnovers in the 2nd half alone led to the comfortable margin. The offense was led by freshman RB Pooka Williams as he rushed for 125 yards and 2 TD’s. Williams did not play in the Jayhawks first game which was an embarrassing home loss to FCS Nicholls State. The Jayhawks are in a rare spot here as they are favored. They have been a favorite vs an FBS team just TWICE since the start of the 2015 season and they lost both of those games outright (vs Central Michigan & Ohio).

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Since late September of the 2009 season, Kansas has been favored (vs FBS teams) just 10 times and they are 2-8 ATS in those games. The only meeting between these two game in 2015 when Rutgers (-13.5) came away with a 27-14 win at home. Rutgers is 1-10 SU their last 11 road games with their only win during that stretch coming at Illinois last year 35-24. This line is getting closer to pick-em and if Rutgers would happen to go off as a favorite it would be rare. They have been a road favorite only once in their last 20 games away from home.

    SMU at Michigan (-35.5) - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    SMU
    – The Mustangs had high hopes coming into the season as they returned 14 starters, including QB Ben Hicks, from a team that went 7-6 a year ago. They did lose their head coach Chad Morris to Arkansas but the Mustangs hired veteran head man Sonny Dykes (former head coach at Cal and La Tech). Well the hopes of a promising start have gone out the window as SMU is 0-2 getting blown out by both North Texas and TCU. They have been outscored by a combined 88 to 35 and outgained by a combined 922 to 498 in those two losses. Dykes also coached this team in their bowl game last year after Morris took off for Arkansas and the Mustangs lost that game as well 51-10 to La Tech. Not a great start for the Sonny Dykes era.

    MICHIGAN – The Wolverines bounced back from their disappointing season opener at Notre Dame with an easy 49-3 win over Western Michigan. They jumped out quickly and led 35-0 at half scoring TD’s on 5 of their first 6 offensive possessions. They ran only 53 plays (WMU ran 74) and attempted only 18 passes in their 49 point performance. After rushing for only 58 yards on 1.8 YPC vs the stout Notre Dame defense, Michigan went for 308 yards on the ground on nearly 9 YPC vs the Broncos. The defense continued to play great. After holding the Irish to just 69 second half yards a week earlier, Michigan gave up just 208 total yards on 2.8 yards per play vs the WMU offense. Not bad against a team that put up over 600 total yards the week before vs Syracuse.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – SMU has covered 6 of the last 7 times they’ve been an underdog of 3 TD’s or more. Their one ATS loss during that stretch was last week vs TCU. Since 2000, Michigan has been a favorite of 31 or more 5 times when coming off an ATS win the week before. They are 0-5 ATS in those games.

    BYU at Wisconsin (-22) - (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    BYU
    – The Cougars got off to a big start two weeks ago beating Arizona on the road 28-23 in what looked like a huge win at the time. Well Arizona went on to lose again last week at Houston 45-18 so not as big of a win as we might have once thought. Add that to the fact that BYU turned around and lost at home to Cal last week maybe the Cougs are right back where we thought they might be at the start of the season. The Bears waltzed into Provo and beat BYU 21-18 as a 2-point underdog. Cal outgained the Cougs by 100 yards in a game that was probably closer than it should have been as 7 of BYU’s 18 points came on a Cal fumble returned 36-yards for a TD. BYU’s defense has been solid in their two games but the offense has been very pedestrian averaging only 4.6 YPP in their two games combined.

    WISCONSIN – The Badgers (-35) got off to a very slow start last week and trailed New Mexico at home 7-3 at the end of the first quarter. Wisconsin only led 10-7 at half. After half they scored TD’s on 5 of their 6 possessions en route to an easy 45-14 win. RB Jonathan Taylor ran for a career high 253 yards and the Badgers outgained the Lobos 568 to 211. New Mexico took the opening drive 87 yards for a TD and then totaled just 124 yards for the rest of the game. The UW defense was bolstered by the return of starting DE Isaiahh Lowdermilk who missed the season opener due to an injury. The defense has allowed only 2 TD’s on the season and Western Kentucky & New Mexico combined to average only 4.37 YPP. The offense will be given a boost this week with the return of WR Danny Davis who was suspended for the first 2 games of the season. In our opinion Davis is Wisconsin’s most talented receiver so his return will be big for QB Hornibrook and the passing game.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – These two met in Provo last year and Wisconsin (-14) rolled to an easy 40-6 win outgaining the Cougars by 300 yards. BYU has been a dog of 21 or more only 8 times since the start of the 1980 season. They are 5-2-1 ATS in those games. The Cougars are also an impressive 43-27-1 ATS (61.5%) as a road dog since 1980.

    Miami-Ohio at Minnesota (-14) - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    MIAMI-OHIO
    – The Redhawks come to Minneapolis after losing 21-0 last week to rival Cincinnati. It was the Bearcats 13th straight win over Miami in one of the country’s oldest rivalries. That loss dropped Miami to 0-2 on the season as they lost in week one to Marshall by a final score of 35-28. The Redhawks were actually favored in both games. Despite their two losses they’ve only been outgained by 34 total yards on the season. The problem for Miami offensive has been their inability to run the ball as they’ve rushed for just 87 and 59 yards in their two games. Last week their offense only crossed midfield once the entire game.

    MINNESOTA – The Gophs picked up a big win over a solid Fresno State team last Saturday but also lost their top offensive player in the process. RB Rodney Smith, who’s started 32 career games for the Gophers, was lost for the season due to a knee injury. Smith had 154 yards rushing on 25 carries this year and has run for just under 3,000 yards in his Minnesota career. They will also most likely be without Smith’s back up Shannon Brooks who has yet to play due to an injury suffered during the winter. After scoring 79 points the previous Saturday vs Idaho, the Minnesota defense held Fresno scoreless for almost 3 full quarters in their 21-14 win. The host Gophers actually trailed 14-13 late in the fourth quarter and scored the game clinching TD with just over 3:00 minutes remaining. On their final drive of the game Fresno moved the ball to the Minnesota 4-yard line and had a first and goal with just over 1:00 remaining. Minny (2-0) clinched the win with an interception in the endzone by Antoine Winfield Jr.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Miami OH is 0-2 ATS this year and lost both games outright despite being favored in both. Favored teams that lose each of their first two games of the season outright are 15-6 ATS in game 3 when facing a non-conference foe. However they are 1-5 ATS the last 6 years the week after facing rival Cincinnati. Since the start of the 2007 season, the Gophers have been a favorite of 14 points or more 16 times. They are 5-11 ATS in those games.

    South Florida (-10) at Illinois from Chicago - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    SOUTH FLORIDA
    – USF had a cakewalk in week one vs Elon and then played host to Georgia Tech last week and picked up a 49-38 win. However, that was one of the more misleading scores from last weekend. USF was outgained 602 to 426 and had not one but TWO kickoff returns for TD’s in the game (98 yards & 97 yards). The Bulls trailed by 10 points early in the 4th quarter and scored the game’s final 3 TD’s two of those coming as a direct result of Yellow Jacket turnovers. Georgia Tech rolled over this South Florida defense for 419 yards rushing in the loss. Stopping the run looks like a concern for this defense as they allowed Elon to run for almost 200 yards in the opener. Starting QB Blake Barnett (Alabama transfer) led the Bulls with 202 yards passing and 91 yards rushing in last Saturday’s win.

    ILLINOIS – Illinois comes in with a perfect 2-0 record but they have been fairly underwhelming in doing so. Their first win came at home vs Kent State in a game the Illini trailed 17-3 at half. Illinois finally took a 31-24 lead in the 4th quarter of that game and had to hang on for dear life as Kent moved the ball to the Illini 4-yard line on their final drive of the game. That was a Kent team that was 2-10 a year ago. Last week they beat Western Illinois 34-14 but needed 3 Leatherneck turnovers and a blocked punt for a TD to pull away. The Illini only outgained WIU by 15 yards and they were actually outgained on a yards per play basis. This versus a Leatherneck team that is now 0-2 with their other loss coming to Montana State. The Illini have only outgained their first two overmatched opponents 5.9 YPP to 5.6 YPP. Illinois is also banged up heading into this game with 2 WR’s now out for the season (Dudek and Carter) and starting QB AJ Bush struggling with an injured hamstring and questionable for this game.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The Illini have played 3 games in their history at Soldier Field and lost all 3 (in 1994, 2013, and 2015). USF (-17) played host to Illinois last year and controlled the game winning 47-23 outgaining the Illini 680 to 354. Illinois is 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs teams outside the Big 10.

    Missouri (-6.5) at Purdue - (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)

    MISSOURI
    – The Tigers remember last year’s embarrassment at home vs Purdue when they were crushed 35-3 as a 7-point favorite. Now the Tigers are laying that same number this season but the game is in West Lafayette. Mizzou comes into this revenge game with a 2-0 record having rolled over their first two opponents UT Martin and Wyoming. Offensively they look like they have picked up right where they left off last season scoring 91 points in their first 2 games. This team won 6 straight games to close out last season and averaged 51 PPG during that stretch. So adding in their two games this season, the Tigers have averaged 50 PPG over their last 8 contests. They are led by NFL prospect Drew Lock at QB who already has nearly 700 passing this year, completed 74% of his passes with 8 TD’s and no interceptions.

    PURDUE – We hate to use the term must win game, especially early in the season but that is the bed this Purdue team has made for itself. After a tough loss to open the season at home vs Northwestern, the Boilers fell flat last Saturday and were upset by Eastern Michigan (+16). The 20-19 loss was excruciating for Purdue as they led 19-17 with just over 4:00 minutes remaining and missed a chip shot 38 yard FG which would have given them a 5-point lead. They then allowed EMU to go on a 72 yard drive eating up the final 4:00 minutes of clock and kick the game winning FG as time expired. It was the second straight game that Purdue lost despite outgaining their opponent. Key Boiler penalties kept that final drive alive, something the Boilermakers struggled with as well vs Northwestern. Because of that, head coach Jeff Brohm has said players who commit dumb penalties will now start losing playing time and be taken out of games as they do so.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Purdue crushed Mizzou on the road 35-3 last year as a 7-point underdog. It was no fluke as the Boilers outgained the Tigers by 275 yards! Missouri has been on quite a spread run since last October covering 9 of their last 11 games with the 9 covers coming by 142.5 combined points (15 points per game). The Tigers have only won 3 of their last 14 road games outright and they are a full TD favorite here. Purdue is 0-2 ATS losing both of their first two games outright as favorites. If this number pushes back to 7, The Boilers are just 2-11 ATS the last 13 times they’ve been a home dog of 7 or more.

    Akron at Northwestern (-21) - (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)

    AKRON
    – The Zips come into Evanston with a 1-0 record after throttling FCS Morgan State last weekend. Their season opener at Nebraska was cancelled due to weather two weeks ago. In last week’s 41-7 win over Morgan State, the Akron defense held Bears to just 80 total yards over the first 3 quarters. With some backups in the game and a 41-0 lead, the Zips did allowed 111 yards in the 4th quarter and Morgan State scored their only points with 11 seconds left in the game. Akron is experience on that side of the ball with 11 of their top 12 tacklers back from last year. The offense is a bit inexperienced but they do return dynamic QB Kato Nelson who took over as the starter for their final 5 games last year throwing for just under 1,000 yards and 8 TD’s. Akron was 7-7 last season but they were outgained by an average of 130 YPG so they probably weren’t quite as good as their record in 2017.

    NORTHWESTERN – After taking advantage of turnovers in their opening win at Purdue, the Cats played host last Saturday to Duke and had revenge on their minds. That’s because NW was crushed at Duke last year 41-17. Well this one proves that revenge doesn’t always matter. Duke rolled up another easy win beating the Wildcats 21-7 in Evanston last Saturday. The Devils did so even though they played the entire fourth quarter with starting QB Daniel Jones out with an injury. Jones is now out indefinitely with a broken collarbone. NW ran 88 offensive plays in the game to Duke’s 63. Despite running 25 more plays, the Wildcats offense was only able to muster 7 points. They did have plenty of chances to add to that number but they threw 2 interceptions and they were stopped on downs 4 times in Duke territory. Head coach Pat Fitzgerald continued to rotate QB’s Clayton Thorson and TJ Green as Thorson comes back from a major knee injury.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – The Zips are 0-6 SU and just 1-5 ATS their last 6 road openers. Northwestern played one MAC team last year (Bowling Green) and the Cats won and covered. However, previous to that game, the Cats were just 1-10 ATS their previous 11 games vs the MAC. Since 1980 Northwestern is just 8-18-1 ATS as a home favorite when coming off a SU loss.

    Ohio State (-12.5) vs. TCU from Arlington - (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

    OHIO STATE
    – To say the Buckeyes have been impressive in their first two games with head coach Urban Meyer serving his early season suspension. Meyer will miss this game as well before he is back on the sidelines at home vs Tulane. The Bucks should finally be tested this week after obliterating their first two opponents (Oregon State & Rutgers) by a combined score of 129-34. Ohio State continued their domination of Rutgers last week in their 52-3 win. With that win OSU has now beaten the Scarlet Knights each of the last 3 season by a combined score of 167-3! The offense has looked great under the direction of new QB Dwayne Haskins as he has completed almost 80% of his passes with 9 TD’s. The defense looked much better last week after allowing Oregon State to put up 31 points in the opener. They held Rutgers to a miniscule 2.1 YPP on 61 offensive snaps. They forced the Knights to punt on 9 of their 13 possessions with 2 others ending in Rutgers turnovers.

    TCU – It’s safe to say that TCU will be by far the best defense this OSU offense has seen this season. The Horned Frogs brought back 6 starters and 20 letter winners back on that side of the ball. They allowed just 19 PPG last season and have allowed 19 points in two games this season – both easy wins over Southern and SMU. They’ve also been fantastic defending the pass as their two opponents have combined for only 212 passing yards this season. However, the best offense they faced last year, Oklahoma, did light them up twice scoring 38 & 41 points so it will be interesting to see if they can hold up against the Buckeyes potent playmakers. The Frogs have had an extra day to prepare for this one after taking care of in-city rival SMU last Friday night 42-12. It was a game that TCU led just 14-12 at half before outscoring the Mustangs 28-0 after the break.

    INSIDE THE NUMBERS – Dating back to 2004, TCU is a money making 24-12-1 the last 37 times they’ve been tabbed an underdog by the oddmakers. Digging deeper, the Horned Frogs have been a double digit underdog just 20 times since the start of the 1997 season (ASA’s inaugural season) and they are 16-4 ATS (80%) in those games. Ohio State has been very solid as a double digit favorite away from home hitting 57.5% since 1980 (42-31-1 ATS).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Boston College at Wake Forest
    September 11, 2018
    By Joe Nelson


    The second ACC game of the season kicks off Thursday night as Boston College and Wake Forest meet in a battle of Atlantic Division squads that both made bowl games last season.


    Clemson is the clear favorite in the Atlantic but the rest of the division looks wide open as the opportunity to compete is there for both squads. The ACC is going to be heavily impacted by Hurricane Florence this weekend and this game has been moved up two hours.


    Here is a look at the opening game of the next college football week.


    Matchup: Boston College Eagles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
    Venue: BB&T Field in Winston-Salem, North Carolina
    Time/TV: Thursday, Sep. 13, 5:30 PM ET ESPN
    Line: Boston College -7, Over/Under 52½
    Last Meeting: 2017, Wake Forest (PK) 34, at Boston College 10

    Anthony Brown had a nice freshman season at quarterback for Boston College although he was injured late in the season and missed the final three games. His worst performance of the season wasn’t vs. Clemson or Notre Dame or any of the other formidable defenses in the ACC; it was a September contest at home vs. Wake Forest.


    In his second game Brown completed just 38 percent of his passes and had three interceptions as Wake Forest won easily in Boston. The 4-0 turnover margin was the difference as the production numbers were similar but an interception returned for a touchdown just before halftime put Wake Forest up 21-7 at the break. Boston College scored a field goal to get back within 11 in the third quarter but another interception late in the third quarter set up the Demon Deacons at the 2-yard-line and that score put the game out of reach.


    Brown had a big first game of 2018 in Boston College’s 55-21 win over Massachusetts with four touchdown passes but he played sparingly last week in the win over FCS Holy Cross as the Eagles rested starters early with a 21-0 edge in the first quarter. This year’s team has the potential to be the best Boston College offense since perhaps the Matt Ryan years with almost everyone back from last season for Steve Addazio.


    Addazio is now 33-33 at Boston College with four 7-6 campaigns and one tough season in 2015. The Eagles are poised to take a step further this season and could even contend in the Atlantic with Clemson visiting Boston in November. Tricky non-conference games at Purdue and home vs. Temple are next on the schedule and the Eagles do have a tough Coastal draw pulling both Miami and Virginia Tech however.


    For Wake Forest Dave Clawson has delivered back-to-back winning seasons after going just 6-18 in his first two seasons, taking over after building a successful program at Bowling Green. Wake Forest won eight games last season for the program’s best record since 2008 and the Demon Deacons are off to a 2-0 start this season. Wake Forest survived an overtime game at Tulane in an opening week Thursday night while besting FCS Towson 51-20 last week.


    The quarterback situation has revolved for Wake Forest after the graduation of John Wolford who was a very efficient 3,000 yard passer last season. Junior Kendall Hinton played in five games last season and was the expected starter but he was suspended for the first three games of the season. Sophomore Jamie Newman appeared to be in the mix but he was injured in August. Freshman Sam Hartman has started the first two games and has been effective with 620 passing yards, though he has three interceptions and a fumble already.


    The Wake Forest defense has offered some reason for concern as Towson posted 410 yards last week though Wake Forest was able to pull away in the second quarter thanks to a pair of punt return touchdowns from Greg Dortch. The sophomore is on pace to being one of the top receivers in the ACC this season after leading the team in receptions last year. Wake Forest allowed more than 450 yards per game in ACC play last season as this is a team that is going to need to score to pick up wins in conference play.


    Boston College allowed just 22 points per game in ACC play last season but they surrendered 386 yards per game as there was some good fortune in the lower scoring numbers. The defense has looked the part this season but as the schedule stiffens there could be challenges with a few key players from last season absent.


    The stakes are high for both teams as getting to a 3-0 start would provide a great boost towards bowl hopes. It may be a more critical game for Wake Forest who is in the midst of a five-game home stand but has games vs. Notre Dame and Clemson as a loss here would mean a 3-3 start is likely heading into a road-heavy second half of the schedule.


    Winston-Salem is significantly inland but appears to be right on the projected path of the hurricane which is expected to make landfall on Friday. Significant rain is not expected at game time Thursday evening but it will be humid and winds could be in the 20-25 MPH range as the passing and kicking games could face some impact. It is also might mean a subdued home field edge for Wake Forest in what might normally be one of the biggest home dates of the season with a national TV night game.


    Wake Forest has covered in nine of 15 meetings since 2003 but has lost S/U in the past two home meetings in 2014 and 2016. The 34 points scored by the Demon Deacons last season was the most they have scored in those 15 meetings while Boston College hasn’t topped 27 points in any of the past 10 games in this series.


    Historical Trends:


    -- Wake Forest is on a 25-14 ATS run as a home underdog since 2004, going 2-0 last season including an outright upset over Louisville.


    -- Since Clawson took over in 2014, Wake Forest is 9-4 ATS as a home underdog although just 3-4 ATS as a home underdog of fewer than 10 points.


    -- Boston College is 22-30 ATS since 1994 as a road favorite including going 7-2 S/U but 4-5 ATS under Addazio since 2013.


    -- Boston College is 1-3 ATS in that time as a road favorite vs. current ACC teams with this line being the highest ACC road favorite spread for Boston College since a 23-17 win in Winston-Salem in 2014 as a 13-point favorite.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    college football best bets aug-sept.

    Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

    09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
    08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
    08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
    08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

    total..............46-36-0.......56.09%.....+3.00



    best bets................. ats ...............units.................. o/u..................units..............days total


    09/07/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2........-11.00
    09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...................1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
    09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.................5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
    08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..................2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
    08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...................2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.................2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00

    total......................19 - 12............+29.00.................13 - 8.............+21.00............32 - 20......+50.00


    ************************************************** *


    THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    BC at WAKE 05:30 PM

    BC -6.5

    U 57.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Brown throws 5 TDs, BC beats Wake
    September 13, 2018


    WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. (AP) Anthony Brown kept beating Wake Forest's defensive backs with long throws. That helped Boston College beat the Demon Deacons - and Hurricane Florence.

    Brown threw two of his career-high five touchdown passes to Jeff Smith, and BC defeated Wake Forest 41-34 on Thursday night in a game that started two hours early with the hurricane approaching.

    ''Everybody was on point with what we were doing and everybody was in tune with what we had to execute,'' Brown said.

    Brown was 16 of 25 for a career-best 304 yards with touchdowns of 27 and 71 yards to Smith, plus TDs of 35 yards to Kobay White, 29 yards to Tom Sweeney and 40 yards to Ben Glines for the Eagles (3-0, 1-0 Atlantic Coast Conference).

    Brown sensed that Wake Forest was determined to not let AJ Dillon, the ACC's leading rusher, run wild by creeping its safeties closer to the line of scrimmage.

    ''If you don't,'' Brown said, ''he's going to run the ball.''

    He did anyway: Dillon finished with 185 yards rushing and scored a 45-yard touchdown on the third play from scrimmage.

    ''We knew we wanted to throw the ball tonight, and we knew there would be opportunities in the play-action game because the safeties would be violently coming into the box'' to counter Dillon, BC coach Steve Addazio said.

    Freshman Sam Hartman was 20 of 45 for 214 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for the Demon Deacons (2-1, 0-1). His 5-yard score to Jack Freudenthal with 1:33 left made it a seven-point game, but White recovered the ensuing onside kick.

    Matt Colburn rushed for 117 yards with a 2-yard touchdown run, Malik Grate recovered a blocked punt in the end zone for another score, and Nick Sciba kicked two field goals for Wake Forest.

    Kickoff was moved up to the early evening in an attempt to beat the oncoming, 400-mile-wide storm that was creeping toward the coast some 200 miles from Winston-Salem. While there were occasional gusts of wind blowing across the field, it was a rain-free night with the first half played in sun conditions.

    THE TAKEAWAY

    Boston College: The Eagles entered the season as a trendy potential challenger to No. 2 Clemson in the ACC's Atlantic Division. With Brown turning play-action passes into long touchdowns, BC is off to its best start since it was 8-0 in 2007 - the year the Eagles climbed to No. 2 in the AP Top 25 and made the first of two consecutive league championship games.

    ''Honestly, we started preparing for this game in the summer,'' Brown said. ''It was just a feeling of relief, to finally get to this game.''

    Wake Forest: This one will sting the Demon Deacons, who had this game circled for months as their opportunity to establish themselves as division contenders. Instead, the secondary's knack for giving up long touchdown passes - Tulane hit on two 50-plus-yard TDs in the opener - wound up costing them.

    ''Our eyes were in the wrong place,'' coach Dave Clawson said. ''It isn't getting better. It's getting worse.''

    STAR WATCH


    Dillon cracked triple figures in rushing for the seventh time in eight games dating to last season. BC improved to 8-2 in the 10 games since he took over as the starter midway through 2017.

    DOWNTOWN BROWN

    Brown surpassed his previous career bests of 279 yards passing and four touchdowns, both set two weeks ago against Massachusetts. ''That's what a big-time player should do, and he did it,'' Addazio said about Brown.

    KEY STATS

    Wake Forest entered having allowed one sack in two previous games, but Hartman was brought down four times by a BC defense that was averaging 3 1/2 sacks. ... Smith finished with six catches for a career-best 145 yards.

    HISTORY

    These schools played a 3-0 game three years ago in Boston. This was the exact opposite of that - the highest-scoring game in a series that dates to 1941. It surpassed the 65 combined points scored in 2005, a 35-30 win by BC.

    UP NEXT

    Boston College: Visits Purdue next Saturday.

    Wake Forest: Plays host to No. 8 Notre Dame next Saturday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    college football best bets aug-sept.

    Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

    09/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/08/2018
    31-37-2 45.59% -48.50
    09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
    08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
    08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
    08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

    total..............78-74-0.......51.31%.....-17.00



    best bets................. ats ...............units.................. o/u..................units..............days total

    09/13/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00....................0 - 1 ..............-5.50...............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/08/2018............13 - 14...........-12.00..................12 - 5.............+32.50............25 - 19......+20.50
    09/07/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2........-11.00
    09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...................1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
    09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.................5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
    08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..................2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
    08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...................2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.................2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00

    total.....................33 - 26............+22.00.................25 - 14...........+48.00..........58 - 40......+70.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    College Football Picks: No. 17 Boise State gets a big chance
    September 12, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    The ceiling for teams outside the Power Five in the College Football Playoff race seems to be set pretty low - as any Central Florida fan will be quick to point out.

    Maybe Boise State can bust through it this year. To do so, Saturday's game at No. 24 Oklahoma State will be crucial for the 17th-ranked Broncos.

    Boise State's trip to Stillwater is one of three games matching ranked teams in week three of the season, along with No. 4 Ohio State against No. 15 TCU in Arlington, Texas, and No. 7 Auburn hosting No. 12 LSU.

    The Broncos have mashed their first two opponents (118-27), a good start for the preseason favorite in the Mountain West. Quarterback Brett Rypien might be leading the best Broncos team since coach Chris Petersen's BCS busters.

    Could the Broncos, or any team outside the Power Five, make a serious run at a playoff spot? Well, UCF went undefeated last season but never did better than 12th in the selection committee rankings, much to the chagrin of Knights athletic director Danny White and American Athletic Conference Commissioner Mike Aresco.

    The Broncos might have a better chance, though much is dependent on beating Oklahoma State - and the Cowboys then playing well the rest of the season.

    The weather is doing UCF no favors. The Knights' game at North Carolina this weekend was canceled in anticipation of Hurricane Florence. Last year, UCF had a game against Georgia Tech washed away. Though considering how poorly North Carolina has played so far, UCF's strength of schedule might be better off without the Tar Heels.

    The picks:

    No. 1 Alabama (minus 21) at Mississippi

    The Ole Miss receivers, including preseason All-America A.J. Brown, will test the Tide's inexperienced secondary - but `Bama might score 70 ... ALABAMA 42-24.

    Georgia Southern (plus 33) at No. 2 Clemson

    Tigers tune up for Georgia Tech's triple-option next week with Georgia Southern's ... CLEMSON 49-14.

    Middle Tennessee (plus 33) at No. 3 Georgia

    Bulldogs have scored at least 40 in both games this season. The last time they reached 40 the first three games was in 2011, when they did it in five straight .... GEORGIA 52-14.

    No. 4 Ohio State (minus 12+) vs. No. 15 TCU at Arlington, Texas

    Can the Horned Frogs' fast, but not particularly stout, defense stop the Buckeyes combo of J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber? ... OHIO STATE 35-17.

    No. 5 Oklahoma (minus 17) at Iowa State

    Last time the Cyclones won two straight against the Sooners was 1961 ... OKLAHOMA 38-14.

    BYU (plus 21) at No. 6 Wisconsin

    Cougars are averaging 4.68 yards per play (113th in the country) and the Badgers (allowing 4.37 ypp) are no team to figure out problems against ... WISCONSIN 38-14.

    No. 12 LSU (plus 9+) at No. 7 Auburn

    From 2004-06, the average score in this series was Auburn 12, LSU 10. Feels like one of those ... AUBURN 15-9.

    Vanderbilt (plus 14+) at No. 8 Notre Dame

    Irish will need some offense this week to match experienced Vandy QB Kyle Shurmur ... NOTRE DAME 28-23.

    No. 10 Washington (minus 6) at Utah

    Utes couldn't generate much offense against Northern Illinois last week; these Huskies will be even tougher ... WASHINGTON 24-16.

    Kent State (plus 34) at No. 11 Penn State

    Flashes are led by QB Woody Barrett, a former four-star recruit who transferred from Auburn ... PENN STATE 49-14.

    Louisiana-Lafayette (plus 32+) at No. 16 Mississippi State

    Bulldogs RB Kylin Hill is averaging 10.04 yards per carry and looking a little Saquon Barkley-esque for coach Joe Moorhead, the former Penn State offensive coordinator ... MISSISSIPPI STATE 45-10.

    No. 17 Boise State (plus 2+) at No. 24 Oklahoma State

    Wrong team is favored ... BOISE STATE 28-21, BEST BET.

    SMU (plus 35) at No. 19 Michigan

    Another chance for the Wolverines to get some offensive rhythm before Big Ten play ... MICHIGAN 51-14.

    San Jose State (plus 41+) at No. 20 Oregon

    If the first three opponents (Bowling Green, Portland State, San Jose State) combined their rosters, they'd probably still lose to Oregon by four touchdowns ... OREGON 56-13.

    No. 21 Miami (minus 10) at Toledo

    Rockets offense made the Hurricanes work in South Florida last season ... MIAMI 34-21.

    No. 22 Southern California (plus 3+) at Texas

    Feels like one of those Legends of Rock concerts where the bands are famous, but way past their prime ... TEXAS 24-23.

    No. 23 Arizona State (minus 4+) at San Diego State

    Who had Herm Edwards as the best new hire in the Pac-12 South with Chip Kelly and Kevin Sumlin? Liar ... ARIZONA STATE 21-14.

    ----

    TWITTER REQUESTS

    Boston College (minus 6) at Wake Forest, Thursday - (at)chrisstephenesq

    With Florida State struggling, second best in the ACC Atlantic - behind Clemson - is up for grabs ... BOSTON COLLEGE 28-24.

    Rutgers (plus 3) at Kansas - (at)BrandonOCook

    Jayhawks looking for first two-game winning streak since 2011 ... RUTGERS 20-17.

    Missouri (minus 7) at Purdue - (at)SportsFanatic62

    Boilermakers have buried themselves with turnovers (minus-4) and penalties (90 yards per game) in 0-2 start ... PURDUE 31-28, UPSET SPECIAL.

    Duke (plus 6+) at Baylor - (at)osogrisdemars

    Blue Devils lost starting QB Daniel Jones and star CB Mark Gilbert to injuries; Bears looking for 3-0 start ... BAYLOR 28-23.

    Houston (minus 1) at Texas Tech - (at)novig69

    Cougars will try to add a victory against the Big 12 to the one against the Pac-12 they got last week ... TEXAS TECH 35-31.

    ---

    Last week: 17-2 straight; 11-8 against the spread.

    Season: 33-7 straight; 23-16-1 against the spread.

    Upset specials: 2-0 (straight up).

    Best bets: 2-0 (against the spread).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    College Football Picks: No. 17 Boise State gets a big chance
    September 12, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    The ceiling for teams outside the Power Five in the College Football Playoff race seems to be set pretty low - as any Central Florida fan will be quick to point out.

    Maybe Boise State can bust through it this year. To do so, Saturday's game at No. 24 Oklahoma State will be crucial for the 17th-ranked Broncos.

    Boise State's trip to Stillwater is one of three games matching ranked teams in week three of the season, along with No. 4 Ohio State against No. 15 TCU in Arlington, Texas, and No. 7 Auburn hosting No. 12 LSU.

    The Broncos have mashed their first two opponents (118-27), a good start for the preseason favorite in the Mountain West. Quarterback Brett Rypien might be leading the best Broncos team since coach Chris Petersen's BCS busters.

    Could the Broncos, or any team outside the Power Five, make a serious run at a playoff spot? Well, UCF went undefeated last season but never did better than 12th in the selection committee rankings, much to the chagrin of Knights athletic director Danny White and American Athletic Conference Commissioner Mike Aresco.

    The Broncos might have a better chance, though much is dependent on beating Oklahoma State - and the Cowboys then playing well the rest of the season.

    The weather is doing UCF no favors. The Knights' game at North Carolina this weekend was canceled in anticipation of Hurricane Florence. Last year, UCF had a game against Georgia Tech washed away. Though considering how poorly North Carolina has played so far, UCF's strength of schedule might be better off without the Tar Heels.

    The picks:

    No. 1 Alabama (minus 21) at Mississippi

    The Ole Miss receivers, including preseason All-America A.J. Brown, will test the Tide's inexperienced secondary - but `Bama might score 70 ... ALABAMA 42-24.

    Georgia Southern (plus 33) at No. 2 Clemson

    Tigers tune up for Georgia Tech's triple-option next week with Georgia Southern's ... CLEMSON 49-14.

    Middle Tennessee (plus 33) at No. 3 Georgia

    Bulldogs have scored at least 40 in both games this season. The last time they reached 40 the first three games was in 2011, when they did it in five straight .... GEORGIA 52-14.

    No. 4 Ohio State (minus 12+) vs. No. 15 TCU at Arlington, Texas

    Can the Horned Frogs' fast, but not particularly stout, defense stop the Buckeyes combo of J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber? ... OHIO STATE 35-17.

    No. 5 Oklahoma (minus 17) at Iowa State

    Last time the Cyclones won two straight against the Sooners was 1961 ... OKLAHOMA 38-14.

    BYU (plus 21) at No. 6 Wisconsin

    Cougars are averaging 4.68 yards per play (113th in the country) and the Badgers (allowing 4.37 ypp) are no team to figure out problems against ... WISCONSIN 38-14.

    No. 12 LSU (plus 9+) at No. 7 Auburn

    From 2004-06, the average score in this series was Auburn 12, LSU 10. Feels like one of those ... AUBURN 15-9.

    Vanderbilt (plus 14+) at No. 8 Notre Dame

    Irish will need some offense this week to match experienced Vandy QB Kyle Shurmur ... NOTRE DAME 28-23.

    No. 10 Washington (minus 6) at Utah

    Utes couldn't generate much offense against Northern Illinois last week; these Huskies will be even tougher ... WASHINGTON 24-16.

    Kent State (plus 34) at No. 11 Penn State

    Flashes are led by QB Woody Barrett, a former four-star recruit who transferred from Auburn ... PENN STATE 49-14.

    Louisiana-Lafayette (plus 32+) at No. 16 Mississippi State

    Bulldogs RB Kylin Hill is averaging 10.04 yards per carry and looking a little Saquon Barkley-esque for coach Joe Moorhead, the former Penn State offensive coordinator ... MISSISSIPPI STATE 45-10.

    No. 17 Boise State (plus 2+) at No. 24 Oklahoma State

    Wrong team is favored ... BOISE STATE 28-21, BEST BET.

    SMU (plus 35) at No. 19 Michigan

    Another chance for the Wolverines to get some offensive rhythm before Big Ten play ... MICHIGAN 51-14.

    San Jose State (plus 41+) at No. 20 Oregon

    If the first three opponents (Bowling Green, Portland State, San Jose State) combined their rosters, they'd probably still lose to Oregon by four touchdowns ... OREGON 56-13.

    No. 21 Miami (minus 10) at Toledo

    Rockets offense made the Hurricanes work in South Florida last season ... MIAMI 34-21.

    No. 22 Southern California (plus 3+) at Texas

    Feels like one of those Legends of Rock concerts where the bands are famous, but way past their prime ... TEXAS 24-23.

    No. 23 Arizona State (minus 4+) at San Diego State

    Who had Herm Edwards as the best new hire in the Pac-12 South with Chip Kelly and Kevin Sumlin? Liar ... ARIZONA STATE 21-14.

    ----

    TWITTER REQUESTS

    Boston College (minus 6) at Wake Forest, Thursday - (at)chrisstephenesq

    With Florida State struggling, second best in the ACC Atlantic - behind Clemson - is up for grabs ... BOSTON COLLEGE 28-24.

    Rutgers (plus 3) at Kansas - (at)BrandonOCook

    Jayhawks looking for first two-game winning streak since 2011 ... RUTGERS 20-17.

    Missouri (minus 7) at Purdue - (at)SportsFanatic62

    Boilermakers have buried themselves with turnovers (minus-4) and penalties (90 yards per game) in 0-2 start ... PURDUE 31-28, UPSET SPECIAL.

    Duke (plus 6+) at Baylor - (at)osogrisdemars

    Blue Devils lost starting QB Daniel Jones and star CB Mark Gilbert to injuries; Bears looking for 3-0 start ... BAYLOR 28-23.

    Houston (minus 1) at Texas Tech - (at)novig69

    Cougars will try to add a victory against the Big 12 to the one against the Pac-12 they got last week ... TEXAS TECH 35-31.

    ---

    Last week: 17-2 straight; 11-8 against the spread.

    Season: 33-7 straight; 23-16-1 against the spread.

    Upset specials: 2-0 (straight up).

    Best bets: 2-0 (against the spread).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    College Essentials - Week 3
    September 14, 2018
    By Tony Mejia


    Week 2 had a few fun football games that came down to the wire but lacked anything that dramatically altered the national picture. Georgia trounced South Carolina to prove it belongs with the national elite despite losing four of the first 35 picks in this past NFL draft, while USC snuffed out young Stanford.

    In the most interesting result, Texas A&M pushed Clemson to the brink of an upset, coming up a two-point conversion short of forcing a title contender into OT

    College football is very much about survival on the road, but the Tigers were a 12.5-point favorite and are supposed to be sounder on defense than they looked. Surprises are coming. There hasn't been a blockbuster yet. Will we get one this week?

    There are a number of worthy candidates on the list below that could be knocked off, shaking up the college football world. You may not believe there will be any outright upsets, but read the following and see if you at least think it's worth it to take the points in a few of these:

    Saturday

    Ohio State vs. TCU, 8 p.m. ET, ABC:
    Horned Frogs QB Shawn Robinson missed a ton of throws against SMU but did manage to create plays with his speed and elusiveness. KeVontae Turpin scored on a punt return and a touchdown catch against but needs to touch the ball more since he’s one of the Big 12’s most impressive athletes. With Robinson playing through expected growing pains, Gary Patterson will need Turpin to make life easier for his quarterback in Arlington this weekend since TCU doesn’t have the volume of playmakers that the Buckeyes bring to the table.

    Urban Meyer remains suspended, serving the final game of a penalty the Buckeyes put in place after a lengthy review of a situation that could've ended far worse for him. Interim head coach Ryan Day faces his biggest challenge before handing the team back over. Having outscored his first two overmatched foes by a count of 129-34, it would be interesting to see what happens if some game pressure enters the equation for the first time since the first two games without Meyer were over by halftime. Dwayne Haskins will also be facing the fiercest defense he’s seen since taking over for J.T. Barrett, so we’ll see how he handles increased pressure. His ability to pass the ball accurately down the field has played a huge role in how explosive the Buckeyes have been and should be the x-factor here since TCU is likely to key on stopping the run.

    LSU at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: After an impressive debut against Miami, LSU’s Tigers coasted past FCS middleweight Southeastern Louisiana, posting an easy shutout. Auburn destroyed lightweight Alabama State 63-9, so both traditional SEC West powers enter this one confidently. After having plenty of support at AT&T Stadium against the Hurricanes and playing in Baton Rouge last week, QB Joe Burrow will face his first road atmosphere and will likely have to be more than a game manager to produce an upset since they may be a double-digit underdog by kickoff. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham could really enhance his growing reputation as a potential Top-10 pick against a defense fueled by first-round locks in LB Devin White and corner Greedy Williams.

    Boise State at Oklahoma State, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Broncos are averaging 59 points per game through their first two wins and were up 41-0 at the break last week against UConn, allowing them to apply the brakes and cruise home. They outgained the Huskies 514-78 in the first half en route to a record-setting 818 yards of offense. Receiver John Hightower, a highly-regarded JUCO transfer who doubled as a track standout, scored on a 67-yard pass and on a 55-yard run, taking an end-around to the house. Top returning WR A.J. Richardson opened the second half by taking a screen pass 74 yards. UConn is a disaster and Troy looked overwhelmed so we’ll get a better indication of what to make of the Boise offense in Stillwater since the Oklahoma State defense looks formidable.

    The Cowboys are transitioning from losing Mason Rudolph and top receiver James Washington to the Steelers and saw top receivers Tylan Wallace and Tryon Johnson help new QB Taylor Cornelius throw for 428 yards against South Alabama last week. Johnson, an LSU transfer, averaged 27.4 yards per catch, while Wallace hauled in 100 balls. Top RB Justice Hill scored twice despite getting only nine carries as Mike Gundy spread out the touches for his running backs but should be the x-factor here since the increased level of competition likely guarantees a heavier workload. Boise comes in healthy after its two blowouts with corner Avery Williams expected to play through an elbow injury.

    USC at Texas, 8 p.m. ET, FOX: The Trojans showed some fight in that they never collectively hung their heads but their first road trip of the season produced the program’s first touchdown-less game since a 52-6 loss to Alabama in ’16. Stanford cruised 17-3 as freshman QB J.T. Daniels struggled and didn’t hook up with top target Amon-Ra St. Brown until the fourth. Tyler Vaughns caught seven balls from Daniels, who was picked off twice and completed 47 percent of his passes. The Cardinal whipped their Pac-12 rivals up front, surrendering 3.1 yards per carry while harassing Daniels all night. Meanwhile, Tom Herman is still talking up his group and reassuring a nervous fan base that couldn’t have been thrilled with a one-score game in the home opener against a Group of Five opponent. Although the Longhorns led 21-0 at the break, Tulsa moved the ball well and sabotaged itself with drops and missed field goals. QB Sam Ehlinger was efficient despite a costly fumble and accounted for three of the four touchdowns while true freshman Keaontay Ingram found the end zone and is showing why he was regarded the top prep running back in the Lone Star State last year. Ingram did suffer a knee injury that has been diagnosed as a bone bruise, likely making him unavailable for Saturday’s showdown with USC. Ehlinger doing his best work in the fourth quarter and Cal transfer Tre Watson helping close things out were positives for a Texas team that still appears to be overrated and fragile.

    Oklahoma at Iowa State, 12 p.m. ET, ABC: In last week’s rout of UCLA, the Sooners got 306 passing yards from QB Kyler Murray, who also gained 69 on the ground and accounted for five touchdowns. Unfortunately, standout RB Rodney Anderson left with a knee injury that will end his season, so TJ Pledger got some work in alongside Trey Sermon to identify the primary back going forward. The Sooners should still be formidable and remain the Big 12 favorite, but the conference opener against Iowa State got more complicated since the Cyclones bring the best defense OU has seen to date to the table for its first road test. After getting shut down by Iowa, ISU has to be concerned that it doesn’t have enough offense to hang with a high-octane Oklahoma attack, so it will need top RB David Montgomery to fare much better this week to help control possession.

    Vanderbilt at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC: The Commodores went up and down the field against Nevada on Saturday but ended up scoreless in the first quarter due to a fumble and put another ball on the ground late in the half. They didn’t take control until the second half but QB Kyle Shurmur and leading returning receiver Kalija Lipscomb continued to show off great chemistry as the receiver set career-bests for catches (10) and TDs (2). Illinois transfer RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn racked up 93 yards and two scores on just 11 carries, strengthening his hold on the primary role ahead of returnees Khari Blasingame and Jamauri Wakefield but the ‘Dores are going to need them all to produce to pull off a road upset in South Bend. The Fighting Irish are 27-16 vs. SEC foes and have won both career matchups against Vandy.

    Although Vanderbilt has had losing records in every one of Derek Mason's first four seasons, he's looking to start 3-0 for the second straight year and has a team that has played against plenty of quality teams in a number of difficult venues. Notre Dame Stadium shouldn't be too daunting. The 'Dores have struggled away from Nashville though, coming in 5-16 on the road under James Franklin's successor. Safety Zaire Jones will return from suspension to try and aid the Vandy cause, whlle the Irish must toil withouts suspended RB Dexter Williams, who won't return until October. In order to produce an upset, Vandy needs to continue its run of forcing timely turnovers.

    Washington at Utah, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN: Wind gusts are expected to play a significant role here, which could bode well for the host Utes since they utilize a spread option run by Tyler Huntley that’s more reliant on the run than the Huskies are. That means Jake Browning-led Washington would be more impacted if the weather does limit how effective the passing game can be on Saturday. The Utes will have top running back Zack Moss in the mix despite an ankle tweak suffered in the fourth quarter of a 17-6 win over Northern Illinois. He got just 16 carries and will certainly get more so long as his wheel holds up since head coach Kyle Whittingham made it a point to say “he’s a weapon that we need to utilize a little bit more. That is on us coaches.”

    The Huskies have their own brilliant back in Myles Gaskin, who has rushed for over 1,300 yards in each of his first three seasons and is now well over 4,000 career rushing yards. They’ve won 10 of 11 meetings against Utah, losing only in 2015 in Seattle, although the last two games have both been one-possession affairs. The Utes blew last year’s game with bad decisions down the stretch, surrendering 10 points in the final two-plus minutes in losing 33-30 on a last-second field goal. They’re the healthier team here since Washington lost left tackle Trey Adams to a back injury just before the season started and haven’t officially divulged whether center Nick Harris will return from an injury-related absence. Linebacker DJ Beavers (foot) is also banged up. Utah leads the country in total defense (143.5 ypg), pass defense (62.0 ypg) and yards per played allowed (2.22) while ranking second in pass efficiency defense (57.12)

    Alabama at Ole Miss, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Rebels have a better receiving corps that the Louisville team Alabama saw in Orlando and have 61.5 points per game, though the defense has contributed to a few of those scores. Most of the damage has been done by QB Jordan Ta’amu taking advantage of overwhelmed defensive backs via AJ Brown, DK Metcalf and DaMarkus Lodge, one of the top receiving trios in the country. Scouts are drooling at the prospect of watching them duel with the likes of Savion Smith, Trevon Diggs and special-looking freshman Patrick Surtain, Jr. and should get plenty of opportunities since the Rebs aren’t likely to be able to run the ball effectively and will likely be behind.

    Although we may see Jalen Hurts, there’s no longer a QB controversy in Tusclaoosa. Tua Tagovailoa has been tremendous thus far, throwing six touchdowns and averaging 22.2 yards per completion and will presumably get most if not all or the stops with Nick Saban calling this matchup the biggest challenge the Tide has faced thus far. Last year’s game featured current Michigan QB Shea Patterson working with a very young offense that couldn’t execute in a 66-3 loss that produced the most points scored in the Saban era and the largest margin of victory for the Tide since 1979. Ole Miss had won two of three meetings prior to last season, so it was no surprise that ‘Bama took no prisoners in Tuscaloosa. It out-gained Ole Miss 613-253. The Crimson Tide come in relatively healthy, while Ole Miss will get guys like LB Kevontae' Ruggs and WR Lodge back. Unfortunately, safely Jaylon Jones is out and will definitely be missed. There's been talk of rain in the forecast, but the latest look calls for storms to stay away and stifling heat ot prevail.

    Arizona State at San Diego State, 10:30 p.m. ET, CBSC: The Aztecs fell in the season opener against Stanford and then actually trailed Sacramento State last weekend before turning things around in the fourth. They had scored just 24 points through the first seven quarters and now lose senior QB Christian Chapman for 3-to-6 weeks after he sprained an MCL in the second quarter on Saturday. His run of 31 consecutive starts will end as junior backup Ryan Agnew takes over despite throwing a pair of interceptions in Chapman’s place last week. Agnew has yet to throw his first touchdown pass but is a known commodity to Arizona State defensive coordinator Danny Gonzales since he served in the same capacity at SDSU last season and was the safeties coach under Rocky Long since he took over in 2011.

    Gonzales’ expertise with the Aztecs’ complicated 3-3-5 should help Arizona State’s offensive preparation but it will be interesting to see how Rocky Long’s team deals with their own defense considering they know what can be exploited most consistently. This will be a chess match that would certainly favor San Diego State at home if it wasn’t for it starting a backup quarterback. RB Juwan Washington was forced to carry 36 times just to survive the upset bid last week and will again be the primary weapon in his third game as a starter following in the footsteps of SDSU legends Donnell Pumphrey and Rashaad Penny. He’ll be facing a stingy ASU defense that will have everyone in the mix but safety Dasmond Tautalatasi, whose interception in the end zone before injuring his elbow provided a huge lift in the upset of Michigan State. Evan Fields (hamstring) returns this week and will team with redshirt senior Jalen Harvey at the Tillman safety spot named after late Sun Devils star Pat. Star receiver N’Keal Harry will be a huge problem for San Diego State’s secondary and could cause problems the way Stanford’s JJ Arcega-Whiteside managed to in the season opener. Arizona State has won just two of 10 road openers and will need senior starter Manny Wilkins to hook up with Harry to consistently move the ball.

    Houston at Texas Tech, 4:15 p.m. ET, FOX: The Cougars don’t play AAC favorite UCF unless they square off in the conference championship, so this looks to be the biggest game they can count on playing since last week’s win over Arizona no longer looks as impressive as they probably thought it would before the season began. Defeating the Red Raiders may also lack shine since they’ve already dropped a game to Ole Miss and don’t figure to compete for a Big 12 title, but this will be the final Power 5 Houston can prey upon until a bowl game. Texas Tech may be down to its backup quarterback, true freshman Alan Bowman, if junior McLane Carter, the team’s most experienced option, can’t shake a high ankle sprain. Next week’s conference opener at Oklahoma State is certainly more important and West Virginia comes into Lubbock to end September, so Kliff Kingsbury could err on the side of cushion and ride with Bowman, who has thrown for 555 yards and two scores without being intercepted but has done the bulk of that work against Lamar.

    Whoever starts for the Red Raiders will be dealing with All-American DT Ed Oliver and a defense that has clamped down enough to give up three or fewer points in half of their quarters this season. Texas Tech has won seven of eight in the series but will have to slow down a Houston offense that has scored 45 points in each of their wins with QB D’Eriq King accounting for 10 touchdowns. Tech may also be down its top two options at running back since senior Tre King and sophomore Da’Leon Ward have been limited and will be game-time decisions. The Red Raiders posted their first shutout in a dozen years in a 77-0 rout of Lamar, forcing four turnovers. The offense had three touchdowns called back due to penalties and the team was flagged 14 times despite being overwhelmingly dominant, so they’ve exhibited traits of a young football team learning on the job. Lightning fast freshmen Tazhawn Henry and KeSean Johnson have Houston ties and may factor in heavily against their hometown school. This should be a fun one.

    Others to watch: Florida State at Syracuse, Duke at Baylor, BYU at Wisconsin, Missouri at Purdue, Miami, FL at Toledo, Fresno State at UCLA, Middle Tennessee at Georgia, Georgia Tech at Pitt
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    GSU at MEM 07:00 PM

    MEM -28.5

    O 63.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    White tosses 5 TDs, Memphis pounds GSU
    September 14, 2018


    MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) Brady White threw for 269 yards and five touchdowns, Darrell Henderson had a career-high 233 yards rushing and two scores, and Memphis beat Georgia State 59-22 on Friday night.

    Memphis (2-1) had a successful fake punt on its first possession, leading the first of five straight touchdown-scoring drives. White threw four touchdown passes in the first half as Memphis led 38-10. Damonte Coxie scored twice for his first multi-touchdown game.

    Henderson scored from 54 and 61 yards, becoming the second Tiger to rush for 200-plus yards in back-to-back games. He had 212 yards and three touchdowns in Memphis' 22-21 loss to Navy last week.

    Kenny Gainwell scored his first touchdown for Memphis on a 72-yard run in the fourth quarter.

    Dan Ellington threw for 107 yards and was intercepted once for Georgia State (1-2).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    college football best bets aug-sept.

    Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

    09/14/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/08/2018 31-37-2 45.59% -48.50
    09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
    08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
    08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
    08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

    total..............80-74-0.......51.94%.....-7.00



    best bets................. ats ...............units.................. o/u..................units..............days total

    09/14/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............2 - 0.........+10.00
    09/13/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00....................0 - 1 ..............-5.50...............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/08/2018............13 - 14...........-12.00..................12 - 5.............+32.50............25 - 19......+20.50
    09/07/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2........-11.00
    09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...................1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
    09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.................5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
    08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..................2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
    08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...................2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.................2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00

    total.....................34 - 26............+27.00.................26 - 14...........+53.00..........60 - 40......+80.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    The Triple Option: College football Week 3 picks, predictions
    Andrew Caley

    It’s the first full week of back to school for the little guy in my household and that means a lot of lessons to be learned and re-learned. And not just for him, but for his mom and I as well.

    Whether that means getting his own cereal in the morning, dreading that he has to do homework before turning on the PS4 in the afternoon, or the fact he's back on a strict deadline. It all amounts to a lot of change. Some things are bigger battles than others (thank you very much Nanny and Grampy for getting him a tablet...). But you have to learn your lessons and pick your battles. And the same can be said about early-season college football betting.

    We're coming off our first (and hopefully last) losing week of the season. But last week we got away from the keys to success early in a college football season. With so much change, we need to learn our lesson and stick to things we know.

    That being said, the Tigers should learn a lesson from last year’s mistakes against the Tigers!

    Ah, never change college football. The Auburn Tigers will have revenge on their minds when they host the Tigers of LSU this Saturday afternoon. Auburn was upset 27-23 by LSU as a 6.5-point road fave in Death Valley last season and, as usual, this matchup will once again go a long way to determining the SEC West champions.

    Both Tigers have gotten off to similar starts, winning a game versus a ranked opponent on a neutral site in their opener, before beating up on a cupcake last week (but both failed to cover). Also, as per usual, they both tout elite defenses and boast talented runners. But the similarities stop at the game’s most important position as the Tigers (Auburn) have a decided edge.

    Auburn junior quarterback Jarrett Stidham has the talent and experience to lead the Tigers far this season and that showed up in their win over Washington, completing 72.2 percent of his passes for 273 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions against a Huskies defense that's no joke.

    Things haven’t gone as well for Ohio State transfer, Joe Burrow. The junior signal caller is hitting on just 47.7 percent of his throws, but that isn’t even Burrow’s biggest problem. That would be his offensive line. The LSU o-line has problems keeping Burrow upright, allowing constant pressure resulting in four sacks this season.

    Auburn will eventually wear down LSU in the trenches and extend the lead late. War Eagle is also eager to prove its worth as CFP contender after beating both teams that played for the national championship last season.

    Pick: Auburn -9.5

    Boise State Broncos at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3, 64.5)

    One lesson I learned from betting the early workings of the college football schedule is wager on what you know. Take the known commodity over the unknown.

    The known commodity in this case is the Boise State Broncos. While the Broncos have been everyone’s favorite non-Power 5 team to root for when it comes to upsetting the BCS apple cart, they actually haven’t been to a New Year’s Six bowl game since 2014. But that could change this season and it all starts with their matchup against the Cowboys.

    This Broncos team has a powerful and balanced offense led by quarterback Brett Rypien. The senior gunslinger has been outstanding to start the year, chucking the ball around for 667 yards with seven touchdowns and no interceptions, while completing 73.2 percent of his passes. Boise State also boasts a stout defense which should make life tough for a Cowboys team in transition.

    Oklahoma State is off to a good start, but it has yet to face a team like the Broncos. And with former stars Mason Rudolph and James Washington moving on to the NFL, there's lots of inexperience at the quarterback and skills positions. And while the defense has strong numbers (against Missouri State and Southern Alabama) this is still a unit that ranked 120th in passing yards allowed last season.

    Ultimately, this game means more to Boise State’s season than it does to the Pokes and the Broncos' experience will pay off here as they try to march to another undefeated season.

    Pick: Boise State +3

    Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Mississippi State Bulldogs (-32.5, 64.5)

    Another lesson I learned when I first started betting college football was that when it comes to big spreads, especially early in the season, look for teams that run the ball and do it often. No matter what the score. And that’s exactly what the Mississippi State Bulldogs do.

    The Bulldogs went into Bill Snyder Family Stadium as slight 6.5-point favorites and in a game in which many pundits liked Kansas State to pull off the upset, and MSU rammed the ball down the Wildcats' throats.

    Nick Fitzgerald looked a little rusty throwing the football in his season debut, but boy did he ever make up for it on the ground. Fitzgerald rumbled for 159 yards on 19 carries while running back Kylin Hill went for 211 on just 17 carries and is carrying the rock at a clip of 10 yards per attempt this season.

    The Bulldogs duo faces a Ragin’ Cajun defense that was one of the worst in the nation last season, especially against the rush, and allowed Grambling State to rack up 147 rushing yards in their opener last week.

    Expect the Bulldogs to give Fitzgerald plenty of work before they open SEC play next week. Additionally, they’ve proven they can cover big numbers already when they cashed as 47.5-point favorites over Stephen F. Austin in their opener. They do it again Saturday.

    Pick: Mississippi State -32.5

    Last week: 1-2
    Season to date: 3-3
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Week 3's college football odds and analysis

    Week 3 of the college football season is here and with some huge matchups on the board we're delivering need-to-know notes for cracking the NCAAF odds. Will Texas Tech have their starting quarterback for the big battle against Houston? Stanford will be without Bryce Love and are we primed for a fast start when Boise State visit Oklahoma State? All that and more in this week's best college football odds and analysis.

    BIG MOVES

    Hurricane Florence has made a mess of the Southeastern Seaboard – but a handful of teams have made arrangements that will allow some of this week's games to be played with minimal disruption. One of the most notable moves comes courtesy the Virginia Cavaliers, who have relocated Saturday's showdown against the Ohio Bobcats to Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Both teams will be looking to bounce back from subpar efforts, with the Cavaliers having dropped a 20-16 decision to Indiana last week and Ohio squeaking past Howard 38-32 despite going in as a 30.5-point favorite.

    The line hasn't budged much, with Virginia going in as a 5.5-point fave. But with oddsmakers initially expecting inclement weather to play a role, the move to Vanderbilt has sent the number soaring from a low of 40.5 in some spots to 54 as of Saturday morning. Ohio is 3-9-1 O/U in its last 13 neutral site games, while Virginia is 4-0 O/U in its previous four played in a neutral location.

    LAST-MINUTE DECISION

    The Texas Tech Red Raiders still haven't named a starting quarterback for Saturday's marquee matchup with visiting Houston – but bettors are banking on McClane Carter sitting out the game. Carter is nursing an ankle injury suffered in the Red Raiders' season opener, and all Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury has said is that he's "hopeful" his No. 1 QB will return this weekend. True freshman Alan Bowman will get the start if Carter can't go; he was nearly flawless against Lamar, going 22-for-25 for 282 yards and two scores as the sixth true frosh to start at QB in Red Raiders history.

    This line opened at Texas Tech -3, but the Red Raiders are now as low as +2 against a Houston offense that has produced 90 points through the first two games. The Cougars haven't allowed more than 27 points in six straight games, and the absence of Carter would undoubtedly make it even more difficult for Texas Tech to reach its team total of 34.5.

    NOT HALF BAD

    Two of the top first-half teams in the nation square off this weekend at Boone Pickens Stadium as Oklahoma State hosts Boise State in a battle of nationally ranked teams. The Broncos rank second in the nation in first-half points per game vs. FBS foes, having averaged 38 through their first two contests. But they'll meet their match in the Cowboys, who produced 31 first-half points in each of their first two games of the season, both one-sided victories. Oklahoma State is no stranger to fast starts, having averaged 24.8 first-half points in 2017. Meanwhile, this is foreign territory for Boise State, which averaged just 17.1 first-half points last season.

    You probably know where this is going: The first-half total for this one is 34 (O -115/U -105), and with both teams expected to push the tempo from the outset, there's a decent chance they'll blow past that number by the break.

    BETTER LATE THAN NEVER

    On the other side of the coin, there are few teams who have been stronger in the second half than the Illinois Illini, who face a major challenge Saturday against South Florida at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Illini have overcome slow starts in each of their first two games, scoring 48 of their 65 points after the break; that could bode well for the hosts against a Bulls team that has surrendered 35 of its 52 points against in the second half. Both teams have opened the season 2-0, though South Florida comes in as a solid favorite after putting up an impressive 83 points through its first two games.

    Bettors aren't exactly enthralled with the Illini's second-half exploits; they opened as high as +8 in some spots but are now up to +11.5. USF is favored by seven in the first half (-110) – and given Illinois' early struggles, it might be a solid play.

    LOVE LOST

    The Stanford Cardinal will be without fledgling Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Love for this weekend's encounter with visiting UC-Davis. Love, who rumbled for 136 yards and a score in last week's decisive win over USC, was removed from the game in the fourth quarter and taken to hospital with an undisclosed ailment. Head coach David Shaw downplayed the significance of the injury after the game, but Stanford appears to be playing it cautious with their all-world running back in a game the Cardinal are expected to win comfortably.

    That said, keep an eye on Stanford's team total for this one; Love was responsible for 19 of its 54 offensive touchdowns last season, and his absence suppresses the Cardinal's scoring potential. Love might also fall right out of the Heisman race; he came into the week at +1,000.

    CARDINALS QB CONTROVERSY?

    A turf toe injury suffered by redshirt freshman Jawon Pass has created the potential for a quarterback controversy in Louisville. Cardinals head coach Bobby Petrino says he's in wait-and-see mode with Pass and backup Malik Cunningham, who came on in relief of an injured Pass to kick off the second half last week and led Louisville to a comfortable 31-7 win over Indiana State. Petrino suggested that the freshman's health would be something to monitor throughout the week; Pass got through Tuesday's practice without issue.

    Expect Pass to be on a short leash if he does get the start for Saturday's encounter with visiting Western Kentucky. The Cardinals are desperate to generate more offense, having started the year 0-2 ATS; they're -22.5 against the Hilltoppers, with the total sitting at 56.5 at most books.

    MARTINEZ A GAME-TIME DECISION

    Nebraska head coach Scott Frost isn't ready to decide on this week's starting quarterback – and says he might even wait until "two minutes to kickoff," according to a report in the Lincoln Journal Star. Adrian Martinez is working through a knee injury suffered in last week's 33-28 loss to visiting Colorado and has been limited to participating in Thursday's walkthrough. Given that the Huskers are 10.5-point favorites against visiting Troy, Frost might elect giving Martinez an extra week of rest and starting sophomore walk-on Andrew Bunch, who went 4-for-9 for 49 yards in relief of Martinez in the loss to the Buffaloes.

    Nebraska carries a 34.5-point team total into Saturday's encounter with Troy, though that might move if word of Martinez's status becomes available. As it stands, the under becomes an intriguing option with the potential downgrade to Bunch.

    ANOTHER GAME MOVED

    Georgia has decided to move up the start time of its Saturday showdown with visiting Middle Tennessee State to noon in order to avoid any potential disruptions from Hurricane Florence. The game was originally slated to start at 7:15 p.m. ET. This marks the 11th game affected by the incoming storm, which is expected to make landfall Friday. The Bulldogs will be looking to carry over the momentum from last week's emphatic 41-7 trouncing of South Carolina, with Georgia easily covering as an 8.5-point favorite. MTSU is also coming off a major cover, trouncing Tennessee-Martin 61-37 as a five-point underdog.

    Little has changed with regard to the line and total; Georgia comes in at -32, with the total steady at 54.5. It is worth noting, however, that the Bulldogs are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home fave of 30 or more points.

    SINDELAR'S STATUS UNKNOWN

    Purdue quarterback Elijah Sindelar doesn't know if he'll be on the field for Saturday's tilt with visiting Missouri. Sindelar suffered an undisclosed during practice on Wednesday and did not participate on Thursday; head coach Jeff Brohm suggested that the junior QB will be a game-time decision. It has been a rough start to the season for Sindelar, who has thrown for a paltry 283 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions; he was picked off just seven times all of last season. David Blough will get the call if Sindelar can't go. Blough has completed 18-of-26 passes for 122 yards in relief so far in 2018.

    Perhaps bettors are keen on Purdue switching starting quarterbacks – the Boilermakers opened at +7.5 but have been bet down as low as +5.5 at select books. The total has jumped from a 62 opener up to 65.5.

    DEFENSE = OFFENSE AT UTAH STATE

    The Utah State Aggies aren't one to limit themselves to offensive touchdowns as they prepare to host FCS Tennessee Tech on Thursday night. Utah State has put up a whopping 91 points through its first two games, highlighted by a 60-13 drubbing of New Mexico State last week; the Aggies had a kickoff-return touchdown and an interception return for a score in the victory, giving them three non-offensive TDs through the first two games of the season. That's nothing new for Utah State, which scored seven non-offensive TDs in 2017 (three interceptions, two fumble recoveries, one kickoff, one blocked punt return.)

    There is no line or total for the Aggies' Thursday encounter with Tennessee Tech, but bettors should strongly consider a wager on the home side to score a special teams or defensive touchdown; the Golden Eagles allowed an interception return TD in their season-opening loss to Chattanooga.

    KEMPT TO RETURN SATURDAY

    The Iowa State Cyclones appear to have dodged a major injury to their starting quarterback. Kyle Kempt suffered a knee injury late in last week's loss to Iowa, but wide receivers coach Bryan Gasser says the redshirt freshman is "moving and trending in the right direction." It isn't yet clear if Kempt will be healthy enough to hit the field for this weekend's daunting tilt with the visiting Oklahoma Sooners; if he sits out, Zeb Noland would likely take over the starting role. Kempt was efficient last week, going 15-for-21 for 126 yards in the 13-3 defeat.

    The Cyclones' chances of going over their team total of 17.5 (-110) take a major hit if Kempt is ruled out; Noland has completed just 40 of his 76 collegiate pass attempts, while the Sooners – who enter Thursday favored by 17.5 points – have held opposing QBs to a 58.6-percent success rate through their first two games this season.

    OREGON STATE'S PIERCE SIDELINED

    The Oregon State Beavers will be without one of their top offensive threats for what should be a barn-burner Saturday at Nevada. Junior running back Artavis Pierce is expected to miss the next four weeks after suffering an elbow injury in last weekend's victory over Southern Utah. It's a significant blow for the Beavers, as Pierce racked up 259 rushing yards and three touchdowns while adding four catches for 47 yards in his first two games. Jermar Jefferson will likely get the call as the feature back for the next month, with B.J. Taylor backing him up.

    Oregon State opened at +5.5, but that line is now down to +3.5. The total is down only slightly from a 71.5-point opening but remains stout at 70; the Beavers have seen an average of 90.5 total points scored in their first two games.

    AZTECS DOWN A QB

    It'll be next man up for San Diego State this weekend after starting quarterback Christian Chapman suffered a sprained left MCL that will knock him out of the lineup for the next three-to-six weeks. Chapman suffered the injury in Saturday's 28-14 win over Sacramento State; he had gone 6-of-11 for 112 yards up to that point. While the Aztecs are a run-first team, Chapman still represents a major loss after throwing for 33 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions in his previous two seasons. Ryan Agnew will slot into the starting QB role this weekend against visiting Arizona State while Chapman recovers.

    As the news of Chapman's injury was released just prior to the line being set, it has moved only slightly from an Aztecs +5 opener down to +4.5. San Diego State is +175 on the money line, with the total holding steady at 45.5.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #164
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    Location
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    college football best bets aug-sept.

    Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

    09/14/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/08/2018 31-37-2 45.59% -48.50
    09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
    08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
    08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
    08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

    total..............80-74-0.......51.94%.....-7.00



    best bets................. ats ...............units.................. o/u..................units..............days total

    09/14/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............2 - 0.........+10.00
    09/13/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00....................0 - 1 ..............-5.50...............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/08/2018............13 - 14...........-12.00..................12 - 5.............+32.50............25 - 19......+20.50
    09/07/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2........-11.00
    09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...................1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
    09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.................5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
    08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..................2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
    08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...................2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.................2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00

    total.....................34 - 26............+27.00.................26 - 14...........+53.00..........60 - 40......+80.00



    ****************************


    SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    RUTG at KU 12:00 PM
    KU -2.5

    FSU at SYR 12:00 PM
    SYR +3.0

    HAW at ARMY 12:00 PM
    HAW +6.5
    U 62.5


    UTEP at TENN 12:00 PM
    TENN -33.0
    O 50.5

    BALL at IND 12:00 PM
    BALL +15.0

    KENT at PSU 12:00 PM
    PSU -35.0

    MTU at UGA 12:00 PM
    UGA -34.5

    TROY at NEB 12:00 PM
    TROY +9.5

    TEM at MD 12:00 PM
    MD -15.0

    OKLA at ISU 12:00 PM
    ISU +18.5

    MIA at TOL 12:00 PM
    TOL +12.0
    O 58.0

    GASO at CLEM 12:00 PM
    GASO +31.5

    GT at PITT 12:30 PM
    PITT +3.0
    O 55.0

    TULN at UAB 01:00 PM
    TULN -3.5

    VAN at ND 02:30 PM
    VAN +14.0


    ************************

    USF at ILL 03:30 PM
    USF -13.0

    BSU at OKST 03:30 PM
    BSU -1.5

    SMU at MICH 03:30 PM
    MICH -35.5

    BYU at WIS 03:30 PM
    BYU +22.5

    M-OH at MINN 03:30 PM
    M-OH +12.0

    LSU at AUB 03:30 PM
    AUB -10.5
    U 45.0


    DUKE at BAY 03:30 PM
    DUKE +4.0

    CMU at NIU 03:30 PM
    O 46.0


    ****************************

    CSU at FLA 04:00 PM
    FLA -20.5
    O 58.5

    UNT at ARK 04:00 PM
    UNT +5.5

    UTSA at KSU 04:00 PM
    KSU -20.5

    HOU at TTU 04:15 PM
    TTU +2.0

    OHIO at UVA 04:30 PM
    OHIO +5.5

    SJSU at ORE 05:00 PM
    ORE -41.5

    EMU at BUFF 06:00 PM
    BUFF -3.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #165
    Join Date
    Dec 2002
    Location
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    Posts
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    Default

    EVENING BEST BETS:

    ORST at NEV 07:00 PM
    ORST +3.5
    O 66.5

    ARST at TLSA 07:00 PM
    ARST +2.0
    O 72.5


    ALA at MISS 07:00 PM
    MISS +22.5
    U 71.0

    TXST at USA 07:00 PM
    TXST +10.0

    WKU at LOU 07:30 PM
    O 53.0

    AKR at NW 07:30 PM
    U 45.5

    MIZZ at PUR 07:30 PM
    PUR +5.0
    O 66.5


    ULL at MSST 07:30 PM
    MSST -34.0

    MASS at FIU 07:30 PM
    O 64.5

    ULM at TAM 07:30 PM
    ULM +27.5
    O 66.0


    *************************



    UNM at NMSU 08:00 PM
    UNM -3.0

    OSU at TCU 08:00 PM
    OSU -13.0
    O 58.5


    USC at TEX 08:00 PM
    TEX -4.0
    U 47.0

    WASH at UTAH 10:00 PM
    UTAH +4.0
    U 45.5


    FRES at UCLA 10:30 PM
    FRES -2.5
    O 50.5

    ASU at SDSU 10:30 PM
    SDSU +4.5
    O 48.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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