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Thread: Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

  1. #241
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    *TRIPLE TROUBLE FOR SMU*

    Navy's triple option has confounded a fair number of opposing defenses – but to Southern Methodist, it has been downright nasty. The Mustangs look to figure out how to slow down the galloping Midshipmen as the teams meet Saturday in Dallas. SMU has allowed a whopping 173 points in its last three games against Navy, who have won eight consecutive meetings between the teams and have covered in five straight. Navy quarterback Malcolm Perry is the one to watch; he had 282 yards on the ground and four TDs against SMU last season, and already has six scores on the ground through three games in 2018.

    SMU is a 6.5-point underdog in this one, but the more interesting number is the total, which has plummeted from a 66 opener all the way down to 60.5 in some spots. The teams have gone over in each of their past three meetings, averaging a combined 86 points in those outings.


    *WKU TURNS TO SHANLEY*

    After impressing in relief last week, quarterback Davis Shanley will make his first collegiate start Saturday as Western Kentucky visits Ball State. Shanley looked good in last Saturday's 20-17 loss at Louisville, completing 22 of 33 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown and added a rushing score as WKU nearly pulled off the upset. Regular starter Drew Eckels is unavailable after taking big hits in each of the Hilltoppers' first two games of the season. Steven Duncan, who was replaced by Shanley after just two series against the Cardinals, is listed second on this week's depth chart.

    While the odds for this one have held steady at Ball State -3, the total has risen from 52 to 55. Shanley's presence not only puts the over in play (the Hilltoppers are 7-3 O/U in their past 10), it also enhances WKU's chances of winning outright (+125) and going over its team total, which sits at 25.5.


    *BRO, DO YOU EVEN KICK?*

    Looking for the least involved players in collegiate football through three weeks? It has to be the Boston College placekickers. Colton Lichtenberg and John Tessitore have played the role of cheerleaders for the first 180 minutes of Eagles football, as BC has put up a stunning 23 touchdowns without even one field goal through the first three games (Tessitore has at least been able to kick extra points, and he's 20-for-23 there.) The Eagles are expected to put up another bushel of points Saturday against Purdue, which has surrendered 10 touchdowns and seven field goals (30.3 ppg) in its first three games.

    Can Purdue succeed where the others have failed? It might be worth investing to find out, as bettors are getting +350 on Boston College's first score coming via field goal (a touchdown is worth -550 if you'd rather play it safe.)


    *DRIVE EXTENSION MATTERS*

    If Mississippi State and Kentucky keep doing what they've done so well in the early going, we could see plenty of long drives when these teams face off Saturday at Kroger Field in Lexington. The Bulldogs have been one of the best third-down teams in the nation so far, converting 22 of 36 opportunities for a 61.1-percent success rate – second only to Central Florida. The Wildcats aren't far behind, having gone 22-of-38 on third down for a 57.9-percent success rate. Not surprisingly, both teams rank above the Division I average in time of possession per game.

    The total for this one has shifted from 54 to 56 – but longer drives on both sides would ultimately mean fewer overall possessions, which would almost certainly result in fewer points. Betters should consider both the full-time and first-half Unders (28), which are paying out at -110.


    *CHANGES COMING TO NOTRE DAME?*

    The Notre Dame Fighting Irish might have a new man under center for Saturday's encounter with host Wake Forest. ESPN is reporting that the Irish are prepared to go with redshirt sophomore Ian Book as the starting quarterback against the Demon Deacons; he would replace Brandon Wimbush, who has completed just over 55 percent of his passes with one touchdown and four interceptions on the season. The Irish have succeeded despite Wimbush's struggles, but their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and they fell well short of covering in each of their previous two victories.

    The Irish are a one-touchdown road favorite against Wake Forest but given how Book fared in his Citrus Bowl stint vs. LSU last season (14-for-19, 164 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT), Notre Dame might see a little more action than normal. That said, the team total of 34.5 seems high given that the Irish have averaged just 23.3 points through their first three games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #242
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    *TRIPLE TROUBLE FOR SMU*

    Navy's triple option has confounded a fair number of opposing defenses – but to Southern Methodist, it has been downright nasty. The Mustangs look to figure out how to slow down the galloping Midshipmen as the teams meet Saturday in Dallas. SMU has allowed a whopping 173 points in its last three games against Navy, who have won eight consecutive meetings between the teams and have covered in five straight. Navy quarterback Malcolm Perry is the one to watch; he had 282 yards on the ground and four TDs against SMU last season, and already has six scores on the ground through three games in 2018.

    SMU is a 6.5-point underdog in this one, but the more interesting number is the total, which has plummeted from a 66 opener all the way down to 60.5 in some spots. The teams have gone over in each of their past three meetings, averaging a combined 86 points in those outings.


    *WKU TURNS TO SHANLEY*

    After impressing in relief last week, quarterback Davis Shanley will make his first collegiate start Saturday as Western Kentucky visits Ball State. Shanley looked good in last Saturday's 20-17 loss at Louisville, completing 22 of 33 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown and added a rushing score as WKU nearly pulled off the upset. Regular starter Drew Eckels is unavailable after taking big hits in each of the Hilltoppers' first two games of the season. Steven Duncan, who was replaced by Shanley after just two series against the Cardinals, is listed second on this week's depth chart.

    While the odds for this one have held steady at Ball State -3, the total has risen from 52 to 55. Shanley's presence not only puts the over in play (the Hilltoppers are 7-3 O/U in their past 10), it also enhances WKU's chances of winning outright (+125) and going over its team total, which sits at 25.5.


    *BRO, DO YOU EVEN KICK?*

    Looking for the least involved players in collegiate football through three weeks? It has to be the Boston College placekickers. Colton Lichtenberg and John Tessitore have played the role of cheerleaders for the first 180 minutes of Eagles football, as BC has put up a stunning 23 touchdowns without even one field goal through the first three games (Tessitore has at least been able to kick extra points, and he's 20-for-23 there.) The Eagles are expected to put up another bushel of points Saturday against Purdue, which has surrendered 10 touchdowns and seven field goals (30.3 ppg) in its first three games.

    Can Purdue succeed where the others have failed? It might be worth investing to find out, as bettors are getting +350 on Boston College's first score coming via field goal (a touchdown is worth -550 if you'd rather play it safe.)


    *DRIVE EXTENSION MATTERS*

    If Mississippi State and Kentucky keep doing what they've done so well in the early going, we could see plenty of long drives when these teams face off Saturday at Kroger Field in Lexington. The Bulldogs have been one of the best third-down teams in the nation so far, converting 22 of 36 opportunities for a 61.1-percent success rate – second only to Central Florida. The Wildcats aren't far behind, having gone 22-of-38 on third down for a 57.9-percent success rate. Not surprisingly, both teams rank above the Division I average in time of possession per game.

    The total for this one has shifted from 54 to 56 – but longer drives on both sides would ultimately mean fewer overall possessions, which would almost certainly result in fewer points. Betters should consider both the full-time and first-half Unders (28), which are paying out at -110.


    *CHANGES COMING TO NOTRE DAME?*

    The Notre Dame Fighting Irish might have a new man under center for Saturday's encounter with host Wake Forest. ESPN is reporting that the Irish are prepared to go with redshirt sophomore Ian Book as the starting quarterback against the Demon Deacons; he would replace Brandon Wimbush, who has completed just over 55 percent of his passes with one touchdown and four interceptions on the season. The Irish have succeeded despite Wimbush's struggles, but their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and they fell well short of covering in each of their previous two victories.

    The Irish are a one-touchdown road favorite against Wake Forest but given how Book fared in his Citrus Bowl stint vs. LSU last season (14-for-19, 164 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT), Notre Dame might see a little more action than normal. That said, the team total of 34.5 seems high given that the Irish have averaged just 23.3 points through their first three games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #243
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    College Essentials - Week 4
    September 22, 2018
    By Tony Mejia


    The major upsets we hadn’t seen through the first two weekends in September arrived minutes apart last Saturday, decided by 42-yard field goals on the final play. LSU’s Cole Tracy made his, knocking off Auburn. The Big Ten’s top kicker, Wisconsin’s Rafael Gaglianone, misfired on his attempt, failing to force overtime as the Badgers fell victim at home to 23.5-point underdog BYU.

    Both can still get back in the national title picture since they’ve lost early enough to recover. The Tigers can skyrocket up the rankings in November but would have to win at Georgia and Alabama. The Badgers play at Michigan and Penn State in addition to a Big Ten Championship date with the East champ if they hold serve as the West favorite.

    This coming week features a number of excellent SEC matchups, but Saturday’s best game will supply the Pac-12’s top national title contender. Here are the games to watch.

    Saturday

    Stanford at Oregon, 8 p.m. ET, ABC:
    This one may come down to the wire since the books appear undecided, favoring the Ducks at home by 1.5/2 points when this line was unveiled before swinging in the Cardinal’s direction. Stanford RB Bryce Love sat out last week’s win against UC-Davis in order to ensure he’d be fresh and ready for this one, while the Ducks went through the motions against San Jose State, failing to cover a spread of over 40 points after taking an early lead.

    ESPN’s popular College Gameday program will originate from Eugene, where the home team will look to complete a return to relevance following a few down seasons. In QB Justin Herbert, Oregon has perhaps the best QB prospect in college football, so this might end up as his national coming out party since the Stanford secondary is about to be tested in a way it hasn’t been in impressive wins over San Diego State and USC. New Ducks head coach Mario Cristobal will be at the helm for the biggest game of his career, which means David Shaw and his staff could give the Cardinal an edge given their experience. On the road, that can’t hurt. Oregon looks like it will be closer to full strength with WR Brenden Schooler likely to return from concussion protocol and kicker Adam Stack returning from a leg issue. Stanford must overcome the loss of starting outside linebacker Casey Toohill, who will miss about a month due to a broken arm and will be replaced by redshirt sophomore Jordan Fox. Love, however, has been declared “100 percent.” Rain in expected throughout the day but isn’t likely to be a factor come kickoff.

    Georgia at Missouri, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: Although Kentucky has emerged as a factor, these teams were expected to be the SEC East’s beasts when the season began and have lived up to billing. Although the Tigers frustrated backers last week by squeaking out a win at Purdue on a field goal when they could’ve punched in a touchdown that would’ve secured a cover, QB Drew Lock has his team unbeaten and is putting up big numbers despite the fact last year’s offensive coordinator, Josh Heupel, replaced Scott Frost at UCF. Mizzou has flourished despite the change and looks to test a Dawgs secondary that had their way with South Carolina’s Jake Bentley in the team’s first true test. With a No. 1 WR in Emanuel Hall, a strong slot threat in Johnathan Johnson and an x-factor at tight end in Albert Okwuegbunam, Lock has options to test Georgia with. Hall, who aggravated a groin injury at Purdue but should be fine here, leads the SEC in yards per route run (5.97). Left tackle Yasir Durant (ankle) and corner DeMarkus Acy (concussion) are likely to play.

    Georgia won last year’s meeting by scoring 26 consecutive points to snap a 21-21 tie and raked up almost 700 yards in Athens. Missouri has only beaten Georgia once in eight career meetings and surrendered a ridiculous 572 passing yards against Boilermakers QB David Blough, the second largest total in Big Ten history. It is hoping to hold its own against UGa’s Jake Fromm and will have to deal with top Dawgs WR Terry Godwin, who is working through a shin contusion. Left tackle Andrew Thomas (ankle) is also a go.

    Wisconsin at Iowa, 8:30 p.m. ET, FOX: Some of the shine wore off this matchup as a result of the Badgers going down against BYU, but this is still the Big Ten opener for both West Division powers and the winner will be in the driver’s seat to wind up playing in the conference title game. The Hawkeyes have been remarkably stingy this season, ranking among the national leaders in many defensive categories while not allowing only three touchdowns scored in garbage time with the game already decided in the fourth quarter through the first three games. Over the course of the first three quarters of their first three games, Iowa has surrendered just three points.

    The Badgers haven’t been terribly productive but will try and make things happen by pounding Iowa with their Jonathan Taylor-led rushing attack. Last year’s game produced a 38-14 Wisconsin blowout for its fifth series win in six tries. Iowa was held to season lows in rushing yards, passing yards and first downs, producing only 66 yards of total offense despite coming off a 55-24 upset of Ohio State. Iowa hasn’t scored an offensive touchdown in the series since 2015 but faces a defense that isn’t as deep as usual due to a number of injuries, suspensions and even a few defections. LB Andrew Van Ginkel missed last week’s game against BYU and may not play in Iowa City, though he did travel.

    Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, 7 p.m. ET, FS1: After an impressive win over Boise State, the Cowboys will look to pull off a fourth straight home conquest in their Big 12 opener. These games against the Red Raiders are typically shootouts, having produced at least 72 points in every meeting since 2011. Oklahoma State prevailed each time and will look to continue its dominance by securing a 10th straight win, extending a series record. Patrick Mahomes couldn’t beat Mason Rudolph despite playing games that finished with scores of 70-53 and 45-44, so Mike Gundy has to feel good about his chances of getting the better of young Alan Bowman, who broke Mahomes’ Big 12 single-game freshman passing record with 605 yards and five TDs in beating Houston last week. He connected with Antoine Weasley for 261 of the yards and withstood an Ed Oliver-led pass rush to post prolific numbers, but will have to prove he can get it done on the road now. He should have Travis Bruffy and Madison Akamnonu, the starters alongside the left side of his o-line, available after getting banged up last week. RB Da’Leon Ward remains out, so look for more work from Ta’Zahwn Henry. Safety Jah’Shawn Johnson is still not 100 percent back from a shoulder injury that renders him a game-time decision.

    OSU’s Taylor Cornelius had his finest outing last week despite not having eye-popping numbers, coming into his own for the Cowboys by showing off his leadership skills, sacrificing his body and leading his team in carries against the Broncos. Texas Tech has really struggled giving up big plays against Ole Miss and Houston, so this is a great spot to see if Tyron Johnson can get going since he’s largely struggled. Tylan Wallace, Dillon Stoner and Jalen McCleskey will also have to step up if they’re going to keep the workload for star RB Justice Hill down where they want it this early in the season.

    Texas A&M at Alabama, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: The Crimson Tide obliterated Ole Miss in Oxford, cruising 62-7. Nick Saban’s team has now defeated Louisville, Arkansas State and the Rebels by a combined total of 170-28, dominating games from start to finish to cover large spreads rather easily. Tua Tagovailoa has toyed with defenses to live up to the hype as preseason Heisman favorite despite not having officially been awarded the starting job before the early numbers were announced. A defense that had to replace a number of current pros has excelled, but this next challenge features an Aggies squad coached by the very competent Jimbo Fisher, who just arrived in College Station but already put together one of the season’s most memorable performances in a near-upset of Clemson that featured the emergence of QB Kellen Mond. Considering Ole Miss has elite talent at receiver, QB Jordan Ta’amu completing only seven passes out of 22 against the Tide defense last week provides a reminder of just how miserable the they can make life for opposing quarterbacks. Mond’s ability to make plays with his legs and his experience against Clemson could serve the Aggies well in Tuscaloosa.

    A&M was a two-point conversion away of tying Clemson in the final minute and could’ve stunned the country had it recovered a last-ditch onside kick. Alabama lost at home to Texas A&M in 2012 against Johnny Manziel but have since won five straight in the series and are heavily favored to come through once again. The Aggies have to establish the run with Trayveon Williams, who leads the SEC with 133 rushing yards per game, good for sixth in the country. If they can hang around like they did against the Tigers, the Ags can hope game pressure helps lead to some mistakes. It probably wouldn’t hurt if this game gets sloppy due to weather, perhaps slowing up the suddenly machine-like Tide offense, but early reports of thunderstorms potentially wreaking havoc here appear to be inaccurate since the weather is now expected to be clear.

    Arizona State at Washington, 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Sun Devils suffered their first loss of the Herm Edwards era after losing at San Diego State and have no time to dwell on the defeat with arguably their toughest remaining game. Although they still have to go to USC, Oregon and into Tucson for this year’s Territorial Cup, venturing into Seattle on the heels of physical games against Michigan State and the Aztecs is a daunting chore. To make matters worse, rain could factor in since it’s all they’ve seen since touching down at Sea-Tac.

    The Huskies took a hit with Auburn faltering at home against LSU, so their Week 1 loss to the Tigers won’t be looked at the way they hoped it would. On the bright side, next week’s opponent won at Wisconsin, so hosting BYU in their lone remaining non-conference game should aid the cause. This first league home game comes against an ASU squad they’ve struggled against over the last decade, losing 10 of 11 matchups. The lone win came in the last meeting at Husky Stadium back in ’16, but Jake Browning has seemingly regressed and success in this one will likely hinge more one whether the Myles Gaskin-led ground game can take advantage of the Sun Devils’ run defense the way San Diego State did, imposing their will by racking up 311 rushing yards. Safety Dasmond Tautalatasi was definitely missed last week and is considered a game-time decision. Arizona State also made a switch along the offensive line according to The Athletic, inserting Zach Robertson at left tackle and moving Casey Tucker to guard. Browning was sacked five times in last year’s 13-7 loss.

    TCU at Texas, 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX: These teams were each playing nationally televised games at the same time last week, winding up with different results. Although the Longhorns ran away from USC and the Horned Frogs blew a second-half lead to Ohio State, TCU was more impressive, hanging with a national title contender as opposed to beating up on a perennial power going through a rebuilding year. That’s why It’s not really surprising to see the visitors favored in Austin, especially since they’ve won five of six since joining the Big 12. Everyone knows Texas didn’t want another little brother in the pool, so Gary Patterson takes great pleasure in how he’s been able to impact the balance of power in-state as he approaches completing a second decade. Tom Herman is just getting to work on trying to bring the ‘Horns back and comes off one of his most important wins since taking over the program.

    Sam Ehlinger threw for a pair of scores and ran for another as his grip on the starting job continues to strengthen, but he's nowhere near as dynamic as TCU counterpart Shawn Robinson. Texas RB Keaontay Ingram missed last week's game with a heel injury and will be a game-time decision, so Cal transfer Tre Watson and Daniel Young will continue to split the bulk of the carries. Darius Anderson broke off a 93-yard TD run against Ohio State and looks like he's picking up his level to become among the country's top backs. Texas came out of the USC game far more banged up than the Frogs did after facing the Buckeyes and won't have LB Malcolm Roach (foot) for the next six weeks. Center Zach Shackleford remains out.

    Mississippi State at Kentucky, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2: One of these SEC teams is getting to 4-0 and both have big games next week, so the winner here will have an elevated national profile entering the final weekend of September. The Wildcats didn’t cover due to a late cosmetic score from Murray State, but they didn’t let the upset of Florida interfere with their preparation. It now remains to be seen whether the ‘Cats can handle another of the big boys as they open a crucial two-game home stretch against Mississippi State and South Carolina. Both games are winnable, but Kentucky must now deal with expectations in addition to teams no longer looking past them. A national ranking awaits if they pull off a victory here.

    The Bulldogs have beaten UK in eight of their nine meetings as SEC members, suffering a 40-38 loss in Lexington the last time they came into town. QB Nick Fitzgerald will be playing his third game since returning from a one-game suspension and has helped MSU beat Kansas State and Louisiana-Lafayette by a combined margin of 87-10. They’ve covered in every game but may struggle to do so on the road without standout safety Jamal Peters, who is considered doubtful with a knee injury.

    Others to watch: Clemson at Georgia Tech, Nebraska at Michigan, Notre Dame at Wake Forest, Boston College at Purdue, Minnesota at Maryland, Louisville at Virginia, Kansas State at West Virginia, South Carolina at Vanderbilt, Florida at Tennessee, Army at Oklahoma, Michigan State at Indiana, N.C. State at Marshall
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #244
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    Sharp bettors like Stanford's odds in college football Week 4 battle vs. Oregon
    Patrick Everson

    Star running back Bryce Love took last week off to recover from an undisclosed injury, but he'll be back for Stanford tonight at Oregon, and bettors have moved the Cardinal to 2.5-point road chalk.

    Week 4 of the college football season has plenty of intriguing games for bettors, even if only two contests pit top-25 foes against each other. We check in on the action and odds movement for several Saturday matchups, with insights from John Murray, sportsbook manager at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook; Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US; and Scott Shelton, sportsbook supervisor at The Mirage on the Vegas Strip.


    No. 7 Stanford Cardinal at No. 19 Oregon Ducks – Open: +1; Move: +1.5; Move: +2; Move: +2.5

    Stanford gave Heisman Trophy prospect Bryce Love a breather last week as he recuperated from an undisclosed injury, but he’ll be in the lineup for this 8 p.m. ET Pac-12 clash. The Cardinal (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) certainly didn’t need Love against UC Davis, winning 30-10 as a 31-point home favorite.

    Oregon is still looking to cash for the first time this season, but has an unblemished on-the-field record. The Ducks (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS) have had three cakewalk opponents, including San Jose State last week, when they won 35-22 as a massive 42.5-point faves.

    “I’ve seen sharp money on Stanford, and it’s pushed that number up from -1 to -2.5,” Murray said of activity at the Superbook.

    William Hill US, with more than 100 shops across Nevada and a pair of books in New Jersey, also opened Stanford -1 and moved to -2.5.

    “We’ll definitely need Oregon,” Bogdanovich said. “We’ve got lots of Northern Nevada money on Stanford.”


    No. 17 Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns – Open: +3; Move: None

    Texas Christian looks to bounce back in this Big 12 battle at 4:30 p.m. ET, after giving Ohio State a pretty good test in Week 3. The Horned Frogs (2-1 SU and ATS) actually led well into the third quarter, but couldn’t make it stand in a 40-28 setback as a 12.5-point pup at AT&T Stadium.

    Texas has a pair of wins since its season-opening loss to Maryland at FedExField. The Longhorns (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) had no trouble with Southern California last week, rolling 37-14 as a 3-point home chalk.

    “All the money is for TCU,” Bogdanovich said. “We haven’t moved off 3, but we definitely need Texas.”

    The Superbook moved off 3 early in the week, to 3.5, but only for a few hours.

    “I’ve seen sharp play on both sides of this, but I trust the group on Texas more,” Murray said. “We are still dealing it at TCU -3.”


    No. 22 Texas A&M Aggies at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide – Open: -27; Move: -26; Move: -26.5; Move: -26

    Defending national champion Alabama just mows down opponents and covers big spreads this season. In Week 3, the Crimson Tide (3-0 SU and ATS) boatraced Mississippi 62-7 as a 22.5 point road favorite.

    Texas A&M is facing its second top-five opponent in three weeks, with a big Week 2 rally against Clemson coming up just short in a 28-26 loss as a 12-point home pup. Last week, the Aggies (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) dumped Louisiana-Monroe 48-10 laying 12 points at home.

    “We took a sharp bet on A&M +27. That’s a group I really respect on that that side,” Murray said of activity on the 3:30 p.m. ET tilt. “But I’m sure we will still need the Aggies in a big way.”

    William Hill US opened ‘Bama -26 and reached 27 before peeling back to 26.5.

    “Sharps are on the ‘dog, public on the favorite,” Bogdanovich said. “We’ll probably need A&M, but I don’t think it’ll be a big decision.”


    No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Wake Forest Demon Deacons – Open: +7.5; Move: +7

    Notre Dame has been in a trio of one-score-games and come out on top each time. The Fighting Irish (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) went off as 14-point home faves against Vanderbilt and held on for a 22-17 victory last weekend.

    Wake Forest got out of the gate 2-0 SU, but couldn’t keep it going in Week 3 against a significant step up in competition. The Demon Deacons (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) led Boston College at times, but fell 41-34 as 6.5-point home pups.

    “It’s pretty good two-way action,” Shelton said of wagering at The Mirage and other MGM books. “We had some sharp play on Wake Forest on Friday – a sharp player took Wake on the moneyline, and we also had sharp money at +7 flat, so now were at Notre Dame -7 (even).”

    At William Hill US, the Irish opened -8.5 and were down to 7 by Thursday night for this noon ET kickoff.

    “Sharps are definitely on Wake,” Bogdanovich said.


    No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers – Open: +13.5; Move: +14; Move: +15; Move: +14.5; Move: +14; Move: +14.5; Move: +13.5; Move: +14; Move: +14.5

    Georgia has gone beyond 40 points in all three of its outings so far, cashing in the last two, including a 41-17 road rout of South Carolina giving 8.5 points in Week 2. Last week, the Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) dropped Middle Tennessee 49-7 as a hefty 34.5-point chalk.

    Missouri is also off to a 3-0 SU start (2-1 ATS), cashing in easy victories over Tennessee-Martin and Wyoming in Weeks 1 and 2, before a much tougher Week 3 challenge. The Tigers were laying 5 points at Purdue and got a field goal as time expired to squeak out a 40-37 win.

    “We’ve got big bettors on opposite sides of this game,” Shelton said. “One bettor came in from out of town and played low six figures on Georgia, and also on Tennessee (vs. Florida). And a high-end player we respect played a similar amount on Missouri early in the week.”

    At William Hill US, the number has bounced between 14 and 14.5, sticking at the higher number the past three days for a noon ET contest.

    “It’s all Georgia, and 95 percent public money,” Bogdanovich said. “That’ll be a big decision.”

    In other noteworthy games on the Saturday docket:

    • Pittsburgh at North Carolina, 12:20 p.m. ET: The Panthers opened -4 and were down to -3 by Thursday, when things began to balance out. “We’re dead even to it, but sharps are on the ‘dog,” Bogdanovich said.

    • Kansas at Baylor, 3:30 p.m. ET: The Bears opened -7.5, reached 8.5, then went back to 7.5. “We got a sizable six-figure wager on Baylor,” Shelton said. “We’re at 7.5, but only because we got some buyback. We’re still gonna need Kansas.”

    • Florida at Tennessee, 7 p.m. ET: As Shelton noted above, MGM books took a six-figure wager on the Volunteers. That helped take Tennessee from +5 to +4.

    • Arizona at Oregon State, 4 p.m. ET: MGM books opened the Wildcats -7, dipped to 6, then got back to 7. “We got a significant wager on Arizona,” Shelton said.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 22
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    KENT at MISS 12:00 PM
    KENT +28.5
    O 75.5

    BC at PUR 12:00 PM
    PUR +6.5
    O 62.0


    UGA at MIZZ 12:00 PM
    UGA -14.5
    U 66.5

    BUFF at RUTG 12:00 PM
    BUFF -6.5
    U 53.5

    MINN at MD 12:00 PM
    MINN +2.5

    AKR at ISU 12:00 PM
    ISU -20.0

    ND at WAKE 12:00 PM
    WAKE +6.5
    O 59.0

    NEB at MICH 12:00 PM
    MICH -18.0

    NEV at TOL 12:00 PM
    TOL -10.5

    NAVY at SMU 12:00 PM
    SMU +6.5

    OHIO at CIN 12:00 PM
    O 56.5

    PITT at UNC 12:20 PM
    UNC +3.5

    LOU at UVA 12:30 PM
    UVA -4.5
    U 51.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    LATER GAMES :


    WMU at GSU 02:00 PM
    GSU +7.5
    O 61.0

    WKU at BALL 03:00 PM
    O 53.0

    M-OH at BGSU 03:00 PM
    BGSU +6.5

    KSU at WVU 03:30 PM
    WVU -16.0
    O 60.5

    TULN at OSU 03:30 PM
    OSU -37.5

    TAM at ALA 03:30 PM
    ALA -26.0
    O 58.0


    FIU at MIA 03:30 PM
    FIU +26.5

    KU at BAY 03:30 PM
    O 55.5

    NIU at FSU 03:30 PM
    NIU +10.0

    CLEM at GT 03:30 PM
    GT +16.0

    VT at ODU 03:30 PM
    VT -27.5

    CHAR at MASS 03:30 PM
    O 59.0


    **************************


    CONN at SYR 04:00 PM
    SYR -30.0

    ARIZ at ORST 04:00 PM
    ORST +4.5

    SOCAR at VAN 04:00 PM
    VAN +2.0

    TCU at TEX 04:30 PM
    TEX +3.0

    UNT at LIB 06:00 PM
    UNT -10.5
    O 69.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #247
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    EVENING BEST BETS:

    LT at LSU 07:00 PM
    LT +19.5

    RICE at SOMIS 07:00 PM
    RICE +14.0

    NCST at MRSH
    MRSH +6.0

    UNLV at ARST 07:00 PM
    UNLV +8.0
    O 66.5


    FLA at TENN
    FLA -3.5
    U 46.0

    MSST at UK
    UK +9.5
    O 56.0

    CC at ULL 07:00 PM
    CC +3.0

    TROY at ULM 07:00 PM
    ULM +4.5

    ARMY at OKLA
    ARMY +30.0

    TTU at OKST 07:00 PM
    TTU +14.5
    O 76.0


    TXST at UTSA 07:00 PM
    O 49.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #248
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    Location
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    LATE EVENING GAMES:


    NMSU at UTEP 07:30 PM
    NMSU -4.5

    MSU at IND 07:30 PM
    IND +5.5

    ARK at AUB 07:30 PM
    U 57.5

    ECU at USF 08:00 PM
    USF -20.5

    USA at MEM 08:00 PM
    USA +31.5
    O 66.0

    STAN at ORE 08:00 PM
    ORE +2.5
    U 59.0


    WIS at IOWA 08:35 PM
    IOWA +3.0
    U 43.5

    AFA at USU 10:30 PM
    USU -10.0

    EMU at SDSU 10:30 PM
    EMU +13.0

    ASU at WASH 10:30 PM
    WASH -17.5
    U 53.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #249
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    Saturday's best
    September 22, 2018
    By The Associated Press


    STARS

    -Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama, passed for 387 yards and four TDs and ran for another score to lead the No. 1 Crimson Tide to a 45-23 rout of No. 22 Texas A&M.

    -Will Grier, West Virginia, threw five TD passes for the fifth time in his career and the No. 12 Mountaineers shook off a sloppy start to drill Kansas State 35-6.

    -J.J. Taylor, Arizona, rushed for a Reser Stadium-record 284 yards and two TDs as the Wildcats ran wild over Oregon State 35-14.

    -Ian Book, Notre Dame, rushed for three TDs and threw for two more in his first start of the season, leading the No. 8 Fighting Irish past Wake Forest 56-27.

    -Jordan Ta'amu, Ole Miss, threw for 442 yards and two TDs and ran for another score to lead the Rebels over Kent State 38-17.

    -Price Wilson, Bryant, threw for 359 yards and four TDs in a 49-46 win over Robert Morris.

    -Dalton Sneed, Montana State, ran for 206 yards and three TDs and threw a go-ahead scoring pass to Matt Rensvold in a 41-34 win over Sacramento State.

    -Tyree Adams, Western Carolina, accounted for 346 yards and four TDs in a 52-50 victory over VMI.

    ---

    MEYER'S RETURN

    Ohio State gift-wrapped a blowout for Urban Meyer in his return to the sideline, making sure the coach didn't have to get too stressed or too mad at anybody and didn't have to make any monumental decisions.

    The No. 4 Buckeyes played like, well, like they played while Meyer was watching the first three games on TV while serving a suspension. Quarterback Dwayne Haskins continued to throw touchdown passes at a furious rate, and Ohio State routed outmanned Tulane 49-6 on Saturday.

    Meyer didn't seem too up or too down on the sideline, but may be more animated next week when Ohio State travels to play No. 10 Penn State in the annual ''white out'' game at Beaver Stadium that ended in an upset by the Nittany Lions two seasons ago.

    Meyer didn't reveal much about his feelings after Saturday's game, but said the most emotional moment was between the third and fourth quarters when the marching band played ''Hang on Sloopy,'' a longtime tradition at Ohio Stadium.

    ---

    WOLVERINES ROLL HUSKERS

    Michigan was very motivated to beat Nebraska, using Scott Frost's words against him.

    Karan Higdon ran for 136 yards and a touchdown in the first half to help the 19th-ranked Wolverines build a huge lead and they coasted to a 56-10 victory.

    In Frost's last visit to the Big House two years ago, he said Central Florida ''outhit'' Michigan in a 51-14 loss.

    The Wolverines didn't forget the words and moved Nebraska around on offense, clearing huge holes for the running game and giving Shea Patterson plenty of time to throw. On defense, the Wolverines hit hard early and often perhaps in part because defensive coordinator Don Brown told them what Frost said after his last visit.

    The Wolverines led 20-0 after the first quarter and 39-0 at halftime.

    ---

    NUMBERS

    5-Career defensive TDs by James Madison's Jimmy Moreland after returning an interception 56 yards for a score against William & Mary.

    65-Years since Duke started consecutive seasons 4-0 before this season.

    67-Years since Stetson last started a season 3-0 before this year.

    70-Points by Kennesaw State in a win over Clark Atlanta to set a school record for points the second straight week.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #250
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    college football best bets aug-sept.


    Date w-l-t % units record (ALL PLAYS BEST BETS AND OPINIONS )

    09/22/2018 31-36-1 46.27% -43.00
    09/21/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
    09/20/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/15/2018 35-26-1 57.38% +32.00
    09/14/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/08/2018 31-37-2 45.59% -48.50
    09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
    08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
    08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
    08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00


    total..........150 - 141-0.......51.54%....-20.00


    best bets................. ats ...............units................ o/u...............units...............days total

    09/22/2018............15 - 12...........+9.00...............5 - 10.............-30.00............20 - 22.......-21.00
    09/21/2018.............3 - 0.............+15.00..............1 - 2...............-6.00...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    09/20/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2.........-11.00
    09/15/2018.............11 - 13..........-16.50...............7 - 6..............+2.00.............18 - 19.......-14.50
    09/14/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00................1 - 0..............+5.00..............2 - 0.........+10.00
    09/13/2018.............1 - 0.............+5.00................0 - 1 ..........-5.50...............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/08/2018............13 - 14...........-12.00..............12 - 5.............+32.50............25 - 19......+20.50
    09/07/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50................0 - 1...............-5.50...............0 - 2........-11.00
    09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
    09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...............1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
    09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.............5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
    08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..............2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
    08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...............2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
    08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.............2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00


    total.....................63 - 52............+28.50...........39 - 33.............+13.50............102 - 85.......+42.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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