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Thread: Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/7

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    Default Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, August 7

    Good Luck on day #219 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo:Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the PGA Championship this weekend:

    9-1— Dustin Johnson

    12-1— Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas

    18-1— Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler

    20-1— Day, Koepka, Rose, Woods

    25-1— Fleetwood, Molinari, Rahm

    30-1— Tony Finau, Patrick Reed

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Talking baseball TV announcers……

    Meant to do this during the All-Star break, but got sidetracked, so today we bring you my comments/thoughts on major league baseball announcers.

    I watch baseball on TV for at least 5-6 hours a day every day for six months, so I’m qualified to comment on stuff like this. This is for TV only; don’t hear much radio these days.

    I’m not going to do straight rankings, but here are my comments on baseball TV guys.

    1) Best duo: Mets, when Gary Cohen/Ron Darling are on. They talk about the game, they’re smart and they’re fairly honest where the home team is concerned. If you sit and listen to a Mets’ game, you’ll be smarter about baseball when the game is over.

    When Keith Hernandez is on with Cohen, it isn’t nearly as good; Hernandez is so self-centered it hampers the broadcast, especially with the Mets out of the pennant race. He’ll talk about his cat or his house in Sag Harbor or complain about the traffic. Not good.

    When Hernandez/Darling are both on with Cohen, it is still an excellent broadcast.

    2) Brewers’ duo of Brian Anderson/Bill Schroeder are really good, but Anderson takes a lot of time off; he is usually gone for a month during the NBA playoffs, but his replacement Matt Lepay is also good, mainly because Schroeder is an excellent analyst and a friendly guy.

    3) Colorado has Drew Goodman/Jeff Huson most of the time, and they are very good; Goodman is a New York guy who is a lot like Gary Cohen- little bit more of a homer (they talk about Nolan Arenado like he is a combo of Brooks Robinson/Mike Schmidt).

    When Huson is off, Ryan Spilborghs is in the booth; he is a bit of a character, a funny ex-player who takes great care to give you the players’ perspective of how baseball works.

    4) When Red Sox had Don Orsillo/Jerry Remy on TV, they had broadcasting gold, but Orsillo got the boot for whatever reason, and now humorless Dave O’Brien is the play/play guy, which renders Remy useless, since he is at his best when he is laughing.

    Dennis Eckersley is good in his occasional appearances; last week, O’Brien asked him about his old teammates and Eck responded: “….I had a teammate once who stole my wife!!!”

    TV doesn’t get any better than that……lol

    5) Orsillo has moved on to San Diego, where he works with Mark Grant, who is a funny guy. They are good to listen to, but the Padres stink every year and sometimes you can tell that Orsillo’s heart is still in Boston. Mark Sweeney is the sub analyst who will be very, very good on the national stage someday.

    6) Joe Davis is the Dodgers’ TV announcer, replacing the legendary Vin Scully, the greatest baseball announcer of all-time; tough job, huge shoes to fill, but Davis is really good, and he is low-key which works well in Los Angeles.

    Davis is only 30 years old; he does football/basketball for FOX and is really good.

    7) Bob Carpenter is a really good play/play guy for the Washington Nationals; the analyst is FP Santangelo, who is the equivalent of giving an 8-year the microphone and letting him work a game. He is upbeat and seems like a good guy, but they could do better. Every time a team gets its first hit of the game, “….there goes the no-hitter.” Even in the first inning.

    8) Cincinnati Reds’ announcers (usually Thom Brennaman/Chris Walsh) are brutally honest; they’ll thrash the home team, if they think it is deserved. It often is.

    9) Duane Kuiper is probably the best play/play guy who is a former player; he really is super on Giants’ games. His analyst is Mike Krukow, who is a homer, and not in a good way. Jon Miller/Dave Flemming do the Giants’ radio— thats a lot of broadcasting talent for one team.

    10) Miami Marlins used to have a great TV team; Rich Waltz/Tommy Hutton- they were really good, but the Marlins let both of them go. Who knows why, but it hurts their broadcasts.

    11) Victor Rojas/Mark Gubicza are very good on Angels’ games; Rojas is the son of Cookie Rojas, the old second baseman. Gubicza is always upbeat and gives credit to both teams.

    12) As for the Bronx Bombers, I think David Cone could be a great analyst; he is funny and smart, but the whole condescending nature of the Bronx franchise makes me want to puke.

    I’ll say this for them; friend of mine’s son was a runner in their TV/radio booth a few years ago and all of those people were nice to him, including John Sterling/Suzyn Waldman, the radio announcers, so they get points for that.

    Michael Kay was a sportswriter who became a solid play-by-play guy. When Paul O’Neill is an analyst, you can hear him turning pages of the other team’s media guide as he talks—he seems to do zero prep work on the other team.

    13) As for national announcers, Matt Vasgersian/Alex Rodriguez are very good on the Sunday night games; Jessica Mendoza is neither good nor bad— she is in on a pass, and she seems smart enough to know it.

    I have a friend who worked as a professional announcer and tried to make a living at it; he worked really hard, but never made it. To see someone get passed ahead to the highest-profile job on TV simply because she is a woman is ridiculous, but that is the world we live in today.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2018 at 10:02 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, August 7



    Las Vegas @ Atlanta

    Game 601-602
    August 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    107.571
    Atlanta
    114.003
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 6 1/2
    168
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 10
    166 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Las Vegas
    (+10); Over

    Seattle @ Indiana


    Game 603-604
    August 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    115.193
    Indiana
    105.408
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 10
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 12 1/2
    162 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+12 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Chicago


    Game 605-606
    August 7, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    105.568
    Chicago
    106.204
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1
    178
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    N/A

    Washington @ Phoenix

    Game 607-608
    August 7, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    108.069
    Phoenix
    112.043
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 4
    164
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 2 1/2
    169 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (-2 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2018 at 10:03 AM.

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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, August 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (12 - 15) at ATLANTA (18 - 10) - 8/7/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    ATLANTA is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    LAS VEGAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LAS VEGAS is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (22 - 7) at INDIANA (5 - 23) - 8/7/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
    SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
    SEATTLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
    SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    SEATTLE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
    INDIANA is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games this season.
    INDIANA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
    INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (15 - 13) at CHICAGO (10 - 18) - 8/7/2018, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (16 - 11) at PHOENIX (16 - 13) - 8/7/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 325-384 ATS (-97.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2018 at 10:04 AM.

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    WNBA

    Tuesday, August 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    Las Vegas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
    Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Las Vegas
    Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


    Seattle Storm
    Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
    Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Seattle is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Indiana
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Indiana
    Seattle is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Seattle is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Fever
    Indiana is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
    Indiana is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
    Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Indiana is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games at home
    Indiana is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Seattle
    Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Seattle
    Indiana is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
    Indiana is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle


    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games
    Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Sky
    Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
    Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games at home
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Washington Mystics
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
    Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
    Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
    Phoenix is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
    Phoenix is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
    Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2018 at 10:04 AM.

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    WNBA Betting Recap - 7/23-8/6
    Joe Williams


    League Betting Notes (Monday, July 23 through Monday, Aug. 6)

    -- Favorites went 12-8 straight up (SU)
    -- Underdogs went 11-9 against the spread (ATS)
    -- Road teams went 11-9 SU
    -- Road teams went 12-8 ATS
    -- The 'under' went 13-7

    Team Betting Notes

    -- Atlanta (18-10) remains atop the Eastern Conference thanks to another solid week on the hardwood. They continue to tick off straight-up wins, covers and 'under' results. Since July 8 they have been a 'Dream' for bettors, going 10-1 SU/ATS across the past 11 games while the 'under' has cashed in eight consecutive outings.

    -- Chicago (10-18) had their two-game winning streak snapped in Atlanta on Friday, but they have been playing much better lately. They're 3-2 SU/ATS across the past five contests, but they face four difficult matchups in the next four before wrapping up with a home-and-home against lowly Indiana (5-23).

    -- Connecticut (16-12) have been on quite the roll lately, winning four in a row while also covering a season-high four straight outings. It's a rather impressive resurgence considering they were 4-12 ATS in their previous 16 outings before the winning run.

    -- Dallas (14-14) is struggling mightly, and it's not a good time considering they're smack dab in the middle of the playoff race. The Wings have dropped five in a row, and they're 1-4 ATS during the span. Defense hasn't exactly been a hallmark for Dallas lately, and they have struggled on offense. Those two things aren't a recipe for success. The 'under' has cashed in a season-high four in a row for Dallas.

    -- The Fever haven't been a pushover like earlier in the season and they're going to enjoy playing spoiler down the stretch. They have won a season-high two in a row, and they're 3-2 SU/ATS across the past five outings. The 'under' has hit in four in a row, as their defense has been a bit better of late, too.

    -- Los Angeles (17-11) has won consecutive games for the first time since June 24-26, as the Sparks have experienced uncharacteristic struggles this season. L.A. has still failed to cover back-to-back games since going 3-0 ATS in a three-game span from June 15-19. The 'under' has hit in three in a row for the Sparks.

    -- It has been a strange season for Minnesota (15-14) and they're barely hanging on in the playoff race at the moment. The Lynx have gone in the tank at the worst possible time, losing three in a row while failing to cover four straight. The one thing that has been consistent is the 'under', cashing in three in a row and nine of the past 10. Overall, the under is 19-9 for the Lynx.

    -- Unlike Indiana, who hasn't quit, New York (7-21) has really went into the tank lately. They have dropped six in a row and they're 1-5 ATS during the skid. Defense has been a problem for the Liberty, as they have allowed 80 or more points in six of the past seven and 14 of the past 17.

    -- Phoenix (16-13) is another traditional powerhouse that is struggling this season. The Mercury have dropped five of the past six, while going 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS across the past 10 outings. Normally it would be good news that the Mercury close out the regular season with five straight home outings. However, they're just 5-7 SU overall and they have gone 0-4 SU/ATS in the past four in the Valley of the Sun.

    -- Seattle (22-7) won a rare Monday morning game in New York, and the Storm have posted a 7-1 SU/ATS mark across their past eight outings. Next up is a battle between the top-seed Storm and the last-place Fever on Tuesday in Indianapolis.

    -- Washington (16-11) is keeping Atlanta within their sights, winning two in a row. Total bettors are loving the Mystics lately, too, as the 'under' has hit in six of the past seven. There is no word if their cancelled game from Aug. 3 against Las Vegas (12-15) will be made up, but since there are playoff implications it is likely to be played. The Aces had a 25-hour commercial aviation travel odyssey to D.C. before deciding to cancel.

    -- The travel caught up to the Aces, as they were humbled by 19 points on Sunday in Connectucit, and they have lost back-to-back games for the first time since June 24-27, a severe blow to their playoff hopes.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-07-2018 at 10:05 AM.

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