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Thread: Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/5

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    Default Sunday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 8/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, August 5

    Good Luck on day #217 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    — Arizona 3B Jake Lamb (shoulder) will have rotator cuff surgery, is done for year.

    — Giants’ 3B Pablo Sandoval (hamstring) is also done for the season

    — St Louis OF Dexter Fowler broke his foot, is probably done for the year.

    — Mike Trout has a bruised wrist, missed last three Angel games.

    — Reds OF Scott Schebler (shoulder) had a setback with his rehab, is still on the DL

    — Chicago Bears’ backup QB Chase Daniel has earned $24.3M in his career and has thrown only 78 passes in eight seasons.

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Trends on NFC teams

    Arizona Cardinals scored 123 fewer points LY than they did in 2016; this year, they’ve got a new coach, two new QB’s. Last three years, Redbirds are 1-7-1 vs spread in NFC West home games.

    Last four years, Atlanta Falcons are 9-2 vs spread as an underdog of 3 or fewer points. Last five years, they’re 6-15 as a non-divisional home favorite.

    Last two years, Carolina is 6-12-1 vs spread when favored; since 2012, Panthers are 20-8 as a road underdog. Norv Turner is the new OC this season, which will be interesting.

    Chicago Bears are 8-1-2 vs spread in last 11 games as a home underdog; they improved from -20 to even in turnovers LY, but won only two more games, improving from 3-13 to 5-11.

    Since 2014, Dallas Cowboys are 12-4-1 vs spread as road favorites; over last decade, they’re 22-39 as home favorites.

    Under Jim Caldwell, favorites were 22-7-3 vs spread in Detroit Lion home games. Since 2008, Lions are 4-11 are home underdogs. They were +11 in turnovers LY and still missed the playoffs.

    Green Bay missed playoffs LY for first time in eight years; since 2014, they’re 17-8-2 as home favorites. Over is 21-11 in Packer games the last two years.

    Since 2015, Rams are 3-7 vs spread as a favorite of 3 or fewer points; their last playoff win was in 2004. Since 2010, LA is 6-11 as a divisional home favorite.

    Kirk Cousins will be Minnesota’s 5th different Week 1 starting QB the last five years, and 11th in last 15 years; despite that, they went 32-16 last three years. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 14-5 as favorites of 3 or fewer points.

    New Orleans has made playoffs seven times since 2000; they won their first playoff game six of those seven years. Saints are 16-8 vs spread in las 24 games as an underdog. Since 2011, over is 35-21 in their home games.

    Giants have played in one playoff game the last six years; over last nine years, underdogs are 34-19 vs spread in their divisional games.

    Last five years, over is 27-13 in Eagles’ road games. Under Pederson, Philly is 10-4-1 vs spread at home. Since 2012, Eagles are 6-11-1 vs spread in divisional home games.

    49ers started last season 1-10, then won their last five games; expectations are lot higher this season. Since 2014, they’re 13-19 vs spread at home.

    Seahawks made playoffs 11 of last 14 years. Since 2015, under is 15-9 in Seattle road games. Since ’11, Seahawks are 23-12-1 vs spread coming off a loss.

    Since 2014, Buccaneers are 3-10 vs spread as home favorites, 2-8 as favorites of 3 or fewer points. Tampa Bay hasn’t made the playoffs since 2007; their last playoff win was the Super Bowl 16 years ago.

    Since 2015, Redskins are 14-7 vs spread in game following a loss; since ’08, they’re 18-28-2 vs spread in non-divisional home games, but 17-9 as a divisional road underdog.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, August 5



    Las Vegas @ Connecticut

    Game 303-304
    August 5, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    102.596
    Connecticut
    121.344
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 19
    173
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 10 1/2
    170
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (-10 1/2); Over

    Washington @ Dallas


    Game 305-306
    August 5, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    112.354
    Dallas
    107.245
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 5
    176
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    N/A

    Atlanta @ Minnesota


    Game 307-308
    August 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    113.377
    Minnesota
    107.194
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 6
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4 1/2
    155
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Phoenix @ Los Angeles


    Game 309-310
    August 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    107.752
    Los Angeles
    112.341
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 4 1/2
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 7
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+7); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-05-2018 at 11:14 AM.

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    WNBA

    Sunday, August 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Las Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
    Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Connecticut Sun
    Connecticut is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games
    Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Connecticut is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home
    Connecticut is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


    Washington Mystics
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Wings
    Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
    Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
    Dallas is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington


    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
    Phoenix is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
    Phoenix is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
    Phoenix is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Sparks
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
    Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Los Angeles is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
    Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Los Angeles's last 23 games at home
    Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix


    Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
    Atlanta is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games when playing Minnesota
    Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Minnesota is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
    Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Minnesota is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
    Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games when playing Atlanta
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-05-2018 at 11:15 AM.

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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, August 5


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (12 - 14) at CONNECTICUT (15 - 12) - 8/5/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CONNECTICUT is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 141-108 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
    CONNECTICUT is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against Eastern conference opponents this season.
    LAS VEGAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    LAS VEGAS is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 7-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (15 - 11) at DALLAS (14 - 13) - 8/5/2018, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (17 - 10) at MINNESOTA (15 - 12) - 8/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    ATLANTA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    ATLANTA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 7-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (16 - 12) at LOS ANGELES (16 - 11) - 8/5/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
    LOS ANGELES is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
    PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 7-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-05-2018 at 11:16 AM.

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    Sunday's WNBA Best Bets
    Joe Williams


    For the remainder of the WNBA regular season through the playoffs, we'll take a look at the best Sunday bets.

    The Las Vegas Aces (12-14) are scheduled to face the Connecticut Sun (15-12) at 3:00 p.m. ET. They had a 25-hour travel odyssey just to get from Las Vegas to Washington for Friday's game, which ended up being cancelled. Las Vegas, like all other WNBA teams, fly commercial. This isn't the NBA and charter flights. The Aces were stuck in the airport for several hours due to weather delays, flight cancellations and further delays, including a mechanical issue with an aircraft in Dallas. They ended up arriving in Washington after 25 hours of being stranded in the airport without the luxury of a hotel stay and limited food. The WNBPA issued a statement on the team's behalf after the players decided not to take the court upon arriving in Washington just a few hours before tip-off. So, will the travel odyssey linger on and affect them on Sunday?

    The Aces are 4-1 ATS across their past five road contests, as they have played their way into the Western Conference playoff picture. They're also 5-2 ATS over the past seven games overall, while going 31-12 ATS in the past 43 against Eastern Conference teams dating back to their previous days in San Antonio. The rest might not do them good, as they are just 2-5 ATS over the past seven when playing on three or more days of rest. Connecticut hasn't done much lately, either, going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 against Western Conference foes, while turning in a 4-12 ATS mark in the past 16 following a cover in their previous time out. The Sun are also 1-4 ATS in their past five when working on three or more days of rest, so something's gotta give.

    Total players might want to take a look at the 'under'. While the 'over' has hit in four of the past five meetings in this series, including 2-0 in two previous meetings this season, the 'under' is 7-0 in the past seven road games for Las Vegas. The under is also 5-1 over the past six outings for Connecticut, while going 7-2 in the past nine against Western Conference clubs. In addition, the under is 5-1 in the past six for the Sun following a straight-up victory.

    The Washington Mystics (15-11) had their unexpected extra rest thanks to the travel woes for the Aces. Now, they'll hit the road themselves for a battle against the Dallas Wings (14-13). The Mystics have been on fire on the road lately, going 9-4-1 ATS in the past 14 games away from the nation's capital. However, they're just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning straight-up record, while posting a 1-5-1 ATS mark in the past seven against Eastern Conference foes. For the Wings, they have failed to cover in four in a row, but they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven at home while going 9-3 ATS in their past 12 after a straight-up loss. The Wings are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven home meetings against the Mystics.

    Total bettors might be hitting the 'under' hard in this one. The under is 5-1 for Washington across their past six overall, while going 4-1 in their past five road games. The under is also 5-1 in their past six after a straight-up victory, and an impressive 4-1 in their past five when working on three or more days of rest. And, for what it's worth, the under is 13-5 in their past 18 appearances on Sunday, too. For Dallas, the under is 4-1 in their past five, and a perfect 4-0 in their past four outings against a team with an overall winning mark. The Wings have also hit the under in five in a row against Eastern Conference clubs, and the under is a perfect 4-0 in the past four meetings in this series.

    In the evening action, there are a pair of good games. The Phoenix Mercury (16-12) hook up with the Los Angeles Sparks (16-11) in SoCal. It is just the second meeting this season between these Western Conference rivals, with L.A. winning 80-72 in the first meeting at home on May 27. The Mercury have posted an 11-3 ATS mark in their past 14 road games, and they're 14-6 ATS in the past 20 following a straight-up victory. However, they have cashed in just one of the past five against number. For L.A., they're struggling against the spread lately, too, going 1-5 ATS in the past six at home, while posting a 2-6 ATS mark in the past eight at home against teams with a winning overall record. L.A. is also a dismal 0-6 ATS in their past six following a cover in their previous outing.

    L.A. has dominated the series against the number, going 7-1 ATS in their past eight, including 5-0 ATS in the past five home meetings against Phoenix. The under is 5-2 in the past seven at home for the Sparks against the Mercury, and the under is 36-17 in the past 53 at home overall for the Merc. The over is 4-0 in the past four on the road for Phoenix, however, and 6-2 in their past eight overall.

    The Atlanta Dream (17-10) and Minnesota Lynx (15-12) do battle in the Twin Cities in a game with playoff implications. The Dream have vaulted to the top of the Eastern Conference standings, and they have been one of the best teams against the number, too. In fact, they're tied with the Seattle Storm for the best record against the spread (17-10) this season. Both of these teams just played on Friday night, with Atlanta covering 89-74 against Chicago, while Minnesota took it on the chin in Seattle 85-75, failing to cover.

    The Dream are 5-0 ATS in their past five road games, while going 9-1 ATS in the past 10 games overall. They're also an impressive 12-2 ATS in the past 14 against teams with an overall winning record, while posting a 6-1 ATS across the past seven against Western Conference foes. The Lynx have had a difficult time against the number, going 2-5 ATS in their past seven at home, while going 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall and 2-5 ATS in the past seven against Eastern Conference teams, too. Atlanta has turned in a 2-6 ATS mark in the past eight meetings in this series, including just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to the Twin Cities.

    While the 'over' is 9-4 in the past 13 meetings between Atlanta and Minnesota, the 'under' has been the play for both sides lately. The under is 7-0 in Atlanta's past seven overall, and 6-0 in their past six following a straight-up win. However, while the under is 8-3 in the past 11 against Western Conference teams, the over has hit in six of their past eight on the road. For Minnesota, the under has hit in eight of the past nine overall, while going 5-1 in their past six against Eastern Conference clubs. The under is also 4-0 in their past four following a straight-up loss, and 5-0 in their past five after failing to cover in their previous outing.

    BEST BETS RECORD - LAST WEEK: 1-1 (-10)
    BEST BETS RECORD - SEASON: 1-1 (-10)
    Last edited by Udog; 08-05-2018 at 12:17 PM.

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