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Thread: Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/19

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    Default Thursday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, July 19

    Good Luck on day #200 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — SEC football Media Week ain’t the same without Les Miles.

    — Superstitious much? There are no Gate 13’s in McCarran Airport in Las Vegas.

    — Ole Miss basketball coach Mike White is only 41, but has lived in 14 different states

    — Georgia football coach Kirby Smart was a Finance major in college.

    — Purdue has a QB named Nick Sipe whose uncle is Brian Sipe, the terrific QB for the Browns who also played for the Jacksonville Bulls in the USFL.

    — Last seven years, Ohio St/Northwestern are only two Big 14 football teams that have been plus in turnovers in all seven years.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) San Antonio Spurs traded Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green to Toronto for DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl and a protected 2019 1st-round pick.

    Over the last five years, the Raptors went 263-147 in the regular season, only 21-30 in playoff games, so they fired their coach and traded their best player. We’ll see how that works out.

    12) I’m thinking managing a major league team now has to be more difficult than it used to be; back when I was a kid, guys like Sparky Anderson, Earl Weaver, Dick Williams were big names who unquestionably ran their teams- that doesn’t exist anymore.

    Front office/analytics types run the show on most teams now; managers with strong personalities don’t get hired as much or don’t keep their jobs— see Joe Girardi.

    Managers, by the very nature of their jobs, dictate the tone of their teams, but they dictate less and less of their team’s tactics and roster management, but they still have to answer to the press, which can’t be a lot of fun.

    11) On July 17, 1963, Braves-Giants played a game in San Francisco, Spahn vs Marichal, two Hall of Fame pitchers.

    Game was scoreless into the 16th inning with both pitchers going whole way, when Willie Mays ended it with a solo-homer off Spahn. Marichal threw 227 pitches and Spahn threw 201.

    If that happened today, both managers would’ve been fired after the game.

    10) One of the coolest nights I’ve spent in Las Vegas was during this week back in 2015, late on a Wednesday night.

    Diamondbacks game in Phoenix went 14 or 15 innings, ran very late; at same time, live coverage from the BBC or some channel in England had live first round coverage of the British Open on, so you could watch live action on TV’s next to each other, one on Wednesday night, the other Thursday morning. It was oddly fun.

    9) All nine people who made the final table at the World Series of Poker made $1M+; the winner got $8.8M, runner-up got $5M— no wonder he was smiling in the pictures afterwards.

    8) They had another poker tournament that ran Sunday-Tuesday, 27 people entered with a buy-in of $1M. Top 5 cashed, the other 22 had to explain to their wives why they blew $1M to play cards for a couple nights.

    Guy who won took home $10M and he was losing for most of the heads-up period.

    7) Golfer Hideki Matsuyama finished in the top-20 in each of the last seven majors and 11 of the last 14.

    6) From gambling expert Bill Krackomberger, talking about the start of legalized sports betting in New Jersey:

    “…….of the $15.4 million wagered, the casinos/state won just under $3.5 million in 16 days. That is a hold percentage of over 22%. In relation, Nevada’s hold for 2017 was 5.1%.”

    KL Wheat reported in from New Jersey Wednesday:

    “…….went to bet Ricky Fowler at 17-1 on board, went to bet 10 seconds later, it was 12-1.” That was at Monmouth— he got 16-1 on Fowler at Borgata.

    5) Back in 1983, Donald Trump could’ve bought the Dallas Cowboys for $50M but passed; now they’re worth $4.8B. Thats billion, with a B.

    4) Of the eight guys in Home Run Derby this year, only Harper/Freeman are making more than $660,000 this season. MLB needs more established stars to do Home Run Derby.

    3) One really cool thing about the derby this year is that the two finalists both had unusual guys throwing to them. Had to be a ton of pressure on these guys to throw hittable pitches.

    Bruce Harper had his dad throwing to him, which is great- Robinson Cano’s dad threw to him a few years ago, and Kyle Schwarber’s buddy threw to him- the graphic actually said under the guy’s name “Kyle’s friend”

    2) Apparently, Juwan Howard holds an NBA record he had 236 different teammates during his long playing career. Vince Carter could break that record this year if he plays; he’s had 228 different teammates in his career.

    1) Imagine being A’s reliever Blake Treinen Tuesday night; run out of Washington last summer, exiled to Oakland because he was having a bad year (5.73 ERA in 37.2 IP).

    Now he has 24 saves for an Oakland team that is a surprise contender in the AL Wild Card race, and he has been awesome. He comes back to Washington a year after they ran him out of town and he is a freakin’ All-Star. That had to be tremendous.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 07-19-2018 at 12:41 PM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, July 19



    New York @ Atlanta

    Game 309-310
    July 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    106.686
    Atlanta
    111.248
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 4 1/2
    167
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 9
    162
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+9); Over

    Washington @ Dallas


    Game 311-312
    July 19, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    114.523
    Dallas
    112.669
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 2
    179
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    176
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+4); Over

    Las Vegas @ Phoenix


    Game 313-314
    July 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    104.197
    Phoenix
    114.684
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 10 1/2
    164
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 8
    169
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (-8); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, July 19


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (7 - 15) at ATLANTA (13 - 9) - 7/19/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
    NEW YORK is 106-75 ATS (+23.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (13 - 9) at DALLAS (13 - 9) - 7/19/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 323-381 ATS (-96.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 185-236 ATS (-74.6 Units) after a division game since 1997.
    DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
    DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (10 - 13) at PHOENIX (15 - 8) - 7/19/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
    PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 6-2 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 8-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Thursday, July 19


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    New York Liberty
    New York is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
    New York is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    New York is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games on the road
    New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home
    Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
    Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against New York


    Washington Mystics
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
    Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Washington's last 24 games when playing Dallas
    Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Wings
    Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
    Dallas is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
    Dallas is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
    Dallas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 24 games when playing Washington
    Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington


    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
    Las Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix
    Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Phoenix is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
    Phoenix is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Las Vegas
    Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 07-19-2018 at 12:48 PM.

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