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Thread: Saturday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/7

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    Default Saturday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, July 7

    Good Luck on day #188 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    NFL players who were targeted most on red zone pass plays LY:

    26— Rob Gronkowski NE, Jimmy Graham Sea, Cooper Kupp LAR

    25— Julio Jones Atl

    24— Keenan Allen LAC

    23— Davonte Adams GB, Jarvis Landry Mia, Antonio Brown Pitt

    21— Travis Kelce KC, Adam Theilen Minn, Michael Thomas NO

    20— Fitzgerald Az, Bryant Dal, Abdullah Det, Jeffrey/Agholor/Ertz, all Phil

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: NFL knowledge for a summer Saturday

    13) Seven new head coaches in the NFL this coming season, 17 new offensive coordinators— over half the teams in the NFL changed OC’s after last year. 13 teams have new defensive coordinators.

    12) There are only three offensive coordinators in the NFL who’ve been in that job with the same team for more than three years; Scott Linehan (Dallas), Pete Carmichael (NO, though Sean Payton is the real OC there) and Josh McDaniels (NE).

    Only six defensive coordinators have been in their current job with the same team for 4+ years.

    11) Pete Carroll is going into his 9th season in Seattle, but he’ll have two new coordinators this season; Mike McCarthy has been in Green Bay for a dozen years, but he’ll have two new coordinators this season, too.

    10) Over was 13-3 in Falcon games in 2016, 2-13-1 last year. Over is 21-11 in Washington games the last two years.

    9) Baltimore Ravens went 9-7 LY, missing playoffs for 3rd year in row when their defense gagged at end of a 31-27 home loss to Cincinnati in Week 17, giving up a 49-yard TD pass in the last minute.

    When an NFL team is +17 in turnovers, +14 in sacks, scores eight TD’s on defense/special teams (T1 in NFL) and doesn’t make the playoffs, that not good.

    8) Vikings, Patriots had similar profiles last year; they both won despite not forcing many turnovers (Minn 19, NE 18), but rarely turning ball over themselves (Minn 14, NE 12).

    7) Teams who turned ball over the most LY: Browns 41, Broncos 34, Dolphins 29.

    Teams who turned ball over the least: Chiefs 11, Patriots 12, Vikings/Raiders 14.

    6) Teams with the most takeaways LY: Ravens 34, Jaguars 33, Lions 32, Eagles 31.

    Teams with the least takeaways LY:

    5) Jets, Raiders were only NFL teams LY to not score a TD on defense or special teams.

    4) Carolina Panthers were 11-5 LY, 8-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points, 4-0 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

    Norv Turner as the Panthers’ new OC will be fascinating, how he utilizes Cam Newton.

    3) Chargers went 9-7 LY, but were 1-4 in games decided by 3 or fewer points, losing three of those games during their 0-4 start, when the Bolts’ kickers screwed up in key spots. Chargers used four different kickers last year.

    2) Dak Prescott loses his top two red zone targets from LY, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. Dallas has only three players on its team who are 30+ years old.

    1) Alex Smith is a QB who doesn’t take as many chances as most QB’s, so his teams don’t turn the ball over as much- they had 11 turnovers LY, least in league. but Smith is in Washington now, and rookie QB Mahomes (1 start LY) is the Chiefs’ QB.

    Its not inconceivable that their giveaway total could double this season; 19 of 32 NFL teams turned the ball over 22+ times LY.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, July 7



    Washington @ Los Angeles

    Game 301-302
    July 7, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    106.595
    Los Angeles
    115.378
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 9
    161
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 7
    158
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (-7); Over

    Minnesota @ Chicago


    Game 303-304
    July 7, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    113.572
    Chicago
    102.652
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 11
    179
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 8
    166
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-8); Over

    Connecticut @ Las Vegas


    Game 305-306
    July 7, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    109.309
    Las Vegas
    108.833
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 1
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    N/A





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, July 7


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (11 - 6) at LOS ANGELES (12 - 7) - 7/7/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 321-379 ATS (-95.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 183-235 ATS (-75.5 Units) after a division game since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
    LOS ANGELES is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 7-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (11 - 7) at CHICAGO (6 - 12) - 7/7/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
    CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 4-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 4-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (10 - 8) at LAS VEGAS (7 - 12) - 7/7/2018, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-2 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 7-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Saturday, July 7


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Washington Mystics
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
    Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
    Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Los Angeles's last 16 games
    Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Washington
    Los Angeles is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington
    Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Los Angeles's last 16 games when playing at home against Washington


    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games
    Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Sky
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Chicago is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
    Chicago is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
    Chicago is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Connecticut Sun
    Connecticut is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Connecticut is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    Connecticut is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Connecticut is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games on the road
    Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 10 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Las Vegas is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
    Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games at home
    Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 10 games when playing at home against Connecticut


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 07-07-2018 at 09:13 AM.

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