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Thread: Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/26

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    Default Tuesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 6/26

    Sorry, guys! I had an outpatient procedure early this morning that just took a lot longer than they thought. Sorry about missing the Nats/Rays start. Here we go....


    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, June 26

    Good Luck on day #177 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Rays 11, Nationals 0— Washington got to Tampa at 5am after their Sunday nite game.

    — Blue Jays 6, Astros 3— Grichuk homered, made a game-saving catch in 9th inning.

    — A’s 5, Tigers 4— Gritty Oakland team trailed 4-1 in 8th inning.

    — Marlins 5, Arizona 3— Miami is 9-5 in its last 14 games.

    — Pirates 6, Mets 4— New York has now lost seven games in a row.

    — Braves 5, Reds 4 (11)— Ozzie Albies hit a walk-off homer.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Good discussion on strategy during the interesting Phils-Nationals game Sunday night; Phillies walked 19-year old Juan Soto to load bases with two out, with Daniel Murphy coming up next. Alex Rodriguez said he wouldn’t have done that. ARod gives opinions before the fact and that makes him fun to listen to.

    Its a gray area, since Soto has been hitting really well and Murphy just recently returned from a long injury absence, but Murphy has a long history as a terrific hitter. Plus if you walk Soto the bases are loaded, which puts more pressure on the pitcher.

    Sure enough, Murphy gets a hit, the Nationals go on to win, but it is part of what makes baseball so interesting; we’ll never know what Soto would’ve done had they chosen to pitch to him.

    12) James Harden won MVP in the NBA; Victor Oladipo won Most Improved Player and Ben Simmons won Rookie of the Year.

    11) This is a funny tweet from Rachel Harper- I have no idea who she is, but…….

    “For the past two years the ticket man at my station has baffled me. Some days we get on like a house on fire, chatting about life. Other days he won’t even return a hello…turns out to be a pair of identical twins who both work there…….

    TWO SEPERATE MEN.

    TWO YEARS GUYS.”

    10) Oklahoma football coach Lincoln Riley has a new contract worth $5M a year; in his first year as coach of the Sooners, they were 1st first nationally in total yards (8,114), yards per play (8.29), touchdowns (80), yards per game (579.6) and averaged 5.6 yards per rushing attempt.

    TheMMQB.com has an interesting article with Riley this week, about how NFL coaches are going to Norman to pick Riley’s brain about how the Sooners do things.

    The NFL has become more like college ball, in part because NFL coaches now have less time to work with players in the offseason, much like how college coaches are limited (20 hours a week) during the season.

    9) Los Angeles Rams have a financial literacy program every rookie has to finish before signing his first contract and getting his first check. They help the players prepare for the all new things they’re about to experience, both good and bad.

    Rams’ CEO Kevin Demoff’s dad was Marvin Demoff, a really good player agent back in the day, so he knows the pitfalls of what can happen if a player’s personal life gets messed up. Also, it is different living in an entertainment center like Los Angeles; lot more opportunities.

    8) When Sam Darnold fell to the Jets with the 3rd pick in the NFL draft in April, their people were so happy they wanted to put the card in right away, but for TV purposes, the NFL made them stretch it out for the whole 15:00, before Darnold was announced as the Jets’ pick.

    Jets’ GM Mike Maccagnan took five scouting trips to see Darnold play live in 2017, and VP of player personnel Brian Heimerdinger spent 17 nights in Los Angeles during the season, doing his due diligence on Darnold. Lot of grunt work in scouting.

    7) A Jets’ scout’s report marked Baker Mayfield a perfect 9—exceedingly uncommon—as a teammate, leader and worker, but gave him lower grades elsewhere.

    6) This past week was Week 12 of our fantasy baseball season; with three weeks til the All-Star break, it is kind of the dog days of baseball, especially for bad teams.

    Surprised me that the three bottom teams in our fantasy league all won this past week; that doesn’t happen much. Competitive league, lot of close games. Makes it more fun.

    5) Denver Nuggets and star Nikola Jokic agreed on a 5-year, $146.5M maximum contract.

    4) Turns out the Chargers would’ve wanted Lamar Jackson to play some WR had they drafted him, and there was no way he would agree to that, which is part of why he wouldn’t run the 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine.

    I think when we see the Ravens play this fall, if he doesn’t start, Jackson will get on the field for some trick plays, lining up at WR but he’ll throw the ball off of end-arounds and stuff like that. Ravens are smart enough to call it “two QB’s on field at once” not “Lamar playing WR.”

    3) Ilya Kovalchuk signed a 3-year, $18M deal with the LA Kings; he is 35, and hasn’t played in the NHL since 2013. In the last five seasons, no NHL player over age 35 has scored more than 30 goals in a season.

    2) Congrats to Detroit Tigers Leonys Martin and Jose Iglesias, who are now American citizens. Good for them!!!

    1) RIP to Richard Harrison, “Old Man” on the Pawn Stars TV show, who passed away Monday after a long battle with Parkinson’s Disease.

    Rick Harrison, owner of the Gold & Silver Pawn Shop that is featured on Pawn Stars, said this: “He was my hero and I was fortunate to get a very cool ‘Old Man’ as my dad. He lived a very full life and through the History television show ‘Pawn Stars’ touched the lives of people all over, teaching them the value of loving your family, hard work and humor.”

    RIP, sir.

  3. #3
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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, June 26



    Phoenix @ New York

    Game 311-312
    June 26, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    111.120
    New York
    102.678
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 8 1/2
    161
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 3 1/2
    156 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Connecticut @ Washington


    Game 313-314
    June 26, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    105.866
    Washington
    116.724
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 11
    177
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    173
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-1 1/2); Over

    Seattle @ Minnesota


    Game 315-316
    June 26, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    116.412
    Minnesota
    116.460
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    Even
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 6
    165 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (+6); Under

    Dallas @ Los Angeles


    Game 317-318
    June 26, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    110.897
    Los Angeles
    112.648
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 2
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 9 1/2
    163 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+9 1/2); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, June 26


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (10 - 5) at NEW YORK (4 - 8) - 6/26/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 104-72 ATS (+24.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
    NEW YORK is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after scoring 55 points or less since 1997.
    NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (8 - 5) at WASHINGTON (8 - 5) - 6/26/2018, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (10 - 4) at MINNESOTA (7 - 6) - 6/26/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in June games over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 38-65 ATS (-33.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 6-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (6 - 6) at LOS ANGELES (10 - 3) - 6/26/2018, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOS ANGELES is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games on Tuesday since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Tuesday, June 26


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Phoenix is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
    Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Liberty
    New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    New York is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 14 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix


    Connecticut Sun
    Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Connecticut is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Connecticut is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Connecticut is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Connecticut is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Mystics
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
    Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
    Washington is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Connecticut
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Connecticut
    Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut


    Seattle Storm
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
    Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games at home
    Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
    Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Seattle
    Minnesota is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Seattle
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle


    Dallas Wings
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Dallas's last 23 games on the road
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Los Angeles is 17-6-2 ATS in its last 25 games
    Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 10 games
    Los Angeles is 14-2-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
    Los Angeles is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
    Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Los Angeles is 4-11-2 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  4. #4
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    WNBA Betting Recap - 6/18-6/24
    Joe Williams

    League Betting Notes (Monday, June 18 through Sunday, June 24)

    -- Favorites went 9-7 straight up (SU)
    -- Underdogs went 7-9 against the spread (ATS)
    -- Home teams went 10-6 SU
    -- Home/road teams went 8-8 ATS
    -- The 'under' went 9-7

    Team Betting Notes

    -- Atlanta (7-6) split a pair of games for the second consecutive week, picking up an impressive win against Connecticut (8-5). The victory for the Dream snapped an 0-3 ATS skid. They have yet to cover in back-to-back contests this season, going 5-7-1 ATS overall.

    -- For the Sun, they put to bed a four-game losing streak of their own with a win at Indiana (1-13) on Sunday. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for Connecticut, and is 6-3 across their past nine outings.

    -- The Fever continue to struggle in the win-loss category, but at least they've been respectable against the spread. Indiana is 6-4 ATS across the past 10 outings, with the 'under' going 4-1 over the past five. They'll get a chance at revenge on Wednesday in Connecticut.

    -- Dallas (6-6) had a three-game cover streak ended at home when Seattle (10-4) blew their doors off in the Metroplex by a 97-76 count. The Wings are a decent 3-2 ATS over their past five outings on the road, and that's where they'll be on Tuesday and Wednesday to start the new week.

    -- Las Vegas (5-10) got off to a bit of a slow start, going 1-7 SU. However, they're a respectable 4-3 SU/ATS across the past seven outings, including a 3-1 SU/ATS mark across their past four on the road. The Aces will look to get back on track with a victory against the Wings on Wednesday night.

    -- Los Angeles (10-3) continues to turn back most opponents at home, racking up four straight wins on their home floor while going 6-1 SU/5-1-1 ATS in seven games in SoCal. The 'under' has been the play for total bettors at the window, cashing in 8-2 over the past 10 contests.

    -- It was a solid start to the season for New York (4-8), but they have hit the skids hard lately. The Liberty opened with covers in three of their first four, but they have managed to cover just once in the past six outings dating back to June 7. They have allowed at least 72 points in each of their 12 games this season, and the 'over' is 3-1 across their past four.

    -- Phoenix (10-5) has suffered two straight losses to follow an eight-game winning streak. They're also 0-2 ATS over the past two to follow their impressive 7-1 ATS run. They'll look to get back on track on the road against the Liberty, a team they beat 80-74 in the City back on June 5 to cover a 2 1/2-point spread.

    -- Washington (8-5) has posted a 3-1 SU/ATS record over the past four to follow up a three-game losing streak. The Mystics appear to be back on track, and the 'over' has hit in four of the past five, too. They'll look to keep it going Tuesday against the visiting Sun. They will also be looking to avenge an 88-64 beating on their home court against the Sun back on June 3.

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