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Thread: Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

  1. #151
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    CFL
    Dunkel

    Week 7


    Thursday, July 26

    Edmonton @ Montreal

    Game 361-362
    July 26, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    107.142
    Montreal
    105.592
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1 1/2
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    by 9
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+9); Over



    Friday, July 27

    Toronto @ Winnipeg

    Game 363-364
    July 27, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    108.643
    Winnipeg
    116.286
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 7 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 12
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+12); Over



    Saturday, July 28

    Ottawa @ Hamilton

    Game 365-366
    July 28, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    107.434
    Hamilton
    117.542
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hamilton
    by 10
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hamilton
    by 4 1/2
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Hamilton
    (-4 1/2); Under

    Calgary @ Saskatchewan


    Game 367-368
    July 28, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    124.734
    Saskatchewan
    113.292
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 11 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    by 6 1/2
    47 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (-6 1/2); Under
    Last edited by Udog; 07-26-2018 at 12:21 AM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #152
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    Handicapping Purdue (5)
    July 25, 2018


    The Purdue Boilermakers were a pleasant surprise last season in the first year under Jeff Brohm, as they won seven games including the Foster Farms Bowl.

    The Boilermakers could have similar success in 2018, but only if they can keep their quarterbacks healthy. Oddsmakers believe that Purdue is going to slip back this season, as they set the win total for the Boilermakers at five.

    Let’s look at Purdue’s schedule to see if they will go over or under that number.

    2018 Purdue Boilermakers Season Win Total
    Over 5 (-120)
    Under 5 (-11)


    2018 Purdue Boilermakers Schedule Analysis

    Aug. 30 Northwestern


    It is not often that a team starts off with conference play, but that is the case for Purdue and Northwestern this season. This is not a great spot for Purdue considering they lost a lot of players in the off-season. Oddsmakers still give Purdue a decent chance to win this one though, as the Boilermakers are listed as 3.5-point favorites.

    Sept. 8 Eastern Michigan

    The Boilermakers should not have any problem winning this one against a weak Eastern Michigan squad.

    Sept. 15 Missouri

    If the Boilermakers are going to get to six wins, this game and the following one against Boston College are huge. The Boilermakers will need to score a lot of points to win this one, as the Tigers are very potent on offense.

    Sept. 22 Boston College

    This will be a much different game for the Boilermakers than the one against Missouri, as Boston College is a tough defensive squad. This is a very winnable game and one that Purdue needs before heading out on the road.

    Sept. 29 at Nebraska


    The Cornhuskers are going to be much better this season under Scott Frost and this has the looks of the first road loss for Purdue.

    Oct. 13 at Illinois

    This could be the most important game of the season for Purdue simply because they probably have to win it to get to six wins. It comes after a bye week, so there are no excuses for Purdue not to win this game.

    Oct. 20 Ohio State

    The Boilermakers are going to struggle in the second half of the season against a tough schedule. They don’t figure to win this one against the Buckeyes, even though it is at home.

    Oct. 27 at Michigan State


    It is hard to see Purdue going on the road and winning against a quality Michigan State team. Now you can see why the Illinois game is so huge.

    Nov. 3 Iowa

    The Hawkeyes are a quality team that could contend for the Big Ten title this season, so this is yet another tough home game and a probable loss.

    Nov. 10 at Minnesota

    This is yet another huge game for the Boilermakers because many games on the schedule this season don’t look winnable. This game at Minnesota is winnable and the Boilermakers need it.

    Nov. 17 Wisconsin


    The Badgers are considered one of the top teams in the Big Ten, but this game is at home and the Boilermakers might make this game closer than expected.

    Nov. 24 at Indiana

    The Boilermakers have to hope this game means something. If Purdue is in contention for a bowl game this is probably a must-win.

    2018 Purdue Boilermakers Regular Season Total Prediction


    The Boilermakers schedule does help them out, as they play their first four games at home. The problem for Purdue is that only one of those games looks like a sure win. Purdue was good last season under Brohm, but there is a real chance they will take a step back this season because of all of their off-season losses.

    Oddsmakers put the win total for Purdue at just five games and that number could be too low. The Boilermakers don’t have to do that much to get to six wins and go over the total. They could definitely go 3-1 in their first four games and then they have winnable games at Illinois, Minnesota and Indiana, plus they are not without a chance to win a few other games.

    Purdue should definitely have a chance to win six games and go over their win total this season.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #153
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    Ohio, Northern Illinois picked as MAC preseason favorites
    July 24, 2018


    DETROIT (AP) Northern Illinois is hoping to re-establish its recent run of Mid-American Conference dominance with a return to the Motor City in November.

    For Ohio, the championship history is more in the distant past.

    The two teams are the divisional favorites in the media's preseason poll released Tuesday, when the MAC held its media day at Ford Field in Detroit. The stadium is also the site of the Nov. 30 conference championship game.

    Northern Illinois made the MAC title game for six straight seasons from 2010-15, winning it three times in that span. Ohio hasn't won a MAC title since 1968.

    Although the conference is known for midweek offensive fireworks, Northern Illinois coach Rod Carey said defense is the key to getting back to Detroit, where Toledo topped Akron 45-28 for last season's championship.

    ''I think historically if you look at it, the team that always ends up winning the league is the team that plays the best defense,'' Carey said. ''They might not have a great defense, but they play the best defense.''

    NIU will be led by defensive end Sutton Smith, a second-team All-American who led the nation with 29.5 tackles for loss and had 16 sacks. Carey said he's been pleased with the work ethic of Smith, who said he added 20 pounds of muscle this offseason.

    ''I'm just trying to get bigger, faster, stronger and know the game more than I ever have before,'' Smith said.

    Under coach Frank Solich, Ohio led the MAC with 37.4 points per game last season. Returning at quarterback is Nathan Rourke, a Canadian who rushed for 21 touchdowns last season in his first year as a starter.

    ''I'm just trying to learn the offense a little bit better,'' Rourke said. ''Last year, I just kind of got my feet wet a little bit, and now I'm just trying to dive in and get to the point where I can teach it to our young guys.''

    The 73-year-old Solich said he doesn't dwell much on the program's 50-year title drought, noting that the Bobcats have reached Detroit four times in his 13 seasons at the helm.

    ''We had our opportunities,'' Solich said. ''We're going to have more opportunities coming up and we'll get it done at some point.''

    In the East Division, Ohio received 21 first-place votes and 140 total points from the 24 media voters; Buffalo was second (one first-place vote, 112 total); Miami was third (two, 95); Akron was fourth (74); Bowling Green was fifth (58); and Kent State finished sixth (25).

    In the West, Northern Illinois earned 15 first-place votes and 133 total points; Toledo was second (seven, 125); Western Michigan was third (one, 87); Eastern Michigan was fourth (67); Central Michigan was fifth (one, 58); and Ball State was sixth (34).

    Ohio was the most common pick to win the championship game with 13 votes, followed by Toledo (five), Northern Illinois (four), Miami (one) and Central Michigan (one).

    The league has been balanced - six teams have made the championship game over the last three years and every team has made a bowl in the last six seasons - but MAC Commissioner Jon Steinbrecher would not follow the marketing lead of the American Athletic Conference. The AAC touts itself as a member of a so-called Power Six , along with the five major conferences granted autonomous voting rights by the NCAA in 2014.

    Steinbrecher wasn't going down that road, although he was sympathetic to the AAC's attitude.

    ''I get what they're trying to do. They're trying to fight back on this idea that, just because we have this governmental designation, doesn't mean that we're not a quality team,'' Steinbrecher said. ''Look at what Central Florida did last year. They had a great year. Good for them. Bang the drum on that. What we did with Western Michigan or Northern Illinois years before - fact of the matter is, the top teams in our league or other leagues, can play with anybody in the country.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Wisconsin favored to win Big Ten West
    July 24, 2018


    CHICAGO (AP) Success for the Wisconsin Badgers is about as ho-hum as their leader's personality.

    All Wisconsin does is win under no-nonsense, coach-next-door Paul Chryst.

    The Badgers finished a school-best 13-1 last year, missing the playoffs following a loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten title game but beating Miami in the Orange Bowl.

    They're a top contender again to play well into January, let alone the favorites to win the Big Ten West division.

    No pressure for the Badgers. Really.

    ''But I think the part of being a good leader is not showing any weakness in times of pressure and things like that,'' linebacker T.J. Edwards said. ''He does such a good job with that, you look to him in times like that, you feel the same way.''

    There are few things Chryst likes less than sitting at a podium answering questions, but that's what he had to do Tuesday in Chicago at Big Ten media days. Chryst answers questions in a polite, often monotone voice. He doesn't command a room like Ohio State's Urban Meyer or Michigan's Jim Harbaugh.

    Away from the media lights, the down-to-earth personality resonates with players like senior safety D'Cota Dixon. He was asked at one point Tuesday about looking ahead at Wisconsin's schedule.

    ''I don't really look at it like that. Just line up, play football. Whoever is in front of me, beat them,'' Dixon said.

    A reporter told Dixon that was the kind of simple, one-week-at-a-time response Chryst would deliver.

    ''Does it? Then that's a good thing,'' Dixon said with a smile.

    Chryst characterized the pressure he feels as ''doing your job to the best of your ability. Are you doing all you can to help this team?''

    Focus on that, on things like making sure players stay in shape or prepare in the classroom, and that in turn gets the team prepared to go for big goals like conference championships.

    ''I think some of the perceived pressure, because you can't impact them, I can't worry about what is being said around the outside,'' Chryst said.

    Wisconsin is 34-7 since Chryst returned to Madison to coach his alma mater in 2015, the fifth-best mark in the country behind Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State and Oklahoma. The Badgers are 22-4 in conference play, having won back-to-back division titles.

    ''They play great defense consistently and they run the ball very well consistently,'' Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz said. ''Third thing I'd say is they don't beat themselves. ... That's a pretty good formula for success, you get those three down, it make it tough for people to catch you.''

    The Hawkeyes have a reputation of playing tough football, just like the Badgers. Iowa and Northwestern figure to be Wisconsin's stiffest competition in the West.

    ''They've always had good guys that come through that are big, physical guys and I think especially the line play has been very good,'' Iowa defensive lineman Matt Nelson said. ''That's what wins games in the Big Ten.''

    At the other end of the division is Illinois, which is 5-19 in two years under coach Lovie Smith. They Illini went winless in the Big Ten last season.

    Smith hopes the turnaround starts in Year 3, with a new training facility also scheduled to open in 2019.

    ''We realize we haven't won enough football games. But they come, if you continue to do the right things,'' Smith said. ''We've changed the culture of our program. We know the look that we would like to have on the football field.''
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #155
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    CFL Week 7

    Edmonton (3-2) (-8.5, 48) @ Montreal (1-4)— Eskimos won their last eight series games, winning//covering last four visits here, by 18-20-3-10 points. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Edmonton scored only 17-16 points in splitting pair of games with Toronto last two weeks, after scoring 31.7 ppg in first three games- they split their two road games. Alouettes traded for QB Manziel this week; they’re 1-4 this year, scoring 18 or fewer points in all four losses- they lost their two home games, by 46-10 points. Under is 4-1 in their games this season.

    Toronto (1-4) @ Winnipeg (3-3) (-10.5, 53.5)— Blue Bombers ran ball for 184 yards in its 38-20 win in Toronto LW; they jumped out to 25-1 lead, blanked Argos in 4th quarter. Winnipeg scored 38+ points in its three wins, an average of 21.3 in their losses; Bombers split their two home games- over is 4-2 in their games. Argonauts lost their two road games, by 1-8 points; they’re scored 20 or fewer points in all five games (under 4-1). Bombers won four of last five series games, covering all five; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Toronto lost its last two visits here, 46-29/33-25.

    Ottawa (3-2) @ Hamilton (2-3) (-6, 55.5)— Ottawa is 3-2 in last five games with Hamilton (over 3-2). Average in total in those games was 62.8. Ottawa allowed 24+ points in three of its last four games. RedBlacks split their first two road games, both decided by 10 points (favorites 2-0 vs spread). Three of their last four games stayed under. Ottawa scored 28+ points in its three wins, 14-3 in its losses. Hamilton scored 31-38 points in its two wins, was held to 14-13-20 in its losses. Under is 3-2 in their games.

    Calgary (5-0) (-6.5, 47) @ Saskatchewan (3-2)— Unbeaten Calgary is allowing 9.2 ppg; they won their two road games, 41-7/27-3. All five of their games stayed under the total. Roughriders just beat Hamilton twice, as underdogs of 10, 6 points; Saskatchewan allowed 20 or fewer points in its wins, 23-40 in their losses. Under is 3-2 in their games. Road team won three of last four series games; Stampeders covered seven of last nine- they won their last four visits to Regina, by 6-9-3-7 points. Last five series games stayed under the total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #156
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    PREVIEW

    ALS, ESKIMOS OPEN WEEK 7 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL


    MONTREAL — The Edmonton Eskimos and Montreal Alouettes enter their Thursday Night Football matchup this week from very different angles.

    At 1-4 and anchored to the bottom of the East Division, the Alouettes are in search of a spark. The team dealt veterans Chris Williams and Jamaal Westerman to Hamilton in exchange for much-hyped quarterback Johnny Manziel — and O-linemen Tony Washington and Landon Rice — on Sunday.

    Thus, while Manziel, the former Heisman Trophy winner, is listed as Montreal’s No. 3 quarterback on Thursday’s depth chart, the Als have shaken things up in a big way — and it probably won’t be long before Johnny Football is starting.

    For the time being, however, it will be Vernon Adams Jr. at the helm against Edmonton, a team that at 3-2 will still see itself as a frontrunner in the race for a home playoff game in the West Division.

    CFL.ca has unprecedented coverage of Thursday Night Football presented by the Brick, including a 30-minute live show CFL Game Time at 6:30 p.m. ET, as the Alouettes host the Eskimos at Percival Molson Stadium.

    As inconsistent as Montreal’s QB situation has been in recent years, Mike Reilly has given the Eskimos the polar opposite: Week in, week out consistency under centre, with MOP-type numbers to boot.

    This Thursday’s meeting will serve as a must-win for both: Edmonton cannot afford a slip-up on the road against the last-place Als, while Montreal needs to stop the bleeding before it’s too late in 2018.

    Jason Maas is a football preacher.

    The kind of coach that preaches ‘D’ words like discipline, details and more discipline.

    This week is no different — regardless of the opponent, he knows his team will only take it as far as their mental game takes them.

    “This is a business trip for us,” Maas told Esks.com. “We need to go in there, play assignment-sound football, cover all the bases and make sure we’re ready to go.”

    As per usual, the stoic Eskimos head coach downplayed his opponent’s record and put the focus squarely on his own team.

    “I know they’re more than capable of playing good football,” continued Maas. “We need to play our best football to beat them…we’re focused on the details, understanding our schemes. I’m not concerned what their record is — they beat Saskatchewan in Saskatchewan, and played Calgary tough in Calgary.

    “They’re a pro football team, so we’re worried about the Montreal Alouettes and could care less about the history (and record).”

    Edmonton will be boosted in the run game by C.J. Gable’s return to full health; the 30-year-old running back has averaged 5.1 yards-per-carry, and initially appeared in doubt for Thursday’s contest after taking a heavy hit from Toronto’s Dylan Wynn in Week 5.

    “He’s looked great all week — passed all the tests, and the test on the field he did with flying colours,” said Maas of his veteran running back. “(Bye week) couldn’t have come at a better time for C.J., (it) gave him some extra time we wouldn’t have been afforded on a normal week.”

    Veteran quarterback Mike Reilly leads the CFL in pass yards with 1,648, and did not bite on questions about the fun side of Montreal.

    “The funnest thing you can do in any CFL city, whether it’s a home game or an away game, is win.” said Reilly bluntly. “Different cities present different issues. To me, it’s the time zone change, it’s the long flight. It’s a later game on Thursday, so we should have the whole morning to make sure we’re rested and ready to go.

    “We’re a veteran team, we don’t worry about that.”

    As for the news which dominated league headlines throughout the week — Manziel’s arrival in Montreal — the veteran Esks pivot was indifferent.

    “It gives a guy like Johnny an opportunity to get out there and play some, and that’s something any player’s excited about,” said Reilly. “The toughest challenge (would be) the intricacies of that particular offence, and the timing and chemistry with the WRs. But (he has) the physical ability, he got some decent play time in pre-season (and) I’m sure he’s been active in practice too.”

    The Johnny Football circus was in full effect in Montreal throughout the Alouettes’ short week, but it appears — on the depth chart, at least — that head coach Mike Sherman will trot out his familiar quarterbacks on Thursday.

    That’s not to say Manziel, 25, won’t feature. But it’s a Vernon Adams forecast, with a small chance of somebody else — whether it be the banged-up Shiltz, Manziel or veteran Drew Willy.

    “We want to make sure that the type of QB we have here fits a certain model that we’re looking for,” Sherman told MontrealAlouettes.com. “I always had, in the back of my mind, that if I ever coached up here, I’d have a mobile quarterback…(and) our quarterbacks pretty much have that.”

    The 63-year-old Sherman has seen, coached and managed a lot of quarterbacks in his day, and was not afraid to give Adams his vote of confidence.

    “He’s a very passionate player, (and) has a lot of confidence in himself and what he’s capable of doing,” continued Sherman. “He can make all the throws we ask him to make.”

    The less-reported boost provided by Sunday’s trade with Hamilton will be the shoring up of Montreal’s offensive line; the Als have surrendered a league-worst 17 sacks in four games, and will need to be better for the sake of their pass and run game.

    “I don’t have a crystal ball to determine the health of our line after this ballgame, but the best teams I’ve been on — the championship teams I’ve been on — they’ve had excellent O-lines that have stayed healthy throughout the year,” explained Sherman. “If we can stay healthy with this group of linemen, we have a chance to be much-improved. And we have to be.”

    Montreal’s two O-line acquisitions will dress and feature on Thursday: Tony Washington will start at left tackle, while veteran Landon Rice will likely mix into the rotation on the opposite side.

    Then, there’s Manziel himself: With just two days of practice, he’s unlikely to be a major player against Edmonton. But there’s always a chance.

    “We’ll play that by ear, I don’t want to put him in a situation that is uncomfortable for him,” explained Sherman. “Then again, I do want to put him on the field and give him a chance. He’ll definitely be in uniform. We’ll have to wait and see.”

    B.J. Cunningham will likely be the premier target for whichever quarterback slings passes for Montreal going forward; George Johnson, Chris Harper and Eugene Lewis are the starting receivers, while slumping veteran Ernest Jackson will start at slotback.

    Crunchin’ Numbers:

    7 – Consecutive wins against Montreal for Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly since 2014.

    7 – Straight losses on home turf for the Alouettes, the longest skid in team history. Montreal is also 1-15 in their last 16 contests, which equals the worst mark in Montreal football history (Oct. ’51-Oct. ’52).

    14 – Successful kicks in a row for Als kicker Boris Bede; the Frenchman has not missed a kick in 2018, going 8-for-8 on field goals and 6-for-6 on converts to date.

    15.5 – Average points scored by Edmonton over its most recent two-game set with Toronto, a steep a drop-off from the 31.7 it was averaging in its first three games of the season.


    What will Vernon Adams look like in just his fourth career start? How will Johnny Manziel — and Matthew Shiltz, for that matter — factor in the Alouette offence?

    Will the Eskimos come out and dominate, hungry off a bye week? Or will the offence continue to sputter as it did over two games against the Argos?

    Plenty of intriguing questions, and the answers will be served up shortly.

    Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, RDS and ESPN+.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    THURSDAY, JULY 26
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    EDM at MTL 07:30 PM
    EDM -9.5
    O 48.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #158
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    GAME RECAP

    REILLY SHINES AS ESKS DEFEAT ALS IN MONTREAL


    MONTREAL — Mike Reilly threw for 415 yards and four touchdowns and CJ Gable made a highlight-reel catch to propel the Edmonton Eskimos to their fourth win of the season on Thursday night.

    On a perfect evening for football in Montreal after days of intense heat and rain, the Esks scored 17 straight points in the second half en route to the victory, sending the 16,000+ fans at Percival Molson Stadium home disappointed.

    Edmonton Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly started the game completing his first four passes for 39 yards, but it was Montreal that struck first.

    Early on, Montreal Alouettes quarterback Vernon Adams lived up to his promise of playing loose and having fun, scrambling for eight yards in the team’s second offensive series. The Als then benefited from a pass interference penalty that put the ball on the one-yard line. Adams finished the job, scoring his first touchdown of the season.

    Edmonton replied two minutes later on a five-play, 47 yard drive capped by a 44-yard Sean Whyte field goal.

    Towards the end of the first quarter, the Montreal Alouettes forced a botched snap by the Edmonton Eskimos, giving them prime field position in Esks territory.

    Soon after, Als kicker Boris Bede split the uprights to give the Als a seven-point lead to open the second quarter.

    Reilly responded shortly thereafter, throwing a 37-yard dart to Kenny Stafford before finding D’haquille Williams for a 20-yard touchdown. The entire drive took less than three minutes.

    Any momentum the Alouettes had built in the first quarter dissipated midway through the second thanks to a Vernon Adam interception. Edmonton defensive halfback Aaron Grymes, patrolling the middle of the field, read Adams and ran the pick back 35 yards.

    Reilly then found CJ Gable, who made an acrobatic one-handed catch and dove in for the score, giving Edmonton its first lead of the game. It was also Gable’s first score of the season.

    Midway through the second quarter and with the offense sputtering, fans began clamoring for newcomer Johnny Manziel to take the field, something that ultimately didn’t happen.

    Montreal’s offense seemed to awaken after that, with Boris Bede hitting a season-long 52-yard field goal and Vernon Adams running for 28 yards on the next series.

    Despite the late surge, Montreal went into the locker room down by 14 at halftime.

    Similar to the first half, Montreal started off well to begin the third quarter. This time, however, it was their defense that provided the spark, pinning Edmonton inside its own 10 yard line and forcing a safety.

    Edmonton responded a few minutes later, with Mike Reilly finding Derel Walker for a 36-yard score to cap an eight play, 85-yard drive. That score extended Edmonton’s lead to 19.

    Early in the fourth quarter, Reilly scored on a QB sneak to complete a 14-play, 85-yard drive that took over nine minutes to complete. It marked the second time this season the league’s second-ranked offense has hit the 40-point mark.

    Aided by two Edmonton penalties, Montreal marched the ball down the field in the fourth quarter and scored on a five-yard touchdown run by Ryder Stone for his first touchdown of the season. They then scored on the ensuing two-point convert.

    Despite the loss, there were positives for the Alouettes. Adams looked mobile and unafraid to take off, scrambling for 28 yards on one play. He ended the evening with 57 rushing yards on seven carries.

    Edmonton next plays on Aug. 2, when they host the Saskatchewan Roughriders at Commonwealth Stadium. For Als fans, their next opportunity to potentially see Johnny Manziel is on Aug. 3, when his old teammates from Hamilton come to Montreal.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Friday, July 27, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    8:30 PM Toronto Argonauts Winnipeg Blue Bombers

    Saturday, July 28, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    4:00 PM Ottawa Redblacks Hamilton Tiger Cats
    9:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Saskatchewan Roughriders


    *********************


    July's Canadian Football Record; ( All Picks )

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    07/26/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    07/21/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
    07/20/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    07/14/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    07/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    07/12/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50+10.00
    07/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    07/06/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    07/05/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

    Totals...............11-11........50.00%%....-5.50


    CFL Best Bets:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    DATE.........................ATS.................. .....UNITS.....................O/U...................UNITS...........TOTAL

    07/26/2018..............1 - 0........................+5.00.................... 1 - 0...................+5.00...........+10.00
    07/21/2018..............1 - 1 .......................-0.50.....................3 - 1...................+9.50............+9.00
    07/20/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................0 - 1...................-5.50.............-11.00
    07/14/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................0 - 1...................-5.50.............-11.00
    07/13/2018..............1 - 0.......................+5.00.................... 0 - 1...................-5.50.............-0.50
    07/12/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00............-0.50
    07/07/2018..............2 - 0.......................+10.00...................0 - 2...................-11.00............-1.00
    07/06/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00.............-0.50
    07/05/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00.............-0.50

    Totals......................5 - 6........................-13.00....................7 - 6..................+7.50..............-5.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #160
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    Friday’s 6-pack

    Duke’s non-conference basketball schedule for this fall:
    Nov 6— vs Kentucky (@ Indianapolis)
    Nov 11— Army
    Nov 14— Eastern Michigan
    Nov 19— @ Maui Classic (vs San Diego State 1st round)
    Nov 27— Indiana
    Dec 1— Stetson
    Dec 5— Hartford
    Dec 8— Yale
    Dec 20— Texas Tech (@ Madison Square Garden)
    Feb 2— St John’s

    Zero true road games. As usual.

    Tweet of the Day
    “I’m annoyed about the whole three-game series. It happened two days ago — a rain delay with two outs in the first inning — and it happened again tonight. I’m not happy about it.”
    Red Sox manager Alex Cora, talking about the rained out game on Wednesday

    Friday’s quiz

    Which major league team used to play home games in Riverfront Stadium?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Houston Astros used to play in the National League; JR Richard hit 10 homers, the most homers of any Astro pitcher while wearing a Houston uniform.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    In the movie The Hangover, Mike Tyson’s tiger gets stolen by the movie’s stars- they brought it back when they sobered up.


    *************************

    Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) If you like the NFL and play fantasy or bet games or want to learn more about football, the Warren Sharp Football Preview is something you need to buy.

    A softcover textbook basically, the Preview goes thru each NFL team, which explicit breakdowns on red zone targets and formations run and all kinds of fun technical football stuff.

    12) For instance, when Buffalo Bills threw an incomplete pass on 1st-and-10 LY (in quarters 1-3), they ran ball on 2nd down 82% of the time, averaging 3.4 ypc. In the 18% of the time when they threw the ball, they averaged 5.5 yards/play.

    It makes me laugh that so many NFL teams automatically run ball on 2nd-and-10, because 3rd-and-10 situations make most coaches want to puke.

    Anyway, thats the kind of stuff that is in this book; educational football things.

    11) My suggestion for the AAF and XFL, the two new spring football leagues that will sprout up the next two years, is to not have radio transmitters in the QB’s helmet. Let the QB call the plays- the game is way more exciting/fun when the players run the game.

    Coaches have six days to prepare the players to play; game day should be the players’ day!!!

    10) Lebron James’ son is 13 or 14 years old; he was supposed to play an AAU game at Liberty HS in suburban Las Vegas Wednesday night, but the game got cancelled when the tiny gym got really crowded after Lebron Sr showed up. “Security concerns” was the reason given.

    This gym had three rows of bleachers; tournament organizers are going to have to make special arrangements for this kid’s games, if his very famous father is going to show up to watch.

    9) When Tampa Bay traded one of its three starting pitchers (Nathan Eovaldi) to the Red Sox, the prospect they got back was Jalen Beeks, who is 5-5, 2.89 in 16 AAA starts this year, but was 0-1, 12.79 in two big league games, throwing 6.1 innings.

    8) Was listening to a podcast this week where an author received 800 rejection letters for his writing— the guy kept all 800 rejection letters, to fuel himself to work harder and stick with his craft. The guy has now written around 20 books, including a NY Times bestseller.

    7) White Sox 1B Jose Abreu went from June 26-July 25 without hitting a double, which is hard to believe. He had 27 doubles on June 25; now he has 28. He also homered twice Thursday.

    6) Read something on the Interweb this week that CBS/Kelsey Grammer are talking about bringing the TV show Frasier back, which would be a good idea- the Cheers spinoff was a fun show.

    5) Angels 12, White Sox 8— Angels’ starter Nick Tropeano allowed five hits Thursday, all home runs, becoming the 4th pitcher ever to do that, joining Denny McLain, Mat Latos and Steve Stone, who ironically was broadcasting this game on White Sox TV.

    4) On February 12, 2016, Milwaukee traded Khris Davis to the A’s, for Bubba Derby and Jacob Nottingham. If Oakland makes the playoffs this year and they make Moneyball 2 (the sequel), this trade is a big part of why, absolute larceny.

    Since coming to Oakland, Davis has hit 112 home runs, scored 235 runs, knocked in 289.

    Nottingham is a catcher who is 4-20 in seven MLB games. He hit .259 in six minor league seasons. Derby is a pitcher who is 4-5, 4.95 at AAA Colorado Springs this season.

    3) I’ve been an A’s fan since the mid-60’s; remember driving from Las Vegas to Los Angeles in 1986, thought it was so cool that I was listening to an A’s-Angels game on the radio, coming in from San Bernadino. Now, the A’s were dreadful that year, and they had a relief pitcher named Eric Plunk.

    Plunk comes in, walks the first three hitters he faced, so of course, the 4th guy hits a grand slam. To this day, 32 years later, when a pitcher walks several guys then gives up a homer, I think to myself “….bleeping Eric Plunk”

    Milwaukee rookie Freddy Peralta is on my fantasy team; Tuesday, he walks the first two guys in the 5th inning, then of course the next guy hits a 3-run homer. Eric bleepin’ Plunk, and Peralta damn sure will wind up being better than Plunk was.

    2) From the NY Post: “……..Jets surprisingly fired senior director of team operations Clay Hampton last month. Hampton had worked for the team for 30 years and had been in charge of operations since 2006. His father, Bill, was the team’s equipment manager from 1964 through 2000.”

    Former Jets coach Rex Ryan said this: “He was awesome. The six years I was there, he was better than great. Everything was done at such a first-class level. Not one time ever did we have an issue with any of the places we stayed, the airlines. It was awesome. To me, he was an amazing guy and someone I was really proud that I had the opportunity to work with him.”

    1) Cubs 7, Diamondbacks 6– Chicago hit back/back homers in bottom of 9th to split this series. Tough loss for Arizona, which is in the middle of the playoff chase.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #161
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    Friday, July 27

    Toronto Argonauts (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS)

    Point-Spread: Winnipeg -10
    Total: 53


    Game Overview

    Toronto has some major issues of its own at the quarterback position in the absence of an injured Ricky Ray. In last week’s loss to Winnipeg on the Argonauts’ home field, James Franklin completed 58.3 percent of his 36 passing attempts for 151 yards. He could not get his team into the end zone through the air against one interception. On the year, he has two touchdown throws and three picks.

    The Blue Bombers are the only CFL team to play in the first six weeks of the season and they remain one of the toughest teams to figure out. They are 3-1 ATS when closing as favorites and 2-0 ATS in their only two games played at home. Matt Nichols played his best game of the season last week with 245 yards passing and two scores while completing 70.4 percent of his 27 passing attempts. Andrew Harris had a huge game running the ball against Toronto with 161 rushing yards on 27 carries.

    Betting Trends

    -- With last week’s win, Winnipeg is now a perfect 5-0 SU in its last five games against Toronto with a 4-1 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in all five games.


    ***************************


    Friday, July 27

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (1 - 4) at WINNIPEG (3 - 3) - 7/27/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
    TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 5-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Friday, July 27

    Toronto Argonauts


    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Toronto is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
    Toronto is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Toronto is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

    Winnipeg Blue Bombers
    Winnipeg is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
    Winnipeg is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
    Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

    ***********************


    Friday, July 27

    Toronto @ Winnipeg


    Game 363-364
    July 27, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    108.643
    Winnipeg
    116.286
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 7 1/2
    62
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 12
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+12); Over



    **************************


    Toronto (1-4) @ Winnipeg (3-3) (-10.5, 53.5)— Blue Bombers ran ball for 184 yards in its 38-20 win in Toronto LW; they jumped out to 25-1 lead, blanked Argos in 4th quarter. Winnipeg scored 38+ points in its three wins, an average of 21.3 in their losses; Bombers split their two home games- over is 4-2 in their games. Argonauts lost their two road games, by 1-8 points; they’re scored 20 or fewer points in all five games (under 4-1). Bombers won four of last five series games, covering all five; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Toronto lost its last two visits here, 46-29/33-25.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #162
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    FRIDAY, JULY 27
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TOR at WPG 08:30 PM
    WPG -10.0
    O 53.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  13. #163
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    GAME RECAP

    DEMSKI DOUBLES DOWN, BOMBERS ROLL OVER ARGOS


    WINNIPEG – Nic Demski scored touchdowns through the air and on the ground as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers completed their back-to-back sweep of the Toronto Argonauts with a convincing 40 to 14 victory on Friday night. Winnipeg QB Matt Nichols threw for 253 yards and two touchdowns as the Bombers moved above .500 for the first time this season.

    After a big win over the Argos in week 6 in Toronto, the Blue Bombers picked up right where they left off in this one. Justin Medlock opened the scoring on Winnipeg’s first drive, and the Bomber defence brought the pressure early, with Jovan Santos-Knox bringing James Franklin down on Toronto’s opening possession.

    The Bombers continued rolling on their next possession, employing some trickery with a direct snap to slotback Darvin Adams, who found QB Chris Streveler open in the flats for his first career CFL catch. After an unnecessary roughness call in the Toronto secondary, Nichols unloaded his cannon, launching a picture-perfect strike into the hands of Nic Demski for the game’s first major.

    Franklin and the Argos showed some life following the touchdown, stringing together a couple of first downs towards midfield. But a big completion to WR Rodney Smith which would have moved the Argos into the red zone went south when Bomber DB Brandon Alexander stripped the ball and regained possession for Winnipeg.

    Nichols almost had his second touchdown toss of the first quarter on another deep ball, this one to Kenbrell Thompkins, but the receiver couldn’t outpace the Toronto secondary and was brought down just shy of the end zone. The Argos defence stood tall and held the Bombers to a field goal, but still trailed by 13.

    The second quarter seemed to bring new life to the Argonauts offence. Franklin and the offence leaned on their run game on a seven-play drive, punctuated by 2018 Grey Cup MVP James Wilder Jr. punching his way through a pile of bodies on the goal line for Toronto’s first touchdown of the night.

    Nichols showed his first signs of weakness on the evening as an errant throw was snapped up by Argos DB TJ Heath, as the visitors continued to turn the tables after a lopsided first quarter. A punt single from Ronnie Pfeffer cut the Bombers lead to eight.

    The Bombers again would capitalize on a lack of discipline from the Argonauts on their next drive. After a 27-yard pass interference call was unsuccessfully appealed by Argos HC Marc Trestman, Winnipeg needed just one play before making them pay. Nic Demski took the ball on an end-around run, slicing his way through Argos defenders before leaping into the end zone for his second touchdown of the night.

    The two quarterbacks finished the half with similar passing numbers, but wildly different results as the game started to feel like a replay of the previous matchup.

    The second half started on a sour note for the Argos, as Franklin’s first pass attempt was picked off by DB Chris Randle.

    Toronto looked to be snatching some momentum back after a two-and-out from the Bombers, embarking on another long drive deep into Bomber territory. Again their success came when they leaned on their running backs, with Wilder Jr. and Martese Jackson accounting for 55 of the 66 yards on the drive.

    Feeling like his team needed more than three points, Trestman opted to go for it on third and one, but Franklin’s sneak fell just short and the Argonauts failed to cut into the Bombers lead.

    The Blue Bombers would manage another field goal from Medlock as time expired in the third, extending their lead to 18 heading into the final frame.

    The home team continued to pour it on in the fourth quarter, as the Argos defence had no answer for Nichols and the Bombers offence. Demski added to his yardage totals with a couple more catches and Nichols threw his second touchdown of the evening, this time to receiver Drew Wilotarsky.

    Winnipeg’s special teams got in on the fun late in the fourth, as Ronnie Pfeffer’s punt was blocked and scooped up by Ian Wild, who had a clear path to the end zone.

    James Franklin scored a consolation touchdown for the Argonauts with just a few minutes remaining in the fourth on a one-yard sneak, and Santos-Knox added his third sack of the game on the unsuccessful two-point conversion.

    Next week the Argonauts return home to BMO Field to take on the East Division leading REDBLACKS, while the Bombers head into a bye week before squaring off against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in week 9..
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #164
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    Time (ET) Away Home
    4:00 PM Ottawa Redblacks Hamilton Tiger Cats
    9:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Saskatchewan Roughriders


    *********************



    July's Canadian Football Record; ( All Picks )

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    07/27/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    07/26/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    07/21/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
    07/20/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    07/14/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    07/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    07/12/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    07/07/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
    07/06/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    07/05/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50

    Totals...............13-11........54.16%%....+4.50


    CFL Best Bets:

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

    DATE.........................ATS.................. .....UNITS.....................O/U...................UNITS...........TOTAL

    07/27/2018..............1 - 0........................+5.00.................... 1 - 0...................+5.00...........+10.00
    07/26/2018..............1 - 0........................+5.00................... 1 - 0...................+5.00...........+10.00
    07/21/2018..............1 - 1 .......................-0.50.....................3 - 1...................+9.50............+9.00
    07/20/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................0 - 1...................-5.50.............-11.00
    07/14/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................0 - 1...................-5.50.............-11.00
    07/13/2018..............1 - 0.......................+5.00.................... 0 - 1...................-5.50.............-0.50
    07/12/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00............-0.50
    07/07/2018..............2 - 0.......................+10.00...................0 - 2...................-11.00............-1.00
    07/06/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00.............-0.50
    07/05/2018..............0 - 1........................-5.50.....................1 - 0...................+5.00.............-0.50

    Totals......................6 - 6........................-18.00....................8 - 6..................+12.50..............+4.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #165
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    Saturday’s 6-pack

    Odds on first SEC football coach to be fired:

    11-4— Ed Orgeron, LSU
    5-2— Barry Odom, Missouri
    5-1— Derek Mason, Vanderbilt
    6-1— Matt Luke, Ole Miss
    7-1— Mark Stoops, Kentucky
    20-1— Gus Malzahn Auburn, Will Muschamp South Carolina

    Quote of the Day
    “My wife had to drive her car under the arena, pick me up, and I drove out a secret tunnel. But people figured out where the secret tunnel was, and when we started going out, they would all hit our car and cheer us on. That’s when you knew it was getting big.”
    Jimmer Fredette, talking about his senior year at BYU

    Saturday’s quiz
    Which two starting QB’s in NFL have dads who played major league baseball?

    Friday’s quiz
    Cincinnati Reds used to play their home games in Riverfront Stadium.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Houston Astros used to play in the National League; JR Richard hit 10 homers, the most homers of any Astro pitcher while wearing a Houston uniform.

    ************************

    Saturday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Has to be brutal to be a manager/coach for a bad baseball team; you play 162 games in 182 days, and you lose the great majority of them. Not fun.

    When you see the manager/pitching coach get tossed in the top of the first inning of a game, you know the frustration level has to be high. White Sox lost both last night, on a checked swing call.

    Umpires who are respected don’t get barked at as much as other guys. The ump in this case, Fielden Culbreth gets barked at a lot.

    12) When Mets’ TV analyst Keith Hernandez isn’t bored, he can be very good; Friday night he was complaining that in between at-bats, hitters go to clubhouse and look at their at-bats on video with the assistant hitting coach, before they bat again.

    Hernandez is an old-school guy; he thinks players should watch the actual game, talk about the opposing pitcher with teammates, and leave film study for after the game.

    11) Baseball stuff:
    — Mets traded IF Asdrubel Cabrera to the Phillies for Franklyn Kilome, a pitcher who was 4-6, 4.24 in the AA Eastern League.
    — Twins traded utility guy Eduardo Escobar to Arizona, for three Class A prospects. Escobar leads MLB with 37 doubles this season.
    — Cardinals traded P Sam Tuivailala to the Mariners for P Seth Elledge.
    — Late night trade; Brewers got Mike Moustakas from the Royals for Brett Phillips and a minor leaguer.

    10) Aaron Judge broke his wrist when he was hit by a pitch Thursday night; he is expected to be out at least three weeks.

    9) Movie admissions: I’ve never seen Jaws or Star Wars; just saw The Godfather for the first time earlier this month.

    On the bright side, I’ve seen Rounders and Moneyball at least 50 times each.

    8) Mets’ OF Brandon Nimmo looks like he’ll be a good player, but it bugs me when he sprints to first base after a walk. False hustle stuff like that has always seemed like BS to me.

    7) Lamar Odom says he is going to play pro ball in China next season; hopefully he has his life back in order after a tumultuous couple of years.

    6) Tampa Bay (19-23) has played the most one-run games in the majors this season.

    5) There are seven new head coaches in the NFL this year; Seattle/Carolina are only two teams who have the same head coach as last year, but changed both coordinators.

    4) Chargers’ CB Jason Verrett tore his achilles, is out for the year.

    3) New Mexico State basketball coach Chris Jans makes $429,000 a year; he also gets an extra $5,000 every time he beats New Mexico or UTEP. Aggies were 4-0 vs those teams LY, but last year the bonus was “only” $2,500, so he banked an extra $10,000 for those wins.

    2) Nick Saban signed a new deal with Alabama that extends his contract by one year through 2025. His base salary in 2018 will increase to $7.5M plus a bonus of $800,000. The deal will increase $400,000 annually through 2025.

    All he has to do to make people happy is win the national title every year.

    1) Cole Hamels’ home/road splits this year:
    Home: 1-7, 6.41 in 10 starts
    Road: 4-2, 2.93 in 10 starts.

    There is no DH in the National League; he threw a no-hitter at Wrigley Field in 2015, so the Cubs figure his numbers should improve.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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