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Thread: Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

  1. #196
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    CFL Betting Recap - Week 8
    Joe Williams


    League Betting Notes

    -- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 8
    -- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 8
    -- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 8
    -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 8
    -- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 8

    Analysis

    Toronto (2-5) kicked off the week on Thursday night with an exciting 42-41 win against Ottawa (4-3), winning outright as a 6 1/2-point underdog. After opening the season with a 4-0 record for the 'under', the 'over' has connected in each of the past three. The Argonauts have forgotten how to play defense, allowing 39.7 points per game (PPG) across the past three.

    Edmonton (5-2) has won a season-high three straight games after winning against barely covering against Saskatchewan (3-4). The Eskimos have covered in back-to-back games for the first time this season, too, while the 'under' is 3-1 over their past four.

    The 'under' is 3-1-1 across the past five games for the Roughriders. Saskatchewan has had issues on offense, scoring 19 or fewer points in four of their past six outings.They're also averaging 19.0 PPG in their past three home contests, too.

    Johnny Manziel made his much-anticipated CFL debut, but it was a disaster for Montreal (1-6). His second pass of the game was an interception, the first of four picks on the night in a 50-11 stomping courtesy of Hamilton (3-4) continues, Manziel's first CFL team. QB Jeremiah Masoli outshined his former understudy, and the Ti-Cats picked up a much-needed victory of their own after going 0-3 SU/ATS across the past three.

    Calgary (7-0) kept their record unblemished with a 27-18 victory at home against BC Lions (2-4). Suddenly the Stamps are having issues covering, however, going 1-2 ATS over the past three after opening 4-0 ATS.

    For the Lions, they have covered a season-high three straight outings, and they're 2-0 ATS over the past two on the road after opening 0-2 ATS in their first two away from home.

    Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

    -- The Esks and Lions will tussle in Vancouver in Week 9, kicking off a three-game weekend in the CFL. Edmonton is 7-1 ATS in their past eight against the West, and 6-2 ATS in their past six on the road. The Lions are 4-10-1 ATS in their past 15 against teams with a winning record, 4-11-1 ATS in their past 16 against the West and 0-7-1 ATS in their past eight games in Week 9. BC is also 0-4 ATS in their past four tries against Edmonton.

    -- The Ti-Cats look to build on their rout of the Als, facing Winnipeg (4-3) in Manitoba. The Bombers have covered five of their seven games this season, and the 'over' is also 5-2. At home, the Bombers are a perfect 3-0 ATS to date, and the 'over' is also 3-0 in their three home outings.

    -- Hamilton has covered eight of their past 10 on the road, but they're just 6-13-2 ATS in the past 21 against teams with a winning overall mark. Winnipeg has covered seven of the past 10 at home, but they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven following a bye week. Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Winnipeg.

    -- The 'under' has connected in six straight meetings between the Ti-Cats and Bombers, and the under is 4-1 in the past five battles in Winnipeg.

    -- Montreal hit rock-bottom with a 39-point loss at home last week. They'll hit the road, but they are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine away from home, while going 1-5 ATS in the past six against winning sides. Montreal is also 5-17 ATS in the past 22 overall.

    -- The RedBlacks looks to stay hot against losing sides, going 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a losing record. They're also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against the Eastern Conference. However, they have covered just one of the past five at home.

    -- Ottawa has dominated their series against Montreal, covering 10 of the past 11 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in the past five at home. The 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  2. #197
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    CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
    David Schwab

    Week 8 Betting Recap

    For the second week in a row in the CFL, the favorites went 3-1 straight-up. However, they were an even 2-2 against the spread. Toronto pulled off the lone SU upset on Thursday night with a thrilling 42-41 victory at home against Ottawa as a 6 -point underdog. Later on Thursday night, Edmonton got past Saskatchewan 26-19 to barely cover the 6 points at home.

    On Friday night, Hamilton crushed Montreal 50-11 as a seven-point favorite on the road. Calgary remained perfect on the year with Saturday’ 27-18 victory against British Columbia, but it failed to cover as a heavy 12 -point favorite at home.

    Thursday, Aug. 9

    Edmonton Eskimos (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS)

    Point-spread: Edmonton -3
    Total: 54

    Game Overview

    Edmonton has won its last two games both SU and ATS with much better consistency on each side of the ball. You know that things are going well when Mike Reilly completes just 48.1 percent of his 27 passing attempts for 257 yards and the Eskimos still win. With that performance last week, he has now thrown for a CFL-high 2,320 yards and 14 touchdowns in his first seven games. CJ Gable is third in the league in rushing yards with 481 on 94 attempts.

    The Lions became the first team this season to lose to Calgary by fewer than 10 points. They have now covered in their last three games while closing as underdogs in all three contests. Travis Lulay is firmly back in place as BC’s starting quarterback despite the losing record. He has put the ball up 112 times with 72 completions for 932 yards and four touchdown throws against two interceptions.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Eskimos are 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings and they have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games in this West Division matchup. The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine meetings.

    Friday, Aug. 10

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS)

    Point-spread: Winnipeg -4
    Total: 57

    Game Overview

    The Tiger-Cats snapped a SU three-game losing streak while closing as favorites in convincing fashion. Granted they were playing Montreal, but there was some solid balance on offense with 250 yards passing and 169 yards on the ground. Credit Hamilton’s defense for making Johnny Manziel’s CFL debut at quarterback utterly forgettable. This unit picked him off four times while limiting the Alouettes to 107 yards through the air.

    Winnipeg went into last week’s bye with three victories (SU and ATS) in its previous four games. This includes a sweep against Toronto in a home-and-home series. Matt Nichols has completed 63.1 percent of his 111 passing attempts for 873 yards and five touchdowns in his first four starts at quarterback. Running back Andrew Harris leads the CFL in rushing with 638 yards and five scores on 105 attempts.

    Betting Trends

    -- Hamilton has an 8-4 edge ATS in the last 12 meetings in this inter-division tilt and it is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER in each of the last five meetings.

    Saturday. Aug. 11

    Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)

    Point-spread: Ottawa -13.5
    Total: 50

    Game Overview

    Things cannot get much worse for Montreal in its dismal one-win effort through its first seven games. Manziel was less than impressive in his CFL debut, but things should start to slow down a bit this week against an Ottawa defense that is suddenly suspect coming off last week’s fourth-quarter collapse against Toronto. The one positive takeaway for the Alouettes was the 176 yards it gained on the ground in last week’s lopsided loss.

    Ottawa blew a 24-point lead in the third quarter of last Thursday’s loss to the Argonauts. Quarterback Trevor Harris did his part with 381 yards passing and two touchdown throws behind a completion rate of 77.1 percent on 35 passing attempts. Running back William Powell was held to 35 yards rushing on 14 carries in that game. However, he is still ranked second in rushing overall in the CFL with 504 yards on 106 attempts.

    Betting Trends

    -- Ottawa has won its last five games against Montreal both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER the closing betting line in all five matchups.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  3. #198
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    CFL
    Dunkel

    Week 9


    Thursday, August 9

    Edmonton @ BC Lions

    Game 351-352
    August 9, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    114.888
    BC Lions
    108.565
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 6 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    by 3 1/2
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (-3 1/2); Under


    Friday, August 10

    Hamilton @ Winnipeg


    Game 353-354
    August 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hamilton
    113.557
    Winnipeg
    119.985
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 6 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 4
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-4); Under


    Saturday, August 11

    Montreal @ Ottawa


    Game 355-356
    August 11, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Montreal
    100.113
    Ottawa
    107.127
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 7
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ottawa
    by 13 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+13 1/2); Over
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  4. #199
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    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 9


    Thursday, August 9

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (5 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 4) - 8/9/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 5-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, August 10

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HAMILTON (3 - 4) at WINNIPEG (4 - 3) - 8/10/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, August 11

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MONTREAL (1 - 6) at OTTAWA (4 - 3) - 8/11/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  5. #200
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    CFL

    Week 9


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, August 9

    Edmonton Eskimos
    Edmonton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games
    Edmonton is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games on the road
    Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
    Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
    Edmonton is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    Edmonton is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    British Columbia Lions
    British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games
    British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    British Columbia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
    British Columbia is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton
    British Columbia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Edmonton


    Friday, August 10

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Hamilton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
    Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg Blue Bombers
    Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Winnipeg is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
    Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


    Saturday, August 11

    Montreal Alouettes
    Montreal is 2-16 ATS in its last 18 games
    Montreal is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
    Montreal is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Montreal is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa RedBlacks
    Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
    Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  6. #201
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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 9



    Edmonton (5-2) (-3.5, 54) @ BC Lions (2-4)— Eskimos won six of last seven series games; they split last four visits here, winning 35-29 in OT in last visit last October. Last three series games went over the total. Edmonton won its last three games, scoring 26-44-16 points; they’re 2-1 on road, with wins by 21-3 points, and a 20-17 loss in Toronto. Three of their last four games went under. Lions are 2-0 at home, 0-4 on road; they allowed 17-10 points in their two wins, 27+ in their losses- both their home games stayed under the total.

    Hamilton (3-4) @ Winnipeg (4-3) (-6, 58)— Hamilton (-5) beat Winnipeg 31-17 at home June 29; total yardage was 480-280. Road team is 7-3 in last ten series games; Ti-Cats won four of their last five visits to Manitoba. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Hamilton scored 38-31-50 points in its three wins; they scored 20 or less in their losses. Ti-Cats split their four road games. Blue Bombers scored 38+ points in all four of their wins; three of their last four games went over. Winnipeg won two of three at home, losing home opener to Edmonton.

    Montreal (1-6) @ Ottawa (4-3) (-14, 50.5)— Alouettes got pummeled 50-11 in Manziel’s first CFL start last week; Als’ last three losses are by 39-21-17 points, but their only win was on road, 23-17 in Regina. Montreal lost its last six games against RedBlacks, losing four of five trips here, the last two by 20-5 points. Last six series games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost 42-41 last week in Toronto, their first loss this season when scoring 21+ points. RedBlacks’ last three games were decided by total of 11 points. Four of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.

    Through Week 8: Favorites 15-16; Under 17-13-1
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #202
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    THURSDAY, AUGUST 9
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    EDM at BC 10:00 PM
    BC +3.0
    U 54.0
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  8. #203
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    GAME RECAP

    LIONS STUN ESKIMOS, 31-23, IN SECOND-HALF COMEBACK


    VANCOUVER — It was a tale of two halves at BC Place on Friday night, as the BC Lions reversed a 20-10 halftime deficit to earn a stunning 31-23 win over the visiting Edmonton Eskimos.

    The Lions offence roared to life in the third quarter, while the defence allowed zero third-quarter first downs; the end result was 18-straight points and a Lions win on a night when hope initially seemed lost for the hosts.

    Quarterback Travis Lulay completed 16 of 29 passes in the win for BC, throwing a touchdown and interception in the process.

    The real story of the night, however, was the Lions defence, which limited Edmonton to just three second-half points and consistently stone-walled Mike Reilly and the Esks offence down the stretch.

    The visitors struck on the first drive of the night, as Reilly capped an eight-play, 71-yard drive with a 10-yard touchdown pass to Nate Behar — the latter’s first in the CFL — to open the scoring; Sean Whyte’s convert made it 7-0 Esks.

    Emmanuel Arceneaux sparked the BC offence late in the first quarter, racing 39 yards on a pitch-and-catch with Lulay; the drive ultimately stalled, and the Lions settled for a 25-yard field goal from kicker Ty Long.

    Edmonton then went into its bag of tricks early in the second quarter, converting a fake field-goal on a 3rd-and-6; Danny O’Brien shifted from holder to under centre, then found 288-lb. D-tackle Almondo Sewell for his first career reception.

    Four plays later, Reilly snuck the ball over the goal line from the one-yard line for a touchdown — Whyte’s convert extended the Esks lead to 14-3.

    Chris Rainey responded for the Lions later in the second quarter, accelerating then weaving his way to a 79-yard punt-return touchdown; Long’s convert cut BC’s deficit to four points.

    The Lions thought they had taken the lead late in the first half, when Lulay connected with Bryan Burnham in the end zone — only to have the touchdown called back on a Jovan Olafioye holding penalty.

    Edmonton turned the game on its head on the very next play, as Lulay dropped a fluttering screen pass into the hungry arms of Esks linebacker Korey Jones; the Wyoming product raced the ball down to the BC 15-yard line, where a diving Lulay prevented the touchdown.

    The very next play landed the visitors in the end zone, as Reilly found Derel Walker behind the uprights for a major; Whyte curled his convert wide right, but the three-play sequence still resulted in a pivotal 13-point swing, and sent Edmonton to the locker room up 20-10.

    Lulay and the Lions came out swinging to begin the second half, engineering a six-play, 72-yard drive that ended in the end zone via a nine-yard touchdown pass to Kevin Elliott; Long’s convert narrowed the lead to three.

    BC then tied the game on its next possession, as Long drilled a 51-yard field goal to draw the hosts level.

    Coordinator Mark Washington’s Lions defence continued to stymie the Esks, and BC took the lead on the final play of the third quarter: a long punt single by Long.

    Momentum swung further in the Leos’ favour early in the fourth quarter, when Otha Foster sacked Reilly — knocking the ball loose in the process — and recovered the loose ball on the Edmonton eight-yard line.

    Travon Van bounced outside on the very next play and found pay dirt, racing to a touchdown; the two-point convert fell incomplete, and BC’s lead stood at 27-20.

    The Esks cut into the lead on the following drive, as Whyte booted a 40-yard field goal to narrow the gap to four.

    Edmonton’s defence appeared to swing momentum back with five minutes to play, stripping Travis Lulay and coming up — Alex Bazzie specifically — with the loose ball.

    That lasted all of one play, however, as Reilly’s first pass was tipped by Foster into the arms of Winston Rose; three plays later, a 34-yard kick from Long restored the seven-point advantage.

    A further punt single from Long made it 31-23 and rounded out the scoring on the night.

    With the Esks driving late, Garry Peters sealed the win for the Lions with an interception in his own end zone on a Reilly pass intended for Duke Williams.

    With the win, BC moved to 3-4 on the season; the Lions will travel across the country in Week 10 for a Saturday afternoon date with the Argonauts (2-5) in Toronto (4 p.m. ET).

    The win could be a turning point in the season for Wally Buono’s team, which is now a perfect 3-0 at BC Place on the season.

    The loss dropped the Eskimos to 5-3, and Jason Maas’s team will now return home to face the Montreal Alouettes (1-6) next Saturday (7 p.m. MT, 9 p.m. ET) at Commonwealth Stadium.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #204
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    Friday, August 10, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    8:30 PM Hamilton Tiger Cats Winnipeg Blue Bombers


    *****************


    BEST BETS

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS

    08/09/2018 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
    08/04/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    08/03/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    08/02/2018 2-1-1 50.00% +4.50

    TOTALS............5-4-1........55.55%.....+3.00
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  10. #205
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    Friday, August 10

    Hamilton @ Winnipeg


    Game 353-354
    August 10, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Hamilton
    113.557
    Winnipeg
    119.985
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 6 1/2
    53
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 4
    57
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-4); Under



    ******************


    Friday, August 10

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HAMILTON (3 - 4) at WINNIPEG (4 - 3) - 8/10/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    HAMILTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    ---------------------------------------------------------


    Friday, August 10

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats


    Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Hamilton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
    Hamilton is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Hamilton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

    Winnipeg Blue Bombers
    Winnipeg is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Winnipeg is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
    Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


    ***************************


    Hamilton (3-4) @ Winnipeg (4-3) (-6, 58)— Hamilton (-5) beat Winnipeg 31-17 at home June 29; total yardage was 480-280. Road team is 7-3 in last ten series games; Ti-Cats won four of their last five visits to Manitoba. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Hamilton scored 38-31-50 points in its three wins; they scored 20 or less in their losses. Ti-Cats split their four road games. Blue Bombers scored 38+ points in all four of their wins; three of their last four games went over. Winnipeg won two of three at home, losing home opener to Edmonton.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  11. #206
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    FRIDAY, AUGUST 10
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    HAM at WPG 08:30 PM
    HAM +5.5
    U 57.5
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  12. #207
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    GAME RECAP

    BOMBERS HOLD OFF TICATS COMEBACK TO SECURE VICTORY


    WINNIPEG – The Winnipeg Blue Bombers held off a comeback attempt from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats to secure a 29-23 victory, the team’s third straight.

    A pair of late penalties doomed the Ticats attempted rally as they ran out of time to put any more points on the board. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 251 yards and a touchdown and added 80 yards on the ground but it was not enough for the Ticats. Matt Nichols countered with 180 passing yards and two touchdowns while Andrew Harris led the Bombers in both rushing and receiving yards.

    The Ticats opened the scoring early in the game but the Bombers would prove to be a step ahead throughout the night.

    Hamilton’s opening drive began with Masoli hitting Jalen Saunders for a first down at midfield. Brandon Banks hauled in a 37-yard sideline pass to put the Ticats in the red zone. The Bombers defence stopped the Ticats just outside the endzone forcing and third and goal on the one-yard line but Alex Green punched in for the quick touchdown and the early 7-0 lead.

    Nic Demski wasted no time to respond with a 56-yard return on the ensuing kickoff. The league’s leading rusher Harris added a 30-yard run and Nichols found Weston Dressler in the back of the endzone to tie the game.

    The Winnipeg defence forced a fumble on the next Ticats possession, giving the ball back to Nichols in great field position. A facemask penalty moved the Bombers into the red zone and an offside call put them just outside the goal line. Harris notched a rushing touchdown on the next play, adding to the Bombers first quarter lead.

    Now trailing, the Ticats defence recovered a Harris fumble to close out the first quarter but back to back sacks on Masoli halted any momentum.

    A pair of penalties against the Ticats moved the chains for the Bombers offence and they added a 23-yard field goal to go up 17-7.

    Chris Williams’ 22-yard grab put the Ticats on the right side of the field but the drive would end after Masoli fumbled the ball and it was recovered by Craig Roh. Winnipeg could not add any more points after the turnover. Pinned in their own end on the next possession, Hamilton gave up two points on a safety.

    Neither team could move the football, trading possessions as the defences held strong. Justin Medlock missed a 54-yard field goal attempt with under a minute left in the first half.

    Taking matters into his own hands, Masoli took off for a 36-yard gain that led to a Ticats field goal to cut the deficit to 19-10.

    Nichols went back to work quickly completing first down passes to Darvin Adams, Daniel Petermann and Harris. That led to Demski hauling in a 37-yard touchdown grab and putting the Bombers up 26-10.

    Needing to get some more points on the board midway through the third quarter, Masoli connected with Banks on a 24-yard gain. He followed that up with passes to Terrence Toliver and Luke Tasker which led to a Banks touchdown right on the goal line as the Ticats looked to keep the momentum rolling. The two-point conversion attempt was unsuccessful and the Ticats were down 10 points.

    Starting at midfield on their next drive, the Ticats offence kept marching downfield. Once again Banks came through with a 18-yard grab. Masoli went to his feet again for a 23-yard rush and Green knocked in his second major of the game to cut the lead to just 26-23.

    The Bombers used a lot of the clock as they slowly made their way downfield. Chris Streveler pushed through in short yardage for a pair of a fresh set of downs before Petermann moved the chains even further. Medlock booted another field goal with 1:22 remaining to put the Bombers up 29-23 which proved to be enough for the win.

    Next week the Bombers host the Ottawa REDBLACKS while the Ticats hit the bye week.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  13. #208
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    Saturday, August 11, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home
    8:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Ottawa Redblacks


    *******************

    BEST BETS

    DATE W-L-T % UNITS

    08/10/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    08/09/2018 1-1-0 0.00% -0.50
    08/04/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    08/03/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    08/02/2018 2-1-1 50.00% +4.50

    TOTALS............6-5-1........54.54%.....+2.50
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  14. #209
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    PREVIEW

    ALS FACE CRITICAL JUNCTURE IN CLASH WITH REDBLACKS


    OTTAWA — The first and the worst in the East Division close out Week 9 of the CFL season as the Montreal Alouettes are on the road taking on the Ottawa REDBLACKS.

    The Als are hoping to turn a corner as they approach the midway point of the season after a slow start to 2018. Montreal showed signs of promise in a gritty Week 3 win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders, but bright spots for the squad have been few and far between ever since.

    Montreal is 1-17 in its last 18 games, the poorest stretch of games in the history of the franchise.

    This week the Als look to shrug off a 50-11 drubbing at the hands of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last week. Hamilton took Montreal out of the game early by racking up 28 points in the first quarter alone, tying a CFL record for biggest lead through 15 minutes. In his much-anticipated CFL debut, Als quarterback Johnny Manziel completed 11 of 20 attempts for 104 yards with no touchdowns and four interceptions.

    Montreal’s defence gave up 521 yards while the Ticats found the end zone seven times.

    From a blocked punt that was run back for a touchdown to six total turnovers, it was a night when nothing went right for Montreal.

    “It was a humbling experience,” Manziel told MonrealAlouettes.com after the game. “I made some very uncharacteristic throws, especially on the first drive. I did a bad job setting the tone.”

    However, it would be far from fair to put all the blame on Manziel for the loss.

    “We weren’t moving well,” said fullback Patrick Lavoie. “We weren’t creating enough separation between receivers and defensive backs. They were getting to the ball before us. That’s not normal when you’re on offence…. It started with an interception and I don’t think that’s Johnny’s fault. We had to start better than that.”

    The Alouettes are ready to put the past behind them and move forward to facing the REDBLACKS. Montreal’s defence is aware that they have a tough task ahead of them going up against the likes of receivers Greg Ellingson and Brad Sinopoli.

    Linebacker Henoc Muamba says that the Als feel prepared to take on the REDBLACKS’ high-powered offence after a solid week of work.

    “Our offence is really improving and we see it in practice,” said Muamba. “It’s encouraging for us on defence and it allows us to get ready.”

    The East-leading REDBLACKS are also out for redemption after allowing a Week 8 win to slip through their fingertips.

    Toronto Argonauts quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw the game-winning touchdown with a second left on the clock to lift the Boatmen to a 42-41 victory at BMO Field. The REDBLACKS entered the final 15 minutes with a comfortable 18-point lead. However, Bethel-Thompson stayed composed in his first CFL start and found a way to put 22 points on the board in the fourth quarter.

    Ottawa pivot Trevor Harris threw for 381 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss. Receiver Diontae Spencer had a game-high 145 yards on eight catches, also adding a major. Defensive lineman A.C. Leonard racked up seven tackles and one sack.

    “We just didn’t end up making the plays to win the game and they did,” Head Coach Rick Campbell told OttawaREDBLACKS.com. “We certainly didn’t take our foot off the gas or anything. We were playing the game all the way through. We had a chance all the way up to the last moment to win the game and didn’t get it done.

    “It was a very disappointing, tough one to get over. But obviously there’s a lot of football left to be played so keep moving on and move forward.”

    In what many considered a surprising move, the REDBLACKS announced earlier this week that they had released international defensive back Loucheiz Purifoy. The 25-year-old was considered a prized free-agent acquisition and registered 29 tackles in seven games with Ottawa this season.

    “It’s not something we just do blindly, or without a lot of thought going through it, so we think we’ve got a good group of DB’s here,” said Campbell. “We’ve got our guys from last year, plus we signed some guys this year, so starting the season we had an excess of good players. We’re just trying to find the sweet spot.”

    After suffering an injury in practice and sitting out on Wednesday, Sinopoli is good to go against the Als. Sinopoli entered the week sitting third in receiving yards with 631 through seven games.

    Ottawa has won its last five matchups against Montreal, including a three-game sweep last year. Ottawa is 9-4 vs Montreal since 2014.

    Crunchin’ Numbers:

    14 – Number of quarterbacks that the Alouettes have started since August 2013.

    19 – Straight field goals made by REDBLACKS kicker Lewis Ward. Ward began his career with a 3-for-4 field goal performance in the season opener and since then has not missed a kick of any kind.

    34.6 – League-high points per game being given up by the Alouettes.

    52 – Receptions this season by Brad Sinopoli, the most in the CFL. He is on pace to make 134 catches in 2018, which would be the second highest single-season total in CFL history.


    This will be the second of three meeting between the East Division rivals.

    The REDBLACKS emerged victorious in the first bout back on July 6, picking up a 28-18 victory. Ottawa controlled the game from the start, leaping out to a 25-8 lead after the first half.

    The Harris-Sinopoli connection was on display all night. Harris threw for 342 yards and three touchdowns while Sinopoli caught a career-high 11 passes for 148 yards.

    The key to the Als stopping the REDBLACKS lies in slowing down Sinopoli. The Als defence is the only CFL team giving up over 300 passing yards per game on average. Montreal’s secondary will have to find a way to prevent Harris and co. from making big plays if they hope to avoid a Week 4 repeat.

    Kickoff is at 8:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, RDS and ESPN+.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  15. #210
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    Saturday. Aug. 11

    Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)

    Point-spread: Ottawa -13.5
    Total: 50

    Game Overview

    Things cannot get much worse for Montreal in its dismal one-win effort through its first seven games. Manziel was less than impressive in his CFL debut, but things should start to slow down a bit this week against an Ottawa defense that is suddenly suspect coming off last week’s fourth-quarter collapse against Toronto. The one positive takeaway for the Alouettes was the 176 yards it gained on the ground in last week’s lopsided loss.

    Ottawa blew a 24-point lead in the third quarter of last Thursday’s loss to the Argonauts. Quarterback Trevor Harris did his part with 381 yards passing and two touchdown throws behind a completion rate of 77.1 percent on 35 passing attempts. Running back William Powell was held to 35 yards rushing on 14 carries in that game. However, he is still ranked second in rushing overall in the CFL with 504 yards on 106 attempts.

    Betting Trends

    -- Ottawa has won its last five games against Montreal both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER the closing betting line in all five matchups.


    ********************


    Saturday, August 11

    Montreal @ Ottawa


    Game 355-356
    August 11, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Montreal
    100.113
    Ottawa
    107.127
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 7
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Ottawa
    by 13 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (+13 1/2); Over



    ************************


    Saturday, August 11

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MONTREAL (1 - 6) at OTTAWA (4 - 3) - 8/11/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    -------------------------------------------------------


    Saturday, August 11

    Montreal Alouettes


    Montreal is 2-16 ATS in its last 18 games
    Montreal is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
    Montreal is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Montreal is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
    Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Montreal is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

    Ottawa RedBlacks
    Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games
    Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal


    -------------------------------------------------------


    Montreal (1-6) @ Ottawa (4-3) (-14, 50.5)— Alouettes got pummeled 50-11 in Manziel’s first CFL start last week; Als’ last three losses are by 39-21-17 points, but their only win was on road, 23-17 in Regina. Montreal lost its last six games against RedBlacks, losing four of five trips here, the last two by 20-5 points. Last six series games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost 42-41 last week in Toronto, their first loss this season when scoring 21+ points. RedBlacks’ last three games were decided by total of 11 points. Four of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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