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Thread: Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

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    Default Sunday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, May 27

    Good Luck on day #147 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Odds to win one of the last three golf majors this year:

    30-1— Bryson DeChambeau

    40-1— Jason Dufner, Zach Johnson

    50-1— JB Holmes

    60-1— Billy Horschel

    80-1— Beau Hossler

    150-1— Russell Knox


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Warriors 115, Rockets 86— Golden State outscored Houston 93-47 over the final three quarters, 64-25 in second half. Game 7 is Monday in Houston; the health of Chris Paul’s legs will obviously determine whether the Rockets have a chance or not.

    12) This is first time since 1979 that both conference finals will go to a seventh game.

    11) Houston’s PJ Tucker played 87 college games for Texas; he was 2-4 behind the arc in those 87 games, but he’s worked like hell on improving his game.

    In the NBA, Tucker is 436 for 1,225 behind the arc (35.6%); he shot 37.1% on 3’s this season. He’s worked his butt off and now he makes $8M a year playing ball. Good for him.

    10) Madison Bumgarner struck out eight of 12 hitters he faced in his first rehab game; he only threw 47 pitches, so he may have one more rehab game before the Giants activate him.

    9) Mike Trout’s on-base %age the last three years: .441, .442, .461

    8) Russell Martin played shortstop for Toronto Saturday, his first appearance at short in 1,555 major league games. He’s played third base in 33 games.

    7) There are only three major leaguers this year who have 10+ homers and 10+ stolen bases: Mookie Betts, Mike Trout and White Sox SS Tim Anderson.

    6) When Mets’ SS Amed Rosario walked in the 5th inning Saturday, it was his first walk in his last 92 plate appearances.

    5) 45-year old Bartolo Colon throws fastballs 83% of the time, the highest %age of any starting pitcher in the big leagues.

    4) Reds 6, Rockies 5— Colorado had bases loaded, none out in 9th inning, didn’t score- they hit into a line drive DP to end game, the 5th double play they hit into in the game.

    3) Reds’ 2B Scooter Gennett had the second 5-hit game of his career Saturday; the first one included four homers and 10 RBI.

    2) Greedy bastard update: Mobil station on corner of Wolf/Sand Creek in my town raised the price of gas 20 cents a gallon this week, because it is Memorial Day weekend. It is $3.05 there, it is $2.89 at the Mobil station a half-mile away at the corner of Central/Fuller.

    1) San Diego 3B Christian Villanueva hit two homers last night, is 2nd in the NL in homers, behind only Bryce Harper.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-27-2018 at 10:21 AM.

  3. #3
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, May 27



    Cleveland @ Boston

    Game 711-712
    May 27, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    117.926
    Boston
    125.853
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 8
    195
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    199 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-2 1/2); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, May 27


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (61 - 38) at BOSTON (66 - 34) - 5/27/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games this season.
    BOSTON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games in all playoff games this season.
    BOSTON is 24-6 ATS (+17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 10-10 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 14-7 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, May 27


    Cleveland @ Boston (3-3)
    Home side won/covered all six series games; four of the six games stayed under the total- in last 15 games between these teams, under is 10-5. In Game 5, Hill-Smith-Thompson shot 2-14 from floor- they were 10-21 in Game 6. James/Love need that help in a road game. Rozier/Brown shot a combined 21-34 in Game 6 but Celtics were outscored 34-18 in 2nd quarter. In the three games in Cleveland, Cavaliers led by 20-15-11 points at halftime. All six series games were decided by 9+ points. Boston won/covered all ten of its home games in playoffs.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
    Clev 111-102, -7, O205
    Bos 96-83, -1.5, U205
    Clev 109-99, -7, O201.5

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228
    Hst 95-92, +8, U227
    Hst 98-94, +1, U220
    GState 115-86, -12.5, U214.5




    NBA

    Sunday, May 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Cleveland is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
    Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games at home
    Boston is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-27-2018 at 10:06 AM.

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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, May 27


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    MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (3 - 0) - 5/27/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 313-373 ATS (-97.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 180-231 ATS (-74.1 Units) after a division game since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHOENIX (2 - 1) at LOS ANGELES (2 - 1) - 5/27/2018, 5:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (2 - 1) at LAS VEGAS (0 - 2) - 5/27/2018, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 5-2 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Sunday, May 27


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Mystics
    Washington is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
    Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games on the road
    Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Los Angeles is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games
    Los Angeles is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Los Angeles's last 21 games
    Los Angeles is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Los Angeles is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Los Angeles's last 17 games at home
    Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix


    Seattle Storm
    Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
    Seattle is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
    Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Las Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Las Vegas is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games at home
    Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
    Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
    Las Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing at home against Seattle


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-27-2018 at 10:22 AM.

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    NBA Eastern Confernce Finals Game 7 betting preview: Cavaliers at Celtics

    The Celtics are a perfect 10-0 SU and ATS this postseason, but trying to take out LeBron is a totally different beast.

    Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (-2.5, 199.5)

    Series tied 3-3

    The Boston Celtics have yet to lose at home in the playoffs, but a Game 7 against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers is different from every other test the young team has faced in the postseason. The Celtics will try to hold homecourt advantage and turn away James and company when they host the Cavaliers in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals on Sunday.

    James stepped up with his team facing elimination in Game 6 on Friday, collecting 46 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists in 46 minutes to push Cleveland to a 109-99 win and put himself one win away from an eighth consecutive trip to the NBA Finals. "I have a drive. I have a love of the game. I have a passion for the game," James told reporters. "While I have the opportunity to lace my shoes up and put a uniform on, then I try to go out and do my job to the best of my ability. ... I haven't always played great in my career. But I just always want to try to maximize when I'm on the floor, and I've been able to." Boston is trying to maximize its own potential and is prepared for a fight in Game 7. "It's about just winning the game now," Celtics guard Marcus Smart told reporters. "It's not going to be pretty. You got to be able to get down and get dirty. You can't go out and try to look pretty. You have to be ready for a dogfight. We got to be ready to come up with our nose bloodied, we got to be ready to come out with our mouth bloodied, we have to come out ready to fight."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

    LINE HISTORY: The Celtics opened Game 7 as 2.5-point home favorites and were briefly bet down to -2, but as of Saturday night they had returned to the opening number. The total hit the board at 201.5 and has been gradually bet down to the current number of 199.5.

    CONSENSUS: Despite LeBron's elimination game dominance, bettors are still riding with the Celtics at home, with 54 percent of public wagers backing Boston. When it comes to the total, 60 percent of bettors are on the Over. So with the number coming down that could indicate sharp money on the Under.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The home/road dichotomy has been extreme for the Celtics this postseason. Boston is 10-0 SU at home, but just 1-7 SU on the road. In order to advance to the NBA Finals, they must beat a Cavaliers team that is now 6-2 SU in elimination games the past three years after their 10-point Game 6 win on Friday night. LeBron James dominated with 46 points on Friday and his teams are now 5-2 SU all-time in Game 7s." - Steve Merril.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Cavaliers - C Kevin Love (Out, head).
    Celtics - PG Kyrie Irving (Out, knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out, ankle), PG Shane Larkin (Out, shoulder), Daniel Theis (Out, knee).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (61-38, 39-59-1 ATS, 46-51-2 O/U): Cleveland will spend the off day and the hours leading up to Game 7 monitoring the health of James, who was forced to play through a knee injury in the fourth quarter on Friday, and the team is expected to be without power forward Kevin Love in Game 7 after he was placed in the concussion protocol. The Cavaliers used a combination of players in the second half on Friday to fill the gap caused by the exit of Love, who has a history of concussions and did not play after the break. Jeff Green (14 points) and Larry Nance Jr. (10 points on 5-of-5 shooting) stepped up in Love's absence and will be counted on again in Game 7.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (66-34, 62-36-2 ATS, 53-46-1 O/U): Boston took the first three home games in the series by an average of 17 points and already has one Game 7 home win under its belt in the postseason after knocking off the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round. "It's going to be a lot of fun, first and foremost," Celtics point guard Terry Rozier told reporters of playing Game 7 at home. "...We need the whole city of Boston to be behind us. We know LeBron is different than a lot of other guys, but we've got to get the job done. That's no excuse, so we're looking forward to it." Rozier scored a series-high 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 6 after slumping to eight points on 3-of-15 in Game 5.

    TRENDS:

    * Cavaliers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
    * Celtics are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games.
    * Over is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games playing on one days rest.
    * Over is 15-6 in Celtics last 21 home games.
    * Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-27-2018 at 10:07 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, May 27



    Minnesota @ Washington

    Game 323-324
    May 27, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    115.192
    Washington
    114.540
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    165
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 5 1/2
    161
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Phoenix @ Los Angeles


    Game 325-326
    May 27, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    109.316
    Los Angeles
    115.802
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 6 1/2
    163
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 8 1/2
    158 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Seattle @ Las Vegas


    Game 327-328
    May 27, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    111.409
    Las Vegas
    102.606
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 9
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 5
    157
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (-5); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-27-2018 at 10:23 AM.

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