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Thread: Saturday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/26

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/26

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, May 26

    Good Luck on day #146 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Odds to win one of the last three golf majors this year:

    3-1— Dustin Johnson

    5-1—- Jason Day, Rickie Fowler

    8-1— Sergio Garcia, Tommy Fleetwood

    10-1— Paul Casey

    12-1— Brooks Koepka

    15-1— Tyrrell Hatton, Branden Grace, Matt Kuchar


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) James Harden has missed his last 20 shots behind the arc; during that time, Houston has still outscored the Warriors by 12 points. Go figure.

    12) Rockets’ star Chris Paul (hamstring) is out for Saturday’s Game 6 at Golden State.

    11) Sunday afternoon was supposed to be Tanaka vs Ohtani in the Bronx, but the Angels scratched Ohtani from the start, saying “they are just managing his workload.”

    Ohtani has thrown 40.1 innings in seven starts this year, not really that big a workload. Am guessing the TV people in Japan are upset; Tanaka-Ohtani would be big ratings in Japan.

    10) Milwaukee Brewers are 32-20, in first place in NL Central, but they’ve been shut out in nine of their 20 losses, which means they’re 32-11 when they score at least one run.

    9) Eli Manning has a contract with memorabilia dealer Steiner Sports to sell some of his game-worn stuff — he was accused of defrauding collectors by selling equipment that he never actually wore, but he recently settled the suit out of court. In other words, Eli is a greedy creep.

    While Manning bought his way out of the suit, the Giants fired three employees who worked on the team’s equipment staff. It is good to be rich- they only fire the worker bees.

    8) Back when the Giants had training camp here in Albany, a friend of mine’s son asked Eli to sign a mini-helmet for him. Eli said yes, but he wouldn’t sign with a silver Sharpie, he insisted on signing with a black Sharpie, which doesn’t show up as well on the dark blue helmet.

    Apparently the only time he uses a silver Sharpie is if he is getting paid to sign stuff for Steiner Sports.

    7) Giants’ Gorkys Hernández had the most plate appearances without a home run last season (348); he already has five homers this season.

    6) Red Sox activated Dustin Pedroia from the DL, DFA’d Hanley Ramirez. Ramirez was 302 PA away from his $22M option kicking in for 2019, so they told him to…..take a hike.

    5) Mariners traded for Tampa Bay closer Alex Colome and CF Denard Span. giving up pitchers Andrew Moore, Tommy Romero. Moore is 1-5, 5.34 in 11 MLB games (9 starts), none this year.

    Span will play CF with Dee Gordon likely moving back to 2B until Robinson Cabo’s 80-game suspension is over. Mariners add $9M in salary with this movie, but they saved $12M when Cano got suspended.

    4) Going into Friday’s games, Mets were on pace to have the lowest OPS from the cleanup spot in the history of baseball, which obviously isn’t good. OPS is on-base %age plus slugging percentage.

    3) Going into Friday’s games, major league home teams are winning only 49% of the time this season; there has never been a season where home teams lost more games than they won.

    2) Before the playoff game Friday night. a gambler at SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas bet $100K on the Cavaliers to win their series vs Boston at +$165. Same bettor also put $25K on Cleveland to win NBA title at 18-1, and another $25K at 15/1.

    1) Last time both NBA conference finals went seven games was 1979; Sonics-Bullets was the NBA Finals, the year before Bird-Magic. Could happen again this year.

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    NBA Western Confernce Finals Game 6 betting preview: Rockets at Warriors

    When Chris Paul was in the lineup for Games 3 and 4 in Oakland, the Rockets were 7.5-point underdogs. Without Paul, they're currently +12 for Game 6.

    Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-12, 212)

    Rockets lead series 3-2

    The Houston Rockets are on the brink of the franchise's first trip to the NBA Finals since 1995 but will be without point guard Chris Paul when they try to knock off a proud defending champion. The Rockets, who took a 3-2 series lead with a home win in Game 5, will take the first of their two shots at earning one more win when they visit the Golden State Warriors for Game 6 on Saturday.

    The only downside to the 98-94 Game 5 win for Houston was the sight of Paul leaving with a hamstring injury in the final minute, and he was ruled out of Game 6 on Friday. "It's obviously not something we wanted," Rockets coach Mike D'Antoni told reporters before Friday's practice. "I hate it for him above all. He's practically won us the past two games. But it's a great opportunity for other guys, and we have plenty to choose from. We'll be ready." The Warriors, who represented the West in the last three NBA Finals, are not panicking about being one loss away from an early vacation. "I feel great about where we are right now," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters after Game 5. "That may sound crazy, but I feel it. I know exactly what I'm seeing out there, and we defended them beautifully (Thursday night). We got everything we needed. Just too many turnovers, too many reaches, and if we settle down a little bit, we're going to be in really good shape."

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):

    Golden State Warriors -130
    Houston Rockets +110

    LINE HISTORY: The Rockets opened Game 6 as big 10.5-point road dogs without Paul, three points more than they were listed for Games 3 and 4. And without Paul bettors are fading the Rockets as the line has jumped to Warriors -12.

    CONSENSUS: It seems like that it's sharp money moving the number as 66 percent of public wagers are happy to be getting all those points with the Rockets. When it comes to the total 66 percent of wagers are on the Over.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Rockets - PG Chris Paul (Out, hamstring).
    Warriors - SF Andre Iguodala (Questionable, knee), SG Patrick McCaw (Out, back), SF Chris Boucher (Out, ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE ROCKETS (76-21, 50-46-1 ATS, 39-57-1 O/U): Houston won the last two games despite a historic shooting slump from MVP candidate James Harden, who missed his last 20 3-point attempts after going 0-of-11 from beyond the arc on Thursday. "I'm just missing shots," Harden told reporters. "But we're winning, and I'm trying to compete on the defensive end and do other things to help my team win. But if we've got a guy like (reserve shooting guard) Eric Gordon making shots and being aggressive, who cares?" Harden scored a series-low 19 points on 5-of-21 shooting in Game 5 but is averaging 27.4 points against Golden State.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS (68-29, 41-55-1 ATS, 44-52-1 O/U): Star forward Kevin Durant scored a team-high 29 points in Game 5 but was 8-of-22 from the floor and got caught in isolation several times instead of moving the ball. "Yeah, they're switching a lot when I get in the post now," Durant explained to reporters. "I can feel them bringing a guy over, so I just got to make the right play. But, yeah, (I need to) probably mix it up a bit and see where I can get different catches and touches because they're kind of figuring stuff out for us." Durant is averaging 31.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting in the series after shooting 51.6 percent during the regular season. Forward Andre Iguodala (knee) sat out the last two games and is questionable for Game 6.

    TRENDS:

    * Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on one days rest.
    * Warriors are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games playing on one days rest.
    * Under is 4-0 in Rockets last four road games.
    * Under is 7-1 in Warriors last eight overall.
    * Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-26-2018 at 10:48 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, May 26


    Houston @ Golden State

    Game 509-510
    May 26, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    120.923
    Golden State
    134.890
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 14
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 10 1/2
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-10 1/2); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, May 26


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    HOUSTON (76 - 21) at GOLDEN STATE (68 - 29) - 5/26/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    HOUSTON is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 40-54 ATS (-19.4 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 38-48 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-8 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 13-7 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    13 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, May 26


    Houston (3-2) @ Golden State
    Chris Paul hurt his hamstring near end of Game 5; check status. Rockets held Golden State to 92-94 points in last two games; Warriors’ sub played 53:00 in Game 5 and shot a combined 2-8 from floor. Golden State lost its last two games; Iguodala didn’t play in either game, which isn’t a coincidence. Houston plays better when they take more 3-pointers; in their three series wins, they took 123 treys, 122 2-pointers. In Golden State’s two wins, Rockets took 71 treys, 95 2-point shots. Under is 4-1 in this series, 8-2 overall in the conference finals this spring. Under is 11-4 in last 15 Rocket-Warrior games.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
    Clev 111-102, -7, O205
    Bos 96-83, -1.5, U205
    Clev 109-99, -7, o201.5

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228
    Hst 95-92, +8, U227
    Hst 98-94, +1, U220




    NBA

    Saturday, May 26


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Golden State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games
    Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
    Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    Golden State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
    Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Golden State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    Golden State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-26-2018 at 10:49 AM.

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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, May 26


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    DALLAS (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) - 5/26/2018, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (0 - 4) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 0) - 5/26/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 5-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 4-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Saturday, May 26


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Dallas Wings
    Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Dallas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games on the road
    Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    Dallas is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Atlanta is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games at home
    Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
    Atlanta is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


    Indiana Fever
    Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Indiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Indiana is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
    Connecticut Sun
    Connecticut is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
    Connecticut is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
    Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    Connecticut is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
    Connecticut is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-26-2018 at 10:55 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Saturday, May 26



    Dallas @ Atlanta

    Game 319-320
    May 26, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    109.424
    Atlanta
    105.476
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    158
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 3 1/2
    165 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ Connecticut


    Game 321-322
    May 26, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    101.166
    Connecticut
    112.693
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 11 1/2
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 15 1/2
    164
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+15 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-26-2018 at 10:55 AM.

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