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Thread: Tuesday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/22

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    Default Tuesday's NBA and WNBA Trends and Indexes - 5/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 22

    Good Luck on day #142 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the CFL’s Grey Cup this coming season:

    2-1: Calgary Stampeders

    5-1: Hamilton Tiger-Cats

    6-1: Saskatchewan, Winnipeg, Toronto

    7-1: Edmonton Eskimos

    12-1: BC Lions, Ottawa RedBlacks

    18-1: Montreal Alouettes

    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Major League Baseball has something they need to clean up, for their own good, if they want to promote their product. I’m thinking it would be a pretty simple fix.

    There was one 10pm Eastern time game Monday night; Rockies-Dodgers, but the game wasn’t shown in the Westgate SuperBook because Dodger games are blacked out in Las Vegas. Why?

    12) LA and Las Vegas are 265 miles apart, a 4-hour drive; why in God’s name would Dodger games be blacked out here?

    There were over 100 people in the SuperBook when the NBA game ended Monday; lot of them would’ve stuck around and watched the ballgame, and thats good for the sport, but they all either went home or played blackjack or whatever.

    They’re playing ballgames in Japan and England next year, to “grow the game”. How about showing the Dodgers in Las Vegas? That would grow the game, too.

    11) Was playing video poker Monday and was talking to a guy who is a Chicago cop; good guy. He told me the Westgate comps him his room because he plays video poker for ten hours at a time. Ten hours!!!! I wouldn’t be able to see the screen after half that long.

    10) SuperBook had ESPN’s volume on Monday night; the 90 minutes before the Celtics-Cavs game was a seemingly eternal pre-game show. I mean, a 2-hour game doesn’t need a 90-minute pregame show, where very little, if anything new is ever said.

    Best of the on-air personalities is Jalen Rose, who actually says stuff you can learn from, or will at least make you think. He claimed Monday night that Kyrie Irving won’t be happy if Boston wins the NBA title with him sitting out, since it would increase the chances that he would have to move elsewhere when his contract comes up.

    Interesting theory; not sure if it is true, but it something to consider going forward.

    9) 19-year old Juan Soto hit his first major league homer for the Nationals Monday night; he started this season in A ball, got only 35 plate appearances in AA before getting the call to the major leagues.

    If Soto does real well in Washington, it’ll put pressure on Toronto’s brass to promote their #1 prospect, 19-year old Vladimir Guerrero Jr, who is batting .421 in the AA Eastern League. Thats .421 in 39 games, roughly 25% of a season.

    8) Orioles 3, White Sox 2— Chicago had guys on 1st and 3rd, two out and Jose Abreu up in the 9th inning; he was quickly walked intentionally, which isn’t a surprise. Abreu is the White Sox’ best hitter, and Buck Showalter doesn’t let the other team’s best hitter beat him, if he can help it.

    When he was managing Arizona, Showalter once walked Barry Bonds intentionally in the ninth inning, with the bases loaded and the Diamondbacks nursing a 2-run lead. He walked a guy with bases loaded!!! Next guy lined out to right to end the game, by the way.

    7) Nationals 10, Padres 2— Padres’ 22-year old prospect Franmil Reyes hit his first big league homer Monday night in Washington; he is 3 for 20 in his first seven MLB games. He had 14 HR’s in 130 AB’s in AAA ball this season, before he was called up.

    Reyes is listed at 6-5, 275; he looks bigger than that; his future may be as a DH. He didn’t look so good playing right field Monday.

    6) Washington 3, Tampa Bay 0— Golden Knight fans were delighted when Washington won and forced a Game 7, while the Las Vegas team rests its tired legs.

    5) Cavaliers 111, Celtics 102— This was by far the best game of this round of the playoffs, and it wasn’t that good. Home teams are 6-1 SU/ATS in the conference finals so far.

    4) Phillies 3, Braves 0— Atlanta got shut out only once in its first 42 games; they’ve been blanked twice in their last four games.

    3) 53% of NBA players have played in the G-League, which surprised me.

    2) New Jersey Giants’ coach Pat Shurmur threw out the first pitch at a Mets’ game this weekend, after they were turned down by #1 draft pick Saquon Barkley, who was born in the Bronx and has different baseball allegiances.

    1) Something I’m curious about but will probably never know: when good players leave the Patriots and go play somewhere else, are they happier away from Foxboro?

    I’m not inferring they are or aren’t, other than I’ve read some stuff lately that suggests that maybe some guys are. Brady/Gronkowski aren’t at OTA’s this week; thats not a good sign.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-22-2018 at 10:54 AM.

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    NBA Western Conference Final Game 4 betting preview and odds: Rockets at Warriors

    Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-8.5, 224)

    Warriors lead series 2-1

    All the questions that were raised by the Golden State Warriors' lackluster performance in Game 2, particularly surrounding star guard Stephen Curry, were answered in emphatic fashion in a dominating performance in Game 3. Similar questions are now surrounding the top-seeded Houston Rockets, who will try to bounce back from an embarrassing performance and even the Western Conference finals at two wins apiece when they visit the Warriors for Game 4 on Tuesday.

    Curry averaged 17 points and was a combined 2-of-13 from 3-point range as the Warriors split the first two games in Houston but found his shot during a third-quarter outburst on Sunday and finished with a game-high 35 points on 13-of-23 shooting as second-seeded Golden State breezed to a 126-85 victory. "A lot of it was just talking to myself, almost like you've got to be your biggest fan sometimes," Curry told reporters. "No matter what questions I was being asked over the first two games or what the expectations was, I had the highest expectations for myself. And you've just got to find whatever you want to get going. I mean, obviously, it felt good, and you want to use that energy to show your teammates that you're here, you're with them, get the crowd into it." The Rockets, who scored 127 points on 51.1 percent shooting while winning Game 2, suffered the worst playoff loss in franchise history in Game 3. "It's just one thing led to another," Houston coach Mike D'Antoni told reporters. "Played soft, actually. I mean, you can't do that with these guys. These guys are good."

    TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

    LINE HISTORY: Golden State opened a 8.5-point home favorites for Game 4 and at some shops the number has been bet down to an even -8. The total opened 223 and has been bet up to 224 at most books.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Warriors - SG Patrick McCaw (Early June, Back), SF Chris Boucher (Out Indefinitely, Ankle).

    Rockets - No injuries to report.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE ROCKETS: Houston shot 39.5 percent from the floor, including 11-of-34 from beyond the arc, and committed 20 turnovers leading to 28 points on Sunday. "We weren't as aggressive as we needed to be," Rockets star James Harden, who agreed with his coach's assessment of the team, told reporters. "We started off the game pretty solid, and then we let them gain some confidence to end the first quarter. But just defensively, they didn't feel us, and it showed tonight." Harden scored a team-high 20 points in the loss but attempted just 16 field goals after averaging 24 attempts in the first two games and attempted a series-low five free throws, converting four.

    ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Curry went 3-of-11 from the floor in the first half on Sunday but was 7-of-7 in the third quarter, sparking a run that put the game out of reach. "You know, I've seen those explosions happen here and everywhere," Warriors forward Draymond Green told reporters of Curry's third-quarter outburst. "It's not just here. Nonetheless, definitely get a lot of support from the fans. His 3 is similar to some people's dunk. You go to certain arenas and a guy gets a dunk and it's just absurd. That's how his 3-ball is." Green finished with 10 points, 17 rebounds and six assists while serving as the key to the team's much-improved defensive effort.

    TRENDS:

    * Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Finals games.
    * Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
    * Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 overall.

    CONSENSUS: 51 percent of spread bets are on Golden State while 67 percent of totals bets are on the Over.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-22-2018 at 10:55 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 22



    Houston @ Golden State

    Game 505-506
    May 22, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    124.054
    Golden State
    129.512
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 5 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 9
    223 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+9); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 22


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (74 - 21) at GOLDEN STATE (68 - 27) - 5/22/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 40-52 ATS (-17.2 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 38-46 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, May 22


    Houston @ Golden State (2-1)
    So far in this round of playoffs, closest of the seven games was nine points- not fun to watch. Rockets took 34 3-pointers, 47 2-point shots in Game 2, after taking 42 treys, 48 2’s in Game 2 win. Ariza/Tucker are combined 7-22 in their two losses, 15-18 in the one win. Golden State won its last five home games, but covered only two of them. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Road team won six of last ten games between these two. Golden State is 26-4 in playoff games since they signed Durant. Under is 9-4 in last 13 series games.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207
    Clev 111-102, -7, O205

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228




    NBA

    Tuesday, May 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
    Houston is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Houston is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
    Houston is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing Golden State
    Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Houston is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
    Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 13 games when playing Houston
    Golden State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-22-2018 at 10:56 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 22



    Las Vegas @ Washington

    Game 301-302
    May 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    102.302
    Washington
    109.891
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 7 1/2
    151
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 16
    155 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Las Vegas
    (+16); Under

    Los Angeles @ Indiana


    Game 303-304
    May 22, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Los Angeles
    113.035
    Indiana
    106.128
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 7
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 10 1/2
    154 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (+10 1/2); Under





    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 22


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 0) - 5/22/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LAS VEGAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) on Tuesday since 1997.
    LAS VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 since 1997.
    LAS VEGAS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
    LAS VEGAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    LAS VEGAS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 312-372 ATS (-97.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 180-230 ATS (-73.0 Units) after a division game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LAS VEGAS is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LOS ANGELES (1 - 0) at INDIANA (0 - 2) - 5/22/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOS ANGELES is 138-185 ATS (-65.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    LOS ANGELES is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 4-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    WNBA

    Tuesday, May 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Sparks
    Los Angeles is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
    Los Angeles is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
    Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Los Angeles is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
    Los Angeles is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Indiana
    Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Fever
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
    Indiana is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
    Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
    Indiana is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
    Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
    Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles


    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games
    Las Vegas is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Las Vegas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Las Vegas's last 11 games when playing Washington
    Las Vegas is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Las Vegas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Las Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Mystics
    Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
    Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
    Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Las Vegas
    Washington is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-22-2018 at 11:26 AM.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, May 22



    Here are NBA playoffs betting stats thus far:

    Home Teams:
    52-19 Straight Up
    41-29-1 ATS (58.57%)

    Favorites:
    54-17 Straight Up
    42-28-1 ATS (60%)

    Over-Under: 34-37

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    NBA playoffs

    Tuesday’s game

    Houston @ Golden State (2-1)
    So far in this round of playoffs, closest of the seven games was nine points- not fun to watch. Rockets took 34 3-pointers, 47 2-point shots in Game 2, after taking 42 treys, 48 2’s in Game 2 win. Ariza/Tucker are combined 7-22 in their two losses, 15-18 in the one win. Golden State won its last five home games, but covered only two of them. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Road team won six of last ten games between these two. Golden State is 26-4 in playoff games since they signed Durant. Under is 9-4 in last 13 series games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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