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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/21

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, May 21

    Good Luck on day #141 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the NFC this coming season:

    4-1: Philadelphia Eagles

    5-1: Los Angeles Rams

    6-1: Minnesota Vikings

    7-1: Green Bay Packers

    9-1: Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints

    10-1: San Francisco 49ers

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

    13) In 2003, 44 starting pitchers threw 200+ innings in the major leagues. Last year, 15 pitchers threw 200+ innings. Pitchers are getting like race horses; way less durable.

    12) Tampa Bay Rays are doing something different this year; with Archer-Snell-Faria their only three regular starting pitchers, they’re patching together the other games using their bullpen, even starting the same pitcher (Sergio Romo) in games Saturday/Sunday over the weekend.

    So far, the Rays are 6-9 in the bullpen games.

    11) Golden Knights’ Jonathan Marchessault is the first NHL player ever to score a goal in the first minute of a playoff game, and also in the last minute of the same game.

    10) A golfer named Michael Arnaud on the web.com tour shot a 27 for nine holes this weekend; his first seven holes went: birdie-eagle-birdie-birdie-eagle-birdie-birdie- he shot 60 on the day.

    9) Braves 10, Marlins 9— Atlanta scored six runs in the bottom of the ninth inning.

    8) Cubs split a twinbill in Cincinnati Saturday; they went 3-27 with runners in scoring position in the two games. No bueno.

    7) HBO’s Hard Knocks should do training camp with Hamilton TigerCats of the CFL; Johnny Manziel is one the QB’s and 75-year old Jerry Glanville is the defensive coordinator, which means he’ll be leaving tickets for Elvis Presley at TiCat games all over Canada.

    6) PJ Tucker is a key player for the Houston Rockets now, but from 2007-12, he played pro ball in six different countries, improving his game, preparing himself for his big chance, and when it came, boy was he ready.

    5) A 93-year old guy in Ohio got his first hole-in-one last week, after playing golf for 65 years.

    4) Golden Knights 3, Jets 2— Las Vegas is mad about hockey; everywhere you go, there are tons of people here watching Knights’ games. An expansion team playing for a title is a great story.

    3) Mariners 3, Tigers 2 (11)— Francisco Liriano had a no-hitter going in 8th inning, but then Mitch Haniger tied the game with a homer off a reliever in the 8th inning.

    2) A’s 9, Blue Jays 2— Oakland wraps up a stretch of 13 games against Houston-NY-Boston and Toronto, with last 10 of those games on the road and they went 7-6, 7-3 on the road trip.

    1) One thing about Las Vegas sportsbooks; every time I wear a golf shirt from a college, and I mean every time, at least a couple people will comment on whichever team’s shirt I’m wearing, which leads to interesting conversations.

    Saturday night it was an LSU shirt, Sunday a USC shirt. Doesn’t matter which team.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-21-2018 at 10:06 AM.

  3. #3
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    NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 4 betting preview: Celtics at Cavaliers

    Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5, 206.5)

    Celtics lead series 2-1

    For all the excitement they've provided as the overachievers in the NBA playoffs, the Boston Celtics have struggled to find success on the road, a trend they will try to reverse when they take on the host Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals on Monday. The Cavaliers followed up a pair of double-digit losses in Boston to begin the series before rolling to a 116-86 win in Game 3 back home.

    Cleveland raced to a 20-4 lead and never looked back against a Celtics team that shot 39.2 percent from the floor and made six 3-pointers, their lowest total this postseason.

    "The toughest team sets the rules," Boston point guard Terry Rozier told reporters. "They came out aggressive from the jump and never looked back. We've got to play aggressive from the tip. Tonight, we were all over the place, playing too fast and doing things we didn't want to do."

    LeBron James scored 27 points on 8-of-12 shooting - including 3-of-3 from 3-point distance - and handed out 12 assists in a dominant all-around effort that got his team back in the series.

    "Even when things broke down, we just covered for one another," James told the media. "We made them make extra passes. We made them make extra dribbles. We were flying around, and I just happened to be one of the guys on the floor that wanted to fly around as well."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

    SERIES PRICE: Cavaliers +105, Celtics -125 (Betway.com)

    LINE HISTORY: Cleveland opened as 6.5-point home chalk for Game 4 and briefly went up to -7 at some books before returning to the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 205.5 and has yet to move.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Celtics - PG Shane Larkin (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), PG Kyrie Irving (Out For Season, Knee), PF Daniel Theis (Out For Season, Knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out For Season, Ankle).

    Cavaliers - No injuries to report.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE CELTICS: Boston is 1-5 on the road in the playoffs but it knows that a victory would've been elusive no matter where they played Game 3. "If we would have played like that in Boston, we would have gotten beat," coach Brad Stevens told reporters after his team also tied a playoff low with 16 assists while getting outrebounded 45-34. Jaylen Brown is averaging 11.3 points on 42.3 percent shooting in the past three road games - compared to 23.3 on 59.6 percent in the past three at home - after being limited to 10 points with one assist and three turnovers in Game 3.

    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: Starting guards George Hill and J.R. Smith combined to make six 3-pointers and score 24 points Saturday after they put up a pair of clunkers in Boston, while reserve sharpshooter Kyle Korver made all five of his shot attempts - four from long range - en route to 14 points in 20 minutes. Another complementary player stepped up on the defensive end as center Tristan Thompson stifled Celtics big man Al Horford, who was limited to seven points in Game 3 - his first single-digit showing since March 20. "You've got to give a lot of credit to Tristan because Horford is really the one that makes them go," teammate Kevin Love told the media. "[Horford] can play a little bit of the point forward. He can do a lot of the intangibles that even for their team might not show up on the box score as well. But he did a great job on him tonight, and he's done a great job on him the last two games."

    TRENDS:

    * Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
    * Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
    * Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 road games.
    * Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
    * Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

    CONSENSUS: Early consensus numbers show 52 percent of spread bets are coming in on the chalk Cavaliers while 58 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-21-2018 at 10:08 AM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, May 21



    Boston @ Cleveland

    Game 705-706
    May 21, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    120.750
    Cleveland
    123.229
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 7
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+7); Over





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, May 21


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    BOSTON (65 - 32) at CLEVELAND (59 - 37) - 5/21/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    BOSTON is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    CLEVELAND is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-8 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 12-6 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, May 21


    Boston (2-1) @ Cleveland
    Home side won all three series games as Cavaliers were up 20 at halftime and cruised in Game 3, making 17-34 shots behind arc. Thompson-Hill-Smith were combined 10-24 from floor, after going 5-18 in Game 2. Cavaliers won their last six home games; under is 5-2 in their home playoff games this spring. Boston lost four of its five road playoff games this spring, with only win in Game 3 at Philly. Under is 8-4 in last dozen series games- all three games in this series stayed under total.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5
    Clev 116-86, -6.5, U207

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225
    GState 126-85, -7, U228




    NBA

    Monday, May 21


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games at home
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-21-2018 at 10:09 AM.

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