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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/18

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, May 18

    Good Luck on day #138 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Super Bowl this coming season:

    6-1 New England Patriots

    8-1 Pittsburgh Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles

    10-1 Los Angeles Rams

    12-1 Minnesota Vikings

    14-1 Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Chargers

    18-1 Jacksonville Jaguars, New Orleans Saints


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) I’d like to thank Ken Thomsen of SportsXRadio and Andy Iskoe for having me on as a guest last night on their excellent radio program.

    You know what? If you go to SportsXradio.com, you can listen to an archived recording of the show. Even better? I’ll be on the show again tonight; sports talk radio at its finest!!! ��

    12) Vegas Golden Knights are a great story, an expansion team that is six wins away from winning the Stanley Cup, but what about these Winnipeg Jets?

    Before this season, the Atlanta Thrashers/Jets franchise had a combined record of 0-8 in Stanley Cup playoff games over their first 17 years. They’re a pretty good story, too.

    11) We’re going to learn a lot more about Baker Mayfield this summer; HBO’s Hard Knocks will be covering the Cleveland Browns this summer.

    10) NBA prospect Luka Doncic told reporters he’s still undecided about whether he’ll stay in the EuroLeague or join the NBA team that drafts him in June. He still has two games left in his season, so maybe he is just putting an announcement off until this season is finished.

    9) First five picks in the 2008 NBA Draft:
    1— Bulls-Derrick Rose
    2— Heat-Michael Beasley
    3— Wolves-OJ Mayo (traded to Memphis)
    4— Sonics (Thunder)-Russell Westbrook
    5— Grizzlies-Kevin Love (traded to Minnesota)
    35— Clippers-Deandre Jordan

    8) From 2007-17, Robinson Cano played 1,744 games at second base, the most-ever games by a second baseman over an 11-year span. Nellie Fox held the old record, playing 1,701 games from 1952-62.

    7) If/when the Orioles trade Manny Machado, that will be the most pivotal transaction of the summer; Baltimore is 13-29, going nowhere, can they upgrade their future by getting some prospects for Machado, who is a free agent after this season?

    6) Seattle Seahawks spent only $6.2M on their offensive line LY, least in the NFL.

    5) Steven Souza Jr was miked during Sunday night’s game; we could listen to him as he played in right field. Think this is a wave of the future, trying to make the game more viewer-friendly.

    4) How weird is it that part of this Michael Cohen/FBI investigation includes Ice Cube’s Big 3 half-court basketball league, and foreign investors in that league?

    3) Who would’ve thought that on the morning of May 17, more than 25% of the way thru the baseball season, that the Dodgers/Marlins would have the same record? 16-26 ain’t good, but at least Miami was expected to be bad.

    Dodgers beat Miami Thursday, are now 17-26, but they’re struggling badly.

    2) I’m walking thru the Westgate Casino Wednesday night, going to get dinner and I walk right by Mark Davis, owner of the Oakland Raiders, who will be the Las Vegas Raiders in 2020 or 2021. This does not seem like the kind of hotel an NFL owner would be staying in.

    Saw him again Thursday afternoon; there are people who live in the Westgate, maybe he is one of those people.

    1) Best $8 I spent so far this week was for the WiFi on my flight west, which made the flight seem a lot shorter.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-18-2018 at 11:09 AM.

  3. #3
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    NHL Western Conference final Game 4 betting preview and odds: Jets at Golden Knights

    Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights (-125, 5.5)

    Golden Knights lead series 2-1.

    The Vegas Golden Knights might be an expansion team, but the play of veteran goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury in back-to-back victories has lifted them to a 2-1 lead over the Winnipeg Jets entering Friday’s Game 4 of the Western Conference finals at home. Fleury made 33 saves in a 4-2 victory in Game 3, surviving relentless pressure from the Jets in pushing the first-year club to within two victories of the Stanley Cup finals - a place Fleury reached with Pittsburgh the past two seasons.

    Fleury, who leads all remaining goaltenders in postseason save percentage (.945) and goals against average (1.70), admits nobody thought Vegas would play this deep into May, telling reporters after Game 3: “It’s been a long season. It’s been a lot of fun to be a part of. Really proud of this team and the way these guys have been working.” Once again it was forward Jonathan Marchessault who sparked the Golden Knights offense, scoring a pair of goals for the second consecutive game and recording his third-straight two-point night in the series. Meanwhile, the Jets looked sloppy and slow in the initial minutes of Game 3 and allowed a goal on a defensive miscue by goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, but pounded 16 shots at Fleury in the final 20 minutes and came close to tying the score several times. “They’re playing really well because they’re a really good team,” Jets captain Blake Wheeler told reporters after recording two assists in Game 3. “You put yourself in a tough position when you’re down by a couple goals on the road, tough environment against a good team. So, the onus is on us to get off to a better start.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet One, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE HISTORY: The host Vegas Golden Knights opened as -120 moneyline favorites and that number has been bumped up slightly to -125 as of Thursday evening. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    CONSENSUS: The public is supporting the home favorite with 67 percent of wagers coming in on the Golden Knights. The Over is seeing the edge in totals action with 69 percent of the bets.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Connor Hellebuyck 44 11 9 2.36 .924 6
    Marc-Andre Fleury 29 13 4 2.24 .927 4

    INJURY REPORT:

    Jets - LW Nikolaj Ehlers (Questionable, Undisclosed), D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).

    Golden Knights - LW David Perron (Questionable, Illness), LW William Carrier (Questionable, Upper Body), G Malcolm Subban (Questionable, Illness), D Clayton Stoner (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal).

    ABOUT THE JETS (61-25-9-2, 47-47 O/U): Winnipeg did get the dynamic duo from its top line rolling again, as Mark Scheifele scored twice to give him a league-high 14 goals for the playoffs and Wheeler boosted his NHL-best assist total to 17. But second-line forward Nikolaj Ehlers was scratched with an undisclosed injury and the Jets looked out of sorts, as Hellebuyck got caught behind his net while allowing a goal 12 seconds after Scheifele tied the game in the second period. Hellebuyck finished with 26 saves as Winnipeg lost back-to-back games for the first time since mid-March and now trails a postseason series for the first time this spring.

    ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (61-26-5-3, 47-44 O/U): Marchessault now has 17 points (eight goals) in the playoffs, and along with linemates William Karlsson and Reilly Smith continue to give the Jets defense all kinds of trouble. Playoff veteran James Neal finished with a goal and an assist in Game 3, ending the night plus-3 and leading the Golden Knights with five shots on goal. Fleury made a handful of highlight-worthy saves with Vegas nursing a one-goal lead in the final period, and got plenty of help as the Golden Knights finished with 18 blocked shots and 18 takeaways.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Jets are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. Pacific.
    * Golden Knights are 33-12 in their last 45 home games.
    * Over is 4-0 in Jets' last 4 road games.
    * Over is 4-0 in Golden Knights' last 4 home games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-18-2018 at 11:10 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, May 18



    Winnipeg @ Vegas

    Game 61-62
    May 18, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    14.810
    Vegas
    12.635
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (+105; Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, May 18


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    WINNIPEG (61-26-0-10, 132 pts.) at VEGAS (61-27-0-7, 129 pts.) - 5/18/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 62-34 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 35-18 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VEGAS is 21-12 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 61-37 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 38-20 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 32-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WINNIPEG is 20-10 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    WINNIPEG is 34-23 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 24-13 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 4-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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    NHL

    Friday, May 18


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    Trend Report
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    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Winnipeg is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-18-2018 at 11:10 AM.

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