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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/15

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 15

    Good Luck on day #135 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college basketball national title next April:

    9-2— Duke

    8-1— Kansas, Kentucky

    10-1— Villanova

    12-1— North Carolina

    15-1— Michigan St, Virginia, Gonzaga

    20-1— Auburn, Oregon


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: AFC teams’ early season trends…..

    Baltimore— Ravens won 11 of last 13 home openers; under is 4-1 in last five of those. Baltimore is 13-3 vs spread in last 16 post-bye games.

    Buffalo— Last 18 years, Bills are 2-16 in their pre-bye game. Buffalo is 8-3 vs spread in its last 11 home openers.

    Cincinnati— Bengals open on road for 8th time in last nine years; over is 8-1 in their last nine road openers. Cincy is 4-0-1 in last five pre-bye games.

    Cleveland— Since re-joining the NFL in 1999, Browns started season 0-1 18 out of 19 years; they’re 3-12 vs spread in Week 1 home games.

    Denver— Broncos open at home for 8th year in row; they’re 26-3 SU in last 29 home openers,6-3 vs spread in last nine. Broncos won six of last seven post-bye games.

    Houston— Texans open on road for only 2nd time in last 10 years; they won seven of last nine road openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven season openers.

    Indianapolis— Colts lost their last four home openers, three by 4 or fewer points. Indy started season 0-1 seven of last eight years- they’re 1-9 vs spread in Week 1 the last ten years.

    Jacksonville— Jaguars lost last six home openers, four of last five road openers. Last time they were favored in a home opener was 2010; their HO this year is against New England, so they probably won’t be favored this year, either.

    Kansas City— Since 2006, Chiefs are 1-8-1 vs spread as favorites in home openers. KC is on road three of first four weeks this season, with a QB who has started one NFL game.

    LA Chargers— Bolts covered five of their last six home openers; over is 12-3 in their last 15. Chargers lost their last four road openers, but covered five of last six. Chargers lost five of their last six pre-bye games (1-5 vs spread).

    Miami— Dolphins won five of last six home openers; eight of their last nine home openers went over the total. Miami also covered four of last five road openers; under is 19-5 in last 24 road openers.

    New England— Patriots won six of last seven road openers (5-2 vs spread); they’re 14-2 SU in last 16 home openers, but just 1-5 vs spread in last six. New England won its last nine pre-bye games (8-1 vs spread).

    NJ Jets— Jets won six of last seven home openers; they’re 15-6 vs spread in last 21 road openers. Gang Green is 3-6 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.

    Oakland— Raiders won their last three road openers, are 4-0-1 vs spread in last five; they lost four of last six home openers, last four of which went over the total. Oakland covered five of its last six post-bye games.

    Pittsburgh— Steelers won 14 of last 15 home openers, are 10-3 vs spread in last 13. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers. Pitt lost five of last seven road openers; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11. Steelers covered only one of last seven post-bye games.

    Tennessee— Titans lost five of last six home openers; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Under is 16-5 in their last 21 road openers. Titans are 2-6 vs spread in last eight post-bye games.

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    NBA Eastern Conference final Game 2 betting preview and odds: Cavaliers at Celtics

    Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (-1, 203)

    Celtics leads series 1-0.

    Marcus Morris and his Boston teammates got the best of LeBron James in the opener of the Eastern Conference finals. The second-seeded Celtics look to stymie the Cleveland star for the second consecutive contest when they host the fourth-seeded Cavaliers on Tuesday in Game 2 of the best-of-seven series.

    Morris helped hold James to 15 points on 5-of-16 shooting as Boston roared to a 26-point halftime advantage en route to a 108-83 torching of Cleveland in Sunday's series opener. Morris moved into the starting lineup and had 21 points and 10 rebounds after boasting prior to the opener that he is one of the best in the NBA at defending James. "It's a team effort, man, it's not just me," Morris told reporters after the easy victory. "Everybody played their part in guarding him. He's obviously the best player in the game, and you need multiple guys and a team to guard him an entire game. I just think we did a great job of that." Cavaliers veteran swingman Kyle Korver summed up the performance this way: "Bad game, bad first game. There's lot of things we can do better in the next one."

    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE HISTORY: The Cavaliers opened as 1-point road favorites for Game 2 at a few Vegas books but that number didn't last long as the pointspread quickly jumped the fence to Celtics -1. The total hit betting boards at 202.5 and has been bumped up to 203.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Cavaliers - No injuries to report.

    Celtics - PG S. Larkin (Out, Shoulder), PG K. Irving (Out For Season, Knee), PF D. Theis (Out For Season, Knee), SF G. Hayward (Out For Season, Ankle).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (58-36 SU, 36-57-1 ATS, 44-48-2 O/U): James also committed seven turnovers during his porous performance but he said he wasn't worried about his team trailing in the series. "I have zero level of concern at this stage," James told reporters. "I didn't go to college, so it's not March Madness. You know, you get better throughout the series. You see ways you can get better throughout the series. But I've been down 0-1, I've been down 0-2, I've been down before in the postseason. But for me, there's never no level of concern, no matter how bad I played tonight with seven turnovers, how inefficient I was shooting the ball." James had plenty of company in the subpar shooting category as Cleveland shot 36 percent from the field, including a woeful 4-of-26 from 3-point range.

    ABOUT THE CELTICS (64-31 SU, 60-33-2 ATS, 51-43-1 O/U): Morris was one of three Boston players to reach the 20-point mark in the opener as shooting guard Jaylen Brown recorded 23 points and eight rebounds and center Al Horford had 20 points on 8-of-10 shooting. But the decision to elevate Morris into the starting power forward spot was the big difference-maker as a player who was just 18-of-59 shooting in the five-game series against Philadelphia made 7-of-12 shots and effectively hounded James. "He was able to really force the issue in the offensive end and make LeBron exert so much energy because then he has to come down and really guard him," backup point guard Marcus Smart told reporters. "Can't take plays off against really good players."

    TRENDS:

    * Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.
    * Celtics are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games.
    * Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers' last 7 overall.
    * Over is 10-2 in Celtics' last 12 home games.
    * Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

    CONSENSUS:

    There are 57 percent of pointspread bets on the home favorite Celtics while 70 percent of total bets are siding with the Over.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:13 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 15


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    CLEVELAND (58 - 36) at BOSTON (64 - 31) - 5/15/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    BOSTON is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games this season.
    BOSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games in all playoff games this season.
    BOSTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    BOSTON is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 8-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 11-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, May 15


    Cleveland @ Boston (1-0)
    Celtics are 8-0 at home in playoffs, covering all eight; they were underdog in three of their last four home games. Boston led Game 1 by 26 at halftime; the four starting non-Lebrons were 11-33 from floor. Cavaliers won four of last six games with Boston; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight visits to Beantown. Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games. Cleveland is 8-4 in playoff games; they’re 3-3 vs spread in their last six road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Celtics are 8-5 in playoffs so far; over is 8-5 in their playoff games.

    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5

    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5




    NBA

    Tuesday, May 15


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    Trend Report
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    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
    Cleveland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 17 games
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games at home
    Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:14 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 15



    Cleveland @ Boston

    Game 701-702
    May 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    125.141
    Boston
    122.634
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2 1/2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    Pick
    202 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:14 PM.

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    Steve Kerr was right, take the points with the Warriors. He also suggested we all bet on the Cavs tonight.

    Here are NBA playoffs betting stats thus far:

    Home Teams:
    47-19 Straight Up
    36-29-1 ATS (55.38%)

    Favorites:
    50-16 Straight Up
    38-27-1 ATS (58.46%)

    Over-Under: 32-34
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:15 PM.

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