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Thread: Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/15

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    Default Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 15

    Good Luck on day #135 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college basketball national title next April:

    9-2— Duke

    8-1— Kansas, Kentucky

    10-1— Villanova

    12-1— North Carolina

    15-1— Michigan St, Virginia, Gonzaga

    20-1— Auburn, Oregon


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: AFC teams’ early season trends…..

    Baltimore— Ravens won 11 of last 13 home openers; under is 4-1 in last five of those. Baltimore is 13-3 vs spread in last 16 post-bye games.

    Buffalo— Last 18 years, Bills are 2-16 in their pre-bye game. Buffalo is 8-3 vs spread in its last 11 home openers.

    Cincinnati— Bengals open on road for 8th time in last nine years; over is 8-1 in their last nine road openers. Cincy is 4-0-1 in last five pre-bye games.

    Cleveland— Since re-joining the NFL in 1999, Browns started season 0-1 18 out of 19 years; they’re 3-12 vs spread in Week 1 home games.

    Denver— Broncos open at home for 8th year in row; they’re 26-3 SU in last 29 home openers,6-3 vs spread in last nine. Broncos won six of last seven post-bye games.

    Houston— Texans open on road for only 2nd time in last 10 years; they won seven of last nine road openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven season openers.

    Indianapolis— Colts lost their last four home openers, three by 4 or fewer points. Indy started season 0-1 seven of last eight years- they’re 1-9 vs spread in Week 1 the last ten years.

    Jacksonville— Jaguars lost last six home openers, four of last five road openers. Last time they were favored in a home opener was 2010; their HO this year is against New England, so they probably won’t be favored this year, either.

    Kansas City— Since 2006, Chiefs are 1-8-1 vs spread as favorites in home openers. KC is on road three of first four weeks this season, with a QB who has started one NFL game.

    LA Chargers— Bolts covered five of their last six home openers; over is 12-3 in their last 15. Chargers lost their last four road openers, but covered five of last six. Chargers lost five of their last six pre-bye games (1-5 vs spread).

    Miami— Dolphins won five of last six home openers; eight of their last nine home openers went over the total. Miami also covered four of last five road openers; under is 19-5 in last 24 road openers.

    New England— Patriots won six of last seven road openers (5-2 vs spread); they’re 14-2 SU in last 16 home openers, but just 1-5 vs spread in last six. New England won its last nine pre-bye games (8-1 vs spread).

    NJ Jets— Jets won six of last seven home openers; they’re 15-6 vs spread in last 21 road openers. Gang Green is 3-6 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.

    Oakland— Raiders won their last three road openers, are 4-0-1 vs spread in last five; they lost four of last six home openers, last four of which went over the total. Oakland covered five of its last six post-bye games.

    Pittsburgh— Steelers won 14 of last 15 home openers, are 10-3 vs spread in last 13. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home openers. Pitt lost five of last seven road openers; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11. Steelers covered only one of last seven post-bye games.

    Tennessee— Titans lost five of last six home openers; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Under is 16-5 in their last 21 road openers. Titans are 2-6 vs spread in last eight post-bye games.

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    NHL Eastern Conference final Game 3 betting preview and odds: Lightning at Capitals

    Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals (-120, 6)

    Capitals lead series 2-0.

    The suddenly struggling Tampa Bay Lightning look to begin digging out of a deep hole in the Eastern Conference final series when they visit the red-hot Washington Capitals for Game 3 on Tuesday night. The Lightning dropped the first two games of the series at home by a combined score of 10-4 and a team has not rebounded from down 2-0 to win a conference final since Pittsburgh beat Boston in 1991.

    “I’m confident in our group,” Tampa Bay coach Jon Cooper told reporters Monday. “They’ve got 113 points (in the regular season) for a reason. … They’ve got a ton of experience, and when their backs have been against the wall, they’ve shown the propensity to fight back. This is a tough one. We lost two at home and it’s definitely not an ideal situation. But we’re not done. It’s not over.” Washington lost the first two games at home in the first-round series against Columbus, but won four in a row to move on and are 10-2 in the last 12 games after scoring the final five goals of Sunday’s 6-2 triumph. The Capitals have scored seven of their 10 goals at even strength and Tampa Bay, which dominated Boston while playing 5-on-5 in the semifinal series, has scored three of its four on the power play in the opening two contests. “It’s huge, but it’s not over yet,” Washington captain Alex Ovechkin, who scored in each of the first two games, told reporters. “We’re going to (have to) come back home and do our thing and take another one. It’s going to be hard. They have tremendous players over there and we just have to play the same way and don’t give them anything.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE HISTORY: The Capitals opened as -120 home favorites for Game 3 and that number has yet to move as of Monday evening. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has been steady. Check out the complete line history here.

    CONSENSUS: 51 percent of moneyline wagers are coming in on the home favorite Capitals. The Over is seeing the edge in the total action with 61 percent of the bets.

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Andrei Vasilevskiy 44 17 3 2.62 .920 8
    Braden Holtby 34 16 4 2.99 .907 0

    INJURY REPORT:

    Lightning - LW Adam Erne (Questionable, Lower Body).

    Capitals - C Nicklas Backstrom (Questionable, Hand).

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (62-27-3-2, 55-35 O/U): The team has plenty of confidence in Vezina finalist Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has allowed 10 goals in five periods of hockey during this series with little help from his defense after posting a .927 save percentage in the first two rounds. “We all have tremendous belief in him, and he’s a rock for our team,” Tampa Bay defenseman Anton Stralman told reporters. “He’s going to be back and be his best. We’re not making his job easier by executing our game plan defensively and offensively. The scoring chances are way up compared to the previous series and that’s on us, not him.” Captain Steven Stamkos has scored in four of his last five games while compiling seven points in that stretch.

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (59-28-8-1, 53-40 O/U): Lars Eller is prospering after moving up to the second-line center role with Nicklas Backstrom (hand) missing the last three games, recording two goals and two assists in the first two contests of this series. “He’s got all the qualities of a playoff-type player,” Washington coach Barry Trotz told reporters of Eller. “He’s big. He’s strong. He’s got some experience. He’s very competitive. He’s got a good skill level. He’s playing to his ability right now. … He’s one of the guys that’s stepped up in a major way for us.” Ovechkin, who shares the team lead with Kuznetsov at 19 points in the playoffs, is the second Washington player to reach 10 goals in a postseason run by joining John Druce (14 in 1990).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Lightning are 0-4 in their last 4 Conference Finals games.
    * Capitals are 6-1 in their last 7 Conference Finals games.
    * Over is 12-4-2 in Lightning last 18 road games.
    * Over is 6-2 in Capitals last 8 home games.
    * Home team is 20-9 in the last 29 meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:18 PM.

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    NHL

    Tuesday, May 15


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    Trend Report
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    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Tampa Bay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games at home
    Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:19 PM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 15


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    TAMPA BAY (62-27-0-5, 129 pts.) at WASHINGTON (59-28-0-9, 127 pts.) - 5/15/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 60-37 ATS (+3.4 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 36-21 ATS (+4.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 15-2 ATS (+12.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 36-19 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 21-11 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 63-32 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 23-11 ATS (+11.6 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 13-3 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 232-236 ATS (+497.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 15



    Tampa Bay @ Washington

    Game 1-2
    May 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    11.409
    Washington
    14.757
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -115
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-115); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-15-2018 at 01:20 PM.

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