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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/11

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, May 11

    Good Luck on day #131 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    CG Technology released spreads for every Week 1-16 game for 2018-19 NFL season. Here are a few of the more interesting spreads:

    Week 11: Cowboys @ Falcons (-3)

    Week 12: Seahawks @ Panthers (-3)

    Week 13: Ravens @ Falcons (-3.5)

    Week 14: Vikings (-2) @ Seahawks

    Week 15: Raiders (-1.5) @ Bengals

    Week 16: Packers (-6) @ Jets

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Phil Mickelson recently signed an endorsement deal with Mizzen+Main to wear the company’s apparel on the golf course; Thursday, on a 90-degree day in Florida, he was wearing a button-down long sleeved dress shirt, because the company is pushing those as golf fashion.

    Mickelson was even par thru 13 holes; he went +7 on holes 14-17. No bueno.

    12) Giants’ coach Pat Shurmur has a son who is Vanderbilt’s starting QB; last summer, Kyle Shurmur spent some time at the Manning Passing Academy in Louisiana.

    Thats the same passing academy Josh Rosen went to in 2016 and according to reports, didn’t make a positive impression on the people there.

    Pat Shurmur must’ve made a positive impression on the Mannings when they met, or else he wouldn’t be the Giants’ coach right now.

    11) Dodgers-Diamondbacks have already played 12 times this season; they don’t meet again until August 30, which is a little weird.

    10) Since 2000, 14 major league teams have batted out of order. Some of those included DH-related double switches that got fouled up late in blowouts.

    9) AHL is the AAA league of the NHL; good league. We used to have couple of AHL teams in this area; those games were fun to go to.

    Wednesday night, Las Vegas Phantoms beat the Charlotte Checkers 2-1 in a 5-OT playoff game that was the longest in AHL history. Charlotte outshot the Phantoms 95-53 but lost.

    8) From ESPN.com:

    “Footwear company Skechers sued Adidas in federal court Thursday, claiming its competitor created false advertising and unfair competition by funneling hundreds of thousands of dollars in secret payments to high school and college basketball players and their families to wear its products.”

    If you’re a lawyer these days and aren’t rich as hell, then you’re doing something wrong.

    7) According to people who study this stuff more than me, if the 2019 NFL Draft were today, no quarterbacks would be taken in the first round. Lot can change in a year, though.

    6) Back in 1996, when he was 21, new Lions’ coach Matt Patricia was charged in Texas with aggravated sexual assault- the charge was dismissed ten months later, before it went to trial.

    Why would something like this be made public now? Patricia has been on national TV dozens of times over the past decade; its like someone with an axe to grind spilled the beans. According to SI.com, the charge is visible on Lexis’s public records database. Why didn’t someone find this a lot earlier than now?

    Weird situation. GM of the Lions worked for the Patriots for over a decade; did they know?

    Patricia wouldn’t talk much about it Thursday; he’s moving on to mini-camp.

    5) Winnipeg 5, Nashville 1— Jets will take on the Golden Knights in the next round after they won a Game 7 on the road.

    Winnipeg is last Canadian franchise left in playoffs; Golden Knights are NHL team with most Canadian-born players.

    Last Canadian franchise to win Stanley Cup? 1993 Montreal Canadiens.

    4) Cincinnati Reds aren’t wasting any time; newly-acquired Matt Harvey gets the start for the Reds in tonight’s game at Dodger Stadium.

    3) Cardinals ace Carlos Martinez (lat strain) went on the 10-day DL; he is expected to miss only one start.

    2) Red Sox pitcher David Price recently revealed that he plays video games three hours a day, but he denied that video games are why he has a mild case of carpal tunnel syndrome.

    1) I won’t get into specifics, because I don’t want to get angry e-mails from people complaining about me talking politics, but the shocking lack of decency coming from public officials talking about John McCain, who is very, very ill, makes me want to puke. Simple as that.

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    Stanley Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference Final Game 1 Betting Preview and Odds: Capitals at Lightning

    Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning (-175, 6)

    Series tied 0-0.

    The Tampa Bay Lightning hope to use their experience and the visiting Washington Capitals look to ride the momentum of one of the best playoff runs in franchise history as the teams meet for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference final Friday night. The Lightning have reached the conference final three times in the last four seasons and Washington makes its first appearance since 1998 after vanquishing its nemesis Pittsburgh in the second round.

    “It’s more ‘We’re on a mission’ excitement,” Tampa Bay coach Jon Cooper told reporters. “It’s a little different than it was three years ago with the same group. There’s a confidence about them in the way we’re playing, how we’ve arrived at where we are right now, and a lot of that has to do because they’ve just been there before.” The Lightning, who knocked out both New Jersey and Boston in five contests to start the postseason, have 18 players that have combined for 273 conference final games and the Capitals total is 28 going into the series. However, this Washington team climbed out of a 2-0 hole in the first round by winning four in a row and triumphed at Pittsburgh in Game 6 without standout center Nicklas Backstrom, who is day-to-day with an upper-body injury. “I think we’ve got to be greedy,” Washington defenseman Matt Niskanen told reporters. “We’ve got to want more because this is a heck of a run. I don’t know if there is a group out there that knows how hard it is to get to this point (more than this one). So don’t waste the opportunity.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER WESTGATE LV SUPERBOOK):



    LINE HISTORY: The Lightning opened as -180 moneyline favorites for Game 1 and as of Thursday night that number is down to -175. The line move is despite 57 percent of early wagering coming in on the favored Bolts. The total hit betting boards at 6 and has yet to move.

    GOALIE MATCHUP:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Braden Holtby 34 16 4 2.99 .907 0
    Andrei Vasilevskiy 44 17 3 2.62 .920 8

    ABOUT THE CAPITALS (57-28-8-1, 52-40 O/U): Backstrom, who owns 13 points in the playoffs, has been skating on his own while forward Andre Burakovsky (upper-body injury) practiced Thursday and is also considered day-to-day after missing the last 10 games. Captain Alex Ovechkin makes his first appearance in the conference final after recording a team-high eight goals in 12 playoff contests, and his club-best 15 points are one better than linemate Evgeny Kuznetsov - who scored the overtime winner in Game 6 at Pittsburgh. John Carlson boasts 11 points in the playoffs and fellow defenseman Brooks Orpik, who has appeared in 137 postseason games, leads the team with a plus-9 rating.

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (62-25-3-2, 54-35 O/U): Brayden Point, along with linemates Tyler Johnson and Ondrej Palat, have limited their opponent’s top threesome at even strength in the first two series and will likely get another test with the Tom Wilson-Kuznetsov-Ovechkin line. Right wing Nikita Kucherov leads the team with six goals and 12 points in the playoffs while linemate Steven Stamkos scored two of his three goals in the last three games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy, who boasts a 2.20 goals-against average and .927 save percentage in the postseason, was 0-3-0 versus the Capitals before winning two of three while posting a .930 SP against them in 2017-18.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    INJURY REPORT:

    Capitals - LW Andre Burakovsky (Questionable, Upper Body), C Nicklas Backstrom (Questionable, Hand).

    Lightning - LW Adam Erne (Questionable, Lower Body).

    TRENDS:

    * Capitals are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.
    * Lightning are 38-14 in their last 52 home games
    * Over is 10-1 in Capitals' last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
    * Over is 21-8-1 in Lightning's last 30 vs. Metropolitan.
    * Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, May 11


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    WASHINGTON (57-28-0-9, 123 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (62-25-0-5, 129 pts.) - 5/11/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 6-12 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 63-30 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 32-16 ATS (+1.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 232-234 ATS (+541.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 58-37 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 34-21 ATS (+7.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WASHINGTON is 25-14 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a division game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 26-11 ATS (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WASHINGTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 19-11 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 6-3 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 6-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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    NHL

    Friday, May 11


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    Trend Report
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    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Washington


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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, May 11



    Washington @ Tampa Bay

    Game 23-24
    May 11, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    12.211
    Tampa Bay
    13.755
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-175); Over

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