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Thread: Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/10

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, May 10

    Good Luck on day #130 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    CG Technology released spreads for every Week 1-16 game for 2018-19 NFL season. Here are a few of the more interesting spreads:

    Week 2: Chiefs @ Pittsburgh (-7)

    Week 3: Packers (-3) @ Washington

    Week 4: Lions @ Dallas (-4)

    Week 5: Colts @ New England (-10.5)

    Week 6: Eagles (-3) @ NJ Giants

    Week 7: Saints @ Baltimore (even)

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) Reds 2, Mets 1 (10)— Mets started this game by batting out of order in the first inning; the lineup posted in their dugout was different than the one on the card given to umpires/Reds, so when Asdrubel Cabrera doubled with two out in the first inning. Cincinnati called them on it and the inning ended. No bueno.

    12) An update on players Miami Marlins got when they traded their best players this winter:

    Players acquired from Bronx for Giancarlo Stanton, a move that was a salary dump:
    — Starlin Castro 2B— 28-year old major league infielder who has a .282 career BA in nine big league seasons; he is likely to get flipped for more prospects in July. Castro is hitting .305 so far this season, playing 2B for the Marlins.

    — Jose Devers SS— 18-year old hit .245 in A ball last year; he is hitting .206 in 16 games so far this season in the Class A South Atlantic League.

    — Jorge Guzman P— 22-year old was 5-3, 2.30 in 13 starts in NY-Penn League LY, a Class A short season league. He is 0-0, 2.45 in three starts (11 IP) in the Class A Florida State League so far this season.

    11) Players acquired from St Louis for Marcell Ozuna:
    — Daniel Castano P— 23-year old who is still in A ball— He is 4-2, 3.71 in Florida State League this month; Class A hitters are batting .271 against him.

    — Zac Gallen P— 22-year old is 3-1, 2.50 in six AAA starts, allowing 38 hits in 36 IP this season.

    — Sandy Alcantara P— 22-year old is said to be the best prospect Miami landed in these four deals. He is 1-1, 3.27 in six starts (33 IP) this season, allowing 28 hits, 17 walks, with 32 strikeouts. Alcantara allowed six runs in 8.1 IP in the majors (8 games) last year.

    — Magneuris Sierra OF— 22-year old is hitting .256 in AAA this season, with five RBI in 117 AB; he was 19-60 (.317) hitting in 22 games with St Louis last season.

    10) Players acquired from Milwaukee for Christian Yelich:
    — Isan Diaz 2B— 21-year old hit .222 in A-ball last year; he is hitting .191 in the AA Southern League this year.

    — Monte Harrison OF— 22-year old is .244 in AA, wth 52 strikeouts and 7 RBI in 119 AB.

    — Jordan Yamamoto P— 21-year old is heading into his 5th season of A ball; he was 17-19, 4.19 in his first four minor league seasons. Class A hitters have hit .267 against him.

    — Lewis Brinson OF— 23-year old is hitting .167 for the Marlins this season. He hit .106 in 47 AB’s for Milwaukee last season. No bueno.

    9) Players acquired from Seattle for Dee Gordon:
    — Robert Dugger P— 22-year old is 3-1, 2.80 in six starts in A ball; last year, he was 6-6, 2.75 in 31 games (18 starts) in A ball last year.

    — Nick Neidert P— 21-year old is 2-3, 3.98 in six AA starts, allowing 42 hits in 31.2 IP. He was 1-3, 6.56 in the AA Texas League last year.

    — Chris Torres SS— 20-year old hit .248 in three years of A ball; his 4th season of A ball hasn’t started yet.

    8) Tampa Bay Rays had 12 one-run losses in their first 33 games, the first team to do that since the ’94 Phillies. Overall, the Rays are 15-18, 5-12 in one-run games.

    7) Five teams don’t have a walk-off win yet this year: Cubs-Royals-Padres-Angels-Dodgers.

    6) Red Sox P David Price has a mild case of carpal tunnel syndrome. Not sure what that means for his pitching, but pretty sure he won’t be doing any typing anytime soon.

    5) Brad Stevens got zero votes for NBA Coach of the Year; there were murmurs on Twitter that some people are wondering if the Celtics violated tampering rules when they recruited Gordon Hayward in free agency, and so they ignored Stevens in COY voting.

    4) Less than 10% of major leaguers still use bats made out of ash; Evan Longoria is a holdout for ash bats. Lot of players switched to maple bats after Barry Bonds’ success.

    3) Andre Dawson was a great baseball player, but hasn’t been heard from much since; for the last 10 years, Dawson and his wife of 40 years have owned and operated the Paradise Memorial Funeral Home in Richmond Heights, FL.

    2) Celtics 114, 76ers 112— Marcus Smart tried to miss a foul shot with 0:02.4 left and Celtics up by a point, but the ball went in. Boston was favored by 1.5 points; that must have been a fun couple of minutes in Las Vegas sportsbooks.

    1– Second round of NBA playoffs lasted only 19 games; minimum is 16, maximum 28 games. Not the most exciting times. Cleveland-Boston and Houston-Golden State in the next round should create a lot of interest.

    This is the first time in long time Golden State won’t have home court edge in a series.

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    Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 7 Betting Preview and Odds: Jets at Predators

    Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators (-165, 5.5)

    Series tied 3-3.

    The two best teams in the NHL this season have battled through six incredible games in the Western Conference semifinals, and now it is time to decide whether the Winnipeg Jets or the Nashville Predators will advance to the conference final. The Predators host the Jets in Thursday's Game 7, the finale of a series in which neither team has won consecutive games, the road team has prevailed four times, and both teams have the same amount of shots (177) and attempts (338).

    “It’s a really tight series,” Nashville captain Roman Josi told reporters Wednesday. “Even the games where the score doesn’t really show it, they’re all tight games. They could’ve gone either way.” The key Thursday could be who scores first, as the Predators jumped ahead in Games 4 and 6 and then deployed a defensive-focus mindset in the final two periods of both games to keep the Jets at bay. In between, Winnipeg survived a first-period onslaught in Game 5 before pounding in four second-period goals en route to a 6-2 victory, using the speed and precise passing that Nashville’s defense negated in Games 4 and 6. “Have the confidence that you’re going to go out and perform at your best,” Winnipeg coach Paul Maurice told reporters after Wednesday’s practice. “Enjoy it, the whole part. The nerves before the game, the tension of the game, the excitement of the game.”

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA Sports

    BETTING STATS:



    LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -165 moneyline favorites for Game 7 and as of Wednesday night that number has not moved. 66 percent of early moneyline wagers are on the favored Preds. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move.

    GOALIE MATCHUP:
    W L OTL GAA Save % SO
    Connor Hellebuyck 44 11 9 2.36 .924 6
    Pekka Rinne 42 13 4 2.31 .927 8

    ABOUT THE JETS (59-23-9-2, 45-46 O/U): Winnipeg had chances in Game 6 but saw its power play, one of the NHL’s best this season, come up empty four times with the man advantage in the 4-0 defeat – three times in the opening period with the Jets trailing the game 1-0. Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler, who have combined for 12 goals and 15 assists in the postseason, were a combined minus-4 with three shots apiece in Game 6, while 29-goal scorer Nikolaj Ehlers has not scored in the playoffs. Connor Hellebuyck gave up a goal 62 seconds into Game 6 and finished with 25 saves, his lowest total of the series.

    ABOUT THE PREDATORS (60-23-4-7, 47-46 O/U): Nashville is alive thanks in large part to its top line, as Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson each scored twice with one assist in Game 6, and center Ryan Johansen added two assists – each member of the line finishing plus-4 in an elimination game on the road. Pekka Rinne has been pulled twice against the Jets, but the Vezina finalist made 34 saves in his strongest game of the series. The Predators were outstanding defensively in front of Rinne, blocking 23 shots in the game and holding Winnipeg to just four shots in killing off the four Jets power plays.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    INJURY REPORT:

    Jets - D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).

    Predators - C Mike Fisher (Questionable, Undisclosed).

    TRENDS:

    * Jets are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
    * Predators are 48-21 in their last 69 home games.
    * Under is 9-4 in Jets' last 13 overall.
    * Over is 7-2 in Predators' last 9 home games.
    * Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Nashville.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Thursday, May 10



    Winnipeg @ Nashville

    Game 53-54
    May 10, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.074
    Nashville
    14.878
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-150); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, May 10


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    WINNIPEG (59-24-0-10, 128 pts.) at NASHVILLE (60-23-0-11, 131 pts.) - 5/10/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 60-35 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 49-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 38-19 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 51-28 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 59-35 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
    WINNIPEG is 36-18 ATS (+9.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 41-25 ATS (+15.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 30-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    WINNIPEG is 54-41 ATS (+12.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 32-21 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WINNIPEG is 22-11 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 11-9 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 11-9-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Thursday, May 10


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    Trend Report
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    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 13 games
    Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
    Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Winnipeg is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 9 games
    Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Nashville is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 9 games at home
    Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    Nashville is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


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