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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/6

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, May 6

    Good Luck on day #126 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    NFL teams that had the most salary cap space heading into the draft:

    Cleveland Browns $69,538,631

    Indianapolis Colts $59,823,355

    San Francisco 49ers $43,846,316

    Tennessee Titans $35,846,817

    Houston Texans $35,584,833

    Chicago Bears $24,100,009

    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Watching the Kentucky Derby Saturday, it reminded me of the one and only time I’ve ridden a horse, the same day Secretariat won the Belmont Stakes. June of 1973, my 8th grade field trip.

    I get on this horse and make the mistake of asking the lady the horse’s name: “Jumper”

    Jumper didn’t enjoy the next half hour any more than I did, other than his wandering off the path to munch on bushes and ignoring anything I said to him. When he finally broke into a gallop, I wrapped my arms around his neck and held on for dear life.

    We both escaped unscathed, but not my finest moment.

    12) 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah has sex three times every day while his owners charge a $200,000 fee per impregnation- that makes the owners about $30,000,000 a year.

    11) The transfer epidemic in college basketball has become ridiculous.

    University of Albany (my alma mater) went 22-10 last year, lost at Louisville 70-68, but then they finished 4th in America East, the 25th (out of 32) ranked league in America. If you’re in America East and lose by a hoop at Louisville, you’d expect better than 4th, right?

    Apparently there were chemistry-related issues. Since the season ended, the Great Danes have lost four transfers, including their two best returning players. David Nichols, a 6-0 G who shot 37% from the arc- he graduated and will be a grad transfer at Florida State next fall.

    Joe Cremo is a 6-4 G who is a local kid (Scotia HS) who in three years at Albany shot 41.8% on the arc. Losing Cremo is a huge blow to Albany, but he is now being recruited as a grad transfer like he is freakin’ Steph Curry.

    10) He announced his “final 5” a while ago: Creighton, Gonzaga, Oregon, Penn State, Texas, but since then, he’s taken visits to Villanova and Kansas, where he was this weekend.

    We’ll see how this all turns out, but being a low major D-I coach ain’t as much fun anymore. It almost sounds like the recruiting (poaching) these high major teams do now is intoxicating to the players involved and they enjoy the attention it brings a little too much.

    9) Cavaliers 105, Raptors 103— Lebron James is freakin’ amazing; his runner off the glass to win this game at the buzzer was a tremendous shot.

    Last five years, Toronto Raptors are 263-147 in regular season games, but only made it to the “Final Four” of playoffs once, losing Eastern Conference final two years ago. Looks like they’ll fall short this year, too.

    If you own the Raptors, do you stay the course, as far as your coach goes? I would, but in this day and age, when a coach struggles to win playoff games (Dwane Casey is 21-29 in NBA playoff games), he quickly becomes expendable.

    8) Since 2009, Detroit Tigers have averaged 4.71 runs/game with Miguel Cabrera in the lineup, 4.11 when he is out. Cabrera is on the DL now with a hamstring injury.

    7) Jacksonville Jaguars were much-improved last year; lot of credit goes to Leonard Fournette, their rookie RB from LSU, but Fournette missed three games LY, and Jaguars won those three games, 27-0/23-7/45-7, while running ball for 158.3 ypg, so maybe not.

    6) Former NFL running back Isaiah Pead lost part of his left leg in a car accident couple years ago; he was running Saturday, wearing a prosthetic lower left leg for the first time. The smile on his face said a lot. Pretty cool.

    5) Wow there aren’t many catchers who can hit the ball; in my 16-team fantasy league, if you have a backstop who can hit, its a pretty big edge. Half the teams in my league don’t even have a backup behind the plate.

    4) Cardinals 8, Cubs 6 (10)— Marcell Ozuna tied game with a 2-run single in bottom of 9th, then Kolten Wong sent everyone home happy with a walk-off tater in the 10th inning.

    3) Celtics 101, 76ers 98 OT— 76ers have been favored in all three games of this series, but lost all three to a team playing without its two best players.

    Philly’s (lack of) basketball IQ hurt them here, as Ben Simmons got an offensive rebound with 0:18 left and his team winning but shot the ball instead of pulling it out and making the Celtics foul him, or someone else.

    2) Umpires who call highest %age of strikes (when starting P is in game):
    Foster 20.9%, Culbreth 20.8%, Lentz 20.6%, Hernandez 20.4%

    1— Umpires who call lowest %age of strikes (when starting P is in game):
    Reynolds 14.1%, Holbrook 14.8%, Barksdale 15.2%, Bucknor 15.5%

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    Sunday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs betting preview and odds

    Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs continues Sunday as a pair of teams will be fighting for their playoff lives. The Bruins head to Tampa Bay for a must-win Game 5, while the Sharks host the Golden Knights down three games to two.

    Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning (-175, 6)

    Lightning lead series 3-1

    The Tampa Bay Lightning go after a fourth straight victory to close out the Eastern Conference semifinal series when they host the Boston Bruins for Game 5 on Sunday afternoon. Captain Steven Stamkos tied the contest in the third period and defenseman Dan Girardi tipped home the winner in overtime as the Lightning rallied for a 4-3 victory Friday to give themselves a chance to finish their second series in five games.

    TV: 3 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER LV SUPERBOOK):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Lightning opened Game 5 as -169 home favorites and have moved up to -175 as of Saturday night. Which isn't surprising considering the Bolts are seeing 64 percent of wagers according to our consensus. The total hit the board at an even 6 with 58 percent of bets on the Over.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Bruins - D Torey Krug (Questionable, lower body), D Brandon Carlo (Out, ankle), LW Anders Bjork (Out, shoulder).

    Lightning - LW Adam Erne (Questionable, lower body).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Tukka Rask (Bruins) 11 5 6 2.96 .903 0
    Andrei Vasilevskiy (Lightning) 9 7 2 2.33 .923 0

    ABOUT THE BRUINS: The Bruins have not recorded an even-strength goal since Game 2 after scoring twice with the man advantage and once short-handed during the rally that gave them a 3-2 lead in the third period Friday. Right wing David Pastrnak had one of the power-play tallies for Boston and leads the team with 20 points in the playoffs. Defenseman Torey Krug, who has 12 points in 11 playoff games, suffered a left ankle injury after crashing into the boards feet first Friday and has been ruled out for the rest of the series. Left wing Brad Marchand had a pair of assists Friday and boasts 17 in the postseason, but has managed only seven shots on goal overall in the four games, but did land one lick.

    ABOUT THE LIGHTNING: Tampa Bay’s top line is beginning to produce after a slow start to the series as Nikita Kucherov scored on the power play and Steven Stamkos had a goal for the second straight contest. Defenseman Victor Hedman did not have a point in the first playoff series, but has recorded five assists in the last four games against Boston to become the franchise’s postseason leader in that category (36).

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Bruins are 1-6 in their last seven games playing on one days rest.
    * Lightning are 20-6 in their last 26 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Over is 6-2-1 in Bruins last nine games playing on one days rest.
    * Over is 4-1-1 in Lightning last six home games.
    * Bruins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.




    Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks (-140, 5.5)

    Golden Knights lead series 3-2

    The Golden Knights can add another accomplishment to what is already the most successful inaugural season in NHL history when they visit the San Jose Sharks on Sunday with a chance to wrap up their Western Conference semifinal series. Vegas shrugged off a 4-0 loss to San Jose in Game 4 with a 5-3 victory in Game 5 on Friday to take a 3-2 series lead and will try to avoid a Game 7 at home Tuesday.

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA

    SERIES PRICE (PER LV SUPERBOOK):



    BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVES: The Sharks opened Game 6 as -135 home favorites and are up slightly to -140 as of Saturday night. San Jose is seeing a very slight edge in wagers at 52 percent according to the public in our consensus. The total opened at 5.5 with 61 percent of bets on the Over.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Golden Knights - D Clayton Stoner (Out, abdominal).

    Sharks - C Joe Thornton (Questionable, knee).

    GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
    GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
    Marc Andre-Fleury (Golden Knight) 9 7 2 1.68 .946 3
    Martin Jones (Sharks) 9 6 3 2.29 .926 2

    ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: Alex Tuch has three goals and two assists in the series and shares the team postseason lead with four goals while Marchessault and Reilly Smith boast a team-best 10 playoff points apiece. William Karlsson (four goals, nine points) has been kept off the scoresheet for the last two games despite recording five shots on goal in each contest after recording three goals and four assists in the first three games of the series. Marc-Andre Fleury has allowed 14 goals in the last four games with a save percentage of .925 versus San Jose after stopping 127 of 130 shots in the first round versus Los Angeles.

    ABOUT THE SHARKS: Sharks goaltender Martin Jones was yanked after rookie Alex Tuch scored his second goal of Game 5 at 8:36 of the third period to make it 4-0 and must improve on his .886 save percentage in the series to send it back to Sin City. Tomas Hertl scored in each of the last three games - all at even strength, giving him a team-high six playoff goals. Logan Couture has five assists in the last two games and owns a club-most 12 postseason points.

    MATCHUP CHART:



    TRENDS:

    * Golden Knights are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Sharks are 10-2 in their last 12 when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game.
    * Under is 10-4-1 in Golden Knights last 15 road games.
    * Over is 8-1-3 in Sharks last 12 Conference Semifinals games.
    * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

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    NHL

    Sunday, May 6


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    Trend Report
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    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston


    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Vegas is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    Vegas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vegas's last 15 games on the road
    Vegas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Jose is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
    San Jose is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games at home
    San Jose is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vegas


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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, May 6


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    BOSTON (55-25-0-13, 123 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (61-25-0-5, 127 pts.) - 5/6/2018, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 2-7 ATS (-9.6 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    BOSTON is 38-44 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 42-49 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 62-30 ATS (+20.1 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 22-6 ATS (+15.5 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 231-234 ATS (+540.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 85-70 ATS (+157.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 10-7 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-7-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    VEGAS (58-26-0-7, 123 pts.) at SAN JOSE (51-29-0-11, 113 pts.) - 5/6/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 27-11 ATS (+38.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    SAN JOSE is 21-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    SAN JOSE is 43-22 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    VEGAS is 59-33 ATS (+19.1 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 13-7 ATS (+5.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    VEGAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    VEGAS is 27-11 ATS (+12.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    VEGAS is 32-17 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    SAN JOSE is 181-151 ATS (-78.7 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 20-30 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 6-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, May 6



    Boston @ Tampa Bay

    Game 63-64
    May 6, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    13.145
    Tampa Bay
    10.545
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+155); Over

    Vegas @ San Jose


    Game 65-66
    May 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    12.862
    San Jose
    11.736
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (+120); Under

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